Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Research Articles

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio levels over time correlate to all-cause hospital mortality in sepsis

ObjectiveThis research aims to investigate the prognosis value using the time-weighted average neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (TWA-NLR) for predicting all-cause hospital mortality among sepsis patients. Data were analyzed through the use of the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD 2.0) as well as Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV 2.2 (MIMIC-IV 2.2). MethodsSeptic patients from both eICU-CRD 2.0 as well as MIMIC-IV 2.2 databases were included. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios (NLR) were available for analysis, utilizing complete blood counts obtained on days one, four, and seven following ICU admission. The TWA-NLR was computed at the end of the seven days, and patients were then stratified based on TWA-NLR thresholds. 90-day all-cause mortality during hospitalization was the primary objective, with 60-day all-cause hospital mortality as a secondary objective. The correlation between TWA-NLR and sepsis patients' primary outcome was analyzed using univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regressions. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis was conducted in an attempt to confirm this association further, and subgroup analyses were employed to evaluate the correlation across various comorbidity groups. Results3921 patients were included from the eICU-CRD 2.0, and the hospital mortality rate was 20.8 %. Both multivariable as well as univariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses revealed that TWA-NLR was independently correlated with 90-day all-cause hospital mortality, yielding a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.02 (95 % CI 1.01–1.02, P-value<0.01) as well as 1.12 (95 % CI 1.01–1.15, P-value<0.01), respectively. The RCS analysis demonstrated a significant nonlinear relationship between TWA-NLR and 90-day all-cause hospital mortality risk. The study subjects were divided into higher (>10.5) and lower (≤10.5) TWA-NLR cohorts. A significantly decreased incidence of 90-day all-cause hospital mortality (HR = 0.56, 95 % CI 0.48–0.64, P-value<0.01) and longer median survival time (40 days vs 24 days, P-value<0.05) were observed in the lower TWA-NLR cohort. However, septic patients with chronic pulmonary (interaction of P-value = 0.009) or renal disease (interaction of P-value = 0.008) exhibited significant interactive associations between TWA-NLR and 90-day all-cause hospital mortality, suggesting the predictive power of TWA-NLR may be limited in these subgroups. The MIMIC-IV 2.2 was utilized as a validation cohort and exhibited a similar pattern. ConclusionOur findings suggest that TWA-NLR is a powerful and independent prognostic indicator for 90-day all-cause hospital mortality among septic patients, and the TWA-NLR cutoff value may prove a useful method for identifying high-risk septic patients.

Cardiac surgery and long-term risk for incident cancer: A nationwide population-based study

ObjectivePrevious studies indicate an increased long-term risk for incident cancer and cancer-specific mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. We compared the risk for incident cancer and cancer-specific mortality between patients and matched control subjects from the general population. MethodsAll patients (n = 127,119) undergoing first-time coronary artery or heart valve surgery in Sweden during 1997-2020 were included in a population-based observational cohort study based on individual data from the SWEDEHEART registry and 4 other mandatory national registries. The patients were compared with an age-, sex-, and place of residence–matched control population (n = 415,287) using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for baseline characteristics, comorbidities, and socioeconomic factors. A propensity score–matched analysis with 81,522 well-balanced pairs was also performed. ResultsMedian follow-up was 9.2 (range, 0-24) years. A total of 31,361/127,119 patients (24.7%) and 102,959/415,287 control subjects (24.8%) developed cancer during follow-up. The crude event rates were 2.75 and 2.83 per 100 person-years, respectively. The adjusted risk for cancer and cancer-specific mortality was lower in patients (adjusted hazard ratios 0.86 [95% CI, 0.85-0.88] and 0.64 [95% CI, 0.62-0.65], respectively). The propensity score–matched analysis showed similar results (hazard ratios, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.86-0.90] and 0.65 [95% CI, 0.63-0.68], respectively). The results were consistent in subgroups based on sex, age, and comorbidities. ConclusionsPatients who underwent cardiac surgery have lower risk for cancer and cancer-specific mortality than matched control subjects.

Potentially functional variants of ERRFI1 in hypoxia-related genes predict survival of non-small cell lung cancer patients.

