Background Red breast syndrome (RBS) has been noted in past literature as a possible complication of implant-based breast reconstruction (IBBR) with the use of acellular dermal matrices (ADMs). Since its first appearance in 2009, RBS has drawn growing medical attention with reported incidence ranging from 7%–9%. There has been a noted decrease in the emergence of RBS despite its inclusion among the analyzed complications in a number of studies. This systematic review aims to evaluate the trend in reported RBS incidence over time and appropriately determine an accurate incidence of RBS from reported literature since the emergence of the phenomena. Methods A systematic literature review was performed in July 2023 that analyzed the incidence of RBS among retrospective cohort studies on complication rates of IBBR with ADM. Patient demographics, RBS incidence rates, and all-cause complications were captured. The review was performed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis guidelines and Methodological Index for Nonrandomized Studies criteria was used to assess study quality. Results From 2009 to 2023, a total of 48 studies (n = 6251) met inclusion criteria of which 35 studies from 2017 to 2023 were not already included in a prior systematic review (n = 5246). The mean incidence of RBS in the unreported studies was 2.88% with a weighted mean of 3.22%. Analysis of the trend in RBS over time shows an increasing reported incidence rate from 2009 with a peak in incidence between 2016 and 2017, followed by a steady decline through 2022. Twenty-six of the studies were published from 2016 to 2019. Conclusions The incidence of RBS among prior studies and systematic reviews has fluctuated significantly since its initial emergence in 2009. Reported incidence rates have been on the decline since 2018 with a true weighted incidence of 3.22% from analysis of recent reported studies. Potential causes for the decline in incidence include practice changes in ADM preparation, changes in the ADM brand used for IBBR, and improved categorization of RBS compared to cellulitis/infection. Despite more robust criteria for diagnosis, no consensus for management has yet been established.
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