Multivariable Competing Risk Analysis Research Articles

High Prevalence and Clinical Relevance of Intrapulmonary Vascular Dilatations in Patients Undergoing TIPS Implantation

Background and AimsConsiderate patient selection is vital to ensure best possible outcomes after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) insertion. However, data regarding the impact of intrapulmonary vascular dilatations (IPVD) or hepatopulmonary syndrome (HPS) on the clinical course after TIPS implantation is lacking. Hence, this study aimed to investigate the relevance of IPVD and HPS in patients undergoing TIPS implantation. MethodsContrast enhanced echocardiography and blood gas analysis were utilized to determine presence of IPVD and HPS. Multivariable competing risk analyses were performed to evaluate cardiac decompensation (CD), hepatic decompensation (HD) and liver transplant (LTx)-free survival within one-year of follow up. ResultsOverall, 265 patients were included, of whom 136 had IPVD and 71 fulfilled the HPS criteria. Patients with IPVD had lower Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival (FIPS) scores, lower creatinine and more often received a TIPS because of variceal bleeding. Presence of IPVD was associated with a significantly higher incidence of CD (HR: 1.756 95%CI: 1.011-3.048 p=0.046) and HD (HR: 1.841 95%CI: 1.255-2.701 p=0.002). However, LTx-free survival was comparable between patients with and without IPVD (HR: 1.081 95%CI: 0.630-1.855, p=0.780). Patients with HPS displayed a trend towards more CD (HR: 1.708 95%CI: 0.935-3.122, p=0.082) and HD (HR: 1.458 95%CI: 0.934-2.275, p=0.097) that failed to reach statistical significance. LTx-free survival did not differ in those with HPS compared to patients without HPS, respectively (HR: 1.052 95%CI: 0.577-1.921, p=0.870). ConclusionScreening for IPVD before TIPS implantation could help to further identify patients at higher risk of cardiac and hepatic decompensation.

Prognostic impact and causality of age on oncological outcomes in women with endometrial cancer: a multimethod analysis of the randomised PORTEC-1, PORTEC-2, and PORTEC-3 trials

Numerous studies have shown that older women with endometrial cancer have a higher risk of recurrence and cancer-related death. However, it remains unclear whether older age is a causal prognostic factor, or whether other risk factors become increasingly common with age. We aimed to address this question with a unique multimethod study design using state-of-the-art statistical and causal inference techniques on datasets of three large, randomised trials. In this multimethod analysis, data from 1801 women participating in the randomised PORTEC-1, PORTEC-2, and PORTEC-3 trials were used for statistical analyses and causal inference. The cohort included 714 patients with intermediate-risk endometrial cancer, 427 patients with high-intermediate risk endometrial cancer, and 660 patients with high-risk endometrial cancer. Associations of age with clinicopathological and molecular features were analysed using non-parametric tests. Multivariable competing risk analyses were performed to determine the independent prognostic value of age. To analyse age as a causal prognostic variable, a deep learning causal inference model called AutoCI was used. Median follow-up as estimated using the reversed Kaplan-Meier method was 12·3 years (95% CI 11·9-12·6) for PORTEC-1, 10·5 years (10·2-10·7) for PORTEC-2, and 6·1 years (5·9-6·3) for PORTEC-3. Both overall recurrence and endometrial cancer-specific death significantly increased with age. Moreover, older women had a higher frequency of deep myometrial invasion, serous tumour histology, and p53-abnormal tumours. Age was an independent risk factor for both overall recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1·02 per year, 95% CI 1·01-1·04; p=0·0012) and endometrial cancer-specific death (HR 1·03 per year, 1·01-1·05; p=0·0012) and was identified as a significant causal variable. This study showed that advanced age was associated with more aggressive tumour features in women with endometrial cancer, and was independently and causally related to worse oncological outcomes. Therefore, our findings suggest that older women with endometrial cancer should not be excluded from diagnostic assessments, molecular testing, and adjuvant therapy based on their age alone. None.

Epstein-Barr virus-associated post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorders in pediatric transplantation: A prospective multicenter study in the United States.

Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-associated post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorders (PTLD) is the most common malignancy in children after transplant; however, difficulties for early detection may worsen the prognosis. The prospective, multicenter, study enrolled 944 children (≤21 years of age). Of these, 872 received liver, heart, kidney, intestinal, or multivisceral transplants in seven US centers between 2014 and 2019 (NCT02182986). In total, 34 pediatric EBV+ PTLD (3.9%) were identified by biopsy. Variables included sex, age, race, ethnicity, transplanted organ, EBV viral load, pre-transplant EBV serology, immunosuppression, response to chemotherapy and rituximab, and histopathological diagnosis. The uni-/multivariable competing risk analyses revealed the combination of EBV-seropositive donor and EBV-naïve recipient (D+R-) was a significant risk factor for PTLD development (sub-hazard ratio: 2.79 [1.34-5.78], p = .006) and EBV DNAemia (2.65 [1.72-4.09], p < .001). Patients with D+R- were significantly more associated with monomorphic/polymorphic PTLD than those with the other combinations (p = .02). Patients with monomorphic/polymorphic PTLD (n = 21) had significantly more EBV DNAemia than non-PTLD patients (p < .001) and an earlier clinical presentation of PTLD than patients with hyperplasias (p < .001), within 6-month post-transplant. Among non-liver transplant recipients, monomorphic/polymorphic PTLD were significantly more frequent than hyperplasias in patients ≥5 years of age at transplant (p = .01). D+R- is a risk factor for PTLD and EBV DNAemia and associated with the incidence of monomorphic/polymorphic PTLD. Intensive follow-up of EBV viral load within 6-month post-transplant, especially for patients with D+R- and/or non-liver transplant recipients ≥5 years of age at transplant, may help detect monomorphic/polymorphic PTLD early in pediatric transplant.

The Prognostic Value of Left Ventricular Entropy From T1 Mapping in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy

BackgroundThe prognostic value of left ventricular (LV) entropy in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is unclear. ObjectivesThis study aimed to assess the prognostic value of LV entropy from T1 mapping in HCM. MethodsA total of 748 participants with HCM, who underwent cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), were consecutively enrolled. LV entropy was quantified by native T1 mapping. A competing risk analysis and a Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were performed to identify potential associations of LV entropy with sudden cardiac death (SCD) and cardiovascular death (CVD), respectively. ResultsA total of 40 patients with HCM experienced SCD, and 65 experienced CVD during a median follow-up of 43 months. Participants with increased LV entropy (≥4.06) were more likely to experience SCD and CVD (all P < 0.05) in the entire study cohort or the subgroup with low late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) extent (<15%). After adjustment for the European Society of Cardiology predictors and the presence of high LGE extent (≥15%), LV mean entropy was an independent predictor for SCD (HR: 1.03; all P < 0.05) by the multivariable competing risk analysis and CVD (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.03-1.09; P < 0.001) by multivariable Cox regression analysis. ConclusionsLV mean entropy derived from native T1 mapping, reflecting myocardial tissue heterogeneity, was an independent predictor of SCD and CVD in participants with HCM. (Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging Clinical Application Registration Study; ChiCTR1900024094)

Prediction of all-cause death and specific causes of death in patients with gastric cancer with liver metastasis: a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results–based study

BackgroundGastric cancer (GC), considered the fifth most prevalent malignancy, is the fourth leading cause of cancer death worldwide. This cancer is heterogeneous and invasive and often metastasizes to the liver. The survival of patients with GC, especially cancer-specific survival (CSS), is a matter of concern to their families and medical workers in clinical practice. However, efficient tools for early risk prediction are lacking. Thus, this study aimed to develop a nomogram for forecasting the overall survival (OS) and CSS of patients with GC with liver metastasis (GCLM) based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. MethodsInformation on individuals with GCLM was acquired from the SEER database from January 2000 to December 2015. Patients’ data were randomized into the train cohort and the test cohort. The independent factors for CSS and OS were determined by univariate and multivariate competing risk analyses and Cox proportional hazards analysis, and the nomograms for predicting CSS and OS were constructed. The receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve were used to measure the accuracy and calibration of nomograms. ResultsOur study included 4372 patients with GCLM, with 3060 patients in the train set and 1312 in the test set. The mean follow-up period was 12.31 months. The independent factors influencing the OS of patients with GCLM were age, bone metastasis, chemotherapy, grade, lung metastasis, stage, primary site, radiotherapy, surgical primary site, T stage, and tumor size. The concordance Index (C-index) of the constructed nomogram for OS were 0.718 (SE, 0.004) in the train set and 0.0.680 (SE, 0.006) in the test set. The independent factors affecting the CSS of patients with GCLM were age, chemotherapy, grade, lung metastasis, stage, radiotherapy, regional lymph node positive, surgical primary site, and total number of tumors. The C-index for the constructed nomogram for CSS were 0.696 (SE, 0.005) in the train set and 0.696 (SE, 0.008) in the test set. ConclusionThe constructed nomograms showed satisfactory performance in predicting the OS and CSS of patients with GCLM, which can help clinicians formulate follow-up and rehabilitation strategies conducive to survival. At the same time, it can provide more family and social support for high-risk groups.

