Model-informed Precision Dosing Research Articles

Personalized Dosing of Medicines for Children: A Primer on Pediatric Pharmacometrics for Clinicians.

The widespread use of drugs for unapproved purposes remains common in children, primarily attributable to practical, ethical, and financial constraints associated with pediatric drug research. Pharmacometrics, the scientific discipline that involves the application of mathematical models to understand and quantify drug effects, holds promise in advancing pediatric pharmacotherapy by expediting drug development, extending applications, and personalizing dosing. In this review, we delineate the principles of pharmacometrics, and explore its clinical applications and prospects. The fundamental aspect of any pharmacometric analysis lies in the selection of appropriate methods for quantifying pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics. Population pharmacokinetic modeling is a data-driven method ('top-down' approach) to approximate population-level pharmacokinetic parameters, while identifying factors contributing to inter-individual variability. Model-informed precision dosing is increasingly used to leverage population pharmacokinetic models and patient data, to formulate individualized dosing recommendations. Physiologically based pharmacokinetic models integrate physicochemical drug properties with biological parameters ('bottom-up approach'), and is particularly valuable in situations with limited clinical data, such as early drug development, assessing drug-drug interactions, or adapting dosing for patients with specific comorbidities. The effective implementation of these complex models hinges on strong collaboration between clinicians and pharmacometricians, given the pivotal role of data availability. Promising advancements aimed at improving data availability encompass innovative techniques such as opportunistic sampling, minimally invasive sampling approaches, microdialysis, and in vitro investigations. Additionally, ongoing research efforts to enhance measurement instruments for evaluating pharmacodynamics responses, including biomarkers and clinical scoring systems, are expected to significantly bolster our capacity to understand drug effects in children.

Developing Parametric and Nonparametric Models for Model-Informed Precision Dosing: A Quality Improvement Effort in Vancomycin for Patients With Obesity.

Both parametric and nonparametric methods have been proposed to support model-informed precision dosing (MIPD). However, which approach leads to better models remains uncertain. Using open-source software, these 2 statistical approaches for model development were compared using the pharmacokinetics of vancomycin in a challenging subpopulation of class 3 obesity. Patients on vancomycin at the University of Vermont Medical Center from November 1, 2021, to February 14, 2023, were entered into the MIPD software. The inclusion criteria were body mass index (BMI) of at least 40 kg/m2 and 1 or more vancomycin levels. A parametric model was created using nlmixr2/NONMEM, and a nonparametric model was created using metrics. Then, a priori and a posteriori predictions were evaluated using the normalized root mean squared error (nRMSE) for precision and the mean percentage error (MPE) for bias. The parametric model was evaluated in a simulated MIPD context using an external validation dataset. In total, 83 patients were included in the model development, with a median age of 56.6 years (range: 24-89 years), and a median BMI of 46.3 kg/m2 (range: 40-70.3 kg/m2). Both parametric and nonparametric models were 2-compartmental, with creatinine clearance and fat-free mass as covariates to c clearance and volume parameters, respectively. The a priori MPE and nRMSE for the parametric versus nonparametric models were -6.3% versus 2.69% and 27.2% versus 30.7%, respectively. The a posteriori MPE and RMSE were 0.16% and 0.84%, and 13.8% and 13.1%. The parametric model matched or outperformed previously published models on an external validation dataset (n = 576 patients). Minimal differences were found in the model structure and predictive error between the parametric and nonparametric approaches for modeling vancomycin class 3 obesity. However, the parametric model outperformed several other models, suggesting that institution-specific models may improve pharmacokinetics management.

Model-Informed Precision Dosing Using Machine Learning for Levothyroxine in General Practice: Development, Validation and Clinical Simulation Trial.

