Multiple Cox Regression Model Research Articles

#1441 COVID-19 vaccination and risk of infection and subsequent death in patients with kidney disease

Abstract Background and Aims The effect of vaccinations against SARS-CoV-2 on risk of infection and subsequent adverse outcomes in patients with kidney dysfunction beyond end-stage kidney disease remains uncertain. Based on nationwide data from multiple health care registers, the study aims to evaluate vaccination effect on rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection and subsequent risk of associated mortality in patients with kidney disease beyond end-stage kidney disease. Method A population-based retrospective cohort study on all Danish residents ≥18 years with an eGFR ≤90 ml/min/1.73 m2 identified between February 1st 2021 and June 27th 2022 corresponding to predominance of Alpha-, Delta-, and Omicron-variant. Outcomes compared based on vaccination state (unvaccinated, vaccinated, and booster vaccinated) across predefined eGFR categories (eGFR 60-90 mL/min/1.73 m2; eGFR 45-59 mL/min/1.73 m2, eGFR 30-44 mL/min/1.73 m2; eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2). Risk of infection reported as age- and gender-standardized rate ratios of positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR and subsequent risk of death reported as age- and gender standardized 30-day mortality risk. Standardized risks computed based on hazards obtained in multiple cause-specific Cox regression models. Results A total of 982,047 adults with eGFR ≤90 ml/min/1.73 m2 identified. Gender distribution was 43.9% male, median age was 71 [IQR 61–78] years, median eGFR 75 [IQR 63-84], and 13.1% diabetes. Population rates of vaccination were 3.5%, 80.1%, and 95.4% for Alpha-, Delta-, and Omicron-variant, with 66.2% booster vaccinated at Omicron-variant baseline (Pfizer BionTech 88.3%, Moderna 9.4%, other vaccinations 2.3%). In total 359,428 SARS-CoV-2 infections were identified (Alpha: n = 7,861, Delta: n = 27,868, Omicron: n = 323,699), corresponding to a crude rate of positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test of 629.0 per 100,000 person-weeks overall. Vaccination and booster vaccination were associated with progressively lower rate of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Age- and gender-standardized rate ratios are shown in Fig. 1. Overall, mean 30-day risks of death were 7.1‰ [95% CI 6.7-7.6], 3.8‰ [95% CI 3.5-4.0], and 1.4‰ [95% CI 1.3-1.4] in unvaccinated, vaccinated, and booster vaccinated persons, respectively. Vaccination and booster vaccination were associated with benefit on 30-day mortality across all strata of eGFR despite progressive increase in risk of death observed with declining kidney function. Age- and gender standardized 30-day mortality rates following a positive PCR for SARS-CoV-2 across granular eGFR are shown in Fig. 2. Conclusion Based on comprehensive nationwide data covering Alpha-, Delta-, and Omicron-variant predominance in Denmark, vaccination and booster vaccination against COVID-19 were associated with lower rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection and benefit on subsequent risk of 30-day mortality across all strata of eGFR.

#886 Prevalence and prognostic relevance of electrocardiographic abnormalities among patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis

Abstract Background and Aims Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the leading causes of death in patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV). However, in current clinical guidelines, limited evidence is available to support the recommendation of AAV-specific screening for cardiovascular comorbidities. This study reported the prevalence of electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities and investigated associations between ECG abnormalities and fatal CVD in a validated cohort of patients with AAV compared to matched controls. Method Based on a retrospective matched cohort design, patients with granulomatosis with polyangiitis [ICD-10: DM31.3] or microscopic polyangiitis [ICD-10: DM3.17] and accessible ECGs were identified in nationwide Danish health care registers from 2000 to 2021. Patients with AAV were matched 1:3 on age, sex, and calendar year of ECG measurement with controls without AAV. Index date was defined as the date of ECG measurement. ECGs were hierarchically categorized as either no, minor, or major ECG abnormalities according to contemporary literature. The associations between ECG abnormalities and fatal CVD were assessed in multiple Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, and comorbidities. Counterfactual G-estimation of hazard ratios (HRs) standardized to age and sex was performed to estimate the 5-year absolute risk (AR) of fatal CVD according to ECG-abnormalities. Results A total of 1431 patients with AAV were matched to 4293 controls. The median age of patients with AAV and matched controls was 69 (IQR 58-77) years, and 52.3% were males. Median study follow-up time was 4.8 (IQR, 2.7-7.8) years. AAV was associated with increased prevalence of left ventricular hypertrophy (17.5% vs. 12.5%, p < 0.001), ST-T deviations (10.1% vs. 7.1%, p < 0.001), atrial fibrillation (9.6% vs. 7.5%, p = 0.017) and corrected QT prolongation (5.9% vs. 3.6%, p < 0.001) compared to controls. When examining associations of fatal CVD across no, minor or major ECG abnormalities, only the patients with AAV and major ECG abnormalities had a higher risk of fatal CVD [HR 1.99 (95% CI, 1.49-2.65)], compared to matched controls. This corresponded to a significantly higher standardized 5-year AR of fatal CVD compared to controls: 19.14% (95% CI, 16-22%) vs. 9.41% (95% CI, 8-11%). Conclusion AAV was associated with a higher prevalence of major ECG abnormalities such as left ventricular hypertrophy, atrial fibrillation, and ST-T deviations compared to matched controls. Moreover, the patients with AAV demonstrating major ECG abnormalities had a particularly elevated risk of fatal CVD. This indicates that AAV patients with major ECG abnormalities are a distinct high-risk group within AAV patients prone to cardiovascular-related mortality.