Hypoxia is often involved in tumor microenvironment, and the hypoxia-induced signaling pathways play a key role in aggressive cancer phenotypes, including angiogenesis, immune evasion, and therapy resistance. However, it is unknown what role genetic variants in the hypoxia-related genes play in survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We evaluated the associations between 16,092 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 182 hypoxia-related genes and survival outcomes of NSCLC patients. Data from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial were used as the discovery dataset, and the Harvard Lung Cancer Susceptibility (HLCS) Study served as the replication dataset. We also performed additional linkage disequilibrium analysis and a stepwise multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis in the PLCO dataset. An independent SNP, ERRFI1 rs28624 A > C, was identified with an adjusted hazards ratio (HR) of 1.31 (95% CI = 1.14-1.51, p = 0.0001) for overall survival (OS). In further analyses, unfavorable genotypes AC and CC, compared with the AA genotype, were associated a worse OS (HR = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.03-1.39, p = 0.014) and disease-specific survival (HR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.04-1.42, p = 0.016). Further expression quantitative trait loci analysis indicated that ERRFI1 rs28624C genotypes were significantly associated with higher ERRFI1 mRNA expression levels in the whole blood. Additional analysis showed that high ERRFI1 mRNA expression levels were associated with a worse OS in patients with lung adenocarcinoma. Our findings suggest that genetic variants in the hypoxia-related gene ERRFI1 may modulate NSCLC survival, potentially through their effect on the gene expression.

Impact of Autonomic Nerve Invasion on Biochemical Recurrence for Intermediate Risk T3a Prostate Cancer With Negative Surgical Margins After Radical Prostatectomy

OBJECTIVETo assess the impact of autonomic nerve invasion (ANI) on subsequent biochemical recurrence (BCR) or early adjuvant therapy in the patients with extraprostatic spread (EPS) and negative margins after radical prostatectomy (RP). METHODSA total of 218 men with EPS (T3a) and negative margins were identified who underwent radical prostatectomy in Western Australia from January 2014 to December 2016. The t-test, Pearson chi-square test and Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test were used to evaluate differences between the ANI and non-ANI. Univariate and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were applied to assess the impact of these parameters on BCR or early treatment and a model calibration was performed by the internal validation method. RESULTSANI group had a significant higher incidence in BCR or early adjuvant therapy compared to non-ANI group (hazard ratio 1.94, 95% CI 1.12-3.37, p=0.02). Further analyses showed that ANI was significantly associated with BCR or early adjuvant therapy (hazard ratio 3.03, 95% CI 1.28-7.15, p=0.01) in intermediate risk cases (Gleason sum (GS)=7, i.e. International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) groups 2/3) but not in high risk group (GS≥8/ISUP 4/5). CONCLUSIONFor the patients with EPS (T3a) and negative margins, ANI significantly and independently increases the chances of BCR or early adjuvant therapy for intermediate risk disease (GS=7/ISUP 2/3) but it is not an independent predictor for high risk disease (GS≥8/ISUP 4/5). This provides a simple cost effective method to further stratify margin negative intermediate risk T3a prostate cancer.

Racial and ethnic disparities in mortality among World Trade Center Health Registry enrollees with post-9/11 cancer.

There are well-documented racial and ethnic disparities in mortality after cancer in the general population, but less is known about whether disparities also exist in disaster-exposed populations. We conducted a longitudinal cohort study of 4341 enrollees in the World Trade Center Health Registry (WTCHR) with a first-ever primary invasive cancer diagnosis after 9/11/2001 and followed through 2020. We examined associations of race and ethnicity with all-cause mortality risk and cause-specific mortality risk using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models and Fine and Gray's proportional sub-distribution hazards models, respectively. Models were adjusted for baseline characteristics and tumor characteristics. We also examined models further adjusted for socioeconomic status (SES), and we used inverse odds weighting to formally test for mediation by SES. Compared to non-Hispanic White enrollees with cancer, non-Hispanic Blacks had higher risks for all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.02-1.41) and non-cancer mortality (aHR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.09-2.01) in the full model. In the model without SES, Hispanic enrollees with cancer had higher risks for all-cause mortality (aHR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.09-1.60) and cancer mortality (aHR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.05-1.64) compared to non-Hispanic Whites; these associations became not statistically significant in the full model. In the inverse odds weighting analysis, SES explained 24% and 29% of the disparity in all-cause mortality risk observed in non-Hispanic Blacks and Hispanics, respectively, compared to non-Hispanic Whites. This study found that there are racial and ethnic disparities in mortality after cancer in the WTCHR. Additional studies are needed to further explore the factors mediating these disparities.

