Establishing an in vitro – in vivo correlation (IVIVC) for oral modified release (MR) formulations would make it possible to substitute an in vitro dissolution test for human bioequivalence (BE) studies when changing the formulation or manufacturing methods. However, the number of IVIVC applications and approvals are reportedly low. One of the main reasons for failure to obtain IVIVCs using conventional methodologies may be the lack of consideration of the dissolution and absorption mechanisms of drugs in the physiological environment. In particular, it is difficult to obtain IVIVC using conventional methodologies for drugs with non-linear absorption processes. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to develop a physiologically based biopharmaceutics model (PBBM) that enables Level A IVIVCs for mirabegron MR formulations with non-linear absorption characteristics.Using human pharmacokinetic (PK) data for immediate-release formulations of mirabegron, the luminal drug concentration-dependent membrane permeation coefficient was calculated through curve fitting. The membrane permeation coefficient data were then applied to the human PK data of the MR formulations to estimate the in vivo dissolution rate by curve fitting. It was assumed that in vivo dissolution could be described using a zero-order rate equation. Furthermore, a Levy plot was generated using the estimated in vivo dissolution rate and the in vitro dissolution rate obtained from the literature. Finally, the dissolution rate of the MR formulations from the Levy plot was applied to the PBBM to predict the oral PK of the mirabegron MR formulations.This PB-IVIVC approach successfully generated linear Levy plots with slopes of almost 1.0 for MR formulations with different dose strengths and dissolution rates. The Cmax values of the MR formulations were accurately predicted using this approach, whereas the prediction errors for AUC exceeded the Level A IVIVC criteria. This can be attributed to the incomplete description of colonic absorption in the current PBBM.
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