Relationship of Mild to Moderate Impairment of Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction With Fatal Ventricular Arrhythmic Events in Cardiac Sarcoidosis.

Current guidelines recommend placing an implantable cardiac defibrillator for patients with cardiac sarcoidosis and a severely impaired left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of ≤35%. In this study, we determined the association between mild or moderate LVEF impairment and fatal ventricular arrhythmic event (FVAE). We retrospectively analyzed 401 patients with cardiac sarcoidosis without sustained ventricular arrhythmia at diagnosis. The primary end point was an FVAE, defined as the combined endpoint of documented ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation and sudden cardiac death. Two cutoff points for LVEF were used:a sex-specific lower threshold of normal range of LVEF (52% for men and 54% for women) and an LVEF of 35%, which is used in the current guidelines. During a median follow-up of 3.2 years, 58 FVAEs were observed, and the 5- and 10-year estimated incidences of FVAEs were 16.8% and 23.0%, respectively. All patients were classified into 3 groups according to LVEF: impaired LVEF group, mild to moderate impairment of LVEF group, and maintained LVEF group. Multivariable competing risk analysis showed that both the impaired LVEF group (hazard ratio [HR], 3.24 [95% CI, 1.49-7.04]) and the mild to moderate impairment of LVEF group (HR, 2.16 [95% CI, 1.04-4.46]) were associated with a higher incidence of FVAEs than the maintained LVEF group after adjustment for covariates. Patients with cardiac sarcoidosis are at a high risk of FVAEs, regardless of documented ventricular arrhythmia at the time of diagnosis. In patients with cardiac sarcoidosis, mild to moderate impairment of LVEF is associated with FVAEs.

Diameter and dissection of the abdominal aorta and the risk of distal aortic reoperation after surgery for type A aortic dissection

BackgroundSurgery for Stanford type A aortic dissection (TAAD) is associated with an increased risk of late aortic reoperations due to degeneration of the dissected aorta. MethodsThe subjects of this analysis were 990 TAAD patients who survived surgery for acute TAAD and had complete data on the diameter and dissection status of all aortic segments. ResultsAfter a mean follow-up of 4.2 ± 3.6 years, 60 patients underwent 85 distal aortic reoperations. Ten-year cumulative incidence of distal aortic reoperation was 9.6%. Multivariable competing risk analysis showed that the maximum preoperative diameter of the abdominal aorta (SHR 1.041, 95%CI 1.008–1.075), abdominal aorta dissection (SHR 2.133, 95%CI 1.156–3.937) and genetic syndromes (SHR 2.840, 95%CI 1.001–8.060) were independent predictors of distal aortic reoperation. Patients with a maximum diameter of the abdominal aorta >30 mm and/or abdominal aortic dissection had a cumulative incidence of 10-year distal aortic reoperation of 12.0% compared to 5.7% in those without these risk factors (adjusted SHR 2.076, 95%CI 1.062–4.060). ConclusionTAAD patients with genetic syndromes, and increased size and dissection of the abdominal aorta have an increased the risk of distal aortic reoperations. A policy of extensive surgical or hybrid primary aortic repair, completion endovascular procedures for aortic remodeling and tight surveillance may be justified in these patients.Trial registration:ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04831073.

Implementation of a Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Program in a Community-Based Integrated Health System in Patients With Hepatitis C Cirrhosis.

