While cardiovascular disease is linked to abnormal lipid metabolism, the relationship between NHHR (non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio), a new lipid metric, and cardiovascular disease in middle-aged and older adults in China is still unclear. This cohort study, based on a population sample, examined the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, including stroke and heart disease. It utilized self-reported diagnoses from the study's inception and during Wave 4, involving 9259 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). The research employed restricted cubic spline models and multivariate logistic regression to investigate possible non-linear relationships. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted to assess the influence of socio-demographic factors on the outcomes. During the seven-year follow-up period, 1,139 participants developed CVD, including 742 cases of heart problems and 582 strokes. In Model 3, it was observed that for each unit increase in the highest NHHR group, the risk of developing CVD increased by 98%, the risk of stroke increased by 48%, and the risk of heart problems increased by 115%. Subgroup analyses indicated that this correlation was more pronounced among individuals under 60 years of age and those with hypertension. According to the current study, elevated NHHR ratio is an important risk factor for CVD in middle-aged and elderly Chinese. Early intervention in patients with higher NHHR ratios may help to further reduce the incidence of CVD.
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