Monte Carlo Feature Selection Research Articles

Monitoring soil organic carbon under coastal restoration using time series Sentinel‐1

AbstractSalt marsh soils are key reservoirs of organic carbon. Although the potential for using Sentinel‐1 data to estimate organic carbon in marsh soils has been recognized, there is still a need to find suitable proxies and effective algorithms that enhance predictions. In this study, we assessed the effectiveness of Sentinel‐1 data for predicting soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks in salt marshes located on the coast of eastern‐central China. We defined the relations between SOC stocks and remotely sensed data using a knowledge‐based approach (i.e., structural equation modeling (SEM)), and the results were compared with those obtained using a common data‐driven approach (i.e., random forest (RF)). Predictive models were developed using (1) refined images associated with phenological stages (phenological variables), (2) refined images that were classified as statistically important using Monte Carlo feature selection (MCFS‐based variables), and (3) images from the combination of these refined datasets. The predictions were validated using a leave‐one‐out cross‐validation approach. The results showed that SEM was more accurate than RF when predicting SOC stocks using the same type of predictor variables. Models using phenological variables alone yielded the least accurate predictions. Adding phenological variables to the structural equation model with MCFS‐based variables increased the prediction accuracy by 36% in terms of the R2. The results of the case study suggest that images related to phenological stages are good predictors for mapping SOC stocks in marshes. This study highlights the superiority of SEM over RF for developing effective remote sensing‐based models to quantify and map SOC stocks in salt marshes.

Investigate the Epigenetic Connections of Obesity Between Mother and Child With Machine Learning Methods

Introduction: The prevalence of childhood obesity has been increasing in recent decades, and epigenetics is a great process to detect the relationship between children’s obesity and their mothers’ obesity. To investigate the epigenetic connections of obesity between mother and child, we analyzed the saliva DNA methylation profiles from 96 mother-child families. The BMI of both mother and child was measured. Methods: MCFS (Monte Carlo Feature Selection) and IFS (Incremental Feature Selection) methods were used to select the obesity prediction biomarkers. MCFS analysis indicated that if the child's BMI was greater than 17.46, the mother was very likely to be obese. In other words, the obesity of child and mother were highly connected. 17 obesity marker probes corresponding to 18 genes: ADGRA1, CRYBA2, SRRM4, VIPR2, GRIK2, SLC27A1, CLUHP3, THNSL2, F10, PLEC, HTR3C, ESRRG, PTPRM, ANKRD11, ZFAND2A, RTN2/PPM1N, TEX101, were selected. Most of them were found to be related to obesity in literature. Results: The results showed whether mothers are obese can be concluded through their children's BMI and methylation patterns. They can help understand the molecular mechanism of obesity. Conclusion: Epigenetics is a great indicator of obesity. Our results suggested that the obesity status between child and mother was highly correlated. Obesity-related epigenetics changes from the mother remained in the DNA methylation profile of the child's salivary. DNA methylation can partially reflect the living environment and lifestyles.

A new Monte Carlo Feature Selection (MCFS) algorithm-based weighting scheme for multi-model ensemble of precipitation

A new Monte Carlo Feature Selection (MCFS) algorithm-based weighting scheme for multi-model ensemble of precipitation

Identification of Colon Immune Cell Marker Genes Using Machine Learning Methods.

Immune cell infiltration that occurs at the site of colon tumors influences the course of cancer. Different immune cell compositions in the microenvironment lead to different immune responses and different therapeutic effects. This study analyzed single-cell RNA sequencing data in a normal colon with the aim of screening genetic markers of 25 candidate immune cell types and revealing quantitative differences between them. The dataset contains 25 classes of immune cells, 41,650 cells in total, and each cell is expressed by 22,164 genes at the expression level. They were fed into a machine learning-based stream. The five feature ranking algorithms (last absolute shrinkage and selection operator, light gradient boosting machine, Monte Carlo feature selection, minimum redundancy maximum relevance, and random forest) were first used to analyze the importance of gene features, yielding five feature lists. Then, incremental feature selection and two classification algorithms (decision tree and random forest) were combined to filter the most important genetic markers from each list. For different immune cell subtypes, their marker genes, such as KLRB1 in CD4 T cells, RPL30 in B cell IGA plasma cells, and JCHAIN in IgG producing B cells, were identified. They were confirmed to be differentially expressed in different immune cells and involved in immune processes. In addition, quantitative rules were summarized by using the decision tree algorithm to distinguish candidate immune cell types. These results provide a reference for exploring the cell composition of the colon cancer microenvironment and for clinical immunotherapy.

