Multivariate Cox Regression Analysis Research Articles

Association between the stress-hyperglycemia ratio and all-cause mortality in community-dwelling populations: An analysis of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2014.

Reportedly, the stress-hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is closely associated with poor prognosis in patients with severe acute disease. However, the community-dwelling may also be in a state of stress due to environmental exposure. Our study aimed to explore the association between SHR and all-cause mortality in the community-dwelling population. A total of 18 480 participants were included out of 82 091 from the NHANES 1999-2014 survey. The Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were used to assess the disparities in survival rates based on SHR, and the log-rank test was employed to investigate the distinctions between groups. The multivariate Cox regression analysis and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis were performed to assess the association of SHR with all-cause mortality. A subgroup analysis was also conducted. A total of 3188 deaths occurred during a median follow-up period of 11.0 (7.7; 15.4) years. The highest risk for all-cause mortality was observed when SHR≤ 0.843 or SHR ≥0.986 (log-rank p < .001). After adjusting for the confounding factors, compared with subjects in the second SHR quartile (Q2), participants in the highest (Q4, adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-1.73) and lowest quartiles (Q1, adjusted HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.16-1.60) have a higher probability of all-cause death. The RCS observed a dose-response U-shaped association between SHR and all-cause mortality. The U-shaped association between SHR and all-cause mortality was similar across subgroup analysis. The SHR was significantly associated with all-cause mortality in the community-dwelling population, and the relationship was U-shaped.

Detectable troponin below the 99th percentile predicts survival in patients undergoing coronary angiography

BackgroundCardiac troponin I (cTnI) above the 99th percentile is associated with an increased risk of major adverse events. Patients with detectable cTnI below the 99th percentile are a heterogeneous group with a less well-defined risk profile. The purpose of this study is to investigate the prognostic relevance of detectable cTnI below the 99th percentile in patients undergoing coronary angiography. MethodsThe study included 14,776 consecutive patients (mean age of 65.4 ± 12.7 years, 71.3 % male) from the Essen Coronary Artery Disease (ECAD) registry. Patients with cTnI levels above the 99th percentile and patients with ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction were excluded. All-cause mortality was defined as the primary endpoint. ResultsDetectable cTnI below the 99th percentile was present in 2811 (19.0 %) patients, while 11,965 (81.0 %) patients were below detection limit of the employed assay. The mean follow-up was 4.25 ± 3.76 years. All-cause mortality was 20.8 % for patients with detectable cTnI below the 99th percentile and 15.0 % for those without detectable cTnI. In a multivariable Cox regression analysis, detectable cTnI was independently associated with all-cause mortality with a hazard ratio of 1.60 (95 % CI 1.45–1.76; p < 0.001). There was a stepwise relationship with increasing all-cause mortality and tertiles of detectable cTnI levels with hazard ratios of 1.63 (95 % CI 1.39–1.90) for the first tertile to 2.02 (95 % CI 1.74–2.35) for the third tertile. ConclusionsDetectable cTnI below the 99th percentile is an independent predictor of mortality in patients undergoing coronary angiography with the risk of death growing progressively with increasing troponin levels.

Noninvasive Pressure-Volume Loops Predict Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

BackgroundHeart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is characterized by ventricular remodeling and impaired myocardial energetics. Left ventricular pressure-volume (PV) loop analysis can be performed noninvasively using cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging to assess cardiac thermodynamic efficiency. ObjectivesThe aim of the study was to investigate whether noninvasive PV loop parameters, derived from CMR, could predict major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in HFrEF patients. MethodsPV loop parameters (stroke work, ventricular efficiency, external power, contractility, and energy per ejected volume) were computed from CMR cine images and brachial blood pressure. The primary end point was MACE (cardiovascular death, heart failure (HF) hospitalization, myocardial infarction, revascularization, ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation, heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device implantation within 5 years). Associations between PV loop parameters and MACE were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression. ResultsOne hundred and sixty-four HFrEF patients (left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40%, age 63 [IQR: 55-70] years, 79% male) who underwent clinical CMR examination between 2004 and 2014 were included. Eighty-eight patients (54%) experienced at least one MACE after an average of 2.8 years. Unadjusted models demonstrated a significant association between MACE and all PV loop parameters (P < 0.05 for all), HF etiology (P < 0.001), left ventricular ejection fraction (P = 0.003), global longitudinal strain (P < 0.001), and N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide level (P = 0.001). In the multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, and HF etiology, ventricular efficiency was associated with MACE (HR: 1.04 (95% CI: 1.01-1.08) per-% decrease, P = 0.01). ConclusionsVentricular efficiency, derived from noninvasive PV loop analysis from standard CMR scans, is associated with MACE in patients with HFrEF.

