Management Model Research Articles

A dynamic management model for sustainable drug supply chain in hospital pharmacies in Iran.

Sustainable supply chain management encompasses the strategic coordination and control of material, information, and financial flows, as well as the collaborative efforts among the entities engaged in the medicinal supply chain. This research proposes a dynamic and sustainable supply chain management model tailored explicitly for the inpatient pharmacies of Medical Centers and Hospitals affiliated with Iran University of Medical Sciences. This is a quantitative study in terms of research objective and a qualitative study based on the stages in the conceptual development of the model. Therefore, the current study can be considered a mixed-methods approach. After identifying the key factors influencing the sustainability of the medicine supply chain, we conducted a dynamic analysis of the problem using system dynamics methodology. In order to simulate the system's behavior over 24 months, we utilized a combination of existing documentary information and expert opinions. The developed model was implemented using Vensim PLE software, allowing us to simulate and analyze the impact of various policies on the system. Medicine disposal exhibited an upward trend, particularly during the second 12-month period. Conversely, the trend of medicine expirations remained relatively stable in the initial months but showed an upward trajectory after that. The cost associated with disposed medicine experienced a consistent increase, with a higher rate observed during the second 12-month period. In contrast, sales of low-consumable medicine experienced a significant initial surge followed by a slower growth rate. Finally, the pharmacy's profit demonstrated an overall increasing trend, although the rate of increase was higher during the first 12 months. Among the various scenarios considered, namely "increasing the adequacy of human resources," "increasing the speed of response," and "utilizing pharmacists in the drug prescribing team," it was found that these interventions had a substantial effect on both enhancing the pharmacy's profit and reducing medication waste. Therefore, these scenarios were identified as having the most significant impact. The proposed model can serve as a valuable tool for forecasting and informing policy-making, providing insights into addressing the challenges associated with the sustainable drug supply chain in hospital pharmacies.

Construction 4.0 implementation for performance improvement: an innovation management perspective

Purpose The emergence of Construction 4.0 technologies provides an impetus for radical change and rejuvenates the interest of stakeholders in addressing long-standing performance issues in the construction sector. However, construction firms struggle to implement Construction 4.0 technologies for performance measurement and improvement. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to develop a conceptual model of innovation management for implementing Construction 4.0 that guides and facilitates the strategic transformation of construction firms. Design/methodology/approach A conceptual model of innovation management is presented, and the findings are synthesised based on a literature review, 20 semi-structured interviews, two focus group discussions, three workshops, expert consultation and observations on three digitally-enabled projects. Data were inductively analysed using thematic analysis. Findings The analysis of empirical data revealed: (i) Four scenarios that could lead the industry to different futures, based on the extent of research and development, and the extent of integration/collaboration; (ii) Construction 4.0 capability stages for a sustained implementation route; (iii) Possible business model configurations derived from servitisation strategies; and (iv) Skills management challenges for organisations. Research limitations/implications First, the empirical data was only collected in the UK with its unique industry context, which may limit the applicability of the results. Second, most of the research data comes from the private sector, without the views of public sector organisations. Third, the model needs to be further validated with specific data-driven use cases to address productivity and sustainability issues. Practical implications Successful Construction 4.0 transformation requires a concerted effort of stakeholders, including those in the supply chain, technology companies, innovation networks and government. Although a stakeholder’s action would depend on others’ actions, each stakeholder should undertake action that can influence the factors within their control (such as the extent of collaboration and investment) and the outcomes. Originality/value The conceptual model brings together and establishes the relationships between the scenarios, Construction 4.0 capability stages, business models and skills management. It provides the first step that guides the fuzzy front-end of Construction 4.0 implementation, underpins the transformation to the desired future and builds long-term innovation capabilities.

