Mean Model For End-stage Liver Disease Research Articles

T.N.13 PREDICTORS OF OUTCOME IN CIRRHOTICS ADMITTED TO INTENSIVE CARE UNIT (ICU); SURVIVORS EXHIBITED SIGNIFICANT RISE OF SERUM SODIUM LEVELS AND A FALL IN LACTATE LEVELS AT 48 HOURS

s A.I.S.F. Annual Meeting (Rome, February 25th−26th, 2010) / Digestive and Liver Disease 42 Suppl. 1 (2010) S1–S51 S19 with normal spleen diameter (p 20 ppm or a rise by 12 ppm above baseline following glucose administration was considered as positive. IP was evaluated by the (51)Cr-EDTA permeability test. SIBO prevalence in LC was compared with healthy controls and correlated with LC severity and IP. Results: Twenty-nine out of 56 LC patients had SIBO vs 2 of the 48 healthy controls (51.8% vs 4%, p< 0.0001). SIBO prevalence correlated with the severity of LC (68.2% of Child C pts vs. 56.2% of Child B and 31.2% of Child A pts), with the presence of ascites (66% in ascitic pts vs. 27% in non-ascitic pts), and with a history of SBP (92% of patients with SBP vs. 48% of those without SBP). A significant correlation was found between presence of SIBO and altered IP: it was weak for Child A but significant for Child B and C pts (R = 0.07, NS; R = 0.35, p = 0.005; R = 0.29, p = 0.03, respectively). Conclusions: SIBO seems to have a higher prevalence in LC, correlates with LC severity and altered IP. This association suggests that SIBO may affect intestinal permeability of splancnic vessels and/or peritoneal membranes leading to SBP outbreak in LC. Future interventional studies are needed to confirm these preliminary data. T.N.13 PREDICTORS OF OUTCOME IN CIRRHOTICS ADMITTED TO INTENSIVE CARE UNIT (ICU); SURVIVORS EXHIBITED SIGNIFICANT RISE OF SERUM SODIUM LEVELS AND A FALL IN LACTATE LEVELS AT 48 HOURS M. Garcovich1,2, V. Vemala1, A. Davenport1, E. Dionigi1, S. Shaw1, B. Agarwal1, A.K. Burroughs1. Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK; Dipartimento di Medicina Interna, Universita Cattolica del Sacro Cuor, Rome, Italy Background: Critically ill cirrhotics admitted to ICU have poor prognosis. Factors known to portend worse outcome include mechanical ventilation, development of shock, renal failure and increasing number of organ failure. While a negative impact on mortality of low serum sodium level is observed in stable cirrhotics active on the waiting list for liver transplant, the impact of admission serum sodium and its changes during the course of an acute illness in these patients is not well known. Methods: We retrospective studied a cohort of cirrhotics admitted to ICU between 2005−08 at the Royal Free Hospital. Data were collected on demographic variables, aetiology of liver disease, liver-specific prognostic scores; Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP), Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), United Kingdom model for end-stage liver disease (UKELD), acute physiological score and chronic health points (APACHE II) and sequential organ failure assessment score (SOFA). In addition, data were also collected for serum Na+ and Lactate levels at 0 (on admission) and at 48 hrs. Results: Currently 67 of 125 patients have been enrolled. 51/67 (76.1%) survived ICU. The non-survivors (16/67) had similar demographics as the survivors, had significantly higher mean MELD, UKELD, SOFA and APACHE II scores, and higher admission lactate. Total CTP score was not different between the groups but serum bilirubin level and prothrombin time were significantly higher in the non-survivors. Although the admission Na+ levels in survivors and non survivors were similar, a significant elevation was observed at 48 hrs in the survivors. The trend for serum lactate levels showed a similar pattern i.e., the survivors showed significant reductions at 48 hrs. Conclusions: The reasons for this observed rise in serum Na+ at 48 hrs in the survivors are not obvious. It may signify a better preserved water balance in patients with less severe underlying liver disease. T.N.14 COLLAGEN PROPORTIONATE AREA IN ASSESSING THE AMOUNT OF FIBROSIS IN CHRONIC LIVER DISEASE: DOES HIGH RESOLUTION COMPARED TO CONVENTIONAL IMAGE CAPTURING AND ANALYSIS ALTERS ITS RESULTS? L. Andreana1, G. Isgro1, M. Garcovich1, A. Hall2, F. Grillo2, A.P. Dhillon2, A.K. Burroughs1, T.V. Luong2. The Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre and University Dept. of Surgery, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK; Dept. of Histopathology, Royal Free Hospital,

Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts in Liver Transplant Recipients for Management of Refractory Ascites: Clinical Outcome

To determine the effectiveness of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation in liver transplant recipients with recurrent portal hypertension presenting with refractory ascites. A retrospective review of transplant recipients undergoing TIPS creation was performed over a 6-year period. Recipients were noted for age, sex, TIPS indication, Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, cause of initial liver disease, and time between first transplantation and TIPS creation. Clinical success was defined as graft survival of longer than 1 month with improvement in ascites. New-onset or worsening encephalopathy was noted. Graft survival and patency were calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method. MELD score and portosystemic gradient (PSG) before and after TIPS creation were evaluated for prediction of graft loss less than 3 months after TIPS creation. Nineteen liver transplant recipients underwent TIPS creation for ascites. Mean time from transplantation was 3.5 years (range, 3.7-112.2 months). Mean MELD score before TIPS creation was 17 (range, 7-24). The technical, hemodynamic, and clinical success rates were 100%, 95%, and 16%, respectively. Encephalopathy developed in five patients (26%). Thirty- and 90-day mortality rates were 16% (n = 3) and 21% (n = 4), respectively. Primary unassisted patency and graft survival rates at 1, 3, and 6 months were 100%, 90%, and 90% and 79%, 58%, and 47%, respectively. MELD score parameters were significant indicators (P < .05) for graft survival beyond 3 months, but PSG parameters were not. TIPS for the management of ascites in liver transplant recipients is not as clinically effective as it is in patients with native livers (16% vs 50%-80% in the literature). MELD score is a predictor of graft survival; PSG parameters are not.

Liver transplantation in recipients over 65 yr old: a single center experience

The advanced age of the recipient is considered a "relative contraindication" to liver transplantation (LT). However, recently some studies reported a morbidity rate and an overall survival comparable with those of younger patients. Here, we reported the outcome after LT in recipients aged >65 yr. Between January 2000 and December 2006, 565 LT was performed in 502 recipients in our institution. Of these, 34 were recipients of >65 yr old (aged group). We focused our study comparing: donor age, co-morbidities, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, duration of operation, transfusions and outcome between the two groups (young/aged). For the group aged >65: the mean donor age was 52.5 (range 16-75) yr and the graft weight 1339 g (890-1880 g). Co-morbidity was recorded in 25 (73.5%), coronary artery disease (CAD) in 17 (50%), diabetes mellitus (DM) and chronic renal insufficiency in four (11.7%) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in three patients (8.8%). Mean MELD score was 14.9 (range 12-29) and ASA score was two in 15 (44.1%); and three in 19 (55.8%) recipients. Mean operation time was four h 45 min, three patients also received combined kidney transplantation. Twenty-five (73.5%) recipients received blood transfusions (mean 3.2). Morbidity was observed in 20 patients (58.8%); of these two had hepatic artery thrombosis requiring re-LT. Overall survival was 80% (40 months of follow-up), in particularly, at 30-d, one yr, three yr was 91%, 84%, 80%, respectively. The only two statistical differences reported (p = 0.02) are: the lower rate of CAD in the younger group of recipients (12%), compared with the aged group (50%) and the subsequently lower mortality rate secondary to cardiac causes in the younger group (1.4%) compared with aged group (8.8%). Our results suggest that the recipient age should not be considered an absolute contraindication for LT when the graft/recipient matching is optimal and when an adequate cardiac assessment is performed.

A single‐staggered dose of calcineurin inhibitor may be associated with neurotoxicity and nephrotoxicity immediately after liver transplantation

The aim of the present work was to assess the incidence of neuro-nephrotoxicity after a single-staggered dose of calcineurin inhibitors (CI) with different immunosuppressive approaches. From January to December 2006, all liver transplantation (LT) recipients at risk of renal or neurological complications treated with extracorporeal photopheresis (ECP) + mycophenolate mofetil + steroids and staggered introduction of CI (ECP group) were compared with a historical control group on standard CI-based immunosuppression. The ECP group included 24 patients with a mean model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score of 19.9 +/- 11.1. The control group consisted of 18 patients with a mean MELD score of 12.5 +/- 5.2 (p = 0.012). In the ECP group CI were introduced at a mean of 9.2 +/- 6.2 d (4-31 d) after LT. Five patients in the ECP group presented acute neuro-nephrotoxicity after the first CI administration on post-transplant d 4, 5, 6, 6, and 14. Overall patient survival at one, six, and 12 months was 100%, 95.8%, and 95.8% in the ECP group vs. 94.4%, 77.7%, and 72.2% in the control group (p < 0.001). In conclusion, we showed that CI toxicity may occur after a single-staggered dose administration, ECP seems to be a valuable tool for managing CI-related morbidity regardless of the concomitant immunosuppressive regimen, being associated with a lower mortality rate in the early post-transplant course.

