Multivariate Cox Hazard Regression Analysis Research Articles

Long-term outcomes of aortic stenosis patients with different flow/gradient patterns undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation

Abstract Background Few data exist on the comparative long-term outcomes of severe aortic stenosis (AS) patients with different flow-gradient patterns undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). This study sought to evaluate the impact of the pre-TAVI flow-gradient pattern on long-term clinical outcomes after TAVI. Methods Consecutive patients with severe AS undergoing TAVI in our institution were screened and prospectively enrolled. Patients were divided into four subgroups according to pre-TAVI flow/gradient pattern: (i) low flow—low gradient (LF-LG): stroke volume indexed (SVi) ≤ 35 mL/m2 and mean gradient (MG) < 40 mmHg); (ii) normal flow—low gradient (NF-LG): SVi > 35 mL/m2 and MG < 40 mmHg; (iii) low flow—high gradient (LF-HG): Svi 35 mL/m2 and MG ≥ 40 mmHg and (iv) normal flow—high gradient (NF-HG): SVi > 35 mL/m2 and MG ≥ 40 mmHg. Clinical follow-up was obtained at 12 months, and yearly thereafter until 5-year follow-up was complete for all patients. Results A total of 272 patients with complete echocardiographic and clinical follow-up were included in our analysis. Their mean age was 80 ± 7 years and the majority of patients (N = 138, 50.8%) were women. 62 patients (22.8% of the study population) were distributed in the LF-LG group, 98 patients (36%) were LF-HG patients, 95 patients (34.9%) were NF-HG, and 17 patients (6.3%) were NF-LG. There was a greater prevalence of comorbidities among LF-LG AS patients. One-year all-cause mortality differed significantly between the four subgroups of AS patients (log-rank p: 0.022) and was more prevalent among LF-LG patients (25.8%) compared to LF-HG (11.3%), NF-HG (6.3%) and NF-LG patients (18.8%). At 5-year follow-up, global mortality remained persistently higher among LF-LG patients (64.5%) compared to LF-HG (47.9%), NF-HG (42.9%), and NF-LG patients (58.8%) (log-rank p: 0.029) (Figure 1). At multivariable Cox hazard regression analysis, baseline SVi (HR: 0.951, 95% C.I.; 0.918–0.984), the presence of at least moderate tricuspid regurgitation at baseline (HR: 3.091, 95% C.I: 1.645–5.809) and at least moderate paravalvular leak (PVL) post-TAVI (HR: 1.456, 95% C.I.: 1.106–1.792) were significant independent predictors of late global mortality. Conclusions Patients with LF-LG AS have acceptable 1-year outcomes, but exhibit exceedingly high 5-year mortality following TAVI. The presence of low transvalvular flow and at least moderate tricuspid regurgitation at baseline and significant paravalvular leak post-TAVI were associated with poorer long-term outcomes in the entire cohort of AS patients.

Metabolic score for insulin resistance as a predictor of mortality in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: results from a multicenter cohort study

BackgroundThe metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) has been validated as a novel, simple, and reliable surrogate marker for insulin resistance; however, its utility for evaluating the prognosis of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains to be elucidated. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the association between METS-IR and the long-term prognosis of HFpEF.MethodsWe enrolled a total of 4,702 participants with HFpEF in this study. The participants were divided into three groups according to METS-IR tertiles: (Ln [2 × fasting plasma glucose + fasting triglycerides] × body mass index) / (Ln [high-density lipoprotein cholesterol]). The occurrence of primary endpoints, including all-cause mortality and cardiovascular (CV) death, was documented.ResultsThere were 3,248 participants with HFpEF (mean age, 65.7 ± 13.8 years; male, 59.0%) in total who were included in the final analysis. The incidence of primary outcomes from the lowest to the highest METS-IR tertiles were 46.92, 86.01, and 124.04 per 1000 person-years for all-cause death and 26.75, 49.01, and 64.62 per 1000 person-years for CV death. The multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis revealed hazard ratios for all-cause and CV deaths of 2.48 (95% CI 2.10–2.93; P < 0.001) and 2.29 (95% CI 1.83–2.87; P < 0.001) when the highest and lowest METS-IR tertiles were compared, respectively. In addition, the predictive efficacy of METS-IR remained significant across various comorbidity subgroups (all P < 0.05). Further, adding the METS-IR to the baseline risk model for all-cause death improved the C-statistic value (0.690 for the baseline model vs. 0.729 for the baseline model + METS-IR, P < 0.01), the integrated discrimination improvement value (0.061, P < 0.01), the net reclassification improvement value (0.491, P < 0.01), and the clinical net benefit.ConclusionsAn elevated METS-IR, which is associated with an increased mortality risk, is a potential valuable prognostic marker for individuals with HFpEF.