Associations of obesity with chronic inflammatory airway diseases and mortality in adults: a population-based investigation

BackgroundThe association between obesity and respiratory diseases has been confirmed. However, few studies have reported the relationship between obesity and the risk and mortality of chronic inflammatory airway disease (CIAD). The aim of this study was to reveal the association between obesity and the risk of CIAD, and mortality in patients with CIAD.MethodsThe study was conducted using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2013 to 2018 among adults aged 20 years and above. All participants were grouped according to body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) levels to study the relationship between obesity and CIAD. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was utilized to examine the connection between CIAD and obesity in a cross-sectional study. The association between obesity and all-cause mortality in individuals with CIAD was examined using multiple cox regression models and smooth curve fitting in a prospective cohort study.ResultsWhen stratified based on BMI in comparison to the normal weight group, the ORs with 95%CIs of CIAD for underweight and obesity were 1.39 (1.01–1.93) and 1.42 (1.27–1.58), respectively. The OR with 95%CI of CIAD for obesity was 1.20 (1.09–1.31) when stratified according to WC. Additionally, underweight was associated with a higher mortality (HR = 2.44, 95% CI = 1.31–4.55), whereas overweight (HR = 0.58,95% CI = 0.39–0.87) and obesity (HR = 0.59,95% CI = 0.4–0.87) were associated with a lower mortality (P for trend < 0.05). There was a non-linear association between BMI and all-cause mortality (P for non-linear = 0.001). An analysis of a segmentation regression model between BMI and all-cause mortality revealed a BMI turning point value of 32.4 kg/m2. The mortality of CIAD patients was lowest when BMI was 32.4 kg/m2. When BMI ≤ 32.4 kg/m2, BMI was inversely associated with all-cause mortality in patients with CIAD (HR: 0.92, 95%CI:0.88–0.97). However, when BMI > 32.4 kg/m2, there was no association between BMI and all-cause mortality (HR:1.02, 95%CI:0.97–1.06).ConclusionCompared to normal weight, underweight and obesity were associated with the increased risk of CIAD. Underweight was associated with increased all-cause mortality, while overweight was associated with reduced all-cause mortality. There was a non-linear association between BMI and all-cause mortality in patients with CIAD. The all-cause mortality was lowest when BMI was 32.4 kg/m2.

Outcomes and predictors of mortality in patients with KPC-Kp infections treated with meropenem vaborbactam: an observational multicenter study

Abstract Background Meropenem-vaborbactam is a recent and promising option for the treatment of KPC-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae (KPC-Kp) infections, including those resistant to ceftazidime-avibactam. Methods We conducted a retrospective analysis of observational data from 19 Italian hospitals on use and outcomes of patients treated with meropenem-vaborbactam for at least ≥24 h for KPC-Kp infections. Crude and propensity-weighted multiple Cox regression models were performed to ascertain risk factors independently associated with 30-day mortality. Results The cohort included 342 adults with bloodstream infections (n = 172) and non-bacteremic infections (n = 170), of which 107 were lower respiratory tract infections, 30 complicated urinary tract infections, and 33 infections involving other sites. Most infections (62.3%) were managed with meropenem-vaborbactam monotherapy, or in combination with at least 1 other active drug (usually fosfomycin, tigecycline, or gentamicin) (37.7%). The 30-day mortality rate was 31.6% (108/342). In multiple Cox regression model, 30-day mortality was independently associated with septic shock at infection onset, Charlson comorbidity index ≥ 3, dialysis, concomitant COVID-19, and INCREMENT score ≥ 8. Administration of meropenem-vaborbactam within 48 hours from infection onset was a negative predictor of mortality. All predictors, except administration of meropenem-vaborbactam within 48 hours remained significant when the multiple Cox regression model was repeated after adjustment for the propensity score for receipt of combination therapy. Conclusions Despite the limits of a retrospective study, the data derived from this multicenter cohort provides additional evidence on the efficacy of meropenem-vaborbactam in treating severe KPC-Kp infections, even when utilized as monotherapy.