Levothyroxine is one of the most prescribed drugs in the western world. Dosing is challenging due to high-interindividual differences in effective dosage and the narrow therapeutic window. Model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) using machine learning could assist general practitioners (GPs), but no such models exist for primary care. Furthermore, introduction of decision-support algorithms in healthcare is limited due to the substantial gap between developers and clinicians' perspectives. We report the development, validation, and a clinical simulation trial of the first MIPD application for primary care. Stable maintenance dosage of levothyroxine was the model target. The multiclass model generates predictions for individual patients, for different dosing classes. Random forest was trained and tested on a national primary care database (n = 19,004) with a final weighted AUC across dosing options of 0.71, even in subclinical hypothyroidism. TSH, fT4, weight, and age were most predictive. To assess the safety, feasibility, and clinical impact of MIPD for levothyroxine, we performed clinical simulation studies in GPs and compared MIPD to traditional prescription. Fifty-one GPs selected starting dosages for 20 primary hypothyroidism cases without and then with MIPD 2 weeks later. Overdosage and underdosage were defined as higher and lower than 12.5 μg relative to stable maintenance dosage. MIPD decreased overdosage in number (30.5 to 23.9%, P < 0.01) and magnitude (median 50 to 37.5 μg, P < 0.01) and increased optimal starting dosages (18.3 to 30.2%, P < 0.01). GPs considered lab results more often with MIPD and most would use the model frequently. This study demonstrates the clinical relevance, safety, and effectiveness of MIPD for levothyroxine in primary care.

Population pharmacokinetic analysis for dose regimen optimization of vancomycin in Southern Chinese children.

Changes in physiological factors may result in large pharmacokineticvariability of vancomycin in pediatric patients, thereby leading to either supratherapeutic or subtherapeutic exposure and potentially affecting clinical outcomes. This study set out to characterize the disposition of vancomycin, quantify the exposure target and establish an optimal dosage regimen among the Southern Chinese pediatric population. Routine therapeutic drug monitoring data of 453 patients were available. We performed a retrospective population pharmacokineticanalysis of hospitalized children prescribed intravenous vancomycin using NONMEM® software. A one-compartment PPK model of vancomycin with body weight and renal functions as covariates based on a cutoff of 2 years old children was proposed in this study. Both internal and external validation showing acceptable and robust predictive performance of the model to estimate PK parameters. The value of area under the curve over 24 h to minimum inhibitory concentration ratio (AUC0-24/MIC) ≥ 260 was a significant predictor for therapeutic efficacy. Monte Carlo simulations served as a model-informed precision dosing approach and suggested that different optimal dose regimens in various scenarios should be considered rather than flat dosing. The evaluation of vancomycin exposure-efficacy relationship indicated that lower target level of AUC0-24/MIC may be needed to achieve clinical effectiveness in children, which was used to derive the recommended dosing regimen. Further prospective studies will be needed to corroborate and elucidate these results.

Leveraging QSP Models for MIPD: A Case Study for Warfarin/INR.

Warfarin dosing remains challenging due to substantial inter-individual variability, which can lead to unsafe or ineffective therapy with standard dosing. Model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) can help individualize warfarin dosing, requiring the selection of a suitable model. For models developed from clinical data, the dependence on the study design and population raises questions about generalizability. Quantitative system pharmacology (QSP) models promise better extrapolation abilities; however, their complexity and lack of validation on clinical data raise questions about applicability in MIPD. We have previously derived a mechanistic warfarin/international normalized ratio (INR) model from a blood coagulation QSP model. In this article, we evaluated the predictive performance of the warfarin/INR model in the context of MIPD using an external dataset with INR data from patients starting warfarin treatment. We assessed the accuracy and precision of model predictions, benchmarked against an empirically based reference model. Additionally, we evaluated covariate contributions and assessed the predictive performance separately in the more challenging outpatient data. The warfarin/INR model performed comparably to the reference model across various measures despite not being calibrated with warfarin initiation data. Including CYP2C9 and/or VKORC1 genotypes as covariates improved the prediction quality of the warfarin/INR model, even after assimilating 4 days of INR data. The outpatient INR exhibited higher unexplained variability, and predictions slightly exceeded observed values, suggesting that model adjustments might be necessary when transitioning from an inpatient to an outpatient setting. Overall, this research underscores the potential of QSP-derived models for MIPD, offering a complementary approach to empirical model development.

Best Practice for Therapeutic Drug Monitoring of Infliximab: Position Statement from the International Association of Therapeutic Drug Monitoring and Clinical Toxicology.

