Multi-biomarker Disease Activity Research Articles

Association of the multi-biomarker disease activity score with arterial 18-fluorodeoxyglucose uptake in rheumatoid arthritis.

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and atherosclerosis share many common inflammatory pathways. We studied whether a multi-biomarker panel for RA disease activity (MBDA) would associate with changes in arterial inflammation in an interventional trial. In the TARGET Trial, RA patients with active disease despite methotrexate were randomly assigned to the addition of either a TNF inhibitor or sulfasalazine+hydroxychloroquine (triple therapy). Baseline and 24-week follow-up 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography scans were assessed for change in arterial inflammation measured as the maximal arterial target-to-blood background ratio of FDG uptake in the most diseased segment of the carotid arteries or aorta (MDS-TBRmax). The MBDA test, measured at baseline and weeks 6, 18, and 24, was assessed for its association with the change in MDS-TBRmax. Interpretable scans were available at baseline and week 24 for n = 112 patients. The MBDA score at week 24 was significantly correlated with the change in MDR-TBRmax (Spearman's rho = 0.239; p= 0.011) and remained significantly associated after adjustment for relevant confounders. Those with low MBDA at week 24 had a statistically significant adjusted reduction in arterial inflammation of 0.35 units vs no significant reduction in those who did not achieve low MBDA. Neither DAS28-CRP nor CRP predicted change in arterial inflammation. The MBDA component with the strongest association with change in arterial inflammation was serum amyloid A (SAA). Among treated RA patients, achieved MBDA predicts of changes in arterial inflammation. Achieving low MBDA at 24 weeks was associated with clinically meaningful reductions in arterial inflammation, regardless of treatment.

External validation of a multi-biomarker-based score for predicting risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

A multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA)-based cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk score was developed and internally validated in a Medicare cohort to predict 3-year risk for myocardial infarction (MI), stroke or CVD death in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). It combines the MBDA score, leptin, MMP-3, TNF-R1, age and four clinical variables. We are now externally validating it in a younger RA cohort. Claims data from a private aggregator were linked to MBDA test data to create a cohort of RA patients ≥18 years old. A univariable Cox proportional hazards regression model was fit using the MBDA-based CVD risk score as sole predictor of time-to-a-CVD event (hospitalized MI or stroke). Hazard ratio (HR) estimate was determined for all patients and for clinically relevant subgroups. A multivariable Cox model evaluated whether the MBDA-based CVD risk score adds predictive information to clinical data. 49,028 RA patients (340 CVD events) were studied. Mean age was 52.3 years; 18.3% were male. HR for predicting 3-year risk of a CVD event by the MBDA-based CVD risk score in the full cohort was 3.99 (95% CI: 3.51-4.49, p = 5.0×10-95). HR were also significant for subgroups based on age, comorbidities, disease activity, and drug use. In a multivariable model, the MBDA-based CVD risk score added significant information to hypertension, diabetes, tobacco use, history of CVD, age, sex and CRP (HR = 2.27, p = 1.7×10-7). The MBDA-based CVD risk score has been externally validated in an RA cohort that is younger than and independent of the Medicare cohort that was used for development and internal validation.

Use of multibiomarker disease activity scores in biosimilarity studies for the treatment of patients with rheumatoid arthritis

ObjectivesThis exploratory analysis investigated the potential use of the multibiomarker disease activity (MBDA) score to support biosimilarity assessments using data from two randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of biosimilar infliximab (IFX-qbtx)...

Discrepancy Between Multibiomarker Disease Activity and Clinical Disease Activity Scores in Patients With Persistently Active Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Responsive assessment of disease activity in patients who have rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is necessary to evaluate therapeutic efficacy and guide treatment. We compared the utility of the multibiomarker disease activity (MBDA) score in the assessment of RA disease activity with that of the Disease Activity Score in 28 joints using the erythrocyte sedimentation rate (DAS28-ESR) score and the Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI) in a multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of repository corticotropin injection (RCI) in patients with persistently active RA. Patients received 80 units of RCI twice weekly during a 12-week open-label period; those who experienced low disease activity at week 12 were randomly assigned to receive either 80 units of RCI or placebo twice weekly during a 12-week double-blind period. Changes in disease activity (measured by DAS28-ESR, CDAI, and MBDA scores) and correlations between MBDA scores and both DAS28-ESR and CDAI scores were assessed. Changes from baseline in DAS28-ESR and CDAI scores suggested that RCI therapy led to clinically meaningful improvements in disease activity, but improvements from baseline in MBDA scores were below the minimally important difference threshold. For the DAS28-ESR and CDAI, correlations with total MBDA and individual component scores were generally low (r ≤ 0.3) and occasionally moderate (r > 0.3 but r < 0.5). The results of the present study suggest overall MBDA scores are not sufficiently responsive for assessing RA disease activity after RCI therapy. These findings are consistent with those seen with other RA drugs and, although they are from a clinical trial, suggest the MBDA should not be a preferred disease activity measure in clinical practice.