Value of MELD and MELD‐Based Indices in Surgical Risk Evaluation of Cirrhotic Patients: Retrospective Analysis of 190 Cases

Recent studies have suggested that the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) may represent a promising alternative to the Child-Turcotte-Pugh classification as a predictive factor of operative mortality and morbidity. This study was designed to evaluate the value of MELD and four MELD-based indices (iMELD: integrated MELD; MESO: MELD to sodium ratio; MELD-Na: MELD with incorporation of sodium; MELD-XI: MELD excluding the International Normalized Ratio) in the quantification of surgical risk for patients with cirrhosis and compare its prognostic value with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh classification and two derived scores (proposed by Huo and Giannini, respectively). A retrospective study of 190 patients with cirrhosis, operated on in our department between 1993 and 2008, was undertaken. Forty-three percent of patients were included in Child-Turcotte-Pugh A class, and their mean MELD score was 12.2 +/- 4.9 (range, 6.4-35.2). Mortality and morbidity rates were 13% and 24%, respectively. In global analysis of mortality, MELD-based indices presented an acceptable prognostic performance (auROC = 71-77%), similar to the three analyzed Child-Turcotte-Pugh-derived scores. iMELD demonstrated the highest prognostic capacity (auROC = 77%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 66-88; p = 0.0001); operative death probability was 4% (95% CI, 3.6-4.4) when the score was inferior to 35, 16.1% (95% CI, 14.4-17.9) between 35 and 45, and 50.1% (95% CI, 42.2-58.1) when superior to 45. In elective surgical procedures, iMELD represented a useful prognostic factor of operative mortality (auROC = 80%; 95% CI, 63-97; p = 0.044) with significant correlation and better accuracy then MELD and Child-Turcotte-Pugh-derived indices. In this study, iMELD was a useful predictive parameter of operative mortality for patients with cirrhosis submitted to elective procedures. Further studies are necessary to define the relevance of MELD-based indices in the individual surgical risk evaluation.

Prediction of the prognosis of patients with acute‐on‐chronic hepatitis B liver failure using the model for end‐stage liver disease scoring system and a novel logistic regression model

The objective of this study was to determine the predictive value of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scoring system in patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACLF-HBV), and to establish a new model for predicting the prognosis of ACLF-HBV. A total of 204 adult patients with ACLF-HBV were retrospectively recruited between July 1, 2002 and December 31, 2004. The MELD scores were calculated according to the widely accepted formula. The 3-month mortality was calculated. The validity of the MELD model was determined by means of the concordance (c) statistic. Clinical data and biochemical values were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis based on which the regression model for predicting prognosis was established. The receiver-operating characteristic curves were drawn for the MELD scoring system and the new regression model and the areas under the curves (AUC) were compared by the z-test. The 3-month mortality rate was 57.8%. The mean MELD score for the patients who died was significantly greater than those who survived beyond 3 months (28.7 vs 22.4, P = 0.003). The concordance (c) statistic (equivalent to the AUC) for the MELD scoring system predicting 3-month mortality was 0.709 (SE = 0.036, P < 0.001, 95% confidence interval 0.638-0.780). The independent factors predicting prognosis were hepatorenal syndrome (P < 0.001), liver cirrhosis (P = 0.009), HBeAg (P = 0.013), albumin (P = 0.028) and prothrombin activity (P = 0.011) as identified in multivariate logistic regression analysis. The regression model that was constructed by the logistic regression analysis produced a greater prognostic value (c = 0.891) than the MELD scoring system (z = 4.333, P < 0.001). The MELD scoring system is a promising and useful predictor for 3-month mortality of ACLF-HBV patients. Hepatorenal syndrome, liver cirrhosis, HBeAg, albumin and prothrombin activity are independent factors affecting the 3-month mortality. The newly established logistic regression model appears to be superior to the MELD scoring system in predicting 3-month mortality in patients with ACLF-HBV.

