Marine Populations Research Articles

Connectivity of scamp Mycteroperca phenax populations in the United States Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean

Connectivity among marine fish populations not only arises through the movement of adults but also through larval dispersal facilitated by ocean currents. For species with long pelagic larval duration and high site fidelity as adults, larval dispersal can be the dominant mechanism of connectivity among otherwise spatially distinct populations. Therefore, when assessing the recruitment dynamics or population structure of such species, it is essential to evaluate how larval biology and reproductive ecology interact with oceanographic circulation. To investigate this interaction for scamp Mycteroperca phenax, a grouper found in the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean, we simulated the dispersal of millions of virtual larvae throughout the scamp’s range near the southeastern USA. We found a pattern of local retention, with larvae tending to settle close to their spawning location. There was also, however, long-distance dispersal that consistently crossed the boundary between spatial management units. Due to directional patterns in oceanographic transport and spatial differences in abundance, almost one-third of the virtual larvae that settled in the Atlantic came from spawning locations in the Gulf of Mexico, although most of these settled near the boundary between the regions. These patterns were robust to a variety of sensitivity analyses, but the magnitude of connectivity between management units varied. This connectivity has significant implications for stock assessment and fishery management. It may increase the resilience of Atlantic populations, but it also means that the sustainability of Atlantic populations may rely, in part, on the health of spawning populations in the Gulf of Mexico.

Divergent Population Structure in Five Common Rockfish Species of Puget Sound, WA Suggests the Need for Species-Specific Management.

Quantifying connectivity between endangered or threatened marine populations is critical information for management and conservation, especially where abundance and productivity differ among such populations. Spatial patterns of such connectivity depend not only on extrinsic factors such as oceanography and bathymetry but also on intrinsic species-specific factors such as life history, demography and the location of glacial refugia. Nevertheless, population structure is often inferred from related or ecologically similar species. For example, the population structure in most rockfish species (Sebastes spp.) in the Salish Sea and the US West Coast is currently inferred from genetic data of three species that are known to hybridise in Puget Sound. Here, we determined the population structure and connectivity in five Puget Sound Rockfish species (Black [Sebastes melanops], Yellowtail [S. flavidus], Redstripe [S. proriger], Greenstriped [S. elongatus], and Puget Sound Rockfish [S. emphaeus]) from over 12,000 restriction-site associated DNA sequencing (RADseq) loci. We found species-specific patterns of genetic differentiation, attributable to both extrinsic and intrinsic factors. Specifically, Black and Puget Sound rockfishes showed no genetic differentiation; Yellowtail and Greenstriped rockfishes were structured according to known geographic barriers; and Redstripe Rockfish revealed evidence for temporal genetic differentiation, suggesting irregular recruitment influences population structure. Only Yellowtail Rockfish followed the federal DPS boundaries generally assumed for rockfish, further emphasizing the importance of species-specific management for the effective recovery and management of these rockfish populations and of marine species in general.

Assessing spatial structure in marine populations using network theory: A case study of Atlantic sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) connectivity.

Knowledge of the geographic distribution and connectivity of marine populations is essential for ecological understanding and informing management. Previous works have assessed spatial structure by quantifying exchange using Lagrangian particle-tracking simulations, but their scope of analysis is limited by their use of predefined subpopulations. To instead delineate subpopulations emerging naturally from marine population connectivity, we interpret this connectivity as a network, enabling the use of powerful analytic tools from the field of network theory. The modelling approach presented here uses particle-tracking to construct a transport network, and then applies the community detection algorithm Infomap to identify subpopulations that exhibit high internal connectivity and sparse connectivity with other subpopulations. An established quality metric, the coherence ratio, and a new metric we introduce indicating self-recruitment to subpopulations, dubbed the fortress ratio, are used to interpret community-level exchange. We use the Atlantic sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) in the northwest Atlantic as a case study. Results suggest that genetic lineages of P. magellanicus demonstrate spatial substructure that depends on horizontal transport, vertical motility, and suitable habitat. Our results support connectivity previously characterized on Georges Bank and Mid-Atlantic Bight. The Gulf of St. Lawrence genetic lineage is found to consist of five subpopulations that are classified as being a sink, source, permeable, or impermeable using quality metrics. This approach may be applied to other planktonic dispersers and prove useful to management.