Loss to follow-up and its predictors among children living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy, southern Oromia, Ethiopia: a 5-year retrospective cohort study

BackgroundLoss to follow-up (LTFU) among paediatric patients living with HIV presents a significant challenge to the global scale-up of life-saving antiretroviral therapy (ART).ObjectivesThis study aims to estimate LTFU incidence and...

Prognostic significance of lymphovascular space invasion in early-stage low-grade endometrioid endometrial cancer: a fifteen-year retrospective Chinese cohort study

ObjectiveIn 2016, the ESMO-ESGO-ESTRO consensus included LVSI (Lymph-vascular space invasion, LVSI) status as a risk stratification factor for stage I endometrioid endometrial cancer (EEC) patients and as one of the indications for adjuvant therapy. Furthermore, LVSI is included in the new FIGO staging of endometrial cancer (EC) in 2023. However, the data contribution of the Chinese population in this regard is limited. The present study aimed to further comfirm the influence of LVSI on the prognosis of early-stage low-grade EEC in a fifteen-year retrospective Chinese cohort study.MethodsThis retrospective analysis cohort included 702 EEC patients who underwent TAH/BSO surgery, total abdominal hysterectomy, bilateral salpingooophorectomy in Peking University People’s Hospital from 2006 to 2020. Patients were stratified based on LVSI expression status as: LVSI negative group and LVSI positive group. Clinical outcome measures related to LVSI, assessed with a univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model.Results702 EEC patients with stage I and grade 1–2 were analyzed. 58 patients (8.3%) were LVSI-positive and 14 patients (2.0%) was relapse. Recurrence rates in LVSI-negative and LVSI-positive were 1.6% and 6.9%, respectively. 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate in LVSI-negative and LVSI-positive were 98.4% and 93.1%, respectively. These rates for 5-year overall (OS) survival in LVSI-negative were 98.9% while it was 94.8% in LVSI-positive. Multivariate analysis showed that LVSI is an independent risk factor for 5-year DFS (HR = 4.60, p = 0.010). LVSI has a similar result for 5-year OS(HR = 4.39, p = 0.028).ConclusionsLVSI is an independent predictor of relapse and poor prognosis in early-stage low-grade endometrioid endometrial cancer in the Chinese cohort.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio associated with 28-day all-cause mortality in septic patients with coronary artery disease: a retrospective analysis of MIMIC-IV database

BackgroundHigh Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Monocyte-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (MLR), Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR) were associated with worse prognosis of patients with sepsis. In-hospital mortality has been reported to be higher in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and sepsis than those with sepsis alone. However, the relationship between NLR, MLR, PLR and mortality in septic patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) remains unclear. The study aimed to explore the association between NLR, MLR, PLR and 28-day all-cause mortality in septic patients with CAD.MethodsWe performed an observational cohort study of septic patients with CAD from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database between 2008 and 2019. The patients were categorized by three group (Q1: low levels, Q2: medium levels, Q3: high levels) based on tertiles of NLR, MLR, and PLR. The associations between NLR, MLR, PLR and 28-day all-cause mortality were examined using the Cox proportional hazards model. Subsequently, we applied receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for predicting 28-day mortality in septic patients with CAD by combining NLR, MLR and PLR with the modified sequential organ failure assessment (mSOFA) scores.ResultsOverall 1,175 septic patients with CAD were included in the study. Observed all-cause mortality rates in 28 days were 27.1%. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis results showed that 28-day all-cause mortality of septic patients with CAD was significantly related to rising NLR levels (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01–1.02; P < 0.001), MLR levels (aHR: 1.29; 95%CI: 1.18–1.41; P < 0.001), and PLR levels (aHR: 1.0007; 95%CI: 1.0004–1.0011; P < 0.001). Meanwhile, the higher levels (Q3) group of NLR, MLR, and PLR also had a higher risk of 28-day all-cause mortality than the lower (Q1) group. The area under the ROC curve of NLR, MLR, PLR, and mSOFA score were 0.630 (95%CI 0.595–0.665), 0.611 (95%CI 0.576–0.646), 0.601 (95%CI 0.567–0.636) and 0.718 (95%CI 0.689–0.748), respectively. Combining NLR, MLR, and PLR with mSOFA scores may improve ability of predicting 28-day mortality (AUC: 0.737, 95%CI 0.709–0.766).ConclusionHigher levels of NLR, MLR and PLR were associated with 28-day all-cause mortality in septic patients with CAD. Further investigation will be needed to improve understanding of the pathophysiology of this relationship.

