Multidimensional Prognostic Index Score Research Articles

The Role of Multidimensional Prognostic Index to Identify Hospitalized Older Adults with COVID-19 Who Can Benefit from Remdesivir Treatment: An Observational, Prospective, Multicenter Study.

Data regarding the importance of multidimensional frailty to guide clinical decision making for remdesivir use in older patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are largely unexplored. The aim of this research was to evaluate if the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI), a multidimensional frailty tool based on the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA), may help physicians in identifying older hospitalized patients affected by COVID-19 who might benefit from the use of remdesivir. This was a multicenter, prospective study of older adults hospitalized for COVID-19 in 10 European hospitals, followed-up for 90 days after hospital discharge. A standardized CGA was performed at hospital admission and the MPI was calculated, with a final score ranging between 0 (lowest mortality risk) and 1 (highest mortality risk). We assessed survival with Cox regression, and the impact of remdesivir on mortality (overall and in hospital) with propensity score analysis, stratified by MPI = 0.50. Among 496 older adults hospitalized for COVID-19 (mean age 80 years, female 59.9%), 140 (28.2% of patients) were treated with remdesivir. During the 90 days of follow-up, 175 deaths were reported, 115 in hospital. Remdesivir treatment significantly reduced the risk of overall mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.54, 95% confidence interval CI 0.35-0.83 in the propensity score analysis) in the sample as whole. Stratifying the population, based on MPI score, the effect was observed only in less frail participants (HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.22-0.96 in propensity score analysis), but not in frailer subjects. In-hospital mortality was not influenced by remdesivir use. MPI could help to identify less frail older adults hospitalized for COVID-19 who could benefit more from remdesivir treatment in terms of long-term survival.

Association between multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) and pre-operative delirium in older patients with hip fracture

Pre-operative delirium may cause delay in surgical intervention in older patients hospitalized for hip fracture. Also it has been associated with higher risk of post-surgical complications and worst functional outcomes. Aim of this retrospective cohort study was to evaluate whether the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) at hospital admission was associated with pre-operative delirium in older individuals with hip fracture who are deemed to require surgical intervention. Consecutive older patients (≥ 65 years) with hip fracture underwent a comprehensive geriatric assessment to calculate the MPI at hospital admission. According to previously established cut-offs, MPI was expressed in three grades, i.e. MPI-1 (low-risk), MPI-2 (moderate-risk) and MPI-3 (high risk of mortality). Pre-operative delirium was assessed using the four ‘A’s Test. Out of 244 older patients who underwent surgery for hip fracture, 104 subjects (43%) received a diagnosis of delirium. Overall, the incidence of delirium before surgery was significantly higher in patients with more severe MPI score at admission. Higher MPI grade (MPI-3) was independently associated with higher risk of pre-operative delirium (OR 2.45, CI 1.21–4.96). Therefore, the MPI at hospital admission might help in early identification of older patients with hip fracture at risk for pre-operative delirium.

Frailty trajectories in community-dwelling older adults during COVID-19 pandemic: The PRESTIGE study.

BackgroundFrailty has been recognized as potential surrogate of biological age and relevant risk factor for COVID‐19 severity. Thus, it is important to explore the frailty trajectories during COVID‐19 pandemic and understand how COVID‐19 directly and indirectly impacts on frailty condition.MethodsWe enrolled 217 community‐dwelling older adults with available information on frailty condition as assessed by multidimensional frailty model both at baseline and at one‐year follow‐up using Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) tools. Pre‐frail/frail subjects were identified at baseline as those with MPI score >0.33 (MPI grades 2–3). Frailty worsening was defined by MPI difference between 12 months follow‐up and baseline ≥0.1. Multivariable logistic regression was modelled to identify predictors of worsening of frailty condition.ResultsFrailer subjects at baseline (MPI grades 2–3 = 48.4%) were older, more frequently female and had higher rates of hospitalization and Sars‐CoV‐2 infection compared to robust ones (MPI grade 1). Having MPI grades 2–3 at baseline was associated with higher risk of further worsening of frailty condition (adjusted odd ratio (aOR): 13.60, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.01–46.09), independently by age, gender and Sars‐CoV‐2 infection. Specifically, frail subjects without COVID‐19 (aOR: 14.84, 95% CI: 4.26–51.74) as well as those with COVID‐19 (aOR: 12.77, 95% CI: 2.66–61.40, p = 0.001) had significantly higher risk of worsening of frailty condition.ConclusionsEffects of COVID‐19 pandemic among community‐dwelling frailer individuals are far beyond the mere infection and disease, determining a significant deterioration of frailty status both in infected and non‐infected subjects.

