Mortality-to-incidence Ratio Research Articles

Regional variation in incidence and mortality due to hypertension in Sao Tome and Principe

Abstract Background The analysis of incidence and mortality due to hypertension (HT) provides statistical data for addressing public health programs, particularly in low-income countries where poor health systems impose constraints to address non-communicable diseases (NCDs). This study aims to assess the geographic pattern of incidence and mortality due to HT in Sao Tome and Principe (STP). Methods This is a descriptive ecological study. Aggregated data on new cases of and deaths due to HT by gender, age-group and district (2022-2023) were extracted from the Health National Database (STP Ministry of Health). Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates (ASIR and ASMR) and respective 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were obtained. Mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) was computed by district (lower values indicate better quality of care). Comparison between districts was done through standardized incidence ratios (SIR) and respective p-value. Analyses were stratified by gender. Results ASIR and ASMR per 100,000 were, respectively, 1168.9 (95%CI:1103.3-1237.6) and 76.8 (95%CI:62.0-96.2) among men and 2460.6 (95%CI:2365.0-2559.0) and 99.7 (95%CI:81.4-121.6) among women. Incidence of HT was significantly higher than expected (p < 0.001) in Agua Grande, Caue and Lemba with SIR varying from 122.8% (Agua Grande) to 201.1% (Caue) in men and from 125.1% (Lemba) to 224.1% (Caue) in women. Instead, Mé-Zochi presented much lower incidence than expected for both, men (SIR=43.1%;p<0.001) and women (SIR=38.4%;p<0.001). Large differences between districts were observed in MIR, varying from 0% (Caue and Lobata) to 84% (Mé-Zochi) in men and from 0% (Lobata) to 57% (Mé-Zochi) in women. Conclusions According to our findings there is, not only, a high incidence rate of HT, but also regional variation in this rate, deserving particular attention from policy-makers. Regional variation in hypertension incidence could be partially explained by differences in the quality of healthcare services. Key messages • Awareness should be given to the high incidence of hypertension demanding preventive strategies in the field of public health. • Public health strategies should address the quality of care in regards to the prevention, diagnosis and monitoring of hypertension.

Epidemiology and socioeconomic correlates of brain and central nervous system cancers in Asia in 2020 and their projection to 2040

Brain and central nervous system (CNS) cancers constitute a heterogeneous group of cancers with poor 5-year survival rates. We aimed to report the epidemiology of brain and CNS cancers in Asia in 2020 and their projections up to 2040 by age, sex, and country, as well as their correlation with socioeconomic status. We extracted data from the 2020 Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN). Numbers, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and mortality rates (ASMRs), 5-year prevalent cases and rates, mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs), and crude rates were calculated. The human development index (HDI) and current healthcare expenditure (CHE)-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio were included as indicators of socioeconomic status. Additionally, the numbers of new cases and deaths were predicted from 2025 to 2040 by multiplying the anticipated population during this period by age-standardized rates. In 2020, there were 166,925 new cases of brain and CNS cancers in Asia, indicating a 5-year prevalence rate of 9.40 per 100,000. We also estimated the total ASIR, ASMR, and MIR as 3.20, 2.60, and 0.83, respectively. There were significant negative correlations between HDI and MIR (correlation coefficient: − 0.538, p value < 0.001) and significant positive correlations between CHE/GDP% and ASIR (correlation coefficient: 0.388, p value: 0.010) and ASMR (correlation coefficient: 0.373, p value: 0.014). In 2040, there will be 232,000 new cases of brain and CNS cancers and 200,000 subsequent deaths in Asia. Our study revealed higher brain and CNS cancer rates in Western Asia among males and elderly individuals. These findings can aid policymakers in enhancing cancer care and suggest the consideration of risk factors in future research.

Global epidemiology of liver cancer 2022: An emphasis on geographic disparities.