The Magnetic Resonance Imaging of the Psoas Muscle Area as the Prognostic Factor for Survival and Adverse Events in Spinal Metastasis Surgery.

Retrospective study. This study aimed to evaluate the ability of the mortality and adverse events prediction following metastatic spinal surgery of MRI-based cross-sectional psoas muscle area (PMA). A retrospective chart review, 120 patients who had undergone metastatic spinal surgery were included. The cross-sectional area identified the PMA under MR-imaging at the L3 or L4 pedicle level, which was classified into 3 tertiles. We used univariate and multivariate cox proportional hazard regression to assess whether PMA was associated with 30-day, 90-day, 1-year, and overall mortality. The small psoas tertile group populations had a higher mortality rate than the large psoas tertile group. PMA in T1 and T2 had a probability of a higher 90-d mortality rate than PMA in T3 (T1 VS T3: P = .29 and T2 VS T3: P = .12). The median survival time was 7months, 9months, and 10months in PMA T1, T2, and T3, respectively. PMA in tertile 2 had a significantly higher mortality rate of 38% compared to PMA in tertile 3 (HR 1.38, 95% CI .83-2.32, P = .02). Considering PMA as a continuous variable, every 1mm2 increment of PMA resulted in the increase survivorship of 1% (HR .99 with 95% CI .99-1). The MRI-based cross-sectional PMA tends to predict the 90-d mortality rate and overall mortality rate in spinal metastasis patients who underwent spinal surgery. The PMA should be considered one of the prognostic factors in the treatment of metastatic spinal patients.

Overnight Electroencephalogram to Forecast Epilepsy Development in Children with Autism Spectrum Disorders

ObjectiveTo establish the utility of long-term electroencephalogram (EEG) in forecasting epilepsy onset in children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD). Study designA single-institution, retrospective analysis of children with ASD, examining long-term overnight EEG recordings collected over a period of 15 years, was conducted. Clinical EEG findings, patient demographics, medical histories, and additional Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule (ADOS) data were examined. Predictors for the timing of epilepsy onset were evaluated using survival analysis and Cox regression. ResultsAmong 151 patients, 17.2% (n=26) developed unprovoked seizures (Sz group), while 82.8% (n=125) did not (non-Sz group). The Sz group displayed a higher percentage of interictal epileptiform discharges (IEDs) in their initial EEGs compared with the non-Sz group (46.2% vs. 20.0%, p=0.01). The Sz group also exhibited a greater frequency of slowing (42.3% vs. 13.6%, p < 0.01). The presence of IEDs or slowing predicted an earlier seizure onset, based on survival analysis. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression revealed that the presence of any IEDs (HR 3.83, 95% CI 1.38-10.65, p=0.01) or any slowing (HR 2.78, 95% CI 1.02-7.58, p=0.046 significantly increased the risk of developing unprovoked seizures. ConclusionLong-term EEGs are valuable for predicting future epilepsy in children with ASD. These findings can guide clinicians in early education and potential interventions for epilepsy prevention.