Validation of the adjusted multi-biomarker disease activity score as a prognostic test for radiographic progression in rheumatoid arthritis: a combined analysis of multiple studies

BackgroundThe multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) test measures 12 serum protein biomarkers to quantify disease activity in RA patients. A newer version of the MBDA score, adjusted for age, sex, and adiposity, has been validated in two cohorts (OPERA and BRASS) for predicting risk for radiographic progression. We now extend these findings with additional cohorts to further validate the adjusted MBDA score as a predictor of radiographic progression risk and compare its performance with that of other risk factors.MethodsFour cohorts were analyzed: the BRASS and Leiden registries and the OPERA and SWEFOT studies (total N = 953). Treatments included conventional DMARDs and anti-TNFs. Associations of radiographic progression (ΔTSS) per year with the adjusted MBDA score, seropositivity, and clinical measures were evaluated using linear and logistic regression. The adjusted MBDA score was (1) validated in Leiden and SWEFOT, (2) compared with other measures in all four cohorts, and (3) used to generate curves for predicting risk of radiographic progression.ResultsUnivariable and bivariable analyses validated the adjusted MBDA score and found it to be the strongest, independent predicator of radiographic progression (ΔTSS > 5) compared with seropositivity (rheumatoid factor and/or anti-CCP), baseline TSS, DAS28-CRP, CRP SJC, or CDAI. Neither DAS28-CRP, CDAI, SJC, nor CRP added significant information to the adjusted MBDA score as a predictor, and the frequency of radiographic progression agreed with the adjusted MBDA score when it was discordant with these measures. The rate of progression (ΔTSS > 5) increased from < 2% in the low (1–29) adjusted MBDA category to 16% in the high (45–100) category. A modeled risk curve indicated that risk increased continuously, exceeding 40% for the highest adjusted MBDA scores.ConclusionThe adjusted MBDA score was validated as an RA disease activity measure that is prognostic for radiographic progression. The adjusted MBDA score was a stronger predictor of radiographic progression than conventional risk factors, including seropositivity, and its prognostic ability was not significantly improved by the addition of DAS28-CRP, CRP, SJC, or CDAI.

Derivation and internal validation of a multi-biomarker-based cardiovascular disease risk prediction score for rheumatoid arthritis patients

BackgroundRheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients have increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Accurate CVD risk prediction could improve care for RA patients. Our goal is to develop and validate a biomarker-based model for predicting CVD risk in RA patients.MethodsMedicare claims data were linked to multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) test results to create an RA patient cohort with age ≥ 40 years that was split 2:1 for training and internal validation. Clinical and RA-related variables, MBDA score, and its 12 biomarkers were evaluated as predictors of a composite CVD outcome: myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, or fatal CVD within 3 years. Model building used Cox proportional hazard regression with backward elimination. The final MBDA-based CVD risk score was internally validated and compared to four clinical CVD risk prediction models.Results30,751 RA patients (904 CVD events) were analyzed. Covariates in the final MBDA-based CVD risk score were age, diabetes, hypertension, tobacco use, history of CVD (excluding MI/stroke), MBDA score, leptin, MMP-3 and TNF-R1. In internal validation, the MBDA-based CVD risk score was a strong predictor of 3-year risk for a CVD event, with hazard ratio (95% CI) of 2.89 (2.46–3.41). The predicted 3-year CVD risk was low for 9.4% of patients, borderline for 10.2%, intermediate for 52.2%, and high for 28.2%.Model fit was good, with mean predicted versus observed 3-year CVD risks of 4.5% versus 4.4%. The MBDA-based CVD risk score significantly improved risk discrimination by the likelihood ratio test, compared to four clinical models. The risk score also improved prediction, reclassifying 42% of patients versus the simplest clinical model (age + sex), with a net reclassification index (NRI) (95% CI) of 0.19 (0.10–0.27); and 28% of patients versus the most comprehensive clinical model (age + sex + diabetes + hypertension + tobacco use + history of CVD + CRP), with an NRI of 0.07 (0.001–0.13). C-index was 0.715 versus 0.661 to 0.696 for the four clinical models.ConclusionA prognostic score has been developed to predict 3-year CVD risk for RA patients by using clinical data, three serum biomarkers and the MBDA score. In internal validation, it had good accuracy and outperformed clinical models with and without CRP. The MBDA-based CVD risk prediction score may improve RA patient care by offering a risk stratification tool that incorporates the effect of RA inflammation.

