Low Negative Likelihood Ratio Research Articles

Accuracy of the international growth charts to diagnose obesity according to the body composition analysis in US children and adolescents.

This study verified the accuracy of the international BMI references and the allometric BMI reference to diagnose obesity in children and adolescents from the USA. Data from 17313 subjects were obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between the years 1999-2006 and 2011-2018. Fat Mass Index, Allometric Fat Mass Index and fat mass/fat-free mass were calculated. Receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC, sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio were estimated to evaluate the accuracy of the growth references for diagnosing obesity. The International Obesity Task Force, MULT BMI 17 years, MULT BMI 18 years and allometric BMI 19 years achieved the best sensitivity-specificity trade-off for boys, with sensitivities ranging from 0·92 to 0·96 and specificities of 0·94, with positive likelihood ratio of 15·51, 16·17, 13·46 and 18·01, respectively. The negative likelihood ratios were notably low, ranging from 0·04 to 0·08. In girls, the International Obesity Task Force, MULT BMI 17 years and MULT allometric BMI 17 years also demonstrated high sensitivity (0·95-0·97) and specificity (0·92), with positive likelihood ratio values of 11·54, 11·82 and 11·77, respectively and low negative likelihood ratio values (0·03-0·05). In summary, these international growth references presented satisfactory performance to diagnose obesity. However, the MULT growth reference performed better, and the MULT allometric BMI was the only indicator capable of detecting that girls have a higher proportion of fat mass than boys for the same index values. These findings suggest that the MULT growth reference may be a better tool to assess the nutritional status of children and adolescents internationally.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Subjective Features and Physical Examination Tests for Morton Neuroma: A Systematic Review.

Morton neuroma (MN) is a common pathology with many reported subjective features and physical examination tests. The objective of this systematic review was to examine the diagnostic accuracy of subjective features and physical examination tests for MN. CINAHL, CENTRAL, EMBASE, MEDLINE, PubMed, Opengrey, PEDro, PsycINFO, Scopus and Trials register were searched in January 2021. Two reviewers independently screened studies for inclusion using the following criteria: (1) prospective or retrospective cohort studies, (2) participants aged ≥18 years with suspected MN, (3) primary data allowing construction of 2 × 2 diagnostic table or reported sensitivity and specificity figures, (4) diagnosis of MN using magnetic resonance imaging, ultrasonography, surgery, positive response to steroid and/or anesthetic injection, and (5) in English or translatable. Quality of included studies was assessed using the Quality Assessment for Diagnostic Accuracy Studies version-2 (QUADAS-2) tool. The search yielded 1170 results, of which 9 were included in this systematic review. Narrative synthesis revealed that subjective clicking reported by a patient was highly specific (0.96) and had a high positive likelihood ratio (13.14). The modified webspace tenderness test (thumb index finger squeeze test) was highly sensitive (0.96) with a low negative likelihood ratio (0.04). The commonly reported feeling of "walking on a pebble" and "burning pain" had sensitivities of 43% to 53% and 54% to 57% and associated specificities of 52% and 48%, respectively.Only 1 study had low risk of bias. The review was limited by the number of studies that included few or no patients without MN, and the impact this had on the ability to calculate diagnostic accuracy. There is strong evidence that clicking reported by a patient rules in MN and that the modified webspace tenderness test rules out MN when negative.

Comparing the Diagnostic Performance of Lung Ultrasonography and Chest Radiography for Detecting Pneumothorax in Patients with Trauma: A Meta-Analysis

Introduction: The objective of this study was to compare the diagnostic performance of ultrasonography (US) and chest radiography for detecting pneumothorax in patients with trauma using a meta-analytic approach. Methods: PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were systematically searched to identify eligible studies until March 2023. The diagnostic performance of US and chest radiography was assessed using sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), diagnostic score, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: Overall, 21 studies involving 4,087 patients with trauma were included. The overall sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR, diagnostic score, DOR, and AUC of US for detecting pneumothorax were 0.83, 0.99, 73.72, 0.17, 6.06, 427.80, and 0.99, respectively. The corresponding values of chest radiography for detecting pneumothorax were 0.37, 1.00, 175.59, 0.63, 5.63, 279.97, and 0.86. US was associated with a higher sensitivity (ratio: 2.24; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.70–2.95; p < 0.001) or AUC (ratio: 1.15; 95% CI: 1.11–1.19; p < 0.001) and lower NLR (ratio: 0.27; 95% CI: 0.17–0.43; p < 0.001) compared with chest radiography. Conclusion: Lung US was associated with better diagnostic performance than chest radiography for detecting pneumothorax in patients with trauma.

