Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Analysis Research Articles

Explainable machine learning predicts survival of retroperitoneal liposarcoma: A study based on the SEER database and external validation in China

AbstractObjectiveWe have developed explainable machine learning models to predict the overall survival (OS) of retroperitoneal liposarcoma (RLPS) patients. This approach aims to enhance the explainability and transparency of our modeling results.MethodsWe collected clinicopathological information of RLPS patients from The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and allocated them into training and validation sets with a 7:3 ratio. Simultaneously, we obtained an external validation cohort from The First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University (Shanghai, China). We performed LASSO regression and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis to identify relevant risk factors, which were then combined to develop six machine learning (ML) models: Cox proportional hazards model (Coxph), random survival forest (RSF), ranger, gradient boosting with component‐wise linear models (GBM), decision trees, and boosting trees. The predictive performance of these ML models was evaluated using the concordance index (C‐index), the integrated cumulative/dynamic area under the curve (AUC), and the integrated Brier score, as well as the Cox–Snell residual plot. We also used time‐dependent variable importance, analysis of partial dependence survival plots, and the generation of aggregated survival SHapley Additive exPlanations (SurvSHAP) plots to provide a global explanation of the optimal model. Additionally, SurvSHAP (t) and survival local interpretable model‐agnostic explanations (SurvLIME) plots were used to provide a local explanation of the optimal model.ResultsThe final ML models are consisted of six factors: patient's age, gender, marital status, surgical history, as well as tumor's histopathological classification, histological grade, and SEER stage. Our prognostic model exhibits significant discriminative ability, particularly with the ranger model performing optimally. In the training set, validation set, and external validation set, the AUC for 1, 3, and 5 year OS are all above 0.83, and the integrated Brier scores are consistently below 0.15. The explainability analysis of the ranger model also indicates that histological grade, histopathological classification, and age are the most influential factors in predicting OS.ConclusionsThe ranger ML prognostic model exhibits optimal performance and can be utilized to predict the OS of RLPS patients, offering valuable and crucial references for clinical physicians to make informed decisions in advance.

Proteomic analysis of serum extracellular vesicles reveals Fibulin-3 as a new marker predicting liver-related events in MASLD.

There is a need for novel noninvasive markers for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) to stratify patients at high risk for liver-related events including liver cancer and decompensation. In the present study, we used proteomic analysis of proteins in extracellular vesicles (EVs) to identify new biomarkers that change with fibrosis progression and can predict the development of liver-related events. We analyzed serum EVs from 50 patients with MASLD assessed for liver fibrosis by biopsy and identified proteins that altered with advanced fibrosis. A further evaluation was conducted on another cohort of 463 patients with MASLD with biopsy. Eight candidate proteins were identified by proteomic analysis of serum EVs. Among them, serum levels of Fibulin-3, Fibulin-1, and Ficolin 1 correlated with their EV levels. In addition, serum Fibulin-3 and serum Fibulin-1 levels changed significantly with advanced fibrosis. Using another cohort with biopsy, we found that the serum Fibulin-3 concentration was significantly greater in those with advanced fibrosis but that the serum Fibulin-1 concentration was not significantly different. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that a higher Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and higher serum Fibulin-3 concentration were independent risk factors for liver-related events. When the cutoff value for the serum Fibulin-3 concentration was 6.0µg/mL according to the Youden index of AUROCs, patients with high serum Fibulin-3 significantly more frequently developed liver-related events than did other patients. Validation using another cohort of 226 patients with clinically diagnosed MASLD confirmed that high serum Fibulin-3 levels are associated with a greater frequency of liver-related events. Serum Fibulin-3 was identified as a biomarker for predicting liver-related events in patients with MASLD.

Association between blood pressure levels and premature atrial contractions in patients with hypertension