Prognostic Signature of Chronic Kidney Disease in Advanced Age: Secondary Analysis from the InGAH Study with One-Year Follow-Up.

The negative impact of chronic kidney disease (CKD) on health status and quality of life in older patients has been well documented. However, data on frailty trajectories and long-term outcomes of older CKD patients undergoing structured Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) with multidimensional frailty evaluation are sparse. Here, we analysed records from 375 CKD patients admitted to our university hospital (mean age 77.5 (SD 6.1) years, 36% female) who had undergone a CGA-based calculation of the frailty score with the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) as well as follow-up evaluations at 3, 6 and 12 months after discharge. Based on the MPI score at admission, 21% of the patients were frail and 56% were prefrail. MPI values were significantly associated with KDIGO CKD stages (p = 0.003) and rehospitalisation after 6 months (p = 0.027) and mortality at 3, 6 and 12 months (p = 0.001), independent of chronological age. Kidney transplant recipients (KTR) showed a significantly lower frailty compared to patients with renal replacement therapy (RRT, p = 0.028). The association between frailty and mortality after 12 months appeared particularly strong for KTR (mean MPI 0.43 KTR vs. 0.52 RRT, p < 0.001) and for patients with hypoalbuminemia (p < 0.001). Interestingly, RRT was per se not significantly associated with mortality during follow up. However, compared to patients on RRT those with KTR had a significantly lower grade of care (p = 0.031) and lower rehospitalisation rates at 12 months (p = 0.010). The present analysis shows that the large majority of older CKD inpatients are prefrail or frail and that the risk for CKD-related adverse outcomes on the long term can be accurately stratified by CGA-based instruments. Further studies are needed to explore the prognostic and frailty-related signature of laboratory biomarkers in CKD.

Multidimensional prognostic index and the risk of fractures: an 8-year longitudinal cohort study in the Osteoarthritis Initiative

SummaryIn this longitudinal study, with a follow-up of 8 years, multidimensional prognostic index (MPI), a product of the comprehensive geriatric assessment, significantly predicted the onset of fractures in older people affected by knee osteoarthritis.PurposeFrailty may be associated with higher fracture risk, but limited research has been carried out using a multidimensional approach to frailty assessment and diagnosis. The present research aimed to investigate whether the MPI, based on comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA), is associated with the risk of fractures in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) study.MethodsCommunity-dwellers affected by knee OA or at high risk for this condition were followed-up for 8 years. A standardized CGA including information on functional, nutritional, mood, comorbidity, medication, quality of life, and co-habitation status was used to calculate the MPI. Fractures were diagnosed using self-reported information. Cox’s regression analysis was carried out and results are reported as hazard ratios (HRs), with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusted for potential confounders.ResultsThe sample consisted of 4024 individuals (mean age 61.0 years, females = 59.0%). People with incident fractures had a significant higher MPI baseline value than those without (0.42 ± 0.18 vs. 0.40 ± 0.17). After adjusting for several potential confounders, people with an MPI over 0.66 (HR = 1.49; 95%CI: 1.11–2.00) experienced a higher risk of fractures. An increase in 0.10 point in MPI score corresponded to an increase in fracture risk of 4% (HR = 1.04; 95%CI: 1.008–1.07). Higher MPI values were also associated with a higher risk of non-vertebral clinical fractures.ConclusionHigher MPI values at baseline were associated with an increased risk of fractures, reinforcing the importance of CGA in predicting fractures in older people affected by knee OA.

