Trends In Mortality Research Articles

Trends in papillary thyroid cancer mortality in Denmark according to stage and education.

Few studies exist on trends in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) survival and mortality according to stage and level of socioeconomic status. Nationwide cohort study. Patients diagnosed with PTC during 2000-2015 in Denmark were identified from the Danish Cancer Registry and followed until the end of 2020. We evaluated 5-year all-cause mortality and relative survival according to stage and 5-year mortality rates with corresponding average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) according to stage and education. Finally, we assessed the association between several factors and mortality of PTC using Cox regression. For the 2006 cases of PTC diagnosed during 2000-2015, relative survival tended to increaseand mortality rates tended to decrease for all stages. For localized PTC, mortality rates tended to decrease among individuals with medium education (AAPC = -7.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -14.7 to 1.5), but showed an increasing pattern among individuals with long education (AAPC = 19.8, 95%CI: -4.2 to 50.0). For nonlocalized PTC, mortality rates showed a decreasing tendency among individuals with medium and long education (AAPC = -5.5, 95%CI: -13.2 to 2.9, and AAPC = -10.4, 95%CI: -20.8 to 1.4, respectively). Being diagnosed with PTC in a more recent calendar period and long education were associated with a lower mortality rate in the Cox regression analysis. A pattern of an increasing relative survival and decreasing mortality rates of PTC across all stages was seen in Denmark during 2000-2015. The decreasing pattern in mortality rates was most evident in individuals with localized stage and medium education, and in individuals with nonlocalized stage and medium or long education.

Causes and Trends of Mortality among Iranian Older Adults from 2000 to 2019

Causes and Trends of Mortality among Iranian Older Adults from 2000 to 2019

Demographic and Regional Trends of Cardiovascular Disease and Obesity-Related Mortality in the United States From 1999 to 2021

Demographic and Regional Trends of Cardiovascular Disease and Obesity-Related Mortality in the United States From 1999 to 2021

National and Subnational Trends of Mortality and Years of Life Lost Due to Stroke and Its Subtypes in Young Adults in China, 2005-2020.

The incidence of stroke among young adults was rising globally, but the death burden of stroke in young adults in China is lacking. We aimed to examine the temporal trends in mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) caused by stroke among young adults from 2005 to 2020 across China. Based on the data from the National Mortality Surveillance System in China, we estimated the number and age-standardized rate of mortality and YLLs due to stroke and its subtypes among young adults aged 15-49 years during 2005-2020, for both China and its 31 mainland provinces. During 2005-2020, the age-standardized mortality rate of stroke among young adults aged 15-49 years in China decreased by 21.0%, from 5.9/100,000 to 4.7/100,000, and the YLL rate decreased from 286.9/100,000 to 229.5/100,000. The age-standardized mortality rate among young adults due to intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) showed a significant downward trend with a decrease of 26.3% while that of ischemic stroke (IS) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) decreased by 4.5% and 0.6%, respectively. In 2020, the mortality rate of ICH was 3.5 times higher than that of IS (3.3/100,000 vs 0.9/100,000) among young adults in China. The male/female ratio of age-standardized mortality rate of stroke in young adults increased from 2.0 in 2005 to 3.1 in 2020. The age-standardized mortality rate of IS and SAH in young men increased by 11.0% and 2.5%, respectively. In 2020, Tibet (18.4/100,000), Jilin (10.4/100,000), and Qinghai (8.3/100,000) were the top 3 provinces holding the highest age-standardized mortality rate due to stroke among young adults. Tibet was found to have the highest mortality rate due to ICH and SAH while that of IS was higher in northeast China. In China, the death burden caused by ICH among young adults was substantially higher than that of IS. The increasing death burden of IS and SAH among young men requires special attention. Evidence-based intervention strategies are needed to improve the outcomes of stroke and alleviate the death burden due to stroke among young adults in Chinese population.