Despite the perception that it is rare, by-catch of marine mammals can lead to population decline

Abstract By-catch, the unintentional capture of non-target species in fishing gear, is often described as a rare event when it pertains to marine mammals. Yet, it is the greatest threat to many marine megafauna species, especially small cetaceans. How can both of these statements be true simultaneously? The adjective “rare” is itself rarely defined in a precise and quantitative way. Data collection features are crucial to understand the processes leading to a perception of rarity in samples on by-catch of marine mammals and other protected, endangered and threatened species (PETS). Statistical principles in the design of monitoring schemes must be upheld to ensure sample representativeness when scaling up impact estimates to the level of whole fisheries. Random allocation of observers or monitoring technologies (e.g. Remote Electronic Monitoring) can be strengthened to test the hypothesis that by-catch is a rare event and not only a rarely registered event, especially in monitoring schemes that are not dedicated to PETS by-catch. Even if by-catch is a rare event at the level of a single fishing operation, given the large total number of the latter, and their expansive spatial and temporal extent, by-catch may still impact significantly marine mammal populations.

Long-term study of the combined effects of ocean acidification and warming on the mottled brittle star, Ophionereis fasciata.

The global ocean is rapidly changing, posing a substantial threat to the viability of marine populations due to the co-occurrence of multiple drivers, such as ocean warming (OW) and ocean acidification (OA). To persist, marine species must undergo some combination of acclimation and adaptation in response to these changes. Understanding such responses is essential to measure and project the magnitude and direction of current and future vulnerabilities in marine ecosystems. Echinoderms have been recognised as a model in studies of OW-OA effects on marine biota. However, despite their global diversity, vulnerability and ecological importance in most marine habitats, brittle stars (ophiuroids) are poorly studied. A long-term mesocosm experiment was conducted on adult mottled brittle star (Ophionereis fasciata) as a case study to investigate the physiological response and trade-offs of marine organisms to ocean acidification, ocean warming and the combined effect of these two drivers. Long-term exposure of O. fasciata to high temperature and low pH affected survival, respiration and regeneration rates, growth rate, calcification/dissolution and righting response. Higher temperatures increased stress and respiration, and decreased regeneration and growth rates as well as survival. Conversely, changes in pH had more subtle or no effect, affecting only respiration and calcification. Our results indicate that exposure to a combination of high temperature and low pH produces complex responses for respiration, righting response and calcification. We address the knowledge gap of the impact of a changing ocean on ophiuroids in the context of echinoderm studies, proposing this class as an ideal alternative echinoderm for future research.

A pictorial key to the adult and larval nasal mites (Halarachnidae) of marine mammals.

Mites in the family Halarachnidae are common endoparasites infesting the nasal tissues of a variety of marine mammals. These mites are easily transmissible and compromise the health of their hosts, especially in captive environments. While these mites are noted by marine mammal caretakers, they may easily be misidentified due to repeated revisions to halarachnid mite taxonomy and reclassification of misidentified specimens. Species identification currently requires multiple taxonomic keys, knowledge of revisions to species classifications through time, and training in acarology, which is impractical for marine mammal clinicians. Therefore, to summarize the known taxonomy and aid in future identification of halarachnid mites, we present a pictorial key composed of illustrations based on existing literature and images obtained by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and high-resolution light microscopy (LM). Illustrations are organized into flow charts for the identification of both adult and larval stages. Dorsal shield silhouettes are also provided to facilitate the identification of adults. We hope that this key be used to simplify future taxonomic research, provide a standard for species identification, and aid in the diagnosis of halarachnid infestations in captive and rehabilitated marine mammal populations.