Use of an Ecological Compensation Model in Water Resource Development: A Case Study from Shaanxi Province, China

This study aims to analyze the current situation of water resource management in Shaanxi Province, study the basic principles of ecological compensation, evaluate the impact of water conservation projects on the ecological environment by establishing a model, and propose a sustainable water resource management model. Hanzhong City has certain typicality and representativeness within Shaanxi Province, and the problems it faces in water resource management and ecological environment may represent the entire province or similar regions. At the same time, Hanzhong City has rich data and research foundations. Therefore, by conducting a detailed analysis of the current water resource status in the Hanzhong City area of Shaanxi Province, the problems in current water resource management are revealed, and the basic principles of ecological compensation are intensely studied. The original ecological compensation plan in Shaanxi Province has been summarized. Guided by the concept of sustainable development, an ecological compensation model is established using algorithms, and the model is applied to sustainable water resource management. Establish a model for water conservation and water resource management through data collection, preprocessing, and cleaning, and apply it to practical cases in Hanzhong City. Through simulation and analysis of Hanzhong City, the new water resource management model effectively mitigates the adverse effects of water conservation projects on the ecological environment while improving water resource utilization efficiency. The changes in various environmental parameters indicate that the new plan has improved the ecological environment. Through the application of the model, the ecological compensation plan formulated has achieved sustainable protection of the ecological environment while promoting economic development. This study proposes a sustainable water resource management model through a comprehensive study of water resource management and ecological compensation in Shaanxi Province and verifies it in practical cases, demonstrating that the model has not only good applicability but also has significant effects in promoting economic growth and ecological environment protection.

A Digital Twin of a University Campus from an Urban Sustainability Approach: Case Study in Madrid (Spain)

The development of geographic information systems has grown significantly over the past decade. Simultaneously, the concept of smart cities based on the management of large volumes of data has also spread worldwide. The digital twin concept has recently been incorporated into the technological domain of urban management. However, currently, phases such as technological integration, standardization, data and process interconnection, the development of tools and utilities, professional training, and the application of digital urban development in real-world situations are converging. This paper presents the experience developed on a university campus, detailing each of the phases carried out from the initial design to a fully operational pilot phase model. The article highlights the importance of certain aspects to consider in each phase, demonstrating that there are barriers and limitations and at the same time, great strengths and opportunities in applying the digital twin model in urban management, considering aspects such as mobility, accessibility, energy management, and involving students and university administrators in the process.

CO-TSM: A Flexible Model for Secure Embedded Device Ownership and Management

The Consumer-Oriented Trusted Service Manager (CO-TSM) model has been recognised as a significant advancement in managing applications on Near Field Communication (NFC)-enabled mobile devices and multi-application smart cards. Traditional Trusted Service Manager (TSM) models, while useful, often result in market fragmentation and limit widespread adoption due to their centralised control mechanisms. The CO-TSM model addresses these issues by decentralising management and offering greater flexibility and scalability, making it more adaptable to the evolving needs of embedded systems, particularly in the context of the Internet of Things (IoT) and Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) technologies. This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the CO-TSM model, highlighting its application in various technological domains such as smart cards, HCE-based NFC mobile phones, TEE-enabled smart home IoT devices, and RFID-based smart supply chains. By evaluating the CO-TSM model’s architecture, implementation challenges, and practical deployment scenarios, this paper demonstrates how CO-TSM can overcome the limitations of traditional TSM approaches. The case studies presented offer practical insights into the model’s adaptability and effectiveness in real-world scenarios. Through this examination, the paper aims to underscore the CO-TSM model’s role in enhancing scalability, flexibility, and user autonomy in secure embedded device management, while also identifying areas for future research and development.

Global Gain, but Local Loss—National Park and Municipal Revenues in Poland

The paper analyzes the problem of stagnation in the creation of new national parks in Poland, identifying key barriers and proposing solutions. The background to the study refers to the role of national parks in nature conservation, but at the same time highlights the problem of the limited development of the park network in Poland, which remains at 1.05% of the country’s area—well below the EU average. The main obstacles identified by the author are the resistance of local governments due to the reduction in forest tax revenues and the differences in salaries between employees of national parks and state forests. Research methods included legal and economic analysis and a review of the literature on national park management. The results indicate that the problem can be solved by adequate financial compensation to local communities and the introduction of a co-management model that integrates the interests of local governments and parks. The article suggests that a change in the approach of the government administration and a more participatory management model can help to break the stagnation and increase the number of national parks, which is relevant not only for Poland but also for other countries struggling with similar challenges.