Exome sequencing to explore the possibility of predicting genetic susceptibility to the joint occurrence of polycystic ovary syndrome and Hashimoto's thyroiditis.

A large body of evidence indicates that women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) have a higher risk of developing Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) than healthy individuals. Given the strong genetic impact on both diseases, common predisposing genetic factors are possibly involved but are not fully understood. Here, we performed whole-exome sequencing (WES) for 250 women with sporadic PCOS, HT, combined PCOS and HT (PCOS+HT), and healthy controls to explore the genetic background of the joint occurrence of PCOS and HT. Based on relevant comparative analyses, multivariate logistic regression prediction modeling, and the most informative feature selection using the Monte Carlo feature selection and interdependency discovery algorithm, 77 variants were selected for further validation by TaqMan genotyping in a group of 533 patients. In the allele frequency test, variants in RAB6A, GBP3, and FNDC7 genes were found to significantly (padjusted < 0.05) differentiated the PCOS+HT and PCOS groups, variant in HIF3A differentiated the PCOS+HT and HT groups, whereas variants in CDK20 and CCDC71 differentiated the PCOS+HT and both single disorder groups. TaqMan genotyping data were used to create final prediction models, which differentiated between PCOS+HT and PCOS or HT with a prediction accuracy of AUC = 0.78. Using a 70% cutoff of the prediction score improved the model parameters, increasing the AUC value to 0.87. In summary, we demonstrated the polygenic burden of both PCOS and HT, and many common and intersecting signaling pathways and biological processes whose disorders mutually predispose patients to the development of both diseases.

Identification of Gene Markers Associated with COVID-19 Severity and Recovery in Different Immune Cell Subtypes.

As COVID-19 develops, dynamic changes occur in the patient's immune system. Changes in molecular levels in different immune cells can reflect the course of COVID-19. This study aims to uncover the molecular characteristics of different immune cell subpopulations at different stages of COVID-19. We designed a machine learning workflow to analyze scRNA-seq data of three immune cell types (B, T, and myeloid cells) in four levels of COVID-19 severity/outcome. The datasets for three cell types included 403,700 B-cell, 634,595 T-cell, and 346,547 myeloid cell samples. Each cell subtype was divided into four groups, control, convalescence, progression mild/moderate, and progression severe/critical, and each immune cell contained 27,943 gene features. A feature analysis procedure was applied to the data of each cell type. Irrelevant features were first excluded according to their relevance to the target variable measured by mutual information. Then, four ranking algorithms (last absolute shrinkage and selection operator, light gradient boosting machine, Monte Carlo feature selection, and max-relevance and min-redundancy) were adopted to analyze the remaining features, resulting in four feature lists. These lists were fed into the incremental feature selection, incorporating three classification algorithms (decision tree, k-nearest neighbor, and random forest) to extract key gene features and construct classifiers with superior performance. The results confirmed that genes such as PFN1, RPS26, and FTH1 played important roles in SARS-CoV-2 infection. These findings provide a useful reference for the understanding of the ongoing effect of COVID-19 development on the immune system.

Machine Learning Classification of Time since BNT162b2 COVID-19 Vaccination Based on Array-Measured Antibody Activity.