Time to recovery of asphyxiated neonates and its’ predictors among newborns admitted to neonatal intensive care unit at Debre Berhan Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Ethiopia

BackgroundNeonatal asphyxia is a leading cause of early neonatal mortality, accounting for approximately 900,000 deaths each year. Assessing survival rates, recovery time and predictors of mortality among asphyxiated neonates can help policymakers design, implement, and evaluate programs to achieve the sustainable development goal of reducing neonatal mortality to 12/1,000 live births by 2030. The current study sought to ascertain the survival status, recovery time, and predictors of neonatal asphyxia.MethodsA retrospective follow-up study conducted in Debre Berhan Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, which carried out from May 20th to June 20th, 2023 using records of asphyxiated babies in NICUs from January 1st, 2020 to December 31st, 2022, involving a sample size of 330. Pre-structured questionnaires created in Google Form were used to collect data, and STATA Version 14.0 was utilized for data entry and analysis, respectively. The Kaplan–Meier survival curve, log rank test, and median time were calculated. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was fitted in order to determine the predictors of time to recovery. Variables were statistically significant if their p-value was less than 0.05.ResultsThree hundred thirty admitted asphyxiated neonates were followed a total of 2706 neonate -days with a minimum of 1 day to 18 days. The overall incidence density rate of survival was 9.9 per 100 neonates’ days of observation (95% CI: 8.85–11.24) with a median recovery time of 9 days (95% CI: 0.82–0.93). Prolonged labor (Adjusted hazard ratio (AHR: 0.42,95%CI:0.21–0.81), normal birth weight (AHR:2.21,95% CI: 1.30–3.70),non-altered consciousness (AHR:2.52,CI:1.50–4.24),non-depressed moro reflex of the newborn (AHR:2.40,95%CI: 1.03–5.61), stage I HIE (AHR: 5.11,95% CI: 1.98–13.19),and direct oxygen administration via the nose (AHR: 4.18,95% CI: 2.21–7.89) were found to be independent predictors of time to recovery of asphyxiated neonates..ConclusionIn the current findings, the recovery time was prolonged compared to other findings. This implies early diagnosis, strict monitoring and provision of appropriate measures timely is necessary before the babies complicated into the highest stage of hypoxic –ischemic encephalopathy(HIE) and managing complications are the recommended to hasten recovery time and increase the survival of neonates.

Early Prostate-Specific Antigen Response by 6 Months Is Predictive of Treatment Effect in Metastatic Hormone Sensitive Prostate Cancer: An Exploratory Analysis of the TITAN Trial.

Early PSA response has been found to be prognostic of outcomes in metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer. We performed a secondary analysis of the TITAN trial to determine if early PSA response was predictive of treatment efficacy in metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer patients. Early PSA response was defined as achieving a PSA level of ≤ 0.2 ng/mL by 6 months of random assignment. A Cox proportional hazard model was constructed in a landmark population with an interaction term between the treatment and early PSA response to determine differential treatment effect on overall survival (OS). We applied multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model with time to early PSA response fitted with restricted cubic spline to determine the association of time to early PSA response with OS. Approximately 24% (124/524) of patients in the androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) alone group and 61% (321/524) in the apalutamide group had PSA response ≤ 0.2 ng/mL by 6 months. Longer time to early PSA response was associated with significantly superior OS in the apalutamide group. There was a significant difference in treatment effect from apalutamide on OS (P = .03 for interaction) among 6-month PSA responders (HR: 0.66; 95% CI: 0.44-1.00) vs nonresponders (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 0.89-1.46). This difference in treatment effect was not statistically significant at 3 months (P = .17 for interaction). Among 6-month PSA responders, 3-year confounder-adjusted OS was 84% (80%-88%) for the apalutamide group and 74% (66%-82%) for the ADT alone group. Among nonresponders, 3-year adjusted OS for the 2 treatment arms were 58% (52%-65%) and 56% (51%-60%), respectively. Early PSA response by 6 months was a predictor of treatment efficacy from ADT plus apalutamide on OS. Longer time to early PSA response was associated with superior OS in the apalutamide arm.

Elevated serum uric acid is a predictor of pulmonary artery involvement and subsequent prognosis in patients with Takayasu's arteritis.