Trends in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Mortality Rates in the US and Projections Through 2040

ImportanceThe burden of liver cancer varies worldwide. An upward trend in both hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence and mortality in the past 2 decades has been observed.ObjectiveTo assess observed HCC-related age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) in the US for 2006 to 2022 and provide ASMR projections through 2040.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cross-sectional study used data from the National Vital Statistics System, which is accessible through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research website. Data on deaths attributed to HCC (from January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2022) were obtained for adults 25 years or older and were stratified by liver disease etiology, age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Etiologies included alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), and metabolic dysfunction–associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).Main Outcomes and MeasuresThe main outcomes were (1) observed ASMRs of HCC per 100 000 persons using Joinpoint regression (National Cancer Institute) to assess trends during 2006 to 2022 and (2) ASMRs projected for 2023 to 2040 using Prophet and AutoARIMA modeling.ResultsThis study included 188 280 HCC-related deaths from 2006 to 2022. Most deaths occurred among males (77.4%). The annual percentage change was 4.1% (95% CI, 2.2% to 7.7%) for 2006 to 2009 and decreased to 1.8% (95% CI, 0.7% to 2.0%) for 2009 to 2022, with an overall observed ASMR of 5.03 per 100 000 persons in 2022 and a projected ASMR of 6.39 per 100 000 persons by 2040, with consistent trends for both sexes. By etiology, ASMRs decreased for HCV- and HBV-related mortality but increased for ALD- and MASLD-related mortality. In 2022, MASLD surpassed HBV as the third-leading cause of HCC-related death and was projected to overtake HCV in 2032 as the second-leading cause; ALD was projected to be the leading cause of HCC-related death in 2026. In 2022, the ASMR was higher among individuals aged 65 years or older compared with those aged 25 to 64 years (18.37 vs 1.79 per 100 000 persons). The American Indian or Alaska Native population had the largest increase in projected ASMR by 2040 (14.71 per 100 000 persons) compared with the Asian population (3.03 per 100 000 persons).Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cross-sectional study, ASMRs for ALD- and MASLD-related HCC death increased rapidly from 2006 to 2022; ALD-related HCC was projected to be the leading cause by 2026, with MASLD as the second-leading cause by 2032. These findings may serve as a reference for public health decision-making and timely identification of groups at high risk of HCC death.

Trends in Sickle Cell Disease Mortality: 1979–2020

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Although sickle cell disease (SCD)-related childhood mortality in the United States significantly improved in the 1990s, unclear is the trend in SCD-related mortality more recently given the continued disparities faced by this minoritized population. In this analysis, we aimed to (1) compare the overall and age-specific mortality rates from 1999 to 2009 vs 2010 to 2020 with a particular focus on the age of transition and (2) determine the most common causes of death for the US SCD population for 2010 to 2020. METHODS: We analyzed publicly available data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention WONDER database, a compilation of national-level mortality statistics from 1979 to 2020 derived from death certificates compiled by the National Center for Health Statistics. We searched by all individuals of all ethnicities, sexes, and ages using the underlying cause of death. RESULTS: The crude mortality rate for individuals with SCD for 2010 to 2020 was 1.6 per 1 000 000 individuals, which was significantly lower than the period 1999 to 2009 (crude rate 1.7 per 1 000 000, P < .0001). In addition, the mean age at mortality of those with SCD was older in 2010 to 2020 (43 years) versus 1999 to 2009 (39 years). However, there remains a significant increase in mortality rate in the 20 to 24 year age group versus 15 to 19 years (1.7 per 1 000 000 versus 0.7 per 1 000 000, P < .0001), corresponding with the age of transition from pediatric to adult centers. In addition, 39% of underlying causes of death were not caused by SCD, but rather primarily chronic conditions, including cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, malignancy, and renal disease. The study has several limitations mostly because of the imperfections of administrative data sources, including inaccuracies in diagnoses codes, risking over or undercounting. CONCLUSIONS: Although the US SCD-related mortality rate continues to decrease, the age of transition to adult care is a particularly vulnerable time in the lives of this marginalized group. Innovative and expanded approaches to care are greatly needed.

Road Traffic Injury Prevention: Bicycle

Abstract Purpose of review We describe recent trends in bicycle-related trauma, associated morbidity and mortality, the disparate effects on adult and pediatric populations, the effects of socioeconomic inequities on injury patterns, and milestones in preventative efforts. Recent findings National data demonstrates a lower incidence of unintentional injuries but a higher number of bicycle-related fatalities in the United States over the past decade. Traumatic brain injury remains the leading cause of mortality and chronic morbidity for bicyclists overall. Extremity and facial trauma predominate among older populations, while children are more susceptible to solid organ injuries and severe trauma with the use of electric bicycles. Factors that improve rider safety include changes in infrastructure, speed limits, and the implementation of dedicated bicycle lanes. Helmet usage is the most critical aspect for reducing bicyclist mortality, though rates of consistent usage in the US remain low, they can be improved with mandatory helmet laws. The lowest rates of helmet use are seen in areas of lower socioeconomic status, with these bicyclists subsequently subject to a greater burden of bicycle-related trauma. Summary Bicycle accidents are relatively common injuries in both adults and children. Road traffic accidents (RTAs), including those involving bicycles and electric bicycles (E-bikes), contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality across age groups. The focus in mitigating these injuries is on preventive measures, emphasizing the role of infrastructure improvements, public policies, and educational initiatives. The review discusses the trends in bicycle-related trauma, disparities affecting different age groups, socioeconomic influences on injury patterns, and recent advancements in injury prevention strategies.

