Objective: The aim of this study was to assess components of central aortic pressure, brachial blood pressure and indices of arterial stiffness for prediction of cardiovascular events in a hypertensive cohort. Design and method: Noninvasive measurements of central aortic blood pressure (SphygmoCor), brachial pressure, central augmentation index (cAIx), augmented pressure (cAP) and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) were obtained in 681 hypertensive patients (age 61 ± 9 years, 425 males). The primary endpoints were defined as cardiovascular disease (CVD) events or death from CVD. An initial analysis was conducted at mean 2-year follow-up and a second analysis is currently being conducted at mean 14-year follow-up. Results: Total events were 59 (8.7%) for the 2-year follow-up and 265 (38.9%) for the 14-year follow-up. Major cardiovascular events were 49 (83.1%) and 178 (67.2%) respectively. The analysis of the 2-year follow-up suggested that central systolic (cSBP) and pulse pressure (cPP) showed higher hazard ratios (HR/10 mmHg) for cardiovascular events compared to peripheral pressure indices (pSBP, pPP) at age >60 years (cSBP: HR = 1.18, pSBP: HR = 1.17, p = 0.034; cPP: HR = 1.28, pPP: HR = 1.2, p = 0.019). Each SD increase in IMT and in cAP was associated with 1.4 times higher risk of increased total events in elderly patients (age >60 years). Males showed that each SD increase in cAP was associated with significantly higher risk of increased total events than females. The complete data for the 14-year follow-up analysis has only recently become available and the analysis will be completed for the conference presentation. Conclusions: Preliminary analysis in a short-term (2-year) follow-up study of a large hypertensive cohort has shown that central aortic pressure and its components can improve prediction of CVD compared to peripheral pressure. The final analysis of the long-term (14-year) follow-up will determine which components are robust predictors and will provide important information on the clinical and epidemiological relevance of central aortic pressure.
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