The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive value of uric acid (UA) in prognosis of pulmonary artery involvement (PAI) in patients with Takayasu's arteritis (TAK). A total of 166 TAK patients were enrolled in the study, including 76 with PAI and 90 without. Outcomes of 144 TAK patients were followed up and recorded. The possible associations between serum UA levels and incidence of PAI in TAK and PAI-related prognosis of TAK patients were examined using different statistical models. The serum UA levels were significantly higher in TAK patient with PAI than TAK patients without PAI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that serum UA level ≥284.5 umol/L was associated with an increasing incidence of PAI in TAK (OR: 2.108, 95% CI: 1.063 to 4.180; p=0.033). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that TAK patients with serum UA level ≥328.1 umol/L had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of PAI-related adverse events compared to TAK patients with serum UA level <328.1 umol/L (p=0.008). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis revealed that serum UA level ≥328.1 umol/L (HR: 2.595, 95% CI: 1.198 to 5.622; p=0.016) was a PAI-related prognostic risk factor for TAK. Elevation of serum UA level was associated with an increasing risk of PAI and PAI-related adverse event in patients with TAK, indicating its potential as a predictor for identification of PAI onset and worsening in TAK patients.

Impact of Donor Warm Ischemia Time on Graft Survival for Donation After Circulatory Death Kidney Transplantation.

The utilization of kidneys donated after circulatory death (DCD) is an important strategy to address the ongoing shortage of organs suitable for transplantation in the United States. However, the nonuse rate of DCD kidneys remains high compared with kidneys donated after brain death (DBD) because of concerns regarding the injury incurred during donor warm ischemia time (DWIT). Therefore, we investigated the impact of DWIT on the risk of death-censored graft failure after DCD kidney transplantation (KT). Retrospective analysis was conducted on DCD KTs using the Standard Transplant Analysis and Research data set. The association of DWIT with death-censored graft failure was evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression, with reference to DCD KTs with Kidney Donor Risk Index (KDRI) of ≤0.78 and the median DWIT of 26 min. A total of 28 032 DCD kidney-alone transplants between January 2010 and December 2021 were studied. When stratified by KDRI, increasing DWIT was associated with a clinically significant increased risk for death-censored graft failure only in the subset of kidneys with KDRI >1.14 but not in those with KDRI >0.78-≤0.94 and >0.94-≤1.14, compared with the reference group. We suggest that clinicians should not decline kidneys on the basis of DWIT in favor of potential offers of DBD or other DCD kidneys with shorter DWIT, provided that their KDRI scores are within an acceptable limit. Our study highlights opportunities for more efficient usage of DCD kidneys and improving the shortage of transplantable organs.

Outcomes in older adults with metastatic esophageal and gastric carcinoma treated with palliative chemotherapy.

The incidence of esophageal and gastric carcinoma (GEC) in elderly patients is increasing, yet patients ≥75 years have historically been underrepresented in clinical trials. We sought to investigate palliative chemotherapy administration patterns and survival outcomes in older adults. A retrospective analysis identified patients aged 65-74 (young-old) and ≥75 years (older-old) diagnosed with advanced GEC. Patient and tumor characteristics were recorded, with descriptive analysis, time-to-event data analysis using Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis performed. One hundred and ninety-eight "young-old" and 109 'older-old' patients were identified. Patient characteristics were similar between groups except for Charlson Co-morbidity Index (CCI), with lower co-morbidities in the "young-old" compared to "older-old" cohort (P < .001; CCI = 0 in 103 (52%) "young-old" vs 31 (28%) "older-old"). The primary diagnosis in both groups was adenocarcinoma. 119 (60%) "young-old" and 25 (23%) "older-old" patients received chemotherapy (P < .001). Performance status was the primary explanation for chemotherapy non-receipt in both cohorts; age was the explanation in 21 (25%) "older-old" patients and none in the "young-old" patients. PFS for first-line systemic therapy in "young-old" patients was 6.4 (95% CI 5.9-7.6) versus 7.5 months (95% CI 5.1-11.3) in "older-old" patients (P = .69) whilst respective OS was 12.3 (95% CI 10.1-15.5) and 10.4 months (95% CI 9.0-14.6) (P = .0816). Toxicity prompted chemotherapy cessation in 17 (15%) "young-old" and 3 (13%) "older-old" patients (P = .97). Multivariate analysis identified CCI and ECOG performance status as predictive for PFS and OS, respectively. No causative relationship was identified with other variables. Our study of real-world older-adults show that significant number of "older-old" patients with GEC do not receive chemotherapy. Among "older-old" adults who do receive systemic therapy, outcomes are comparable; this underscores the importance of geriatric assessment-guided care and suggests that age alone should not be a barrier to receipt of chemotherapy in patients with advanced GEC.