People of the Sea, or of the Soil? How the Balance of Marine and Terrestrial Resource Availability Informs Maximum Population on Four Polynesian Islands

AbstractMost studies of the food resource potential of early Polynesian populations focus exclusively on agricultural potential, and specifically starchy staples, despite the importance of marine resources to the Polynesians. To more accurately estimate total precontact food resource availability, we characterized the terrestrial and near-shore marine environments of four Polynesian islands: Moʻorea, Maupiti, Mangareva and Taravai. We estimate the agricultural potential of each island after a consideration of the ecological factors related to productivity. We also estimate the productivity of the near-shore marine environment as a function of surface area. Using a range of fish yield scenarios from Pacific subsistence systems we scale relative measures of faunal food biomass derived from local archaeological excavations to generate absolute biomass estimates. We convert our estimates of agricultural and fished/foraged food potential into a maximum population size based on calorie availability. Moʻorea’s fertile valleys and wetlands would potentially generate sufficient food energy, mostly from starchy staples, to support a considerable population, many times larger than the other islands. In the most likely fish yield scenario Moʻorea gets only 0.4% of its calories from marine sources, while the others range from 7–18%. These relative inputs reflect the vast superiority in productivity (in terms of calories per km2) of agricultural vs near-shore marine zones. We also find that population size on islands with smaller fringing reefs, such as Moʻorea, may have been limited by a lack of fish protein. Moʻorea’s maximum population is approximately halved when diet breadth is considered.

A food-web assessment model for marine mammals, fish, and fisheries in the Norwegian and Barents Seas

The Norwegian and Barents Seas host large commercial fish populations that interact with each other, as well as marine mammal populations that feed on plankton and fish. Quantifying the past dynamics of these interacting species, and of the associated fisheries in the Norwegian and Barents Sea is of high relevance to support ecosystem-based management. The purpose of this work is to develop a food-web model of intermediate complexity and perform a quantitative assessment of the Norwegian and Barents Sea ecosystems in the period 1988–2021 in a manner that is consistent with existing data and expert knowledge, and that is internally coherent. For this purpose, we use the modelling framework of chance and necessity (CaN). The model construction follows an iterative process that allows to confront, discuss, and resolve multiple issues as well as to recognise uncertainties in expert knowledge, data, and input parameters. We show that it is possible to reconstruct the past dynamics of the food-web only if recognising that some data and assumptions are more uncertain than originally thought. According to this assessment, consumption by commercial fish and catch by fisheries jointly increased until the early 2010s, after which consumption by fish declined and catches by fisheries stabilised. On an annual basis, fish have consumed an average of 135.5 million tonnes of resources (including 9.5 million tonnes of fish), marine mammals have consumed an average of 22 million tonnes of which 50 % (11 million tonnes) were fish. Fisheries and hunting have captured an average of 4.4 million tonnes of fish and 7 thousand tonnes of marine mammals.

Seabird attacks contribute to calf mortality in a whale population

Reports of seabirds attacking marine mammals have become frequent in the 2000s. Southern right whales Eubalaena australis off Península Valdés (PV), Argentina, have suffered the effects of micropredation by kelp gulls Larus dominicanus since at least the 1970s. During 2003-2013, this population experienced 9 yr of unprecedented high calf mortality. Using a 25 yr dataset (1995-2019) of focal follows of gull-whale interactions, we studied long-term changes in gull attack intensity (attacks h-1) and frequency, and explored whether they influenced calf mortality. We also asked whether calf mortality was affected by prey density at maternal feeding grounds during gestation. Applying Bayesian models, we found that the intensity and frequency of attacks increased significantly from 1995 to the 2000s, and that in 2004-2019, calves received 2.85 times as many attacks as did mothers. Moreover, attacks significantly contributed to increase the probability of calves dying, such that a year with average overall harassment had 2.26 times the mortality of a hypothetical year with no attacks. In years of high intensity and frequency of attacks, many older calves died near the end of the season, probably reflecting the cumulative effect of gull harassment on calf health. However, calf mortality was not affected by prey density, and extremely high mortality was not related to extremely high frequency or intensity of attacks, indicating that deaths are also influenced by other unidentified factors. These findings imply that chronic micropredation contributed to the unprecedented high calf mortality observed in PV and that other marine mammal populations experiencing seabird attacks could be threatened.

