Medieval Warm Period Research Articles

Major moisture shifts in inland Northeast Asia during the last millennium

Abstract Previous paleoenvironmental data synthesis indicates that arid central Asia (“westerlies Asia”) and mid-latitude East Asia (“monsoonal Asia”) show anti-phased moisture variations over the last millennium. However, there are very few records from inland Northeast Asia, which obscures the spatial extent of or the boundary between the two domains and hinders the assessment of climate change impacts and consequences across the region. Here, we present a multi-proxy record that combines peat properties, plant macrofossils, and isotopic ratios of Sphagnum moss cellulose from a unique precipitation-fed peatland in northern Northeast China to fill this critical data gap. The results show major centennial-scale moisture anomalies at this site, with drier and wetter conditions during the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age, respectively, which resemble the pattern of moisture changes in “westerlies Asia”. During the period of rapid anthropogenic warming, the site is much drier, with isotopic evidence for threshold-like summer desiccation of peat-forming Sphagnum mosses. This study provides the long-term context and identifies the large-scale pattern of moisture variability in an inland region home to carbon-rich peatlands, forests, and permafrost soils, and highlights their potential vulnerability to future warming-enhanced drying that can be transmitted widely through atmospheric teleconnection.

Palaeoecological Conditions in the South-Eastern and Western Baltic Sea during the Last Millennium

We present the reconstruction of palaeoenvironmental conditions in the Gdansk, Bornholm, and Arkona Basins of the Baltic Sea over the last millennium. A multiproxy study (including geochemical, XRF, grain size, AMS, and micropalaeontological analyses) of five short sediment cores was performed. The relative age of the sediments was determined based on the Pb distribution along the sediment sequences, as radiocarbon dating has resulted in an excessively old age. The retrieved cores cover two comparable warm periods, the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Modern Warm Period, for which the increase in surface water productivity was reconstructed. Notably, the production of diatoms was higher during the colder periods (the Dark Ages and Little Ice Age), but this was also the case within the Modern Warm Period. In the Gdansk Basin, the initial salinity increase during the Littorina transgression started after 7.7 cal. a BP. The increased inflow activity was reconstructed during the Medieval Climate Anomaly, even in the Gdansk Basin, despite, in general, very low foraminiferal amounts and diversity. The strongly positive North Atlantic Oscillation Index during this period led to the prevalence of westerly winds over the Baltic region and stronger saltwater intrusions. In the recent sediments, the reconstructed inflow frequency demonstrates a variability against the reduction trend, and a general decline compared to the Medieval Climate Anomaly is seen.

Archaeological Geology of Jurash, ʿAsīr Province, Southwestern Saudi Arabia

ABSTRACTThe Jurash archaeological site is located on Wādī Bīshah near the city of Khamīs Mushayt in southwestern Saudi Arabia. It has a fort and other remains from the pre‐Islamic period (third century bc to early seventh century ad) and a settlement with two mosques from the Early Islamic period (early seventh to early 11th centuries ad). A survey was conducted for the purposes of identifying the building materials and determining their geographic sources, and also investigating the building methods. It was found that all materials were locally derived and that the fort's outer wall is a typical example of South Arabian fortifications of the first millennium bc. An examination of the site stratigraphy revealed that Jurash has been repeatedly inundated by destructive flash floods from Wādī Bīshah. The timing of these events was largely controlled by global climatic fluctuations, including the Medieval Climate Anomaly and the Little Ice Age.

Environmental changes and human impacts over the past 1200 years: Evidence from high-resolution pollen records from peat in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, Southwest China

