Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Model Research Articles

Association of Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index with short-term mortality in patients with severe acute kidney injury: a retrospective cohort study

Objectives Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) is a new and simple index recently introduced to assess nutritional status, and its predictive value for clinical outcomes has been demonstrated in patients with chronic kidney disease. However, the association between the GNRI and prognosis has not been evaluated so far in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI), especially in those receiving continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). Methods A total of 1096 patients with severe AKI initiating CRRT were identified for inclusion in this retrospective observational study. Patients were divided into three groups according to GNRI tertiles, with tertile 1 as the reference. The outcomes of interest were the 28- and 90-days of all-cause mortality. The associations between GNRI and clinical outcomes were estimated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis. Results The overall mortality rates at 28- and 90-days were 61.6% (675/1096) and 71.5% (784/1096), respectively. After adjusting for multiple confounding factors, GNRI was identified as an independent prognostic factor for 28-days all-cause mortality (HR, 0.582; 95% CI, 0.467–0.727; p < .001 for tertile 3 vs. tertile 1) as well as 90-days all-cause mortality (HR, 0.540; 95% CI, 0.440–0.661; p < .001 for tertile 3 vs. tertile 1). The observed inverse associations were robust across subgroup analysis, and were more pronounced in elderly patients over 65 years of age. Finally, incorporating GNRI in a model with established risk factors might significantly improve its predictive power for the short-term death. Conclusions GNRI is considered to be a useful prognostic factor in patients with severe AKI initiating CRRT, especially in elderly patients.

Endoscopic ultrasound-guided hepaticogastrostomy vs. antegrade metal stent placement keeping an access route in patients with malignant biliary obstruction.

Few studies have compared endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided hepaticogastrostomy (HGS) with EUS-guided antegrade metal stent placement (AGMS). The purpose of this study was to compare times to recurrent biliary obstruction (TRBO) in patients who underwent HGS using metal stents (MS) and those who underwent AGMS keeping access routes with plastic stents (AGMS-AR). This study retrospectively evaluated consecutive patients who underwent HGS or AGMS between September 2016 and December 2022. TRBO, overall survival (OS), and adverse event (AE) rates were compared in the two groups. The risk factors for RBO were determined using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model. This study included 32 patients in the HGS group and 30 in the AGMS-AR group. Technical success rate was significantly higher in the HGS than in the AGMS-AR group (100 vs. 80%; P = 0.009). The technical success rate without tract dilation was significantly higher in the AGMS-AR than in the HGS group (83 vs. 38%; P < 0.001). RBO rates were significantly higher in the HGS than in the AGMS-AR group (53 vs. 17%; P = 0.024), whereas AE rates did not differ significantly. TRBO differed significantly in the HGS and AGMS-AR groups (159days vs. not reached, P = 0.011), whereas OS did not differ significantly. Multivariable analysis revealed that HGS was an independent risk factor for RBO (hazard ratio, 6.48, P = 0.014). TRBO was significantly longer in patients who underwent AGMS with PS than HGS. AGMS with PS may be effective after the failure of ERCP in patients with malignant biliary obstruction.

Associations of different combinations of moderate-vigorous physical activity and muscle-strengthening activity with mortality among US lung cancer survivors

BackgroundTo investigate the associations of different combinations of moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) and muscle strengthening activity (MSA) with all-cause and cancer mortality among lung cancer survivors.MethodsThis nationwide prospective cohort study used data from the US National Health Interview Survey 2009–2018. A total of 785 lung cancer survivors were included in the study. Participants were linked to the National Death Index through December 31, 2019. Self-reported MVPA and MSA frequency data were used to obtain 4 mutually exclusive exposure categories. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were applied to explore the association between exposure categories and outcomes.ResultsThe mean (standard deviation [SD]) age of the study population was 69.1 (11.3) years and 429 (54.6%) were female. Among them, 641 (81.7%) were White and 102 (13.0%) were Black. The median follow-up time was 3 years (2526 person-years), and 349 (44.5%) all-cause deaths and 232 (29.6%) cancer deaths occurred. Compared to the MVPA < 60 min/week and MSA < 2 sessions/week group, individuals in the MVPA ≥ 60 min/week and MSA < 2 sessions/week group showed hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.50 (95% CI, 0.36–0.69) for all-cause mortality and 0.37 (95% CI, 0.20–0.67) for cancer mortality after the adjustment of covariates. Those in the MVPA ≥ 60 min/week and MSA ≥ 2 sessions/week group exhibited HRs of 0.52 (95% CI, 0.35–0.77) for all-cause mortality and 0.27 (95% CI, 0.12–0.62) for cancer mortality when compared to the MVPA < 60 min/week and MSA < 2 sessions/week group. We also identified distinct non-linear relationships between MVPA and outcomes risk among two MSA frequency subgroups.ConclusionThis cohort study demonstrated that higher levels of MVPA and MSA combined might be associated with optimal reductions of mortality risk in lung cancer survivors.