Clinical features and predictors of outcome in acute hepatitis A and hepatitis E virus hepatitis on cirrhosis

Acute hepatitis A and E are recognized triggers of hepatic decompensation in patients with cirrhosis, particularly from the Indian subcontinent. However, the resulting acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has not been well characterized and no large studies are available. Our study aimed to evaluate the clinical profile and predictors of 3-month mortality in patients with this distinctive form of liver failure. ACLF was diagnosed in patients with acute hepatitis A or E [abrupt rise in serum bilirubin and/or alanine aminotransferase with positive immunoglobulin M anti-hepatitis A virus (HAV)/anti-hepatitis E virus (HEV)] presenting with clinical evidence of liver failure (significant ascites and/or hepatic encephalopathy) and clinical, biochemical, endoscopic (oesophageal varices at least grade II in size), ultrasonographical (presence of nodular irregular liver with porto-systemic collaterals) or histological evidence of cirrhosis. Clinical and laboratory profile were evaluated, predictors of 3-month mortality were determined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression and a prognostic model was constructed. Receiver-operating curves were plotted to measure performance of the present prognostic model, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score. ACLF occurred in 121 (3.75%) of 3220 patients (mean age 36.3+/-18.0 years; M:F 85:36) with liver cirrhosis admitted from January 2000 to June 2006. It was due to HEV in 80 (61.1%), HAV in 33 (27.2%) and both in 8 (6.1%). The underlying liver cirrhosis was due to HBV (37), alcohol (17), Wilson's disease (8), HCV (5), autoimmune (6), Budd-Chiari syndrome (2), haemochromatosis (2) and was cryptogenic in the rest (42). Common presentations were jaundice (100%), ascites (78%) and hepatic encephalopathy (55%). Mean (SD) CTP score was 11.4+/-1.6 and mean MELD score was 28.6+/-9.06. Three-month mortality was 54 (44.6%). Complications seen were sepsis in 42 (31.8%), renal failure in 45 (34%), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in 27 (20.5%), UGI bleeding in 15(11%) and hyponatraemia in 50 (41.3%). On univariate analysis, ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, renal failure, GI bleeding, total bilirubin, hyponatraemia and coagulopathy were significant predictors of mortality. Multivariate analysis revealed grades 3 and 4 HE [odds ratio (OR 32.1)], hyponatraemia (OR 9.2) and renal failure (OR 16.8) as significant predictors of 3-month mortality and a prognostic model using these predictors was constructed. Areas under the curve for the present predicted prognostic model, MELD, and CTP were 0.952, 0.941 and 0.636 respectively. ACLF due to hepatitis A or E super infection results in significant short-term mortality. The predictors of ominous outcome include grades 3 and 4 encephalopathy, hyponatraemia and renal failure. Present prognostic model and MELD scoring system were better predictors of 3-month outcome than CTP score in these patients. Early recognition of those with dismal prognosis may permit timely use of liver replacement/supportive therapies.

Trasplante hepático: influencia de los factores dependientes del donante

To detect donor characteristics related to graft function after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). Retrospective cohort study. Polyvalent intensive care unit. 145 liver transplant recipients and their respective donors. None. In donors: age, hypernatremia, and infection. In recipients: reperfusion syndrome, coagulopathy, infection, ARDS, shock, kidney failure, primary graft dysfunction, and mortality. 71.7% of recipients were male. Mean recipient age was 54.5 +/- 9.9 years; 66.2% of patients were classified as Child B and and 19.3% as Child C. The mean model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was 14.6 +/- 4.8 and the mean APACHE II score was 17.3 +/- 4.9. A total of 64.1% of the donors were male. Mean donor age was 42.3 +/- 16.3 years, and mean APACHE II score was 22.3 +/- 5.8. Donor age > 65 years was associated to higher recipient aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels but not to increased complications or mortality. No other donor factors (including age, sex, serum sodium, severity level, transfusions, hemodynamic alterations, renal dysfunction, or infection) were associated to evolution or prognosis. Infection was diagnosed in 18 recipients (12.4%) in the postoperative period; the incidence of infection in recipients that received an organ from infected donors was not different from those that received an organ from an uninfected donor (14.6% versus 11.5%; p > 0.05). We detected no donor characteristics related to graft function or the appearance of complications in recipients during the immediate postoperative period. Donor age > 65 years and documented but appropriately treated bacteremia posed no risk for the viability of the liver after transplantation.