BackgroundHigh blood pressure (BP) induces left atrial structural and functional remodeling that increases susceptibility to atrial arrhythmia. We hypothesized that lower systolic BP (SBP) levels are associated with a lower prevalence of premature atrial contractions (PACs) in patients with hypertension. MethodsThis analysis included 4,697 participants (mean age 62±13.1 years, 50% women, 25.6% blacks) with hypertension from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey who did not have a prior history of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the cross-sectional association between SBP and prevalence of PACs ascertained from 12-lead resting electrocardiograms. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to examine the association between baseline PACs and CVD mortality. ResultsApproximately 1.6% (n=74) of participants had baseline PACs. Patients with SBP ≤140 mmHg had a lower prevalence of PACs than those with SBP ≥140 mmHg (1.1% vs. 1.9%, p-value=0.01). In a multivariable logistic regression model, each 10 mmHg decrease in SBP was associated with a 12% lower odds of PACs (OR (95%CI): 0.88 (0.77-0.99)). During 14 years of follow-up, 645 CVD deaths occurred. In a multivariable-adjusted Cox model, presence of PACs was associated with a 78% increased risk of CVD mortality (HR (95%CI): 1.78 (1.23-2.60)). ConclusionsIn patients with hypertension, lower SBP levels are associated with a lower prevalence of PACs, and presence of PACs is associated with a higher risk of CVD mortality risk. These findings highlight the potential role of BP lowering in the management of cardiac arrhythmias.

Circulating LIGHT/TNFSF14 levels are negatively associated with cardiovascular mortality, while intra-plaque levels are associated with symptomatic cerebrovascular disease

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation, Åke Wiberg's Foundation Background Plaque rupture is the underlying cause of most cardiovascular events, such as stroke and myocardial infarction. Co-stimulatory molecules, the immune checkpoints, are emerging as strong candidates to battle atherosclerosis progression. The co-stimulatory molecule LIGHT (tumour necrosis factor 14; TNFSF14) exists in foam cell-rich regions of atherosclerotic plaques, but whether it is associated with a high-risk plaque phenotype and cardiovascular events is not known. Purpose This study investigates the association between intra-plaque and circulating LIGHT levels and cardiovascular disease. Method Plaque levels of LIGHT/TNFSF14 were measured in plasma and homogenised carotid endarterectomy plaques by Proximity Extension Assay in subjects from the Carotid Plaque Imaging Cohort (CPIP; N=557 and 201, respectively). Homogenates were further examined by multi-plex cytokine analysis and ELISA, and tissue plaque sections through immunohistochemistry. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed on normalized (logarithmically transformed) values. Results Plaque, but not circulating, levels of LIGHT were associated with the occurrence of pre-operative cerebrovascular symptoms (p=0.00014). Furthermore, intra-plaque levels of LIGHT correlated strongly with the histological plaque vulnerability index (p=5x10-15): a ratio between the sum of destabilising versus stabilising plaque components (i.e. macrophages, intra-plaque haemorrhage and lipids versus smooth muscle cells and collagen) as well as with necrotic core size and the inflammatory cytokines interleukin(IL)-1β, IL-6, chemokine (C-C motif) ligand (CCL)-2, CCL4 and CCL5. Moreover, plaque LIGHT levels correlated with several components of the extracellular matrix turnover machinery, including cleaved collagen, fibromodulin, ADAMTS7 (a disintegrin and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs-7) and matrix metalloproteinases 1, 2, 9 and 10. While plaque LIGHT levels were not predictive of cardiovascular death, circulating LIGHT levels were negatively associated with risk of cardiovascular death (after 6 ½ years) after correcting for the possible confounders age, sex, cerebrovascular symptoms, diabetes, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, inflammatory disease, hypertension and smoking (hazard ratio=0.032, confidence interval=0.420-0.951, p=0.028). Conclusion Though intra-plaque LIGHT levels are associated with a rupture-prone plaque phenotype and pre-operative symptoms, circulating levels are associated with a lower risk of future cardiovascular mortality. This suggest that upregulation of LIGHT in atherosclerotic plaques may occur as part of a reparative rupture response and, systemically, reflect efficient wound-healing capacity.

Prognostic impact of FAN score in patients receiving nivolumab plus ipilimumab for metastatic renal cell carcinoma

FAN score is reportedly associated with prognostic outcomes in patients with urothelial carcinoma being treated with immune check point inhibitors. However, the prognostic impact of pre-treatment FAN score in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) treated with nivolumab plus ipilimumab remains unclear. We retrospectively evaluated the association between pre-treatment FAN score and prognostic outcomes in 154 patients with metastatic RCC treated with nivolumab plus ipilimumab. The pre-treatment FAN score was ‘0’ in 56 patients (36%), ‘1’ in 60 patients (40%), ‘2’ in 37 patients (24%) and ‘3’ in one patient (1%). Progression-free survival was not significantly different between patients with different FAN scores, but second progression-free survival (PFS2), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) were significantly different. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses, FAN score ≥ 2 was a significant predictor of poor PFS2 (vs. FAN score 0, HR: 2.43, 95% CI 1.21–4.87, P = 0.01), poor CSS (vs. FAN score 0, HR: 2.71, 95% CI 1.13–6.47, P = 0.02) and poor OS (vs. FAN score 0, HR: 2.42, 95% CI 1.11–5.25, P = 0.02). High pre-treatment FAN score could be a significant independent predictor of poor prognosis in patients receiving nivolumab plus ipilimumab for metastatic RCC.