Over the past millennium, the understanding of vegetation and climate changes in mountainous regions, driven by both natural and anthropogenic forces, remains unclear. In this study, we provide a high-resolution vegetation record spanning the past 1200 years from a subalpine peatland in the Niangniang Mountains, southwestern China. By analyzing pollen, charcoal, and loss-on-ignition from the peat sediment, we elucidate the interactions between vegetation, fire, and human impact. Our findings reveal that before 1150 CE, the mountains were covered with dense broadleaf forests and experienced minimal human activity. Natural forcings, primarily climatic conditions, drove vegetation succession and forest fires. After 1150 CE, the Human Influence Index (HII) increased sharply, coinciding with a rise in cereal-type pollen. Significant agricultural activities in the southwestern mountainous regions of China began after 1150 CE, which is later than those in the low-altitude lake basins of southwestern China. During the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA, 836–1400 CE), the Niangniang Mountains were characterized by warm and humid climatic conditions, a stable forested landscape, and a high peat carbon accumulation rate. Although human activities increased markedly during this period, the arbors did not undergo notable changes, and climate forcings continued to have a greater impact on vegetation than anthropogenic forcings. During the Little Ice Age (LIA, 1400–1900 CE), the regional vegetation landscape transitioned from dense forests to open grasslands as climate conditions became cold and dry, reducing peat carbon accumulation rate. This period also saw increased forest fires and significant human-driven deforestation, with anthropogenic forcings becoming dominant. After 1900 CE, vegetation changes were increasingly influenced by government policies. Comparison with major climate forcings and spectrum analysis have shown that variations in monsoon intensity, regulated by solar and volcanic activity, have influenced the climate and peat depositional environment in the Niangniang Mountains. Our research offers meaningful insights into forest conservation in the mountainous regions of the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau.

South American monsoon intensification during the last millennium driven by joint Pacific and Atlantic forcing

The South American summer monsoon (SASM) profoundly influences tropical South America’s climate, yet understanding its low-frequency variability has been challenging. Climate models and oxygen isotope data have been used to examine the SASM variability over the last millennium (LM) but have, at times, provided conflicting findings, especially regarding its mean-state change from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age. Here, we use a paleoclimate data assimilation (DA) method, combining model results and δ 18 O observations, to produce a δ 18 O-enabled, dynamically coherent, and spatiotemporally complete austral summer hydroclimate reconstruction over the LM for tropical South America at 5-year resolution. This reconstruction aligns with independent hydroclimate and δ 18 O records withheld from the DA, revealing a centennial-scale SASM intensification during the MCA-LIA transition period, associated with the southward shift of the Atlantic Intertropical Convergence Zone and the strengthening Pacific Walker circulation (PWC). This highlights the necessity of accurately representing the PWC in climate models to predict future SASM changes.

A Holocene fire history from Terra Nova National Park, Newfoundland, Canada: vegetation and climate change both influenced the fire regime

Fire is the largest natural disturbance factor in the boreal forest and plays a critical role in the composition, structure, and succession of stands and landscapes. The island of Newfoundland, located in eastern Canada, is subjected to a greater maritime influence, which may result in longer fire return intervals. The limited data on the fire regime does not account for interactions between fire, vegetation, and climate throughout the Holocene. We used sediment cores from Arnold’s Pond, Terra Nova National Park, which covered the last ~11,800 cal. yr BP, to investigate these interactions. We recognize 4 pollen zones and macroscopic charcoal analysis detected 45 local fire events. The 250-year mean fire return interval associated with the current vegetation is longer than a previous estimate for the park, but significantly shorter than other estimates for the island. Our mean fire return interval is within the range of fire estimates from Québec with similar vegetation. Our results suggest that the fire regime was primarily influenced by vegetation and climate. The transition to an open forest from a shrub tundra resulted in increased fire activity and fire frequency, which were likely driven by additional fuel on the landscape, but could have also been influenced by unknown climatic factors. We identified several examples of changes in the fire frequencies and/or charcoal accumulation that coincided with regional climate shifts, but we also identified a non-synchronous change. The non-synchronous shift to drier conditions resulted in a ~500-year time lag between peak Pinus strobus abundance and maximum fire frequency. Synchronous shifts in fire activity and/or fire frequency coincided with the 8200 event, Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age. We also noted a decrease in fire frequency between 2600–1500 cal. yr BP that coincided with similar changes in the fire frequency from ~3000–1000 cal. yr BP in Québec. Our study highlights the complex interactions influencing the fire regime in our study area during the Holocene.