775 Impact of frailty on medium-term follow-up in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation in a high flow referral centre with high volumes

Abstract Aims Transcatheter strategies to treat aortic stenosis (AS) are an established therapeutic option in older patients not candidate for open heart surgery. Guidelines recommend the adoption of surgical scores like the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) as tools for risk stratification. However, these scores may have limited predictive value in older patients. To assess the impact of frailty status on a composite endpoint comprising all-cause death and cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with severe AS evaluated for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in a high-flow and high-volume tertiary care centre. Methods and results Consecutive patients &amp;gt;80 years referred to TAVI from January to December 2019 at our institution were screened for frailty through a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) based on physical function and the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI). Physical function was evaluated by the short physical performance battery (SPPB), a tool exploring balance, gait speed, strength and endurance that produces a score ranging from 0 to 12 (lowest to highest performance). The SPPB &amp;lt;6 is an established strong predictor of mortality and disability. The MPI is a three-level score used to stratify risk of mortality (low, intermediate, or high risk) based on eight key domains for frailty assessment (functional and cognitive status, nutrition, mobility and risk of pressure sores, multimorbidity, polypharmacy, and co-habitation). Data on mortality and CV events at 6 and 12 months were retrieved via administrative records and/or telephone follow-up. Overall, 134 patients were referred for TAVI (mean age: 84 ± 4 years; &amp;gt;90 years: 12%, women 67%). The STS risk score was 4.6 ± 3.0 (low risk: 49%; intermediate: 39%, high risk: 12%). Mean SPPB was 6.3 ± 3.7 (SPPB &amp;lt;6: 32%). Ninety-five (71%) patients belonged to the MPI-low risk group, 30 (22%) to the MPI intermediate risk group and nine (7%) to the MPI high risk group. SPPB and MPI scores were moderately correlated with STS (Spearman correlation coefficient: SPPB R = 0.31, P = 0.01, MPI R = 0.29, P = 0.03, Figure 1A and B). At 1 year, 3 (2.2%) patients died, and 11 (8.2%) were hospitalized for CV events: major bleeding, N = 6(4.5%); stroke: N = 4 (3.0%); re-do: N = 1 (0.7%). The probability of the composite endpoint was higher for patients at intermediate/high MPI risk (HR intermediate/high risk vs. low risk: HR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.1–6.8, P = 0.031, Figure 1C), while no association with STS (P = 0.332) was found. Conclusions In a prospective cohort of TAVI candidates, frailty stratified short- and medium-term prognosis. The integrated frailty assessment could be a useful tool for early detection of patients at risk of disability, and potentially, for preventing the futility of the TAVI procedure. 120 Figure

Impact of frailty status on medium-term follow up in patients undergoing percutaneous transcatheter aortic valve implantation in a high-flow referral center with high procedural volumes

Abstract Background Transcatheter strategies to treat aortic stenosis (AS) are an established therapeutic option in older patients not candidate for open heart surgery. Current guidelines recommend the adoption of surgical scores like the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) as tools for risk stratification. However, these scores may have limited predictive value in older patients. Purpose To assess the impact of frailty status on a composite endpoint comprising mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with severe AS evaluated for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in a high-flow and high-volume tertiary care center. Methods Consecutive patients &amp;gt;80 years referred to TAVI from January to December 2019 at our tertiary care institution were prospectively screened for frailty through a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) based on physical function and the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI). Physical function was evaluated by the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB), a tool exploring balance, gait speed, strength and endurance that produces a score ranging from 0 to 12 (lowest to highest performance). The SPPB &amp;lt;6 is an established strong predictor of mortality and disability. The MPI is a three-level score used to stratify risk of mortality (low, intermediate or high risk) based on eight key domains for frailty assessment (functional and cognitive status, nutrition, mobility and risk of pressure sores, multimorbidity, polypharmacy and co-habitation). Data on mortality and CV events at 6 and 12 months were retrieved via administrative records and/or telephone follow-up. Results Overall, 134 patients were referred for TAVI (mean age: 84±4 years; &amp;gt;90 years: 12%, women 67%). The average STS risk score was 4.6±3.0 (low risk: 49%; intermediate: 39%, high risk: 12%). Mean SPPB was 6.3±3.7 (SPPB &amp;lt;6: 32%). Ninety-five (71%) patients belonged to the MPI-low risk group, 30 (22%) to the MPI intermediate risk group and nine (7%) to the MPI high risk group. SPPB and MPI scores were moderately correlated with STS (Spearman correlation coefficient: SPPB R=0.31, p=0.01, MPI R=0.29, p=0.03, Figure Panel A and B). At 12 months, 3 (2.2%) patients died, and 11 (8.2%) were hospitalized for CV events: major bleeding, N=6 (4.5%); stroke: N=4 (3.0%); re-do: N=1 (0.7%). The probability of the composite endpoint was higher for patients at intermediate/high MPI risk (HR intermediate/high risk vs low risk: HR 2.9, 95% CI 1.1–6.8, p=0.031, Figure 1 Panel C), while no association with STS (p=0.332) was found. Conclusions In a prospectively enrolled cohort of TAVI candidates, frailty indices stratified short- and medium-term prognosis. The integrated frailty assessment could be a useful tool for early detection of patients at risk of disability, and potentially, for preventing the futility of the TAVI procedure. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1