A Novel Risk Score for Major Bleeding in Japanese Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation: The J-RISK AF Study.

Oral anticoagulants (OACs) reduce the risk of ischemic stroke but may increase the risk of major bleeding in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Various risk scores, such as HAS-BLED, ATRIA, ORBIT, and DOAC, have been proposed to assess the risk of major bleeding in patients with NVAF receiving OACs. However, limited data are available regarding bleeding risk stratification in Japanese patients with NVAF. Of the 16,098 NVAF patients from the J-RISK AF study, the combined data of the five major AF registries in Japan (J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry), we analyzed 11,539 patients receiving OACs (median age, 71 years old; women, 29.6%; median CHA2DS2-VASc score, 3). During the 2-year follow-up period, major bleeding occurred in 274 patients (1.3% per patient-year). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, an advanced age, hypertension (systolic blood pressure ≥ 150 mmHg), bleeding history, anemia, thrombocytopenia, and concomitant antiplatelet agents were significantly associated with a higher incidence of major bleeding. We developed a novel risk stratification system, HED-[EPA]2-B3 score, which had a better predictive performance for major bleeding (C-statistics 0.67, [95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.70]) than the HAS-BLED (0.64, [0.60-0.67], P for difference 0.02) and ATRIA (0.63, [0.60-0.66], P for difference ＜0.01) scores. Furthermore, it was non-significantly higher than the ORBIT (0.65, [0.62-0.68], P for difference 0.07) and DOAC (0.65, [0.62-0.68], P for difference 0.17) scores. Our novel risk stratification system, the HED-[EPA]2-B3 score, may be useful for identifying Japanese patients receiving OACs at a risk of major bleeding.

Out-Patient versus In-Patient Arteriovenous Fistula Creation for Dialysis: Assessing Cost-Effectiveness Alongside Clinical Implications.

(1) Background: The surgical procedure to create an arteriovenous fistula (AVF) can be performed in either an ambulatory or in-patient hospital setting, depending on the case's complexity, the anesthesia type used, and the patient's comorbidities. The main scope of this study is to assess the cost-effectiveness and clinical implications of surgically creating an AVF in both ambulatory and in-hospital settings. (2) Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study, in which we initially enrolled all patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) admitted to the Vascular Surgery Department, Emergency County Hospital of Targu Mures, Romania, to surgically create an AVF for dialysis, between January 2020 and December 2022. The primary endpoint of this study is to assess the cost-effectiveness of surgically creating an AVF in an ambulatory vs. in-hospital setting by comparing the costs required for the two types of admissions. Further, the 116 patients enrolled in this study were divided into two groups based on their preference for hospitalization: out-patients and in-patients. (3) Results: Regarding in-patient comorbidities, there was a higher prevalence of peripheral artery disease (PAD) (p = 0.006), malignancy (p = 0.020), and previous myocardial infarction (p = 0.012). In addition, active smoking (p = 0.006) and obesity (p = 0.018) were more frequent among these patients. Regarding the laboratory data, the in-patients had lower levels of white blood cells (WBC) (p = 0.004), neutrophils count (p = 0.025), lymphocytes (p = 0.034), and monocytes (p = 0.032), but there were no differences between the two groups regarding the systemic inflammatory biomarkers or the AVF type. Additionally, we did not register any difference regarding the outcomes: local complications (p = 0.588), maturation failure (p = 0.267), and primary patency (p = 0.834). In our subsequent analysis, we discovered no significant difference between the hospitalization type chosen by patients regarding AVF primary patency failure (p = 0.195). We found no significant association between the hospitalization type and the recorded outcomes (all ps > 0.05) in both multivariate linear regression and Cox proportional hazard analysis. (4) Conclusions: In conclusion, there are no significant differences in the clinical implications, short-term and long-term complications of AVF for out-patient and in-patient admissions. Additionally, we found no variation in the costs associated with laboratory tests and surgical supplies for an AVF creation. Therefore, it is safe to perform ambulatory AVFs, which can reduce the risk of hospital-acquired infections and provide greater comfort to the patient.