The effect of non-insulin-based insulin resistance indices on the prediction of recurrence in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation

BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is acknowledged as a disease continuum. Despite catheter ablation being recommended as a primary therapy for AF, the high recurrence rates have tempered the initial enthusiasm. Insulin resistance (IR) has been established as an independent predictor for the onset of AF. However, the correlation between non-insulin-based IR indices and late AF recurrence in patients undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation remains unknown.MethodsA retrospective cohort of 910 AF patients who underwent radiofrequency catheter ablation was included in the analysis. The primary endpoint was late AF recurrence during the follow-up period after a defined blank period. The relationship between non-insulin-based IR indices and the primary endpoint was assessed using multivariate Cox hazards regression models and restricted cubic splines (RCS). Additionally, the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement index were calculated to further evaluate the additional predictive value of the four IR indices beyond established risk factors for the primary outcome.ResultsDuring a median follow-up period of 12.00 months, 189 patients (20.77%) experienced late AF recurrence, which was more prevalent among patients with higher levels of IR. The multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis revealed a significant association between these IR indices and late AF recurrence. Among the four indices, METS-IR provided the most significant incremental effect on the basic model for predicting late AF recurrence. Multivariable-adjusted RCS curves illustrated a nonlinear correlation between METS-IR and late AF recurrence. In subgroup analysis, METS-IR exhibited a significant correlation with late AF recurrence in patients with diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.697, 95% CI 1.397 − 2.063, P < 0.001).ConclusionAll the four non-insulin-based IR indices were significantly associated with late AF recurrence in patients undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation. Addressing IR could potentially serve as a viable strategy for reducing the late AF recurrence rate.

Major bleeding increases the risk of subsequent cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: insights from the SAKURA AF registry and RAFFINE registry.

Bleeding events are one of the major concerns in patients using oral anticoagulants (OACs). We aimed to evaluate the association between major bleeding and long-term clinical outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients taking OACs. We analyzed a database comprising two large-scale prospective registries of patients with documented AF: the RAFFINE and SAKURA registries. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), defined as the composite of all-cause death, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction. Major bleeding was defined in accordance with the criteria of the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis. Cox multivariate analysis was used to determine the impact of major bleeding on the incidence of MACCE. The median follow-up period was 39.7 (interquartile range, 33.1-48.1) months. Among 6,633 patients with AF who were taking OAC, 298 (4.5%) had major bleeding and 737 (11.1%) had MACCE. The incidence of MACCE was higher in patients with bleeding than in those without (18.33 and 3.22, respectively, per 100 patient-years; log-rank p < 0.0001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed older age, vitamin K antagonist use, and antiplatelet drug use as independent predictors of major bleeding. Median duration of MACCE occurrence after major bleeding was 41 (interquartile range, 3-300) days. Multivariate Cox hazard regression analysis showed that the risk of MACCE was significantly higher in patients with major bleeding compared to those without (hazard risk, 4.64; 95% confidence interval, 3.62-5.94; p < 0.0001). Major bleeding was associated with long-term adverse cardiovascular events among AF patients taking OAC. Therefore, reducing the risk of bleeding is important for improving clinical outcomes in patients with AF.

Risk of mortality associated to chronic kidney disease in patients with complete left bundle branch block

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with cardiac conduction defects and is a strong risk factor for heart failure. Complete left bundle branch block (cLBBB), a cardiac conduction abnormality, may have an unfavorable effect on ventricular mechanical synchrony and lead to the progression of heart failure. Once heart failure develops, it seems to act together with underlying CKD in a vicious circle. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the influence of CKD in patients with cLBBB by assessing the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We examined a hospital-based sample of 416 adult patients with cLBBB from 2010 to 2013. The eGFR was calculated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratio for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. A total of 416 adult patients with a mean age of 71 ± 13 years were enrolled. The median follow-up period was 3.6 years. After adjusting for clinical, electrocardiographic parameters, and medication use, cox regression analysis showed that total mortality was significantly associated with older age (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.03, 95% CI = 1.01–1.05, p = 0.002), presence of congestive heart failure (HR = 2.39, 95% CI = 1.63–3.49, p < 0.001), advanced CKD (HR = 2.48, 95% CI = 1.71–3.59, p < 0.001), higher HR (HR = 1.02, 95% CI = 1.01–1.03, p < 0.001) and without use of ACEI/ARB (HR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.41–0.85, p = 0.005) were independent predictors of the total mortality. Multivariate Cox hazard regression analysis demonstrated that, in comparison to patients lacking cLBBB, the coexistence of CKD (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2) among those with LBBB significantly heightened the risks of both total mortality (HR ratio of 5.01 vs. 2.40) and CV death (HR ratio of 61.78 vs. 14.41) even following adjustment for clinical covariates and ECG parameters. In summary, within patients exhibiting cLBBB, the presence of CKD serves as a significant risk factor for all-cause mortality.