Associations between estimated glucose disposal rate and arterial stiffness and mortality among US adults with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

The estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), an effective indicator of insulin resistance, has been related to acute coronary syndrome, ischemic stroke and heart failure. This study aims to explore the relationship between eGDR and arterial stiffness, all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Participants with NAFLD were chosen from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) between 1999 and 2018. The main outcomes are arterial stiffness (represented by estimated pulse wave velocity, ePWV), all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Multiple cox regression models, restricted cubic spline, sensitivity analysis and subgroup analysis were carried out to investigate the correlation between the insulin resistance indicators and mortality and arterial stiffness. Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic curves were used to compare the predictive value of the eGDR with the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. In this study, a total of 4,861 participants were included for analysis. After adjusting confounding factors in the multivariate weighted cox regression model, the eGDR was inversely associated with the all-cause mortality (Q4 vs. Q1, HR =0.65 (0.48-0.89, P=0.01) and cardiovascular mortality (Q4 vs. Q1, HR =0.35 (0.19-0.65, P<0.001). Compared with TyG index and HOMA-IR, the eGDR shows excellent predictive value in all-cause mortality (0.588 vs. 0.550 vs. 0.513, P < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (0.625 vs. 0.553 vs. 0.537, P < 0.001). In addition, we found a significant negative correlation between eGDR and arterial stiffness (β=-0.13(-0.14-0.11, P< 0.001). However, TyG index and HOMA-IR showed no significant correlation to arterial stiffness. Low eGDR (an indicator of insulin resistance) levels are related to an increased risk of arterial stiffness and mortality in NAFLD patients in the United States.

Abstract PO3-17-02: Analysis of clinical benefit in the real world of HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer following the development of anti-HER2 therapeutics over the past 20 years

Abstract Analysis of clinical benefit in the real world of HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer following the development of anti-HER2 therapeutics over the past 20 years Ahrong Ham1, Sewon Lee1, Jungmin Jo1, Soo Ji Hong2, Ji Eun Lee2, Haena Lee2, Sungchan Gwark2, Jeongshin An2, Hyun Goo Kim2, Jun Woo Lee2, Joohyun Woo2, Woosung Lim2, Byung-In Moon2, Sei Hyun Ahn2, Hye Ah Lee3, Kyoung Eun Lee1 1 Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, Ewha Womans University Mokdong hospital, Ewha Womans University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea 2 Department of Surgery, Ewha Womans University Mokdong hospital, Ewha Womans University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea 3 Clinical Trial Center, Ewha Womans University Mokdong hospital, Ewha Womans University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea Purpose: Over the last two decades, treatment landscapes for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positive metastatic breast cancer (MBC) have shown remarkable growth with the development of drugs targeting HER2. The standard of care for HER2+ MBC has continued to change with the ongoing development of new anti-HER2 therapies. We aimed to provide a comprehensive analysis of HER2-targeted therapies, clinical characteristics, and treatment outcomes in real-world practice of HER2+ MBC patients over the past 20 years. Methods: Patients who received palliative chemotherapy with HER2+ MBC between 2000 and 2022 were analyzed. We derived cohorts of two groups with or without anti-HER2 containing therapies. Patients receiving multiple anti-HER2 therapies throughout the entire period of treatment were further analyzed according to treatment regimen. The progression-free survival for palliative first-line (PFS1), and overall survival (OS) were compared between groups. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to investigate predictors of survival outcome in HER2+ MBC. Results: A total of 185 patients were analyzed. Median age was 49 years (IQR, 42-56 years). 47 patients (25.4%) were initially diagnosed with de novo stage IV disease. Visceral metastases were found in 95 patients (51.4%). The median PFS1 was 3.9 months (without anti-HER2 therapy) versus 15.6 months (with anti-HER2 therapy) between two groups (P&amp;lt; 0.001). Likewise, the median OS was significantly improved in anti-HER2 therapy group (34.0 months vs. 70.5 months, P=0.010). As a result of confirming the difference in OS according to the type of anti-HER2 therapies during the entire period of treatment by correspondence analysis, significant improvement was found when two or three types of anti-HER2 were used (without anti-HER2 vs. 2 types of anti-HER2, P=0.009; without anti-HER2 vs. 3 types of anti-HER2, P=0.010). Interestingly, when analyzed by treatment regimen, trastuzumab (H) + pertuzumab (P), HP + TDM-1, and H + TDM-1 significantly improved OS over regimens without anti-HER2 (without anti-HER2 vs. HP, P=0.009; without anti-HER2 vs. HP + TDM-1, P=0.013; without anti-HER2 vs. H + TDM-1, P=0.028, respectively). HP + TDM-1 therapies significantly improved survival rate compared to H single containing regimen (P=0.029). Based on our multiple Cox regression model, visceral metastasis was a significant poor OS prognostic factor and two and three types of anti-HER2 therapies were associated better OS prognosis (visceral metastasis: HR=2.40, P=0.003; 2 types of ant-HER2: HR=0.29, P=0.001; 3 types of anti-HER2: HR=0.22, P=0.018, respectively). Conclusions: Anti-HER2 therapies significantly improved PFS1 and OS. Continuing treatment by changing anti-HER2 therapies may act as a better prognostic factor. Further prospective studies are required. Citation Format: Ahrong Ham, Sewon Lee, Jungmin Jo, Soo Ji Hong, Ji Eun Lee, Haena Lee, Sungchan Gwark, Jeongshin An, Hyun-Goo Kim, Jun Woo Lee, Joohyun Woo, Woosung Lim, Byung-In Moon, Sei Hyun Ahn, Hye Ah Lee, Kyoung Eun Lee. Analysis of clinical benefit in the real world of HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer following the development of anti-HER2 therapeutics over the past 20 years [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO3-17-02.

