Method For Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Research Articles

A Comparison of Alternative GIS Data Model Methods for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping with XGBoost and SHAP

Geographic Information Systems and machine learning algorithms suggest good alternatives for producing landslide susceptibility maps. In the process of producing these maps with machine learning, alternative data model options exist. Success rate of analyses may change according to the preferred data method. In this study, 6 different machine learning models were created by passing different data models with the XGBoost algorithm. Study area is located in the cities of Ordu and Giresun, Turkiye. 14 different factors and related geographic data layers were used. As a result of the study, the most successful model performance was achieved by taking the average values of all pixels of the combined landslide record polygons (Accuracy=0,88, Precision=0,86, F1 score=0,87). SHAP method was applied for better interpretation of machine learning results The susceptibility map produced with the ideal model, overlapped with 57.556 buildings in the region. The buildings were classified in 4 groups (low, moderate, high, and very high) and mapped, indicating their risk level.

Optimized Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Modelling Using the SBAS-InSAR Coupling Model

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) can accurately estimate the location and probability of landslides. An effective approach for precise LSM is crucial for minimizing casualties and damage. The existing LSM methods primarily rely on static indicators, such as geomorphology and hydrology, which are closely associated with geo-environmental conditions. However, landslide hazards are often characterized by significant surface deformation. The Small Baseline Subset-Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology plays a pivotal role in detecting and characterizing surface deformation. This work endeavors to assess the accuracy of SBAS-InSAR coupled with ensemble learning for LSM. Within this research, the study area was Shiyan City, and 12 static evaluation factors were selected as input variables for the ensemble learning models to compute landslide susceptibility. The Random Forest (RF) model demonstrates superior accuracy compared to other ensemble learning models, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Logistic Regression, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, and K-Nearest Neighbor. Furthermore, SBAS-InSAR was utilized to obtain surface deformation rates both in the vertical direction and along the line of sight of the satellite. The former is used as a dynamic characteristic factor, while the latter is combined with the evaluation results of the RF model to create a landslide susceptibility optimization matrix. Comparing the precision of two methods for refining LSM results, it was found that the method integrating static and dynamic factors produced a more rational and accurate landslide susceptibility map.

Comparative Analysis of Frequency Ratio, Logistic Regression and Deep Learning Methods for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Tokat Province on the North Anatolian Fault Zone (Turkey)

In the current investigation, a Geographic Information System (GIS) and machine learning-based software were employed to generate and compare landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) for the city center of Tokat, which is situated within the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) in the Central Black Sea Region of Turkey, covering an area of approximately 2003 km2. 294 landslides were identified within the study area, with 258 (70%) randomly selected for modeling and the remaining 36 (30%) used for model validation. Three distinct methodologies were used to generate LSMs, namely Frequency Ratio (FR), Logistic Regression (LR), and Deep Learning (DL), using nine parameters, including slope, aspect, curvature, elevation, lithology, rainfall, distance to fault, distance to road, and distance to stream. The susceptibility maps produced in this study were categorized into five classes based on the level of susceptibility, ranging from very low to very high. This study used the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), overall accuracy, and precision methods to validate the results of the generated LSMs and compare and evaluate the performance. DL outperformed all validation methods compared to the others. Finally, it is concluded that the generated LSMs will assist decision-makers in mitigating the damage caused by landslides in the study area.

Landslide susceptibility mapping using frequency ratio method along the Bhaderwah-Bani Road, Jammu and Kashmir, India

This study outlines a method for landslide susceptibility mapping utilizing remote sensing and geographic information systems (GIS). Since the terrain from Bhaderwah to Bani in J&K is prone to landslide threats, the study has been conducted there. The purpose of the current study is to determine and identify the significant terrain elements causing landslides. Nine contributing factors on landslides were taken into account throughout the analysis. Thematic data layers are created in the GIS domain based on local events. Topographic maps, satellite images, on-site observations and publicly available published maps are used to gather the landscape data. To determine the standardized scores of criteria expressing their factor of importance for a given decision problem in terms of thematic parameters, categories, and their normalized weights the Frequency ratio (FR) method is used to digitize these maps along with tabular data and to create a GIS database. A particular landslide susceptibility zonation (LSZ) map was created on a GIS platform by statistically combining weightages from several thematic maps. Using FR, the LSZ map was divided into five separate susceptibility zones. According to the study's finding, 8% of the area is in a very high susceptibility zone, with the remaining 12%, 15%, 23%, and 42% falling into high, moderate, low, and very low susceptibility zones, respectively. The outcomes of the current study might aid policy and decision makers in moving forward with regional development initiatives including land use planning.