Use of SATB2 and CDX2 Immunohistochemistry to Characterize and Diagnose Colorectal Cancer.

SATB2 has been reported to be highly specific for lower gastrointestinal tract tumors. On the basis of its ileum-colon conversion effects, which involve the activation of colonic genes in cooperation with CDX2 and HNF4A, we hypothesized that SATB2 and CDX2 might define the characteristics of colorectal cancers (CRCs). In the present study, the clinicopathologic and immunohistochemical characteristics of 269 CRCs were analyzed according to SATB2 and CDX2 expression. CRCs with SATB2- and/or CDX2- phenotypes showed associations with poorly differentiated histotypes ( P <0.00001), mucus production ( P =0.0019), and mismatch repair-deficient phenotypes ( P <0.00001). SATB2-/CDX2- CRCs were significantly associated with CK20-negativity, with or without CK7 expression ( P <0.00001), as well as with MUC5AC-positivity ( P <0.00001), and CD10-negativity ( P =0.00047). Negativity for SATB2 or CDX2 was associated with the expression of PD-L1 in both all CRC ( P <0.00001) and mismatch repair-proficient CRC ( P =0.000091). Multivariate Cox hazard regression analysis identified negativity for SATB2 and/or CDX2 as potential independent risk factors for patients with CRC. Regarding the diagnostic utility of SATB2, all of the 44 CRC metastases could be diagnosed as colorectal in origin if the immunohistochemical phenotypes (including CK7, CK20, and p53) of the primary lesions and patient history were considered. Among the other 684 tumors, we were unable to distinguish a case of CK7-/CK20+/CDX2+/SATB2+ ovarian mucinous cystadenocarcinoma from metastatic CRC without the patient history and clinical information.

Prognostic value of inflammation and immune-related gene NOD2 in clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

Inflammation and immune responses play important roles in cancer development and prognosis. We identified 59 upregulated inflammation- and immune-related genes (IIRGs) in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. Among the upregulated IIRGs, nucleotide binding oligomerization domain 2 (NOD2), PYD and CARD domain (PYCARD) were also confirmed to be upregulated in the Oncomine database and in three independent GEO data sets. Tumor immune infiltration resource database analysis revealed that NOD2 and PYCARD levels were significantly positively correlated with infiltration levels of B cells, CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, neutrophils, macrophages and dendritic cells. Multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis indicated that based on clinical variables (age, gender, tumor grade, pathological TNM stage), NOD2, but not PYCARD, was an independent, unfavorable ccRCC prognostic biomarker. Functional enrichment analyses (GSEA) showed that NOD2 was involved in innate immune responses, inflammatory responses, and regulation of cytokine secretion. Meanwhile, mRNA and protein levels of NOD2 were elevated in four ccRCC cell lines (786-O, ACHN, A498 and Caki-1), and its knockdown significantly inhibited IL-8 secretion, thereby inhibiting ccRCC cell proliferation and invasion. Furthermore, results showed that miR-20b-5p targeted NOD2 to alleviate NOD2-mediated IL-8 secretion. In conclusion, NOD2 is a potential prognostic biomarker for ccRCC and the miR-20b-5p/NOD2/IL-8 axis may regulate inflammation- and immune-mediated tumorigenesis in ccRCC.

Clinical features and prognosis of systemic lupus erythematosus complicated by active cytomegalovirus infection: a retrospective cohort study.