Multidimensional Prognostic Index and Outcomes in Older Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation: Survival of the Fittest.

Selecting patients with a high chance of endured benefit from transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is becoming relevant with changing indications and increasing number of TAVI being performed. The aim of our study was to investigate the association of the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) based on a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) on survival. The TAVI Care & Cure program is a prospective, observational registry of patients referred for TAVI at the Erasmus MC University Medical Center. Consecutive patients who underwent a complete CGA and TAVI were included. CGA components were used to calculate the MPI score. The impact of the MPI score on survival was evaluated using Cox regression. Furthermore, 376 patients were included, 143 (38.0%) patients belonged to the MPI-1 group and 233 (61.9%) patients to the MPI-2–3 group. After 3 years, 14.9% of the patients in the MPI-1 group and 30.5% of the patients in the MPI-2–3 group died (p = 0.001). Patients in MPI-1 had increased chances of overall survival in comparison with patients in MPI group 2–3 Hazard Ratio (HR) 0.57, (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.33–0.98)). In this study we found that the MPI tool could be useful to assess frailty and to predict which patient will have a higher chance of enduring benefit from a TAVI procedure.

Risk Stratification of Patients Undergoing Percutaneous Repair of Mitral and Tricuspid Valves Using a Multidimensional Geriatric Assessment.

Given their advanced age and high comorbidity, individual risk assessment is crucial in patients undergoing transcatheter mitral and tricuspid valve repair. Therefore, we evaluated the use of a comprehensive geriatric assessment score, the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI), for risk stratification in these patients. We conducted a prospective, observational single-center study, including 226 patients undergoing percutaneous repair for mitral or tricuspid regurgitation. The MPI was calculated preprocedural and covers 8 domains (activities of daily living, instrumental activities of daily living, mental status, nutrition, risk of pressure ulcers, comorbidity, medication, and marital/cohabitation status). We sought to identify an association of MPI score with procedural outcomes and 6-month mortality. A total of 53.1% of patients were stratified as low risk according to MPI (MPI-1 group), 44.2% as medium risk (MPI-2 group), and 2.7% as high risk (MPI-3 group). Procedural efficacy and safety were similar between groups. The estimated survival rate at 6 months was 97±2% in MPI-1 group, 79±4% in MPI-2 group (hazard ratio, 6.90 [95% CI, 2.36-12.2]; P≤0.001) and 50±20% in MPI-3 group (hazard ratio, 20.3 [95% CI, 4.51-91.3]; P<0.001). An increase in 1 SD of the MPI score (0.14 points, possible range of MPI score 0-1) was associated with a hazard ratio of 2.13 (95% CI, 1.58-2.73; P≤0.001) for death after 6 months. The risk association of the MPI with mortality remained significant in multivariate analysis including risk factors, such as peripheral artery disease and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) levels. A comprehensive geriatric assessment with the MPI score provides additional information on mortality risk beyond established cardiovascular risk factors.