Infliximab, an anti-tumor necrosis factor monoclonal antibody, has revolutionized the pharmacological management of immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs). This position statement critically reviews and examines existing data on therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) of infliximab in patients with IMIDs. It provides a practical guide on implementing TDM in current clinical practices and outlines priority areas for future research. The endorsing TDM of Biologics and Pharmacometrics Committees of the International Association of TDM and Clinical Toxicology collaborated to create this position statement. Accumulating data support the evidence for TDM of infliximab in the treatment of inflammatory bowel diseases, with limited investigation in other IMIDs. A universal approach to TDM may not fully realize the benefits of improving therapeutic outcomes. Patients at risk for increased infliximab clearance, particularly with a proactive strategy, stand to gain the most from TDM. Personalized exposure targets based on therapeutic goals, patient phenotype, and infliximab administration route are recommended. Rapid assays and home sampling strategies offer flexibility for point-of-care TDM. Ongoing studies on model-informed precision dosing in inflammatory bowel disease will help assess the additional value of precision dosing software tools. Patient education and empowerment, and electronic health record-integrated TDM solutions will facilitate routine TDM implementation. Although optimization of therapeutic effectiveness is a primary focus, the cost-reducing potential of TDM also merits consideration. Successful implementation of TDM for infliximab necessitates interdisciplinary collaboration among clinicians, hospital pharmacists, and (quantitative) clinical pharmacologists to ensure an efficient research trajectory.

A systematic evaluation of population pharmacokinetic models for polymyxin B in patients with liver and/or kidney dysfunction.

Polymyxin B (PMB) is considered a last-line treatment for multidrug-resistant (MDR) gram-negative bacterial infections. Model-informed precision dosing with population pharmacokinetics (PopPK) models could help to individualize PMB dosing regimens and improve therapy. However, the external prediction ability of the established PopPK models has not been fully elaborated. This study aimed to systemically evaluate eleven PMB PopPK models from ten published literature based on a new independent population, which was divided into four different populations, patients with liver dysfunction, kidney dysfunction, liver and kidney dysfunction, and normal liver and kidney function. The whole data set consisted of 146 patients with 391 PMB concentrations. The prediction- and simulation-based diagnostics and Bayesian forecasting were conducted to evaluate model predictability. In the overall evaluation process, none of the models exhibited satisfactory predictive ability in both prediction- and simulation-based diagnostic simultaneously. However, the evaluation of the models in the subgroup of patients with normal liver and kidney function revealed improved predictive performance compared to those with liver and/or kidney dysfunction. Bayesian forecasting demonstrated enhanced predictability with the incorporation of two to three prior observations. The external evaluation highlighted a lack of consistency between the prediction results of published models and the external validation dataset. Nonetheless, Bayesian forecasting holds promise in improving the predictive performance of the models, and feedback from therapeutic drug monitoring is crucial in optimizing individual dosing regimens.

Prospective validation of a model-informed precision dosing tool for vancomycin treatment in neonates.

We recruited 48 neonates (50 vancomycin treatment episodes) in a prospective study to validate a model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) software. The initial vancomycin dose was based on a population pharmacokinetic model and adjusted every 36-48 h. Compared with a historical control group of 53 neonates (65 episodes), the achievement of a target trough concentration of 10-15 mg/L improved from 37% in the study to 62% in the MIPD group (P = 0.01), with no difference in side effects.

Personalized Antifungal Therapy Through Model-Informed Precision Dosing of Posaconazole.

Posaconazole is a pharmacotherapeutic pillar for prophylaxis and treatment of invasive fungal diseases. Dose individualization is of utmost importance as achieving adequate antifungal exposure is associated with improved outcome. This study aimed to select and evaluate a model-informed precision dosing strategy for posaconazole. Available population pharmacokinetic models for posaconazole administered as a solid oral tablet were extracted from the literature and evaluated using data from a previously published prospective study combined with data collected during routine clinical practice. External evaluation and selection of the most accurate and precise model was based on graphical goodness-of-fit and predictive performance. Measures for bias and imprecision included mean percentage error (MPE) and normalized relative root mean squared error (NRMSE), respectively. Subsequently, the best-performing model was evaluated for its a posteriori fit-for-purpose and its suitability in a limited sampling strategy. Seven posaconazole models were evaluated using 764 posaconazole plasma concentrations from 143 patients. Multiple models showed adequate predictive performance illustrated by acceptable goodness-of-fit and MPE and NRMSE below ±10% and ±25%, respectively. In the fit-for-purpose analysis, the selected model showed adequate a posteriori predictive performance. Bias and imprecision were lowest in the presence of two prior measurements. Additionally, this model showed to be useful in a limited sampling strategy as it adequately predicted total posaconazole exposure from one (non-)trough concentration. We validated an MIPD strategy for posaconazole for its fit-for-purpose. Thereby, this study is an important first step towards MIPD-supported posaconazole dosage optimization with the goal to improve antifungal treatment in clinical practice.