A comparison of natalizumab and ocrelizumab on disease progression in multiple sclerosis.

No direct comparisons of the effect of natalizumab and ocrelizumab on progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) and relapse-associated worsening (RAW) events are currently available. We aimed to compare the risk of achieving first 6 months confirmed PIRA and RAW events and irreversible Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 4.0 and 6.0 in a cohort of naïve patients treated with natalizumab or ocrelizumab from the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Register. Patients with a first visit within 1 year from onset, treated with natalizumab or ocrelizumab, and ≥3 visits were extracted. Pairwise propensity score-matched analyses were performed. Risk of reaching the first PIRA, RAW, and EDSS 4.0 and 6.0 events were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to show cumulative probabilities of reaching outcomes. In total, 770 subjects were included (natalizumab = 568; ocrelizumab = 212) and the propensity score-matching retrieved 195 pairs. No RAW events were found in natalizumab group and only 1 was reported in ocrelizumab group. A first PIRA event was reached by 23 natalizumab and 25 ocrelizumab exposed patients; 7 natalizumab- and 10 ocrelizumab-treated patients obtained an irreversible EDSS 4.0, while 13 natalizumab- and 15 ocrelizumab-treated patients reached an irreversible EDSS 6.0. No differences between the two groups were found in the risk (HR, 95%CI) of reaching a first PIRA (1.04, 0.59-1.84; p = 0.88) event, an irreversible EDSS 4.0 (1.23, 0.57-2.66; p = 0.60) and 6.0 (0.93, 0.32-2.68; p = 0.89). Both medications strongly suppress RAW events and, in the short term, the risk of achieving PIRA events, EDSS 4.0 and 6.0 milestones is not significantly different.

Endothelial biomarkers (Von willebrand factor, BDCA3, urokinase) as predictors of mortality in COVID-19 patients: cohort study

BackgroundSARS-CoV-2 is a systemic disease that affects endothelial function and leads to coagulation disorders, increasing the risk of mortality. Blood levels of endothelial biomarkers such as Von Willebrand Factor (VWF), Thrombomodulin or Blood Dendritic Cell Antigen-3 (BDCA3), and uUokinase (uPA) increase in patients with severe disease and can be prognostic indicators for mortality. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine the effect of VWF, BDCA3, and uPA levels on mortality.MethodsFrom May 2020 to January 2021, we studied a prospective cohort of hospitalized adult patients with polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-confirmed COVID-19 with a SaO2 ≤ 93% and a PaO2/FiO2 ratio < 300. In-hospital survival was evaluated from admission to death or to a maximum of 60 days of follow-up with Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazard models as independent predictor measures of endothelial dysfunction.ResultsWe recruited a total of 165 subjects (73% men) with a median age of 57.3 ± 12.9 years. The most common comorbidities were obesity (39.7%), hypertension (35.4%) and diabetes (30.3%). Endothelial biomarkers were increased in non-survivors compared to survivors. According to the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model, those with an elevated VWF concentration ≥ 4870 pg/ml had a hazard ratio (HR) of 4.06 (95% CI: 1.32–12.5) compared to those with a lower VWF concentration adjusted for age, cerebrovascular events, enoxaparin dose, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level, and bilirubin level. uPA and BDCA3 also increased mortality in patients with levels ≥ 460 pg/ml and ≥ 3600 pg/ml, respectively.ConclusionThe risk of mortality in those with elevated levels of endothelial biomarkers was observable in this study.