The association between multiple trajectories of macronutrient intake and the risk of new-onset diabetes in Chinese adults.

The association between macronutrient intake and diabetes is unclear. We used data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey to explore the association between macronutrient intake trajectories and diabetes risk in this study. We included 6755 participants who did not have diabetes at baseline and participated in at least three surveys. The energy supply ratio of carbohydrate, protein, and fat was further calculated from dietary data; different macronutrient trajectories were determined using multitrajectory models; and multiple Cox regression models were used to evaluate the association between these trajectories and diabetes. We found three multitrajectories: decreased low carbohydrate-increased moderate protein-increased high fat (DLC-IMP-IHF), decreased high carbohydrate-moderate protein-increased low fat (DHC-MP-ILF), and balanced-macronutrients (BM). Compared to the BM trajectory, DHC-MP-ILF trajectories were significantly associated with increased risk of diabetes (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.228, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.571-6.632), whereas no association between DLC-IMP-IHF trajectories and diabetes was found in our study (HR: 0.699, 95% CI: 0.351-1.392). The downward trend of high carbohydrate and the increasing trend of low fat increased the risk of diabetes in Chinese adults.

Dosimetric analysis of hearing loss after cranial radiation therapy in children: A single-institution study from the french national registry pediart

PurposeTo identify dosimetric predictive factors of sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL) in children after cranial radiation therapy (RT) in a single institution using dosimetric data from the French National Registry PediaRT. Methods and MaterialsComplete audiological follow-up data were available for 44 children treated with cranial RT between 2014 and 2021 at our institution. The median age at the time of RT initiation was 9 years (range: 2–17 years). No children presented with hearing loss prior to treatment. SNHL was defined as a Chang ototoxicity grade ≥ 1a or higher. ResultsMedian audiometric follow-up duration was 51 months. Seven children (16 %) developed SNHL with a median time to occurrence of 33 months (range, 18–46 months). The estimated SNHL cumulative rate at 2 years post-RT was 4,5% ± 3,1% and at 5 years was 21 % ± 7.2 %. Multiple Cox regression models showed that the association of the age at radiotherapy and the dosimetric values to the inner ear canal and cochlea were the most significant predictive factors of SNHL occurrence. No child who received less than 35 Gy on average to both cochleae (n = 26) suffered from SNHL, whereas the 5-year SNHL cumulative incidence for the children who received greater than or equal to 35 Gy on average to either cochlea (n = 18) was 51.8 % ± 15.1 %. ConclusionDoses received by the inner ear canal and cochlea, associated with the age at RT initiation, are the main predictive factors for radiation-induced SNHL. A median dose to either cochlea over 35 Gy significantly increases the risk of SNHL and justify close audiometric monitoring to detect and equip hearing loss at an early stage.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Outcomes of Patients Undergoing Oncological Surgeries: CORONAL Study.

The impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on postoperative recovery from oncology surgeries should be understood for the clinical decision-making. Therefore, this study was designed to evaluate the postoperative cumulative 28-day mortality and the morbidity of surgical oncology patients during the COVID-19 pandemic. This retrospective cohort study included patients consecutively admitted to intensive care units (ICU) of three centres for postoperative care of oncologic surgeries between March to June 2019 (first phase) and March to June 2020 (second phase). The primary outcome was cumulative 28-day postoperative mortality. Secondary outcomes were postoperative organic dysfunction and the incidence of clinical complications. Because of the possibility of imbalance between groups, adjusted analyses were performed: Cox proportional hazards model (primary outcome) and multiple logistic regression model (secondary outcomes). After screening 328 patients, 291 were included. The proportional hazard of cumulative 28-day mortality was higher in the second phase than that in the first phase in the Cox model, with the adjusted hazard ratio of 4.35 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.15-8.82). The adjusted incidences of respiratory complications (odds ratio [OR] 5.35; 95% CI 1.42-20.11) and pulmonary infections (OR 1.53; 95% CI 1.08-2.17) were higher in the second phase. However, the adjusted incidence of other infections was lower in the second phase (OR 0.78; 95% CI 0.67-0.91). Surgical oncology patients who underwent postoperative care in the intensive care unit during the COVID-19 pandemic had higher hazard of 28-day mortality. Furthermore, these patients had higher odds of respiratory complications and pulmonary infections. Trials registration The study is registered in the Brazilian Registry of Clinical Trials under the code RBR-8ygjpqm, UTN code U1111-1293-5414.

Mortality and comorbidities in a Nationwide cohort of HIV-infected adults: comparison to a matched non-HIV adults' cohort, France, 2006-18.