Meta-analysis of the diagnostic value of functional magnetic resonance imaging for distinguishing unresponsive wakefulness syndrome/vegetative state and minimally conscious state.

Unresponsive wakefulness syndrome/vegetative state (UWS/VS) and minimally conscious state (MCS) are considered different clinical entities, but their differential diagnosis remains challenging. As a potential clinical tool, functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) could detect residual awareness without the need for the patients' actual motor responses. This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of fMRI for distinguishing between UWS/VS and MCS through a meta-analysis of the existing studies. We conducted a comprehensive search (from the database creation date to November. 2023) for relevant English articles on fMRI for the differential diagnosis of UWS/VS and MCS. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR+), negative likelihood ratio (LR-), summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve, and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated to assess the diagnostic value of fMRI in distinguishing between UWS/VS and MCS. The statistical I 2 test was used to assess heterogeneity, and the source of heterogeneity was investigated by performing a meta-regression analysis. Publication bias was assessed using the Deeks funnel plot asymmetry test. Ten studies were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.71 (95% CI 0.62-0.79) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.54-0.84), respectively. The fMRI for the differential diagnosis of UWS/VS and MCS has a moderate positive likelihood ratio (2.5) and a relatively low negative likelihood ratio (0.40). Additionally, SROC curves showed that the AUC was 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.80). Functional magnetic resonance imaging has a good performance in the differential diagnosis of UWS/VS and MCS, and may provide a potential tool for evaluating the prognosis and guiding the rehabilitation therapy in patients with disorders of consciousness.

A Retrospective Comparison of Diagnostic Tools of Bullous Pemphigoid for Elderly Patients.

Older patients who are predisposed to bullous pemphigoid (BP) may exhibit reluctance to undergo skin biopsy due to potential complications. This study aimed to conduct a comparative evaluation among histology, direct immunofluorescence (DIF), and indirect immunofluorescence (IIF) to determine the optimal diagnostic tool in elderly patients. A retrospective study was conducted on 841 patients suspected of having BP. All cases were initially classified as BP and non-BP in accordance with the diagnostic criteria. Student's t-test and chi-squared test examined differences between the 2 groups. We evaluated the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio detected by the 3 tools. We stratified the analysis by age to compare the performance of the diagnostic tools and examined the risk factors associated with BP using logistic regression. Overall, histology exhibited the highest sensitivity (89.4%), while DIF demonstrated the highest specificity (67.1%). In the elderly, the IIF test exhibited the highest specificity (57.5%), the highest positive likelihood ratio (2.047), and the lowest negative likelihood ratio (0.226). Among patients taking Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, IIF demonstrated the highest positive likelihood ratio (3.194) and the second-lowest negative likelihood ratio (0.235). In cases that elderly patients suspected of having BP are reluctant to undergo skin biopsy, IIF demonstrates the optimal diagnostic method due to its highest positive likelihood ratio, the lowest negative likelihood ratio among the 3 diagnostic measures. Moreover, IIF is found to be a more effective tool for detecting BP in patients using DPP-4 inhibitors.

Exploring serum amino acid signatures as potential biomarkers in Hashimoto's thyroiditis patients.

Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) is an autoimmune disease caused by the immune system attacking healthy tissues. However, the exact pathogenesis of HT remains unclear. Metabolomic analysis was performed to obtain information about the possible pathogenic mechanisms and diagnostic biomarkers of HT. The amino acid profile was analyzed using an LC-MS/MS method using serum samples obtained from 30 patients diagnosed with ultrasonographic imaging and laboratory markers (thyroid stimulating hormone) free thyroxine and thyroid peroxidase) and 30 healthy individuals. There were statistically significant changes in 27 amino acids out of 32 amino acids analyzed (p < 0.05). Based on the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the six amino acid (1-methylhistidine, cystine, norvaline, histidine, glutamic acid and leucine) biomarkers showed high sensitivity, specificity (area under the curve > 0.98), positive likelihood ratio and low negative likelihood ratio. Also, according to pathway analysis, degradation of phenylalanine, tyrosine and tryptophan biosynthesis was the highest metabolic pathway according to the impact value (p < 0.001 and impact value = 1.0). We provide serum amino acid profiles of patients with Hashimoto's thyroiditis and identify five potential biomarkers for early diagnosis by clinicians.

