Microscopic Traffic Simulation Model Research Articles

Predictive Model for EV Charging Load Incorporating Multimodal Travel Behavior and Microscopic Traffic Simulation

A predictive model for the spatiotemporal distribution of electric vehicle (EV) charging load is proposed in this paper, considering multimodal travel behavior and microscopic traffic simulation. Firstly, the characteristic variables of travel time are fitted using advanced techniques such as Gaussian mixture distribution. Simultaneously, the user’s multimodal travel behavior is delineated by introducing travel purpose transfer probabilities, thus establishing a comprehensive travel spatiotemporal model. Secondly, the improved Floyd algorithm is employed to select the optimal path, taking into account various factors including signal light status, vehicle speed, and the position of starting and ending sections. Moreover, the approach of multi-lane lane change following and the utilization of cellular automata theory are introduced. To establish a microscopic traffic simulation model, a real-time energy consumption model is integrated with the aforementioned techniques. Thirdly, the minimum regret value is leveraged in conjunction with various other factors, including driving purpose, charging station electricity price, parking cost, and more, to simulate the decision-making process of users regarding charging stations. Subsequently, an EV charging load predictive framework is proposed based on the approach driven by electricity prices and real-time interaction of coupled network information. Finally, this paper conducts large-scale simulations to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of EV charging load using a regional transportation network in East China and a typical power distribution network as case studies, thereby validating the feasibility of the proposed method.

Enhancing parameter calibration for micro-simulation models: Investigating improvement methods

Calibrating microscopic traffic simulation models is a prerequisite for simulation applications. This study proposes three novel methods to improve the accuracy and interpretability of the calibration model. The proposed approach involves selecting the calibration parameter, refining the model parameter system, and optimizing the calibration results. The first method expands the single-point mean into a multi-point distribution. The cumulative distribution curve of delay was selected as the calibration parameter. The second method divides the parameter system into global and local parameters. Global parameters were calibrated using NGSIM measured data, and local parameters were calibrated through intelligent algorithms. The third method proposes a methodology of parameter clustering recursion based on the genetic algorithm results, with information entropy selected as the analysis index. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed optimization methods, this study used NGSIM trajectory data as a case study. Eight simulation schemes based on the three optimization methods were designed, and simulation experiments were conducted using the VISSIM platform. The results show that the accuracy of the multi-point distribution calibration and parameter value optimization method is significantly higher than the default method. Additionally, the optimization method with calibration of both global and local parameters was more consistent with actual driving characteristics. This study provides a theoretical foundation for improving the practical application of traffic simulation technology, which has significant implications for transportation planning and management.

CALIBRATION OF MICROSCOPIC TRAFFIC SIMULATION OF URBAN ROAD NETWORK INCLUDING MINI-ROUNDABOUTS AND UNSIGNALIZED INTERSECTION USING OPEN-SOURCE SIMULATION TOOL

Microscopic traffic simulation models offer an effective way to analyze and assess different transportation systems thanks to their efficiency and reliability. As traffic management issues become more prevalent, notably in urban areas, simulation tools enable a significant opportunity to replicate real-world conditions before implementation. Therefore, the calibration of traffic simulation models plays a substantial role in obtaining accurate and confidential results. Nowadays, urban regions are facing the challenge of restricted space for developing traffic solutions. As a consequence of environmental restrictions, the use of mini-roundabouts rather than larger roundabouts is increasing. Based on the given literature review, it is seen that not much attention was given to the complex modeling and calibration of microsimulation models of mini-roundabouts and unsignalized intersections. The objective of this study is to offer the calibration of microscopic traffic simulation of urban road network, including closely located mini-roundabouts and unsignalized intersection. To this end, an open-source tool called SUMO (Simulation of Urban Mobility) was utilized as a simulation environment in this study. The necessary data for developing a microsimulation model in SUMO was gathered using a videography technique. The traffic count data and speed were considered performance measures between field observations and simulation outputs. The routeSampler tool of SUMO, which has recently emerged in the literature, was used to match traffic count data and the corresponding time interval for traffic volume data calibration. The calibration of car-following model parameters using a trial-and-error approach was employed based on mean absolute percent error (MAPE) between simulated speeds and field-measured speeds. According to the findings of the study, the simulation model fulfilled the calibration aims of the FHWA guideline and is suitable for further research.