Adaptive copy number variations of ancient prokaryotic genes in marine fish colonization

During extensive evolution, higher eukaryotes have acquired numerous prokaryotic genes, some of which have experienced adaptive copy number variations (CNVs) in response to changing environments. The specific contribution of ancient prokaryotic genes to the evolutionary dynamics of marine fish remains unclear. In this study, we investigated ancient prokaryotic genes in 33 freshwater and 14 non-freshwater fish species. Non-freshwater fish exhibited a higher proportion of these genes (25.84 %) compared to freshwater fish (17.66 %), though functional categories showed similarity, suggesting genetic conservation. Comprehensive CNV analysis identified 24 genes with significantly higher copy numbers in non-freshwater fish, enriched in glycerolipid metabolism, immune regulation, and catechol O-methyltransferase activity. Eight of these genes displayed increased copy numbers in marine populations compared to Asian freshwater populations. These findings indicate that CNVs in genes related to glycerolipid metabolism, immune regulation, and methyltransferase activity may play crucial roles in marine adaptation at global and regional evolutionary scales.

Genetic and evolutionary divergence of harbour seals (Phoca vitulina) in Iliamna Lake, Alaska.

Freshwater populations of typically marine species present unique opportunities to investigate biodiversity, evolutionary divergence, and the adaptive potential and niche width of species. A few pinniped species have populations that reside solely in freshwater. The harbour seals inhabiting Iliamna Lake, Alaska constitute one such population. Their remoteness, however, has long hindered scientific inquiry. We used DNA from seal scat and tissue samples provided by Indigenous hunters to screen for mitochondrial DNA and microsatellite variation within Iliamna Lake and eight regions across the Pacific Ocean. The Iliamna seals (i) were substantially and significantly discrete from all other populations ( [Formula: see text]F st-mtDNA = 0.544, [Formula: see text]Φ st - mtDNA = 0.541, [Formula: see text]F st-microsatellites = 0.308), (ii) formed a discrete genetic cluster separate from all marine populations (modal ∆k = 2, PC1 = 14.8%), had (iii) less genetic diversity (Hd, π, H exp), and (iv) higher inbreeding (F) than marine populations. These findings are both striking and unexpected revealing that Iliamna seals have likely been on a separate evolutionary trajectory for some time and may represent a unique evolutionary legacy for the species. Attention must now be given to the selective processes driving evolutionary divergence from harbour seals in marine habitats and to ensuring the future of the Iliamna seal.

Harvest sustainability assessments need rethinking under climate change: A ringed seal case study from Svalbard, Norway

AbstractThroughout the Arctic, ice‐affiliated marine mammals constitute local subsistence resources but detrimental effects of declines in their sea ice habitats create a need for harvest sustainability assessments in light of climate change. At the same time, empirical data required for thorough population analysis of these species are often sparse at best, as illustrated by the focal species in this study, ringed seals in Svalbard: the last population survey took place two decades ago (2002–2003), demographic data are limited to age, sex, and reproductive status of a small subset of shot individuals, and harvest reporting is patchy and incomplete. Data sparsity is one of the main reasons why potential biological removal (PBR) became a commonly used tool for assessing sustainability of marine mammal harvests. Herein, we calculated PBR for Svalbard ringed seals using both recommended default parameters and population‐specific parameters obtained from an integrated population model (IPM). PBR estimates were highly uncertain, suggesting the number of sustainably harvestable individuals could lie anywhere between 0 and 91, with a substantial chance of any harvest being unsustainable under current environmental conditions and trends. Subsequent population viability analyses (PVAs) further confirmed that the current harvest was likely unsustainable, even in a scenario in which sea ice conditions would not deteriorate (and therefore lower pup survival) further. However, uncertainty in population projections was high, and forecasts thus not ideal for formulating management advice. Better forecasts will require more frequent population surveys and obtaining more knowledge regarding the links between vital rates and environmental conditions, both of which may be facilitated by the adoption of novel technology (e.g., drone monitoring, genetic studies). The modeling framework created in this study can be readily updated with new data as they become available, and can serve as a tool for adaptive management of this and other marine mammal populations.