Clinical validation of "spiritual distress (00066)" in parents of children with chronic diseases.

This study aimed to determine the clinical validation of the nursing diagnosis (ND) of "spiritual distress (00066)" and the sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratio, and predictive value in parents of children with chronic diseases. This cross-sectional study was conducted using the clinical diagnostic validity method proposed by Fehring. The data were collected through structured interviews and using a researcher-made list that included 5 parts of demographic information, parents' opinions about spiritual distress, the researcher's diagnosis, 74 defining characteristics (DCs) of the ND of spiritual distress, and the Spiritual Well-being Questionnaire. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics as well as sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratio, and predictive value. The prevalence of diagnosis was 70% in a sample of 120 parents. Out of the 74 DCs, 39 criteria were validated. Questioning meaning of illness and suffering had the highest sensitivity (98.8%), the highest negative predictive value (88.88%), and the lowest negative likelihood ratio (0.05%). Expressing the lack of meaning in life demonstrated the highest specificity (97.22%), the highest positive predictive value (98.33%), and the highest positive likelihood ratio (25.26%). Parents who search for meaning of illness and suffering related to a lack of meaning in life are in spiritual distress. The ND was validated. These findings can empower clinical nurses to confidently assess and identify patients experiencing spiritual distress, bridging the gaps caused by the absence of standardized tools for assessing spiritual distress in the inpatient setting.

Prediction of COVID-19 patients’ participation in financing informal care using machine learning methods: willingness to pay and willingness to accept approaches

BackgroundInformal care plays an essential role in managing the COVID-19 pandemic. Expanding health insurance packages that reimburse caregivers' services through cost-sharing policies could increase financial resources. Predicting payers' willingness to contribute financially accurately is essential for implementing such a policy. This study aimed to identify the key variables related to WTP/WTA of COVID-19 patients for informal care in Sanandaj city, Iran.MethodsThis cross-sectional study involved 425 COVID-19 patients in Sanandaj city, Iran, and 23 potential risk factors. We compared the performance of three classifiers based on total accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, negative likelihood ratio, and positive likelihood ratio.ResultsFindings showed that the average total accuracy of all models was over 70%. Random trees had the most incredible total accuracy for both patient WTA and patient WTP(0.95 and 0.92). Also, the most significant specificity (0.93 and 0.94), sensitivity (0.91 and 0.87), and the lowest negative likelihood ratio (0.193 and 0.19) belonged to this model. According to the random tree model, the most critical factor in patient WTA were patient difficulty in personal activities, dependency on the caregiver, number of caregivers, patient employment, and education, caregiver employment and patient hospitalization history. Also, for WTP were history of COVID-19 death of patient's relatives, and patient employment status.ConclusionImplementing of a more flexible work schedule, encouraging employer to support employee to provide informal care, implementing educational programs to increase patients' efficacy, and providing accurate information could lead to increased patients' willingness to contribute and finally promote health outcomes in the population.

Nonspecific stress biomarkers for mortality prediction in older emergency department patients presenting with falls: a prospective multicenter observational study.

Older patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) after falling are increasingly prevalent. Falls are associated with functional decline and death. Biomarkers predicting short-term mortality might facilitate decisions regarding resource allocation and disposition. D-dimer levels are used to rule out thromboembolic disease, while copeptin and adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) may be used as measures of the patient`s stress level. These nonspecific biomarkers were selected as potential predictors for mortality. Prospective, international, multicenter, cross-sectional observation was performed in two tertiary and two regional hospitals in Germany and Switzerland. Patients aged 65years or older presenting to the ED after a fall were enrolled. Demographic data, Activities of Daily Living (ADL), and D-dimers were collected upon presentation. Copeptin and MR-proADM levels were determined from frozen samples. Primary outcome was 30-day mortality; and secondary outcomes were mortality at 90, 180, and 365days. Five hundred and seventy-two patients were included. Median age was 83 [IQR 78, 89] years, 236 (67.7%) were female. Mortality overall was 3.1% (30d), 5.4% (90d), 7.5% (180d), and 13.8% (365d), respectively. Non-survivors were older, had a lower ADL index and higher levels of all three biomarkers. Elevated levels of MR-proADM and D-dimer were associated with higher risk of mortality. MR-proADM and D-dimer showed high sensitivity and low negative likelihood ratio regarding short-term mortality, whereas copeptin did not. D-dimer and MR-proADM levels might be useful as prognostic markers in older patients presenting to the ED after a fall, by identifying patients at low risk of short-term mortality. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02244983.