Parallel-Computing-Based Calibration for Microscopic Traffic Simulation Model

Microscopic traffic simulation is vital to assess the performances of various traffic operation and management schemes. Microscopic traffic simulation is usually not parameter-free, and it relies on independent parameters to predict traffic evolution. Thus, parameter calibration is indispensable to conveying trustworthy simulation results. Heuristic algorithms are widely used for parameter calibration. Its logic is for achieving iterative optimization through continuous trial-and-error simulations. This process is time-consuming and usually takes several hours, making the calibration unable to meet the requirements of speed and efficiency. In recent years, parallel computing technology has been gradually applied in the engineering realm, which makes rapid calibration possible. Following the three steps of parallel framework selection, algorithm bottleneck identification, and subtask load balancing, this paper designs and implements the parallelization of genetic algorithm and particle swarm optimization (PSO) calibration algorithms. Finally, the proposed parallel framework is applied to simulation parameter calibration of a section of a 5 km long highway in Australia, and the effectiveness of parallel computing is evaluated from the two dimensions of reduction in calibration computational time and scalability. The results show that the proposed parallel calibration algorithm can shorten the 5 h calibration process to less than 1 h, reducing the calibration time by 80%. The parallel PSO calibration algorithm has better scalability, and its acceleration effect is better when more processors are used.

Automatic Calibration of Microscopic Traffic Simulation Models Using Artificial Neural Networks

Traffic simulations are valuable tools for urban mobility planning and operation, particularly in large cities. Simulation-based microscopic models have enabled traffic engineers to understand local transit and transport behaviors more deeply and manage urban mobility. However, for the simulations to be effective, the transport network and user behavior parameters must be calibrated to mirror real scenarios. In general, calibration is performed manually by traffic engineers who use their knowledge and experience to adjust the parameters of the simulator. Unfortunately, there is still no systematic and automatic process for calibrating traffic simulation networks, although some methods have been proposed in the literature. This study proposes a methodology that facilitates the calibration process, where an artificial neural network (ANN) is trained to learn the behavior of the transport network of interest. The ANN used is the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), trained with back-propagation methods. Based on this learning procedure, the neural network can select the optimized values of the simulation parameters that best mimic the traffic conditions of interest. Experiments considered two microscopic models of traffic and two psychophysical models (Wiedemann 74 and Wiedemann 99). The microscopic traffic models are located in the metropolitan region of São Paulo, Brazil. Moreover, we tested the different configurations of the MLP (layers and numbers of neurons) as well as several variations of the backpropagation training method: Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), Adam, Adagrad, Adadelta, Adamax, and Nadam. The results of the experiments show that the proposed methodology is accurate and efficient, leading to calibration with a correlation coefficient greater than 0.8, when the calibrated parameters generate more visible effects on the road network, such as travel times, vehicle counts, and average speeds. For the psychophysical parameters, in the most simplified model (W74), the correlation coefficient was greater than 0.7. The advantage of using ANN for the automatic calibration of simulation parameters is that it allows traffic engineers to carry out comprehensive studies on a large number of future scenarios, such as at different times of the day, as well as on different days of the week and months of the year.