Optimizing IT Project Management in Ukraine's Aviation Sector: Challenges, Opportunities, and Strategic Insights

The Ukrainian aviation industry is undergoing digital transformation; however, the pace remains behind global and European standards due to several challenges. These include limited funding, a lack of skilled IT professionals, and a slow rate of modern technology adoption. The research, titled "Optimizing IT Project Management in Ukraine’s Aviation Sector: Challenges, Opportunities, and Strategic Insights," addresses the urgent need for improvements in IT project management to enhance efficiency, competitiveness, and technological advancement within the aviation sector in Ukraine. This article analyzes the sector's current challenges, including insufficient government and private sector investment, internet infrastructure issues, and a shortage of IT specialists. It also identifies opportunities in areas like automation, digitization, and the potential for public-private collaborations. The study's primary objective is to develop and evaluate an optimal IT project management framework tailored to Ukraine’s aviation industry. This framework aims to optimize resource usage, integrate modern technologies like AI, automation, and cybersecurity, and improve global competitiveness. Furthermore, the research offers a SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats) analysis of Ukraine’s aviation IT landscape, benchmarking it against European standards. A substantial gap exists between Ukraine and Europe regarding IT investment and automation, with European countries leading in adopting AI-driven systems, enhanced cybersecurity, and automated business and customer service processes. To bridge this divide, the study proposes an optimized IT project management model focused on strategic priorities such as investment in skill development, strengthening public-private partnerships, enhancing cybersecurity, implementing agile work methods, and supporting innovation through government initiatives. In conclusion, the study underscores that enhancing IT project management in Ukraine’s aviation industry is crucial for maintaining global competitiveness and improving operational efficiency. The proposed model offers actionable insights to address current challenges while capitalizing on new opportunities, thereby ensuring resilience in the face of ongoing global digitization and technological advancements.

Water Management as a Social Field: A Method for Engineering Solutions

This paper proposes the use of Pierre Bourdieu’s sociological concepts of social fields, capital, and habitus to analyze water management in Colombia. By mapping the social dynamics of water management, this study examines the interactions and power relationships among agents, including government agencies, private companies, academic institutions, non-profits, and local communities. The analysis reveals how various forms of capital, such as economic, cultural, social, and symbolic, influence water management practices, policies, and the distribution of power. Integrating agent-based modeling with hydrological simulations provides a more nuanced understanding of how social dynamics influence water management. This interdisciplinary approach helps develop more adaptive and equitable strategies by capturing the complex interactions between human behavior and environmental factors. This study highlights the need to localize the analysis of the social field to capture regional customs and specific social dynamics. This localized approach ensures that water management strategies are more relevant, context sensitive, and sustainable. This paper advocates for the wider adoption of agent-based modeling in water management, proposing a methodology that combines the engineering principles of practical problem solving and adaptive design with an understanding of the social complexities in water management.

Impacts of land use/cover change on urban rainfall-flooding processes based on numerical simulations

The evolution of surface conditions caused by urbanization has a great impact on urban flooding, whose increasing frequency of occurrence has severely affected urban safety. Most previous studies have focused on land use/cover change (LUCC) but haven’t specifically explored the effects of LUCC on the spatial distribution of flood points and the ponded depth. We combined the storm water management model (SWMM) with multi-year remote sensing data to simulate the flood points and ponded depth in different rainstorm types. Results showed that the ratios of flood points with ponded depths > 0.7 m increased from 2.58% to 17.12%, with the evolution of the urban surface conditions in 1988-2021. And the flood points with ponded depths > 0.7 m were mainly located in the southern and northwestern parts of Bantian Street. These results can provide better-informed decision making for storm water management and early warning of flooding disasters in Shenzhen.

Critical Vulnerability in Leadership as a Key Factor in Successful Change Management Communication