Multi-proxy reconstruction of climate changes from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age in Southeast China

Exploring climate fluctuations across geological eras provides crucial historical context for addressing contemporary global climate challenges. This research leverages multi-proxies records analytical techniques, including pollen and charcoal analysis, X-ray fluorescence (XRF), and assessments of humification degree and loss on ignition (LOI), alongside paleoclimate simulations based on an alpine peat bog in Jiangxi Province, Southeast China. The study aims to provide a comprehensive review of vegetation evolution, climatic shifts, East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) intensity, and the potential drivers behind EASM behavior over the past two millennia. Our findings reveal a significant transition in precipitation and temperature patterns from the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA, 960–1420 CE) to the Little Ice Age (LIA, 1420–1850 CE). A distinct pattern emerges, highlighting particularly wet periods occurring between 960–1050 CE, 1190–1250 CE, and 1350–1400 CE, as well as significant droughts during 1430–1550 CE, 1590–1650 CE, 1680–1720 CE, and 1750–1800 CE. When compared to our temperature reconstruction series and precipitation data, a clear correlation emerges—wet phases align with warmer period characteristic of the MCA. Based on our simulation results, we suggest that ENSO oscillations and the Indo-Pacific warm pool played a substantial role in driving climate dynamics from the MCA to the LIA.

Quantifying the internal and external drivers of Southeast Asian rainfall extremes on decadal timescales

Rainfall over mainland Southeast Asia experiences variability on seasonal to decadal timescales in response to a multitude of climate phenomena. Historical records and paleoclimate archives that span the last millennium reveal extreme multi-year rainfall variations that significantly affected the societies of mainland Southeast Asia. Here we utilize the Community Earth System Model Last Millennium Ensemble (CESM-LME) to quantify the contributions of internal and external drivers to decadal-scale rainfall extremes in the Southeast Asia region. We find that internal variability was dominant in driving both Southeast Asian drought and pluvial extremes on decadal timescales although external forcing impacts are also detectable. Specifically, rainfall extremes are more sensitive to Pacific Ocean internal variability than the state of the Indian Ocean. This discrepancy is greater for droughts than pluvials which we suggest is attributable to external forcing impacts that counteract the forced Indian Ocean teleconnections to Southeast Asia. Volcanic aerosols, the most effective radiative forcing during the last millennium, contributed to both the Ming Dynasty Drought (1637–1643) and the Strange Parallels Drought (1756–1768). From the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age, we observe a shift in Indo-Pacific teleconnection strength to Southeast Asia consistent with enhanced volcanism during the latter interval. This work not only highlights asymmetries in the drivers of rainfall extremes but also presents a framework for quantifying multivariate drivers of decadal-scale variability and hydroclimatic extremes.

Late Holocene vegetation history and monsoonal climate change from the Core Monsoon Zone of India

To understand the vegetation response to climate change and the Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall (ISMR) variability during the Late Holocene (approx. 2.5 ka), pollen analysis was conducted on a 1.2-m-long lacustrine sediment profile from the Korba District of Chhattisgarh, central India, within the core monsoon zone (CMZ). The pollen evidence suggest that between approx. 2500 and 1950 cal yr BP, open tropical deciduous forest vegetation occupied the landscape under a warm and relatively less humid climate, coupled with decreased ISMR. Between approx. 1950 and 1035 cal yr BP, a warm and relatively more humid climate prevailed, along with moderate ISMR, leading to the transition of the existing vegetation to an open mixed tropical deciduous forest. Between approx.1035 and 220 cal yr BP (CE 915–1730), the mixed tropical deciduous forest became established under a warm and humid climate with increased ISMR, coinciding globally with the Medieval Climatic Anomaly (MCA). Mixed tropical deciduous forest expanded and transformed into a dense mixed tropical deciduous forest between approx. 220 cal yr BP to the present (CE 1730 onwards). This transformation occurred under a warm and relatively more humid climate, accompanied by intensified ISMR, aligning with the Current Warm Period (CWP). Gradual forest transformation from open vegetation to dense mixed tropical deciduous forests, as well as in the ISMR has been observed since the last approx. 2.5 ka in central India. Cereal-based agricultural practices and other anthropogenic activities have been documented in the study area since approx. 2.5 ka, with an accelerated pace observed from 1035 cal yr BP to the present.