Bidirectional Green Waves for Road Arterials: Optimization and Simulation

Consider a bidirectional arterial road along which several junctions are controlled by fixed-time traffic signals. The driving times between the junctions are far from showing the ideal condition of integer multiples of half the cycle time. At the junctions, separate left-turn phases have to be scheduled. In particular, the two opposite directions of the arterial can but do not need to be scheduled at the same time. This paper provides an integrated mathematical optimization model that maximizes the widths and lengths of the green bands of both directions of the arterial. Within this, the model selects among three predefined signal programs with different phase sequences, and computes optimum offsets for the selected signal programs at each junction. Arranging the left-turn phases before or after the arterial’s through-traffic in a dedicated way provides much better results in the optimization model than always scheduling them at the same time. To validate the optimization result, we implemented a microscopic traffic flow simulation model (using the SUMO simulation package) inspired by certain arterials in the city of Berlin, Germany. With 11 crossings, the result was an average of less than 1.7 stops per car—already including one possible stop at the two entry points of the coordinated arterial. This compares favorably with the average number of at least 3.4 stops per car when the straight traffic in both directions is always scheduled at the same time, that is, in parallel.

Fuel-Based Nash Bargaining Approach for Adaptive Signal Control in an N-Player Cooperative Game

This paper presents a fuel-based game-theoretic approach for adaptive signal control. Our controller applies Nash bargaining (NB) in an n-player cooperative game to identify optimal phasing splits considering future traffic demands. The fuel-based NB controller utilizes an objective function that combines operational measures (delays and stops) with fuel consumption measures at intersections. The proposed controller was encoded in Python and then implemented and evaluated in a VISSIM microscopic traffic simulation model in an intersection with increasing volumes. The performance of the NB controller was compared to a traditional actuated control as the baseline. The results show that the NB controller was able to achieve superior environmental gains with a 17% saving in fuel consumption and a 17% reduction in CO emissions. In addition, the proposed controller was capable of maintaining acceptable operational conditions as it achieved a 20% reduction in delay, 8% reduction in the number of stops, and 8% reduction in queue lengths compared to the actuated controller. Compared to similar studies that applied NB for adaptive signal control, our fuel-based NB controller stands out as a promising approach to significantly improve fuel consumption at signalized intersections.

Multiparadigm Modeling Framework to Evaluate the Impacts of Travel Patterns on Electric Vehicle Battery Lifespan

The widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) can help attain economic and environmental sustainability by reducing oil dependency and greenhouse gas emissions. However, several issues need to be addressed before EVs can become a popular vehicle choice among the general public. A key issue is the perpetual reduction in EV battery capacity caused by battery degradation over time with usage. This can lead to a reduced driving range and cause “range anxiety” for EV drivers. This becomes even more critical in developing countries where consumers are highly sensitive to battery replacement costs. Thus, to promote EVs in developing economies, policymakers and vehicle manufacturers need to develop attractive incentive schemes and warranty strategies preceded by a thorough assessment of the useable EV battery lifespan for a wide range of users. This paper develops a multiparadigm modeling framework to compute battery degradation for a large population of EVs by capturing the effects of travel patterns, traffic conditions, and ambient temperature. The proposed framework consists of four different building blocks: (i) a microscopic traffic simulation model to generate speed profiles, (ii) an EV power consumption model, (iii) a battery equivalent circuit model, and (iv) a semiempirical battery degradation model. The proposed framework can also be used to assess the battery life-cycle of electric-powered automated vehicles by adjusting their travel patterns accordingly. A case study is presented using travel diary data of around 700 households from the U.S. National Household Travel Survey of 2009 to simulate household travel patterns and corresponding battery lifespan distribution.

Efficient Origin-Destination Estimation Using Microscopic Traffic Simulation with Restricted Rerouting

Traffic simulators are utilized to solve a variety of traffic-related problems. For such simulators, origin-destination (OD) traffic volumes as mobility demands are required to input, and we need to estimate them. The authors regard an OD estimation as a bi-level programming problem, and apply a microscopic traffic simulation model to it. However, the simulation trials can be computationally expensive if full dynamic rerouting is allowed, when employing multi-agent-based models in the estimation process. This paper proposes an efficient OD estimation method using a multi-agent-based simulator with restricted dynamic rerouting to reduce the computational load. Even though, in the case of large traffic demand, the restriction on dynamic rerouting can result in heavier congestion. The authors resolve this problem by introducing constraints of the bi-level programming problem depending on link congestion. Test results show that the accuracy of the link traffic volume reproduced with the proposed method is virtually identical to that of existing methods but that the proposed method is more computationally efficient in a wide-range or high-demand context.