Underutilization of hepatocellular cancer (HCC) surveillance has been reported, although data evaluating interventions to improve surveillance are sparse. We assessed the effect of a population-based HCC surveillance program on HCC surveillance utilization and outcomes. In this retrospective cohort study, we assessed preinclusion and postinclusion HCC surveillance patterns among 597 patients with hepatitis C virus cirrhosis enrolled in a program at an integrated health system between 2013 and 2020. Adequate surveillance was defined as at least 5 surveillance studies within 36 months pre-enrollment and postenrollment; a secondary outcome was proportion of time covered by surveillance over 36 months. Tumor size, stage, and receipt of curative therapy were compared between HCC detected on the first imaging examination (prevalent HCC) and surveillance-detected HCC (incident HCC). We performed Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable competing risk analysis to characterize the association between surveillance and mortality. The surveillance program significantly improved surveillance completion (77.6% vs 5.0%, P < 0.001) and proportion time covered (80.9% vs 15.8%, P < 0.001). Compared with prevalent HCC, surveillance-detected cases were more likely unifocal (77.8% vs 44.8%, P < 0.001), early-stage (85.2% vs 44.8%, P < 0.001), with smaller maximum diameter (median 2.3 vs 3.2 cm), and more likely to undergo curative therapy (92.5% vs 72.4% P = 0.010). Survival was improved compared with prevalent cases hazard ratio (HR) 0.23 (0.11-0.51) after adjusting for age and Model for End Stage Liver Disease score. Implementation of a population-based program resulted in significant improvement in HCC surveillance use and clinical outcomes among patients with hepatitis C virus cirrhosis. These findings may inform similar interventions by other healthcare systems.

Predicting cancer-specific mortality in T1/2 hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation by competing risk nomogram: A population-based analysis

BackgroundRadiofrequency ablation (RFA) is one of the primary treatment methods for T1/2 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the risk factors after RFA remain controversial. This study aims to identify the key factors associated with cancer-specific mortality (CSM) in patients with T1/2 HCC after RFA using competing risk analysis and to establish a prognostic nomogram for improved clinical management. MethodsA total of 2,135 T1/2 HCC patients treated with RFA were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and randomly categorized into training and validation sets. Univariate and multivariable competing risk analyses were performed to identify risk factors associated with CSM and construct a competing risk nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, concordance indices (C-indexes), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were conducted to evaluate the predictive efficiency and clinical applicability of the nomogram in the training and validation sets. Patients were stratified according to their nomogram score, and the different risk groups were compared using cumulative incidence function (CIF) curves and Gray's validation . ResultsThe 5-year CSM rate for HCC patients treated with RFA was 30.1 %. Grade, tumor size, tumor number, cirrhosis, and AFP level were identified as independent risk factors for CSM. A prognostic nomogram was developed based on these risk factors. The time-dependent C-indexes (0.65) were greater than those of the AJCC stage model (0.55) during the 12 to 60 months of follow-up. The calibration plots of the competing risk nomograms demonstrated excellent consistency between actual survival and nomogram predictions. ROC analyses showed that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUC values in both the training and validation cohorts were all greater than 0.63 and exceeded those of the AJCC stage model. DCA demonstrated the clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Patients were classified into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups based on the nomogram scores, with the high-risk group showing significantly higher CSM rates after RFA compared to the other two groups. ConclusionsWe identified Grade, AFP, cirrhosis, tumor size, and tumor number as independent risk factors associated with CSM. The competing risk nomogram exhibited high performance in predicting the probability of CSM for HCC patients undergoing RFA.

Incidence and survival of secondary malignancies after external beam radiotherapy for prostate cancer in the SEER database.

We investigated the incidence of secondary bladder (BCa) and rectal cancers (RCa) after external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) for prostate cancer (PCa) compared to radical prostatectomy (RP) alone, and compared cancer-specific survival (CSS) of these secondary neoplasms to their primary counterparts. This retrospective cohort study included men in the SEER cancer registry with a diagnosis of non-metastatic, clinically node-negative PCa treated with either RP or EBRT from 1995-2011 and allowed a minimum five-year lag period for the development of secondary BCa or RCa. Patients were divided into two eras, 1995-2002 and 2003-2011, to examine differences in incidence of secondary malignancies over time. Univariable and multivariable competing risk analyses with Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard and cause-specific hazard models were used to examine the risk of developing a secondary BCa or RCa. Competing risks analyses were used to compare CSS of primary vs. secondary BCa and RCa. A total of 198 184 men underwent RP and 190 536 underwent EBRT for PCa. The cumulative incidence of secondary BCa at 10 years was 1.71% for RP, and 3.7% for EBRT (p<0.001), while that of RCa was 0.52% for RP and 0.99% for EBRT (p<0.001). EBRT was associated with almost twice the risk of developing a secondary BCa and RCa compared to RP. The hazard of secondary BCa following EBRT delivered during 2003-2011 was 20% less than from 1995-2002 (p<0.09, Fine-Gray model), while that of secondary RCa was 31% less (p<0.001) (hazard ratio 0.78, p<0.001) for Fine-Gray and cause-specific hazard models. In the Fine-Gray model, the risk of death from BCa was 27% lower for secondary BCa after RP compared to primary BCa, while the risk of death was 9% lower for secondary BCa after EBRT compared to primary BCa. There was no difference in RCa-specific survival between primary or secondary RCa after RP or EBRT. The risk of BCa and RCa is almost twice as high for men undergoing EBRT for localized PCa vs. RP, but that risk is declining, likely reflecting advances in radiation delivery. The development of secondary RCa or BCa does not confer elevated risk of death compared to their primary counterparts.