Performance of Eight Infliximab Population Pharmacokinetic Models in a Cohort of Dutch Children with Inflammatory Bowel Disease.

Efficacy of infliximab in children with inflammatory bowel disease can be enhanced when serum concentrations are measured and further dosing is adjusted to achieve and maintain a target concentration. Use of a population pharmacokinetic model may help to predict an individual's infliximab dose requirement. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive performance of available infliximab population pharmacokinetic models in an independent cohort of Dutch children with inflammatory bowel disease. In this retrospective study, we used data of 70 children with inflammatory bowel disease (443 infliximab concentrations) to evaluate eight models that focused on infliximab pharmacokinetic models in individuals with inflammatory bowel disease, preferably aged ≤ 18 years. Predictive performance was evaluated with prior predictions (based solely on patient-specific covariates) and posterior predictions (based on covariates and infliximab trough concentrations). Model accuracy and precision were calculated with relative bias and relative root mean square error and we determined the classification accuracy at the trough concentration target of ≥ 5 mg/L. The population pharmacokinetic model by Fasanmade was identified to be most appropriate for the total dataset (relative bias before/after therapeutic drug monitoring: -20.7%/11.2% and relative root mean square error before/after therapeutic drug monitoring: 84.1%/51.6%), although differences between models were small and several were deemed suitable for clinical use. For the Fasanmade model, sensitivity and specificity for maximum posterior predictions for the next infliximab trough concentration to be ≥ 5 mg/L were respectively 83.5% and 80% with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.870. In our paediatric cohort, various models provided acceptable predictive performance, with the Fasanmade model deemed most suitable for clinical use. Model-informed precision dosing can therefore be expected to help to maintain infliximab trough concentrations in the target range.

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling of imatinib and N-desmethyl imatinib for drug-drug interaction predictions.

The first-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitor imatinib has revolutionized the development of targeted cancer therapy and remains among the frontline treatments, for example, against chronic myeloid leukemia. As a substrate of cytochrome P450 (CYP) 2C8, CYP3A4, and various transporters, imatinib is highly susceptible to drug-drug interactions (DDIs) when co-administered with corresponding perpetrator drugs. Additionally, imatinib and its main metabolite N-desmethyl imatinib (NDMI) act as inhibitors of CYP2C8, CYP2D6, and CYP3A4 affecting their own metabolism as well as the exposure of co-medications. This work presents the development of a parent-metabolite whole-body physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model for imatinib and NDMI used for the investigation and prediction of different DDI scenarios centered around imatinib as both a victim and perpetrator drug. Model development was performed in PK-Sim® using a total of 60 plasma concentration-time profiles of imatinib and NDMI in healthy subjects and cancer patients. Metabolism of both compounds was integrated via CYP2C8 and CYP3A4, with imatinib additionally transported via P-glycoprotein. The subsequently developed DDI network demonstrated good predictive performance. DDIs involving imatinib and NDMI were simulated with perpetrator drugs rifampicin, ketoconazole, and gemfibrozil as well as victim drugs simvastatin and metoprolol. Overall, 12/12 predicted DDI area under the curve determined between first and last plasma concentration measurements (AUClast ) ratios and 12/12 predicted DDI maximum plasma concentration (Cmax ) ratios were within twofold of the respective observed ratios. Potential applications of the final model include model-informed drug development or the support of model-informed precision dosing.

Population pharmacokinetics of vancomycin in term neonates with perinatal asphyxia treated with therapeutic hypothermia.

Little is known about the population pharmacokinetics (PPK) of vancomycin in neonates with perinatal asphyxia treated with therapeutic hypothermia (TH). We aimed to describe the PPK of vancomycin and propose an initial dosing regimen for the first 48 h of treatment with pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic target attainment. Neonates with perinatal asphyxia treated with TH were included from birth until Day 6 in a multicentre prospective cohort study. A vancomycin PPK model was constructed using nonlinear mixed-effects modelling. The model was used to evaluate published dosing guidelines with regard to pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic target attainment. The area under the curve/minimal inhibitory concentration ratio of 400-600 mg*h/L was used as target range. Sixteen patients received vancomycin (median gestational age: 41 [range: 38-42] weeks, postnatal age: 4.4 [2.5-5.5] days, birth weight: 3.5 [2.3-4.7] kg), and 112 vancomycin plasma concentrations were available. Most samples (79%) were collected during the rewarming and normothermic phase, as vancomycin was rarely initiated during the hypothermic phase due to its nonempirical use. An allometrically scaled 1-compartment model showed the best fit. Vancomycin clearance was 0.17 L/h, lower than literature values for term neonates of 3.5kg without perinatal asphyxia (range: 0.20-0.32 L/h). Volume of distribution was similar. Published dosing regimens led to overexposure within 24 h of treatment. A loading dose of 10mg/kg followed by 24 mg/kg/day in 4 doses resulted in target attainment. Results of this study suggest that vancomycin clearance is reduced in term neonates with perinatal asphyxia treated with TH. Lower dosing regimens should be considered followed by model-informed precision dosing.