Evaluation of the impact of age and adiposity on a multi-biomarker disease activity score before and after adjustment.

We assessed the impact of adjustment of the multi-biomarker disease activity score (MBDA) for age, sex, and leptin, over the range of age and adiposity, and assessed relationships with clinical disease activity. Patients with RA, ages 18-75years, were recruited from clinical practices and completed whole-body DXA to quantify fat mass indices (FMI, kg/m2). FMI Z-scores were calculated based on distributions in a reference population. Descriptive statistics described relationships between age, FMI Z-score, and the original MBDA and adjusted MBDA (aMBDA). Swollen joint counts (SJC) and the clinical disease activity index (CDAI) were assessed over MBDA categories. There were 104 participants (50% female) with mean (SD) age of 56.1 (12.5) and body mass index (BMI) of 28.8 (6.9). Older age was associated with higher MBDA scores in men. The aMBDA was not associated with age. The original MBDA score was associated with FMI Z-score among women (Rho = 0.42, p= 0.002) but not men. The aMBDA was not associated with FMI Z-score in either women or men. The aMBDA score was lower than the original MBDA in the highest quartile of FMI in women and was higher in the lowest FMI quartiles in women and men. CDAI, SJC, and radiographic scores were similar across activity categories for the original MBDA score and aMBDA. The aMBDA demonstrated reduced associations with adiposity, particularly among women. The aMBDA may be less likely to overestimate disease activity in women with greater adiposity and to underestimate disease activity in men and women with lesser adiposity. Key Points • Leptin adjustment of the MBDA score reduces the influence of adiposity, particularly among women. • Leptin adjustment results in significantly higher estimated disease activity in thin men and women. • The adjusted and unadjusted score correlate similarly with clinical disease activity measures.

Ultrasound and multi-biomarker disease activity score for assessing and predicting clinical response to tofacitinib treatment in patients with rheumatoid arthritis

BackgroundMusculoskeletal ultrasound (MSUS) and the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score are outcome measures that may aid in the management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. This study evaluated tofacitinib response by MSUS/MBDA scores and assessed whether baseline MSUS/MBDA scores or their early changes predict later clinical response.MethodsTwenty-five RA patients treated with tofacitinib were assessed at baseline, 2, 6 and 12-weeks. Power doppler (PDUS) and gray scale (GSUS) ultrasound scores, MBDA score, clinical disease activity index (CDAI), and disease activity score (DAS28) were obtained. Pearson correlations and multiple linear regression models were used to evaluate associations and identify predictors of response to therapy.ResultsMSUS, MBDA scores, CDAI, and DAS28 improved significantly over 12 weeks (p < 0.0001). Baseline MSUS and MBDA score correlated with each other, and with 12-week changes in CDAI/DAS28 (r = 0.45–0.62, p < 0.05), except for GSUS with DAS28. Two-week change in MSUS correlated significantly with 12-week changes in CDAI/DAS28 (r = 0.42–0.57, p < 0.05), except for early change in PDUS with 12-week change in CDAI. Regression analysis demonstrated significant independent associations between baseline PDUS/MBDA score and 6-week change in CDAI/DAS28, with adjustment for baseline CDAI/DAS28 (all p < 0.05); and between baseline MBDA scores and 12-week change in DAS28 (p = 0.03).ConclusionsRA patients treated with tofacitinib for 12 weeks demonstrated improvement by clinical, imaging, and biomarker end-points. Baseline PDUS and MBDA score were predictive of CDAI and DAS28 responses. This is the first study to evaluate early measurements of MSUS and MBDA score as predictors of clinical response in RA patients treated with tofacitinib.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT02321930 (registered 12/22/2014).