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains a significant cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. The aim of this study was to describe the mortality rate and associated comorbidities in a nationwide population-based cohort of persons living with HIV (PLWHIV) and to compare it with mortality in an age and gender-matched cohort of non-HIV individuals in France. Using data from the French national health data system, we identified and included 173712 PLWHIV (66.5% men) and 173712 non-HIV participants (66.5% men) matched for age and gender. PLHIV were identified based on ICD-10 HIV diagnoses, HIV-specific laboratory tests, and/or prescriptions for antiretroviral therapy specific to HIV. Hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality were assessed using multiple Cox regression models. During the 13 years of follow-up (2006-18), we observed 20018 deaths among PLWHIV compared with 6262 deaths among non-HIV participants (11.52% vs. 3.60%, P < 0.001). The over-mortality of PLWHIV was expressed by univariable HR = 2.135 (2.072-2.199), which remained significant after adjustment for region, Complementary Universal Health Insurance and AME, with multivariable HR = 2.182 (2.118-2.248). The results remained significant after adjusting for comorbidities, including infectious diseases [HR = 1.587 (1.538-1.638)]. Notably, PLWHIV were more importantly associated with mortality in women [HR = 2.966 (2.767-3.180)], compared in men [HR = 1.961 (1.898-2.027)]. Although the life expectancy of PLWHIV has globally increased, the causes of death should be prioritized in prevention policies and care management. Gender-specific policies should be highlighted, as we observed a higher impact of HIV mortality in women.

Physical activity and Physical fitness in Prediction of all-cause Mortality and Age at Death in European Extinct Cohorts of middle-aged men followed for 60 Years.

A study of the power of physical activity (Phyac) and physical fitness (Fitscore) in predicting very long-term all-cause mortality and age at death (AD) is missing. A total of 5,482 middle-aged men were examined with measurement of several risk factors and followed for 60 years until virtual extinction of cohorts. Phyac in 3 classes was estimated from their type of work while Fitscore was derived from the linear combinations of levels of arm circumference, heart rate and vital capacity computed as a factor score by principal components analysis. Predictive power of these characteristics (adjusted for 5 traditional cardiovascular risk factors) was made by Cox models (for all-cause mortality) and multiple linear regression models (for AD). Single levels of the 3 indicators of fitness were highly related to the 3 levels of Phyac and of Fitscore. High levels of both Phyac and of Fitscore forced into the same models were associated with lower all-cause mortality and higher AD. Predictive power of Fitscore was systematically better than that of Phyac. Hazard ratios (high versus low) for all-cause mortality were 0.85 (Phyac) and 0.70 (Fitscore). Coefficients (all significant) were 2.25 years (Phyac) and 3.79 of AD by Fitscore. Fitscore was independently and significantly predictive of all-cause mortality for both first and second 30-year follow-up periods. Phyac and Fitscore are related and both showed important predictive power for all-cause mortality and AD. The role of Fitscore was more powerful and both characteristics seem to be expressions of health status.

A Deep Learning Model Combining Multimodal Factors to Predict the Overall Survival of Transarterial Chemoembolization.

To develop and validate an overall survival (OS) prediction model for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). In this retrospective study, 301 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received TACE from 2012 to 2015 were collected. The residual network was used to extract prognostic information from CT images, which was then combined with the clinical factors adjusted by COX regression to predict survival using a modified deep learning model (DLOPCombin). The DLOPCombin model was compared with the residual network model (DLOPCTR), multiple COX regression model (DLOPCox), Radiomic model (Radiomic), and clinical model. In the validation cohort, DLOPCombin shows the highest TD AUC of all cohorts, which compared with Radiomic (TD AUC: 0.96vs 0.63) and clinical model (TD AUC: 0.96 vs 0.62) model. DLOPCombin showed significant difference in C index compared with DLOPCTR and DLOPCox models (P < 0.05). Moreover, the DLOPCombin showed good calibration and overall net benefit. Patients with DLOPCombin model score ≤ 0.902 had better OS (33 months vs 15.5 months, P < 0.0001). The deep learning model can effectively predict the patients' overall survival of TACE.

Identification of the Best Predictive Model for Mortality in Outborn Neonates-Retrospective Cohort Study.