Modeling Pharmacokinetics in Individual Patients Using Therapeutic Drug Monitoring and Artificial Population Quasi-Models: A Study with Piperacillin.

Population pharmacokinetic (pop-PK) models constructed for model-informed precision dosing often have limited utility due to the low number of patients recruited. To augment such models, an approach is presented for generating fully artificial quasi-models which can be employed to make individual estimates of pharmacokinetic parameters. Based on 72 concentrations obtained in 12 patients, one- and two-compartment pop-PK models with or without creatinine clearance as a covariate were generated for piperacillin using the nonparametric adaptive grid algorithm. Thirty quasi-models were subsequently generated for each model type, and nonparametric maximum a posteriori probability Bayesian estimates were established for each patient. A significant difference in performance was found between one- and two-compartment models. Acceptable agreement was found between predicted and observed piperacillin concentrations, and between the estimates of the random-effect pharmacokinetic variables obtained using the so-called support points of the pop-PK models or the quasi-models as priors. The mean squared errors of the predictions made using the quasi-models were similar to, or even considerably lower than those obtained when employing the pop-PK models. Conclusion: fully artificial nonparametric quasi-models can efficiently augment pop-PK models containing few support points, to make individual pharmacokinetic estimates in the clinical setting.

Physiologically-Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Dosing Optimization of Cefotaxime in Preterm and Term Neonates

BackgroundCefotaxime is commonly used in treating bacterial infections in neonates. To characterize the pharmacokinetic process in neonates and evaluate different recommended dosing schedules of cefotaxime, a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model of cefotaxime was established in adults and scaled to neonates. MethodsA whole-body PBPK model was built in PK-SIM® software. Three elimination pathways are composed of enzymatic metabolism in the liver, passive filtration through glomerulus, and active tubular secretion mediated by renal transporters. The ontogeny information was applied to account for age-related changes in cefotaxime pharmacokinetics. The established models were verified with realistic clinical data in adults and pediatric populations. Simulations in neonates were conducted and 100 % of the dosing interval where the unbound concentration in plasma was above the minimum inhibitory concentration (fT>MIC) was selected as the target index for dosing regimen evaluation. ResultsThe developed PBPK models successfully described the pharmacokinetic process of cefotaxime in adults and were scaled to the pediatric population. Good verification results were achieved in both adults’ and neonates’ PBPK models, indicating a good predictive performance. The optimal dosage regimen of cefotaxime was proposed according to the postnatal age (PNA) and gestational age (GA) of neonates. For preterm neonates (GA < 36 weeks), dosages of 25 mg/kg every 8 h in PNA 0–6 days and 25 mg/kg every 6 h in PNA 7–28 days were suggested. For term neonates (GA ≥ 36 weeks), dosages of 33 mg/kg every 8 h in PNA 0–6 days and 33 mg/kg every 6 h in PNA 7–28 days were recommended. ConclusionsOur study may provide useful experience in practicing PBPK model-informed precision dosing in the pediatric population.

Model-Informed Precision Dosing of Isoniazid: Parametric Population Pharmacokinetics Model Repository.