Investigating the impact of cross-shelf transport and local retention in the Black Sea Rim Current system on small pelagic fishes

Advection of pelagic fish larvae through ocean currents is a source of dispersal that is known to structure marine populations by directly impacting population success and persistence. To be able to understand fish population dynamics and manage existing fisheries it is therefore of importance to assess the extent of exchange between populations and determine the factors that drive it, which is still a challenge in fisheries research today. In this study, the output of a high-resolution basin-scale circulation model is used to calculate the dispersal probability from spawning areas and the remaining Black Sea for a range of commercially important fish such as anchovy, sprat, turbot, red mullet, and bluefish under different environmental conditions. The common trait of many commercially important species in the Black Sea is that they have pelagic larval stages of different time scales which are simulated by tracking virtual drifters in the simulated surface circulation of the Black Sea. Simulation results show that the dynamic current structure of the Black Sea causes low local retention of larvae. During spring and summer lower offshore transport and higher local retention is observed than in fall and winter, which is directly related to the Rim Current strength. The lowest offshore transport is observed on the northern northwestern shelf, the main spawning area for pelagic fish with still 24-32% of larvae transported offshore. Simulations show that pelagic fish species such as anchovy and sprat adopted different reproductive strategies through their species-specific traits. For the summer spawning species anchovy, timing, and location of spawning together with its short pelagic larval stage is shown to enhance retention on the northwestern shelf. Sprat with its long pelagic larval stage and winter spawning is more adapted to high offshore transport, making it unlikely that sprat is recruited to the same area as where it is spawned. This modeling framework provides a basis for investigating recruitment variability of pelagic fish species in the Black Sea specifically considering the impact of climate variability and provides a useful guide to the potential connectivity of marine populations or the spread of invasive pests in the Black Sea.

Early-life dispersal traits of coastal fishes: an extensive database combining observations and growth models

Abstract. Early-life stages play a key role in the dynamics of bipartite life cycle marine fish populations. Difficult to monitor, observations of these stages are often scattered in space and time. While Mediterranean coastlines have often been surveyed, no effort has been made to assemble historical observations. Here we build an exhaustive compilation of dispersal traits for coastal fish species, considering in situ observations and growth models (Di Stefano et al., 2023; https://doi.org/10.17882/91148). Our database contains over 110 000 entries collected from 1993 to 2021 in various subregions. All observations are harmonized to provide information on dates and geolocations of both spawning and settlement, along with pelagic larval durations. When applicable, missing data and associated confidence intervals are reconstructed from dynamic energy budget theory. Statistical analyses allow traits’ variability to be revisited and sampling biases to be revealed across taxa, space and time, hence providing recommendations for future studies and sampling. Comparison of observed and modelled entries provides suggestions to improve the feed of observations into models. Overall, this extensive database is a crucial step to investigate how marine fish populations respond to global changes across environmental gradients.

Natural coral recovery despite negative population growth.