Trends and disparities in age, gender, ethnoracial background, and urbanization status in adult mortality due to thoracic aortic aneurysm: a retrospective nationwide study in the United States

Introduction: Thoracic aortic aneurysms (TAA) are a significant health concern, with the true prevalence likely underestimated due to undiagnosed cases. Outcomes in TAA are influenced by factors like age, gender, and comorbidities such as hypertension. This study examines mortality trends and disparities associated with TAA in US adults. Methodology: This study analyzed death certificates from 1999 to 2020 using the CDC WONDER Database to identify TAA-related deaths in individuals aged 25 and older using ICD-10 codes I71.1 and I71.2. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 and annual percent changes (APCs) were calculated and stratified by year, gender, age group, race/ethnicity, region, and urbanization status. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, 47,136 TAA-related deaths were reported among US adults. The AAMR decreased from 16.2 to 8.2 per 1,000,000, with a significant decline from 1999 to 2013 (APC: −5.00; 95% CI: −5.54 to −4.54; P<0.001). Older adults had the highest AAMRs at 44.6 per 1,000,000. Men had higher AAMRs than women (11.2 vs. 9). AAMRs were highest among non-Hispanic (NH) Black (11), followed by NH White (10.3), NH Asian or Pacific Islander (9.5), NH American Indian or Alaska Native (7.8), and Hispanic (5.2) populations. Non-metropolitan areas had higher AAMRs than metropolitan areas (11 vs. 9.8). Conclusions: The analysis showed a significant decline in TAA mortality since 1999, with recent stabilization. However, disparities persist, with higher AAMRs among men, older adults, NH Black adults and non-metropolitan residents, highlighting the need for targeted and equitable interventions.

Predicting Mortality Rates and Longevity Using Cains -Blake-Dowd Model

Pension schemes and annuity providers frequently guarantee their retirement payouts until the retirees' deaths. As a result of longer life expectancies and declining rates of death in old age, trends in mortality and longevity have become evident. Academicians and actuaries have been forced to concentrate their research on mortality and longevity concerns in particular as a result of this. Instead of a provident fund, the new National Social Security Fund Act Number 45 of 2013 established a pension fund that is a requirement for every employee. Annuity service providers are exposed to the longevity risk when the scheme's participants retire. For pricing and reserving, appropriate modeling tools or projected life tables are required. In comparison to deterministic models, which were based on projected present values, stochastic models allow a variety of risk causes and components as well as pertinent effect on portfolio performance. The long term mean level of Longevity has become more uncertain exposing the annuity service providers such as assurance companies and states to the risk of uncertainty after retirement. Most industrialized countries' national security systems, pension plans, and annuity providers have revised their mortality tables to account for longevity risks due to decline mortality rates and rising life expectancy. Kenya is one of the developing nations that has seen a drop-in death rates and a rise in life expectancy recently. Since developing nations choose to take the longevity risk into account when pricing and reserving annuities because such long term mean level in mortality rates declines and increases life expectancy, particularly at retirement age, pose risks to annuity service providers and pension plans that has been pricing annuities based on mortality tables that do not take these trends into account. The stochastic aspect of mortality was ignored by earlier actuarial models used to estimate trends. The actuary will therefore likely be interested in knowing how the future mortality trend utilizing stochastic models affects annuity pricing and reserve. Demographers and actuaries have since employed a variety of stochastic methods to forecast mortality while examining a variety of stochastic model ranges. The CBD stochastic model, which was the first to take longer life expectancies into account, is now extensively used, and a number of expansions and adjustments have been suggested to stop the major characteristics of mortality intensity. The CBD model, developed by Andrew Cairn, David Blake, and Kevin Dowd, is being used in this study to fit mortality rates, forecast mortality trends, using least square method and then calculate projections for life expectancy. Regarding the longevity risk, we take into account the possibilities of computing annuity benefits by connecting the benefits to actual mortality and calculating the present value on annuities. The results of the study showed that, the CBD model can be used to forecast mortality rates where parameters estimating the CBD model are performed using the bivariate random walk (drift).