Clinical Impacts of Urinary Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with poor prognosis in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) is a biomarker for renal injury. However, the association between urinary NGAL concentrations and renal and cardiovascular events in patients with CKD undergoing PCI has not been elucidated. This study investigated the clinical impact of urinary NGAL concentrations on renal and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with non-dialysis CKD undergoing PCI.Methods and Results: We enrolled 124 patients with non-dialysis CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) undergoing elective PCI. Patients were divided into low and high NGAL groups based on the median urinary NGAL concentration measured the day before PCI. Patients were monitored for renal and cardiovascular events during the 2-year follow-up period. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that the incidence of renal and cardiovascular events was higher in the high than low NGAL group (log-rank P<0.001 and P=0.032, respectively). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses revealed that urinary NGAL was an independent risk factor for renal (hazard ratio [HR] 4.790; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.537-14.924; P=0.007) and cardiovascular (HR 2.938; 95% CI 1.034-8.347; P=0.043) events. Urinary NGAL could be a novel and informative biomarker for predicting subsequent renal and cardiovascular events in patients with CKD undergoing elective PCI.

#963 Discrepancy between actual and estimated urine creatinine excretion predicts mortality in chronic kidney disease: from the KNOW-CKD study

Abstract Background and Aims Urine creatinine excretion is a surrogate marker of muscle mass and low urine creatinine excretion is a predictor of poor clinical outcome. There are several methods to estimate urine creatinine excretion. However, little is known about the clinical implication of discrepancy between actual and estimated urine creatinine excretion in chronic kidney disease (CKD). The aim of this study is to investigate the association between actual and estimated urine creatinine excretion discrepancy and mortality in CKD. Method This study analysed 1805 participants from the KNOW-CKD cohort. They underwent 24-hr urine collection and measured urine creatinine excretion at baseline. Their estimated urine creatinine excretion was calculated by Joachim's method. Discrepancy between actual and estimated urine creatinine excretion (dUCr) was defined as actual urine creatinine excretion minus estimated urine creatinine excretion. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to their tertile of dUCr. The study endpoint was all-cause death. Results During a follow-up of 13 062 person-years (median 8.0 years), 151 patients (8.4%) died, with a corresponding death rate of 11.6 (95% CI 9.9-13.6) per 1000 patients-years. 86 (14.4%), 41 (6.8%) and 24 (3.4%) patients from each 1st to 3rd tertile of dUCr died (P &amp;lt; 0.001). In multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, there was a graded association of dUCr with all-cause mortality. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) of 2nd and 3rd tertile were 0.58 (0.39-0.86) and 0.36 (0.22-0.58) compared with the 1st tertile. Conclusion Higher discrepancy between actual and estimated urine creatinine excretion is associated with lower risk of mortality in predialysis CKD patients. This association was independent of various conventional and CKD-related risk factors.

#619 Serum aldosterone to potassium ratio and hyperkalemia risk in patients with chronic kidney disease