An interdisciplinary intervention is associated with overall improvement of older inpatients in a non-geriatric setting: A retrospective analysis of an observational, longitudinal study with one-year follow up

Older persons often loose independence during hospitalization. This analysis aimed at retrospectively evaluating the effects of a pilot individualized multidimensional intervention (IMI) on the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA)-based prognosis of older multimorbid patients in an acute internal medicine setting. Records from 72 patients aged 65 years and above who received the IMI were compared to those from 403 patients who received standard of care (SOC). All patients had undergone the CGA-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) calculation on admission and at discharge. Patients were divided into three risk groups according to MPI score: Low-risk (MPI-1, 0-0.33), medium-risk (MPI-2, 0.34-0.66) and high-risk (MPI-3, 0.67-1). From admission to discharge, IMI patients showed significant improvements in their MPI score (P=0.014) and subdomains compared to SOC. This was particularly evident in MPI-2 and MPI-3 as well as in patients with poorer functions on MPI admission subdomains. An early geriatric intervention during hospitalization for disease-specific treatments in internal medicine settings improves overall individual prognosis in older multimorbid patients. Prospective randomized studies are needed to confirm these preliminary retrospective observations.

Investigating Neuroimaging Correlates of Early Frailty in Patients With Behavioral Variant Frontotemporal Dementia: A MRI and FDG-PET Study.

Frailty is a dynamic clinical condition characterized by the reduction of interconnections among different psychobiological domains, which leads to a homeostatic vulnerability. The association between physical frailty and cognitive dysfunctions is a possible predictor of poor prognosis in patients with neurodegenerative disorders. However, this construct has not been fully analyzed by a multidimensional neuropsychogeriatric assessment matched with multimodal neuroimaging methods in patients with behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD). We have investigated cognitive dysfunctions and frailty status, assessed by both a neuropsychological evaluation and the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI), in a sample of 18 bvFTD patients and compared to matched healthy controls. Gray matter (GM) volume (as assessed by voxel-based morphometry) and metabolism (on 18fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography) were first separately compared between groups, then voxelwise compared and correlated to each other within patients. Linear regression of the MPI was performed on those voxels presenting a significant correlation between altered GM volume and metabolism. The neuropsychological assessment reflected the diagnoses and the functional–anatomical alterations documented by neuroimaging analyses. In particular, the majority of patients presented significant executive dysfunction and mood changes in terms of apathy, depression, and anxiety. In the overall MPI score, the patients fell in the lower range (indicating an early frailty status). On imaging, they exhibited a bilateral decrease of GM density and hypometabolism involving the frontal pole, the anterior opercular region, and the anterior cingulate cortex. Greater atrophy than hypometabolism was observed in the bilateral orbitofrontal cortex, the triangular part of the inferior frontal gyrus, and the ventral striatum, whereas the contrary was detected in the bilateral dorsal anterior cingulate cortex and pre-supplementary motor area. MPI scores significantly correlated only with the co-occurrence of a decrease of GM density and hypometabolism in the right anterior insular cortex, but not with the separate pathological phenomena. Our results show a correlation between a specific pattern of co-occurring GM atrophy and hypometabolism with early frailty in bvFTD patients. These aspects, combined with executive dysfunction and mood changes, may lead to an increased risk of poor prognosis, highlighting a potentially critical and precocious role of the insula in the pathogenesis of frailty.

The multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) for the prognostic stratification of older inpatients with COVID-19: A multicenter prospective observational cohort study