Transportation of sick newborns is a major predictor of outcome. Prompt identification of the sickest newborns allows adequate intervention and outcome optimization. An optimal scoring system has not yet been identified. To identify a rapid, accurate, and easy-to-perform score predictive for neonatal mortality in outborn neonates. All neonates admitted by transfer in a level III regional neonatal unit between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2021 were included. Infants with congenital critical abnormalities were excluded (N = 15). Gestational age (GA), birth weight (BW), Apgar score, place of birth, time between delivery and admission (AT), early onset sepsis, and sick neonatal score (SNS) were collected from medical records and tested for their association with mortality, including in subgroups (preterm vs. term infants); GA, BW, and AT were used to develop MSNS-AT score, to improve mortality prediction. The main outcome was all-cause mortality prediction. Univariable and multivariable analysis, including Cox regression, were performed, and odds ratio and hazard ratios were calculated were appropriate. 418 infants were included; 217/403 infants were born prematurely (53.8%), and 20 died (4.96%). Compared with the survivors, the non-survivors had lower GA, BW, and SNS scores (p < 0.05); only the SNS scores remained lower in the subgroup analysis. Time to admission was associated with an increased mortality rate in the whole group and preterm infants (p < 0.05). In multiple Cox regression models, a cut-off value of MSNS-AT score ≤ 10 was more precise in predicting mortality as compared with SNS (AUC 0.735 vs. 0.775) in the entire group and in the preterm infants group (AUC 0.885 vs. 0.810). The new MSNS-AT score significantly improved mortality prediction at admission in the whole study group and in preterm infants as compared with the SNS score, suggesting that, besides GA and BW, AT may be decisive for the outcome of outborn preterm infants.

Survival Analysis and Failure Modes of Total Hip Arthroplasty Using a Cemented Semi-Retentive Acetabular Cup.

To reduce the incidence of total hip revisions, there have been continuous efforts to enhance prosthetic materials and designs to optimize implant survival. A primary implant with a constrained acetabular component is often used to minimize the risk of dislocations even though this approach has some drawbacks as reported in the literature. To address these concerns, this study aimed to assess the survivorship and dislocation rate of a semi-retentive cemented acetabular cup when used as a primary implant. The specific cemented cup that we studied was not present in any study that we consulted, so to fill this gap, we conducted a retrospective examination of 527 cemented hip prostheses that utilized the semi-retentive cup between the years 2005 and 2012. We employed Cox multiple regression models for our statistical analysis. The revision due to dislocation occurred in 12.8% of all cases, with a lower incidence of 5% (14 cases) in age groups >70 years than in age groups <70 years (14%-32 cases) (p < 0.001). The survival rates of the semi-retentive cemented acetabular cup were 98.6% (520 cases) at 5 years and 92.2% (487 cases) at 10 years. The survival rates were significantly lower in women than men, with 1.9% (7 cases) toward 0% at 5 years and 8.1% (30 cases) toward 5% (7 cases) at 10 years (p = 0.002). The difference in failure rates between age groups over 70 years (2.3%-10 cases) and age groups under 70 years (11.5%-34 cases) was also statistically significant (p < 0.001). Our study indicates that the semi-constrained design may cause frequent damage to the polyethylene liner due to impingement and wear, which are the primary factors for failure. Also, this implant has a similar risk of revision due to dislocation as reported in studies and may be beneficial as a primary implant in elderly patients with low-demanding lifestyles, muscular insufficiency, and low compliance regarding hip prosthetic behavior, without a major effect on survivorship.

The Important Role of Egfr Change in Patients with Multiple Myeloma

Background. Renal impairment is a common complication in multiple myeloma (MM) patients and related to a higher mortality. However, whether the change of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is associated with prognosis is not clear currently. Patients and Methods. A total of 1552 myeloma patients in West China Hospital from July 1, 2008 to September 1, 2022 were retrospectively included in this study, patients with dialysis or complicated with other malignancy were excluded. All patients had at least 3 measurements of creatinine and eGFR between 6 months and 2 years after baseline. The 1-year change in eGFR (slope) was calculated by linear regression, patients were divided into 3 groups by the eGFR slope (sustained group: eGFR slope was -5 ~ 5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year over 2 years; increased group: eGFR Slope &amp;gt; 5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year over 2 years; decreased group: eGFR Slope &amp;lt; -5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year over 2 years ), the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, multiple Cox regression model and Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis were applied to explore the association of eGFR slope with the best efficacy and progression of myeloma patients. Results. After a median follow-up of 21 months, 977(62.95%) patients had reached VGPR or CR (the best efficacy), 24.1% patients experienced progression, the survival status is currently being followed up. The eGFR decline more than 5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year over 2 years (decreased group) was showed to have a higher risk of disease progression (P=0.01, Figure 1a) and to be an independent risk factor for disease progression, both in patients with (eGFR&amp;lt;60 ml/min per 1.73 m2) or without (eGFR&amp;gt;60 ml/min per 1.73 m2) renal failure (Table 1). The RCS analysis showed that the decline of eGFR within 2 years was positively related to the risk of disease progression, while the eGFR rise with a certain range could reduce the risk of progression (0-6.4 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year) (Figure 1b). Inversely, the eGFR increased group showed a higher possibility of acquiring very good partial remission (VGPR) or complete remission (CR) (Figure 1c, P&amp;lt;0.001), and was a beneficial factor of reaching VGPR or CR for MM patients (HR 1.3, 95%CI 1.05-1.62, P=0.015, Table 1). The RCS analysis showed that eGFR slope was linearly correlated with patients' VGPR or CR rate (Figure 1d). Notably, in patients without renal insufficiency at baseline (eGFR&amp;gt;60 ml/min per 1.73 m2), eGFR improvement did not increase the rate of VGPR or CR (Table 1). Conclusions. eGFR decreasing &amp;gt;5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year over 2 years could increase the risk of disease progression in MM patients with or without renal impairment, while eGFR increasing at a certain range could reduce progression risk. For myeloma patients with renal impairment, eGFR increasing may improve the rate of VGRP or CR in MM patients.