Nonlinear association between PD-L1 expression levels and the risk of postoperative recurrence in non-small cell lung cancer

Accurate prediction of postoperative recurrence is important for optimizing the treatment strategies for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Previous studies identified the PD-L1 expression in NSCLC as a risk factor for postoperative recurrence. This study aimed to examine the contribution of PD-L1 expression to predicting postoperative recurrence using machine learning. The clinical data of 647 patients with NSCLC who underwent surgical resection were collected and stratified into training (80%), validation (10%), and testing (10%) datasets. Machine learning models were trained on the training data using clinical parameters including PD-L1 expression. The top-performing model was assessed on the test data using the SHAP analysis and partial dependence plots to quantify the contribution of the PD-L1 expression. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to validate the association between PD-L1 expression and postoperative recurrence. The random forest model demonstrated the highest predictive performance with the SHAP analysis, highlighting PD-L1 expression as an important feature, and the multivariate Cox analysis indicated a significant increase in the risk of postoperative recurrence with each increment in PD-L1 expression. These findings suggest that variations in PD-L1 expression may provide valuable information for clinical decision-making regarding lung cancer treatment strategies.

A case-cohort study of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substance concentrations and incident prostate cancer in the Cancer Prevention Study-II LifeLink Cohort study

IntroductionPer- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are environmentally persistent, potentially carcinogenic chemicals. Previous studies investigating PFAS exposure and prostate cancer yielded mixed findings. We aimed to investigate associations between PFAS exposure and incident prostate cancer in a large cohort of U.S. men, overall and by selected demographic, lifestyle, and medical-related characteristics. MethodsWe conducted a case-cohort study among Cancer Prevention Study-II LifeLink Cohort participants who, at baseline (1998–2001), had serum specimens collected and no prior cancer diagnosis. The study included all men diagnosed with prostate cancer (n=1610) during follow-up (baseline–June 30, 2015) and a random sub-cohort of 500 men. PFAS concentrations [perfluorohexane sulfonic acid (PFHxS), perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS), perfluorononanoic acid (PFNA), and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA)] were measured in stored serum specimens. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to estimate associations between PFAS concentrations and prostate cancer, overall and by selected characteristics (grade, stage, family history, age, education, smoking status, and alcohol consumption). ResultsProstate cancer hazards were slightly higher among men with concentrations in the highest (Q4) vs lowest quartile (Q1) for PFHxS [hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI): 1.18 (0.88–1.59)] and PFOS [HR (95% CI): 1.18 (0.89–1.58)], but not for PFNA or PFOA. However, we observed heterogeneous associations by age, family history of prostate cancer (PFHxS), alcohol consumption (PFHxS), and education (PFNA). For example, no meaningful associations were observed among men aged <70 years at serum collection, but among men aged ≥70 years, HRs (95% CIs) comparing Q4 to Q1 were PFHxS 1.54 (1.02–2.31) and PFOS 1.62 (1.08–2.44). No meaningful heterogeneity in associations were observed by tumor grade or stage. ConclusionsOur findings do not clearly support an association between the PFAS considered and prostate cancer. However, positive associations observed in some subgroups, and consistently positive associations observed for PFHxS warrant further investigation.

Impact of frozen section on long-term outcomes in robot-assisted laparoscopic prostatectomy.

To compare 1-year functional and 5-year oncological outcomes of men undergoing robot-assisted laparoscopic prostatectomy (RALP) with neurovascular structure-adjacent frozen-section examination (NeuroSAFE) with those in men undergoing RALP without NeuroSAFE (standard of care [SOC]). Men undergoing RALP in our centre between 1 January 2009 and 30 June 2018 were enrolled from a prospectively maintained database. Patients were excluded if they had undergone preoperative therapy or postoperative adjuvant therapy or were enrolled in clinical trials. Patients were grouped based on use of NeuroSAFE. Follow-up was censored at 5 years. The primary outcome was difference in time to biochemical recurrence (BCR) on multivariable analysis, defined as prostate-specific antigen (PSA) >0.2 ng/L on two consecutive measurements. Secondary outcomes were difference in 1-year erectile dysfunction and incontinence. In the enrolment period, 1199 consecutive men underwent RALP, of whom 1140 were eligible, including 317 with NeuroSAFE and 823 with SOC. The median PSA follow-up was 60 months in both groups. Rates of 5-year BCR were similar on Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis (11% vs 11%; P = 0.9), as was time to BCR on multivariable Cox proportional hazards modelling (hazard ratio 1.2; P = 0.6). Compared with the SOC group at 1 year, the NeuroSAFE group had similar unadjusted rates of incontinence (5.1% vs 7.7%) and lower unadjusted impotence (57% vs 80%). On multivariable analysis, NeuroSAFE patients had equivalent risk of incontinence (odds ratio [OR] 0.59, 95% CI 0.17-1.6; P = 0.4) but significantly reduced risk of erectile dysfunction (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.22-0.60; P < 0.001). For men undergoing RALP, compared with SOC, NeuroSAFE patients had equivalent time to BCR and risk of 1-year incontinence, and significantly lower risk of 1-year erectile dysfunction.