Abstract Background and Aims Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) have demonstrated efficacy in improving outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, these medications have also been associated with the development of hyperkalemia. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relation of serum aldosterone to potassium ratio to the risk of the development of hyperkalemia in CKD patients receiving ACEIs or ARBs. Method Between January 2017 and December 2021, 186 patients with CKD 3-4 (estimated glomerular filtration rate, eGFR, of 15-59 ml/min/1.73 m2) who were receiving an ACEI or an ARB for at least 3 months and had serum aldosterone and potassium measured simultaneously were analyzed. Serum aldosterone to potassium (Aldo/K) ratio was calculated (ng/ml per mmol/l) and patients were divided into two groups according to the median value of serum Aldo/K ratio above or below 2.42. Follow-up serum potassium concentrations were measured every 2 to 3 months. The primary outcome was the occurrence of hyperkalemia (defined as serum potassium level &amp;gt; 5.5 mEq/l). Incidence rates for hyperkalemic events were computed as the ratio of the total number of hyperkalemic events to the total patient-time at risk. In addition, the times from the index date to the first occurrence of hyperkalemia for were computed. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify patients at the risk of the occurrence of hyperkalemia. Results During a median follow-up period of 3.1 years, 2505 times of serum potassium were measured (mean ± standard deviation number of annual potassium measurements per patient, 4.5 ± 1.7 measurements/year per patient). A total of 144 hyperkalemic events in 81 patients (43.5%) were identified, yielding an incidence rate of 24.6 per 100 person-years (95% confidence intervals [CIs] 20.4–28.8). The incidence of hyperkalemic events was significantly higher in patients with low serum Aldo/K ratio than in those with high serum Aldo/K ratio (35.8 events/100 patient-years, 95% CI 28.9‒42.7 events/100 patient-years vs. 12.9 events/100 patient-years, 95% CI 8.8‒17.0 events/100 patient-years, p &amp;lt; 0.001). In multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, diabetes mellitus (Hazard ratio [HR], 1.842; 95% CI, 1.046-3.243; P=0.034), prior history of hyperkalemia (HR, 2.288; 95% CI, 1.372-3.815; P=0.002), low baseline eGFR (HR, 0.973; 95% CI, 0.948-0.998; P=0.037) and a low serum Aldo/K ratio (HR, 3.654; 95% CI, 2.066-6.463; P &amp;lt; 0.001) were predictors of subsequent development of hyperkalemia. Conclusion This study revealed that low serum Aldo/K ratio ( &amp;lt; 2.42) was strongly associated with the occurrence of hyperkalemia in CKD patients receiving ACEIs or ARBs, suggesting that the identification of patients at a risk for subsequent hyperkalemia could be made by measuring serum aldosterone and potassium levels simultaneously on these drugs.

#553 Renal tubular damage is an independent risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a community-based population: the Takahata Study

Abstract Background and Aims Renal tubulointerstitial damage is a risk for renal failure. However, the association between renal tubulointerstitial damage and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population remains unclear. In this prospective cohort study, we examined this point using urinary β2-microglobulin/creatinine ratio (UBCR) as a marker of renal tubulointerstitial damage in the general Japanese population. Methods We examined the association between UBCR values at entry and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality during the follow-up period (median 9.2 years) in 3 427 residents (mean age 62.5 years, 45.1% male, mean eGFR 81.6 ml/min/1.73 m², ≥1+ protein 4.4%) of Takahata Town in Japan. Results Study participants were divided into two groups (low &amp;lt; 300 μg/gCre, high ≥300 μg/gCre) based on UBCR at entry. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significantly higher incidence of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the high UBCR group (Log-rank P &amp;lt; 0.01). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis adjusted for age, sex, eGFR, urinary protein level, comorbidities, smoking status, and other background factors showed a hazard ratio of 1.47 (95% CI 1.09-2.00, P = 0.01) for all-cause mortality and a hazard ratio of 1.82 (95% CI 1.06-3.12, P = 0.03) for cardiovascular death in the high-UBCR group. The addition of high UBCR to conventional risk factors, including eGFR and urinary protein level, significantly improved the net reclassification improvement (NRI) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (P &amp;lt; 0.01). Conclusions UBCR, a marker of tubulointerstitial damage, was identified as a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population independent of eGFR and urinary protein levels.

Hsa_circ_0070440 mediates the prognosis and progress of human prostate cancer.

This study was designed to explore whether hsa_circ_0070440 was dysregulated in prostate cancer (PCa), and assess the effects of hsa_circ_0070440 alteration on PCa prognosis and cell function. The expression levels of hsa_circ_0070440 were assessed in PCa tissues and cell lines. After the classification of patients with PCa based on mean hsa_circ_0070440 level in 138 cases, Chi-square test and survival analyses (Kaplan-Meier method and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis) were performed to assess the predictive value of hsa_circ_0070440 in treatment failure (TTF), time to PSA progression (TTPP) and overall survival time. To examine the function of hsa_circ_0070440 in PCa cells, 22Rv1 and C4-2B cells were used for CCK-8 proliferation and Transwell migration assays. Hsa_circ_0070440- and TXNDC5-specific bindings with miR-382/383-5p were validated by bioinformatic analysis and luciferase gene reporter assay. An increased expression of hsa_circ_0070440 was found in PCA tissues and cell lines, associated with clinical T stage (p=0.021) and lymph node metastasis. Hsa_circ_0070440 predicted poor overall survival, TTPP, and TTF, acting as independent prognostic factors for overall survival, TTPP, and TTF in patients with PCa. Knockdown of hsa_circ_0070440 inhibited cell proliferation and migration in vitro. Furthermore, hsa_circ_0070440 could sponge miR-382/383-5p. TXNDC5 was a common target gene for miR-382/383-5p in PCa cells. This study demonstrated that hsa_circ_0070440 can predict the prognosis of PCa patients. Hsa_circ_0070440 can facilitate the proliferation and migration of PCa cells, possibly by sponging miR-382/383-5p.