Late Holocene morphosedimentary and palaeoenvironmental study of the Middle Drâa river basin (southeastern Morocco)

The alluvial filling of the middle basin of the Drâa River (southeastern Morocco) has recorded hydrogeomorphological responses to environmental changes. A systematic study of the Holocene fluvial terraces along an upstream-downstream section of about a hundred kilometers, combined with a sedimentary multiproxy study, was carried out on the alluvial archives of the Drâa's river. The stratigraphic field studies, combined with granulometric and geochemical X-ray Fluorescence analyses and radiocarbon dating, enable us to propose, for the first time, a reconstruction of the major stages in the morpho-hydrodynamic and paleo-environmental evolution of the middle Drâa river over the past 3500 years. Our results highlight six morpho-hydrodynamic and paleoenvironmental phases. Between 3500–2700 and 1800–1600 cal BP, the Drâa river was highly active, associated with torrential activity, reflecting arid climatic conditions. The lack of sedimentary record observed between 2800 and 2350 cal BP points either to a phase of erosion, or to a minimal and discontinuous activity that left no traces in the studied archives. The periods 2350–1800 (Roman Warm Period) and 1600–550 cal BP (Medieval Climate Anomaly) are characterized by strong fine and more regular alluviation punctuated by episodes of low energy of the Drâa floodplain, sometimes favoring fluviosols development that showed similar characteristics in the three outcrops studied. Finally, from 550 cal BP the fluvial records generally shows signs of anthropization, marked by the formation of anthrosols characteristic of fluvial oasis construction, and associated with the presence of ceramics and hearths, in which eolization features are frequent. The comparison of Drâa evolution in a broader paleohydrological and climatic context, integrating other Moroccan studies and regional data, shows solid connection with the river, lakes, and marine archives from the southern Mediterranean to the Western Sahelian steppe zones, revealing a clear response of this large hydrosystem to regional climatic variations.

An assessment of oxbow lakes and their potential in reconstructing past river discharge: Implication to reconstruct past climate in Southern West Bengal

For modern fluvial systems, stage height, velocity, and cross-section help estimate a river’s discharge. However, understanding the amount and fluctuations of past discharges remains a challenge. The dimen-sions of the meander loops/oxbow lakes are directly proportional to the river’s discharge and the sedi-ment load type. Central West Bengal, India, has a complex network of numerous oxbow lakes as a rem-nant of the river Hooghly, a major distributary of the River Ganga. The present work revisits Schumm’s classic work to estimate river discharges from the meander loops and explores a potential proxy for es-timating past discharges. Thus, it is extended to reconstruct past climate using grain size data, facies analysis, and the dimension of the meander loops coupled with the luminescence chronology of oxbow lakes. The study reveals that the region received good rainfall during reported periods of intense mon-soon, and the increased discharge at different time intervals has given rise to numerous oxbow lakes. The discharge values have shown considerable fluctuations, rising to 15 to 20 times the current value and very few anomalously high, even up to 250 to 300 times, left unrecorded from other archives. The study shows the preservation of systematic growth of discharges and the meander loops with climate re-vealing events with anomalously high (and so highly disastrous) discharges at the scale of tens of thou-sands of years, usually missed from other archives. Results from Ichhamati and Hooghly River meander loops in West Bengal, India, indicate a manifold increase of discharges from the current during 1–1.5 ka (known as the Medieval Warm Period); around 2.2 ka and around 3.9 ka with low or gaps of enhanced monsoon, e.g., Little Ice Age and during 2.5–3.5 ka. This is an effort to show the potential of past mean-der loops to be explored well for comprehensive records.

Distentanging the late-Holocene human–environment interactions in the Altai Mountains within the Arid Central Asia

Understanding the impacts of human activities on landscapes necessitates a comprehensive analysis of historical changes in climate, vegetation, fire and land utilization. The human-environment interactions were investigated through the analysis of new charcoal data from Kelashazi Peat in the Altai Mountains, compared with the detailed paleoenvironmental records and historical human activities (e.g., agriculture and pastoralism) at other three distinct sites. The findings suggest that the late-Holocene (prior to ∼2000 years ago) fire activities were mainly influenced by temperature at higher elevations and were primarily driven by vegetation cover at lower elevations. Over the past two millennia, human activities have increasingly impacted fire dynamics. Elevated fire frequencies during the Medieval Warm Period at higher elevations were linked to warmer climates and intensified pastoral activities. Lower fire incidences at lower elevations may be attributed to population outflows during the Medieval Warm Period, while heightened fire occurrences at lower elevations might result from increasing agricultural activities during the Little Ice Age. This study underscores the intricate interplay between natural climate-vegetation-fire dynamics and anthropogenic burning trends in the late Holocene across different elevations of the Altai Mountains within the Arid Central Asia.