Vaccines trigger an immunological response that includes B and T cells, with B cells producing antibodies. SARS-CoV-2 immunity weakens over time after vaccination. Discovering key changes in antigen-reactive antibodies over time after vaccination could help improve vaccine efficiency. In this study, we collected data on blood antibody levels in a cohort of healthcare workers vaccinated for COVID-19 and obtained 73 antigens in samples from four groups according to the duration after vaccination, including 104 unvaccinated healthcare workers, 534 healthcare workers within 60 days after vaccination, 594 healthcare workers between 60 and 180 days after vaccination, and 141 healthcare workers over 180 days after vaccination. Our work was a reanalysis of the data originally collected at Irvine University. This data was obtained in Orange County, California, USA, with the collection process commencing in December 2020. British variant (B.1.1.7), South African variant (B.1.351), and Brazilian/Japanese variant (P.1) were the most prevalent strains during the sampling period. An efficient machine learning based framework containing four feature selection methods (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, light gradient boosting machine, Monte Carlo feature selection, and maximum relevance minimum redundancy) and four classification algorithms (decision tree, k-nearest neighbor, random forest, and support vector machine) was designed to select essential antibodies against specific antigens. Several efficient classifiers with a weighted F1 value around 0.75 were constructed. The antigen microarray used for identifying antibody levels in the coronavirus features ten distinct SARS-CoV-2 antigens, comprising various segments of both nucleocapsid protein (NP) and spike protein (S). This study revealed that S1 + S2, S1.mFcTag, S1.HisTag, S1, S2, Spike.RBD.His.Bac, Spike.RBD.rFc, and S1.RBD.mFc were most highly ranked among all features, where S1 and S2 are the subunits of Spike, and the suffixes represent the tagging information of different recombinant proteins. Meanwhile, the classification rules were obtained from the optimal decision tree to explain quantitatively the roles of antigens in the classification. This study identified antibodies associated with decreased clinical immunity based on populations with different time spans after vaccination. These antibodies have important implications for maintaining long-term immunity to SARS-CoV-2.

Proposing a new framework for analyzing the severity of meteorological drought

The quantitative description of meteorological drought from various geographical locations and indicators is crucial for early drought warning to avoid its negative impacts. Therefore, the current study proposes a new framework to comprehensively accumulate spatial and temporal information for meteorological drought from various stations and drought indicators (indices). The proposed framework is based on two major components such as the Monthly-based Monte Carlo Feature Selection (MMCFS,) and Monthly-based Joint Index Weights (MJIW). Besides, three commonly used SDI are jointly assessed to quantify drought for selected geographical locations. Moreover, the current study uses the monthly data from six meteorological stations in the northern region for 47 years (1971-2017) for calculating SDI values. The outcomes of the current research explicitly accumulate regional spatiotemporal information for meteorological drought. In addition, results may serve as an early warning to the effective management of water resources to avoid negative drought impacts in Pakistan.

Immune responses of different COVID-19 vaccination strategies by analyzing single-cell RNA sequencing data from multiple tissues using machine learning methods.

Multiple types of COVID-19 vaccines have been shown to be highly effective in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection and in reducing post-infection symptoms. Almost all of these vaccines induce systemic immune responses, but differences in immune responses induced by different vaccination regimens are evident. This study aimed to reveal the differences in immune gene expression levels of different target cells under different vaccine strategies after SARS-CoV-2 infection in hamsters. A machine learning based process was designed to analyze single-cell transcriptomic data of different cell types from the blood, lung, and nasal mucosa of hamsters infected with SARS-CoV-2, including B and T cells from the blood and nasal cavity, macrophages from the lung and nasal cavity, alveolar epithelial and lung endothelial cells. The cohort was divided into five groups: non-vaccinated (control), 2*adenovirus (two doses of adenovirus vaccine), 2*attenuated (two doses of attenuated virus vaccine), 2*mRNA (two doses of mRNA vaccine), and mRNA/attenuated (primed by mRNA vaccine, boosted by attenuated vaccine). All genes were ranked using five signature ranking methods (LASSO, LightGBM, Monte Carlo feature selection, mRMR, and permutation feature importance). Some key genes that contributed to the analysis of immune changes, such as RPS23, DDX5, PFN1 in immune cells, and IRF9 and MX1 in tissue cells, were screened. Afterward, the five feature sorting lists were fed into the feature incremental selection framework, which contained two classification algorithms (decision tree [DT] and random forest [RF]), to construct optimal classifiers and generate quantitative rules. Results showed that random forest classifiers could provide relative higher performance than decision tree classifiers, whereas the DT classifiers provided quantitative rules that indicated special gene expression levels under different vaccine strategies. These findings may help us to develop better protective vaccination programs and new vaccines.