Superiority of high sensitivity cardiac troponin I over NT-proBNP and adiponectin for 7-year mortality in stable patients receiving haemodialysis

Patients on haemodialysis (HD) have high mortality risk, and prognostic values of the major cardiovascular biomarkers cardiac troponin I (cTnI), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and adiponectin should be ascertained over longer follow-up periods using higher-sensitivity assays, which we undertook. In 221 HD patients, levels of high-sensitivity (hs)-cTnI, NT-proBNP, and adiponectin, were measured using high-sensitivity assays, and their associations with all-cause mortality (ACM) and cardiovascular mortality (CVM) were prospectively investigated for 7 years. Higher hs-cTnI and NT-proBNP levels were significant risk factors for ACM and CVM in the Kaplan–Meier analysis. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses in a model including hs-cTnI and NT-proBNP identified log hs-cTnI, but not log NT-proBNP, as an independent risk factor for ACM (HR 2.12, P < 0.02) and CVM (HR 4.48, P < 0.0005). Stepwise analyses identified a high hs-cTnI tertile as a risk factor for ACM (HR 2.31, P < 0.01) and CVM (HR 6.70, P < 0.001). The addition of hs-cTnI to a model including age, CRP, DM, and NT-proBNP significantly improved the discrimination of ACM and CVM each over 7 years. Conclusively, hs-cTnI was superior to NT-proBNP and adiponectin in predicting ACM and CVM over 7 years in HD patients, suggesting the significance of baseline hs-cTnI measurements in long-term management.

Chronic Kidney Disease Stage and Cardiovascular and Mortality Events Among Older Adults: The SPRINT Trial

Rationale & ObjectiveThe risk implications of the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) CKD classification in older adults are controversial. We evaluated the risk of adverse outcomes in this population across categories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR). Study DesignProspective cohort. Settings & Participants2509 participants aged ≥75 years in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT). ExposuresKDIGO eGFR and UACR categories. We combined KDIGO categories G1 and G2, G3b and G4, as well as A2 and A3. OutcomesPrimary SPRINT outcome (composite of myocardial infarction, other acute coronary syndromes, stroke, heart failure, or death from cardiovascular causes), and all-cause death. Analytical ApproachMultivariable Cox proportional hazard models. ResultsMean age was 79.8 years, 37.4% were female, mean eGFR was 64.0 ml/min/1.73 m2, and median UACR 13.1 mg/g. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, compared with participants with eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2 and UACR <30 mg/g, there was no statistically significant difference in the risk of the primary outcome among participants with eGFR 45-59 or 15-44 ml/min/1.73 m2 and UACR <30 mg/g. However, those with eGFR 45-59 or 15-44 ml/min/1.73 m2 and UACR ≥30 mg/g had higher risk of the primary outcome (HR [95% CI], 1.97 [1.27, 3.04] and 3.32 [2.23, 4.93], respectively). The risk for all-cause death was higher for each category of abnormal eGFR and UACR, with the highest risk observed among those with eGFR 15-44 ml/min/1.73 m2 and UACR ≥30 mg/g (3.34 [2.05, 5.44]). LimitationsIndividuals with diabetes and urine protein >1 g/day were excluded from SPRINT. ConclusionAmong older adults SPRINT participants, low eGFR without albuminuria was associated with higher mortality but not with increased risk of cardiovascular events. Additional studies are needed to evaluate an adapted CKD stage-based risk stratification for older adults.

The landscape of etiological patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in Thailand.