Liver cancer remains the sixth most commonly diagnosed cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, causing a heavy burden globally. An updated assessment of the global epidemiology of the liver cancer burden that addresses geographical disparities is necessary to better understand and promote healthcare delivery. Data were extracted from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database, including the number, crude, and age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality at the global, country, continent, and human development index (HDI) regional levels. Age-standardized rates (incidence and mortality) per 100,000 person-years were adjusted based on the Segi-Doll World standard population. The mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIR) for each region and country were calculated. The HDI and gross national income (GNI) for 2022 were obtained, and a Pearson correlation analysis was conducted with the incidence, mortality, and MIR. In 2022, approximately 866,136 new liver cancer cases and 758,725 related deaths were recorded worldwide, with a global MIR of 0.86. Males had a disproportionately higher burden than females across all levels, and the highest burden was observed in the elderly population. Geographically, the regions with the highest incidence rates included Micronesia, Eastern Asia, and Northern Africa, and the regions with the highest mortality rates included Northern Africa, Southeastern Asia, Eastern Asia, and Micronesia. Notably, Mongolia had a strikingly high burden compared to other countries. The highest MIR was observed in North America and the lowest in Africa. Negative associations of HDI and GNI with liver cancer mortality and MIR were identified, irrespective of sex. The current liver cancer burden underscores the presence of remarkable geographic heterogeneity, which is particularly evident across countries with varying HDI levels, highlighting the urgent need to prioritize health accessibility and availability to achieve health inequities.

Global epidemiology and socioeconomic correlates of hypopharyngeal cancer in 2020 and its projection to 2040: findings from GLOBOCAN 2020.

Hypopharyngeal cancer (HC) comprises less than 5% of all malignant tumors in the head and neck. They often present at an advanced stage, thereby resulting in high mortalities. We aimed to report the epidemiology of HC globally, regionally, and nationally by age, sex, and socioeconomic status in 2020 and its projection to 2040. Data on HC incidence and mortality were extracted from the GLOBOCAN 2020. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs) were calculated. We used bivariate correlation test, presenting results through Pearson's correlation coefficient (r) to investigate the correlation between the metrics, human development index (HDI), and current healthcare expenditure (CHE) as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) (CHE/GDP). In 2020, there were 84254 new HC cases globally (ASIR: 0.91 per 100000). Moreover, HC resulted in 38599 mortalities in 2020 (ASMR: 0.41). Furthermore, the global MIR of HC was 0.45. The ASIR and ASMR of HC were higher in men than women. Also, HDI demonstrated weak significant correlations with HC ASIR (r= 0.249, p<0.01), ASMR (r= 0.185, p<0.05), and MIR (r= 0.347, p<0.001). Moreover, a weak significant correlation was also observed between CHE/GDP and MIR (r= 0.279, p<0.001). The number of new HC cases and mortalities were estimated to increase by 50% and 55% in 2040, respectively. HC is a relatively rare cancer but with a substantial sex and geographic divide in distribution. Key priorities should thus include establishing high-quality cancer registries worldwide.

Disparities in 36 cancers across 185 countries: secondary analysis of global cancer statistics.

Cancer is a major public health problem and represents substantial disparities worldwide. This study reported estimates for 36 cancers across 185 countries by incidence, mortality, 5-year prevalence, mortality-to-prevalence ratio (MPR), and mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) to examine its association with human development index (HDI) and gross national income (GNI). Data were collected from the GLOBOCAN 2020. MPR and MIR were calculated by sex, age group, country, and cancer type and then summarized into totals. Segi's population and global cancer spectrum were used to calculate age- and type-standardized ratios. Correlation analyses were conducted to assess associations. Results showed that breast cancer was the most diagnosed cancer globally. Low- and middle-income countries had high MPR and MIR. Cancers of esophagus, pancreas, and liver had the highest ratios. Males and the older population had the highest ratios. HDI and GNI were positively correlated with incidence and mortality but negatively correlated with MPR/MIR. Substantial disparities in cancer burden were observed among 36 cancer types across 185 countries. Socioeconomic development may contribute to narrowing these disparities, and tailored strategies are crucial for regional- and country-specific cancer control.

Descriptive Epidemiology of Gastric Cancer: A Population-Based Study From Georgia.