Value of Focused Assessment with Sonography for Trauma in Management of Hypotensive Polytrauma Patients – A Meta-Analysis

Abstract Background Severe or major trauma is a worldwide pandemic and one of the leading causes of death and disability. Polytrauma always involves young, productive individuals and represents a substantial burden on the society Management of Trauma injuries generally emphasizes the importance of identifying and prioritizing the most serious life-threatening injuries and managing them. Management consists of a rapid primary survey, resuscitation of vital functions, a more detailed secondary survey, and, finally, the initiation of definitive care. Damage-control surgery has increasing role as it proves reliability in the most sensitive situations. Objective To assess the Value of focused assessment with sonography for management of hypotensive polytrauma patients. Patients and Methods All trials about the usage include participants who came to ER due to polytrauma with blunt or penetrating abdominal trauma or with undifferentiated shock, randomized controlled trials and prospective or retrospective cohort studies that assess the value of focused sonography in hypotensive polytrauma patients. Results The value of an odds ratio like that of other measures of test performance for example sensitivity and specificity and likelihood ratios depends on prevelance. For example, a test with pooled diagnostic odds ratio of 10.00 is considered to be very good by current standards, therefore pooled diagnostic odds ratio of 77.46 which is considered to be very good. Spearman correlation coefficient:-0.429 with p value 0.397 which is insignificant so, there was low threshold effect Positive and negative Likelihood ratio both are done on six studies with positive likelihood ratio is 21.27 and negative likelihood ratio is 0.29 sensitivity and specificity are done on the six studies with pooled sensitivity is 0.73 and pooled specificity is 0.98. Data Sources Medline databases (PubMed, Medscape, ScienceDirect. EMF-Portal) and all materials available in the Internet till 2022. Conclusion FAST is significant in polytrauma patients especially in hypotensive patients with considerable accuracy rate 77.46 and good pooled sensitivity with 0.73 and pooled specificity with 0.98 and good ROC curve with are under the curve 0.70.

Diagnostic Utility of High Fluorescence Cells in Detecting Malignant Effusions.

Most modern haematology analysers have a dedicated body fluid mode for cell counts of body fluids. Many analysers also count the number of high fluorescence cells (HF cells). HF cells have a large nuclear size and emit high fluorescence when stained with fluorescent dyes. Due to their large nuclear size, Malignant cells are counted as HF cells. We aim to determine the diagnostic utility of HF cells in predicting the presence of malignant cells in serous effusions. HF cell counts were done on 209 serous fluid samples using the body fluid mode of Mindray BC-6800 plus haematology analyser. Papanicilaou-stained smears of all samples were examined for the presence of malignant cells by a panel of cytopathologists. ROC curve analysis was done to determine the sensitivity and specificity of HF cells in malignant effusions. Out of 209 samples, malignant cells were found by microscopy in 97 cases (46.4%). The absolute number and percentage of HF cells were significantly higher (P < 0.001) in malignant effusions (HF# = 24.9 cells/ul, HF% = 10.4%) when compared to non-malignant samples (HF# = 4.95 cells/ul, HF% = 5.76%). ROC curve analysis determined an optimal cut-off of ≥30 HF cells/ul (sensitivity = 73.91, specificity = 55.66%) for the prediction of malignant cells. HF cells in serous effusions can be a helpful tool to aid the pathologist, but it is not an ideal screening test due to its low sensitivity (67.74%) and negative likelihood ratio (0.5) at a cut-off of ≥30 HF cells/ul. However, due to high specificity of 83.18% at a cut-off of ≥72 HF cells/ul, a meticulous search for malignant cells should be done on microscopy.