A Knowledge-Guided Approach for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Convolutional Neural Network and Graph Contrastive Learning

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) constitutes a valuable analytical instrument for estimating the likelihood of landslide occurrence, thereby furnishing a scientific foundation for the prevention of natural hazards, land-use planning, and economic development in landslide-prone areas. Existing LSM methods are predominantly data-driven, allowing for significantly enhanced monitoring accuracy. However, these methods often overlook the consideration of landslide mechanisms and uncertainties associated with non-landslide samples, resulting in lower model reliability. To effectively address this issue, a knowledge-guided landslide susceptibility assessment framework is proposed in this study to enhance the interpretability and monitoring accuracy of LSM. First, a landslide knowledge graph is constructed to model the relationships between landslide entities and summarize landslide susceptibility rules. Next, combining the obtained landslide rules with geographic similarity principles, high-confidence non-landslide samples are selected to optimize the quality of the samples. Subsequently, a Landslide Knowledge Fusion Cell (LKF-Cell) is utilized to couple landslide data with landslide knowledge, resulting in the acquisition of informative and semantically rich landslide event features. Finally, a precise and credible landslide susceptibility assessment model is built based on a convolutional neural network (CNN), and landslide susceptibility spatial distribution levels are mapped. The research findings indicate that the CNN-based model outperforms traditional machine learning algorithms in predicting landslide probability; in particular, the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the model was improved by 3–6% after sample optimization, and the AUC value of the LKF-Cell method was 6–11% higher than the baseline method.

A Graph–Transformer Method for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

A Graph–Transformer Method for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

Naïve and Semi-Naïve Bayesian Classification of Landslide Susceptibility Applied to the Kulekhani River Basin in Nepal as a Test Case

Naïve Bayes classification is widely used for landslide susceptibility analysis, especially in the form of weights-of-evidence. However, when significant conditional dependence is present, the probabilities derived from weights-of-evidence are biased, resulting in an overestimation of landslide susceptibility. As a solution, this study presents a semi-naïve Bayesian method for landslide susceptibility mapping by combining logistic regression with weights-of-evidence. The utility of the method is tested by application to a case study in the Kulekhani River Basin in Central Nepal. The results show that the naïve Bayes approach with weights-of-evidence overpredicts the posterior probability of landslide occurrence by a factor of about two, while the semi-naïve Bayes approach, which uses logistic regression with weights-of-evidence, is unbiased and has more discriminatory power for landslide susceptibility mapping. In addition, the semi-naïve Bayes approach can statistically distinguish the main factors that promote landslides and allows us to estimate the model uncertainty by calculating the standard error of the predictions.

An innovative method for landslide susceptibility mapping supported by fractal theory, GeoDetector, and random forest: a case study in Sichuan Province, SW China

An innovative method for landslide susceptibility mapping supported by fractal theory, GeoDetector, and random forest: a case study in Sichuan Province, SW China

Application of Bagging, Boosting and Stacking Ensemble and EasyEnsemble Methods for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area of China

Since the impoundment of the Three Gorges Reservoir area in 2003, the potential risks of geological disasters in the reservoir area have increased significantly, among which the hidden dangers of landslides are particularly prominent. To reduce casualties and damage, efficient and precise landslide susceptibility evaluation methods are important. Multiple ensemble models have been used to evaluate the susceptibility of the upper part of Badong County to landslides. In this study, EasyEnsemble technology was used to solve the imbalance between landslide and nonlandslide sample data. The extracted evaluation factors were input into three bagging, boosting, and stacking ensemble models for training, and landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) was drawn. According to the importance analysis, the important factors affecting the occurrence of landslides are altitude, terrain surface texture (TST), distance to residences, distance to rivers and land use. The influences of different grid sizes on the susceptibility results were compared, and a larger grid was found to lead to the overfitting of the prediction results. Therefore, a 30 m grid was selected as the evaluation unit. The accuracy, area under the curve (AUC), recall rate, test set precision, and kappa coefficient of a multi-grained cascade forest (gcForest) model with the stacking method were 0.958, 0.991, 0.965, 0.946, and 0.91, respectively, which a significantly better than the values produced by the other models.