The multi-biomarker disease activity test for assessing response to treatment strategies using methotrexate with or without prednisone in the CAMERA-II trial

ObjectivesThe CAMERA-II trial compared two tight-control, treat-to-target strategies, initiating methotrexate with prednisone (MTX+pred) or MTX with placebo (MTX+plac), in early RA-patients. The multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) blood test objectively measures RA disease activity with a score of 1–100. In CAMERA-II, response profiles of the MBDA score, its individual biomarkers, and DAS28 were assessed.MethodsWe evaluated 92 patients from CAMERA-II of whom clinical data and serum for MBDA testing at baseline and ≥ 1 time-point from months 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, or 12 were available. Changes (∆) from baseline for DAS28 and MBDA score and comparisons of ∆DAS28 and ∆MBDA score over time within the MTX+pred versus the MTX+plac strategy were tested for significance with t tests. Changes in biomarker concentration from baseline to months 1–5 were tested with Wilcoxon signed rank test and tested for difference between treatment arms by Mann-Whitney U test.ResultsMBDA and DAS28 showed similar response profiles, with gradual improvement over the first 6 months in the MTX+plac group, and in the MTX+pred group faster improvement during month 1, followed by gradual improvement. The 12 MBDA biomarkers could be grouped into 4 categories of response profiles, with significant responses for 4 biomarkers during the MTX+plac strategy and 9 biomarkers during the MTX+pred strategy.ConclusionsMBDA tracked treatment response in CAMERA-II similarly to DAS28. More individual MBDA biomarkers tracked treatment response to MTX+pred than to MTX+plac. Four response profiles could be observed.Trial registrationCAMERA-II International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number: ISRCTN 70365169. Registered on 29 March 2006, retrospectively registered.

A multi-biomarker disease activity score can predict sustained remission in rheumatoid arthritis

BackgroundReliable assessment of remission is important for the optimal management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. In this study, we used the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) test to explore the role of biomarkers in predicting point remission and sustained remission.MethodsRA patients on > 6 months stable therapy in stable low disease activity (DAS28-ESR ≤ 3.2) were assessed every 3 months for 1 year. Baseline, intermittent (IR) and sustained (SR) remission were defined by DAS28-ESR, DAS28-CRP, simple disease activity index (SDAI), clinical disease activity index (CDAI) and ACR/EULAR Boolean criteria. Patients not fulfilling any remission criteria at baseline were classified as ‘low disease activity state’ (LDAS). Patients not fulfilling any remission criteria over 1 year were classified as ‘persistent disease activity’ (PDA). MBDA score was measured at baseline/3/6 months. The baseline MBDA score, the 6-month time-integrated MBDA score and MBDA biomarkers were used for analyses. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) assessed the ability of the MBDA score to discriminate between remission and non-remission. Biomarkers were analysed at baseline using the Mann-Whitney test and over time using the Jonckheere-Terpstra trend test.ResultsOf 148 patients, 27% were in the LDAS, 65% DAS28-ESR remission, 51% DAS28-CRP remission, 40% SDAI remission, 43% CDAI remission and 25% ACR/EULAR Boolean remission at baseline. Over 1 year, 9% of patients were classified as PDA. IR and SR were achieved in 42%/47% by DAS28-ESR, 46%/29% by DAS28-CRP, 45%/20% by SDAI, 44%/21% by CDAI and 35%/9% by ACR/EULAR Boolean criteria, respectively. By all remission criteria, baseline MBDA score discriminated baseline remission (AUROCs 0.68–0.75) and IR/SR (AUROCs 0.65–0.74). The 6-month time-integrated MBDA score discriminated IR/SR (AUROCs 0.65–0.79). Baseline MBDA score and concentrations of IL-6, leptin, SAA and CRP were significantly lower in all baseline remission criteria groups vs LDAS. They and the 6-month time-integrated values were lower among patients who achieved IR/SR vs PDA over 1 year.ConclusionsThis study demonstrated that the MBDA score and its biomarkers IL-6, leptin, SAA and CRP differentiated between small differences in disease activity (i.e. between low disease activity and remission states). They were also predictors of remission over 1 year.