Calibrating and Validation Microscopic Traffic Simulation Models VISSIM for Enhanced Highway Capacity Planning

Calibrating and Validation Microscopic Traffic Simulation Models VISSIM for Enhanced Highway Capacity Planning

Mode Split Equilibrium Microsimulation Approach for Early-Stage On-Demand Shared Automated Mobility.

The initial hype around Automated Vehicle (AV) technologies has subsided, and it is now being realized that near-term deployment of AV technologies will be in the form of low-speed shared automated shuttles in geofenced districts with a high density of trip demand. A concept labeled ‘Automated Mobility Districts’ (AMD) has been coined to define such deployments. A modeling and simulation toolkit that can act as a decision support tool for early-stage AMD deployments is desired for answering the questions such as (i) for a series of given conditions, such as the amount of travel demand and automated shuttle fleet configuration, what is the expected mode split for shared automated vehicle (SAV) services? (ii) for that mode share of SAVs, what level-of-service and network performance can be anticipated? To answer these research questions, an innovative and integrated framework of multi-mode choice and microscopic traffic simulation model is presented to obtain the equilibrium of mode split for various modes in AMDs, based on real-time traffic simulation data. The proposed framework was tested using travel demand and road network data from Greenville, South Carolina, considering a car, walk, and two SAV on-demand ridesharing modes in a proposed AMD. Results from the study demonstrated the efficacy of the proposed framework for solving the mode split equilibrium in an AMD. In addition, sensitivity analyses were conducted to understand the impact of factors such as waiting times and fleet resources on mode share equilibrium for SAVs.

Calibration of Vissim for Bus Rapid Transit Systems in Beijing Using GPS Data

Bus Rapid Transit systems have grown in popularity in recent years. With the rapid development of computer technologies, using microscopic simulation models to study various strategies on planning, implementation and operation of BRT systems has become a hot research area in the field of public transportation. To make the simulation models accurately replicate field traffic conditions, model calibration is crucial. This paper presents an approach for calibrating the microscopic traffic simulation model VISSIM using GPS data for application to Beijing BRT systems. The Sum of Squared Error (SSE) of the collected versus simulated vehicle speeds at the cross-sections along the test route is specified as the evaluation index. A Genetic Algorithm is adopted as the optimization tool to minimize the SSE. Taking the Beijing North-South Central Axis BRT Corridor as a case study, it shows that the proposed approach is a practical and effective method for the model calibration.

Traffic operation analysis for underground and ground roads using microscopic traffic simulation

This study analyzed traffic congestion scenarios in underground roads diverging and merging sections and underground sections that run parallel to ground roads using a microscopic traffic simulation model. The appropriate ratio of the ramp inflow or outflow of traffic volume to the entry traffic volume at the starting section of the underground road network was analyzed. Furthermore, the effect of traffic operation such as adequate throughput, average traffic speed, occupancy, and volume versus capacity (V/C) ratios before the occurrence of traffic congestion in all three road networks was properly produced. To maintain a minimum level of service of all underground sections at the D–E level, the underground inflow traffic volume should be equal to approximately 70% of the 4000 pcph inflow traffic volume from an open road to the underground. The results of this study are a useful reference for establishing traffic control application standards to minimize underground traffic congestion. They also provide useful insights for underground road design.

Impact of Lowering Speed Limit on Urban Transportation Network

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of lowering speed limit on an urban transportation network. A microscopic traffic simulation model, Vissim was utilized to measure the impact. Also, various traffic inputs were tested with different signal coordination scenarios to investigate the impact in different traffic conditions. It was found that during early morning hours with very light traffic, the impact of lowering speed limit was significant. During congested time periods, including level of service E and F, the travel speed reduction from lowering speed limit was not significant. As suggested in other studies, the results demonstrated that lowering the speed limit does not have a significant impact on average travel speed in congested traffic networks. Also, different signal coordination was tested. As expected, signal coordination based on the lowered speed limit performed better than the case with signal coordination based on the previous higher speed limit. The results of this study are expected to provide insights when considering lowering speed limit for existing traffic networks.