BackgroundThe topic of prognosis in COVID-19 research may be important in adopting appropriate clinical decisions. Multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) is a frailty assessment tool widely used for stratifying prognosis in older people, but data regarding inpatients, affected by COVID-19, are not available. ObjectivesTo evaluate whether MPI can predict in-hospital mortality and the admission to intensive care unit (ICU) in older inpatients hospitalized for COVID-19 infection. MethodsIn this longitudinal, Italian, multi-center study, older patients with COVID-19 were included. MPI was calculated using eight different domains typical of comprehensive geriatric assessment and categorized in three groups (MPI 1 ≤ 0.33, MPI 2 0.34–0.66, MPI 3 > 0.66). A multivariable Cox's regression analysis was used reporting the results as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results227 older patients hospitalized for SARS-CoV-2 infection were enrolled (mean age: 80.5 years, 59% females). Inpatients in the MPI 3 were subjected less frequently than those in the MPI 1 to non-invasive ventilation (NIV). In the multivariable analysis, people in MPI 3 experienced a higher risk of in hospital mortality (HR = 6.30, 95%CI: 1.44–27.61), compared to MPI 1. The accuracy of MPI in predicting in hospital mortality was good (Area Under the Curve (AUC) = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.68–0.83). People in MPI 3 experienced a significant longer length of stay (LOS) in hospital compared to other participants. No association between MPI and ICU admission was found. ConclusionsFrailty- as assessed by high MPI score - was associated with a significant higher risk of in-hospital mortality, longer LOS, and lower use NIV, whilst the association with ICU admission was not significant. These findings suggest that prognostic stratification by using the MPI could be useful in clinical decision making in older inpatients affected by COVID-19.

Frailty and risk of mortality and hospitalization in nursing home residents affected by COVID-19

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a widespread condition in nursing homes (NHs). However, no research was made regarding frailty in NH residents during COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of this study was to assess whether frailty, assessed by the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI), can predict mortality/hospitalization in COVID-19 NH residents. A Cox’s regression analysis was used, reporting the results as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). 1146 NH residents affected by COVID-19 were included (mean age: 86 years; 75.4% females). During the followup period, we observed 286 deaths and 239 hospitalizations. Taking those with MPI &lt;0.41 as reference, an MPI ≥0.50 was associated with a higher risk of death (HR=1.41; 95%CI: 1.07-1.85). Similar results were obtained using the MPI score increase in 0.10 points (HR=1.12; 95%CI: 1.03-1.23). Using hospitalization as outcome, only MPI score as continuous variable was associated with this outcome (HR=1.08; 95%CI: 1.002-1.17). In conclusion, frailty, as assessed by the MPI, was associated with a significant higher risk of mortality and hospitalization in NH residents affected by COVID-19 further indicating the necessity of assessing frailty in NH.

Mortality and readmission risk can be predicted by the record-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index: a cohort study of medical inpatients older than 75years.

To examine the predictive value of the record-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) on mortality, readmission and length of hospital stay (LOS) among older medical inpatients. A cohort of medical inpatients aged ≥ 75years was rated using the record-based MPI to assess frailty retrospectively. 90-day and 1-year mortality hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated in a sex- and age-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. 30-day readmission relative risk (RR) estimates were calculated in a binary regression model with mortality as a competing risk. Discrimination was expressed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Median LOS was calculated using the non-parametric Kruskal-Wallis one-way ANOVA. In total, 1190 patients with a median age of 83years were included. 50% were male. 335 patients (28%) were categorized as non-frail (MPI score 0.0-0.33), 522 (44%) moderately frail (MPI score 0.34-0.66) and 333 (28%) severely frail (MPI score 0.67-1.0). 90-day mortality HR was 7.4 (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.9-18.6, p < 0.001) for the moderately frail and 18.5 (95% CI 7.5-46.1, p < 0.001) for the severely frail compared with the non-frail. ROC area was 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.80). Similarly, 1-year mortality HR was 3.3 (95% CI 2.2-5.0, p < 0.001) for the moderately frail and 7.1 (95% CI 4.7-10.6, p < 0.001) for the severely frail. 30-day readmission RR was 2.1 (95% CI 1.5-2.9, p < 0.001) for the moderately frail and 1.8 (95% CI 1.3-2.6, p = 0.001) for the severely frail. LOS was significantly longer with increasing MPI score (p < 0.001). The record-based MPI assessed at discharge predicts dose-dependent post-discharge mortality and readmission risk and is associated with LOS in older medical inpatients.