Identification of Genes Associated with the Impairment of Olfactory and Gustatory Functions in COVID-19 via Machine-Learning Methods.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), as a severe respiratory disease, affects many parts of the body, and approximately 20-85% of patients exhibit functional impairment of the senses of smell and taste, some of whom even experience the permanent loss of these senses. These symptoms are not life-threatening but severely affect patients' quality of life and increase the risk of depression and anxiety. The pathological mechanisms of these symptoms have not been fully identified. In the current study, we aimed to identify the important biomarkers at the expression level associated with the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection-mediated loss of taste or olfactory ability, and we have suggested the potential pathogenetic mechanisms of COVID-19 complications. We designed a machine-learning-based approach to analyze the transcriptome of 577 COVID-19 patient samples, including 84 COVID-19 samples with a decreased ability to taste or smell and 493 COVID-19 samples without impairment. Each sample was represented by 58,929 gene expression levels. The features were analyzed and sorted by three feature selection methods (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, light gradient boosting machine, and Monte Carlo feature selection). The optimal feature sets were obtained through incremental feature selection using two classification algorithms: decision tree (DT) and random forest (RF). The top genes identified by these multiple methods (H3-5, NUDT5, and AOC1) are involved in olfactory and gustatory impairments. Meanwhile, a high-performance RF classifier was developed in this study, and three sets of quantitative rules that describe the impairment of olfactory and gustatory functions were obtained based on the optimal DT classifiers. In summary, this study provides a new computation analysis and suggests the latent biomarkers (genes and rules) for predicting olfactory and gustatory impairment caused by COVID-19 complications.

Identification of genes related to immune enhancement caused by heterologous ChAdOx1-BNT162b2 vaccines in lymphocytes at single-cell resolution with machine learning methods.

The widely used ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (ChAd) vector and BNT162b2 (BNT) mRNA vaccines have been shown to induce robust immune responses. Recent studies demonstrated that the immune responses of people who received one dose of ChAdOx1 and one dose of BNT were better than those of people who received vaccines with two homologous ChAdOx1 or two BNT doses. However, how heterologous vaccines function has not been extensively investigated. In this study, single-cell RNA sequencing data from three classes of samples: volunteers vaccinated with heterologous ChAdOx1-BNT and volunteers vaccinated with homologous ChAd-ChAd and BNT-BNT vaccinations after 7 days were divided into three types of immune cells (3654 B, 8212 CD4+ T, and 5608 CD8+ T cells). To identify differences in gene expression in various cell types induced by vaccines administered through different vaccination strategies, multiple advanced feature selection methods (max-relevance and min-redundancy, Monte Carlo feature selection, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, light gradient boosting machine, and permutation feature importance) and classification algorithms (decision tree and random forest) were integrated into a computational framework. Feature selection methods were in charge of analyzing the importance of gene features, yielding multiple gene lists. These lists were fed into incremental feature selection, incorporating decision tree and random forest, to extract essential genes, classification rules and build efficient classifiers. Highly ranked genes include PLCG2, whose differential expression is important to the B cell immune pathway and is positively correlated with immune cells, such as CD8+ T cells, and B2M, which is associated with thymic T cell differentiation. This study gave an important contribution to the mechanistic explanation of results showing the stronger immune response of a heterologous ChAdOx1-BNT vaccination schedule than two doses of either BNT or ChAdOx1, offering a theoretical foundation for vaccine modification.