A robust discretization method of factor screening for landslide susceptibility mapping using convolution neural network, random forest, and logistic regression models

ABSTRACT The selection of discretization criteria and interval numbers of landslide-related environmental factors generally fails to quantitatively determine or filter, resulting in uncertainties and limitations in the performance of machine learning (ML) methods for landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM). The aim of this study is to propose a robust discretization criterion (RDC) to quantify and explore the uncertainty and subjectivity of different discretization methods. The RDC consists of two steps: raw classification dataset generation and optimal dataset extraction. To evaluate the robustness of the proposed RDC method, Lushan County of Sichuan Province in China was chosen as the study area to generate the LSM based on three datasets (optimal dataset, original dataset with continuous values, and statistical dataset) using three popular ML methods, namely, convolution neural network, random forest, and logistic regression. The results show that the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of the optimal dataset for the abovementioned ML models are 0.963, 0.961, and 0.930 which are higher than those of the original dataset (0.938, 0.947, and 0.900) and statistical dataset (0.948, 0.954, and 0.897). In conclusion, the RDC method can extract the more representative features from environmental factors and outperform the other conventional discretization methods.

An objective absence data sampling method for landslide susceptibility mapping

The accuracy and quality of the landslide susceptibility map depend on the available landslide locations and the sampling strategy for absence data (non-landslide locations). In this study, we propose an objective method to determine the critical value for sampling absence data based on Mahalanobis distances (MD). We demonstrate this method on landslide susceptibility mapping of three subdistricts (Upazilas) of the Rangamati district, Bangladesh, and compare the results with the landslide susceptibility map produced based on the slope-based absence data sampling method. Using the 15 landslide causal factors, including slope, aspect, and plan curvature, we first determine the critical value of 23.69 based on the Chi-square distribution with 14 degrees of freedom. This critical value was then used to determine the sampling space for 261 random absence data. In comparison, we chose another set of the absence data based on a slope threshold of < 3°. The landslide susceptibility maps were then generated using the random forest model. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and the Kappa index were used for accuracy assessment, while the Seed Cell Area Index (SCAI) was used for consistency assessment. The landslide susceptibility map produced using our proposed method has relatively high model fitting (0.87), prediction (0.85), and Kappa values (0.77). Even though the landslide susceptibility map produced by the slope-based sampling also has relatively high accuracy, the SCAI values suggest lower consistency. Furthermore, slope-based sampling is highly subjective; therefore, we recommend using MD -based absence data sampling for landslide susceptibility mapping.

Stacking ensemble of machine learning methods for landslide susceptibility mapping in Zhangjiajie City, Hunan Province, China

The current study aims to apply and compare the performance of six machine learning algorithms, including three basic classifiers: random forest (RF), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB), as well as their hybrid classifiers, using the logistic regression (LR) method (RF + LR, GBDT + LR, and XGB + LR), to map the landslide susceptibility of Zhangjiajie City, Hunan Province, China. First, a landslide inventory map was created with 206 historical landslide points and 412 non-landslide points, which was randomly divided into two datasets for model training (80%) and model testing (20%). Second, a landslide factor database was initially established by selecting 15 landslide conditioning factors from the topography, hydrology, climate, geology, and artificial activities. Thereafter, the multicollinearity test and information gain ratio (IGR) technique were applied to rank the importance of the factors. Subsequently, we used a series of metrics (e.g., accuracy, precision, recall, f-measure, area under the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve (AUC), kappa index, mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE)) to evaluate the accuracy and performance of the six models. Based on the AUC values derived from the models, the GBDT + LR model with the highest AUC value (0.8168) was identified as the most efficient model for mapping landslide susceptibility, followed by the XGB + LR, XGB, RF + LR, GBDT, and RF models, which achieved AUC values of 0.8124, 0.8118, 0.8060, 0.7927, and 0.7883, respectively. The results from this study suggest that the stacking ensemble machine learning method is promising for use in landslide susceptibility mapping in the Zhangjiajie area and is capable of targeting the areas prone to landslides.