The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical traits and consequences of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) complicated by active cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection. This retrospective review involved the examination of medical records for patients diagnosed with SLE who had an active CMV infection at the time of their discharge from Peking Union Medical College Hospital between June 2016 and December 2022. The consistency between plasma CMV deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) viral load and pp65 antigenemia was analyzed using the chi-square test. Related factors for CMV disease in SLE complicated by active CMV infection patients were analyzed by univariate analysis and multivariable stepwise logistic regression. Cox hazards regression analysis was used to determine predictors for all-cause mortality and CMV recurrence within 3 months. A total of 206 patients were enrolled in this study. Of the 123 patients who were detected with both plasma CMV DNA viral load and pp65 antigenemia within an interval not exceeding 72 h, the consistency between plasma CMV DNA viral load and pp65 antigenemia was not good (Kappa = -0.304, p < 0.001). Plasma CMV DNA viral load ≥ 1,600 copies/mL [odds ratio (OR) 4.411, 95% CI 1.871-10.402, p = 0.001], current glucocorticoids dose (equivalent to prednisolone) ≥60 mg/d (OR 2.155, 95% CI 1.071-4.334, p = 0.031), and elevated alanine transaminase (OR 3.409, 95% CI 1.563-7.435, p = 0.002) were significant clinical clues indicating CMV disease in SLE. Multivariable Cox hazards regression analysis showed that CMV organ involvement [hazard ratio (HR) 47.222, 95% CI 5.621-396.689, p < 0.001], SLE multi-system involvement (HR 1.794, 95% CI 1.029-3.128, p = 0.039), and elevated hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) (HR 5.767, 95% CI 1.190-27.943, p = 0.030) were independent risk factors for 3-month all-cause mortality. CMV organ involvement (HR 3.404, 95% CI 1.074-10.793, p = 0.037) was an independent risk factor for CMV recurrence within 3 months. In SLE patients, plasma CMV DNA viral load seemed to have a higher value in the diagnosis of CMV disease; patients with CMV organ involvement, SLE multi-system involvement, and elevated hsCRP might have a higher risk of 3-month all-cause mortality; and patients with CMV organ involvement might have a higher risk of CMV recurrence within 3 months.

Simultaneous Expression of CD70 and POSTN in Cancer-Associated Fibroblasts Predicts Worse Survival of Colorectal Cancer Patients.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common gastrointestinal cancers worldwide, with high morbidity and mortality rates. The evidence for the tumor-supporting capacities of cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) that modulate cancer cell proliferation, invasion, metastasis, and tumor immunity, including in CRC, has been attracting attention. The present study examined the expression status of CD70 and POSTN in CRC and analyzed their association with clinicopathological features and clinical outcomes. In the present study, in total 15% (40/269) and 44% (119/269) of cases exhibited CD70 and POSTN expression on CAFs, respectively. Co-expression of CD70 and POSTN was detected in 8% (21/269) of patients. Fluorescent immunohistochemistry identified the co-expression of CD70 and POSTN with FAP and PDPN, respectively. ACTA2 was not co-expressed with CD70 or POSTN in CRC CAFs. CRC with CD70+/POSTN+ status in CAFs was significantly associated with distant organ metastasis (p = 0.0020) or incomplete resection status (p = 0.0011). CD70+/POSTN+ status tended to associate with advanced pT stage (p = 0.032) or peritoneal metastasis (p = 0.0059). Multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis identified CD70+/POSTN+ status in CAFs [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.78] as a potential independent risk factor. In vitro experiments revealed the activated phenotypes of colonic fibroblasts induced by CD70 and POSTN, while migration and invasion assays identified enhanced migration and invasion of CRC cells co-cultured with CD70- and POSTN-expressing colonic fibroblasts. On the basis of our observations, CD70 and POSTN immunohistochemistry can be used in the prognostication of CRC patients. CRC CAFs may be a promising target in the treatment of CRC patients.

Long-Term Outcomes of Aortic Stenosis Patients with Different Flow/Gradient Patterns Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation.