Multi-proxy record of Late Holocene climate events and westerly winds in Maxwell Bay, South Shetland Islands, Antarctica

Glacial expression of climate change during the Holocene was neither uniform geographically nor synchronous in Antarctica, highlighting the influence of regional drivers and local feedbacks on environmental change. Here, we present new data from sediment cores collected in Maxwell Bay, a broad open bay located in the South Shetland Islands, Antarctica. We reconstruct past intervals of glacial marine conditions using diatom assemblage and stable isotope proxy data from the sediment cores. These data suggest that there were episodes of stronger westerly winds in the South Shetland Islands, evidenced by the increased presence of the offshore diatom Fragilariopsis kerguelensis and increased abundance of planktonic foraminifera that are associated with low sea-ice concentration and presence of relatively warm water masses. With an expanded sedimentary archive from the proximal bay, we reconstruct the last 2500 years of environmental conditions in Maxwell Bay and interrogate the record within the context of over a dozen published records in the region. Four major climate intervals are identified: (1) relatively stable, cold climate with high productivity from ∼2500 to ∼1850 calibrated years Before Present (cal yr BP), followed by (2) environmental instability until ∼900 cal yr BP, (3) a prominent Medieval Climatic Anomaly from ∼875 to ∼475 cal yr BP, and (4) cooling during the Little Ice Age between ∼475 and ∼ 60 cal yr BP. More recently, the Antarctic Peninsula experienced rapid regional warming during the second half of the Twentieth Century, followed by a regional reversal since the late 1990s; it is imperative to understand the glacial response to past climate events like this to inform models of future change.

Relationships between channelization, sedimentation and sea level in the deltaic environment of the ancient harbor of Lattara, southern France

The impacts of coastal changes and human land use on depositional processes, ecological conditions, geomorphic evolution and harbor works at the archaeological site of Lattara, one of the oldest cities of the northwestern Mediterranean built in a deltaic environment, were investigated from a multi-proxy approach based on sedimentological, biological and geochronological analyses. A distributary channel connected to the ancient harbor of Lattara was deepened and channelized around 200 cal BCE. The drastic increase in water depth caused by channelization was associated with increased flow competence and bedload transport, and could have improved navigation in the harbor area. By contrast, high accumulations of anthropogenic deposits in the channelized stream from the second century CE seem to have negatively affected sediment transport conditions by reducing bedload flux. The construction of a cobble pavement on the western bank of this channelized stream in the fourth century CE was contemporaneous with a sharp decrease in bedload transport showing an abrupt transition to a low energy environment such as in abandoned channels. A drainage ditch was then dug in the deposits of the channelized stream during the Medieval Warm Period, in a context of land use intensification and increased river flooding that led to the deposition of coarser sediments.

Indian Ocean Dipole Variations During the Last Millennium in PMIP3 Simulations

AbstractEarlier proxy‐observational studies, and a sole modeling study, suggest that the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), an important global climate driver, exhibited multi‐scale temporal variability during the Last Millennium (LM; CE 0851–1849, with relatively high number of strong positive IOD events during the Little Ice Age (LIA; CE 1550–1749), and strong negative IOD events during the Medieval Warm Period (MWP; CE 1000–1199). Using nine model simulations from the PMIP3, we study the IOD variability during the LM after due validation of the simulated current day (CE 1850–2005) IOD variability. Majority of the models simulate relatively higher number of positive IOD events during the MWP, and negative IOD events in the LIA, commensurate with simulated background conditions. However, higher number of strong positive IOD events are simulated relative to the negative IODs during the LIA, in agreement with proxy‐observations, apparently owing to increased coupled feedback during positive IODs.