Association of the systemic immune-inflammation index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with rheumatoid arthritis

The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), a metric reflecting systemic inflammatory response and immune activation, remains underexplored concerning its correlation with mortality among rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. This study aimed to delineate the association between SII and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality within the cohort of American adults diagnosed with RA, utilizing data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning 1999 to 2018. The investigation extracted data from NHANES cycles between 1999 and 2018, identifying RA patients through questionnaire responses. The SII was computed based on complete blood counts, employing the formula: (platelets × neutrophils) / lymphocytes. The optimal SII cutoff value for significant survival outcomes was determined using maximally selected rank statistics. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models assessed the relationship between SII levels and mortality (all-cause and cardiovascular) among RA patients, with subgroup analyses examining potential modifications by clinical confounders. Additionally, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were conducted to explore the linearity of the SII-mortality association. The study encompassed 2070 American adults with RA, among whom 287 exhibited a higher SII (≥ 919.75) and 1783 a lower SII (< 919.75). Over a median follow-up duration of 108 months, 602 participants died. After adjustments for demographic, socioeconomic, and lifestyle variables, a higher SII was associated with a 1.48-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.21–1.81, P < 0.001) and a 1.51-fold increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR = 1.51, 95% CI 1.04–2.18, P = 0.030) compared to a lower SII. Kaplan–Meier analyses corroborated significantly reduced survival rates within the higher SII cohort for both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (Pall-cause mortality < 0.0001 and Pcardiovascular mortality = 0.0004). RCS analyses confirmed a positive nonlinear relationship between SII and mortality rates. In conclusion, the SII offers a straightforward indicator of the equilibrium between detrimental innate inflammation and beneficial adaptive immunity. Our investigation, utilizing a comprehensive and nationally representative sample, reveals that elevated SII levels independently forecast a greater risk of mortality from all causes, as well as cardiovascular-specific mortality, in individuals suffering from RA. These insights underscore the clinical relevance of the SII as an affordable and readily accessible biomarker. Its incorporation into regular clinical practice could significantly enhance the precision of risk assessment and forecasting for patients with RA, facilitating more tailored and effective management strategies. Specifically, patients with high SII levels could be identified for more stringent cardiovascular risk management, including closer monitoring, lifestyle interventions, and aggressive pharmacological treatments to mitigate their increased risk of mortality.

The role of sarcopenic obesity for the prediction of prognosis of patients with gastrointestinal cancer.

Sarcopenic obesity (SO) in patients with gastrointestinal cancer is associated with a poor prognosis. We aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of SO in patients with gastrointestinal cancer, as well as the diagnostic cut-off value of SO in patients with gastrointestinal cancer among Chinese population. We conducted a consecutive cohort study. Between January 2017 and January 2019, 289 patients diagnosed with gastrointestinal cancer were included in our study. Skeletal muscle area, total fat area, and subcutaneous fat area were measured by CT scan. All patients were followed up for 5 years. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were adopted to determine the cut-off values of visceral fat obesity for the prediction of sarcopenia. Based on the cut-off values, patients with sarcopenia combined with visceral fat obesity were divided into the SO group, and the others were divided into the non-sarcopenic obesity (NSO) group. Kaplan-Meier curves and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were employed to explore the associations of body composition profiles with 5-year overall survival and disease-specific survival. Obtained from Youden's Index for ROC for the prediction of 5-year survival, skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) ≤40.02 cm2/m2 with VFA ≥ 126.30 cm2 in men and SMI ≤32.05 cm2/m2 with VFA ≥72.42 cm2 in women indicate a risk of poor prognosis in patients diagnosed with gastrointestinal cancer. Patients with SO had poorer 5-year overall survival (OS) than patients with NSO (6.74% vs. 82.84%, p < 0.001), and poorer 5-year DFS (6.74% vs. 81.82%, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, we found that the long-term mortality risk was approximately 13-fold higher among patients in the SO group compared to those with no conditions. Preoperative assessment of SO is useful not only for monitoring nutritional status but also for predicting 5-year OS in gastrointestinal cancer patients.