A general framework for combining traffic flow models and Bayesian network for traffic parameters estimation

This work focuses on traffic parameters estimation based on trajectory data in an arterial corridor with multiple signalized intersections. We develop a general framework that can combine various traffic flow models with Bayesian Network (BN) for estimating the overall traffic parameters using partially observed vehicle trajectory data (with unknown penetration rate). The BN is formulated to establish the probabilistic relationship between the traffic arrival process, traffic states, traffic flow model parameters and observed vehicle trajectories. More specifically, given traffic arrival information (e.g., traffic arrival volume) and fundamental diagram parameters (e.g., capacity, jam density, and free flow speed), vehicle trajectories are derived or simulated based on traffic flow modelling (e.g., shockwave analysis, Cell Transmission Model (CTM), or microscopic traffic simulation model VISSIM). Here, the extracted entry time of an observed vehicle at a pre-defined location upstream of the signal and its travel time are used to establish the probabilistic relationship. On the other hand, they are also the input parameters of the model for the estimation. Then, by combining a dynamic traffic flow model with Bayesian inference, we develop a framework to establish the learning process for traffic parameters estimation, such as traffic volume and traffic flow model parameters. The proposed framework is evaluated with different traffic flow models using the NGSIM dataset of an arterial corridor with three signalized intersections. For the CTM-BN model, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the estimation is generally below 5% when the penetration rate is above 12%. Regarding the VISSIM-BN model, the MAPE of the estimation is generally below 5% when the penetration rate is above 6%. These results demonstrate the applicability of the framework even under a relatively low penetration rate, and that the fidelity of the dynamic traffic model used does influence the estimation performance.

Developing a Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicle (HFCV) Energy Consumption Model for Transportation Applications

This paper presents a simple hydrogen fuel cell vehicle (HFCV) energy consumption model. Simple fuel/energy consumption models have been developed and employed to estimate the energy and environmental impacts of various transportation projects for internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), battery electric vehicles (BEVs), and hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs). However, there are few published results on HFCV energy models that can be simply implemented in transportation applications. The proposed HFCV energy model computes instantaneous energy consumption utilizing instantaneous vehicle speed, acceleration, and roadway grade as input variables. The mode accurately estimates energy consumption, generating errors of 0.86% and 2.17% relative to laboratory data for the fuel cell estimation and the total energy estimation, respectively. Furthermore, this work validated the proposed model against independent data and found that the new model accurately estimated the energy consumption, producing an error of 1.9% and 1.0% relative to empirical data for the fuel cell and the total energy estimation, respectively. The results demonstrate that transportation engineers, policy makers, automakers, and environmental engineers can use the proposed model to evaluate the energy consumption effects of transportation projects and connected and automated vehicle (CAV) transportation applications within microscopic traffic simulation models.

Dynamic Hybrid Traffic Simulation Model at Merge and Diverge Sections at Highway

Traffic simulation is useful for testing many scenarios at a low cost and finding a good maintenance plan. However, detailed simulation in a wide area is costly. A dynamic hybrid traffic simulation model was proposed to achieve both precision and low computational cost simultaneously. In the dynamic hybrid model, a microscopic traffic simulation model is used where traffic jams occur, a macroscopic traffic simulation model is used in other areas, and these models are switched dynamically. The main target area of this model is a highway, but the model cannot handle merging and diverging sections currently. The authors are developing an improved dynamic hybrid model for these sections. In this paper, Cell Transmission Model is extended for merging and diverging sections, and a microscopic traffic simulation model was extended for merging sections.