Projected epidemiological trends and burden of liver cancer by 2040 based on GBD, CI5plus, and WHO data.

Incidence of liver cancer as one of the most common cancers worldwide and become the significant contributor for the mortality among cancer patients. The disease burden, risk factors, and trends in incidence and mortality of liver cancer globally was described subsequently estimated the projections of liver cancer incidence or mortality by 2040. Data regarding age-standardized incidence and mortality rates for liver cancer was obtained from multiple databases, including GLOBOCAN 2020, CI5 volumes I-XI, WHO mortality database, and Global Burden of Disease (GBD)-2019. Concentrating on worldwide variations, this thorough analysis offers insights into patterns of incidence and mortality based on gender and age. Our findings encompass significant indicators, including age-standardized rates (ASRs), average annual percentage change (AAPC), and future projections extending up to the year 2040. Liver cancer holds the sixth position in terms of most frequently diagnosed cancers and stands as the sixth leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide in 2020, accounting for 905,677 new cases and 782,000 fatalities. Additionally, liver cancer contributed to 12,528,421 age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), with an age-standardized DALYs rate of 161.92 in 2019 worldwide. The age-specific incidence rates exhibited significant variations across different regions, showing a fivefold difference in males and females. A significant increase in incidence was observed in North Europe and Asia, while North African countries reported a higher mortality burden (ASR, 10 per 100,000) compared to developed countries. Since last few years, the incidence and mortality rates have increased and attained Annual Average Percentage Change (AAPC) incidence rate of 7.7 (95% CI 3.9-11.6) for men and the highest AAPC mortality rate of 12.2 (95% CI 9.5-15.0) for women. In 2019, Western Europe emerged as the high-risk region for DALYs related to smoking and alcohol consumption, while high-income North America carried a high risk for DALYs associated with a high body-mass index. The projected trend indicates a surge in new liver cancer incident cases, expected to rise from around 905,347 to an estimated 1,392,474 by 2040. This study described the evidence pertinent to higher incidence trends in liver cancer, particularly among both young and older adults, encompassing males and females, as well as those who are HIV-infected and HBsAg positive. A significant rise in the young population poses a significant public health concern that warrants attention from healthcare professionals to prioritize the promotion of health awareness and the development of effective cancer prevention strategies, particularly in many developing countries.

Trends of extreme hyperbilirubinemia related infant mortality in select European countries (1990-2019).

Limited data exist on population-level mortality outcomes related to extreme neonatal hyperbilirubinemia (EHB) and this study examines trends in annual infant mortality rate (IMR) attributed to hemolytic and perinatal jaundice among Germany, France, Italy, Portugal, Greece and Spain from 1990 to 2019. Data on annual incident cases and disability-adjusted life years were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study. Live birth cohort data were sourced from UN World Population Prospects. We quantified temporal trends, with relative percent changes. Average annual percent changes (AAPCs) were evaluated using the Joinpoint Regression Program. EHB-related infant mortality decreased from 21.4 (95%CI: 16.1, 27.1) in 1990 to 4.2 (95%CI: 1.9, 7.6) per million live births in 2019. Germany demonstrated lowest AAPC of -3.2% (95% CI: -3.8, -2.5), while Portugal had the highest AAPC of -8.6% (95% CI -11.9, -5.1) in reducing infant mortality due to EHB. There were distinct divergences in the trajectories of declining EHB mortality among the studied countries. This study highlights a significant decline in infant mortality due to extreme hyperbilirubinemia, emphasizing the need for national surveillance and tailored guidelines to prevent bilirubin induced neurological damage. This cross-sectional analysis revealed a marked decline in infant mortality rates attributed to extreme hyperbilirubinemia across the selected European countries. The rates of decline varied significantly between countries, demonstrating notable heterogeneity in mortality trends when stratified by age at death. Implementing data-driven surveillance systems can optimize the alignment of equitable healthcare services, strengthen accountability measures, and identify critical operational inefficiencies. In the European Union, country-specific hyperbilirubinemia guidelines should be reinforced to ensure effective screening and post-discharge follow-up protocols that are tailored to risk burden and available healthcare resources.

Analysing premature cardiovascular disease mortality in the United States by obesity status and educational attainment.