The Evolution of the Role of Liver Transplantation in Treating Alcoholic Cirrhosis in Greece

Background Liver transplantation represents the main treatment for alcoholic cirrhosis. The goal of this article is to review the results of liver transplantation for alcoholic cirrhosis in Greece over the last 2 decades. Methods Among 247 patients who underwent liver transplantation between 1991 and 2007, 34 (13.7%) experienced alcoholic cirrhosis as the primary diagnosis. We reviewed their demographic data, stage of liver disease, and outcomes regarding survival via a Kaplan-Meier curve. Also we analyzed the causes of death and the postoperative complications. Results Mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 18.4. Other diagnoses included hepatitis C virus (HCV; 23.5%), hepatitis B virus (HBV; 14.7%), and hepatocellular carcinoma (8.8%). Eleven patients died the most frequent causes being primary graft nonfunction (n = 3), hepatic artery thrombosis (n = 2), sepsis (n = 2), and portal vein thrombosis (n = 2). Complications included rejection (32.4%), infection (26.5%), hepatic graft dysfunction (11.8%), and recurrent HCV, recurrent HBV, and renal failure (8.8% each). Recurrence of alcoholism was observed in 3 patients (8.8%) with mild effects on liver function tests. There has been a significant increase in the number of liver transplantations for alcoholic cirrhosis in the last 6 years, namely 25 patients versus 9 in the previous 10 years. Conclusions We observed a significant increase in the frequency of alcoholic cirrhosis leading to liver transplantation in the last several years in Greece.

Prognostic Factors in Patients With Acute Liver Failure Undergoing Live Donor Liver Transplantation

Mortality from acute liver failure (ALF) is high. Live donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is the treatment of choice for ALF in Asia, because cadaveric donors are rare. We sought to review our results in ALF patients with undergoing LDLT at our center. One hundred two LDLTs were performed at our center from April 2002 to November 2007, 15 (14%) because of ALF. Mean (SEM; median, range) follow-up was 1,065 (189; 1400; 3–2046) days. Nine patients (60%) had acute exacerbation of chronic hepatitis B; and 6 (40%) had drug-induced liver injury. Age was 47 (3; 50; 27–65) years. Ten patients (67%) were men. At transplantation, laboratory values were included bilirubin, 449 (35) μmol/L; creatinine concentration, 182 (32) mmol/L. The international normalized ratio was 2.4 (0.2). The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 34 (2). Both inpatient and long-term mortality was 20% 3 of 15 patients died. The 5-year survival was 80%. Compared with survivors, patients who died had a significantly higher creatinine concentration 289 vs 155 μmol/L, international normalized ratio (3.4 vs 2.1), MELD score (47 vs 32). We conclude that despite being sick with median and mean MELD scores of 32 and 34, 80% of patients with ALF can achieve good long-term survival after LDLT.

Model for the end‐stage liver disease and death prediction in a cohort of Brazilian patients on the waiting list for liver transplantation

To examine the performance of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score to predict mortality three and six months after enlistment of patients with chronic diseases for their first liver transplantation (LT) and to compare the performances of the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and the Erasmus Model for End-stage Resistant-to-therapy All etiology Liver Disease (EMERALD) scores with the MELD to predict mortality. Cohort study. Receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) curves were used to determine the ability of the scores for predicting three and six month mortality, the c-statistic to establish the predictive power of each score and the Cox proportional hazard model to estimate the risk of dying. We studied 271 patients. At enlistment, the mean MELD and EMERALD scores were 14.8 and 26.6, respectively. Approximately 61% of the cases were in the CTP B category. During the three or six month follow-up period, the percentage of patients dying, receiving LT or remaining on the list were 11.8%, 9.2%, and 79.0% or 19.2%, 17.7%, and 63.1%, respectively. The three-month mortality was similarly predicted by the scores MELD, EMERALD and CTP (c-statistic of 0.79, 0.74, and 0.70, respectively). Six-month mortality presented similar AUC and ROC curves. The scores predicted mortality for the three or six months, but the performance of the MELD was better than CTP and EMERALD scores.

Do graft type or donor source affect acute rejection rates after liver transplant: a multivariate analysis

We looked at acute rejection (AR) rates in adult liver transplant recipients to determine if graft type (whole liver vs. partial liver) or donor source (living vs. deceased donor) influenced the risk for AR. Between 1999 and 2005, we performed 292 whole liver transplants from a deceased donor (DD-WL) and 91 partial transplants, either from a living donor (LDLT, n = 59) or split liver from a deceased donor (DD-SL, n = 32). Pediatric recipients were not included. The groups were well matched by age and type of liver disease (p = ns), but mean model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were higher in the DD-WL vs. LD recipient groups (p < 0.01). Immunosuppression was similar for all. AR rates at 12 months post-transplant were lower in the LDLT group (10.0%) vs. the DD-WL group (16.5%, p = 0.10), although this was not statistically significant. AR rates in the DD-SL transplant group (12.8%) were intermediate compared with the two other groups and not statistically different from either group (p = ns). By multivariate analysis, however, neither graft type (partial vs. whole) nor donor source (LD vs. DD) seemed to have an impact on the risk for AR. The only factor that was associated with an increased risk for AR was not using induction therapy.