Clinical Value of the Quantitative Flow Ratio to Predict Long-term Target Vessel Failure in Patients with In-stent Restenosis after Drug-coated Balloon Angioplasty.

The study sought to investigate the clinical predictive value of quantitative flow ratio (QFR) for the long-term target vessel failure (TVF) outcome in patients with in-stent restenosis (ISR) by using drug-coated balloon (DCB) treatment after a long-term follow-up. This was a retrospective study. A total of 186 patients who underwent DCB angioplasty for ISR in two hospitals from March 2014 to September 2019 were enrolled. The QFR of the entire target vessel was measured offline. The primary endpoint was TVF, including target vessel-cardiac death (TV-CD), target vessel-myocardial infarction (TV-MI), and clinically driven-target vessel revascularization (CD-TVR). The follow-up time was 3.09±1.53 years, and 50 patients had TVF. The QFR immediately after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) was significantly lower in the TVF group than in the no-TVF group. Multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that the QFR immediately after PCI was an excellent predictor for TVF after the long-term follow-up [hazard ratio (HR): 5.15×10-5 (6.13×10-8-0.043); P<0.01]. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis demonstrated that the optimal cut-off value of the QFR immediately after PCI for predicting the long-term TVF was 0.925 (area under the curve: 0.886, 95% confidence interval: 0.834-0.938; sensitivity: 83.40%, specificity: 88.00; P<0.01). In addition, QFR≤0.925 post-PCI was strongly correlated with the TVF, including TV-MI and CD-TVR (P<0.01). The QFR immediately after PCI showed a high predictive value of TVF after a long-term follow-up in ISR patients who underwent DCB angioplasty. A lower QFR immediately after PCI was associated with a worse TVF outcome.

Prognostic factors for surgical treatment of radiation-induced scleral necrosis after brachytherapy for uveal melanoma.

Radiation-induced scleral necrosis (RISN) is a less frequent complication of brachytherapy for uveal melanoma, and may require surgical treatment in selected cases. We aimed to identify the prognostic factors for RISN treatment. All patients with brachytherapy for uveal melanoma treated at our institution between 01/1999 and 12/2016 who developed RISN were followed until 02/2021. Various parameters were evaluated through univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis. The surgical intervention due to RISN was the principal outcome event of this study. Of 115 patients in the final cohort, 51 individuals (44%) underwent RISN treatment (conjunctival revision [n = 2], patching [n = 46] or enucleation [n = 3]) at median 1.80 months after RISN occurrence. Significant RISN characteristics were summarized into a novel RISN severity scale - Grade I: largest diameter ≤ 5 mm and no progression; Grade II: largest diameter > 5 mm or any progression during the follow-up; Grade III: presence of uveal prolapse; and Grade IV: leakage through open eyewall perforation. In the multivariable analysis, the RISN severity scale (aHR = 2.37 per grade increase, p = 0.01) and the time between brachytherapy and RISN occurrence (<15 months, aHR = 6.33, p < 0.0001) were independently associated with the study endpoint. The RISN severity scale showed high diagnostic accuracy for prediction of RISN treatment (AUC = 0.869). In our series, about the half of RISN cases underwent surgical treatment. The presented novel severity scale for RISN might become a helpful tool for clinical management of individuals with RISN. We recommend external validation of the diagnostic accuracy of the presented scale.