Evolution of megadrought and pluvial events in the Qaidam Basin and Hexi Corridor, Northwest China, during the period 455–2100 CE

AbstractMillennium‐long hydroclimate reconstructions in the Qaidam Basin (QB) and Hexi Corridor (HXC) suggest markedly differing moisture change trends between the two regions in the 20th century; however, it remains unclear whether these current moisture states are exceptional in a long‐term context, and how megadrought and pluvial events have evolved in these regions. Here, we used previously published historical hydroclimate reconstructions combined with model‐based future moisture simulations to assess past, current and future hydroclimate anomalies in a long‐term context (i.e., 455–2100 CE), and investigate the evolution of megadrought and pluvial events. Compared with the QB, moisture variability in the HXC was higher and more prone to the occurrence of severe and long‐lasting megadrought and pluvial events. Megadroughts in the QB mainly occurred in the Little Ice Age (1200–1800 CE) accompanied by lower temperatures, whereas in the HXC, megadroughts mostly occurred during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (800–1200 CE) accompanied by higher temperatures. The Significant Zero crossing of derivatives (SiZer) and Time of Emergence (TOE) analyses were used to reveal the initiation of recent humidity changes and the duration above the natural variability threshold. We found that the QB has experienced a significant wetting trend since the middle of the 20th century, with this trend exceeding the range of natural hydroclimate variability in 1975 CE. The HXC became drier from the early 20th century, but has become wetter since the late 20th century; this trend may exceed the natural hydroclimate variability range by 2032 CE. We also found that the duration and severity of megadrought and pluvial events are positively correlated in each region. Given the higher past hydrological variability in the HXC compared with the QB, our study implies that future extreme hydrological events are more likely to occur in the former of these two regions.

Reconstruction of late Holocene palaeoenvironmental and palaeohydrological changes using multi-proxy analysis of Sattal lake sediments, Kumaun lesser Himalaya, India

The present study aims to investigate the palaeoenvironmental changes around Sattal Lake, Kumaun Lesser Himalaya spanning the last 1670 years. Based on multi proxy analysis (i.e., grain size, mineral magnetism, clay mineralogy, Total Organic Carbon (TOC) and carbon isotopes), supported by a robust radiocarbon chronology, three major environmental phases were identified. Warm, wet phases occurred between 1,150–650 cal yr BP and 260 cal yr BP to the present. These phases coincide closely with the Medieval Climatic Anomaly (MCA) and modern warming, respectively. These warm/wet events were due to elevated precipitation, resulting in high lake levels and an expansion of the lake margin, which were marked by lower δ13C values, comparatively higher sand concentration, TOC values and magnetic susceptibility (χlf). The inference of a modern warm phase is supported by high resolution instrumental data. The MCA, which is marked by elevated amounts of coarse grained (sand) detrital material, is inferred to be an interval of strengthened of monsoonal intensity, which correlates with available monsoon records from various continental paleoclimate archives. Following the MCA a cold and dry phase was observed to occur between 610 and 260 cal yr BP, corresponding to the Little Ice Age (LIA). The LIA, which was characterized by high silt and clay concentration, high δ13C, low TOC and reduced magnetic susceptibility (χlf), is inferred to represent an interval of low lake levels, likely reflecting an episode of weakened monsoonal intensity.

Holocene insolation and sea surface temperature influences on the polar front jet stream and precipitation in the midcontinental United States

Variability in the source and seasonality of precipitation in the midcontinental United States during the Holocene was investigated using isotopic and sedimentological data from Martin Lake, northeastern Indiana, USA. Between 7100 and 4000 years before present (yr BP; present = 1950 CE), high δ18Ocal and δ13Ccal values with low variability indicate that moisture was predominantly derived from subtropical, southerly sources and delivered primarily during the warm season. Mean state shifts toward lower δ18Ocal and δ13Ccal occurred at ca. 4000 and 2550 yr BP, respectively, indicating an increase in northerly-sourced cold-season precipitation during the Late Holocene (i.e., the past 4200 years) and a subsequent reduction in warm season duration after 2550 yr BP. Record low %lithics from ca. 5000 to 4000 yr BP indicates major reductions in warm-season rain storms, consistent with regional evidence of drought at this time. An increase in the amplitude of centennial-scale variability in δ18Ocal, δ13Ccal, and %lithics after 1900 yr BP indicates greater precipitation source variability during the Common Era. During this interval, precipitation fluctuated between southerly-sourced, convective rainstorms when the Northern Hemisphere (NH) was warm (e.g., during the Medieval Climate Anomaly; 700–1000 yr BP) and northerly-sourced rain and snow when the NH was cool (e.g., during the Little Ice Age; 150–550 yr BP). These trends, especially the change at ca. 4000 yr BP, are consistent with other North American paleoclimate records that collectively suggest a continental-scale shift in precipitation seasonality during the Middle to Late Holocene transition as the tropical Pacific Ocean transitioned from La Niña-like conditions to a more El Niño-like mean state. Concurrent NH cooling and persistent El Niño-like conditions during the Late Holocene would have favored a southerly polar front jet stream with enhanced ridge and trough atmospheric circulation over North America – conditions resembling the positive mode of the Pacific-North American teleconnection (PNA). This would have increased interactions between high-latitude and subtropical airmasses over the midcontinent, increasing the proportion of northerly precipitation with low δ18O delivered during the cold season (i.e., snowfall) and during extended periods with +PNA-like atmospheric circulation (e.g., the Little Ice Age).