Background Gastric cancer (GC) remains a significant public health issue in many countries globally due to its high morbidity and mortality rates. In Georgia, the incidence of GC reflects the prevalence patterns of established risk factors. To develop appropriate prevention and treatment strategies, GC requires a comprehensive approach and research. This study aims to review and describe GC epidemiologic characteristics in the country. Methodology We conducted a descriptive analysis utilizing data from the national population-based cancer registry. All patients diagnosed with invasive GC between 2015 and 2022 were eligible for inclusion in the analysis. To calculate age-standardized incidence (ASIR) and mortality (ASMR) rates we used a direct method, standardized to the World (WHO 2000-2025) standard population. Trends in Incidence and mortality were assessed using standardized rate ratios (SRRs). The mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) was defined as the ratio of the ASMR to the ASIR for the corresponding year. The Kaplan-Meier method was utilized to construct survival curves with survival comparisons performed using the log-rank test. Results A total of 2,707 GC cases with 62% (n = 1,668) of patients being male were enrolled in this descriptive study. The median age at diagnosis was 65 years, and about 70% (n = 1,893) of cases were detected at advanced (III and IV) stages. Over the study period, the ASIR per 100,000 population for both sexes decreased from 8.4 to 7.3.The SRR and 95% confidence interval indicated no significant change in ASIR for males but it decreased for females in 2022 compared to 2015. In 2022, the ASMR decreased compared to 2015 for males (from 10.5 to 7.3/100,00) and for females (from 5.8 to 3.0/100,000) as well. However, the MIR ​​indicated an unstable reduction in mortality, fluctuating over the observation period. The five-year survival rate was around 22.0%. Conclusions This study provides a comprehensive overview of GC epidemiology in Georgia between 2015 and 2022. GC remains a significant public health challenge, characterized by the high proportion of late-stage diagnoses and high mortality rates. The implementation of prevention and early diagnosis strategies is crucial to reduce the burden of GC in the country.

Burden of 30 cancers among men: Global statistics in 2022 and projections for 2050 using population-based estimates.

Men exhibit higher prevalence of modifiable risk factors, such as smoking and alcohol consumption, leading to greater cancer incidence and lower survival rates. Comprehensive evidence on global cancer burden among men, including disparities by age group and country, is sparse. To address this, the authors analyzed 30 cancer types among men in 2022, with projections estimated for 2050. The 2022 GLOBOCAN estimates were used to describe cancer statistics for men in 185 countries/territories worldwide. Mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs) were calculated by dividing age-standardized mortality rates by incidence rates. In 2022, a high MIR (indicating poor survival) was observed among older men (aged 65 years and older; 61%) for rare cancer types (pancreatic cancer, 91%) and in countries with low a Human Development Index (HDI; 74%). Between 2022 and 2050, cancer cases are projected to increase from 10.3 million to 19 million (≥84%). Deaths are projected to increase from 5.4 million to 10.5 million (≥93%), with a greater than two-fold increase among men aged 65 years and older (≥117%) and for low-HDI and medium-HDI countries/territories (≥160%). Cancer cases and deaths are projected to increase among working-age groups (≥39%) and very-high-HDI countries/territories (≥50%). Substantial disparities in cancer cases and deaths were observed among men in 2022, and these are projected to widen by 2050. Strengthening health infrastructure, enhancing workforce quality and access, fostering national and international collaborations, and promoting universal health coverage are crucial to reducing cancer disparities and ensuring cancer equity among men globally.

Cancer burden across the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation in 2022

ObjectiveThe objective of this study is to present a cross-sectional analysis of cancer burden in the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) region and explain unique characteristics of its...

Cutaneous Melanoma Mortality-to-Incidence Ratio and Its Association With Socioeconomic and Healthcare Factors in Canada: A National Ecological Study.

The mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) can be used to approximate healthcare inequities and is helpful to understand/compare cancer survival between geographic regions/jurisdictions. We investigated cutaneous melanoma (CM) outcomes through MIR analysis in Canadian jurisdictions and census divisions (CDs) between 1992 and 2016. Data were obtained from the national databases from 1992 to 2016 for all Canadian jurisdictions, except Quebec. Age-standardized overall and median MIRs were calculated per province per year, while crude MIRs were calculated for CDs. Generalized linear regression models were conducted to study the effect of province and year on MIR, while a mixed effect regression model was used to determine how healthcare and socioeconomic factors affect MIR, while accounting for possible clustering effects (eg, year and province). We identified 106,015 CM cases and 20,570 CM deaths between 1992 and 2016. National MIR from 1992 to 2016 demonstrated a significant linear decrease (P value < .0001). The national median MIR was 15.4 (ie, 0.154 × 100), whereby Manitoba (19.9), Ontario (19.5), Saskatchewan (18.5), British Columbia (16.1), and Newfoundland and Labrador (15.9) demonstrated higher MIRs than the Canadian average. CDs with the highest MIRs were commonly identified in the southern regions of provinces. No healthcare or socioeconomic factors were found to be significantly associated with higher MIR at the provincial level. MIRs have decreased at the national and provincial levels in recent decades, which is reassuring. Higher MIRs were noted in select rural CDs and in the Canadian territories, reinforcing the importance of proper dermatological care in all parts of the country.