Background: Few data exist on the comparative long-term outcomes of severe aortic stenosis (AS) patients with different flow-gradient patterns undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). This study sought to evaluate the impact of the pre-TAVI flow-gradient pattern on long-term clinical outcomes after TAVI and assess changes in the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of different subtypes of AS patients following TAVI. Methods: Consecutive patients with severe AS undergoing TAVI in our institution were screened and prospectively enrolled. Patients were divided into four subgroups according to pre-TAVI flow/gradient pattern: (i) low flow-low gradient (LF-LG): stroke volume indexed (SVi) ≤ 35 mL/m2 and mean gradient (MG) < 40 mmHg); (ii) normal flow-low gradient (NF-LG): SVi > 35 mL/m2 and MG < 40 mmHg; (iii) low flow-high gradient (LF-HG): Svi 35 mL/m2 and MG ≥ 40 mmHg and (iv) normal flow-high gradient (NF-HG): SVi > 35 mL/m2 and MG ≥ 40 mmHg. Transthoracic echocardiography was repeated at 1-year follow-up. Clinical follow-up was obtained at 12 months, and yearly thereafter until 5-year follow-up was complete for all patients. Results: A total of 272 patients with complete echocardiographic and clinical follow-up were included in our analysis. Their mean age was 80 ± 7 years and the majority of patients (N = 138, 50.8%) were women. 62 patients (22.8% of the study population) were distributed in the LF-LG group, 98 patients (36%) were LF-HG patients, 95 patients (34.9%) were NF-HG, and 17 patients (6.3%) were NF-LG. There was a greater prevalence of comorbidities among LF-LG AS patients. One-year all-cause mortality differed significantly between the four subgroups of AS patients (log-rank p: 0.022) and was more prevalent among LF-LG patients (25.8%) compared to LF-HG (11.3%), NF-HG (6.3%) and NF-LG patients (18.8%). At 5-year follow-up, global mortality remained persistently higher among LF-LG patients (64.5%) compared to LF-HG (47.9%), NF-HG (42.9%), and NF-LG patients (58.8%) (log-rank p: 0.029). At multivariable Cox hazard regression analysis, baseline SVi (HR: 0.951, 95% C.I.; 0.918-0.984), the presence of at least moderate tricuspid regurgitation at baseline (HR: 3.091, 95% C.I: 1.645-5.809) and at least moderate paravalvular leak (PVL) post-TAVI (HR: 1.456, 95% C.I.: 1.106-1.792) were significant independent predictors of late global mortality. LF-LG patients and LF-HG patients exhibited a significant increase in LVEF at 1-year follow-up. A lower LVEF (p < 0.001) and a lower Svi (p < 0.001) at baseline were associated with LVEF improvement at 1-year. Conclusions: Patients with LF-LG AS have acceptable 1-year outcomes with significant improvement in LVEF at 1-year follow-up, but exhibit exceedingly high 5-year mortality following TAVI. The presence of low transvalvular flow and at least moderate tricuspid regurgitation at baseline and significant paravalvular leak post-TAVI were associated with poorer long-term outcomes in the entire cohort of AS patients. The presence of a low LVEF or a low SVi predicts LVEF improvement at 1-year.

To what extent the weight changes impact the risk of hypertension among menopausal women: insights from Tehran lipid and glucose study

Background & aimThe association between weight change and incident hypertension (HTN) in menopausal women has not been well characterized. This study aimed to determine whether weight changes after menopausal years make a difference in incidents of hypertension.Materials & methodsThis population-based study was performed using data collected from Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study cohort (1999–2018). Women who had natural and early menopause were followed up every 3 years. Data gathering was performed through the standard protocol of the study. Statistical analysis was performed using multivariable Cox hazard regression analysis. We used the ‘survival’ package in the R software version 3.6.0 to fit survival models.ResultsA total of 487 menopausal women met the inclusion criteria; 62.6% had natural menopause and remained had early menopause. Among the participants, 65.5% experienced HTN. The highest proportion of participants had > 5% weight gain, while the lowest had 3–5% weight gain. Either losing body weight (lost > 5%: HR: 0.44; CI 95%, 0.32, 0.62; p < 0.001), (lost 3–5%; HR: 0.47; CI 95%, 0.26, 0.84; p = 0.01), and weight gain > 5% (HR: 0.69; CI 95%, 0.51, 0.91; p = 0.01), were associated with decreased risk of HTN after adjustment for confounders. In this study, weight loss and gain have a protective impact on the development of HTN in subjects. For incident HTN, age (HR: 1.04 (1.01, 1.08), p = 0.004), fasting blood glucose (HR: 1.01, CI 95%:1.00, 1.01; p < 0.001), body mass index (1.02 (1.00, 1.05), p = 0.03) and smoking (1.70 (1.11, 2.58), p = 0.01) were positively associated with HTN.ConclusionsOur study indicates the significant association of weight change with hypertension risk in later life among menopausal women.

Survival benefits of the wait-and-grow approach in small babies (≤2000 g) requiring heart surgery

ObjectiveThe best approach to minimize the observed higher mortality of newborn infants with low birth weight who require congenital heart surgery is unclear. This retrospective study was designed to review outcomes of newborn infants weighing <2000 g who have undergone cardiovascular surgery to identify patient parameters and clinical strategies for care associated with higher survival. MethodsA retrospective chart review of 103 patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery from 2010 to 2021 who were identified as having low birth weight (≤2000 g). Patients who underwent only patent ductus arteriosus ligation or weighing >3500 g at surgery were excluded. ResultsMedian age was 24 days and weight at the time of surgery was 1920 g. Twenty-six (25%) operative mortalities were recorded. Median follow-up period was 2.7 years. The 1- and 3-year overall Kaplan-Meier survival estimate was 72.4% ± 4.5% and 69.1% ± 4.6%. The 1-year survival of patients who had a weight increase >300 g from birth to surgery was far superior to the survival of those who did not achieve such a weight gain (81.4% ± 5.6% vs 64.0% ± 6.7%; log-rank P = .04). By multivariable Cox-hazard regression analysis, the independent predictor of 1-year mortality was genetic syndrome (hazard ratio, 3.54; 95% CI, 1.67-7.82; P < .001), whereas following a strategy of increasing weight from birth to surgery resulted in lower mortality (hazard ratio, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.24-0.90; P = .02). ConclusionsA strategy of wait and grow for newborn infants with very low birth weight requiring heart surgery results in better survival than immediate surgery provided that the patient's condition allows for this waiting period.