CTP for the Screening of Vasospasm and Delayed Cerebral Ischemia in Aneurysmal SAH: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Delayed cerebral ischemia and vasospasm are the most common causes of late morbidity following aneurysmal SAH, but their diagnosis remains challenging. This systematic review and meta-analysis investigated the diagnostic performance of CTP for detection of delayed cerebral ischemia and vasospasm in the setting of aneurysmal SAH. Studies evaluating the diagnostic performance of CTP in the setting of aneurysmal SAH were searched on the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Clinical Answers, Cochrane Methodology Register, Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, American College of Physicians Journal Club, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects, Health Technology Assessment, National Health Service Economic Evaluation Database, PubMed, and Google Scholar from their inception to September 2023. Thirty studies were included, encompassing 1786 patients with aneurysmal SAH and 2302 CTP studies. Studies were included if they compared the diagnostic accuracy of CTP with a reference standard (clinical or radiologic delayed cerebral ischemia, angiographic spasm) for the detection of delayed cerebral ischemia or vasospasm in patients with aneurysmal SAH. The primary outcome was accuracy for the detection of delayed cerebral ischemia or vasospasm. Bivariate random effects models were used to pool outcomes for sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio. Subgroup analyses for individual CTP parameters and early-versus-late study timing were performed. Bias and applicability were assessed using the modified QUADAS-2 tool. For assessment of delayed cerebral ischemia, CTP demonstrated a pooled sensitivity of 82.1% (95% CI, 74.5%-87.8%), specificity of 79.6% (95% CI, 73.0%-84.9%), positive likelihood ratio of 4.01 (95% CI, 2.94-5.47), and negative likelihood ratio of 0.23 (95% CI, 0.12-0.33). For assessment of vasospasm, CTP showed a pooled sensitivity of 85.6% (95% CI, 74.2%-92.5%), specificity of 87.9% (95% CI, 79.2%-93.3%), positive likelihood ratio of 7.10 (95% CI, 3.87-13.04), and negative likelihood ratio of 0.16 (95% CI, 0.09-0.31). QUADAS-2 assessment identified 12 articles with low risk, 11 with moderate risk, and 7 with a high risk of bias. For delayed cerebral ischemia, CTP had a sensitivity of >80%, specificity of >75%, and a low negative likelihood ratio of 0.23. CTP had better performance for the detection of vasospasm, with sensitivity and specificity of >85% and a low negative likelihood ratio of 0.16. Although the accuracy offers the potential for CTP to be used in limited clinical contexts, standardization of CTP techniques and high-quality randomized trials evaluating its impact are required.

Telephone triage of chest pain in out-of-hours primary care: external validation of a symptom-based prediction rule to rule out acute coronary syndromes.

Telephone triage is pivotal for evaluating the urgency of patient care, and in the Netherlands, the Netherlands Triage Standard (NTS) demonstrates moderate discrimination for chest pain. To address this, the Safety First Prediction Rule (SFPR) was developed to improve the safety of ruling out acute coronary syndrome (ACS) during telephone triage. We conducted an external validation of the SFPR using data from the TRACE study, a retrospective cohort study in out-of-hours primary care. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy assessment for ACS, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and major events within 6 weeks. Moreover, we compared its performance with that of the NTS algorithm. Among 1404 included patients (57.3% female, 6.8% ACS, 8.6% MACE), the SFPR demonstrated good discrimination for ACS (C-statistic: 0.79; 95%-CI: 0.75-0.83) and MACE (C-statistic: 0.79; 95%-CI: 0.0.76-0.82). Calibration was satisfactory, with overestimation observed in high-risk patients for ACS. The SFPR (risk threshold 2.5%) trended toward higher sensitivity (95.8% vs. 86.3%) and negative predictive value (99.3% vs. 97.6%) with a lower negative likelihood ratio (0.10 vs. 0.34) than the NTS algorithm. The SFPR proved robust for risk stratification in patients with acute chest pain seeking out-of-hours primary care in the Netherlands. Further prospective validation and implementation are warranted to refine and establish the rule's clinical utility.

Optimizing resource allocation: Cost-effectiveness of specified D-dimer cut-offs in cancer patients with suspected venous thromboembolism

