Causes and mechanisms of the registered incidence increase of pediatric thyroid cancer (TC) after the Chernobyl accident, unrelated to the ionizing radiation, were recently reviewed among other topics by Prof. Z. Jaworowski (2010). The main body of evidence (Cardis et al. 2005; Tronko et al. 2006; Davis et al. 2004) in favor of the cause-effect relationship between ionizing radiation and TC among children and adolescents after the Chernobyl accident is based upon the epidemiologic studies (Ron 2009). In the case-control study (Cardis et al. 2005) a retrospective estimation of doses was performed by questioning. The study by Davis et al. (2004) was similar in design. The ‘Chernobyl victim syndrome’ (Bay and Oughton 2005) was a widespread phenomenon: many patients strived for higher dose estimations to support their status as Chernobyl victims, and provided biased information. Cancer patients could have remembered circumstances related to the exposure better than the controls. Iodine supplementation months after the exposure was reported to reduce the cancer risk threefold (Cardis et al. 2005), although radioiodine would have already been absorbed and there would be no blockage in uptake that could have reduced thyroid dose (Boice 2005). Some aspects of the study design by Cardis et al. (2005), favoring an LNT-type dose-response relationship, were criticized by Scott (2006). The dose-response relationship in the recent epidemiologic study by Zablotska et al. (2011) is even stronger at the low dose level: it can be seen in the graph 2 in this paper that the dose-effect curve (P 10 Gy of external radiation (Ron et al. 1995). The decrease of risk at higher doses is explained by the effect of cell killing (UNSCEAR 2006; Boice 2005). However, no leveling of TC risk was found by Shore et al. (1985) at the doses of external radiation up to 10 Gy. In a case-control study following radiotherapy for childhood cancer, it was found that exposures around 60 Gy were associated with a high risk of TC (UNSCEAR 1994). For comparison, in a review of a series of studies in rats, a carcinogenic effect on the thyroid of 11 Gy from acute x-ray exposure was compatible to that from injection of 1.1 MBq of 131I, which would give a dose of about 100 Gy, when significant cell killing might be expected (UNSCEAR 1993). The cell killing concept appears to be inapplicable for the doses around 3 Gy from radioiodine, when thyroid remains gross unchanged, the bulk of follicular epithelium remains viable, preserving capability of mitosis. In other words, the cancer field, i.e. exposed follicular cells as a field for potential carcinogenesis, remains in place. Therefore, it appears probable that both the dose-effect relationship at minimal doses and its disappearance at higher doses in (Zablotska et al. 2011) are caused by biases and other factors rather than by radiation, which would be in agreement with evidence in favor of low (if any) carcinogenicity of 131I, used for diagnostic and therapeutic purposes (Hahn et al. 2001; Dickman et al. 2003; Boice 2005; Holm et al. 1991; Wartofsky 2010; DeGroot 1993). Interestingly, Zablotska et al. (2008) found in individuals, exposed as children or adolescents to ionizing radiation, a significant LNT-type dose-response relationship also for follicular thyroid adenoma, a benign condition, which is different in pathogenesis from papillary carcinoma prevailing among post-Chernobyl pediatric TC. It is worth mentioning here that a cause of the unusually high percentage of papillary carcinoma among TC cases in the screened Chernobyl populations is clear for a pathologist, acquainted with the diagnostic practice of that time: reliable diagnostics of a follicular TC often requires a great number of high-quality histological slides from the capsular area of a nodule, which was usually not done because of technical reasons and insufficient awareness of the minimally invasive follicular TC, absent in Russian-language literature. Paradoxically, if papillary TC was overdiagnosed after the Chernobyl accident (Jargin 2009a), follicular TC probably was under-diagnosed.
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