Advantage of log odds of positive lymph nodes in prognostic evaluation of patients with early-onset colon cancer.

Colon cancer (CC) is one of the most common cancers of the digestive tract, the third most common cancer worldwide, and the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths. Previous studies have demonstrated a higher risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in young patients with CC. It might be reasonable to treat patients with early-onset locally advanced CC with extended lymph node dissection. However, few studies have focused on early-onset CC (ECC) patients with LNM. At present, the methods of predicting and evaluating the prognosis of ECC patients with LNM are controversial. To compare the prognostic values of four lymph node staging indices and establish the best nomogram for patients with ECC. From the data of patients with CC obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, data of young patients with ECC (≤ 50 years old) was screened. Patients with unknown data were excluded from the study, while the remaining patients were included. The patients were randomly divided into a training group (train) and a testing group (test) in the ratio of 7:3, while building the model. The model was constructed by the training group and verified by the testing group. Using multiple Cox regression models to compare the prediction efficiency of LNM indicators, nomograms were built based on the best model selected for overall survival (OS) and cause-specific survival (CSS). In the two groups, the performance of the nomogram was evaluated by constructing a calibration plot, time-dependent area under the curve (AUC), and decision curve analysis. Finally, the patients were grouped based on the risk score predicted by the prognosis model, and the survival curve was constructed after comparing the survival status of the high and low-risk groups. Records of 26922 ECC patients were screened from the SEER database. N classification, positive lymph nodes (PLN), lymph node ratio (LNR) and log odds of PLN (LODDS) were considered to be independent predictors of OS and CSS. In addition, independent risk factors for OS included gender, race, marital status, primary site, histology, grade, T, and M classification, while the independent prognostic factors for CSS included race, marital status, primary site, grade, T, and M classification. The prediction model including LODDS is composed of minimal Akaike information criterion, maximal concordance indexes, and AUCs. Factors including gender, race, marital status, primary site, histology, grade, T, M classification, and LODDS were integrated into the OS nomogram, while race, marital status, primary site, grade, T, M classification, and LODDS were included into the CSS nomogram. The nomogram representing both cohorts had been successfully verified in terms of prediction accuracy and clinical practicability. LODDS is superior to N-stage, PLN, and LNR of ECC. The nomogram containing LODDS might be helpful in tumor evaluation and clinical decision-making, since it provides an appropriate prediction of ECC.

Survival analysis over a 20-year period of a Brazilian cohort of blood donors coinfected HIV-HCV.

Among individuals coinfected with HCV and HIV, studies of mortality from non-hepatic causes have shown inconsistent results. The aim of this study was to investigate the contribution of HCV and HIV co-infection to mortality from hepatic and non-hepatic causes in Brazil. This retrospective cohort study included blood donors from Fundação Pró-Sangue de São Paulo (FPS) who were followed from 1994 to 2016 to compare mortality and its causes between HIV-HCV coinfected individuals versus those seronegative for all tested infections. Records from the FPS database and the Mortality Information System were linked through a probabilistic record Relationship (RL). The Hazard Ratio (HR) was estimated using Cox multiple regression models. HCV-HIV coinfected individuals compared to seronegative individuals had a higher risk of death from all causes (HR=14.54), non-liver neoplasms (HR=2.55), infections (HR=10.37) and liver disease (HR=7.0). In addition, HCV mono-infected individuals compared to seronegative individuals had a higher risk of death from all causes (HR=2.23), liver cancer (HR=32.21), liver disease (HR=14.92), infection (HR=3.22), and trauma (HR=1.68). Individuals coinfected with HCV and HIV have increased overall mortality and death due to infections, liver diseases and non-liver neoplasms as compared to those uninfected with HCV and HIV.

Clinical and Radiographic Evaluation of OsseoSpeed EV Implants.