An accurate diagnosis of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is crucial, given the potential for high mortality in undetected cases. Strategic D-dimer testing may aid in identifying low-risk patients, preventing overdiagnosis and reducing imaging costs. We conducted a retrospective, comparative analysis to assess the potential cost savings that could be achieved by adopting different approaches to determine the most effective D-dimer cut-off value in cancer patients with suspected VTE, compared to the commonly used rule-out cut-off level of 0.5 mg/L. The study included 526 patients (median age 65, IQR 55–75) with a confirmed cancer diagnosis who underwent D-dimer testing. Among these patients, the VTE prevalence was 29% (n = 152). Each diagnostic strategy's sensitivity, specificity, negative likelihood ratio (NLR), as well as positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and the proportion of patients exhibiting a negative D-dimer test result, were calculated. The diagnostic strategy that demonstrated the best balance between specificity, sensitivity, NLR, and PLR, utilized an inverse age-specific cut-off level for D-dimer [0.5 + (66-age) × 0.01 mg/L]. This method yielded a PLR of 2.9 at a very low NLR for the exclusion of VTE. We observed a significant cost reduction of 4.6% and 1.0% for PE and DVT, respectively. The utilization of an age-adjusted cut-off [patient’s age × 0.01 mg/L] resulted in the highest cost savings, reaching 8.1% for PE and 3.4% for DVT. Using specified D-dimer cut-offs in the diagnosis of VTE could improve economics, considering the limited occurrence of confirmed cases among patients with suspected VTE.Graphical In the context of accurate diagnosis of VTE, strategic D-dimer testing helps identify low-risk patients, preventing overdiagnosis and reducing imaging costs. In our retrospective study, the diagnostic strategy that demonstrated the best balance between specificity, sensitivity, and best PLR, utilized an inverse age-specific cut-off level for D-dimer. We observed a significant cost reduction of 4.6% for PE and 1% for DVT. Abbreviations: CTPA, computed tomography pulmonary angiography; CUS, compression ultrasound; DVT, deep vein thrombosis; PE, pulmonary embolism; VTE, venous thromboembolism.

Preoperative prediction power of radiomics and non-radiomics methods based on MRI for early recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma: a systemic review and meta-analysis.

To compare radiomics and non-radiomics in predicting early recurrence (ER) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative surgery. We systematically searched PubMed and Embase databases. Studies with clear reference criteria were selected. Data were extracted and assessed for quality using the quality in prognosis studies tool (QUIPS)by two independent authors. All included radiomics studies underwent radiomics quality score (RQS) assessment. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) using random or fixed models with a 95%CI. Forest maps visualized the data, and summary receiver operating characteristic (sROC) curves with the area under the curve (AUC) were generated. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses explored sources of heterogeneity. We compared sensitivity, specificity, PLR, and NLR using the z-test and compared AUC values using the Delong test. Our meta-analysis included 10 studies comprising 1857 patients. For radiomics, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, AUC of sROC, PLR and NLR were 0.84(95%CI: 0.78-0.89), 0.80(95%CI: 0.75-0.85), 0.89(95%CI: 0.86-0.91), 4.28(95%CI: 3.48-5.27) and 0.20(95%CI: 0.14-0.27), respectively, but with significant heterogeneity (I2 = 60.78% for sensitivity, I2 = 55.79% for specificity) and potential publication bias (P = 0.04). The pooled sensitivity, specificity, AUC of sROC, PLR, NLR for non-radiomics were 0.75(95%CI:0.68-0.81), 0.78(95%CI:0.72-0.83), 0.83(95%CI: 0.80-0.86), 3.45(95%CI: 2.68-4.44) and 0.32(95%CI: 0.24-0.41), respectively. There was no significant heterogeneity in this group (I2 = 0% for sensitivity, I2 = 17.27% for specificity). Radiomics showed higher diagnostic accuracy (AUC: 0.89 vs. 0.83, P = 0.0456), higher sensitivity (0.84 vs. 0.75, P = 0.0385) and lower NLR (0.20 vs. 0.32, P = 0.0287). The radiomics from preoperative MRI effectively predicts ER of HCC and has higher diagnostic accuracy than non-radiomics. Due to potential publication bias and suboptimal RQS scores in radiomics, these results should be interpreted cautiously.

Selecting the Best Gastric Anatomical Place for Biopsy to Detect Helicobacter Pylori in Iranian Morbid Obese Patients.