Identification and validation of a prognostic signature based on six immune-related genes for colorectal cancer

BackgroundColorectal cancer (CRC) is a prevalent malignancy with high mortality and morbidity rates. Although the significant efficacy of immunotherapy is well established, it is only beneficial for a limited number of individuals with CRC.MethodsDifferentially expressed immune-related genes (DE-IRGs) were retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO), and ImmPort databases. A prognostic signature comprising DE-IRGs was developed using univariate, LASSO, and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A nomogram integrating the independent prognostic factors was also developed. CIBERSORT was used to assess immune cell infiltration (ICI). Furthermore, wound-healing, colony formation, migration, and invasion assays were performed to study the involvement of ACTG1 in CRC.ResultsA signature including six DE-IRGs was developed. The overall survival (OS) rate was accurately estimated for TCGA and GSE38832 cohorts. The risk score (RS) of the signature was an independent factor for OS. Moreover, a nomogram encompassing age, RS, and pathological T stage accurately predicted the long-term OS probability of individuals with CRC. The high-risk group had an elevated proportion of patients treated with ICIs, including native B cells, relative to the low-risk group. Additionally, ACTG1 expression was upregulated, which supported the proliferation, migration, and invasion abilities of CRC cells.ConclusionsAn immune-related prognostic signature was developed for predicting OS and for determining the immune status of individuals with CRC. The present study provides new insights into accurate immunotherapy for individuals with CRC. Moreover, ACTG1 may serve as a new immune biomarker.

Developing a nomogram based on SEER database for predicting prognosis in choroid plexus tumors

Choroid plexus tumors (CPT) are rare and highly vascularized neoplasms that have three histologically confirmed diagnoses, including choroid plexus papilloma, atypical choroid plexus papilloma, and choroid plexus carcinoma (CPC). This study aimed to determine the epidemiology and survival of patients with CPTs and develop a nomogram to quantify the prognosis of the patients with CPT. Data of 808 patients who were diagnosed as CPT between 2000 and 2020 was obtained from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database. Descriptive analysis was used to assess the distribution and tumor-related characteristics of the patients with CPT. Independent prognostic factors for patients with CPT were identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. The nomogram was established and evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA), calibration curves. The independent prognostic factors for patients with CPT are age, tumor size, surgery, chemotherapy, tumor number, pathologies, and race. For the prognostic nomogram, the area under the curve (AUC) of 60-, 120-, and 180-months were 0.855, 0.869 and 0.857 in the training set and 0.836, 0.864 and 0.922 in the test set. The DCA and calibration curve indicated the good performance of the nomogram. Patients with CPTs can be diagnosed at any age. Among the three histopathological tumors, patients with CPC had the worst prognosis. The nomogram was established to predict the prognosis of patients with CPT, which had satisfactory accuracy, and clinical utility may benefit for clinical decision-making.

Blood Urea Nitrogen-to-Serum Albumin Ratio Predicts Fatal Outcomes in Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Patients.

There are no effective therapies for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), and existing predictors of mortality are still controversial. This retrospective study aimed to identify reliable early-stage indicators for predicting fatal outcomes in 217 patients hospitalized with an SFTS diagnosis between March 2021 and November 2023; 157 of the patients survived, and 60 died. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory parameters were reassessed in both groups. The mean age of participants was 64.0 (interquartile range: 54.5-71.0) years, and 42.4% (92/217) were males. Based on a multivariate Cox regression analysis, the blood urea nitrogen-to-serum albumin ratio (BAR) (hazard ratio [HR]:4.751; 95% CI: 2.208-10.226; P <0.001), procalcitonin level (HR: 1.946; 95% CI: 1.080-3.507; P = 0.027), and central nervous system symptoms (HR: 3.257; 95% CI, 1.628-6.513; P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for mortality in SFTS patients. According to a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, a BAR with an area under the curve of 0.913 (95% CI: 0.873-0.953; P <0.001), a sensitivity of 76.7%, and a specificity of 90.4% showed better predictive performance for fatal outcomes than other classical indicators reported. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve confirmed that an increased BAR was linked with an unfavorable prognosis in SFTS patients (P <0.001 by log-rank test). In conclusion, the results indicate that high BAR levels are markedly related to substandard outcomes and are a reliable and readily accessible predictor of fatal outcomes in SFTS patients.