Predictive ability, validity, and responsiveness of the multi-biomarker disease activity score in patients with rheumatoid arthritis initiating methotrexate

Background/ObjectiveWe assessed the predictive value, validity, and responsiveness of the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients initiating methotrexate. MethodsWe examined data from a 16-week, open-label study of methotrexate in RA. Disease activity was assessed and the MBDA score was calculated using serum that was collected and banked from baseline and week 16. Multivariable logistic regression models assessed whether MBDA scores predicted treatment response. Pearson correlations assessed the convergent validity and external responsiveness of the MBDA score with other measures of RA disease activity. Internal responsiveness was assessed by calculating standardized response means (SRMs). ResultsA total of 130 patients initiated the study, with follow-up MBDA scores available on 95 patients. Baseline MBDA scores did not predict ACR response or achieving low disease activity. Higher baseline DAS28-ESR scores were significantly associated with an ACR20 response (odds ratio 1.89 per unit, 95% CI 1.20–2.96) but not ACR50, ACR70, or low disease activity. The MBDA score moderate-to-weakly correlated with the DAS28-ESR and ESR at baseline and week 16, with weak-to-very weak correlations with patient global and function. Change in MBDA scores moderately correlated with changes in DAS28-ESR and ESR, while weakly correlating with changes in patient global and function. The DAS28-ESR (SRM 1.31) demonstrated greater responsiveness following methotrexate treatment than the MBDA score (SRM 0.71). ConclusionsMBDA scores did not predict treatment response to methotrexate. The MBDA score weak-to-moderately correlated with baseline and post-treatment disease activity measures and was less responsive to methotrexate-related improvement than the DAS28-ESR.

THU0110 DIAGNOSTIC ISSUES IN DIFFICULT-TO-TREAT RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS: PRELIMINARY RESULTS OF A SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW INFORMING THE 2020 EULAR RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE MANAGEMENT OF DIFFICULT-TO-TREAT RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS

Background:Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients treated according to European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) recommendations failing ≥2 biological or targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) with a different mode of action who still have complaints which may be suggestive of active disease may be defined as suffering from ‘difficult-to-treat RA’. Before switching to another DMARD in these patients, the diagnosis of RA and the presence of inflammatory activity should be verified to prevent possible over- and under treatment.Objectives:To systematically summarise evidence in the literature on diagnostic issues regarding (mis-)diagnosis of RA and mimicking diseases, and assessment of inflammatory disease activity in difficult-to-treat RA patients, informing the 2020 EULAR recommendations for the management of difficult-to-treat RA.Methods:A systematic literature search was performed: PubMed and Embase databases were searched up to December 2018. Relevant papers were selected and appraised (Figure 1).Results:Regarding (mis-)diagnosis of RA and its differential diagnoses, four studies were selected (Figure 1a): one assessed the diagnosis of RA and three focused on coexisting mimicking diseases (fibromyalgia and bacterial infection). No diagnostic tests were replicated. For evaluation of inflammatory activity in RA, and specifically the effect of comorbidities on assessing inflammatory activity, 63 and five studies, respectively, were included (Figure 1b). At patient level, ultrasonography (US) scores were related to composite indices (range of correlations (r): 0.25-0.70) and swollen joint counts (range r: 0.33-0.78). A multi-biomarker disease activity score (range r with composite indices: 0.41-0.52) and optical spectral transmission measures (range r with US: 0.54-0.64) were promising measures, but cut-offs are preliminary. At joint level, US was related to MRI (range of sensitivity 64-91% and specificity 60-94% for synovitis) and histology (range r: 0.52-0.65 for inflammation). Concomitant obesity and fibromyalgia may lead to overestimation of disease activity according to composite indices, US may be used to assess inflammatory activity in these patients.Conclusion:This SLR highlights the gap of knowledge in the optimal confirmation of a (mis-)diagnosis of RA or diagnosis of mimicking diseases in difficult-to-treat RA patients. Current evidence for optimal assessment of inflammatory activity when there is doubt based on clinical assessment and composite indices is limited. Most studies reported correlations which are not directly useful in clinical practice to determine presence or absence of inflammatory activity. The evidence will be updated up to December 2019. Currently, US seems the most accurate measure to evaluate the presence of inflammation in difficult-to-treat RA patients, including those with concomitant obesity or fibromyalgia.Disclosure of Interests:Nadia M. T. Roodenrijs: None declared, Melinda Kedves: None declared, Attila Hamar: None declared, György Nagy: None declared, Jacob M. van Laar Grant/research support from: MSD, Genentech, Consultant of: MSD, Roche, Pfizer, Eli Lilly, BMS, Désirée van der Heijde Consultant of: AbbVie, Amgen, Astellas, AstraZeneca, BMS, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celgene, Cyxone, Daiichi, Eisai, Eli-Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead Sciences, Inc., Glaxo-Smith-Kline, Janssen, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Regeneron, Roche, Sanofi, Takeda, UCB Pharma; Director of Imaging Rheumatology BV, Paco Welsing: None declared