Competing-risks analysis for evaluating the prognosis of patients with microinvasive cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma based on the SEER database

BackgroundUtilizing the traditional Cox regression model to identify the factors affecting the risk of mortality due to microinvasive cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (micSCC) may produce skewed results. Since cause-specific mortality can guide clinical decision-making, this study employed the Fine-Gray model based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to identify significant predictive variables for the risk of micSCC-related mortality.MethodsThis study used the information of patients with micSCC who were listed in the SEER database during 2000–2015. Cox regression and Fine-Gray models were utilized for the multivariable analysis, and Gray’s test and the cumulative incidence function were used for the univariable analyses.ResultsThere were 100 patients who died from other reasons and 38 who died from micSCC among the 1259 qualified patients with micSCC. Most were female, white, married, had localized metastasis, etc. According to the univariable Gray’s test (P < 0.05), the cumulative incidence rate for events of interest was strongly associated with age, sex, marital status, American Joint Committee on Cancer staging, radiation status, summary stage, chemotherapy status, surgery status, and tumor size. Multivariable Cox regression analysis and multivariable competing-risks analysis indicated that age, tumor size, and income were independent risk variables for the prognosis of patients with micSCC. In both age and tumor size variables, the competing-risks model showed a slight decrease in the hazard ratio and a slight narrowing of the 95% confidence interval compared with the Cox regression model. However, this pattern is not evident in the income variable.ConclusionsThis study established a Fine-Gray model for identifying the independent risk factors that influence the risk of mortality among patients with micSCC. This study uncovers that, in the context of competing risks, age, tumor size, and income serve as independent risk factors influencing the risk of mortality due to micSCC among patients. Our findings have the potential to provide more accurate risk assessments for patient outcomes and contribute to the development of individualized treatment plans.

Nomogram for predicting cardiovascular disease mortality in patients with meningioma: a competing risk analysis.

Cancer patients may have increased risk of cardiovascular mortality than general population. We designed this study to investigate the incidence and risk factors of cardiovascular mortality in meningioma patients. Meningioma patients recorded in Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2016 were eligible for this study. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated to present the relative risk of cardiovascular mortality (ICD-10 codes I00-I99) in meningioma patients compared with general population. Fine-Gray subdistribution proportional hazards regression was performed to identify risk factors of cardiovascular mortality and construct nomogram for predicting cardiovascular-specific survival in meningioma patients. Among 94,067 meningioma patients included in this study, 6145 (6.5%) and 16549 (17.6%) patients died due to cardiovascular diseases and other causes, respectively. The cardiovascular disease-related SMR of included meningioma patients was 25.31 compared with the general population. Results of multivariate competing risk analysis showed that age, male gender, race, marital status, insurance status, tumor size, tumor location, histologic type, and surgery options were risk factors of cardiovascular mortality. The C-index of our constructed nomogram for predicting cardiovascular specific survival was 0.730 (0.712-0.748) and 0.726 (0.696-0.756) in training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. Incorporating demographic and clinical variables, the nomogram we constructed is effective in predicting cardiovascular mortality in meningioma patients and could guide physicians to reasonably control clinical risk factors of cardiovascular mortality in meningioma patients.

Incidence, clinical characteristics, and risk factors associated with recurrent alcohol-associated hepatitis.