Association of triglyceride glucose index with the risk of acute kidney injury in patients with coronary revascularization: a cohort study

BackgroundThe triglyceride glucose (TyG) index is a novel and reliable alternative marker for insulin resistance. Previous studies have shown that TyG index is closely associated with cardiovascular outcomes in cardiovascular diseases and coronary revascularization. However, the relationship between TyG index and renal outcomes of coronary revascularization is unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the correlation between TyG index and the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with coronary revascularization.MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted to select eligible patients with coronary revascularization admitted to ICU in the medical information mart for intensive care IV (MIMIC-IV). According to the TyG index quartile, these patients were divided into four groups (Q1-Q4). The primary endpoint was the incidence of AKI, and secondary endpoints included 28-day mortality and the rate of renal replacement therapy (RRT) use in the AKI population. Multivariate Cox regression analysis and restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to analyze TyG index association with AKI risk. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to assess the incidence of endpoints in the four groups.ResultsIn this study, 790 patients who underwent coronary revascularization surgery were included, and the incidence of AKI was 30.13%. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with a high TyG index had a significantly increased incidence of AKI (Log-rank P = 0.0045). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that whether TyG index was a continuous variable (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.06–1.92, P = 0.018) or a categorical variable (Q4: HR 1.89, 95% CI 1.12–3.17, P = 0.017), and there was an independent association between TyG index and AKI in patients with coronary revascularization. The RCS curve showed a linear relationship between higher TyG index and AKI in this particular population (P = 0.078). In addition, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significantly increased risk of RRT application in a subset of AKI patients based on quartiles of TyG index (P = 0.029).ConclusionTyG index was significantly associated with increased risk of AKI and adverse renal outcomes in patients with coronary revascularization. This finding suggests that the TyG index may be useful in identifying people at high risk for AKI and poor renal outcomes in patients with coronary revascularization.

A potential association between COVID-19 vaccination and development of alzheimer's disease.

The challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic extend to concerns about vaccine side effects, particularly potential links to neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). This study investigates the association between COVID-19 vaccination and the onset of AD and its prodromal state, mild cognitive impairment (MCI). A nationwide, retrospective cohort study leveraging data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service was conducted. The study, conducted in Seoul, South Korea, analyzed data from a random 50% sample of city residents aged 65 and above, totaling 558,017 individuals. Participants were divided into vaccinated and unvaccinated groups, with vaccinations including mRNA and cDNA vaccines. The study focused on AD and MCI incidences post-vaccination, identified via ICD-10 codes, using multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses. Patients with vascular dementia or Parkinson's disease served as controls. Findings showed an increased incidence of MCI and AD in vaccinated individuals, particularly those receiving mRNA vaccines, within three months post-vaccination. The mRNA vaccine group exhibited a significantly higher incidence of AD (Odds Ratio [OR]: 1.225; 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.025-1.464; p = 0.026) and MCI (OR: 2.377; CI: 1.845-3.064; p < 0.001) compared to the unvaccinated group. No significant relationship was found with vascular dementia or Parkinson's disease. Preliminary evidence suggests a potential link between COVID-19 vaccination, particularly mRNA vaccines, and increased incidences of AD and MCI. This underscores the need for further research to elucidate the relationship between vaccine-induced immune responses and neurodegenerative processes, advocating for continuous monitoring and investigation into the vaccines' long-term neurological impacts.

Interferon-induced transmembrane protein 2 is a prognostic marker in colorectal cancer and promotes its progression by activating the PI3K/AKT pathway

BackgroundInterferon-induced transmembrane protein 2 (IFITM2) is involved in repressing viral infection. This study aim to investigate the expression of IFITM2 in colorectal cancer (CRC) and explore its effect on cell proliferation, migration, and invasion.MethodsWe analyzed The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database for IFITM2 expression in colorectal cancer and used western blots to detect IFITM2 protein in specimens and cell lines of colorectal cancers. To assess the association between IFITM2 and clinical features, both univariate and multivariate cox regression analysis were conducted. Kaplan–Meier plots were used in the TCGA database to assess IFITM2 gene expression's prognostic significance. Silencing IFITM2 in SW480 and HCT116 cells was achieved by transient transfection with siRNA. Proliferation of CRCs was examined using Cell Counting Kit-8. The effect of IFITM2 on the migration and invasion of CRC cells was studied using wound healing and transwell assays. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was used to examine IFITM2-associated pathways and Western blotting was used to confirm it.ResultsIFITM2 was over-expressed in the CRC tissues and cells, with high IFITM2 expression related to the tumor N, M, and pathologic stages. The presence of IFITM2 significantly impacted patient survival in CRC. The proliferation of SW480 and HCT116 cells was suppressed when IFITM2 was silenced, resulting in weakened migration and invasion of CRC cells. GSEA analysis showed that IFITM2 was positively related to the phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K)/AKT pathway, and western blot results confirmed that IFITM2 activated it.ConclusionsIFITM2 was over-expressed in CRC and modulated the PI3K/AKT pathway to promote CRC cells proliferation and metastasis.