To evaluate the survival rate (primary outcome) and the marginal bone loss (secondary outcome) of the OsseoSpeed EV Implants (Astra Tech Implant System, Dentsply Sirona Implants; hereinafter EV implants) used in a wide range of clinical scenarios and followed up to 8 years in a nonuniversity setting. All EV implants consecutively placed from 2013 to 2021 in a private dental clinic were included, and medical and radiologic records were retrospectively investigated. Independent reviewers collected 11 data types as potential influencing variables and measured the mesial and distal marginal bone levels to the nearest 0.5 mm on available radiographs, either panoramic or periapical. Tables of descriptive statistics were made at implant and patient levels. Univariate and multiple Cox regression models were adjusted for clustering effects and determined the hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) for each independent variable collected. The study sample consisted of 597 EV implants and 235 patients. During a mean follow-up of 42.1 ± 23 months (range: 10 to 94 months), 44 implants were lost (7.4%)-34 early (5.7%) and 10 late (1.7%)-in 38 patients (16.1%). The overall survival rate (SR) was 92.6% (CI: 90.5% to 94.7%), and the proportion of patients with all their implants surviving was 83.8% (CI: 79.1% to 88.5%). At the end of the study, the probability of survival of an implant that did not fail early was 98.2% (CI: 97.1% to 99.3%). Implant-level analysis identified two significant variables: implant diameter (HR 0.37, P = .009**) and immediate postextraction placement (HR 2.35, P = .025*). At the patient level, bruxism (OR = 3.29; P = .009**), history of periodontitis (OR = 2.18, P = .030*), and the number of implants placed (OR = 1.43; P = .001**) were found to be statistically significant. After removing dropouts and early failures from a sample of 528 implants, 412 (78%) had a marginal bone loss (MBL) ≤ 0 mm at the end of the observation time, and 106 surviving implants (22%) showed a mean MBL of 1.42 ± 1.08 mm (range: 0.25 to 6.75 mm). An overall medium-term SR of the EV implants was 92.6%. Four of five EV implants showed a mid-term MBL ≤ 0 mm, and 91.86% of implants completed the observation period with an MBL < 2 mm. Thus, the EV implant system was shown to be a valid alternative for routine use in a nonuniversity setting. Clinicians should remember that there is no 100% implant survival in everyday practice and that bruxism, periodontitis, narrow-diameter implants, and immediate placement are risk factors for a higher failure rate.

Benefits of routine probiotic supplementation in preterm infants.

We introduced routine probiotic supplementation (RPS) of preterm infants in June 2012. We previously reported that RPS reduced the incidence of necrotising enterocolitis (NEC) and mortality in such infants. In this study, we assessed if the benefits of RPS were sustained for infants in the current era. We compared the outcomes of preterm infants in recent epoch 3 (RPS, 1st June 2014 to 31st December 2019) versus epoch 2 (RPS, 1st June 2012 to 31st May 2014) and epoch 1 (no RPS, 1st December 2008 to 30th November 2010). Multiple logistic and Cox regression models were used to compare the outcomes. There were 645 infants in epoch 1, 712 in epoch 2 and 1715 in epoch 3. Age at full feeds was significantly lower in epoch 3 vs. 2 and epoch 3 vs. 1 in infants <28 weeks of gestation. NEC and late-onset sepsis (LOS) were significantly lower in epoch 3 vs. 1 in infants <28 weeks. LOS and age at full feeds were significantly lower in epoch 3 vs. 2 and epoch 3 vs. 1 in infants with gestation 28 to 32 weeks. The benefits associated with RPS were sustained during epoch 3.

Impact of Food Insecurity on Outcomes Following Resection of Hepatopancreaticobiliary Cancer.

Food insecurity (FI) may predispose individuals to suboptimal nutrition, leading to chronic disease and poor health outcomes. We sought to assess the impact of county-level FI on postoperative outcomes among patients undergoing resection of hepatopancreaticobiliary (HPB) cancer. Patients who were diagnosed with HPB cancer between 2010 and 2015 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database. Data on annual county-level FI were obtained from the Feeding America: Mapping the Meal Gap report and were categorized into tertiles. Textbook outcome was defined as no extended length of stay, perioperative complications, 90-day readmission, and 90-day mortality. Multiple logistic regression and Cox regression models were used to assess outcomes and survival relative to FI. Among 49,882 patients (hepatocellular: n = 11,937, 23.9%; intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: n = 2111, 4.2%; extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: n = 4047, 8.1%; gallbladder: n = 2853, 5.7%; pancreatic: n = 28,934, 58.0%), 6702 (13.4%) patients underwent a surgical resection. Median age was 75 years (interquartile range 69-82), and most patients were male (n = 25,767, 51.7%) and self-identified as White (n = 36,381, 72.9%). Overall, 5291 (10.6%) and 39,664 (79.5%) individuals resided in low or moderate FI counties, respectively, while 4927 (9.8%) patients resided in high FI counties. Achievement of textbook outcome (TO) was 56.3% (n = 6702). After adjusting for competing risk factors, patients residing in high FI counties had lower odds to achieve a TO versus individuals living in low FI counties (odds ratio 0.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.54-0.88, p = 0.003). In addition, patients residing in moderate and high FI counties had a greater risk of mortality at 1- (referent, low, moderate: hazard ratio [HR] 1.09, 95% CI 1.05-1.14; high: HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.08-1.21), 3- (referent, low, moderate: HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.05-1.14; high: HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.08-1.21), and 5- (referent, low, moderate: HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.09; high: HR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.13) years versus individuals from low FI counties. FI was associated with adverse perioperative outcomes and long-term survival following resection of an HPB malignancy. Interventions directed towards mitigating nutritional inequities are needed to improve outcomes among vulnerable HPB populations.