Social factors associated with the risk of glaucoma suspect conversion to glaucoma: analysis of the nationwide All of Us Program

To examine social factors associated with the 5-year risk of glaucoma suspects (GS) converting to open-angle glaucoma (OAG). Retrospective cohort analysis. We screened for participants diagnosed with GS in the All of Us database. Cases that converted to OAG within 5 years of GS diagnosis (the "conversion group") were compared with control cases that did not convert. Demographic, socioeconomic and healthcare utilization data of the cases were extracted and compared between the conversion group and the control group. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to identify potential factors associated with the risk of conversion. Hazard ratios (HRs) of significant factors associated with the risk of conversion. A total of 5274 GS participants were identified, and 786 (15%) cases converted to OAG within 5-year follow-up. The two groups showed significant differences in age, race, gender, employment status, income/education level, history of intra-ocular surgery, and healthcare utilization patterns. In the multivariable model, African American/Black race (HR [95% confidence interval] =1.70 [1.44-2.00]), older age at GS diagnosis (1.17 [1.09-1.25]), male gender (1.30 [1.13-1.50], no history of recreational drug use (1.23 [1.07-1.42]), history of intra-ocular surgery (1.60 [1.02-1.53]) and having more reasons for delayed healthcare access (2.27 [1.23-4.18]) were associated with a greater hazard of conversion, while being employed (0.71 [0.60-0.86]) was associated with a smaller hazard of conversion (P<0.05 for all). Several social factors were associated with the conversion from GS to OAG, which may help to identify patients at higher risk of disease progression. Future studies are needed to examine the basis for these findings and the potential interventions that could address them.

Clinical outcome in hypertensive patients treated with amlodipine plus bisoprolol or plus valsartan

Clinical outcome in hypertensive patients treated with amlodipine plus bisoprolol or plus valsartan

Association of MAFLD and MASLD with all-cause and cause-specific dementia: a prospective cohort study

BackgroundLiver disease and dementia are both highly prevalent and share common pathological mechanisms. We aimed to investigate the associations between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and the risk of all-cause and cause-specific dementia.MethodsWe conducted a prospective study with 403,506 participants from the UK Biobank. Outcomes included all-cause dementia, Alzheimer’s disease, and vascular dementia. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used for analyses.Results155,068 (38.4%) participants had MAFLD, and 111,938 (27.7%) had MASLD at baseline. During a median follow-up of 13.7 years, 5,732 participants developed dementia (2,355 Alzheimer’s disease and 1,274 vascular dementia). MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of vascular dementia (HR 1.32 [95% CI 1.18–1.48]) but a reduced risk of Alzheimer’s disease (0.92 [0.84–1.0]). Differing risks emerged among MAFLD subtypes, with the diabetes subtype increasing risk of all-cause dementia (1.8 [1.65–1.96]), vascular dementia (2.95 [2.53–3.45]) and Alzheimer’s disease (1.46 [1.26–1.69]), the lean metabolic disorder subtype only increasing vascular dementia risk (2.01 [1.25–3.22]), whereas the overweight/obesity subtype decreasing risk of Alzheimer’s disease (0.83 [0.75–0.91]) and all-cause dementia (0.9 [0.84–0.95]). MASLD was associated with an increased risk of vascular dementia (1.24 [1.1–1.39]) but not Alzheimer’s disease (1.0 [0.91–1.09]). The effect of MAFLD on vascular dementia was consistent regardless of MASLD presence, whereas associations with Alzheimer’s disease were only present in those without MASLD (0.78 [0.67–0.91]).ConclusionsMAFLD and MASLD are associated with an increased risk of vascular dementia, with subtype-specific variations observed in dementia risks. Further research is needed to refine MAFLD and SLD subtyping and explore the underlying mechanisms contributing to dementia risk.