Long-Term Outcomes of Orthotopic Neobladder Versus Ileal Conduit Urinary Diversion in Robot-Assisted Radical Cystectomy (RARC): Multicenter Results from the Asian RARC Consortium.

Robot-assisted radical cystectomy (RARC) has gained traction in the management of muscle invasive bladder cancer. Urinary diversion for RARC was achieved with orthotopic neobladder and ileal conduit. Evidence on the optimal method of urinary diversion was limited. Long-term outcomes were not reported before. This study was designed to compare the perioperative and oncological outcomes of ileal conduit versus orthotopic neobladder cases of nonmetastatic bladder cancer treated with RARC. The Asian RARC consortium was a multicenter registry involving nine Asian centers. Consecutive patients receiving RARC were included. Cases were divided into the ileal conduit and neobladder groups. Background characteristics, operative details, perioperative outcomes, recurrence information, and survival outcomes were reviewed and compared. Primary outcomes include disease-free and overall survival. Secondary outcomes were perioperative results. Multivariate regression analyses were performed. From 2007 to 2020, 521 patients who underwent radical cystectomy were analyzed. Overall, 314 (60.3%) had ileal conduit and 207 (39.7%) had neobladder. The use of neobladder was found to be protective in terms of disease-free survival [Hazard ratio (HR) = 0.870, p = 0.037] and overall survival (HR = 0.670, p = 0.044) compared with ileal conduit. The difference became statistically nonsignificant after being adjusted in multivariate cox-regression analysis. Moreover, neobladder reconstruction was not associated with increased blood loss, nor additional risk of major complications. Orthotopic neobladder urinary diversion is not inferior to ileal conduit in terms of perioperative safety profile and long-term oncological outcomes. Further prospective studies are warranted for further investigation.

Sarcopenia is an independent risk factor for short-term mortality in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt.

Sarcopenia is common in patients with cirrhosis and is a risk factor for increased mortality. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement has been utilized in cirrhosis patients with decompensation. We investigated the role of sarcopenia in predicting mortality in patients undergoing TIPS. We conducted a single-center retrospective study of 232 patients with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS between January 2010 and December 2015. Sarcopenia was defined by the psoas muscle index (PMI) cutoff value, calculated based on dynamic time-dependent outcomes using X-tile software. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated the difference in survival in the sarcopenia group versus the non-sarcopenia group. . Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the relationship between sarcopenia and post-TIPS mortality during a follow-up period of 1 year. For TIPS indications, 111 (47.84%) patients had refractory ascites, 69 (29.74%) patients had variceal bleeding, 12 (5.17%) patients had ascites, and 40 (17.24%) for other indications. The mean PMI was 4.40 ± 1.55. Sarcopenia was defined as a PMI value of <4.36 in males, and <3.23 in females. Sarcopenia was present in 96 (41.38%) of patients. . Kaplan-Meier analysis showed thatsarcopenia is associated with worse survival (log-rank P < 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that sarcopenia is independently associated with worse survival during the 1-year follow-up period with an hazard ratio of 2.435 (95% CI 1.346-4.403) (P < 0.01), after adjusting for age, BMI, indications for TIPS, etiology for cirrhosis, and MELD score and stratified by sex. Sarcopenia is an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality in patients undergoing TIPS and should be considered when patients are evaluated as a candidate for TIPS.