Geotemporal Analysis of Melanoma Incidence and Mortality Identifies Distinct Clusters of Trends within the United States Between 2001 and 2019

The extent to which the geographic diversity of the US plays a significant role in melanoma incidence and mortality over time has not been precisely characterized. We obtained age-adjusted melanoma data for the 50 states between 2001 and 2019 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry and performed hierarchical clustering (complete linkage, Euclidean space) to uncover geo-temporal trend groups over 2 decades. While there was a global increase in incidence during this time (b1=+0.41, P < .0001), there were 6 distinct clusters (by absolute and Z-score) with significantly different temporal trends (analysis of covariance P < .0001). Cluster 2 states had the sharpest increase in incidence with b1=+0.66, P < .0001. For mortality, the global rate decreased (b1=-0.03, P= .0003) with 3 and 6 clusters by absolute and Z-scores, respectively (analysis of covariance P < .05). Cluster 1 states exhibited the smallest decline in mortality (b1=-0.017, P= .008). Mortality to incidence ratios declined (b1=-0.0037, P < .0001) and harbored 4 and 6 clusters by absolute and Z-score analysis, respectively (analysis of covariance P < .0001). Cluster 4 states had the lowest rate of mortality to incidence ratios decline (b1=-0.003, P < .0001). These results provide an unprecedented higher dimensional view of melanoma behavior over space and time. With more refined analyses, geospatial studies can uncover local trends which can inform public health agencies to more properly allocate resources.

Does a "Western Lifestyle" Confer a Higher Burden of Colorectal Cancer? A Comparison of EU15+ Countries versus Global Trends between 1990 and 2019.

The incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in the U.S. is declining in adults 50 years and older; however, recent studies suggest an increasing disease burden among adults under age 50. This study aims to compare the incidence, mortality, and mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs) of CRC in EU15+ countries to determine if similar age-stratified occurrences are observed across these countries with similar "Western lifestyle"-related risk factors. Incidence and mortality rates for CRC between 1990 and 2019 were extracted using the Global Burden of Disease database. The data were age-stratified into groups between ages 25-49, 50-69, and greater than 69 years. We observed that the incidence of CRC increased globally for all age groups, with the highest increase observed for males (75.9%) and females (27.7%) aged 25-49. A similar trend was observed in 15 of the 19 EU15+ countries for males and 16 of the 19 EU15+ countries for females aged 25-49. Global mortality rates decreased for all age groups in females but increased for males in all age groups. This raises concerns regarding potentially modifiable risk factors contributing to increased CRC development and underscores the importance of implementing standardized screening at an earlier stage to ensure adequate detection in the younger population.

Thyroid cancer trends in China and its comparative analysis with G20 countries: Projections for 2020-2040.