Intraoperative radiotherapy in recurrent IDH-wildtype glioblastoma with gross total resection: A single-center retrospective study

BackgroundIsocitrate dehydrogenase-wildtype (IDHwt) glioblastoma (GBM) is one of the most aggressive primary brain tumors. The recurrence of GBM is almost inevitable. As an adjuvant option to surgery, intraoperative radiotherapy (IORT) is gaining increasing attention in the treatment of glioma. This study is aimed to evaluate the therapeutic efficacy of IORT on recurrent IDHwt GBM. MethodsIn total, 34 recurrent IDHwt GBM patients who received a second surgery were included in the analysis (17 in the surgery group and 17 in the surgery + IORT group). ResultsThe progression-free survival and overall survival after the second surgery were defined as PFS2 and OS2, respectively. The median PFS2 was 7.3 months (95% CI: 6.3–10.5) and 10.6 months (95% CI: 9.3–14.6) for those patients who received surgery and surgery + IORT, respectively. Patients in the surgery + IORT group also had a longer OS2 (12.8 months, 95% CI: 11.4–17.2) than those in the surgery group (9.3 months, 95% CI: 8.9–12.9). The Kaplan–Meier survival curves, analyzed by log-rank test, revealed a statistically significant difference in PFS2 and OS2 between both groups, suggesting that IORT plays an active role in the observed benefits for PFS2 and OS2. The effects of IORT on PFS2 and OS2 were further confirmed by multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis. Two patients in the surgery group developed distant glioma metastases, and no radiation-related complications were observed in the IORT group. ConclusionsThis study suggests that low-dose IORT may improve the prognosis of recurrent IDHwt GBM patients. Future prospective large-scale studies are needed to validate the efficacy and safety of IORT.

Establishment and assessment of a nomogram for predicting prognosis in bone-metastatic prostate cancer.

For the purposes of patients' consultation, condition assessments, and guidance for clinicians' choices, we developed a prognostic predictive model to evaluate the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of bone-metastatic prostate cancer (PCa) patients. We gathered data from 5522 patients with bone metastatic PCa registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to develop a nomogram. A total of 359 bone metastatic PCas were collected from 2 hospitals to validate the nomogram and assess its discriminatory ability. In addition, we plotted the actual survival against the predicted risk to assess the calibration accuracy. Moreover, we designed a web calculator to quickly obtain accurate survival probability outcomes. Univariate and multivariate Cox hazard regression analyses suggested that age, marital status, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, Gleason score, clinical T stage, N stage, surgery, and chemotherapy were closely associated with OS rates. The calibration charts of the training and validation groups showed a high accuracy and reliability. The decision curve analysis (DCA) suggested a favorable clinical net benefit. Based on demography and clinical pathology, we developed a reliable nomogram to help clinicians more accurately predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of patients with bone metastatic PCa to guide evaluation and treatment.

Association between cerebrovascular disease and perioperative neurocognitive disorders: a retrospective cohort study.

Previous studies have shown that patients with cerebrovascular disease (CVD) have a significantly increased risk of cognitive decline or dementia; however, the association between preoperative CVD and perioperative neurocognitive disorders (PNDs) remains unclear. This study aimed to explore the correlation between preoperative CVD and PNDs, as well as combine logistic regression and ROC curves to construct a clinical prediction PND model. This retrospective cohort study evaluated 13,899 surgical patients of a large-scale comprehensive hospital between January 2021 and January 2022 to explore the association between preoperative CVD and PNDs, with follow-up to monitor postoperative survival until February 28, 2023, unless the patient died. The study participants comprised all inpatients from the Bone and Joint Surgery, Spine Surgery, Urology, Hepatobiliary Surgery, Gastrointestinal Surgery, and Thoracic Surgery departments. Patients were classified into two groups: the CVD group with a confirmed diagnosis and the non-cerebrovascular disease (NCVD) group. The incidence of PNDs was measured, and potential associations between patient demographic information, preoperative comorbidities, and CVD, as well as the correlation between preoperative CVD and PNDs, were investigated by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Next, we constructed a clinical prediction PND model by drawing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The postoperative survival of all patients was tracked, and a survival curve was constructed and incorporated into the Cox proportional hazard regression model to analyze the relationship between preoperative CVD and overall postoperative survival rate. Of the included 13,899 patients, propensity score matching yielded 1006 patient pairs. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that CVD was an independent risk factor for PNDs [Odds ratio: 10.193; 95% confidence interval: 7.454-13.938; P<0.001]. Subsequently, we developed a clinical prediction model for PNDs by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The area under the ROC curve was 0.798 (95% CI: 0.765-0.830). The survival of 11,702 patients was followed up. Multivariate Cox hazard ratio regression analysis revealed that CVD affected the overall postoperative survival rate (Hazard ratio, 1.398; 95% confidence interval: 1.112-1.758; P＜0.001). CVD was an independent risk factor for PNDs and affected the overall postoperative survival rate of surgical patients with preoperative CVD.