Demographic processes that ensure the recovery and resilience of marine populations are critical as climate change sends an increasing proportion on a trajectory of decline. Yet for some populations, recovery potential remains high. We conducted annual monitoring over 9 years (2012-2020) to assess the recovery of coral populations belonging to the genus Pocillopora. These populations experienced a catastrophic collapse following a severe typhoon in 2009. From the start of the monitoring period, high initial recruitment led to the establishment of a juvenile population that rapidly transitioned to sexually mature adults, which dominated the population within 6 years after the disturbance. As a result, coral cover increased from 1.1% to 20.2% during this time. To identify key demographic drivers of recovery and population growth rates (λ), we applied kernel-resampled integral projection models (IPMs), constructing eight successive models to examine annual change. IPMs were able to capture reproductive traits as key demographic drivers over the initial 3 years, while individual growth was a continuous key demographic driver throughout the entire monitoring period. IPMs further detected a pulse of reproductive output subsequent to two further Category 5 typhoon events during the monitoring period, exemplifying key mechanisms of resilience for coral populations impacted by disturbance. Despite rapid recovery, (i.e., increased coral cover, individual colony growth, low mortality), IPMs estimated predominantly negative values of λ, indicating a declining population. Indeed, while λ translates to a change in the number of individuals, the recovery of coral populations can also be driven by an increase in the size of surviving colonies. Our results illustrate that accumulating long-term data on historical dynamics and applying IPMs to extract demographic drivers are crucial for future predictions that are based on comprehensive and robust understandings of ecological change.

A framework and review of evidence of the importance of coral reefs for marine birds in tropical ecosystems.

As global heating and other anthropogenic influences alter tropical marine environments, it is unclear how marine bird populations will be impacted and whether their current roles in tropical marine ecosystems will change. Although marine birds roost and breed on tropical islands in large numbers, the direct trophic interactions between these birds and their prey across the tropics are poorly documented. We present a first framework for evaluating the dependence on and contributions of marine birds to tropical coral reef ecosystems and use it to examine the evidence for different kinds of interaction, focusing primarily on avian diets. We found 34 publications between 1967 and 2023 that presented a total of 111 data sets with enough detail for quantitative dietary analysis of tropical marine birds. Only two bird species out of 37 (5.4%) had diets of >50% coral reef fishes and only one, the Pacific Reef Egret, appeared to depend almost entirely on reef-based production. Marine birds are also prey for other marine organisms, but insufficient data are available for quantitative analysis. Evidence for indirect effects of birds in tropical marine environments is stronger than for direct dependence on coral reefs, particularly in relation to nutrient concentration and the fertilisation impacts of guano on corals. Dispersal of propagules (e.g. seeds, spores, invertebrate eggs) by bathing, drinking, resting or foraging birds is under-studied and poorly documented. Although the degradation of coral reefs appears unlikely to have a significant direct impact on food availability for most marine bird populations, indirect effects involving marine birds may be disrupted by global environmental change.

Machine-learning based detection of marine mammal vocalizations in snapping-shrimp dominated ambient noise

Passive acoustics is an effective method for monitoring marine mammals, facilitating both detection and population estimation. In warm tropical waters, this technique encounters challenges due to the high persistent level of ambient impulsive noise originating from the snapping shrimp present throughout this region. This study presents the development and application of a neural-network based detector for marine-mammal vocalizations in long term acoustic data recorded by us at ten locations in Singapore waters. The detector’s performance is observed to be impeded by the high shrimp noise activity. To counteract this, we investigate several techniques to improve detection capabilities in shrimp noise including the use of simple nonlinear denoisers and a machine-learning based denoiser to suppress the noise level. These are shown to enhance the detection performance significantly. Using the robust detectors developed, we discuss some of the vocalizations detected over three years of our acoustic recorder deployments.