Thyroid cancer, a leading type of endocrine cancer, accounts for 3-4% of all cancer diagnoses. This study aims to analyse and compare thyroid cancer patterns in China and the Group twenty (G20) countries, and predict these trend for the upcoming two decades. This observational longitudinal study utilised data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. We used metrics including incidence, mortality, mortality-incidence ratio (MIR), age-standardised rate (ASR) and average annual percent change (AAPC) to examine thyroid cancer trends. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to identify periods manifesting notable changes. The association between sociodemographic index (SDI) and AAPC were investigated. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to predict thyroid cancer trends from 2020 to 2040. From 1990 to 2019, thyroid cancer incidence cases in China increased by 289.6%, with a higher AAPC of age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) in men. Contrastingly, the G20 demonstrated a smaller increase, particularly among women over 50. Despite the overall age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR) was higher in the G20, the increase in mortality was less pronounced than in China. Age-standardised incidence rate increased across all age groups and genders, with a notable rise among men aged 15-49. ASMR decreased in specific age groups and genders, especially among women. Conversely, the ASMR significantly increased in group aged over 70. The MIR exhibited a declining trend, but this decrease was less noticeable in men and the group aged over 70. Joinpoint analysis pinpointed significant shifts in overall ASIR and ASMR, with the most pronounced increase in ASIR during 2003-2011 in China and 2003-2010 in the G20. Predictions suggested a continual ASIR uptrend, especially in the 50-69 age group, coupled with a predicted ASMR downturn among the elderly by 2040. Moreover, the proportion of thyroid cancer deaths attributable to high body mass index (BMI) escalated, with significant increase in Saudi Arabia and a rise to 7.4% in China in 2019. Thyroid cancer cases in incidence and mortality are escalating in both China and the G20. The increasing trend may be attributed to factors beyond overdiagnosis, including environmental and genetic factors. These findings emphasise the necessity for augmenting prevention, control, and treatment strategies. They also highlight the significance of international collaboration in addressing the global challenge posed by thyroid cancer.

Cancer burden across South Asia in 2020: A global cancer observatory analysis.

e23292 Background: The cancer burden in South Asia is often associated with late diagnosis and poor outcomes because of barriers to accessing advanced treatment facilities and targeted therapies, financial sequelae of care, and cultural stigmas and misconceptions. We use recent estimates of the Global Cancer Observatory (GCO) to better understand the epidemiology of cancer in South Asia, which may inform national and regional cancer control. Methods: Using publicly available data from the GCO and the World Bank, we collected cancer statistics and population statistics for Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka (collectively, SAARC) from 2015-2020. Results: The crude incidence of cancer in this region was 1,733,573 cases, representing 9.0% of the incidence worldwide. The crude incidence rate (CIR, per 100,000) of cancer in SAARC was 93.4 compared to the worldwide rate of 247.5. The 5-year prevalence (in total cases) of cancer in South Asia was 3,474,184, compared to 50,550,287 globally. The crude mortality rate (CMR, per 100,000) in South Asia was 60.6, compared to 127.8 globally. However, the mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) (per 100,000) was 0.65, compared to 0.52 globally. Age-adjusted estimates are reported in the table. Conclusions: Our research highlights South Asia's unique cancer landscape with CIR and MIR, but elevated MIR compared to global figures. These findings underscore the need for a united, contextually relevant approach to addressing the burden of cancer in South Asia. Investment in collaborative, tailored cancer care programs will build the SAARC region's capacity to address the growing global cancer challenge. [Table: see text]

Comparative study of cancer profiles between 2020 and 2022 using global cancer statistics (GLOBOCAN)

BackgroundThe International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) released the latest estimates of the global burden of cancer. We present a comparison of cancer profiles between 2020 and 2022, leveraging data from the Global Cancer Statistics (GLOBOCAN). MethodsCancer incidence and mortality data were sourced from two different years, 2020 and 2022, in the GLOBOCAN database. We tracked changes in age-standardized incidence and mortality rates, as well as estimated numbers of new cancer cases and deaths of the 15 most common cancer types globally and in China between 2020 and 2022. Additionally, we conducted comparisons to assess alterations in the cancer burden and variations in mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) across different regions and countries for both 2020 and 2022. ResultsLung cancer remained the most common cancer and the leading cause of cancer death worldwide. The new cases of thyroid cancer witnessed a sharp increase in 2022. Conversely, the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths from stomach and esophageal cancer decreased significantly in 2022. The geographic distribution of cancer incidence and mortality across six continents in 2022 largely mirrored that of 2020. Higher Human Development Index (HDI) levels in countries corresponded with elevated rates of cancer incidence and mortality, consistent with the previous year. Among 185 countries or territories, China's age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) ranked 64th and its age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) ranked 68th, aligning with global averages. Lung cancer continued to impose the greatest burden of incidence and mortality. Stomach, breast, and esophageal cancers showed declines in both case counts and ASIR. Noteworthy reductions in both ASMR and absolute mortality numbers were observed in liver, stomach, and esophageal cancers. The global MIR decreased from 0.516 in 2020 to 0.488 in 2022. MIR trends indicated an upward trajectory with decreasing HDI levels in both 2022 and 2020. While Canada, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom demonstrated increasing MIRs, China exhibited the most significant decrease, followed by Russia and the United States. ConclusionsThe global landscape of cancer incidence and mortality in 2022 reflects ongoing trends observed in 2020. Cancer burdens vary notably across countries with differing socioeconomic statuses. Decreases in stomach, liver, and esophageal cancer cases and deaths signify progress in cancer control efforts. The decrease in the global MIRs highlights potential improvements in cancer management.