Correlation of serum protein biomarkers with disease activity in psoriatic arthritis

ABSTRACTObjective: To assess the correlation of serum protein biomarkers with disease activity across different domains of psoriatic arthritis (PsA).Material and methods: A cross-sectional cohort of 45 adult patients with PsA fulfilling the classification for psoriatic arthritis (CASPAR) criteria was recruited from University of California San Diego (UCSD) Arthritis Clinics. Clinical data and serum samples were collected and serum was analyzed for protein biomarkers hypothesized to be relevant to disease activity in PsA. Correlations were evaluated for clinical disease activity measures across disease domains.Results: Biomarkers with the highest correlation to the composite indices and disease domains were SAA, IL-6, YKL-40, and ICAM-1. In addition, several biomarkers were moderately correlated with individual composite indices and/or disease domains. Low or no correlation was observed with some biomarkers, e.g. MMP-3, MMP-1, EGF, VEGF, and IL-6R. In contrast, the correlation of all biomarkers with certain disease domains was low; specifically, pain, percent body surface area of psoriasis, and patient global assessment. The multi-biomarker disease activity score (MBDA) developed for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) showed high correlations with most composite indices and some disease domains in PsA.Conclusions: These data suggest biomarker analysis can reflect disease activity across disease domains in PsA. Certain domains would likely benefit from the evaluation of additional biomarkers.

Correlation of the Multi-Biomarker Disease Activity Score with Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Activity Measures: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Correlation of the Multi-Biomarker Disease Activity Score with Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Activity Measures: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Correlation of the Multi-Biomarker Disease Activity Score With Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Activity Measures: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

There are conflicting reports on the validity of the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score for assessing rheumatoid arthritis (RA) disease activity. Our aim was to perform a systematic review of the MBDA and a meta-analysis of the correlation between the MBDA and other RA disease activity measures. A systematic review was performed by searching Medline, Embase, Scopus, Google Scholar, and the Cochrane Library from inception to March 7, 2017. Study details, MBDA performance, and study quality were assessed by independent reviewers. Correlations of the MBDA with composite RA disease activity measures were pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. A total of 22 studies were identified in the systematic review, of which 8 (n = 3,242 assays) reported correlations of the MBDA with RA disease activity measures. Pooling results from these 8 studies in the meta-analysis, the MBDA demonstrated modest correlations with the Disease Activity Score in 28 joints using the C-reactive protein level (DAS28-CRP; r = 0.41, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.36-0.46) and the Disease Activity Score using the erythrocyte sedimentation rate (DAS28-ESR; r = 0.48, 95% CI 0.38-0.58), with weaker correlations observed with the Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI; r = 0.35, 95% CI 0.26-0.43), Clinical Disease Activity Index (CDAI; r = 0.26, 95% CI 0.19-0.33), and Routine Assessment of Patient Index Data 3 (RAPID3; r = 0.23, 95% CI 0.19-0.27). Correlations between change in MBDA and change in disease activity measures ranged from r = 0.53 for the DAS28-ESR to r = 0.26 for the CDAI. The MBDA demonstrates moderate convergent validity with the DAS28-CRP and the DAS28-ESR but weaker correlations with the SDAI, CDAI, and RAPID3. While it appears to complement existing RA disease activity measures, further assessment of the performance characteristics of the MBDA is warranted.