Alcohol relapse occurs frequently in alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) survivors, but data on the frequency and course of recurrent alcohol-associated hepatitis (rAH) are sparse. We investigated the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of rAH. Hospitalized patients with AH from 2010 to 2020 at a large health care system were followed until death/liver transplant, last follow-up, or end of study (December 31, 2021). AH was defined by NIAAA Alcoholic Hepatitis Consortium criteria; rAH was defined a priori as a discrete AH episode >6 months from index AH hospitalization with interim >50% improvement or normalization of total bilirubin. Multivariable competing risk analysis was performed to identify factors associated with rAH. Landmark Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to compare survival between patients who did versus those who did not develop rAH. Of 1504 hospitalized patients with AH, 1317 (87.6%) survived and were analyzed. During a 3055 person-year follow-up, 116 (8.8%) developed rAH at an annual incidence rate of 3.8% (95% CI: 2.8-4.8). On multivariable competing risk analysis, marital status [sub-HR 0.54 (95% CI: 0.34, 0.92), p=0.01] and medications for alcohol use disorder [sub-HR 0.56 (95% CI: 0.34, 0.91), p=0.02] were associated with a lower risk for rAH. On landmark Kaplan-Meier analysis, the cumulative proportion surviving at 1 year (75% vs. 90%) and 3 years (50% vs. 78%) was significantly lower in patients who developed rAH compared to those who did not develop rAH (log-rank p<0.001). rAH develops in ~1 in 10 AH survivors and is associated with lower long-term survival. Medications for alcohol use disorder lower the risk for rAH and, therefore, could be a key preventative strategy to improve outcomes.

Letermovir Prophylaxis Reduced Cytomegalovirus Reactivation and Resistance Post Umbilical Cord Blood Transplantation

Objective: Umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) has proved to be an effective treatment with its own unique advantages nowadays, while long-lasting immunosuppression and delayed immune recovery make the UCBT recipients susceptible to a range of infections. Human cytomegalovirus (HCMV) is the main cause of viral complications post transplantation, which is associated with poor prognosis. Although the implementation of pre-emptive therapy (PET) has significantly reduced the incidence of CMV disease, the long-time antigenemia and the toxicity of antiviral drug remains challenging and risky. Letermovir (LET), a kind of CMV DNA terminase complex inhibitor, is a relatively new antiviral drug for prophylaxis against CMV and has received positive opinion in adult CMV-seropositive recipients of allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplant (allo-HSCT). Nevertheless, the clinical efficacy of LET prophylaxis on CMV reactivation and resistance post UCBT remained unknown. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 43 UCBT patients with hematological diseases at the First Affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China between August 2022 and May 2023, who received LET prophylaxis since the first day post transplantation until 100d or CMV reactivation occurred, whichever came first. A historical cohort of 208 UCBT patients also from our transplant center between 2021 and 2022 without LET prophylaxis was compared as control group. The CMV DNA testing was performed using the quantitative real-time PCR (RT-PCR) method and CMV monitoring was examined twice per week for at least 100 days and once a week for at least half a year after UCBT. The 180-day cumulative incidences of CMV reactivation (defined as DNA achieved 500 copies/ml or 1000 copies/ml) and refractory CMV infection (defined as CMV viral load remains the same level or increases after at least 2 weeks of appropriately dosed antiviral therapy) were compared between the two groups. To explore independent predictors of the development of CMV reactivation and resistance, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed by using Fine-Gray proportional hazard regression. Results: The two groups were similar in demographic and transplant characteristics, and in the LET group, patients received LET for a median of 100 days (range, 16-100). The 180-day cumulative incidence of CMV DNA achieved 500 copies/ml and 1000 copies/ml and refractory CMV infection in the LET group were significantly lower than that in the control group [500 copies/ml: 33.8% vs. 78.4%, P &amp;lt; 0.001; 1000 copies/ml: 30.2% vs. 74.0%, P &amp;lt; 0.001; refractory CMV: 4.7% vs. 31.7%, P &amp;lt; 0.001]. Furthermore, multivariate competing risk analysis identified LET prophylaxis as an independent protective factor for CMV reactivation (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.27, 95% CI 0.15 to 0.48, P &amp;lt; 0.001) and refractory CMV infection ([HR] 0.16, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.62, P = 0.004). However no significantly lower incidences of CMV disease (4.7% vs. 8.8%, P = 0.542) and recurrent CMV infection (3.7% vs. 9.6%, P = 0.386) were found in LET group. Among the patients who developed CMV reactivation, there was no significant difference in the time from UCBT to CMV reactivation between two groups (39 days vs. 41 days, P = 0.367). LET prophylaxis was associated with a shorter duration of CMV DNAemia (median 27 days vs. 42 days, P = 0.014), and there was a trend towards lower peak CMV viral load in the LET group (median 2620 copies/ml vs. 5380 copies/ml, P = 0.165). Conclusion: We demonstrated that LET is highly effective at preventing CMV reactivation and resistance after UCBT, and its benefit for UCBT patients perhaps will be observed in a longer-time following time.