In the United States (US), premature cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality rates (35-74years) have exhibited increases in recent years, particularly in younger adults, and large differentials by educational attainment. This trend has occurred concurrently with high and increasing obesity prevalence, which also show significant differences by education. This study aims to jointly model premature CVD mortality trends in the US according to obesity status and educational attainment. We used multiple cause of death data from the National Center for Health Statistics, obesity prevalence data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), and educational attainment data from the American Community Survey and NHANES. We applied Bayes' theorem to these data to calculate the conditional probability of premature CVD mortality given obesity status and educational attainment for 2003-2019. We then projected this conditional probability for 2020-2029 using the Lee-Carter model. The probability of premature CVD mortality was greatest for obesity and low education (not graduated high school) and was substantially higher (females 6.7 times higher, males 5.9) compared with non-obesity and high education (Bachelor's degree or higher) in 2019. There was a widening of the gap in premature CVD mortality from 2003 to 2019 between the obese and non-obese populations, which occurred at each education level and was projected to continue in 2020-2029, especially for males. The conditional probability of premature CVD death for obesity and middle education (finished high school but no Bachelor's degree) increased substantially and was projected to surpass the level for non-obesity and low education in coming years for males and in younger age groups. At high education, the conditional probability of premature CVD death for the obese population was projected to increase to 2029, while for non-obesity it was projected to remain steady for females and fall for males; this projected widening is greatest at older age groups. The findings demonstrate the public health challenge to reduce premature US CVD mortality posed by continued high obesity prevalence, especially for younger ages, lower education groups and males. The relative importance of obesity in influencing premature CVD mortality trends has risen partly due to the decline in CVD mortality attributable to other risk factors.

Exploring educational disparities in breast cancer dynamics: a comprehensive analysis of incidence, death within 5 years of diagnosis, and mortality in the Belgian context.

Breast cancer is the most prevalent cancer worldwide. Belgium shows high age-standardized incidence rates, but also high survival rates. Like many health outcomes, breast cancer has been associated with multiple factors of socioeconomic status. This paper aims to (a) map educational differences in breast cancer incidence, mortality and death rates within 5 years of diagnosis, (b) update earlier trends in breast cancer mortality rates in Belgium for the 2004-2013 period and (c) investigate the role of fertility indicators as mediating factors in the association between education and breast cancer outcomes. Data consisted of a linkage between the 2001 Belgian Census, register data on mortality and cancer incidence data (2004-2013) from the Belgian Cancer Registry. We calculated age standardized rates, rate ratios (Poisson regression) and hazard ratios (Cox regression) and furthermore also applied the method of Excess Portion Eliminated (EPE) in a mediation analysis of the fertility indicators. We stratified our analysis by age: younger than 50 (premenopausal) and 50 or older (postmenopausal). We observed striking differences in breast cancer incidence, all-cause and cause-specific death rates 5-years after diagnosis by educational level. Higher educated women had higher breast cancer incidence, but also lower all-cause and lower cause-specific death rates; adding up to zero differences in breast cancer mortality in the postmenopausal group and lower breast cancer mortality in the premenopausal group. A notable shift in the social gradient occurred since the 1990's, favouring higher-educated women in recent years. Especially, with regards to survival after diagnosis there is potential for policy intervention. Stage at diagnosis played a crucial role, but differences between socioeconomic groups remained significant after including this parameter. While fertility indicators played a role, the impact was less pronounced than expected.

Total Gastrectomy for Gastric Malignancy: Trends Over 15 Years in Major Morbidity, Mortality, and Patient Selection From The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program.

We examined trends in major morbidity and mortality following total gastrectomy for malignancy in a national cohort. The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was used to identify patients who underwent total gastrectomy for malignancy from 2007 to 2021. Joinpoint regression was used to determine annual percent changes (APCs) in thirty-day postoperative major morbidity, mortality, and length of stay (LOS). Major morbidity included deep and organ space surgical site infection, venous thromboembolism, cardiac event, pneumonia, acute renal failure, sepsis, and respiratory failure. Of 3515 patients, the median age was 65 years (IQR = 55-73), 59% were male, and 57.9% were White. Major morbidity was 23%, which did not change over time (APC = -1.4, 95% CI = -3.4 to 0.58), nor were there changes in individual morbidities with time. The most common morbidities were organ space surgical site infection (9.2%) and pneumonia (8.5%). Mortality rate in the study cohort was 2.7% and did not change (APC = -6.2, 95% CI = -13.0 to 1.1). LOS (median 9 days) also did not vary with time (APC = -2.3, 95% CI = -7.8 to 3.9). There was an increase in patients with diabetes (21.6% vs. 11.2%, p < 0.05), BMI ≥ 30 (31.1% vs. 18.2%, p < 0.05), and ASA IV-V status (11.6% vs. 3.5%, p < 0.05). Morbidity and mortality following total gastrectomy for malignancy have not significantly changed over the last fifteen years. While this may in part be explained by increased patient comorbidity, efforts should be made to improve patient selection and mitigate postoperative complications to allow for timely adjuvant therapies.