The utility of the model for end-stage liver disease score: A reliable guide for liver transplant candidacy and, for select patients, simultaneous hospice referral

Patients with chronic liver disease are referred late to hospice or never referred. There are several barriers to timely referral. First, liver transplantation (LT) and hospice care have always been perceived as mutually exclusive. Yet the criteria for hospice referral and for LT are more similar than different (for example, advanced liver disease and imminent death). Second, physicians, patients, and families have not had a reliable metric to guide referral. However, many patients wait for transplantation but never receive an organ. We hypothesized that the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score already in use to prioritize LT could be used in selected patients for concurrent hospice referral. Furthermore, we hypothesized that patients awaiting LT can receive hospice care and remain eligible for transplantation. Patients with advanced or end-stage liver disease were referred to the University of California Davis Health System hospice program. We correlated the MELD score at admission to length of stay (LOS) in hospice. A total of 157 end-stage liver disease patients were admitted to the hospice service. At the time of hospice admission the mean MELD score was 21 (range, 6-45). The mean length of hospice stay was 38 days (range, 1-329 days). A significant correlation was observed between hospice LOS and MELD score at hospice admission (P < 0.01). Six patients were offered a liver graft while on the combined (LT and hospice) program. MELD can be used to guide clinician recommendation to families about hospice care, achieving one of the national benchmark goals of increasing hospice care duration beyond the current median of 2-3 weeks. A higher MELD score might augment physician judgment as to hospice referral. Hospice care for selected patients may be an effective strategy to improve the care of end-stage liver disease patients waiting for LT.

Analysis of Liver Transplantation Outcome in Patients With MELD Score ≥30

Since July 2006, the liver graft allocation has been changed from the waiting time to the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), prioritizing the sickest patients, who have a higher risk of dying on the waiting list, and sometimes in such poor clinical condition that it compromises transplantation outcomes. The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of a MELD score ≥ 30 on 30-day survival after liver transplantation (OLT). We prospectively collected the data on 178 liver transplants on 163 patients performed from March 2003 to August 2007. The subjects were divided in two groups according to their MELD scores: group 1, MELD ≥ 30 ( n = 15) and group 2, MELD < 30 ( n = 96). The groups were compared with regard to hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay, intraoperative blood products transfusion, early survival (30 days), and need for retransplantation. We excluded, patients with prioritization criteria, those receiving extra points for any special situation, and six other patients without significant data for MELD calculation (of whom only one has died after transplantation). Patients under a “special situation” were those with hepatocelular carcinoma, hepatopulmonary syndrome, and metabolic diseases, who initially received a MELD/PELD score 20, and 24, and 29. The mean MELD score at group I was 34 (range, 30 to 42), and for group II it was 16 (range, 6 to 29). Group I displayed a mean hospital length of stay of 24 days (4 to 155), with 12.60 days (ranges, 1 to 103) in the ICU versus 15.55 (range, 1 to 48) and 5.13 (range, 1 to 45) days, respectively, for group II. The need for blood component transfusions were greater in group I; 25.28% of patients in group II did not receive any transfusion during the entire inpatient period. There were nine retransplants in group II, and none in group I. The 30-day survivals were 93.3% for group I and 84.37% for group II. Besides the increased complexity of these sickest patients, there was no negative impact on early survival rates.

Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Impact of the MELD Allocation System and Predictors of Survival