This research explores the relationship between the discovered phenomenon of critical vulnerability in leadership during organizational change and its successful outcome. The phenomenon under study is fundamentally distinguished from vulnerable leadership, which is covered in literature as a deliberate tactic leaders use to improve interpersonal relationships and performance. This study concentrates on challenging and uncontrollable leader vulnerability manifested as a decline in the authority and influence of the leader among stakeholders. The main reason for the observed critical leader vulnerability is hypothesized to be the gap in leadership mindset levels between the leader and stakeholders at the onset of the organizational change. It is also hypothesized that the change communication of an authentic leader, predetermined by a high level of leadership mindset, triggers the leader's vulnerability and, at the same time, paradoxically contributes to the evolution of stakeholders' leadership mindset. This, in turn, is a prerequisite for achieving remarkable prosocial results. Relying on the described assumptions, we executed preliminary research, aiming to identify the change communication patterns of leaders in the state of vulnerability (hereinafter referred to as "vulnerable change communication") and to explore how they catalyze the stakeholder mindset evolution. The final sample group involved 9 top managers who faced vulnerability while leading the change process and made significant contributions to the development of their organizations. The research methodology relied on qualitative methods—in-depth interviews on which narrative and thematic analysis was based. Leaders were asked questions to discover goals of change, the presence of periods of vulnerability, the causes and consequences of its occurrence, their communication patterns, and results achieved. The obtained data were analyzed by applying recognized frameworks such as the Michigan Model of Leadership with its Competing Values Framework (CVF), the Approach of Management of Organizational Change Paradoxes, Programmed and Adaptive Approaches to Change, and Stakeholder Communication Model of Change. The present study has taken the first steps towards confirming the existence of an unambiguous connection between certain patterns of leadership change communication, embracing vulnerability by leaders, and remarkable prosocial outcomes. We found that change communication strategy based on embracing personal vulnerability and a high level of leadership mindset characterized by a value-based position, commitment to outstanding prosocial results, and synthetic decision-making ensures the leader the following: 1) Construction of Shared Leadership. The leader creates an organizational culture that transforms stakeholder resistance based on self and group interests into the evolution of a stakeholder leadership mindset and consolidation of the company. The formula for combining the best of both programmed and adaptive approaches to change includes preserving the integrity of the vision and managing meaning and outcome on the one hand, and supporting the strategy by the deployment of communication and bottom-up initiative on the other. 2) Managing Organizational Change Paradoxes. The leader addresses institutional contradictions and stakeholder divergent interests that naturally arise during the change process and creates the basis for subsequent institutionalization on a much stronger and healthier foundation. The paradoxical effect of a leader's personal vulnerability on organizational vulnerability is that the leader helps to reduce the organization's risks by taking them on themselves. Further exploration of the phenomenon of vulnerability will allow us to consider the inclusion of this component in the framework of change management models, to identify vulnerable leaders, specify the vulnerable communication model of change, and develop a list of recommendations for leaders to more consciously navigate the difficult stage of vulnerability as a systemic and inevitable attribute of achieving remarkable prosocial results.

ЕНЕРГЕТИЧНИЙ РИНОК УКРАЇНИ : СТВОРЕННЯ УМОВ ДЛЯ ЕФЕКТИВНОГО ЕНЕРГОЗАБЕЗПЕЧЕННЯ

The article analyzes the theoretical foundations of the formation of energy security on the energy market of Ukraine in the context of European integration processes, and states that energy security is a component of the state's national security. The main advantages of long-term contracts for all energy market participants are indicated. Features of the functioning of consumer companies in the competitive market are highlighted. The main risks for large consumers when working on the day-ahead market are presented. Factors of the expediency of functioning on the balancing segment are given. Current trends in the development of world energy and their impact on energy security are analyzed. The necessity of diversification of energy supply sources for Ukraine is substantiated. The influence of the European integration processes on the reform of the energy sector of Ukraine is studied. The current state of the energy market was analyzed, and the analysis of factors affecting development trends and ensuring protection in the energy market was carried out. The influence of the European integration processes on the reform of the energy sector of Ukraine is studied. The conjuncture of the energy market of Ukraine is determined, in which it is necessary to analyze not only the peculiarities of the domestic sphere, but also the influence of international relations, international trade and the world market. The PEST analysis of the energy industry of Ukraine is presented, which allowed to identify the level of influence and the neighborhood of the group of influencing factors on the formation of the strategic potential of the energy market of Ukraine. Directions for increasing the level of energy security through modernization of the energy infrastructure, development of renewable energy sources, and integration into the European energy space are proposed. It is noted that the creation of conditions for the effective use of internal resources and the development of appropriate technologies are of strategic importance. The country's government is working on integration into the European energy community, which requires compliance with European standards and the implementation of effective management models of the energy market of Ukraine. According to the results of the strategic potential of the energy industry of Ukraine, economic factors exert the greatest influence - 1.147, which just emphasizes the important role of the energy industry in the country's economy. In second place in terms of influence are political factors - 0.847. The analysis of the market just showed the rather important role of the political component in the functioning of the energy market of Ukraine, namely in the aspect of its joining the European energy market and the transformation of Ukraine into the European Union with the rights of an equal state. In third place are technological factors - 0.553, which confirm Ukraine's determination to decarbonize the energy market. And the fourth place is occupied by socio-cultural factors - 0.537, which are only marginally inferior to technological factors. This indicates a strong influence of consumer preferences when choosing interaction models in the market.