Clinical Outcomes and Predictors of Valved Homograft Conduits Used for Right Ventricular Outflow Tract Reconstruction.

We conducted a retrospective review of patients who underwent valved homograft conduits (VHC) for right ventricular outflow tract (RVOT) reconstruction at our center. Long-term outcomes were analyzed, and risk factors affecting the long-term durability of VHC were explored. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to evaluate survival, freedom from VHC reintervention, and freedom from VHC dysfunction. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze the risk factors for late VHC dysfunction. A total of 290 patients who underwent VHC for RVOT reconstruction in our center were enrolled. Seven patients occurred early death, all of which were in the non-Ross group. Two hundred and sixty-five patients were followed up for 85 (0.3-176.0) months. Six patients occurred late death, all in the non-Ross group. Six patients underwent VHC reintervention. During the follow-up period, 52 patients developed VHC dysfunction. Freedom from VHC dysfunction was higher in the Ross group than in the non-Ross group in the whole cohort. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age < 6 years and non-Ross operation were independent risk factors for VHC dysfunction. Freedom from VHC dysfunction was higher in the Ross group than in the non-Ross group in patients younger than 6 years of age at surgery. However, there was no significant difference in freedom from VHC dysfunction between the two groups in patients older than 6 years. Long-term outcomes of VHC for RVOT reconstruction are satisfactory. Age < 6 years and non-Ross operation are independent risk factors for VHC dysfunction. The long-term survival rate and durability of VHC in Ross group were better than those in non-Ross group. The advantage of long-term durability of VHC in the Ross group was mainly reflected in patients aged < 6 years at operation.

HIV Incidence and Transactional Sex Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in Ningbo, China: Prospective Cohort Study Using a WeChat-Based Platform.

Sexual transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM) has become the major HIV transmission route. However, limited research has been conducted to investigate the association between transactional sex (TS) and HIV incidence in China. This study aims to investigate HIV incidence and distinguish sociodemographic and sexual behavioral risk factors associated with HIV incidence among MSM who engage in TS (MSM-TS) in China. We conducted a prospective cohort study using a WeChat-based platform to evaluate HIV incidence among Chinese MSM, including MSM-TS in Ningbo, recruited from July 2019 until June 2022. At each visit, participants completed a questionnaire and scheduled an appointment for HIV counseling and testing on the WeChat-based platform before undergoing offline HIV tests. HIV incidence density was calculated as the number of HIV seroconversions divided by person-years (PYs) of follow-up, and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was conducted to identify factors associated with HIV incidence. A total of 932 participants contributed 630.9 PYs of follow-up, and 25 HIV seroconversions were observed during the study period, resulting in an estimated HIV incidence of 4.0 (95% CI 2.7-5.8) per 100 PYs. The HIV incidence among MSM-TS was 18.4 (95% CI 8.7-34.7) per 100 PYs, which was significantly higher than the incidence of 3.2 (95% CI 2.1-5.0) per 100 PYs among MSM who do not engage in TS. After adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, factors associated with HIV acquisition were MSM-TS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 3.93, 95% CI 1.29-11.93), having unprotected sex with men (aHR 10.35, 95% CI 2.25-47.69), and having multiple male sex partners (aHR 3.43, 95% CI 1.22-9.64) in the past 6 months. This study found a high incidence of HIV among MSM-TS in Ningbo, China. The risk factors associated with HIV incidence include TS, having unprotected sex with men, and having multiple male sex partners. These findings emphasize the need for developing targeted interventions and providing comprehensive medical care, HIV testing, and preexposure prophylaxis for MSM, particularly those who engage in TS.