Ischemia-Modified Albumin, Lactate, and Combination for Predicting Mortality in Patients with Septic Shock in the Emergency Department

Ischemia-modified albumin (IMA) is produced during ischemia and reactive oxygen species production. This study aimed to evaluate the association between IMA and mortality in a larger population and the prognostic value of the combination of IMA and lactate for predicting mortality in septic shock patients in the emergency department. This retrospective observational study included adult septic shock patients between October 2019 and December 2021. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was performed. IMA was significantly higher in the non-surviving group than in the surviving group (89.1 ± 7.2 vs. 83.8 ± 6.2 U/mL, p &lt; 0.001). IMA was independently associated with 28-day mortality after adjustments (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.075, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.016–1.138, p = 0.012). The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of IMA was 0.712 (95% CI: 0.648–0.775, p &lt; 0.001) and was comparable to that of lactate. The AUROC of the combination of IMA and lactate was 0.838 (95% CI: 0.786–0.889, p &lt; 0.001). The group with both high lactate and high IMA levels showed an extremely high risk of mortality than other groups (86.1%; aHR 8.956, 95% CI 4.071–19.70, p &lt; 0.001). The elevation of IMA was associated with mortality in septic shock patients. The combination of IMA and lactate can be a helpful tool for early risk stratification of septic shock patients.

Associations of dietary selenium intake with the risk of chronic diseases and mortality in US adults.

Selenium is an essential micronutrient and a type of dietary antioxidant. This study aimed to investigate the associations of dietary selenium intake with the risk of human chronic disease [cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes mellitus (DM), and cancer] and mortality among US general adults. The dietary and demographic data in this study were collected from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2007 to 2018. Death outcomes were determined by associating with the National Death Index (NDI) records as of December 31, 2019. Logistic regression analyses were used to investigate the relationship of selenium intake with the risk of CVD, DM, and cancer. The effect of dietary selenium on all-cause and disease-specific mortality was estimated with restricted cubic spline (RCS) curves based on the univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. Among the 25,801 participants, dietary selenium intake was divided into quintiles (Q1-Q5). After covariate adjustment, the results showed that the participants with higher quintiles (Q4 and Q5) of selenium intake tended to have a low risk of CVD (OR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.96, 0.99; OR = 0.98, 95% CI: 0.97, 1.00, respectively). Moreover, the RCS curves showed a significant nonlinear association between selenium intake and the risk of all-cause (with a HR of 0.82, 95% CI: 0.68, 0.99) and DM-specific mortality (with the lowest HR of 0.30; 95% CI, 0.12-0.75). Furthermore, we conducted a subgroup analysis and found a negative correlation between the highest quartile of selenium intake and all-cause mortality among participants aged 50 and above (HR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.60-0.93, p = 0.009). Our results indicated that a moderate dietary selenium supplement decreased the risk of CVD and displayed a nonlinear trend in association with the risk of all-cause and DM-specific mortality among US adults. In addition, we found that participants aged 50 and older may benefit from higher selenium intake. However, these findings still need to be confirmed through further mechanism exploration.

Risk Factors for Trochanteric Bursitis Following Total Hip Arthroplasty: A Radiographic Analysis

Trochanteric bursitis (TB) is a prevalent complication following total hip arthroplasty (THA), with increased offset hypothesized as a potential risk factor. This study investigated potential TB predictors in THA patients, including radiographic measurements of offset and leg length, comorbidities, and patient characteristics. In this retrospective cohort study, all THA patients from a single academic tertiary care center between 2005 and 2021 were reviewed. Exclusion criteria included less than one-year follow-up, osteonecrosis, or fracture. Manual radiographic measurements of offset (acetabular, femoral, and total) and leg length from preoperative and postoperative AP (antero-posterior) pelvis X-rays were taken, with scaling using femoral cortical diameter. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were employed to estimate TB risk. Of 1,094 patients, 103 (9.4%) developed trochanteric bursitis, with a median (Q1, Q3) time to presentation of 41.8 weeks (25.5, 66.9). In univariable models, only sex was associated with increased TB risk, with women exhibiting a 1.79 times increased risk (HR [hazard ratio]: 1.79 (1.16, 2.76), P = 0.009). Changes in acetabular offset, femoral offset, total offset, and leg length between preoperative and postoperative radiographs were not associated with an increased risk of developing TB in the univariate or multivariate models. Furthermore, various offset thresholds were evaluated, with no amount of increased offset showing increased TB risk. This study found no relationship between femoral, acetabular, or total offset and trochanteric bursitis following THA. These findings suggest that surgeons may consider adding offset for increased prosthetic stability in high-risk cases. However, given that this is a retrospective study, the authors are not advocating for the routine use of increased offset. The study identified women as a risk factor with a 1.79 times higher TB risk, highlighting the importance of counseling women patients on this heightened risk.