Since February 27, 2002, patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have received priority for liver transplantation in the United States under the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) allocation system. We aimed to determine the impact of this system on liver transplantation for HCC. Data were provided by the United Network for Organ Sharing on 19,404 first-time, cadaveric, adult liver transplantations performed in the United States between 2002 and 2007 and 15,906 performed between 1997 and 2002, an equal-duration period immediately preceding the MELD allocation system. In 1997-2002, 4.6% of liver transplant recipients had HCC compared with 26% in 2002-2007, the majority of whom received "HCC-MELD-exceptions" allowing expedited transplantation. Posttransplantation survival of patients with HCC without an "HCC-MELD-exception" was significantly worse than the survival of patients without HCC. In 2002-2007, patients with an "HCC-MELD-exception" had similar survival to patients without HCC. However, for the subgroup of patients with tumors 3-5 cm in size had significantly worse survival. When compared with patients with similar MELD scores, patients in the "HCC-MELD-exception" group had worse posttransplantation survival than patients without HCC. The most important predictors of poor posttransplantation survival were MELD score >/=20 (hazard ratio, 1.61; 95% CI: 1.3-2.1) and serum alpha-fetoprotein level >/=455 ng/mL (hazard ratio, 2.15; 95% CI: 1.5-2.0). The adoption of the MELD allocation system has led to a 6-fold increase in the proportion of transplantation patients with HCC. Patients with larger (3-5 cm) tumors, serum alpha-fetoprotein level >/=455 ng/mL, or a MELD score >/=20 have poor posttransplantation survival.

Can the MELD Score Predict Perioperative Morbidity for Patients with Liver Cirrhosis Undergoing Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy?

The Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score is a mortality predictor in patients awaiting liver transplantation. We evaluated the MELD score's ability to predict morbidity for patients with cirrhosis undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy. From March 1991 to February 2004, data of all patients undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy were prospectively collected. Data of patients with liver cirrhosis were reviewed. The MELD and Child scores were correlated with outcome variables. Of 7859 patients undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy, 99 patients (1.3%) exhibited liver cirrhosis, 44 women and 55 men. The mean age was 55 years (range, 28 to 92 years). The mortality rate was 6.3 per cent, morbidity rate 18 per cent, and conversion rate 11 per cent. Laboratory values on 55 patients were available to calculate MELD scores. The mean MELD score was 11 (range, 6 to 23). There was no significant variation in MELD scores with gender (P = 0.61) or cirrhosis etiology, alcoholic and nonalcoholic (P = 0.52). MELD and Child's score correlated well (P < 0.001); however, the risk of complication was not related to the MELD (P = 0.94) or Child-Pugh-Turcotte score (P = 0.26). Morbidity for patients with liver cirrhosis undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy remains high. The MELD score is useful for transplant risk stratification for but requires further investigation regarding morbidity prediction for laparoscopic cholecystectomy.

Model for end-stage liver disease score versus Child score in predicting the outcome of surgical procedures in patients with cirrhosis

To determine factors affecting the outcome of patients with cirrhosis undergoing surgery and to compare the capacities of the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score to predict that outcome. We reviewed the charts of 195 patients with cirrhosis who underwent surgery at two teaching hospitals over a five-year period. The combined endpoint of death or hepatic decompensation was considered to be the primary endpoint. Patients who reached the endpoint had a higher MELD score, a higher CTP score and were more likely to have undergone an urgent procedure. Among patients undergoing elective surgical procedures, no statistically significant difference was noted in the mean MELD (12.8 +/- 3.9 vs 12.6 +/- 4.7, P = 0.9) or in the mean CTP (7.6 +/- 1.2 vs 7.7 +/- 1.7, P = 0.8) between patients who reached the endpoint and those who did not. Both mean scores were higher in the patients reaching the endpoint in the case of urgent procedures (MELD: 22.4 +/- 8.7 vs 15.2 +/- 6.4, P = 0.0007; CTP: 9.9 +/- 1.8 vs 8.5 +/- 1.8, P = 0.008). The performances of the MELD and CTP scores in predicting the outcome of urgent surgery were only fair, without a significant difference between them (AUC = 0.755 +/- 0.066 for MELD vs AUC = 0.696 +/- 0.070 for CTP, P = 0.3). The CTP and MELD scores performed equally, but only fairly in predicting the outcome of urgent surgical procedures. Larger studies are needed to better define the factors capable of predicting the outcome of elective surgical procedures in patients with cirrhosis.

When is a liver transplant futile?

Background Recently, the model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) index has been used to select patients with acute liver failure (ALF) for transplantation. By the time the indication for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is defined, the patient's clinical status may worsen. Objective In this study, MELD was used to define patients beyond OLT. Methods Among adult patients ALF was responsible for 17 OLT. Their medical records were reviewed to calculate the MELD score just before the OLT. MELD of the deceased patients after OLT (group 1, n = 8), was compared with the MELD score of living recipients (group 2, n = 9). Creatinine level, need for dialysis, use of vasoactive amines, and mechanical ventilation before OLT were also analyzed in these groups. A significant difference was defined when P <.05. Results The mean MELD score ± SD was 51.86 ± 12.3 for group 1, and 38.47 ± 7.1 for group 2 (P = .02). There was no difference between the creatinine values for patients in the 2 groups (P = .20). Also, the use of vasoactive amines or the need of dialysis before OLT were not different (P = .12 and P = .25, respectively). Group 1 was more frequently under mechanical ventilation, and showed a 4.29 relative risk for death after OLT. Conclusion MELD score could be useful to define the prognosis of OLT among patients with ALF.