Active surveillance in favorable intermediate-risk prostate cancer: A single-center experience

PurposeTo report the long-term oncological outcomes of active surveillance (AS) in selected patients with favorable intermediate-risk (IR) prostate cancer (PCa). MethodsA retrospective database review of two academic centers was conducted to identify favorable IR PCa patients initially managed by AS between 2014 and 2022. Favorable IR PCa was defined by the presence of one single element of IR disease (i.e., PSA 10–20ng/mL, Gleason Grade Group [GG] 2, or cT2b). All patients were diagnosed and followed up according to a contemporary scheme, including MRI and image-guided biopsies. The primary endpoint was metastasis-free survival. ResultsA total of 57 patients met our inclusion criteria and the median follow-up was 56months. During follow-up, there were no cases of metastasis or death due to PCa, but 6 deaths due to competing causes. A total of 25 (44%) and 6 patients (11%) had definitive treatment and GG 3 reclassification during follow-up, respectively. In multivariable Cox hazard regression analysis, the risk of undergoing definitive treatment was significantly associated with PSA density>0.15 (HR: 4.82, 95% CI: 1.47 to 15; P=0.01) and PI-RADS 4-5 lesions on mpMRI (HR: 2.48, 95% CI: 1.06 to 5.19; P=0.006). Interestingly, tumor burden (P=0.3) and GG (P=0.7) on biopsy were not associated with definitive treatment. ConclusionsAS is a safe and valuable strategy for well-selected patients with favorable IR prostate cancer, with excellent oncological outcomes after five years’ follow-up. Level of evidence4

Preoperative assessment of microvascular invasion risk using gadoxetate-enhanced MRI for predicting outcomes after liver transplantation for single hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria.

To compare therapeutic outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) between hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) with low and high risk for microvascular invasion (MVI) within the Milan criteria evaluated preoperatively. Eighty patients with a single HCC who underwent LT as the initial therapy between 2008 and 2017 were included from two tertiary referral medical centers in a HBV-predominant population. A preoperative MVI-risk model was used to identify low- and high-risk patients. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) after LT between the two risk groups was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves with the log-rank test. Prognostic factors for RFS were identified using a multivariable Cox hazard regression analysis. Eighty patients were included (mean age, 51.8 years +/- 7.5 [standard deviation], 65 men). Patients were divided into low-risk (n = 64) and high-risk (n = 16) groups for MVI. The RFS rates after LT were significantly lower in the MVI high-risk group compared to the low-risk group at 1 year (75.0% [95% CI: 56.5-99.5%] vs. 96.9% [92.7-100%], p = 0.048), 3 years (62.5% [42.8-91.4%] vs. 95.3% [90.3-100%], p = 0.008), and 5 years (62.5% [42.8-91.4%] vs. and 95.3% [90.3-100%], p = 0.008). In addition, multivariable analysis showed that MVI high risk was the only significant factor for poor RFS (p = 0.016). HCC patients with a high risk of MVI showed significantly lower RFS after LT than those without. This model could aid in selecting optimal candidates in addition to the Milan criteria when considering upfront LT for patients with HCC if alternative treatment options are available. High risk for microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma patients lowered recurrence-free survival after liver transplantation, despite meeting the Milan criteria. Identifying MVI risk could aid candidate selection for upfront liver transplantation, particularly if alternative treatments are available. • A predictive model-derived microvascular invasion (MVI) high- and low-risk groups had a significant difference in the incidence of MVI on pathology. • Recurrence-free survival after liver transplantation (LT) for single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria was significantly different between the MVI high- and low-risk groups. • The peak incidence of tumor recurrence was 20 months after liver transplantation, probably indicating that HCC with high risk for MVI had a high risk of early (≤ 2 years) tumor recurrence.