Application and validation of AHP and FR methods for landslide susceptibility mapping around choke mountain, northwestern ethiopia

The present research was conducted around Choke Mountain, East Gojjam, Northwestern Ethiopia. This study aimed to apply and validate analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and frequency ratio (FR) Methods and produce landslide susceptibility maps of the area. At first, a landslide inventory map was produced with information on past and active landslide locations. To produce a susceptibility map, nine influencing factors including lithology, slope, elevation, distance to drainage, distance to road, profile curvature, plane curvature, NDVI, and aspect were determined and integrated into the ArcGIS platform. All these influencing factors were statistically analyzed to determine their relationship to past landslides. The landslide susceptibility maps generated in the GIS environment by the AHP and FR methods were classified into five susceptibility classes: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. Accordingly, the AHP method showed that very high susceptibility zones and high susceptibility zones cover 9.8% and 19.3% of the area, respectively. Whereas, moderate, low, and very low susceptibility zones cover 26.1%, 28.0%, and 16.8% of the area, respectively. Similarly, the FR method showed that very high susceptibility zones and high susceptibility zones cover 12.2% and 22.5% of the area, respectively. Whereas, moderate, low, and very low susceptibility zones cover 27.6%, 24.2%, and 13.4% of the area, respectively. The final results were compared and validated using the area under the curve (AUC) method. According to the AUC graph, the AHP and FR methods had success rates of 85.8 and 82.0%, respectively, and prediction rates of 88.2 and 84.8%. According to the AUC validation results, the map obtained from the AHP method is more accurate than that obtained from the FR method. Thus, the validation of the landslide susceptibility map demonstrated that the methodologies used resulted in acceptable results. This type of map can be useful for damage and risk prevention management and land use planning.

Using Landslide Statistical Index Technique for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: Case Study: Ban Khoang Commune, Lao Cai Province, Vietnam

Ban Khoang is a mountainous commune in Sa Pa district located in the central part of Lao Cai province, Vietnam. Landslides occur frequently in this area and seriously affect the local living conditions. To help the local authority in developing a landslide disaster action plan, the statistical index method for landslide susceptibility mapping is applied. As the result, the landslide susceptibility zonation (LSZ) map was created. The LSZ map indicates that areas of low, moderate, high and very high landslide susceptibility zones are, respectively, 20.3 km2, 12.4 km2, 15.4 km2, and 5.2 km2; most of the observed landslide areas that are well predicted belong to high or very high landslide susceptibility classes. In detail, 80% observed landslide areas and 78.57% number of observed landslides were well predicted, and the area (AUC) under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve obtained 80.3%. Hence, the high and very high landslide susceptibility classes in the LSZ map can be considered highly believable, and the LSZ map will be reliable to use in the practice.

Spatial mapping of landslide susceptibility in Jerash governorate of Jordan using genetic algorithm-based wrapper feature selection and bagging-based ensemble model

This study employs five genetic algorithm (GA)-based machine learning (ML) models, namely the Decision Tree (DT), k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN), NaïveBayes (NB), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), to build a novel ensemble algorithm that is founded on the Bagging method for landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) in Jerash Governorate, north of Jordan. The GA-based wrapper feature selection (FS) was done based on the five individual models and in the initial stages of modeling, an inquiry for the best feature for each of the five models was made. Finally, five hybrid models, namely DT-GA, kNN-GA, NB-GA, SVM-GA, and ELM-GA were constructed and combined to create Bagging-based ensemble model. The FS outcomes uncovered that rainfall depth, distance to roads, the Stream Power Index, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, slope, geology, and aspect are the most influential determinants of landslides. After the significant variables were identified, they were selected as input predictors and entered into the models. GA-based Bagging ensemble model with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.85 achieved the highest accuracy in the validation run, followed by SVM-GA (AUROC = 0.80), NB-GA (AUROC = 0.76), DT-GA (AUROC = 0.72), kNN-GA (AUROC = 0.70), and ELM-GA (AUROC = 0.48).

LAND-SUITE V1.0: a suite of tools for statistically based landslide susceptibility zonation

Abstract. In the past 50 years, a large variety of statistically based models and methods for landslide susceptibility mapping and zonation have been proposed in the literature. The methods, which are applicable to a large range of spatial scales, use a large variety of input thematic data, different model combinations, and several approaches to evaluate the models' performance. Despite the numerous applications available in the literature, a standard approach for susceptibility modeling and zonation is still missing. The literature search revealed that several software program and tools are available to evaluate regional slope stability using physically based analysis, but only a few use statistically based approaches. Among them, LAND-SE (LANDslide Susceptibility Evaluation) provides the possibility to perform and combine different statistical susceptibility models and to evaluate their performances and associated uncertainties. This paper describes the structure and the functionalities of LAND-SUITE, a suite of tools for statistically based landslide susceptibility modeling which integrates LAND-SE. LAND-SUITE completes and extends LAND-SE, adding functionalities to (i) facilitate input data preparation, (ii) perform preliminary and exploratory analysis of the available data, and (iii) test different combinations of variables and select the optimal thematic/explanatory set. LAND-SUITE provides a tool to assist the user during the data preparatory phase and to perform diversified statistically based landslide susceptibility applications.