Multidimensional frailty increases cardiovascular risk in older people: An 8-year longitudinal cohort study in the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the most important cause of mortality and an important cause of disability. Frailty seems to be associated with higher cardiovascular risk, but limited research has been done using a multidimensional approach to frailty. Thus, the present study aimed to investigate whether the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI), based on comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA), is associated with CVD risk in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) study. Community-dwellers affected by knee OA or at high risk for this condition were followed for 8years. A standardized CGA including information on functional, nutritional, mood, comorbidities, medications, quality of life and co-habitation status was used to calculate a modified version of the MPI (range 0-1), with higher scores representing greater risk of mortality. CVDs were recorded using self-reported information. Logistic regression analyses, adjusting for potential confounders, were conducted. The final sample consisted of 4211 individuals (mean age 60.8years, females=58.6%). People with incident CVD had a significant higher baseline MPI value than those without CVD (0.44±0.17 vs. 0.39±0.17). People with an MPI between 0.34 and 0.66 (OR=1.31; 95%CI: 1.03-1.67) and over 0.66 (OR=1.91; 95%CI: 1.26-2.89) experienced a higher risk of CVD (vs. MPI score<0.34). A 0.10 points increase in the MPI score at baseline was associated with a 1.16 (95%CI: 1.09-1.24) times higher odds for incident CVD. Higher MPI values at baseline were associated with an increased risk of CVD, reinforcing the importance of CGA in predicting CVD risk in older people.

IL-6 Levels Influence 3-Month All-Cause Mortality in Frail Hospitalized Older Patients.

The multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) is a sensitive and specific prognosis estimation tool that accurately predicts all-cause mortality in frail older patients. It has been validated to assess the risk of 1-month to 2-year mortality in frail older patients during hospitalization and after hospital discharge. However, whether the MPI is a valid prognostic tool for follow-up periods of different lengths remains to be validated. To this end, we followed up 80 hospitalized patients (female=37, male 43) at least 75 years of age (mean age=82.6±4.4, range=75-94 years) to assess the 3-month all-cause mortality (mean follow-up=61.0 ± 31.7 months [range 4-90 days]). Accordingly, patients were subdivided into low (MPI-1, score 0-0.33), moderate (MPI-2, score 0.34-0.66) and high (MPI-3, score 0.67-1) mortality risk classes. Moreover, baseline biochemical, inflammatory and metabolic parameters, as well as anamnestic and clinical characteristics, were obtained. Although the MPI-3 score was significantly associated with 3-month all-cause mortality in univariate analysis (HR=5.79, 95%CI=1.77-18.92, p=0.004), a multivariate model indicated that only low albumin (HR=0.33, 95%CI=0.16-0.68, p=0.003) and high IL6 (HR=1.01, 95%CI=1.00-1.02, p=0.010) levels were significantly associated with 3-month all-cause mortality. In conclusion, we suggest that measurement of IL6 as well as albumin, rather than the MPI score, may help in providing tailored therapeutic interventions to decrease short term mortality in older hospitalized individuals.

Multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) predicts non-invasive ventilation failure in older adults with acute respiratory failure

BackgroundAcute respiratory failure (ARF) is a very common complication among hospitalized older adults. Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) may avoid admission to intensive care units, intubation and their related complication, but still lacks specific indications in older adults. Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) based on comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) could have a role in defining the short-term prognosis and the best candidates for NIV among older adults with ARF. MethodsThis is a retrospective observational study which enrolled patients older than 70 years, consecutively admitted to an acute geriatric unit with ARF. A standardized CGA was used to calculate the MPI at admission. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to test if MPI score could predict in-hospital mortality and NIV failure. Receiver operator curve (ROC) analysis was used to identify the discriminatory power of MPI for NIV failure. ResultsWe enrolled 231 patients (88.2 ± 5.9 years, 47% females). Mean MPI at admission was 0.76±0.16. In-hospital mortality rate was 33.8%, with similar incidence in patients treated with and without NIV. Among NIV users (26.4%), NIV failure occurred in 39.3%. Higher MPI scores at admission significantly predicted in-hospital mortality (β=4.46, p<0.0001) among patients with ARF and NIV failure (β=7.82, p = 0.001) among NIV users. MPI showed good discriminatory power for NIV failure (area under the curve: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.58–0.85, p<0.001) with optimal cut-off at MPI value of 0.84. ConclusionsMPI at admission might be a useful tool to early detect patients more at risk of in-hospital death and NIV failure among older adults with ARF.

Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) score has the major impact on outcome prediction in elderly surgical patients with colorectal cancer: The FRAGIS study.

This study aims (I) to evaluate whether the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) score is associated with postoperative outcomes and (II) to develop a prognostic model for individual complication-risk prediction following colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery. This is a prospective multicentric cohort study. Consecutive ≥75-year-old candidates for elective CRC surgery were enrolled from October 2017 to August 2019. Patients underwent standardized preoperative geriatric assessment including the MPI. Patients with MPI score > 0.33 were classified as frail. Logistic regression models were employed to evaluate variables associated with major postoperative complications and mortality, using 10-fold cross-validated LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) for model selection. In all, 104 patients were included, 34 (33%) had MPI score > 0.33. Major postoperative complications occurred in 52% of frail versus 16% of fit (MPI score ≤ 0.33) patients (p < .01). Both 30-day (9% vs. 0%; p = .033) and 90-day mortality (18% vs. 1%; p < .01) were higher among frail patients. In multivariate analysis, MPI score was associated with adverse outcomes. A final postoperative complication predictive model was created, including MPI score, gait-speed test, ASA (American Society of Anesthesiology) score, surgical approach, and stoma creation. MPI score is strongly associated with postoperative major complications in CRC elderly patients and it is a primary component of an individual prediction model.

Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) in elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction

BackgroundManagement of elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is challenging due to lack of knowledge about the link between fragility, outcomes and interventional procedures.AimsThe aim of this study was to establish the prognostic role of the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) in elderly with AMI.MethodsA total of 241 patients ≥ 65 years old with AMI were continuously enrolled in this prospective study and divided into three groups according to the MPI score. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality. Secondary endpoints were 6-month mortality and rate of adverse events.ResultsIn-hospital overall mortality rate was higher in MPI-3 (p = 0.009). Patients of MPI-3 had a significantly higher mortality rate regarding the primary endpoint with 30-day survival of 78.9%, compared to 97.4% and 97.2%, in MPI-1, MPI-2 (p < 0.001), respectively. The survival rate progressively decreased in the three MPI classes of risk with a 6-month survival of 96.5%, 96.3%, 73.7% in groups MPI-1, MPI-2, and MPI-3 (p < 0.001). Longer length of in-hospital stay was observed in MPI-3 group. In-hospital complications were more frequent in higher MPI score.DiscussionOur findings are in agreement with the results of other studies that evaluated the risk of in-hospital complications and mortality in older patients. In our “real-world” population of elderly hospitalized for AMI we observed poorer outcomes in patients belonged to higher MPI groups.ConclusionsIn the setting of AMI, MPI may be very useful in the daily clinical practice to manage older patients and predict the risk of in-hospital and follow-up complications.

Multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) predicts successful application for disability social benefits in older people.

The economic recognition of disability is of importance in daily practice, but the tools used in older people are still limited. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the effectiveness of the multidimensional prognostic index (MPI) to identify frail older subjects to be submitted to civil invalidity application for disability benefits including Attendance Allowance (AA) indemnity, Carer's Leave (Law 104) and/or Parking Card for people with disabilities. From March 2018 to January 2019, 80 older people were included. The MPI was calculated from comprehensive geriatric assessment information including eight different domains. Civil benefits included attendance allowance (AA) indemnity by the Local Medico-Legal Committee (MLC-NHS) and by the National Institute of Social Security Committee (INPS), Carer's Leave (Law 104), and Parking Card for people with disabilities. MPI values were associated with an increased probability to obtain a 100% civil disability, AA indemnity, Carer's Leave and a parking card for people with disabilities. MPI score showed a very good accuracy in predicting the civil invalidity benefits with a area-under-curve (AUC) of 87.3 (95% CI 80.6-97.4) to predict the release of AA indemnity, 81.3 (95% CI 68.5-91.1) to predict Care's leave and 70.7 (95% CI 59.4-84.7) to predict the Parking Card release. Moreover, data showed that a cut-off score of MPI ≥ 0.75 could identify the 100% of older subjects who successfully obtained the indemnity release. MPI is an excellent predictor of social benefits' release by local and national agencies.