Predictors of biologic-free disease control in patients with rheumatoid arthritis after stopping tumor necrosis factor inhibitor treatment

BackgroundThe aim of this study was to identify predictors of prolonged disease control after discontinuation of tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) treatment in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).MethodsPost-hoc analysis of 439 RA patients (67.3% rheumatoid factor positive) with longstanding RA in remission or with stable low disease activity, randomized to stopping TNFi treatment in the multicenter POET trial. Prolonged acceptable disease control was defined as not restarting TNFi treatment within 12 months after stopping. Baseline demographic and disease-related variables were included in univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis for identifying predictors of relapse.ResultsOne year after baseline, 220 patients (50.1%) had not restarted TNFi treatment. Use of an anti-TNF monoclonal antibody (versus a receptor antagonist, OR = 2.41; 95% CI: 1.58–3.67), ≤10 yrs. disease duration (OR = 2.15; 95% CI: 1.42–3.26) and low or moderate multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) scores (OR = 2.00; 95% CI: 1.10–3.64) at baseline were independently predictive of successful TNFi discontinuation (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.66; 95% CI: 0.61–0.71). Results were similar when using no physician-reported flare as the criterion. TNFi-free survival was significantly different for patient groups based on the number of predictors present, ranging from 21.4% of patients with no predictor present to 66.7% of patients with all three predictors present.ConclusionPatients using an anti-TNF monoclonal antibody, with shorter disease duration and low or moderate baseline MBDA score are most likely to achieve prolonged disease control after TNFi discontinuation.Trial registrationNetherlands Trial Register NTR3112, 21 October 2011.

ACPA-negative RA consists of subgroups: patients with high likelihood of achieving sustained DMARD-free remission can be identified by serological markers at disease presentation

BackgroundDisease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD)-free remission, the sustained absence of synovitis after DMARD cessation, is increasingly achievable, especially in autoantibody-negative rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, underlying mechanisms are unknown and patient subgroups that achieve this outcome are insufficiently characterized. We evaluated whether serological biomarkers at disease onset, as measured within the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score, are differently expressed in RA patients who achieve sustained DMARD-free remission.MethodsTwo hundred ninety-nine RA patients were evaluated for achievement of sustained DMARD-free remission during a median follow-up of 4.3 years. Twelve biomarkers, as included in the MBDA score, were determined from the serum obtained at disease onset. Patients were categorized as having a low (< 30), moderate (30–44) or high (> 44) score. Analyses were stratified for anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) based under the assumption that ACPA-positive and ACPA-negative RA are different disease entities.ResultsTwenty percent achieved sustained DMARD-free remission. Overall, high MBDA scores were associated with achieving DMARD-free remission (high vs. low HR 3.8, 95% CI 1.2–12.2). Among ACPA-negative RA patients, moderate or high scores associated strongly with DMARD-free remission (moderate vs. low HR 9.4, 95% CI 1.2–72.9; high vs. low HR 9.7, 95% CI 1.3–71.1). This association was independent of age and other clinical factors (high vs. low HR 8.2, 95% CI 1.1–61.8). For ACPA-negative RA patients, the biomarkers C-reactive protein, serum amyloid A and matrix metalloproteinase-3 were individually associated with sustained DMARD-free remission. Among ACPA-positive RA patients, scores were not associated with DMARD-free remission.ConclusionsACPA-negative RA patients who achieved sustained DMARD-free remission after treatment withdrawal were characterized by moderate to high MBDA scores at diagnosis. This is the first evidence that ACPA-negative RA can be subdivided in clinically relevant subsets at disease onset using a protein profile.

Predicting risk for radiographic damage in rheumatoid arthritis: comparative analysis of the multi-biomarker disease activity score and conventional measures of disease activity in multiple studies