Haline Tolerance of Stomatopod (Crustacea) Larvae and Pelagic Dispersal of Two Common Species in the Western Atlantic

AbstractPelagic larval stages play a critical role in the dynamics of marine populations since they are the main way of dispersal and habitat colonization. Here, we examined the larval dispersal pathways of two common stomatopod species in the western Atlantic: Squilla empusa and Lysiosquilla scabricauda. To complement this goal, we also analyzed the haline tolerance of the stomatopod larvae collected in an estuary from the southern Gulf of Mexico. Larval dispersal was simulated using a Lagrangian particle‐tracking module coupled to the Global HYCOM model and consisted of releasing 100 passive particles from each starting site. Results indicated a high level of larval retention in the west Florida shelf and over the narrow western shelf of the Gulf of Mexico. In the South Atlantic Bight, Central America, and northern South America the larval transport was almost unidirectional following the pattern of currents. Generally, connections were among nearby sites, but long‐distance transport can also occur when larvae are trapped by great high‐speed currents. Retention of larvae and connection with neighboring sites were due to local atmospheric and hydrological conditions. During fieldwork, we found two kinds of larvae: antizoea and alima. Morphological characteristics of the antizoea correspond to the superfamily Lysiosquilloidea, and those of the alima, with the superfamily Squilloidea. The antizoea larvae were found in salinity values as low as 21.9 psu, while the alima were at 23.2 psu. Salinity tolerances and dispersal potential of larvae indicate a high level of colonization of new habitats and a broad intrusion into the estuaries.

Indicators to assess temporal variability in marine connectivity processes: A semi-theoretical approach.

Oceanographic connectivity in an effective network of protected areas is crucial for restoring and stabilising marine populations. However, temporal variability in connectivity is rarely considered as a criterion in designing and evaluating marine conservation planning. In this study, indicators were defined to characterise the temporal variability in occurrence, flux, and frequency of connectivity in a northwestern Mediterranean Sea area. Indicators were tested on semi-theoretically-estimated connections provided by the runs of a passive particle transport model in a climatological year and in three years between 2006-2020, showing large deviation from the climatological year. The indicators allowed comparing the temporal variability in connectivity of four zones, highlighted differences in connectivity due to their locations and the mesoscale hydrodynamics, and identified areas that require further investigation. The three indicators also showed that the temporal variability in connectivity was influenced by the duration and depth of particle transport, although no consistent pattern was observed in the indicator variations of the compared zones. Provided that specific objectives will be given when parameterising transport models (i.e., selection of focus species and time period), indicators of temporal variability in connectivity have potential to support spatial conservation planning, prioritise the protection of marine resources, and measure the effectiveness of Marine Protected Areas, in line with a long-term vision of ocean management.

Diving into broad-scale and high-resolution population genomics to decipher drivers of structure and climatic vulnerability in a marine invertebrate.

Species with widespread distributions play a crucial role in our understanding of climate change impacts on population structure. In marine species, population structure is often governed by both high connectivity potential and selection across strong environmental gradients. Despite the complexity of factors influencing marine populations, studying species with broad distribution can provide valuable insights into the relative importance of these factors and the consequences of climate-induced alterations across environmental gradients. We used the northern shrimp Pandalus borealis and its wide latitudinal distribution to identify current drivers of population structure and predict the species' vulnerability to climate change. A total of 1514 individuals sampled across 24° latitude were genotyped at high geographic (54 stations) and genetic (14,331 SNPs) resolutions to assess genetic variation and environmental correlations. Four populations were identified in addition to finer substructure associated with local adaptation. Geographic patterns of neutral population structure reflected predominant oceanographic currents, while a significant proportion of the genetic variation was associated with gradients in salinity and temperature. Adaptive landscapes generated using climate projections suggest a larger genomic offset in the southern extent of the P. borealis range, where shrimp had the largest adaptive standing genetic variation. Our genomic results combined with recent observations point to further deterioration in southern regions and an impending vulnerable status in the regions at higher latitudes for P. borealis. They also provide rare insights into the drivers of population structure and climatic vulnerability of a widespread meroplanktonic species, which is crucial to understanding future challenges associated with invertebrates essential to ecosystem functioning.