Liver Transplantation for Acute Liver Failure: Trying to Define When Transplantation Is Futile

Background Recently, the model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) index has been used to select patients with acute liver failure (ALF) or transplantation. By the time the indication for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is defined, the patient’s clinical status may worsen. Objective In this study, MELD was used to define patients beyond OLT. Methods Among adult patients ALF was responsible for 17 OLT. Their medical records were reviewed to calculate the MELD score just before the OLT. MELD of the deceased patients after OLT (group 1, n = 8), was compared with the MELD score of living recipients (group 2, n = 9). Creatinine level, need for dialysis, use of vasoactive amines, and mechanical ventilation before OLT were also analyzed in these groups. A significant difference was defined when P < .05. Results The mean MELD score ± SD was 51.86 ± 12.3 for group 1, and 38.47 ± 7.1 for group 2 ( P = .02). There was no difference between the creatinine values for patients in the 2 groups ( P = .20). Also, the use of vasoactive amines or the need of dialysis before OLT were not different ( P = .12 and P = .25, respectively). Group 1 was more frequently under mechanical ventilation, and showed a 4.29 relative risk for death after OLT. Conclusion MELD score could be useful to define the prognosis of OLT among patients with ALF.

Analysis of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score in a Liver Transplantation Waiting List

Background The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) was introduced in 1999 to quantify the 3-month prognosis of cirrhotic patients after a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). Because of the imbalance between organ donors and patients on the waiting list, the MELD was adopted by the United States in 2002 to allocate liver grafts for transplantation. Preliminary results have indicated a reduction in waiting list deaths and an increase in transplantation rates for candidates. Seeking to find a new model to predict death on the waiting list and after liver transplantation, retrospective studies have examined MELD scores in waiting list patients. The aim of this study was to analyze the MELD scores of patients on the liver waiting list for comparisons between transplanted patients. Patients and Methods A retrospective study was performed analyzing 131 registrations of 127 orthotopic liver transplant (OLT) patients (4 underwent retransplantation) grafted between November 2000 and January 2006, excluding 24 patients: 2 had urgent retransplantations due to hepatic artery thrombosis and 22 had incomplete data. These patients were divided into 3 groups: group I (transplanted patients)—53 patients underwent 55 OLT; group II—29 patients who died on the waiting list; group III—patients on the waiting list including 23 patients still waiting as of the date of the study. Results The main indication for OLT was hepatitis C virus cirrhosis (50.50%), followed by alcoholic liver cirrhosis (23.30%), cryptogenic cirrhosis (12.60%), autoimmune hepatitis (5.80%), hepatitis B virus cirrhosis (4.85%), and primary biliary cirrhosis (2.91%). Group I: MELD score 15.62 (range, 6–39) on admission to the list, and 18.87 (range, 7–39) at transplantation. The mean waiting time for OLT was 478.39 days (range, 2–1270 days). The 38 patients who survived underwent 39 OLT (1 retransplantation). The MELD score at entrance to the list was 14.62 (range, 7–30) and at transplantation, 17.70 (range, 7–39). The mean time between admission to the list and transplantation was 505.37 days (range, 6–1270 days). The 15 patients who died had received 16 OLT (1 retransplantation). Their MELD scores were 17.80 (range, 6–39) and 21.81 (range, 9–39) at admission to the list and at transplantation, respectively, with a mean time on the waiting list of 417.93 days (range, 2–872 days). Group II: 29 patients died before OLT, at a mean age of 52.60 years (range, 22–67 years). Their MELD score was 19.24 (range, 7–45), and the interval between admission to the waiting list and death was 249.55 days (range, 3–1247 days). Group III: 23 patients still active on the OLT waiting list at the time of study displayed a mean MELD score of 13.65 (range, 6–28) and 354.30 days (range, 2–905 days) waiting until the moment. In conclusion, MELD score at the time of admission to the waiting list was higher among those patients who died either awaiting a liver graft (19.24) or after OLT (17.80) compared with those who survived after OLT (14.60) or are still awaiting OLT (13.65).