Pancreatic cancer risk in diabetic patients using the Japanese Regional Insurance Claims

Pancreatic cancer presents a critical health issue characterized by low survival rates. Identifying risk factors in specific populations, such as those with diabetes, is crucial for early detection and improved outcomes. This study aimed to identify risk factors for pancreatic cancer in diabetic patients using a longitudinal cohort from the Shizuoka Kokuho database, spanning April 2012 to September 2021. Diabetic patients were identified and monitored for the onset of pancreatic cancer. Factors analyzed included age, sex, the Elixhauser comorbidity index, and specific comorbidities. Statistical analyses involved univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression. The study identified 212,775 as diabetic patients and 1755 developed pancreatic cancer during the period. The annual incidence rate of pancreatic cancer in this group was 166.7 cases per 100,000 person-years. The study identified older age, male sex, a history of liver disease, chronic pancreatitis, and pancreatic cystic lesions as significant risk factors for pancreatic cancer in diabetic patients. The study also highlighted the absence of a significant association between diabetes type or diabetic complications and the onset of pancreatic cancer. These findings may aid in the early diagnosis of pancreatic cancer in diabetic patients and may inform revisions in screening practices in diabetic patients.

Temperature trajectories and mortality in hypothermic sepsis patients

ObjectivesHypothermia is associated with poor outcomes in sepsis patients, and hypothermic sepsis patients exhibit temperature alterations during initial treatment. The objective of this study was to classify hypothermic sepsis patients based on body temperature trajectories and investigate the associations of these patients with 28-day mortality. MethodsThis was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from adult sepsis or septic shock patients who visited three emergency departments between August 2014 and December 2019. Hypothermic sepsis was defined as an initial body temperature <36 °C. delta temperature was calculated by subtracting the 0 h body temperature from the 6 h body temperature. We divided the patients into three groups according to delta temperature: Group A (delta temperature ≤ 0), Group B (0 < delta temperature ≤ 1) and Group C (delta temperature > 1). The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was generated. ResultsAmong 7344 patients with sepsis or septic shock, 325 hypothermic patients were included in the analysis, and the overall mortality rate was 36%. While initial body temperature was not different between survivors and nonsurvivors, survivors exhibited a higher body temperature at 6 h. The 28-day mortality rates for Groups A, B and C were 53.1%, 36.0%, and 30.0%, respectively, and Group A had significantly higher mortality than Group C did (p < 0.05). Group C demonstrated a 44.2% decrease in 28-day mortality compared to Group A (adjusted hazard ratio of 0.558; 95% confidence interval of 0.330–0.941). ConclusionsIn hypothermic sepsis patients, an increase of 1 °C or more in body temperature after the initial 6 h is associated with a reduced risk of 28-day mortality.

Nonlinear associations of systemic immune-inflammation index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults with rheumatoid arthritis

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic systemic inflammatory autoimmune disease. However, the relationship between the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and the prognosis of RA patients remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between inflammatory biomarker SII and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in RA patients. A retrospective analysis was conducted using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database spanning from 1999 to March 2020. We assessed the association between the SII and all-cause as well as cardiovascular mortality in RA patients employing multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and restricted cubic spline plots. Receiver operating characteristic curves were employed to evaluate the prognostic capacity of SII in predicting outcomes in both the RA patients and the general population, alongside its predictive performance compared to other markers. This study comprised 2247 RA patients and a control cohort of 29,177 individuals from the general population. Over a 20-year follow-up period, 738 all-cause deaths and 215 deaths attributable to cardiovascular disease were documented in RA patients. We observed a nonlinear positive correlation between the SII and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in RA patients. Of significance, at an SII level of 529.7, the hazard ratio reached 1, signifying a transition from low to high mortality risk. Moreover, subgroup analysis did not reveal any potential interactions. Our study findings indicate a nonlinear positive correlation between the inflammatory biomarker SII and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with RA.