Strengthening the Supply Chain of the Auto Body Sector in Duitama, Boyacá: Analysis and Improvement Proposals

The supply chain of the auto body industry in Duitama, Boyacá, faces challenges that affect its efficiency, such as the lack of integration of new technologies and organizational management models, limiting its competitiveness in expanded markets. The purpose of this research is to analyze the key links in the supply chain: procurement, production, distribution and organizational performance, in order to identify opportunities for improvement that promote the strengthening and sustainability of the local auto body industry. Methodologically, a qualitative approach with descriptive scope is employed, using a documentary review and direct observation. The findings indicate that the main difficulty lies in the absence of integrated logistics and management strategies, which leads to the isolated operation of the links in the chain, reducing the efficiency and competitiveness of the companies. It is concluded that it is essential to develop proposals that promote the implementation of management guidelines that strengthen each link of the supply chain and are more integrative and effective, ensuring the continuity and business success of the bodywork sector in Duitama.

Applying Low-Impact Development Techniques for Improved Water Management in Urban Areas

Worldwide, the increase in impervious surfaces due to urbanization has led to significant water cycle issues such as groundwater depletion, urban heat islands, and flooding. To address these challenges, Low-Impact Development (LID) techniques are increasingly being applied in stormwater management. This study focuses on Ulsan, designated as a water cycle model city in South Korea, with a particular emphasis on the highly urbanized Okgyo drainage watershed. Using the Stormwater Management Model (SWMM) version 5.1, long-term runoff simulations were conducted to evaluate the effects of LID implementation on water cycle change rates and recovery rates. The model incorporates detailed hydrological and hydraulic parameters, including inflow, runoff, infiltration, and evapotranspiration for six subcatchments within the watershed. The SWMM was calibrated and validated using 30 years of historical rainfall data (1987–2016) from the Ulsan weather station. Calibration and validation processes used the NRCS-CN (Curve Number) method to ensure accuracy in simulating runoff patterns and water balance. The study specifically evaluated the effectiveness of two LID techniques: bioretention and permeable pavements. Three scenarios were modeled: bioretention applied to 5% of the area, permeable pavements applied to 5% of the area, and a combined application of both techniques. The results showed that the combined scenario provided the best outcome, with a 7.80% reduction in surface runoff and a 14.56% improvement in water cycle health. The LID application scenario confirmed the potential to achieve the water cycle management target of handling 25.5 mm of rainfall. These findings demonstrate that the introduction of LID techniques in public spaces can significantly enhance water management. This research provides insights into effective water cycle management methods tailored to specific urban land uses, laying a foundation for future urban planning and sustainable development.

Strategic Management Model in Achieving Presidential Regulation on Electronic-Based Government System in Medan City Government

This research aims to determine the quality of public services through the Electronic-Based Government System (SPBE), as well as to know and analyze the Implementation of Strategies for Achieving PERPRES No. 95 of 2018 concerning SPBE in the Medan City Government. This research is important to obtain a Strategic Management Model in Achieving PERPRES No.95 of 2018 concerning SPBE in the Medan City Government. The research paradigm used is Constructivist Paradigm, with Qualitative Research Method. Data were collected through in-depth interviews, discussions with several informants from the Medan City Office, DPRD, UPT Kecamatan, and community leaders. In addition, data was also collected through literature study, document study, and secondary data. The results showed the following: First, there is coordination between agencies in the development of application services. The coordination is conducted by the Diskominfo of Medan City Government. A number of Departments used external consultants in the development of SPBE. Diskominfo made new rules to address ICT service issues. The services use external programmers and experts and if an error occurs, the City Government is not responsible for the service. Secondly, Medan City Government conducted a Memorandum of Understanding with Tangerang City to collaborate and share resources through the innovation of E-Files application for correspondence needs. The use of shared correspondence applications by the Government in Tangerang City was adjusted based on the specific needs of each city. The platform used is the same, but with different application names, E-Files in Tangerang and Sarana in Medan. Third, there are 3 SPBE service providers in Medan City Government, including: Telkom (PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia) for Kelurahan/Kecamatan, GDS (Global Digital Solusi) for Diskominfo and other OPDs, and TNC (Telemedia Network Cakrawala) for Medan City Office. Fourth, Medan City Government uses a Strategic Management Model that combines the Environmental Model with the Collaboration Model in developing the Achievement of PERPRES No.95/2018 on SPBE in Medan City Government. The Environmental Model/Flow emphasizes vertical and horizontal coordination between work units in Medan City Government. The Collaboration Model develops a strategy of collaborative cooperation with other local governments or state-owned/private enterprises.