Abstract 4147608: Trends in Mortality and 30-Day Readmission Rates Among Heart Failure Patients Undergoing Cardiac Rehabilitation: A Nationwide Analysis from 2017 to 2020

Background: Heart failure (HF) is a significant public health concern, affecting approximately 6.2 million adults in the United States, with high mortality and readmission rates. Cardiac rehabilitation (CR) programs have been widely recognized as a crucial component of HF management, aiming to improve physical function, reduce symptoms, and enhance quality of life. Despite the established benefits of CR, there is a need to understand the trends in mortality and readmission rates among HF patients participating in these programs. We aim to analyze mortality and 30-day readmission rate trends among heart failure patients undergoing cardiac rehabilitation from 2017 to 2020 using NRD data. Hypothesis: We hypothesize a significant downward trend in mortality rates and significant yearly variation in 30-day readmission rates among heart failure patients undergoing cardiac rehabilitation. Methods: We analyzed NRD data from 2017 to 2020, including patients with ICD-10 codes I50 (heart failure) and Z5189 (cardiac rehabilitation). Trend analyses were performed using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression for mortality rates and the Cochrane-Armitage test for binary data. Multivariate regression adjusted for age, sex, and comorbidities. Statistical analyses were conducted using STATA version 18. Results: From 2017 to 2020, annual mortality rates were 6.9% (95% CI: 0.95% to 12.85%), 5.5% (95% CI: 0.47% to 10.52%), 4.6% (95% CI: -0.51% to 9.68%), and 1.9% (95% CI: -1.90% to 5.74%), respectively. The mean age was 78 years, with 54% were female. OLS regression showed a significant downward trend in mortality (p = 0.025), while the Cochrane-Armitage test did not (p = 0.998). Multivariate regression also indicated a downward trend, though individual predictors were insignificant (p=0.576). For 30-day readmission rates from 2017 to 2020, annual margins were 21.5% (2017), 21.7% (2018), 18.0% (2019), and 34.3% (2020), showing significant yearly variation. Conclusion: Despite the varying range of 30-day readmission within the years of interest, there seems to be a significant downward trend in mortality for heart failure patients who underwent cardiac rehabilitation. Further studies are required to corroborate these findings as understanding CR program outcomes can help identify improvement areas, guide resource allocation, and inform healthcare policy decisions.

Abstract 4116981: Sex- and Racial/Ethnic Mortality Trends Across Separate Time Periods Following Hospitalization for Acute Myocardial Infarction

Intro: Mortality for patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has improved over time, but sex- and racial/ethnic disparities remain. Whether disparities have changed over specific time periods following hospitalization is poorly understood. Aim: To assess mortality trends across separate time periods following incident AMI hospitalization by sex and race. Methods: Using Medicare fee-for-service data covering all patients with incident AMI hospitalizations from 2008 to 2018, we examined unadjusted mortality rates by sex and race/ethnicity for the following time periods: acute (in-hospital), post-acute (0-30 days after hospital discharge), short term (31 days to 1 year after discharge), and long term (1-3 years after discharge). Each period was considered separately (i.e., patients who died during one period were not counted in later periods). Results: We identified 768,084 patients hospitalized with incident AMI (mean age 81 years, 48% male, 87% White) between 2008-2018. Figures 1 and 2 show annual mortality rates and trends. From 2008-2018, men and women had similar in-hospital and post-acute mortality, but women had persistently higher short- and long-term mortality compared to men. In 2008, Black patients had higher mortality rates compared to White patients for every period studied. In-hospital mortality rates were similar by 2018 but remained higher for Black patients for every other time period. Conclusions: For incident AMI patients, mortality rates have improved across subgroups through 3 years after discharge. However, women have had persistently higher mortality rates 1-3 years following hospitalization compared to men, while Black patients have had persistently higher mortality rates 30 days – 3 years following hospitalization compared to White patients. These results suggest that opportunities to reduce sex- and race-based AMI disparities might be particularly effective in longitudinal outpatient care following hospital discharge.