Objective: To compare the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) score with the DAS28-CRP and CRP for predicting risk of radiographic progression in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.Methods: Published studies of the MBDA score and radiographic progression with ≥100 patients per cohort were evaluated. Rates of radiographic progression over 1 year were determined across the low/moderate/high categories for MBDA score (low/moderate/high: <30, 30–44, >44), DAS28-CRP (low/moderate/high: ≤2.67, >2.67–4.09, >4.09) and CRP (low/moderate/high: ≤10, >10–30, >30 mg/L), with positive and negative predictive value (PPV, NPV) and relative risk (RR) determined for high vs. not-high (i.e. low and moderate combined) categories. Patient-level data from studies having all three measures was pooled to: (1) determine a combined RR for radiographic progression in the high vs. not-high categories for each measure; and (2) compare the predictive ability of MBDA score vs. DAS28-CRP by comparing the rates of radiographic progression observed in subgroups created by cross-classifying the high and not-high categories of each measure.Results: Five cohorts were identified for inclusion (total N=929). In each, radiographic progression was more frequent with increasing MBDA scores. Among the three cohorts with requisite data, PPVs were generally similar using categories of MBDA score, DAS28-CRP or CRP but NPVs were greater for MBDA score (93–97%) than DAS28-CRP or CRP (77–87%). RRs for radiographic progression were greater when based on categories of MBDA score than DAS28-CRP or CRP and the combined RR was greater for MBDA score (4.6, p < .0001) than DAS28-CRP (1.7, p = .02) or CRP (1.7, p = .002). For patients cross-classified by MBDA score and DAS28-CRP, high vs. not-high MBDA score significantly predicted radiographic progression independently of DAS28-CRP.Conclusions: High and not-high MBDA scores were associated with increased and low risk, respectively, for radiographic progression over one year. MBDA score was a better predictor of radiographic progression than DAS28-CRP or CRP.

Serum Biomarkers for Prediction of Response to Methotrexate Monotherapy in Early Rheumatoid Arthritis: Results from the SWEFOT Trial.

To investigate baseline levels of 12 serum biomarkers that constitute a multibiomarker disease activity test, as predictors of response to methotrexate (MTX) in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (eRA). In 298 patients from the Swedish Pharmacotherapy (SWEFOT) clinical trial, baseline serum levels of 12 proteins were analyzed for association with disease activity based on the 28-joint count Disease Activity Score (DAS28) after 3 months of MTX monotherapy using uni-/multivariate logistic regression. Primary outcome was low disease activity (LDA; DAS28 ≤ 3.2). Of 298 patients, 104 achieved LDA after 3 months on MTX. Four of the 12 biomarkers [C-reactive protein (CRP), leptin, tumor necrosis factor receptor I (TNF-RI), and vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 (VCAM-1)] significantly predicted LDA based on stepwise logistic regression analysis. Dichotomization of patients using receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis-based cutoffs for these biomarkers showed significantly higher proportions with LDA among patients with lower versus higher levels of CRP or leptin (40% vs 23%, p = 0.004, and 40% vs 25%, p = 0.011, respectively), as well as among those with higher versus lower levels of TNF-RI or VCAM-1 (43% vs 27%, p = 0.004, and 41% vs 25%, p = 0.004, respectively). Combined score based on these biomarkers, adjusted for known predictors of LDA (smoking, sex, and age), associated with decreased chance of LDA (adjusted OR 0.45, 95% CI 0.32-0.62). Low baseline levels of CRP and leptin, and high baseline levels of TNF-RI and VCAM-1 were associated with LDA after 3 months of MTX therapy in patients with eRA. Combination of these 4 biomarkers increased accuracy of prediction. [Trial registration number: NCT00764725].

Is a Fundamental Change in the Interpretation of Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Activity Necessary?

Disease Activity Score (DAS) composite models are moderately precise and robust measures of disease severity when they are used in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) cohorts. They are less so when used for individual patients. This is because subjective components, patient global assessment of well-being and tender joint count, modified by factors other than RA biological disease activity, often obfuscate interpretation of disease activity. Comorbidities, especially distress, can disproportionately inflate these components. Fibromyalgia, essentially synonymous with distress, pain augmentation, and depression, is a common comorbidity. Its presence and severity can be determined by the Polysymptomatic Distress Scale (PSD). The differential effects of distress and fibromyalgia syndrome on the DAS can be demonstrated by manipulating information already there: the arithmetic differences or ratios of the tender joint count and swollen joint count and comparison of the modified disease activity score with 28 joints to the disease activity score with 28 joints-patient (DAS28-derived indices that measure the contribution of the relatively objective or relatively subjective components, respectively). The potentially more objective multibiomarker disease activity might also be used to test the severity of biological RA disease activity. These tools may be used to elucidate disproportionate values for subjective DAS model components, which then should facilitate identification of the underlying process factors, including depression, for potential treatment.