Induction Immunochemotherapy Yields a Higher Conversion Rate and Better Overall Survival than Chemotherapy in Initially Unresectable Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

This study compared the surgical conversion rate and overall survival (OS) between induction chemotherapy (iC) and induction immunochemotherapy (iIC) for patients with initially unresectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (iuESCC). In this multicenter, retrospective cohort study, patients from four high-volume institutions with unresectable diseases were included. The primary endpoints were the conversion surgery rate and OS. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify the independent significant prognostic factors associated with OS. The stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to confirm the survival comparison between the iIC and iC cohorts. A total of 309 patients (150 in the iIC cohort and 159 in the iC cohort) were included. A significantly higher conversion surgical rate was observed in the iIC cohort (iIC vs. iC: 127/150, 84.7% vs. 79/159, 49.7%, P < 0.001). The pathological complete response rates were 22.0% and 5.1% in the iIC and the iC cohorts, respectively (P = 0.001). A significant difference in the OS was observed between the iIC (not reached) and iC cohorts (median 95% CI 36.3 [range 27.2-45.5]). The stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting yielded similar results. Regimen (iIC vs. iC, HR 0.215, 95% CI 0.102-0.454, P < 0.001) and operation (yes vs. no, HR 0.262, 95% CI 0.161-0.427, P < 0.001) were the significant prognostic factors for OS. Immunochemotherapy plus conversion surgery in the induction setting may be a better treatment option to achieve high pathological responses and improve OS in iuESCC patients.

Enhancing clinical decision-making: A novel nomogram for stratifying cancer-specific survival in middle-aged individuals with follicular thyroid carcinoma utilizing SEER data

BackgroundThyroid cancer (TC) is the most common malignant tumor in the endocrine system, is also one of the head and neck tumor. Follicular Thyroid Carcinoma (FTC) plays an important role in the pathological classification of thyroid cancer. This study aimed to develop an innovative predictive tool, a nomogram, for predicting cancer specific survival (CSS) in middle-aged FTC patients. MethodsWe collected patient data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The data from patients between 2004 and 2015 were used as the training set, and the data from patients between 2016 and 2018 were used as the validation set. To identify independent risk factors affecting patient survival, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed. Based on this, we developed a nomogram model aimed at predicting CSS in middle-aged patients with FTC. The consistency index (C-index), the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and the calibration curve were used to evaluate the accuracy and confidence of the model. ResultsA total of 2470 patients were enrolled in this study, in which patients from 2004 to 2015 were randomly assigned to the training cohort (N = 1437) and validation cohort (N = 598), and patients from 2016 to 2018 were assigned to the external validation cohort (N = 435) in terms of time. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that marriage, histological grade and TNM stage were independent risk factors for survival. The C-index for the training cohort was 0.866 (95 % CI: 0.805–0.927), for the validation cohort it was 0.944 (95 % CI: 0.903–0.985), and for the external validation cohort, it reached 0.999 (95 % CI: 0.997–1.001). Calibration curves and AUC suggest that the model has good accuracy. ConclusionsWe developed an innovative nomogram to predict CSS in middle-aged patients with FTC. Our model after a rigorous internal validation and external validation process, based on the time proved that the high level of accuracy and reliability. This tool helps healthcare professionals and patients make informed clinical decisions.

Construction and validation of nomogram prognostic model for predicting survival in hepatoblastoma patients: a population-based study.

For patients with hepatoblastoma (HB), current staging system is not accurate in predicting survival outcomes. The aim of this study was to develop two accurate survival prediction models to guide clinical decision making. A retrospective analysis of 424 HB patients was performed from 2004 to 2015 using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to screen for variables. The identified variables were used to build survival prediction model. The performance of the nomogram models was assessed based on the concordance index (C-index), calibration plot, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The Cox regression analysis identified six variables affecting overall survival (OS) in HB patients, including race, tumor size, lymph node involvement, distant metastases, surgery and chemotherapy. And the Cox regression analysis identified five variables including race, lymph node involvement, distant metastases, surgery, and chemotherapy that affect cancer-specific survival (CCS) in HB patients. In the training cohort, the C-index of the nomogram in predicting the OS was 0.791 [95% confidence intervals (95% CI) 0.717-0.865], CSS was 0.805(95% CI 0.728-0.882). In the validation cohort, the C-index of the nomogram in predicting the OS was 0.712 (95% CI 0.511-0.913), the CSS was 0.751 (95% CI 0.566-0.936). In the training cohort, the area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUC) values of the nomogram in prediction of the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were 0.842 (95% CI 0.739-0.944), 0.759 (95% CI 0.670-0.849), and 0.770 (95% CI 0.686-0.852), respectively. In the validation cohort, the AUC values for prediction of the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS were 0.920 (95% CI 0.806-1.034), 0.863 (95% CI 0.750-0.976), and 0.844 (95% CI 0.721-0.967), respectively. Two nomogram models were developed and validated in this study which provided accurate prediction of the OS and CSS in HB patients. The constructed models can be used for predicting survival outcomes and guide treatment for HB patients.