Characterization of chromatin accessibility patterns in different mouse cell types using machine learning methods at single-cell resolution.

Chromatin accessibility is a generic property of the eukaryotic genome, which refers to the degree of physical compaction of chromatin. Recent studies have shown that chromatin accessibility is cell type dependent, indicating chromatin heterogeneity across cell lines and tissues. The identification of markers used to distinguish cell types at the chromosome level is important to understand cell function and classify cell types. In the present study, we investigated transcriptionally active chromosome segments identified by sci-ATAC-seq at single-cell resolution, including 69,015 cells belonging to 77 different cell types. Each cell was represented by existence status on 20,783 genes that were obtained from 436,206 active chromosome segments. The gene features were deeply analyzed by Boruta, resulting in 3897 genes, which were ranked in a list by Monte Carlo feature selection. Such list was further analyzed by incremental feature selection (IFS) method, yielding essential genes, classification rules and an efficient random forest (RF) classifier. To improve the performance of the optimal RF classifier, its features were further processed by autoencoder, light gradient boosting machine and IFS method. The final RF classifier with MCC of 0.838 was constructed. Some marker genes such as H2-Dmb2, which are specifically expressed in antigen-presenting cells (e.g., dendritic cells or macrophages), and Tenm2, which are specifically expressed in T cells, were identified in this study. Our analysis revealed numerous potential epigenetic modification patterns that are unique to particular cell types, thereby advancing knowledge of the critical functions of chromatin accessibility in cell processes.

Identification of COVID-19 severity biomarkers based on feature selection on single-cell RNA-Seq data of CD8+ T cells.

The global outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic has become a major public health problem. COVID-19 virus infection triggers a complex immune response. CD8+ T cells, in particular, play an essential role in controlling the severity of the disease. However, the mechanism of the regulatory role of CD8+ T cells on COVID-19 remains poorly investigated. In this study, single-cell gene expression profiles from three CD8+ T cell subtypes (effector, memory, and naive T cells) were downloaded. Each cell subtype included three disease states, namely, acute COVID-19, convalescent COVID-19, and unexposed individuals. The profiles on each cell subtype were individually analyzed in the same way. Irrelevant features in the profiles were first excluded by the Boruta method. The remaining features for each CD8+ T cells subtype were further analyzed by Max-Relevance and Min-Redundancy, Monte Carlo feature selection, and light gradient boosting machine methods to obtain three feature lists. These lists were then brought into the incremental feature selection method to determine the optimal features for each cell subtype. Their corresponding genes may be latent biomarkers to determine COVID-19 severity. Genes, such as ZFP36, DUSP1, TCR, and IL7R, can be confirmed to play an immune regulatory role in COVID-19 infection and recovery. The results of functional enrichment analysis revealed that these important genes may be associated with immune functions, such as response to cAMP, response to virus, T cell receptor complex, T cell activation, and T cell differentiation. This study further set up different gene expression pattens, represented by classification rules, on three states of COVID-19 and constructed several efficient classifiers to distinguish COVID-19 severity. The findings of this study provided new insights into the biological processes of CD8+ T cells in regulating the immune response.

Functional and embedding feature analysis for pan-cancer classification.

With the increasing number of people suffering from cancer, this illness has become a major health problem worldwide. Exploring the biological functions and signaling pathways of carcinogenesis is essential for cancer detection and research. In this study, a mutation dataset for eleven cancer types was first obtained from a web-based resource called cBioPortal for Cancer Genomics, followed by extracting 21,049 features from three aspects: relationship to GO and KEGG (enrichment features), mutated genes learned by word2vec (text features), and protein-protein interaction network analyzed by node2vec (network features). Irrelevant features were then excluded using the Boruta feature filtering method, and the retained relevant features were ranked by four feature selection methods (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, minimum redundancy maximum relevance, Monte Carlo feature selection and light gradient boosting machine) to generate four feature-ranked lists. Incremental feature selection was used to determine the optimal number of features based on these feature lists to build the optimal classifiers and derive interpretable classification rules. The results of four feature-ranking methods were integrated to identify key functional pathways, such as olfactory transduction (hsa04740) and colorectal cancer (hsa05210), and the roles of these functional pathways in cancers were discussed in reference to literature. Overall, this machine learning-based study revealed the altered biological functions of cancers and provided a reference for the mechanisms of different cancers.