Abstract 4121359: Heart Disease and Heart Failure: Trends and Disparities in Mortality Rates in the United States from 2000 to 2020

Background: The remarkable decline in the overall prevalence and mortality rates of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the United States (US) over the past few decades has not been consistent across all age groups, sexes, races, and types of cardiovascular diseases. Heart disease (HD) and heart failure (HF) still pose a significant burden to the healthcare system. Objectives: This study sought to describe the age, sex and racial disparities in the trends in mortality rates for these two outcomes in the US over the past two decades. Methods: This was an ecological study with trend analysis of the mortality from heart disease and heart failure in the US between 2000 and 2020. Data on CVD was obtained from the National Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) surveillance databases and analyzed. Binomial regression models were used to evaluate trends in outcomes. Statistical significance was considered for p-values &lt; 0.05. Results: There was a significant decrease in the age-standardized mortality for HD over the past two decades (from 343.5 per 100,000 cases to 215.1 per 100,000 cases (p&lt;0.001)). Mortality rates were significantly higher in males (p&lt;0.001, R2 = 0.92), non-Hispanic blacks (p&lt;0.001) and non-Hispanic whites (p&lt;0.001) compared to Hispanics, (R2 = 0.94) and in adults aged 65+ (p&lt;0.001) and 75+ (p&lt;0.001) (R2 = 0.98). There was no significant decrease in the age-standardized mortality for HF (from 26.9 per 100,000 cases to 25.7 per 100,000 cases (p=0.706)) due to a reversal in the trend after 2011. Though the rates were significantly lower in males overall (p=0.001, R2 = 0.27), these rates became higher in males and in non-Hispanic Blacks compared to non-Hispanic Whites beyond 2016. Mortality rates due to HF were highest in the 65+ and 75+ age groups. Conclusions: This study on national trends in heart disease and heart failure across age groups, sexes and races over the past two decades confirmed a significant reduction in heart disease mortality rates over this period, but with persistent disparities between males and females, non-Hispanic Blacks and other races and the older age groups. This study also highlights important reversals of heart failure mortality rates trends in more recent years in males and females, and non-Hispanic Blacks and Whites, the reasons for which are amenable to further research.

Abstract 4120332: RISING TRENDS IN ISCHEMIC HEART DISEASE RELATED MORTALITY AMONG OLDER ADULTS WITH SLEEP APNEA IN THE UNITED STATES FROM 1999 TO 2021

Introduction: Sleep apnea (SA) is often underrecognized and undertreated despite its high prevalence in the adult population and its association with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. There are limited estimates of national trends on cardiovascular mortality in older patients with sleep apnea. We aimed to assess the sex and race-related trends of ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality in the older adults with SA using a large population-based database. Methods: We utilized the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging, Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database which provides information from death certificates of all US residents according to the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10). The demographic and mortality data were obtained for the United States population &gt;65 years from 1999 to 2021. Ischemic heart disease (ICD-10 codes I20-I25) was listed as the underlying cause of death, and SA (G47.3) as a contributing cause of death. Age adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 population were calculated by standardizing deaths to the year 2000 US population. We used Jointpoint Regression Program to analyze temporal trends in mortality from 2000 to 2021. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) with 95% CI were calculated to examine trends in AAMR over time. Results: Overall, AAMR of IHD mortality for patients with SA increased from 7.9 per 1,000,000 (95% CI, 6.9-8.8) in 1999 to 53.4 per 1,000,000 (95% CI, 51.4-55.4) in 2021 with an AAPC of 9.1% per year (95% CI, 8.8-9.5). Men had consistently higher AAMR than women throughout the study period (overall AAMR men: 45.51 (95% CI, 44.8-46.2); women: 12.5 (95% CI, 12.2-12.8). Both the groups had a similar increasing trend in AAMR, with men having a steeper increase. [AAPC men: 9.3% (95% CI, 8.5-10.8) versus AAPC women: 8.6%, 95% CI, 8.1-9.7]. Non Hispanic (NH) White population had the greatest AAMR throughout the study period, followed by NH Black and Hispanic or Latino. The NH White population had the largest increase in AAMR from 1999 to 2021 (AAPC 9.4%, 95% CI:8.9-10.1). Conclusion: In the United States, there has been a general increase in IHD mortality related to sleep apnea over the last two decades. This rising trend as noted in our analysis is concerning and underscores the need for more robust cardiovascular surveillance in these patients.