Abstract 2158: Emerging epidemiological cancer trends among West African adults in Zaria, Nigeria (1972 to 2022)

Abstract Cancer incidence and mortality rates in Africa are increasing, with sub-Saharan Africa reporting 2.7-fold higher fatality than global averages. The incidence of cancer in Africa in 2020 was about 1.1 million new cases, with 711,000 deaths, indicating a mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) of 0.64. These cancer challenges in Africa necessitate a concerted approach towards effective cancer control and management. Here, we present an extensive report of emerging epidemiological cancer trends among West African adults seen between 1972-2022 in Zaria, Nigeria. We used the Zaria cancer registry of the Ahmadu Bello University Teaching Hospital (ABUTH) Zaria, Nigeria to obtain information on histologically diagnosed cancers from January 1st, 1972 to December 31, 2022. Records in the Zaria registry are indexed into a register paper-based and 2008 and transferred by CanReg4 software on the computer. We used WHO classification of tumors (WHO Blue Book) 5th edition to classify all the abstracted cancers for the purpose of this study. Time-trend analyses were performed by utilizing linear regression models. In the analysis of the Zaria cancer registry, 12,114 adults (42.2% male, 57.8% female) were diagnosed with histologically confirmed cancer between 1972 - 2022. The most common diagnosis among male cancer patients was prostate cancer, comprising a quarter of all cases. The median age of diagnosis for prostate cancer was 65 years, with an interquartile range (IQR) of 60 and 70. Among female cancer patients, the most common diagnoses were cervical cancer and breast cancer, together comprising 68.2% of all cases. Median age at diagnosis were 45 (IQR, 40-56) and 42 (IQR, 35-50), respectively. In time-trend analyses, the total number of new cancer cases diagnosed at ABUTH from 1972 to 2022 increased over time (p&amp;lt;0.001). In the analyses of individual cancers, those in which the number of new cases increased over time were neoplasms of the bones and joints, breast, cervix, prostate, colorectum and stomach, head and neck (p&amp;lt;0.001); esophagus (p=0.006); eye and orbit and soft tissue (p=0.002); and ovary (p=0.005). Cancers in which the number of new cases decreased over time were Hodgkin lymphoma, Non-Hodgkin lymphoma, melanoma of the skin, and non-melanoma cancer of the skin (p&amp;lt;0.001). The number of new adult cancer diagnoses recorded in the Zaria cancer registry have increased over time from 1972 to 2022. Prostate cancer accounted for a quarter of all cancer cases among males, whereas cervical cancer and breast cancer accounted for nearly 70% of all cases among females. Westernization with associated change in dietary habits, physical inactivity, obesity and reproductive behaviors and changes in the population size and life expectancy may be attributable factors to change in cancer in Zaria. Better understanding of these factors will inform cancer prevention and control strategies. Citation Format: Faruk Mohammed, David J. Lee, Katy Graef, Abdulmumini Hassan Rafindadi, Sani Ibrahim, Sirajo Mohammed Aminu, Ahmed Adamu, Adamu Abdullahi, Aishatu Maude Suleiman, Abdullahi Mohammed, John Idoko, Abdulkadir Lawal Rafindadi, Danladi Amodu Ameh, Bello Ahmad Kumo, Ahmad Bello, Abdullahi Jubril Randawa, Oguntayo Olanrewaju Adekunle, Usman Mohammed Aminu, Muhammad Manko, Olasinde Tajudeen Tajudeen, Lazarus M. Yusufu, Mohammed Dauda Maigatari, Lawal Khalid, Dahiru Ismail, Aliyu Ahmed Babadoko, Ahmed Tijjani Lawal, Abdullahi Alfa Mohammed, Yahaya Ukwenya, Ahmed Mai, Maitama Yusuf Hussaini, Anisah Yahaya, Caitlin Bishop, Jennifer Dent, Timothy R. Rebbeck, Yawale Iliyasu. Emerging epidemiological cancer trends among West African adults in Zaria, Nigeria (1972 to 2022) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 2158.