Association between atherogenic index of plasma and new-onset stroke in individuals with different glucose metabolism status: insights from CHARLS

BackgroundCirculating atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) levels has been proposed as a novel biomarker for dyslipidemia and as a predictor of insulin resistance (IR) risk. However, the association between AIP and the incidence of new-onset stroke, particularly in individuals with varying glucose metabolism status, remains ambiguous.MethodsA total of 8727 participants aged 45 years or older without a history of stroke from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) were included in this study. The AIP was calculated using the formula log [Triglyceride (mg/dL) / High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (mg/dL)]. Participants were divided into four groups based on their baseline AIP levels: Q1 (AIP ≤ 0.122), Q2 (0.122 < AIP ≤ 0.329), Q3 (0.329 < AIP ≤ 0.562), and Q4 (AIP > 0.562). The primary endpoint was the occurrence of new-onset stroke events. The Kaplan–Meier curves, multivariate Cox proportional hazard models, and Restricted cubic spline analysis were applied to explore the association between baseline AIP levels and the risk of developing a stroke among individuals with varying glycemic metabolic states.ResultsDuring an average follow-up of 8.72 years, 734 participants (8.4%) had a first stroke event. The risk for stroke increased with each increasing quartile of baseline AIP levels. Kaplan–Meier curve analysis revealed a significant difference in stroke occurrence among the AIP groups in all participants, as well as in those with prediabetes mellitus (Pre-DM) and diabetes mellitus (DM) (all P values < 0.05). After adjusting for potential confounders, the risk of stroke was significantly higher in the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups than in the Q1 group in all participants. The respective hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for stroke in the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups were 1.34 (1.05–1.71), 1.52 (1.19–1.93), and 1.84 (1.45–2.34). Furthermore, high levels of AIP were found to be linked to an increased risk of stroke in both pre-diabetic and diabetic participants across all three Cox models. However, this association was not observed in participants with normal glucose regulation (NGR) (p > 0.05). Restricted cubic spline analysis also demonstrated that higher baseline AIP levels were associated with higher hazard ratios for stroke in all participants and those with glucose metabolism disorders.ConclusionsAn increase in baseline AIP levels was significantly associated with the risk of stroke in middle-aged and elderly individuals, and exhibited distinct characteristics depending on the individual’s glucose metabolism status.

Comparative study on the predictive value of TG/HDL-C, TyG and TyG-BMI indices for 5-year mortality in critically ill patients with chronic heart failure: a retrospective study

BackgroundThe triglyceride glucose (TyG) index, TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI), and triglyceride-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C) are substitute indicators for insulin resistance (IR). This study aimed to compare the predictive value of these indicators for 5-year mortality in critically ill patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).MethodsCritically ill patients with CHF were identified from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care (MIMIC) III and IV databases. The primary outcome was 5-year mortality. The relationship between the three indices and mortality risk was determined using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, Kaplan–Meier (K‒M) analysis and restricted cubic splines analysis. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to compare the ability of the three indices to predict mortality. Finally, whether the IR indices would further increase the predictive ability of the basic model including baseline variables with a significance level between survivors and non-survivors was evaluated by ROC curve.ResultsAltogether, 1329 patients with CHF were identified from the databases. Cox proportional hazards models indicated that the TyG index was independently associated with an elevated risk of 5-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29–1.9), while the TyG-BMI index and TG/HDL-C level were significantly associated with 5-year mortality, with an HR (95% CI) of 1.002 (1.000–1.003) and 1.01 (1.00–1.03), respectively. The K–M analysis revealed that the cumulative incidence of all-cause 5-year death increased with increasing quartiles of the TyG index, TyG-BMI index, or TG/HDL-C ratio. According to the ROC curve, the TyG index outperformed the TyG-BMI and TG/HDL-C ratio at predicting all-cause 5-year mortality (0.608 [0.571–0.645] vs. 0.558 [0.522–0.594] vs. 0.561 [0.524–0.598]). The effect of the TyG index on all-cause mortality was consistent across subgroups, with no significant interaction with randomized factors. Furthermore, adding the TyG index to the basic model for 5-year mortality improved its predictive ability (area under the curve, 0.762 for the basic model vs. 0.769 for the basic model + TyG index); however, the difference was not statistically significant.ConclusionAs continuous variables, all three indices were significantly associated with 5-year mortality risk in critically ill patients with CHF. Although these IR indices did not improve the predictive power of the basic model in patients with CHF, the TyG index appears to be the most promising index (vs. TyG-BMI and TG/HDL-C ratio) for prevention and risk stratification in critically ill patients with CHF.