Identification of methylation signatures and rules for predicting the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection with machine learning methods.

Patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 at various severities have different clinical manifestations and treatments. Mild or moderate patients usually recover with conventional medical treatment, but severe patients require prompt professional treatment. Thus, stratifying infected patients for targeted treatment is meaningful. A computational workflow was designed in this study to identify key blood methylation features and rules that can distinguish the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection. First, the methylation features in the expression profile were deeply analyzed by a Monte Carlo feature selection method. A feature list was generated. Next, this ranked feature list was fed into the incremental feature selection method to determine the optimal features for different classification algorithms, thereby further building optimal classifiers. These selected key features were analyzed by functional enrichment to detect their biofunctional information. Furthermore, a set of rules were set up by a white-box algorithm, decision tree, to uncover different methylation patterns on various severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Some genes (PARP9, MX1, IRF7), corresponding to essential methylation sites, and rules were validated by published academic literature. Overall, this study contributes to revealing potential expression features and provides a reference for patient stratification. The physicians can prioritize and allocate health and medical resources for COVID-19 patients based on their predicted severe clinical outcomes.

Subcellular Localization Prediction of Human Proteins Using Multifeature Selection Methods.

Subcellular localization attempts to assign proteins to one of the cell compartments that performs specific biological functions. Finding the link between proteins, biological functions, and subcellular localization is an effective way to investigate the general organization of living cells in a systematic manner. However, determining the subcellular localization of proteins by traditional experimental approaches is difficult. Here, protein–protein interaction networks, functional enrichment on gene ontology and pathway, and a set of proteins having confirmed subcellular localization were applied to build prediction models for human protein subcellular localizations. To build an effective predictive model, we employed a variety of robust machine learning algorithms, including Boruta feature selection, minimum redundancy maximum relevance, Monte Carlo feature selection, and LightGBM. Then, the incremental feature selection method with random forest and support vector machine was used to discover the essential features. Furthermore, 38 key features were determined by integrating results of different feature selection methods, which may provide critical insights into the subcellular location of proteins. Their biological functions of subcellular localizations were discussed according to recent publications. In summary, our computational framework can help advance the understanding of subcellular localization prediction techniques and provide a new perspective to investigate the patterns of protein subcellular localization and their biological importance.

Identification of methylation signatures associated with CAR T cell in B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia and non-hodgkin's lymphoma.

CD19-targeted CAR T cell immunotherapy has exceptional efficacy for the treatment of B-cell malignancies. B-cell acute lymphocytic leukemia and non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma are two common B-cell malignancies with high recurrence rate and are refractory to cure. Although CAR T-cell immunotherapy overcomes the limitations of conventional treatments for such malignancies, failure of treatment and tumor recurrence remain common. In this study, we searched for important methylation signatures to differentiate CAR-transduced and untransduced T cells from patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia and non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma. First, we used three feature ranking methods, namely, Monte Carlo feature selection, light gradient boosting machine, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, to rank all methylation features in order of their importance. Then, the incremental feature selection method was adopted to construct efficient classifiers and filter the optimal feature subsets. Some important methylated genes, namely, SERPINB6, ANK1, PDCD5, DAPK2, and DNAJB6, were identified. Furthermore, the classification rules for distinguishing different classes were established, which can precisely describe the role of methylation features in the classification. Overall, we applied advanced machine learning approaches to the high-throughput data, investigating the mechanism of CAR T cells to establish the theoretical foundation for modifying CAR T cells.