Sustainable business operations in technology startups: A model for leadership and administrative excellence

Sustainable business operations have become a critical factor for success in technology startups, where rapid growth and resource constraints pose unique challenges. This review proposes a comprehensive model for sustainable operations management in tech startups, emphasizing the synergy between leadership and administrative excellence. The proposed model aims to guide startups in balancing profitability, scalability, and environmental responsibility while fostering long-term growth. The explores the challenges of achieving sustainability in startups, including limited resources, pressures of rapid scaling, and the environmental impact of tech-driven innovations. It emphasizes the pivotal role of visionary leadership in setting long-term sustainable goals, fostering a culture of innovation, and effectively managing change. Leadership’s ability to align sustainability with operational goals is critical in navigating the dynamic and competitive nature of the tech industry. Additionally, the review highlights the importance of administrative innovations in optimizing resource management, implementing data-driven decision-making, and streamlining processes. By leveraging automation and technology, startups can create more efficient and environmentally friendly operational systems. The model integrates leadership vision with administrative processes, creating a holistic approach that encourages continuous improvement and innovation. The benefits of adopting sustainable operations, such as enhanced financial resilience, competitive advantage, and improved brand reputation, are also discussed. Moreover, sustainability offers tech startups a significant edge in attracting and retaining top talent while fostering customer loyalty. Ultimately, this model serves as a blueprint for technology startups to build scalable, efficient, and responsible operations, ensuring their success in the long term by aligning leadership and administrative strategies with sustainability objectives. Keywords: Sustainable Business, Technology Startups, Leadership, Administrative Excellence.

Trauma Connect Clinic: Continuing the trauma case management model for patients affected by traumatic injuries: A quality improvement initiative

Background: A case-management model of care is frequently used in acute-care settings for patients with major traumatic injuries; however, its application to trauma follow-up care after hospital discharge remains unclear. Aim: To describe the services provided by the Trauma Connect Clinic (TCC): a NP- led case management model, in trauma follow-up care. Methods: An exploratory descriptive study design was used. Data collected included patient and injury characteristics, clinic activities, attendance rates, referral patterns and complications. Results: Three-hundred and twenty-four TCC appointments were scheduled for 194 patients (n = 302) with an attendance rate of 93% (n = 302). Ongoing health issues included pain (n = 22, 37%), thrombotic events (n = 8, 13%) and infection (n = 7, 12%). Clinic activity included 77 referrals to the wider MDT (n = 77), radiology reviews (n = 225) and 39 prescribing events, consisting mainly of analgesia. Conclusion: A case management model can successfully deliver trauma follow-up care and efficiently use limited resources. Key elements involve careful assessment and management of patients’ physical and emotional needs. Evaluation of longer-term outcomes of this model of care in trauma settings is required.