LGG-44. CLINICAL AND MOLECULAR TUMOR CHARACTERISTICS OF ‘HIGHER RISK’ PEDIATRIC LOW-GRADE GLIOMAS

Abstract BACKGROUND CNS WHO grade 1 pediatric low-grade gliomas (pLGGs) have an overall excellent survival. A small but relevant proportion of these patients, however, suffer from severe disease burden reflected in recurrent progression, metastasis or even death. To unravel clinicomolecular tumor characteristics that identify these ‘pLGG-higher risk’ patients we retrospectively analyzed clinical and molecular data of 223 patients from our center. METHODS All tumors were classified using histology, DNA methylation profiling and whole transcriptome analysis (RNA sequencing), with whole exome or panel DNA sequencing in a subset of cases, revealing a driver alteration in 100% of cases. Progression of disease was defined as continuous tumor growth upon treatment or need for multiple treatments. The effect of clinical and molecular variables on progression free survival was analyzed with the univariate and multivariate cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS The median follow-up of the entire cohort was 3,4 years. In univariate analyses the risk of progression significantly decreased with age (in years) at diagnosis (HR 0.92,p&amp;lt;0.001). For tumor location using hemispheric tumors as reference, chiasm/suprasellar LGGs showed a significantly higher risk of progression (HR 2.96,p&amp;lt;0.001). Type of molecular driver and sex was not associated with progression. In a multivariable model including age, location and driver, there was no longer a significant effect on progression for age but the effect of chiasm/suprasellar location remained intact. Furthermore, NF1 (HR 0.37,p0.02), and posterior fossa LGG (HR 0.24,p0.03) were both significantly associated with a lower risk of progression. CONCLUSIONS Our multivariate results show that the ‘pLGG-higher risk’ patients were characterized by a tumor in the chiasm/suprasellar location, while molecular driver (at least so far) did not affect risk of progression. Future work will focus on extending the cohort and integrating other multiomic data enabling to compose a prediction model for higher risk pLGG.

Associations of vitamin D status with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in long-term prescription opioid users.

This study aimed to investigate the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations and mortality in long-term prescription opioid users. The study included 1856 long-term prescription opioid users from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 2001-2018). Mortality status were determined by matching with the National Death Index (NDI) records until December 31, 2019. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to assess the association. Over a median follow-up period of 7.75 years, there were 443 cases of all-cause mortality, including 135 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths and 94 cancer deaths. After multivariable adjustment, participants with serum 25(OH)D concentrations within 50.00 to <75.00 nmol/L and ≥ 75 nmol/L had a lower risk of all-cause mortality, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.50 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.29, 0.86) and 0.54 (95% CI 0.32, 0.90), respectively. Nevertheless, no significant association was found between serum 25(OH)D concentrations and the risk of CVD or cancer mortality. The RCS analysis revealed a non-linear association of serum 25(OH)D concentration with all-cause mortality (p for non-linear = 0.01). Per 1-unit increment in those with serum 25(OH)D concentrations <62.17 nmol/L corresponded to a 2% reduction in the risk of all-cause mortality (95% CI 0.97, 1.00), but not changed significantly when 25(OH)D concentrations ≥62.17 nmol/L. In conclusion, a non-linear association existed between serum 25(OH)D concentrations and all-cause mortality in long-term prescription opioid users. Maintaining serum 25(OH)D concentrations ≥62.17 nmol/L may be beneficial in preventing all-cause mortality in this population.