Traffic flow at signalized intersections with large volumes of bicycle traffic

The popularity of utilitarian bicycling is increasing in many urban areas. As a result, growing volumes of bicycle traffic on road networks have significant impacts on traffic flow and the capacity of vehicular traffic, particularly at intersections. The goal of this paper is to quantify the impact of large volumes of bicycle traffic on the capacity of signalized intersections concerning vehicular streams crossing the intersection, turning right, and turning left. Empirical studies are conducted to gain insight into the speed, acceleration, queue density, queue discharge, and conflict zone occupancy time of bicycle traffic. Data were collected at sites with varying infrastructure designs and bicycle traffic volumes. The results of the empirical studies are used to assess the effects of bicycle infrastructure on traffic efficiency and build, calibrate, and validate microscopic traffic simulation models. The bicycle traffic volume is incrementally increased in the simulation models to supplement the data from the empirical studies. Based on the empirical findings and simulation results, the average queue discharge time per bicyclist based on the facility width is derived and two factors for the reduction in the capacity of vehicular traffic turning left and turning right based on the actual green time ratio and the volume of crossing bicycle traffic are proposed. If a bike box is present on an intersection approach, findings show that crossing bicycle traffic has a negligible effect on the capacity of crossing vehicular traffic, which bicyclists turning left impede vehicular traffic.

A novel traffic conflict risk measure considering the effect of vehicle weight

Introduction: Vehicle weight is deterministic to the impact force in collision, and thus the injury risk of vehicle occupants. In China, involvement of heavy vehicles in overall and fatal crashes are prevalent, even though heavy vehicles only constitute a small proportion of overall registered motor vehicles. However, vehicle weight is rarely considered in the existing traffic conflict risk prediction and assessment models because of the unavailability of required data. Method: Novel risk indicators for the diagnosis of traffic conflict risk map, considering the effect of vehicle weight, are proposed, with the advantage of comprehensive traffic flow characteristics and vehicle weight data using Weigh-in-Motion (WIM) technique. Weight-incorporated risk level (WRL) and weight integrated risk level (WIRL) are established to quantify the traffic conflict risk, at an instant and over a specified time period, respectively, by extending the conventional traffic conflict risk measures including time-to-collision (TTC) and modified potential collision energy (PCE). Then, a microscopic traffic simulation model is adopted to estimate the traffic conflict risk map along a highway segment that has partial lane closure. The traffic conflict risk performances, between the risk indicators with and without considering the vehicle weight, are compared. Results: The traffic conflict risks estimated using conventional risk indicators without considering the vehicle weight are generally lower than that based on WRL and WIRL. The difference is more profound when the proportion of heavy vehicles in the traffic stream increases. Conclusions: The finding is indicative to remedial engineering measures including variable message sign, speed limit, and ramp metering that can mitigate the real-time crash risks on highways, especially in adverse environmental and weather conditions, with due consideration of vehicle composition and crash worthiness of vehicles.

Parameter Sensitivity Analysis of a Cooperative Dynamic Bus Lane System With Connected Vehicles

This paper aims to evaluate the sensitivity of the proposed cooperative dynamic bus lane system with microscopic traffic simulation models. The system creates a flexible bus priority lane that is only activated on demand at an appropriate time with advanced information and communication technologies, which can maximize the use of road space. A decentralized multi-lane cooperative algorithm is developed and implemented in a microscopic simulation environment to coordinate lane changing, gap acceptance, and car-following driving behavior for the connected vehicles (CVs) on the bus lane and the adjacent lanes. The key parameters for the sensitivity study include the penetration rate and communication range of CVs, considering the transition period and gradual uptake of CVs. Multiple scenarios are developed and compared to analyze the impact of key parameters on the system’s performance, such as total saved travel time of all passengers and travel time variation among buses and private vehicles. The microscopic simulation models showed that the cooperative dynamic bus lane system is significantly sensitive to the variations of the penetration rate and the communication range in a congested traffic state. With a CV system and a communication range of 150 m, buses obtain maximum benefits with minimal impacts on private vehicles in the study simulation. The safety concerns induced by cooperative driving behavior are also discussed in this paper.