We propose a method to estimate the rescue team size that should be deployed from outside affected municipalities and thus clarify the success or failure of the rescue response of administrative agencies in the event of a tsunami. Capacity of Rescue was used to quantitatively evaluate the lifesaving capability of each rescue team; Index of Rescue was defined to evaluate whether the number of rescue workers in administrative organizations was sufficient for the number of people in need of rescue in the event of a tsunami. The proposed method was applied to a simulation of the coastal area of the Miura Peninsula in Kanagawa Prefecture. Results indicated that the rescue capabilities of the police and fire departments would be limited by the tsunami in the event of an earthquake exceeding M8.2, and thus require assistance from the Self-Defense Forces (SDF). Estimating a reasonable scale of rescue team dispatch, an M8.7 earthquake with an evacuation rate of 90 % can be handled by dispatching 40,000 SDF personnel within 72 h, whereas a 70 % evacuation rate would require 230,000 personnel, exceeding the scale of the 2011 Tohoku Tsunami. Considering the uncertainty of the occurrence of an earthquake, an evaluation based on the expected value resulted in 35,000 people. This is a more realistic result when considering the total number of personnel in the SDF. The methods and attempts proposed in this study can contribute to disaster relief planning by reducing the burden on the rescue teams.
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