Incidence and predictors of postural abnormalities in Parkinson's disease: a PPMI cohort study.

Axial postural abnormalities (PA) are invalidating symptoms of Parkinson's disease (PD). Risk factors for PA are unknown. We sought to evaluate PA incidence and risk factors over the first 4-6years of PD. We included 441 PD patients from the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) cohort with data at diagnosis and after 4-year follow-up. PA was defined according to a posture item ≥ 2 at the Movement Disorder Society-sponsored-revision of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS) in Off therapeutic condition. The Kruskal-Wallis test was used to compare characteristics of patients without PA ('no-PA'), with PA at disease onset ('baseline-PA'), and PA developed during follow-up ('develop-PA'). To identify predictors of PA development, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed considering demographic, clinical and therapeutic variables. 10.9% of patients showed PA at baseline and 23.7% developed PA within the first 4-6years since diagnosis. Older age, malignant phenotype, higher MDS-UPDRS part III, Hoehn & Yahr, and dysautonomia (SCOPA-AUT) score, and lower levels of physical activity were predictors of PA development at the univariate analysis. Older age (Hazard ratio [HR] per year: 1.041) and higher MDS-UPDRS part III score (HR per point: 1.035) survived as PA development predictors in the multivariate analysis. PPMI cohort data show that > 30% of PD patients present PA within the first 4-6years of disease. Older age at onset and higher motor burden are associated with a higher risk for PA development. The protective role of physical activity merits to be further investigated.

Identification of cell surface markers for acute myeloid leukemia prognosis based on multi-model analysis.

Given the extremely high inter-patient heterogeneity among acute myeloid leukemia (AML), identifying biomarkers for prognostic assessment and therapeutic guidance is crucial. Cell surface markers (CSMs) have been shown to play an important role in AML leukemogenesis and progression. In this study, we evaluate the prognostic potential of all human CSMs in AML patients based on differential gene expression analysis and univariate Cox regression analysis. Utilizing multi-model analysis, including Adaptive LASSO regression, LASSO regression, and Elastic Net, we construct a 9-CSMs prognostic model for risk stratification of AML patients. The predictive value of the 9-CSMs risk score is further confirmed in three independent datasets. Multivariate Cox regression analysis shows that the risk score is an independent prognostic factor for AML patients. AML patients with high 9-CSMs risk scores have shorter overall and event-free survival time than those with lower scores. Notably, our single-cell RNA-seq analysis indicates that patients with high 9-CSMs risk scores exhibit chemotherapy resistance. Further, PI3K inhibitors are identified as potential treatments for these high-risk patients. In conclusion, we construct a 9-CSMs prognostic model which is an independent prognostic factor for the survival of AML patients and has the potential to guide drug therapy.

Outcome after cryoballoon ablation of persistent atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction versus tachycardiomyopathy: a propensity score-matched analysis