Isoniazid (INH) is a crucial first-line anti tuberculosis (TB) drug used in adults and children. However, various factors can alter its pharmacokinetics (PK). This article aims to establish a population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models repository of INH to facilitate clinical use. A literature search was conducted until August 23, 2022, using PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases. We excluded published popPK studies that did not provide full model parameters or used a non-parametric method. Monte Carlo simulation works was based on RxODE. The popPK models repository was established using R. Non-compartment analysis was based on IQnca. Fourteen studies included in the repository, with eleven studies conducted in adults, three studies in children, one in pregnant women. Two-compartment with allometric scaling models were commonly used as structural models. NAT2 acetylator phenotype significantly affecting the apparent clearance (CL). Moreover, postmenstrual age (PMA) influenced the CL in pediatric patients. Monte Carlo simulation results showed that the geometric mean ratio (95% Confidence Interval, CI) of PK parameters in most studies were within the acceptable range (50.00-200.00%), pregnant patients showed a lower exposure. After a standard treatment strategy, there was a notable exposure reduction in the patients with the NAT2 RA or nonSA (IA/RA) phenotype, resulting in a 59.5% decrease in AUC0-24 and 83.2% decrease in Cmax (Infants), and a 49.3% reduction in AUC0-24 and 73.5% reduction in Cmax (Adults). Body weight and NAT2 acetylator phenotype are the most significant factors affecting the exposure of INH. PMA is a crucial factor in the pediatric population. Clinicians should consider these factors when implementing model-informed precision dosing of INH. The popPK model repository for INH will aid in optimizing treatment and enhancing patient outcomes.

Subgroup identification-based model selection to improve the predictive performance of individualized dosing.

Currently, model-informed precision dosing uses one population pharmacokinetic model that best fits the target population. We aimed to develop a subgroup identification-based model selection approach to improve the predictive performance of individualized dosing, using vancomycin in neonates/infants as a test case. Data from neonates/infants with at least one vancomycin concentration was randomly divided into training and test dataset. Population predictions from published vancomycin population pharmacokinetic models were calculated. The single best-performing model based on various performance metrics, including median absolute percentage error (APE) and percentage of predictions within 20% (P20) or 60% (P60) of measurement, were determined. Clustering based on median APEs or clinical and demographic characteristics and model selection by genetic algorithm was used to group neonates/infants according to their best-performing model. Subsequently, classification trees to predict the best-performing model using clinical and demographic characteristics were developed. A total of 208 vancomycin treatment episodes in training and 88 in test dataset was included. Of 30 identified models from the literature, the single best-performing model for training dataset had P20 26.2-42.6% in test dataset. The best-performing clustering approach based on median APEs or clinical and demographic characteristics and model selection by genetic algorithm had P20 44.1-45.5% in test dataset, whereas P60 was comparable. Our proof-of-concept study shows that the prediction of the best-performing model for each patient according to the proposed model selection approaches has the potential to improve the predictive performance of model-informed precision dosing compared with the single best-performing model approach.

Better Rejection-Free Survival at Three Years in Kidney Transplant Recipients With Model-Informed Precision Dosing of Mycophenolate Mofetil.

The clinical impact of individual dose adjustment of mycophenolate mofetil is still debated, due to conflicting results from randomized clinical trials. This retrospective study aimed to compare 3-year rejection-free survival and adverse effects between adult kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) with or without mycophenolate mofetil model-informed precision dosing (MIPD). MIPD is defined here as mycophenolic acid area under the curve (AUC0-12h ) estimation using a limited sampling strategy, pharmacokinetic models and Bayesian estimators; dose recommendation to reach AUC0-12h = 45 mg.h/L; using a widely used online expert system. The study, nested in two multicenter prospective cohort studies, focused on patients who received a mycophenolate drug and were followed up for 1-3 years. Mycophenolate mofetil MIPD was prescribed as per local practice, on a regular basis, when deemed necessary, or not at all. The MIPD group included 341 KTRs and the control group 392. At 3 years, rejection-free survival was respectively 91.2% and 80.6% (P < 0.001) and the cumulative incidence of rejection 5.08% vs. 12.7% per patient × year (hazard ratio = 0.49 (0.34, 0.71), P < 0.001), corresponding to a 2.5-fold reduction. Significant association with rejection-free survival was confirmed in patients at low or high risk of rejection (P = 0.017 and 0.013) and in patients on tacrolimus, but not on cyclosporine (P < 0.001 and 0.205). The mycophenolate mofetil MIPD group had significantly more adverse effects, but most occurred before the first AUC0-12h , suggesting some may be the reason why MIPD was ordered.