Abstract 817: Establishing a niche to improve Africa’s contribution to cancer research

Abstract Africa has been a key source of scientific discoveries to the global community, especially in areas of scientific experiments and implementation. However, Africans are underrepresented in their contribution to global science and within the African countries, access to adequate funding and infrastructure to do high quality science is limited. These inequities contribute to the 10/90 gap in which only an estimated 10% of global health research funding is used to address health problems in Africa. Thus, it is not surprising that today, Africa contributes just about 2 percent of world research output, 1.3 percent of research spending, and 0.1 percent of all patents. To bridge the aforementioned gaps, mitigate the effect of brain drain and structural constraints and improve support for the next generation scientists, the Nigerian Government recently established the National Institute for Cancer Research and Treatment (NICRAT). It is worthy to note that cancer incidence and mortality rates in Africa are increasing 1.1 million new cases, with 711,000 deaths reported in 2020. This indicate a mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) of 0.64. These cancer challenges in Africa necessitates a concerted approach towards effective cancer control and management. Here, we show in detail how the NICRAT support improving science while integrating with Nigerian national development plans and strategies. We also show how the NICRAT is establishing a mechanism for domestic funding, while fostering national and international collaborations for African scientists and encouraging women into careers in cancer research. Currently, the NICRAT’s key task also includes centralizing cancer control efforts, mobilizing funding from different sources for cancer research, and coordinating cancer treatment activities across Nigeria. In addition, the institute facilitates collaboration between researchers, healthcare providers, and patients, and provides guidance for cancer policy formulation and implementation. The establishment of NICRAT by Nigeria’s government as well as similar centers elsewhere in Africa may improve active participation of African scientists in scientific practice, discourse, and decision making and spotlight their intellectual contributions towards solving science-associated global problems. Citation Format: Usman A. Malami, Sani A. Malami, Uchechukwu E. Nwokwu, Usman W. Mohammed, Faruk Mohammed. Establishing a niche to improve Africa’s contribution to cancer research [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 817.

Evolving trends in prostate cancer: Disparities across income levels and global regions (1990-2019).

25 Background: Prostate Cancer, the third most commonly diagnosed cancer in 2020 and the fifth leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide, has exhibited significant disparities in global prevalence and impact over recent decades. This study assesses the trends in incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years from prostate cancer in the World Bank regions based on country income levels from 1990 to 2019. Methods: The Global Burden of Disease Study database was used to extract Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), age-standardized (ASDR), and life years (DALYs) for prostate cancer from different World Bank regions based on income levels from 1990 to 2019. Annual percentage change was also acquired. Mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIR) were then computed. Trends were assessed using Joinpoint regression. Results: Between 1990 and 2019, ASIRs increased across all income levels, with the greatest growth in the upper middle income (+64.7%). While ASDRs decreased in high income, upper middle income, and lower middle income levels, they notably increased in low income levels (+14.3%). DALYs decreased in high income and upper middle income levels, primarily in the high income (-25.7%), and increased in lower middle and low income levels, primarily in the low income (+13.8%). MIRs decreased in all countries, with the largest decrease in high income levels (-50%). In the last 30 years, high income countries have consistently observed the highest ASIR (2019: 77.5/100,000). However, in 1990 high income countries also had the highest ASDRs and DALYs. Interestingly, by 2019 this pattern shifted, with low income surpassing high income countries in both. Conclusions: Over the last 30 years, the incidence of prostate cancer has been rising regardless of income level. Despite the universal decrease of MIRs implying improved outcomes, screening, and therapeutical strategies, the contrasting trends in ASDRs and DALYs across income levels underscore the disparities in health outcomes. Higher income countries experienced highest cancer incidence but also the highest decrease in the mortality rates while lower income countries faced the opposite challenges with lower increase but higher mortality rates. [Table: see text]

Oral cancer epidemiology in relation to inter-country disparities in human development in south and Southeast Asia.