Rifaximin Reduces Risk of All-Cause Hospitalization in Cirrhotic Liver Transplant Candidates with Hepatic Encephalopathy

In cirrhotic patients listed for liver transplantation (LT) with a history of hepatic encephalopathy (HE), rifaximin reduces the number of hospitalizations, but whether it influences the time to first hospitalization is unknown. Aims: to evaluate the time-dependent impact of rifaximin on the risk of all-cause hospitalization and dropout in patients on the LT waiting list. Methods: Consecutive patients listed for LT were retrospectively enrolled. After balancing populations with and without rifaximin treatment using the inverse probability therapy weighting analysis, Fine–Gray multivariable competing risk analyses were run to explore risk factors for the first episode of hospitalization and dropout. Results: When comparing 92 patients taking rifaximin to the untreated group of 152, rifaximin treatment was not associated with any of the study outcomes. In the subset of patients with a history of HE at waitlist entry (N = 81 rifaximin-treated and N = 39 untreated), rifaximin intake was independently associated with a lower risk of hospitalization for all causes (SHR 0.638; 95.0% CI 0.418–0.973; p = 0.037) and for HE (SHR 0.379; 95.0% CI 0.207–0.693; p = 0.002). Conclusions: cirrhotic LT candidates with a prior history of HE rifaximin treatment are associated with a lower risk of time-dependent all-cause hospitalization, likely due to its unique effect on gut microbiome composition/function.

Preoperative intravenous iron treatment – a cohort study on colorectal cancer recurrence

BackgroundIntravenous (i.v.) iron treatment has been speculated to increase the malignant potential of colorectal malignancies but also to enhance the immune systems potential to fight the invasive tumor. Clinical data however is very limited. We investigate if preoperative i.v. iron treatment is associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) recurrence. MethodsRetrospective cohort study on surgical CRC patients with iron deficiency anemia (1st March 2013 - 31st December 2019). Patients were grouped based on whether they had received preoperative treatment with i.v. iron. Local data was combined with data from the National Danish Health registries to identify recurrences, death, and emigration. Survival analysis, including Kaplan-Meyer curves and multivariate competing risk analysis adjusting for sex, age, ASA-group, tumor stage, surgical radicality, and miss match repair status was performed. ResultsOf 1228 patients, 125 were available for analysis. 89 patients had received preoperative i.v. iron and 36 had not. The two groups were comparable on baseline and surgical characteristics. Median follow-up times were 4.74 in iron treated patients and 5 years in patients not receiving iron treatment. Five-year rate of non-recurrence was 85 % (0.74–0.91) in the i.v. iron treated group vs. 82 % (0.64–0.91) in the control group, non-significant difference. Multivariate survival analysis did not find iron treatment to be associated with recurrence rates (Hazard Ratio 0.88 (95 % ci; 0.31–2.51). ConclusionNo association between preoperative i.v. iron treatment and the five-year cancer recurrence rate in iron deficient anemic CRC patients was found.

Non cancer causes of death after gallbladder cancer diagnosis: a population-based analysis

Mortality from non cancer causes in patients with gallbladder cancer (GBC) still unclear. This study evaluated the causes and risk factors of non cancer death during different follow-up periods after GBC diagnosis. Non cancer causes of death for GBC patients diagnosed between 2000 and 2017 in Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database were analyzed and standardized mortality rates (SMR) for each non cancer death were calculated. Predictors for non cancer death were identified through multivariate competing risk analysis. A total 11,927 GBC patients were identified for further analysis, 9393 died during follow up. The largest proportion of non cancer deaths occurred > 3 years after diagnosis (39.4%). Most common non cancer cause were cardiovascular disease (43.3%), followed by other cause of death (34.4%) and infectious diseases (8.6%). Compared with US general population, GBC patients has higher risk of death from disease of heart (SMR, 1.58; 95%CI, 1.41–1.75), septicemia (SMR,3.21; 95%CI, 2.27–4.40), diabetes mellitus (SMR,1.97; 95%CI, 1.43–2.63), alone with other causes. Non cancer causes accounted for a significant proportion of deaths during the follow-up period after GBC diagnosis. The risk of non cancer death is higher in GBC patients than in the general population. Our study provides comprehensive assessment of death from non cancer cause in GBC patients, which has important implications for health management in GBC patients.