Abstract Introduction Atrial fibrillation (AF) often coexists with heart failure (HF). The aim of the study was to detect differences in outcome between patients with arrhythmia induced cardiomyopathy (AIC)/tachycardiomyopathy and HFpEF undergoing cryoballoon pulmonary vein isolation (cryo-PVI) using a propensity score-based model. Methods In this retrospective observational study, we analysed persistent AF patients with HFpEF and AIC undergoing cryoballoon ablation between 2014 and 2020. AIC was diagnosed ex juvantibus during the first year after ablation at the 3- and 12-month follow-up when LVEF recovered to &amp;gt; 50% and by more than 10% after ablation and a different aetiology for reduced LVEF was excluded. Propensity score matching was used to pair patients based on their age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc score and left atrial (LA) area. The primary endpoint was the first documented &amp;gt; 30-s recurrence of atrial arrhythmia after a 3-month blanking period during the one-year follow-up. The secondary endpoints were improvements in NYHA class and reduction of LA area. For identification of independent predictors of atrial arrhythmia recurrence after ablation, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed. Results Out of 1293 consecutive patients who underwent cryo-PVI, 148 persistent AF patients with HFpEF and 66 patients with AIC were identified. Propensity score matching yielded 46 patients in each group. HFpEF patients were more symptomatic than AIC patients (NYHA: 2.4 +/- 0.5 vs. 2.0 +/- 0,8; p = 0.002). Other baseline characteristics did not differ between the two groups, except LVEF (57 % [IQR: 52-62%] vs. 41% [QR: 35%-45%]; p= 0.002). Kaplan-Meier curves (Figure 1) demonstrated no difference in recurrence-free survival rate between the groups during the 12-month follow-up (71.7 % vs. 56.5%, log-rank P = 0.16). After the 12-month follow-up, the median LA area decreased significantly in the HFpEF group from 25.8 cm2 (IQR: 23.4-29.5 cm2) to 24.6cm2 (IQR: 22.0-29.6 cm2; p = 0.045) and in the AIC group from 26.6 cm2 (IQR: 22.9-31.1 cm2) to 23.0 cm2 (IQR: 18.3-25.2 cm2; p=0.024). At the 12-month follow-up the median LA-area was significantly higher in the HFpEF than in the AIC cohort (p= 0.007). NYHA class improved significantly in both groups from baseline. At the 1-year follow-up NYHA class was similar between both groups (1.6 +/- 0.8 vs. 1.4 +/- 0,6; p = 0.206). After univariate and multivariate analysis, the following predictors of atrial arrhythmia recurrence were identified: body-mass-index (BMI; HR = 1.082, p = 0.015) and LA area (HR = 1.079, p = 0.003). Conclusions Cryoballoon catheter ablation of persistent AF seems to have similar effectiveness on arrhythmia free survival in patients with HFpEF and AIC. NYHA class and LA enlargement improved after ablation in both groups although LA area in HFpEF was higher than in AIC patients at follow-up. BMI and LA area were identified as predictors of arrhythmia recurrence.

Pulmonary vein isolation with the radiofrequency balloon catheter: long-term results and predictors of ablation success

Abstract Background The novel multielectrode radiofrequency balloon catheter (RFB) has been demonstrated to achieve safe and effective pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). However, data on long-term ablation outcomes is lacking. Purpose This single-centre study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of the RFB beyond 1-year follow-up and define predictors of arrhythmia recurrence. Methods All consecutive patients with symptomatic paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing first-time PVI with the RFB between January 2021 and November 2022 were prospectively included. Post-ablation remapping was systematically employed to confirm PVI at the end of the procedure. Procedural failure was defined as any atrial tachyarrhythmias (ATas) lasting &amp;gt;30 s occurring during the follow-up after a 3-month blanking period (BP). Patient characteristics, procedural parameters, and ATas recurrence during BP were analysed with respect to ablation outcome. Results A total of 120 consecutive patients (50 female, 42%; mean age 65±12 years) were enrolled. After a mean follow-up of 16.1±7.9 months, ATas recurrence occurred in 30 patients (25%). ATas were adjudicated as AF in 25 patients (83.3%) and as atrial tachycardia/atrial flutter in 5 patients (16.7%). The mean time from the index procedure to ATas recurrence was 203±130 days. A redo procedure was performed in 17 patients (56.7%) and at least one PV reconnection was observed in 12 patients (70.6%). Patients with ATas recurrence presented higher values of body mass index (31.0 ±5.7 vs. 28.1±4.9 kg/m2, p=0.048), larger left atria (43±11 vs. 35±9 ml/m2, p=0.003), and increased rates of ATas recurrence during the BP (53.3% vs. 2.2 %, p&amp;lt;0.001) compared to patients with persistent sinus rhythm. At multivariable Cox regression analysis, left atrial end-systolic volume index and ATas recurrence during the BP were independently associated with procedural failure (HR 1.05, 95%CI 1.00-1.11, p=0.048 and HR 23.88, 95%CI 7.71-73.99, p&amp;lt;0.001, respectively). Conclusion At 16 months follow-up, PVI with the RFB resulted in freedom from arrhythmia relapse in 75% of patients. Left atrial end-systolic volume index and ATas recurrence during the BP were independent predictors of arrhythmia recurrence.ATas-free survivalPredictors of ATas recurrence