Association between the triglyceride–glucose index and the risk of mortality among patients with chronic heart failure: results from a retrospective cohort study in China

BackgroundThe triglyceride–glucose (TyG) index has been demonstrated to be a reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance (IR) and an effective predictive index of cardiovascular (CV) disease risk. However, its long-term prognostic value in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) remains uncertain.MethodsA total of 6697 consecutive patients with CHF were enrolled in this study. Patients were divided into tertiles according to their TyG index. The incidence of primary outcomes, including all-cause death and CV death, was recorded. The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting blood glucose (mg/dL)/2].ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 3.9 years, a total of 2158 (32.2%) all-cause deaths and 1305 (19.5%) CV deaths were documented. The incidence of primary events from the lowest to the highest TyG index tertiles were 50.61, 64.64, and 92.25 per 1000 person-years for all-cause death and 29.05, 39.40, and 57.21 per 1000 person-years for CV death. The multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis revealed hazard ratios for all-cause and CV deaths of 1.84 (95% CI 1.61–2.10; P for trend < 0.001) and 1.94 (95% CI 1.63–2.30; P for trend < 0.001) when the highest and lowest TyG index tertiles were compared. In addition, the predictive ability of the TyG index against all-cause death was more prominent among patients with metabolic syndrome and those with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction phenotype (both P for interaction < 0.05).Furthermore, adding the TyG index to the established model for all-cause death improved the C‑statistic value (0.710 for the established model vs. 0.723 for the established model + TyG index, P < 0.01), the integrated discrimination improvement value (0.011, P < 0.01), the net reclassification improvement value (0.273, P < 0.01), and the clinical net benefit (probability range, 0.07–0.36).ConclusionsThe TyG index was significantly associated with the risk of mortality, suggesting that it may be a reliable and valuable predictor for risk stratification and an effective prognostic indicator in patients with CHF.

Robot-assisted radical prostatectomy following holmium laser enucleation of the prostate: perioperative, functional, and oncological outcomes.

Robot-assisted radical prostatectomy with previous holmium laser enucleation of the prostate is challenging, and few studies have analyzed its perioperative, functional, and oncological outcomes. Here we retrospectively evaluated 298 robot-assisted radical prostatectomies, including 25 with and 273 without previous holmium laser enucleation of the prostate, performed in 2015-2022. Regarding perioperative outcomes, operative and console times were significantly longer in the previous holmium laser enucleation of the prostate group. In contrast, the estimated blood loss was similar between groups, and there were no transfusions or intraoperative complications. Multivariable Cox hazard regression analysis of the functional outcomes of postoperative urinary continence showed that body mass index, intraoperative bladder neck repair, and nerve sparing were independently associated factors, whereas a history of holmium laser enucleation of the prostate was not. Similarly, a history of holmium laser enucleation of the prostate was not associated with biochemical recurrence; however, positive surgical margins and seminal vesicle invasion were independent risk factors of biochemical recurrence. Our findings revealed that robot-assisted radical prostatectomy after holmium laser enucleation of the prostate was safe and raised no concerns of postoperative urinary incontinence or biochemical recurrence. Therefore, robot-assisted radical prostatectomy may be a treatment option for patients with prostate cancer after holmium laser enucleation of the prostate.

Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance (METS-IR) Predicts Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Ischemic Cardiomyopathy.

This study aimed to evaluate the association between metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) and adverse cardiovascular events in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METS-IR was calculated using the following formula: ln[(2 × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL) + fasting triglyceride (mg/dL)] × body mass index (kg/m2)/(ln[high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (mg/dL)]). Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were defined as the composite outcome of nonfatal myocardial infarction, cardiac death, and rehospitalization for heart failure. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between METS-IR and adverse outcomes. The predictive value of METS-IR was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC), continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). The incidence of MACEs increased with METS-IR tertiles at a 3‑year follow‑up. Kaplan‒Meier curves showed a significant difference in event-free survival probability between METS-IR tertiles (P<0.05). Multivariate Cox hazard regression analysis adjusting for multiple confounding factors showed that when comparing the highest and lowest METS-IR tertiles, the hazard ratio was 1.886 (95% CI:1.613-2.204; P<0.001). Adding METS-IR to the established risk model had an incremental effect on the predicted value of MACEs (AUC=0.637, 95% CI:0.605-0.670, P<0.001; NRI=0.191, P<0.001; IDI=0.028, P<0.001). METS-IR, a simple score of insulin resistance, predicts the occurrence of MACEs in patients with ICM and T2DM, independent of known cardiovascular risk factors. These results suggest that METS-IR may be a useful marker for risk stratification and prognosis in patients with ICM and T2DM.