To study associations between MRI-derived subchondral trabecular biomarkers obtained from conventional MRI sequences and knee cartilage loss over 12 and 24months, using the FNIH osteoarthritis (OA) biomarkers consortium. Data of the 600 subjects in the FNIH OA biomarkers consortium (a nested case-control study within Osteoarthritis Initiative [OAI]) were extracted from the online database. Baseline knee MRI (intermediate-weighted (IW) sequences) were evaluated to determine conventional MRI-derived trabecular thickness (cTbTh) and bone-to-total ratio (cBV/TV). The measurements for medial and lateral volumes of cartilages using baseline, 12-, and 24-month knee MRI were extracted from the OAI database, and cartilage volume loss over 12 and 24months of follow-up were determined using Relative Change Index. The association between conventional MRI-based subchondral trabecular biomarkers and cartilage volume loss were studied using logistic regression models, adjusted for relevant confounders including age, sex, body mass index (BMI), vitamin D use, Kellgren Lawrence grade (KLG), and tibiofemoral alignment. Higher medial cTbTh and cBV/TV at baseline were associated with increased odds of medial tibial cartilage volume loss over 12months (ORs: 1.01 [1.00-1.02] and 1.24 [1.10-1.39] per 1-SD change) and 24months (ORs: 1.01 [1.00-1.02] and 1.22 [1.08-1.37], per 1-SD change). No significant association was observed between medial subchondral trabecular biomarkers and lateral tibial or femoral (medial or lateral) cartilage volume loss over the first and second follow-up years. Conventional MRI-derived subchondral trabecular biomarkers (higher medial cTbTh and cBV/TV) may be associated with increased medial tibial cartilage volume loss as early as 1year.
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