Ecosystem model of development of the unmanned aircraft systems industry

The article analyzes the structural transformations of Russian industry in the context of external constraints and the need to ensure technological sovereignty in high-tech industries. The scientific hypothesis of the work is the assumption of the importance of cross-sectoral coordination of subjects of industrial policy in order to develop the production of critical products. The digital industrial ecosystem of the unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) industry is considered as an object of research. The purpose of the research is to develop the foundations of the structure of the ecosystem model of the development of the UAS industry and substantiate the feasibility of its application in the interests of improving high-tech industries of the Russian Federation. The article offers the author’s interpretations of the concepts of “digital industrial ecosystem” and “cross-industry ecosystem”, substantiates the principles of functioning of the ecosystem model and its architecture. An ecosystem model of the development of the UAS industry was developed, including management bodies, technical infrastructure, organizational and economic tools, technological clusters and a network of participants. The main distinguishing features of the proposed model from the existing ones are: the distribution of ecosystem management bodies that ensure the autonomy of management at all horizontal and hierarchical levels of its organization; the ecosystem is considered as an instrument of the mechanism of strategic development of high-tech industries involved in the creation of civil-purpose UAS, and provides cross-industry interaction of participants in order to accelerate the development of industrial production and the formation of the UAS market. The ecosystem management model will ensure the possession of up-to-date data of actual and planned indicative evaluation indicators of the state and development of the industry on a time scale close to real, based on the principle of digital transparency.

New forest fire assessment model based on artificial neural network and analytic hierarchy process or fuzzy-analytic hierarchy process methodology for fire vulnerability map

Forest fires significantly disrupt global ecosystems. Many forecasting techniques predict fire activity and allocate prevention resources, but various factors are missing from the assessments, and multi-criteria decision approaches alone are insufficient. This work introduced a novel methodology combining artificial neural networks (ANN) with the analytical hierarchy process (AHP), fuzzy AHP multi-criteria methods, and spatial data to detect potential forest fire vulnerability areas using twenty variables. The results from AHP or fuzzy AHP, were processed using a multilayer perceptron with a backpropagation algorithm. The final ANN model has two objectives: first, to create a forest fire vulnerability with four classes (low, moderate, high, and very high), and second, to classify burned area sizes in regions highly or very highly vulnerable to fire. Evaluation metrics were also applied for validation. The fire model was tested using both literature review data and in situ observations. Comparative analysis showed that the burned area size model performed better than other machine learning methods, achieving an accuracy score of 89%. Meanwhile, the fire vulnerability model scored 82%. The study addresses the problem of prediction and provides an algorithm for classifying fire risk based on historical data in the Czech Republic, offering a master model for future forest management. Therefore, the ANN model, once trained, validated, and tested, does not require resetting and is effective for estimating forest fire vulnerability. Moreover, it produces results quickly, providing rapid insights into complex forest ecosystems, saving time and enhancing understanding for decision-makers.

Developing a data-driven multimodal injury and illness prevention programme in male professional football based on a risk management model: the IP2 NetWork

BackgroundCurrent injury prevention programmes in football are limited by a one-size-fits-all approach, which predominantly focuses on preventive exercise programmes while ignoring differences in risk profiles between individuals and teams.ObjectiveTo address...

Flammable futures—storylines of climatic impacts on wildfire events and palm oil plantations in Indonesia

Abstract Wildfire events are driven by complex interactions of climate and anthropogenic interventions. Predictions of future wildfire events, their extremity, and their impact on the environment and economy must consider the interactions between these drivers. Economic policy and land use decisions influence the susceptibility of an area to climate extremes, the probability of burning, and future decision making. To better understand how climate-driven drought events and adaptation efforts affect burned area, agricultural production losses, and land use decisions, we developed a storyline approach centered on Indonesia’s 2015 fire events, which saw significant (>5%) production losses of palm oil. We explored analogous events under three warming conditions and two storylines (multi-model ensemble mean climate change and high impact). We employed a model chain consisting of CMIP6 climate modeling to quantify climate change impacts, a wildfire climate impacts and adaptation model (FLAM) to predict burned areas, and the Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIOM) to predict resultant production losses and socio-economic consequences in the oil palm sector in Indonesia and, by extension, the EU. FLAM is a mechanistic fire model used to reproduce and project wildfires based on various criteria and input variables; GLOBIOM is a global economic land use model, which assesses land use competition and provides economic impacts based on scenario data. We found that total burned area and production loss can increase by up to 25% and lead to local price increases up to 70%, with only minor differences beyond 2.5 degrees of warming. Our results highlight the importance of considering the interactions of future warming, drought conditions, and extreme weather events when predicting their impacts on oil palm losses and burned area. This study sets the stage for further exploration on the impacts of land management policies on local and international environments and economies in the context of global warming.