Impact of model-informed precision dosing in adults receiving vancomycin via continuous infusion: a randomized, controlled clinical trial

Background Vancomycin is a commonly prescribed antibiotic to treat gram-positive infections. The efficacy of vancomycin is known to be directly related to the pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) index of the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) divided by the minimal inhibitory concentration (MIC) of the pathogen. However, in most countries, steady-state plasma concentrations are used as a surrogate parameter of target AUC/MIC, but this practice has some drawbacks. Hence, direct AUC-guided monitoring of vancomycin using model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) tools has been proposed for earlier attainment of target concentrations and reducing vancomycin-related nephrotoxicity. However, solid scientific evidence for these benefits in clinical practice is still lacking. This randomized controlled trial (RCT) aims to investigate the clinical utility of MIPD dosing of vancomycin administered via continuous infusion in hospitalized adults.Methods Participants from 11 wards at two Belgian hospitals are randomly allocated to the intervention group or the standard-of-care comparator group. In the intervention group, clinical pharmacists perform dose calculations using CE-labeled MIPD software and target an AUC24h of 400 to 600 mg × h/L, whereas patients in the comparator group receive standard-of-care dosing and monitoring according to the institutional guidelines. The primary endpoint is the proportion of patients reaching the target AUC24h/MIC of 400–600 between 48 and 72 h after start of vancomycin treatment. Secondary endpoints are the proportion of patients with (worsening) acute kidney injury (AKI) during and until 48 h after stop of vancomycin treatment, the proportion of patients reaching target AUC24h/MIC of 400–600 between 72 and 96 h after start of vancomycin treatment, and the proportion of time within the target AUC24h/MIC of 400–600.Discussion This trial will clarify the propagated benefits and provide new insights into how to optimally monitor vancomycin treatment.Trial registrationEudraCT number: 2021-003670-31. Registered June 28, 2021. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT05535075. Registered September 10, 2022. Protocol version 3, protocol date: April 21, 2023.

Exploring the Impact of Model-Informed Precision Dosing on Procalcitonin Concentrations in Critically Ill Patients: A Secondary Analysis of the DOLPHIN Trial.

Model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) might be used to optimize antibiotic treatment. Procalcitonin (PCT) is a biomarker for severity of infection and response to antibiotic treatment. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of MIPD on the course of PCT and to investigate the association of PCT with pharmacodynamic target (PDT) attainment in critically ill patients. This is a secondary analysis of the DOLPHIN trial, a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial. Patients with a PCT value available at day 1 (T1), day 3 (T3), or day 5 (T5) after randomisation were included. The primary outcome was the absolute difference in PCT concentration at T1, T3, and T5 between the MIPD and the standard dosing group. In total, 662 PCT concentrations from 351 critically ill patients were analysed. There was no statistically significant difference in PCT concentration between the trial arms at T1, T3, or T5. The median PCT concentration was highest in patients who exceeded 10× PDT at T1 [13.15 ng/mL (IQR 5.43-22.75)]. In 28-day non-survivors and in patients that exceeded PDT at T1, PCT decreased significantly between T1 and T3, but plateaued between T3 and T5. PCT concentrations were not significantly different between patients receiving antibiotic treatment with or without MIPD guidance. The potential of PCT to guide antibiotic dosing merits further investigation.

A simulation study on model-informed precision dosing of amikacin for achieving target area under the concentration-time curve.

Amikacin requires therapeutic drug monitoring for optimum efficacy; however, the optimal model-informed precision dosing strategy for the area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) of amikacin is uncertain. This simulation study aimed to determine the efficient blood sampling points using the Bayesian forecasting approach for early achievement of the target AUC range for amikacin in critically ill patients. We generated a virtual population of 3000 individuals using 2 validated population pharmacokinetic models identified using a systematic literature search. AUC for each blood sampling point was evaluated using the probability of achieving a ratio of estimated/reference AUC at steady state in the 0.8-1.2 range. On day 1, the 1-point samplings for population pharmacokinetic models showed a priori probabilities of 26.3 and 45.6%, which increased to 47.3 and 94.4% at 23 and 15 h, respectively. Using 2-point sampling at the peak (3 and 4h) and trough (24 h) on day 1, these probabilities further increased to 72.3 and 99.5%, respectively. These probabilities were comparable on days 2 and 3, regardless of 3 and 6 sampling points or estimated glomerular filtration rate. These results indicated the higher predictive accuracy of 2-point sampling than 1-point sampling on day 1 for amikacin AUC estimation. Moreover, 2-point sampling was a more reasonable approach than rich sampling. This study contributes to the development of an efficient model-informed precision dosing strategy for early targeting of amikacin AUC in critically ill patients.