1500-Year Sedimentary Records of the East Asian Summer Monsoon and Yellow Sea Warm Current from the Muddy Area of the North Yellow Sea, China

Advances in reconstructing the East Asian monsoon have provided important insights into the natural climate variability in Asia during the pre-instrumental period. However, there are still unresolved paleoclimate issues that necessitate the use of geological proxy data to further our understanding of past climate changes. This study focused on core B13, located in the muddy area of the North Yellow Sea (NYS), to investigate the evolutionary history over the past 1500 years and reconstruct the records of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and Yellow Sea warm current (YSWC). The mean grain size of sediment ranged from 4.2 Φ to 5.6 Φ, with the sorting coefficient ranging from 1.9 to 2.2, indicating poor sorting. The C–M pattern showed a limited range of values, with the M values being between 33 and 83 μm and the C values being between 165 and 287 μm, suggesting uniform-suspension transport. The L* index ranged from 40.41 to 44.12, while the a* and b* indexes ranged from 0.55 to 1.78 and 2.86 to 5.94, respectively. A stable and relatively strong sedimentary environment is indicated through a comprehensive analysis of the C–M plot, triangular plot, the relationship between the mean grain size and sorting, and the changes in grain-size and color parameters. The sedimentary evolution in the muddy area of the NYS over the past 1500 years can be categorized into three distinct stages. In this study, proxies for the EASM and YSWC were extracted using the VPCA method from the sediment grain size and diffuse spectral reflectance (DSR) data, respectively. The reliability of these proxies has been confirmed through comparison with other validated proxies. The results indicated that the strength of the EASM and YSWC also exhibited three stages, corresponding to the Dark Ages Cold Period (DACP), Medieval Warm Period (MWP), and Little Ice Age (LIA), respectively. On a centennial scale, the correlation between the EASM and YSWC was predominantly negative. This research validates the reliability of the VPCA method for paleoclimate reconstruction, contributes important climate records in a special muddy area, and provides a new perspective on how to eliminate temporal errors in verifying the correlation between the two climate systems.

Ornithogenic sedimentary profiles of n-alkanes and PAHs constrain breeding penguin population dynamics at Cape Bird, Ross Island, Antarctica, over the past 1,500 years

Ornithogenic sediment may contain important paleoecological information concerning past bird population dynamics. In this paper, we analyse the distribution of n-alkanes and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in two sedimentary profiles collected from abandoned penguin colonies at Cape Bird, Ross Island, Antarctica. The geochronology of the sediment profiles was determined using 210Pb and AMS 14C dating techniques, and spans the past 1500 years. We observe low levels of n-alkanes (0.93–2.67 μg g−1) and PAHs (20.5–46.8 ng g−1) concentrations dominated by short-chain n-alkanes, low-molecular-weight and alkyl PAHs. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) shows that the PC 1 scores for n-alkanes and PAHs are significantly correlated with the input intensity of penguin guano and penguin bioelements. Using these proxies in combination with Generalized Additive Model (GAM), we reveal that breeding penguin population growth reaches a historical peak during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) prior to 1550 CE. This growth in population size corresponds to the extent of sea ice cover and the activity of the local atmospheric-ocean circulation. Warming induced by El Niño and the positive phase of the Southern Annular Mode, along with the expansion of ice-free zones and increased oceanic nutrient and food availability, are considered primary factors contributing to the growth of breeding penguin populations. Additionally, variations in sea ice extent and Amundsen Sea Low significantly influence penguin population dynamics. Our study suggests that n-alkanes and PAHs may be valuable organic proxies for reconstructing historical changes in breeding penguin populations, with the local sea ice extent and atmospheric-oceanic circulation exerting a major influence on Antarctic penguin population dynamics.