Abstract 4134912: Geographic, Gender,&amp;Racial Trends in Mortality Due to Coronary Artery Disease in Diabetes among Adults Aged 25 and Older in the United States, 1999-2020: A CDC WONDER Database Analysis

Background: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a significant contributor to mortality among adults with diabetes mellitus (DM) in the United States. This study examines the patterns of CAD-related mortality in individuals aged 25 and above with DM, with a particular focus on geographic, gender, and racial/ethnic discrepancies from 1999 to 2020. Methods: The study analyzed death certificate information from the CDC WONDER database from 1999 to 2020. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs), annual percent change (APC), and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were computed per 100,000 individuals, categorized by year, gender, race/ethnicity, and geographic areas. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, CAD in individuals with DM resulted in 1,462,279 deaths among adults aged 25 and above in the United States. The majority of these deaths occurred in medical facilities (44.2%) and at home (29.3%). The overall age-AAMR for CAD in DM-related deaths decreased from 36.3 in 1999 to 31.7 in 2020, with an AAPC of -0.96 (95% CI: -1.29 to -0.77 p &lt; 0.000001). Men had higher AAMRs (41.6) compared to women (22.6), with a more significant decrease in women (AAPC: -2.10, p &lt; 0.000001) than in men (AAPC: -0.34, p = 0.001200). Racial/ethnic disparities showed the highest AAMRs in American Indians/Alaska Natives (43.6), followed by Blacks (37.8), Hispanics (33.8), Whites (29.7), and Asians/Pacific Islanders (22.5). The most significant decrease was in Hispanics (AAPC: -1.64, p &lt; 0.000001). Geographically, AAMRs ranged from 13.7 in Nevada to 51.3 in West Virginia, with the highest mortality observed in the Midwest (AAMR: 34.5). Nonmetropolitan areas exhibited higher AAMRs (35.2) than metropolitan areas (29.7), with a more pronounced decrease in urban areas (AAPC: -1.22, p &lt; 0.000001) compared to nonmetropolitan areas (AAPC: -0.03, p = 0.854629). Conclusion: The decrease in AAMRs for CAD among individuals with DM from 1999 to 2020 indicates improvements in healthcare management. However, the ongoing disparities based on race, gender, and geography call for targeted public health interventions to guarantee fair access to cardiovascular care. Additional endeavors are necessary to comprehend and alleviate the root causes of these inequalities.

Abstract 4134768: Geographic, Gender,&amp;Racial Trends in Mortality Due to Heart Failure in Coronary Artery Disease Among Adults Aged 65 and Older in the United States, 1999-2020: A CDC WONDER Database Analysis

Backgrounds: Heart failure (HF) associated with coronary artery disease (CAD) is a significant contributor to mortality in the elderly population of the United States. This study examines trends in HF in CAD-related mortality among adults aged 65 and older, focusing on geographic, gender, and racial/ethnic disparities from 1999 to 2020. Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed using the CDC WONDER database death certificates from 1999 to 2020. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs), annual percent change (APC), and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated per 100,000 persons, stratified by year, sex, race/ethnicity, and geographical region. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, there were 6,571,263 deaths attributed to coronary artery disease (CAD) and 6,135,540 deaths related to Heart Failure (HF) in the US. Among adults aged 65 and older, HF in CAD caused 1,597,451 deaths, with 37.1% occurring in medical facilities and 30.3% in nursing homes. The AAMRs for HF in CAD decreased from 241.7 in 1999 to 156.2 in 2020 (AAPC: -2.23, p &lt; 0.000001). This reduction was significant from 1999 to 2014, followed by a slight increase from 2014 to 2020. Men consistently had higher AAMRs than women (227.4 vs. 137.1), with women experiencing a more significant decline in rates (AAPC: -3.23, p &lt; 0.000001). Racial disparities revealed the highest AAMRs among Whites (183.0), followed by American Indians/Alaska Natives (153.7), Blacks (134.6), Hispanics (123.7), and Asians/Pacific Islanders (81.6). The most significant reductions were observed in Hispanics (AAPC: -2.68, p &lt; 0.000001). Geographically, AAMRs varied, ranging from 92.1 in Hawaii to 257.3 in West Virginia, with the Midwest showing the highest mortality (191.0). Nonmetropolitan areas exhibited higher AAMRs than metropolitan areas (202.6 vs. 166.1), although both showed moderate declines over time, more pronounced in urban areas (AAPC: -2.41, p &lt; 0.000001). Conclusion: The study uncovers notable variances in HF in CAD-related mortality among elderly individuals in the United States based on race, gender, and geographic location. While the decrease in AAMRs from 1999 to 2014 indicates progress in cardiovascular care, the subsequent rise from 2014 to 2020 and enduring disparities call for specific public health measures to tackle these inequalities.