Thailand is among countries with the highest global incidence and mortality rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA). While viral hepatitis and liver fluke infections have been associated with HCC and iCCA, respectively, other environmental risk factors, overall risk factor commonality and combinatorial roles, and effects on survival have not been systematically examined. We conducted a TIGER-LC consortium-based population study covering all high-incidence areas of both malignancies across Thailand: 837 HCC, 1474 iCCA, and 1112 controls (2011-2019) were comprehensively queried on lifelong environmental exposures, lifestyle, and medical history. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to evaluate risk factors and associated survival patterns. Our models identified shared risk factors between HCC and iCCA, such as viral hepatitis infection, liver fluke infection, and diabetes, including novel and shared associations of agricultural pesticide exposure (OR range of 1.50; 95% CI: 1.06-2.11 to 2.91; 95% CI: 1.82-4.63) along with vulnerable sources of drinking water. Most patients had multiple risk factors, magnifying their risk considerably. Patients with lower risk levels had better survival in both HCC (HR 0.78; 95% CI: 0.64-0.96) and iCCA (HR 0.84; 95% CI: 0.70-0.99). Risk factor co-exposures and their common associations with HCC and iCCA in Thailand emphasize the importance for future prevention and control measures, especially in its large agricultural sector. The observed mortality patterns suggest ways to stratify patients for anticipated survivorship and develop plans to support medical care of longer-term survivors, including behavioral changes to reduce exposures.

Association between red cell distribution width and all-cause mortality in patients with breast cancer: A retrospective analysis using MIMIC-IV 2.0.

Investigating the association between red cell distribution width (RDW) and all-cause mortality in patients with breast cancer, to evaluate the potential clinical prognostic value of RDW. Based on the RDW index, patients with breast cancer in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database were categorized into quartiles. The primary outcomes included in-hospital mortality from all causes during the first six months, the first year, and the first three years. Cox hazards regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) models were developed to investigate the effects of RDW on primary outcomes. The study included 939 patients (female). The 6-month, 1-year, and 3-year mortality rates were 14.0%, 21.4%, and 28.4%, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses demonstrated that RDW exhibited an autonomous association with an increased risk of all-cause mortality. After adjusting for confounders, higher RDW quartiles were significantly associated with 6-month mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 3.197; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.745-5.762; P < 0.001), 1-year mortality (adjusted HR, 2.978; 95% CI, 1.867-4.748; P < 0.001), and 3-year mortality (adjusted HR, 2.526; 95% CI, 1.701-3.750; P < 0.001). The RCS curves demonstrated that high RDW (> 14.6) was associated with a greater risk of all-cause mortality. Subgroup analyses revealed no statistically significant differences in the interactions between the subgroups. The study revealed a highly pronounced relationship between RDW and overall mortality, indicating its potential as an autonomous prognostic factor for increased mortality among patients with breast cancer.

The Discovery of Oral Cancer Prognostic Factor Ranking Using Association Rule Mining.

A 5-year survival rate is a predictor for the assessment of oral cancer prognosis. The purpose of this study is to analyze oral cancer data to discover and rank the prognostic factors associated with oral cancer 5-year survival using the association rule mining (ARM) technique. This study is a retrospective analysis of 897 oral cancer patients from a regional cancer center between 2011 and 2017. The 5-year survival rate was assessed. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to determine prognostic factors. ARM was applied to clinicopathologic and treatment modalities data to identify and rank the prognostic factors associated with oral cancer 5-year survival. The 5-year overall survival rate was 35.1%. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that tumor (T) stage, lymph node metastasis, surgical margin, extranodal extension, recurrence, and distant metastasis of tumor were significantly associated with overall survival rate (p < 0.05). The top associated death within 5 years rule was positive extranodal extension, followed by positive perineural and lymphovascular invasion, with confidence levels of 0.808, 0.808, and 0.804, respectively. This study has shown that extranodal extension, and perineural and lymphovascular invasion were the top ranking and major deadly prognostic factors affecting the 5-year survival of oral cancer.

Gender differences in tumor characteristics, treatment allocation and survival in stage I–III pancreatic cancer: a nationwide study