Identification of Type 2 Diabetes Biomarkers From Mixed Single-Cell Sequencing Data With Feature Selection Methods.

Diabetes is the most common disease and a major threat to human health. Type 2 diabetes (T2D) makes up about 90% of all cases. With the development of high-throughput sequencing technologies, more and more fundamental pathogenesis of T2D at genetic and transcriptomic levels has been revealed. The recent single-cell sequencing can further reveal the cellular heterogenicity of complex diseases in an unprecedented way. With the expectation on the molecular essence of T2D across multiple cell types, we investigated the expression profiling of more than 1,600 single cells (949 cells from T2D patients and 651 cells from normal controls) and identified the differential expression profiling and characteristics at the transcriptomics level that can distinguish such two groups of cells at the single-cell level. The expression profile was analyzed by several machine learning algorithms, including Monte Carlo feature selection, support vector machine, and repeated incremental pruning to produce error reduction (RIPPER). On one hand, some T2D-associated genes (MTND4P24, MTND2P28, and LOC100128906) were discovered. On the other hand, we revealed novel potential pathogenic mechanisms in a rule manner. They are induced by newly recognized genes and neglected by traditional bulk sequencing techniques. Particularly, the newly identified T2D genes were shown to follow specific quantitative rules with diabetes prediction potentials, and such rules further indicated several potential functional crosstalks involved in T2D.

Characterization of Meteorological Drought Using Monte Carlo Feature Selection and Steady-State Probabilities

Drought is a creeping phenomenon that slowly holds an area over time and can be continued for many years. The impacts of drought occurrences can affect communities and environments worldwide in several ways. Thus, assessment and monitoring of drought occurrences in a region are crucial for reducing its vulnerability to the negative impacts of drought. Therefore, comprehensive drought assessment techniques and methods are required to develop adaptive strategies that a region can undertake to reduce its vulnerability to drought substantially. For this purpose, this study proposes a new method known as a regional comprehensive assessment of meteorological drought (RCAMD). The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and Standardized Precipitation and Temperature Index (SPTI) are jointly used for the development of the RCAMD. Further, the RCAMD employs Monte Carlo feature selection (MCFS) and steady-state probabilities (SSPs) to comprehensively collect information from various stations and drought indices. Moreover, the RCAMD is validated on the six selected stations in the northern areas of Pakistan. The outcomes associated with the RCAMD provide a comprehensive regional assessment of meteorological drought and become the initial source for bringing more considerations to drought monitoring and early warning systems.

Identifying COVID-19 Severity-Related SARS-CoV-2 Mutation Using a Machine Learning Method.

SARS-CoV-2 shows great evolutionary capacity through a high frequency of genomic variation during transmission. Evolved SARS-CoV-2 often demonstrates resistance to previous vaccines and can cause poor clinical status in patients. Mutations in the SARS-CoV-2 genome involve mutations in structural and nonstructural proteins, and some of these proteins such as spike proteins have been shown to be directly associated with the clinical status of patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia. In this study, we collected genome-wide mutation information of virulent strains and the severity of COVID-19 pneumonia in patients varying depending on their clinical status. Important protein mutations and untranslated region mutations were extracted using machine learning methods. First, through Boruta and four ranking algorithms (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, light gradient boosting machine, max-relevance and min-redundancy, and Monte Carlo feature selection), mutations that were highly correlated with the clinical status of the patients were screened out and sorted in four feature lists. Some mutations such as D614G and V1176F were shown to be associated with viral infectivity. Moreover, previously unreported mutations such as A320V of nsp14 and I164ILV of nsp14 were also identified, which suggests their potential roles. We then applied the incremental feature selection method to each feature list to construct efficient classifiers, which can be directly used to distinguish the clinical status of COVID-19 patients. Meanwhile, four sets of quantitative rules were set up, which can help us to more intuitively understand the role of each mutation in differentiating the clinical status of COVID-19 patients. Identified key mutations linked to virologic properties will help better understand the mechanisms of infection and will aid in the development of antiviral treatments.