Risk for graft loss in pediatric and young adult kidney transplant recipients due to recurrent IgA nephropathy

IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is associated with a risk for posttransplant recurrence. Data are limited regarding graft loss attributable to recurrence of IgAN among pediatric and young adult kidney transplant (KT) recipients. This was a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 0 to 25 years from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients who received a primary KT for IgAN. Patients with history of KT attributable to renal dysplasia were comparators. Outcomes included the incidence of graft loss attributable to IgAN recurrence, association with donor type, and posttransplant corticosteroid use. In total, 5475 transplant recipients were included, with 1915 patients with IgAN and 3560 patients with renal dysplasia. In a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, IgAN was associated with higher risk of graft loss (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.35; 95% CI, 1.21-1.50; P < .001) compared with dysplasia. Graft loss was attributed to recurrent disease in 5.4% of patients with IgAN. In a multivariable competing risks analysis, patients with IgAN receiving a parental living-donor kidney were more likely to report graft loss from recurrent disease compared with patients with a nonparental living donor (aHR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.31-0.91; P = .02). Posttransplant prednisone use was not associated with improved graft survival (P = .2). These data challenge existing paradigms in posttransplant management of patients with IgAN.

Prognostic significance of acute kidney injury stage 1B in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis: A US nationwide study.

Understanding the prognostic significance of acute kidney injury (AKI) stage 1B [serum creatinine (sCr) ≥1.5mg/dL] compared with stage 1A (sCr < 1.5mg/dL) in a US population is important as it can impact initial management decisions for AKI in hospitalized cirrhosis patients. Therefore, we aimed to define outcomes associated with stage 1B in a nationwide US cohort of hospitalized cirrhosis patients with AKI. Hospitalized cirrhosis patients with AKI in the Cerner-Health-Facts database from January 2009 to September 2017 (n = 6250) were assessed for AKI stage 1 (≥1.5-2-fold increase in sCr from baseline) and were followed for 90 days for outcomes. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality; secondary outcomes were in-hospital AKI progression and AKI recovery. Competing-risk multivariable analysis was performed to determine the independent association between stage 1B, 90-day mortality (liver transplant as a competing risk), and AKI recovery (death/liver transplant as a competing risk). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the independent association between stage 1B and AKI progression. In all, 4654 patients with stage 1 were analyzed: 1A (44.3%) and 1B (55.7%). Stage 1B patients had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of 90-day mortality compared with stage 1A patients, 27.2% versus 19.7% ( p < 0.001). In multivariable competing-risk analysis, patients with stage 1B (vs. 1A) had a higher risk for mortality at 90 days [sHR 1.52 (95% CI 1.20-1.92), p = 0.001] and decreased probability for AKI recovery [sHR 0.76 (95% CI 0.69-0.83), p < 0.001]. Furthermore, in multivariable logistic regression analysis, AKI stage 1B (vs. 1A) was independently associated with AKI progression, OR 1.42 (95% CI 1.14-1.72) ( p < 0.001). AKI stage 1B patients have a significantly higher risk for 90-day mortality, AKI progression, and reduced probability of AKI recovery compared with AKI stage 1A patients. These results could guide initial management decisions for AKI in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis.

Causes of death and treatment-related mortality in newly diagnosed childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia treatment with Chinese Children's Cancer Group study ALL-2015.

To investigate the possible risk factors for death at post-treatment in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). A multivariate competing risk analysis was performed to retrospectively analyze the data of children with ALL who died after treatment with CCCG-ALL-2015 in China and to determine the possible risk factors for death at post-treatment in children with ALL. Age at the first diagnosis of ≥10 years; final risk level of high-risk; D19 minimal residual disease (MRD) (≥0.01%) and D46 MRD (≥0.01%); genetic abnormalities, such as KMT2A-rearrangement, c-Myc rearrangement, and PDGFRB rearrangement; and the presence of CNS3 (all P values, <0.05) were identified as independent risk factors, whereas the risk level at the first diagnosis of low-risk (LR) and ETV6::RUNX1 positivity was considered as independent protective factors of death in children with ALL. Among the 471 cases of death, 45 cases were treated with CCCG-ALL-2015 only, and 163 (34.61%) were treatment-related, with 62.42% due to severe infections. 55.83% of treatment-related mortality (TRM) occurred in the early phase of treatment (induction phase). TRM has a significant impact on the overall survival of pediatric patients with ALL. Moreover, the CCCG-ALL-2015 regimen has a better safety profile for treating children with ALL, with rates close to those in developed countries (registration number: ChiCTR-IPR-14005706; date of registration: June 4, 2014).