South Asia (SA) and Southeast Asia (SEA) are geographically close; however, discrepancies in oral cancer (OC) epidemiology exist between the two regions. Socioeconomic disparities may influence the OC burden. The aim of this study was to assess the epidemiology of OC and its relationship with the Inequality Adjusted Human Development Index (IHDI) and its components in SA and SEA. Cancer data for this ecological study was obtained from GLOBOCAN 2020, while the IHDI was obtained from the Human Development Report 2020. Based on data availability, 14 SA and SEA countries were chosen. Poisson log-weighted regression models were employed to examine IHDI and its components in relation to incidence and mortality. Univariate linear regression models were utilized to determine the association between the mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) and the IHDI. Mortality and MIR of OC were negatively correlated with all sub-indices of the IHDI, including education, health and income. However, incidence and mortality of OC were influenced by region and sex. Higher IHDI countries tended to have lower MIR. SA and males showed higher incidence and mortality. Reducing intra-country inequalities in development may be a pragmatic approach to enhancing the OC burden and prognosis.

Cancer mortality-to-incidence ratio among Iraqi citizens: Nine-year National Estimates (2012-2020) and its relation to population growth rate and health expenditure.

Cancer continues to be a significant worldwide health concern with substantial mortality. The cancer mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR), a proxy measure of observed five-year survival, can serve as a valuable indicator of cancer management outcomes and healthcare disparities among countries. This study aims to determine the MIR trend for all cancers combined among Iraqi citizens during 2012-2020 for health expenditure percentages out of the gross domestic product (e/GDP (%)) and population growth rate. The study used the Iraqi Cancer Registry annual reports for cancer data and World Bank data for health expenditure and population growth. Simple linear regression analysis examined the relationship between health expenditure, growth rate, and MIR, while joinpoint regression analysis examined the trend over time. The Ethics Committee of the College of Medicine at the University of Basrah approved the study. An increasing trend in crude incidence rates for all cancer types combined was seen with a decrease in mortality rates from 2012 to 2020 in both sexes. A non-statistically significant reduction in MIR was found with an average annual percent change (AAPC) of -3.1% (P = 0.100). The decrease in MIR was higher among females than males, with a statistically significant difference (P = 0.003). High health expenditure presented as e/GDP (%) was associated with a favorable cancer survival rate, but this was not statistically significant (R2 = 0.263, P = 0.158). In contrast, a low growth rate was significantly associated with cancer patients' survival (R2 = 0.505, P = 0.032). As indicated by the MIR and the MIR complement (1-MIR), the proxy five-year survival rate is improving in Iraq with time. Although not statistically significant, high health expenditure favorably affected overall cancer survival. A low growth rate, on the other hand, significantly improves cancer patients' survival.

Cancer incidence, mortality, and survivorship in African women: a comparative analysis (2016-2020).

This research aims to provide concrete insight into cancer incidence, mortality, and survivorship dynamics among African women between 2016 and 2020. The study computes the Mortality-to-Incidence Ratio (MIR) for 53 countries in Africa with available mortality and incidence data. It uses relevant Life Tables to obtain the 5-year Relative Survival rate for women in different age cohorts based on General Survival Rate and 5-year Cancer Prevalence data from the World Health Organization (WHO). The study performs an analysis of variance tests. The results of the initial data analysis show that women in the top economies in Africa have the highest cancer incidence and mortality. The study also finds that women in Northern and Southern African countries have higher relative survival rates and lower MIR than other African regions. ANOVA results confirm statistically significant differences in 5-year relative survival across the African regions. The relative survival at 5 years was an average of 45% across all age groups within the continent although relative survival is highest among females aged 5-19 and 80-84. The lowest relative survival rates are seen for infants (0-4), adolescents and young adults (25-29), and the very elderly (85+). The study concludes that while cancer incidence in Africa is linked to affluence, survival is very challenging, especially for the least developed economies in Western, Eastern, and Central Africa. The results indicate the need for crucial intervention in the continent concerning awareness, research, and data collection methodology.