IntroductionSex and gender are modulators of health and disease and may have impact on treatment allocation and survival in patients with cancer. In this study, we analyzed the impact of sex and gender on treatment allocation and overall survival in patients with stage I-III pancreatic cancer. MethodsPatients with stage I-III pancreatic cancer diagnosed between 2015 and 2020 were selected from the nationwide Netherlands Cancer Registry. Associations between sex and gender and the probability of receiving surgical and/or systemic treatment were examined with multivariable logistic regression analyses. Overall survival was assessed with log rank test and multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis. ResultsAmong 6855 patients, 51.2 % were female. Multivariable logistic regression analyses with adjustment for known confounders (age, performance status, comorbidities, tumor location, tumor stage and previous malignancies) showed that females less often received systemic chemotherapy compared to males (OR 0.799, 95 %CI 0.703–0.909, p < .001). No difference was found in the probability for undergoing surgical resection. Furthermore, females had worse overall survival compared to males (median OS 8.5 and 9.2 months respectively, 95 %CI 8.669–9.731). ConclusionThis nationwide study found that female patients with stage I-III pancreatic cancer significantly less often received systemic treatment and had worse overall survival as compared to males. Disparities in pancreatic cancer care can be decreased by recognizing and resolving potential obstacles or biases in treatment decision-making.

Contact aspiration for basilar artery occlusion safely reduces the puncture-to-recanalization time

ObjectiveEffective thrombectomies in the posterior circulation remain controversial. Previous reports have demonstrated the superiority of contact aspiration in anterior circulation. Aspiration catheters and stent retrievers are often used alone on a global scale, while combined techniques are commonly used in Japan. This study evaluated the effect of first-line contact aspiration with other strategies for the treatment of basilar artery occlusion. MethodsThe primary outcome was the frequency of the first-pass effect, and the secondary outcome was the time from puncture to the first-pass effect. A multicenter observational registry including 16 Japanese stroke centers was used. Between December 2013 and February 2021, enrolled patients underwent endovascular thrombectomy for basilar artery occlusion. The efficacy of contact aspiration compared to other methods (including stent retrievers and combined techniques) was evaluated. ResultsEighty-four patients were included, all of whom had achieved effective recanalization. Twenty-six patients were treated with contact aspiration, 13 with combined technique, and 45 with stent retrievers. The two groups: contact aspiration and non-contact aspiration, had different backgrounds. Both had similar frequencies of effective recanalization and first-pass effects. The contact aspiration group experienced better functional outcomes without statistical significance, while this strategy was significantly associated with a shorter puncture-to-recanalization time (38 vs. 55 minutes, P=0.036). In particular, in the 55 patients with the first-pass effect, multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that contact aspiration was significantly associated with a shorter time from puncture to first-pass effect, independent of age and etiology of large-artery atherosclerosis (hazard ratio 2.02, 95% confidence intervals 1.10–3.69, P=0.023). ConclusionThis study suggested that contact aspiration for basilar artery occlusion may shorten the puncture-to-first-pass effect, compared to stent retrievers and combined techniques.

Geriatric nutritional risk index and controller nutritional status score before metastatic first-line chemotherapy predict survival in patients over 70 years of age with metastatic bladder cancer.

Several prognostic factors have been identified in patients with metastatic bladder cancer (BC). As it is known, older adult patients are prone to nutritional deficiency. The knowledge about nutrition and impact on survival in older patients with metastatic bladder cancer is missing. It is necessary to specifically examine this population. Because timely interventions can make a positive impact on this patients population. This retrospective study aimed to evaluate the prognostic effect of the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI), Controller Nutritional Status (CONUT) score and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) before first-line chemotherapy in the metastatic stage in patients with metastatic bladder cancer over 70. Patients over 70 with pathologically confirmed denovo metastatic or recurrent metastatic bladder cancer were included in the study. Patients with infections diagnosed at the time of diagnosis, autoimmune diseases or history of steroid use were excluded. Since our population consists of a specific age group with a specific cancer, we found a new cut-off value by performing ROC analysis to ensure optimal sensitivity and specificity in terms of progression. Low GNRI value was related with poor nutritional status. Low PNI value was related with poor nutritional status and high CONUT score was related with poor nutritional status. Factors predicting overall survival (OS) and Progression-Free Survival (PFS) were assessed using both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses. 106 patients were included in the study and the average age was 75.5 years. In the GNRI-Low group, PFS was significantly shorter than that in the GNRI-High group [HR (95% CI) = 57.1 (12.8-255.5), (p < 0.001)]. Among those with a low-CONUT score, PFS was found to be longer than that in the high-CONUT group [HR (95% CI) = 1.7 (1.0-3.0), (p = 0.039)]. The median PFS of the PNI-Low group wasn't significantly shorter than that of the PNI-High group [HR (95% CI) = 1.8 (0.5-6.2), (p = 0.359)]. Our study suggests that the GNRI and CONUT scores are useful for predicting survival in patients over 70 years of age with BC.