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping along the Anninghe Fault Zone in China using SVM and ACO-PSO-SVM Models

Abstract In the present study, a hybrid machine learning model was designed by integrating ant colony optimization (ACO), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms. The model was used to map the landslide susceptibility of the Anninghe fault zone in Sichuan Province, China. Based on this, 12 conditioning factors associated with landslides were considered, namely, altitude, slope angle, cutting depth, slope aspect, relief amplitude, stream power index (SPI), gully density, lithology, rainfall, road density, distance to fault, and peak ground acceleration (PGA). The overall performance of the two resulting models was tested using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), area under the ROC curve (AUC), Cohen’s kappa coefficient, and five statistical evaluation measures. The success rates of the ACO-PSO-SVM model and the SVM model were 0.898 and 0.814, respectively, while the prediction rates of the two models were 0.887 and 0.804, respectively. The results show that the ACO-PSO-SVM model yields better overall performance and accurate results than the SVM model. Therefore, in conclusion, the ACO-PSO-SVM model can be applied as a new promising method for landslide susceptibility mapping in subsequent studies. The results of this study will be useful for land-use planning, hazard prevention, and risk management.

GIS-Based AHP and FR Methods for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Abay Gorge, Dejen–Renaissance Bridge, Central, Ethiopia

GIS-Based AHP and FR Methods for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Abay Gorge, Dejen–Renaissance Bridge, Central, Ethiopia

A comparative study of different neural network models for landslide susceptibility mapping

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) can be used to determine the spatial probability of landslide occurrence. There are many methods for LSM, including statistical methods, traditional machine learning methods and deep learning methods, etc. However, the difference comparison of these methods has been not perfect, especially the comparison of different neural network models for LSM and their application prospects were rarely studied. In this paper, the classical neural net-work multi-layer perceptron (MLP), convolutional neural network (CNN), gated recurrent unit (GRU) and multi-scale convolutional neural network (MSCNN) four models are selected for comparison. Taking Lanzhou city, Gansu Province, China as an example, eight landslide-related influencing factors and historical landslide and non-landslide locations were selected, and the training set and validation set were divided according to 7:3. Through training the four models, four landslide susceptibility maps were generated. The experimental results were verified and compared by the confusion matrix, Kappa coefficient, F1-score and other statistical indicators. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Precision-Recall (PR) curve were plotted to evaluate the classification effect and generalization capability of four models. The results show that the constructed MSCNN is the optimal model, which has the best performance both in the training process and in the mapping results. MSCNN model has the highest value of Recall (99.93%), Kappa (0.96) and F1-score (0.98) in the confusion matrix. In addition, ROC curve and PR curve of MSCNN model maintain the maximum area under curve (AUC) on different data sets. In the comparison, MLP and GRU accept sequence features, while CNN and MSCNN accept neighborhood features. In general, the prediction model considering neighborhood features contains more information in the limited input data and is better than the prediction model considering sequence features in all evaluation indicators. Therefore, we think that the neighborhood features can better represent the landslide occurrence characteristics. In the future model design process for LSM, more attention should be paid to the neighborhood features of landslide influencing factors.

A comparative analysis of weight-based machine learning methods for landslide susceptibility mapping in Ha Giang area

ABSTRACT Landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) are very crucial for planning policies in hazardous areas. However, the accuracy and reliability of LSMs depend on available data and the selection of suitable methods. This study is conducted to produce LSMs by combinations of machine learning methods and weighting techniques for Ha Giang province, Vietnam, where has limited data. In study area, we gather 11 landslide conditioning factors and establish a landslide inventory map. Computing the weights of classes (or factors) is very important to prepare data for machine learning methods to generate LSMs. We first use frequency ratio (FR) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) techniques to generate the weights. Then, random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), and AHP methods are combined with FR and AHP weights to yield accurate and reliable LSMs. Finally, the performance of these methods is evaluated by five statistical metrics, ROC and R-index. The empirical results have shown that RF is the best method in terms of R-index and the five metrics, i.e. TP rate (0.9661), FP rate (0.0), ACC (0.9835), MAE (0.0046), and RMSE (0.0350) for this study area. This study opens the perspective of weight-based machine learning methods for landslide susceptibility mapping.