Obesity and Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection are public health problems in the world and Iran. This study aimed to indicate the anatomical place with the most accurate results for H. pylori. According to gastric mapping, this study will be able to evaluate the prevalence of H. pylori based on the pathology of gastric mapping and the accuracy of the antral rapid urease test (RUT) based on endoscopic findings. In this cross-sectional study, upper digestive endoscopy and gastric pathology were studied in 196 obese patients candidates for bariatric surgery. Statistical analyses were performed using a t-test and Chi-square/fisher's exact test to compare the groups. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), and odds ratio (OR) were used to compare RUT and pathological H. pylori test of each of the six areas of the stomach. We set a positive test of the pathology of 6 regions of the stomach as our gold standard (in this study). The most common area of the stomach for pathological findings of H. pylori were incisura (116, 59.2%), greater curvature of the antrum (115, 58.3%), lesser curvature of the antrum (113, 57.7%), lesser curvature of the corpus (112, 57.1%), greater curvature of the corpus (111, 56.6%) and cardia (103, 52.6%). The prevalence of H. pylori was 58.2% (114 cases) and 61.2% (120 cases) with RUT and gastric pathology, respectively. Mild, moderate, and severe infection of H. pylori in cardia (58, 29.6%), greater and lesser curvature of the antrum (61, 31.1%), and greater curvature of the antrum (37, 18.9%) had the highest percentages of incidence comparing to other sites of the stomach, respectively. The most sensitive area for pathologic biopsy was incisura (96.6%, 95% confidence interval: 91.7, 98.7). According to the highest sensitivity, PLR, NPV, and pathological findings of H. pylori in accordance with the lowest NLR in the incisura compared with other parts of the stomach, it is highly recommended to take the biopsy from the incisura instead of other anatomical places of stomach for detecting H. pylori specifically if our strategy is taking only one biopsy.

Abstract TP155: Predictive Value of Plasma Matrix Metalloproteinase-9 Concentrations for Hemorrhagic Transformation in Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Diagnostic Accuracy Meta-Analysis

Background: Hemorrhagic transformation (HT) is a critical sequela of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9) has been implicated in the pathophysiology of hemorrhagic transformation (HT) post-acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, the diagnostic accuracy of plasma MMP-9 concentrations as a predictive marker for HT remains inconsistent across studies. Aim: This study aims to determine the potential of plasma MMP-9 concentrations as an indicator for HT in AIS patients. Methods: Systematic reviews of leading databases such as PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were performed until March 2023. Studies were included assessing the diagnostic accuracy of plasma MMP-9 concentrations in predicting HT after AIS. Statistical analyses were conducted using R software (version 4.0.3) and the mada package. This analytical method enabled the pooling of sensitivity, specificity, false-positive rates, diagnostic odds ratio, as well, as both positive and negative Likelihood Ratios. Outcomes are reported within a 95% Confidence Interval (CI). Results: Our analysis included 4 studies with a total of 378 patients, of whom 79 developed hemorrhagic transformation. Plasma MMP-9 displayed notable predictive capabilities with a pooled sensitivity of 92.4% (95% CI: 77-97.8%, I 2 =0%), highlighting its proficiency in detecting HT cases. Its specificity was 78.3% (95% CI: 73.2-82.6%, I 2 =0%), emphasizing its accuracy in distinguishing non-HT cases. However, there was a false-positive rate of 21.7% (95% CI: 17.4-26.8%). The positive Likelihood Ratio was 4.25 (95% CI: 3.36-5.38), and the notably low negative Likelihood Ratio was 0.09 (95% CI: 0.03-0.32). The diagnostic odds ratio, suggesting strong discriminative power, was 43.72 (95% CI: 11.73-162.91). Conclusion: Our analysis underscores the promising role of plasma matrix metalloproteinase-9 concentrations in predicting hemorrhagic transformation following an acute ischemic stroke. However, the broad adoption in clinical settings mandates further confirmatory studies and validation across heterogeneous populations.

The role of ischemia-modified albumin, presepsin, delta neutrophil index, and inflammatory markers in diagnosing acute cholecystitis.

The purpose of this study is to determine the significance of markers such as C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, complete blood count parameters, delta neutrophil index, ischemia-modified albumin, presepsin, and oxidative stress indicators, which are associated with inflammation, oxidative stress, and ischemia in the pathology and diagnosis of acute cholecystitis in adults. Patients diagnosed with acute cholecystitis in the emergency department and healthy individuals in the control group were included in the study. Routine blood count and biochemistry analyses were performed on the participants. Blood serum was used to measure ischemia-modified albumin, presepsin, and oxidative stress indicators. White blood cell count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, delta neutrophil index, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, ischemia-modified albumin, ischemia-modified albumin to albumin ratio, presepsin, and oxidative stress indicators were significantly higher in patients with cholecystitis compared to the control group. Measurements of white blood cell count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and delta neutrophil index can be included as part of the complete blood count. The complete blood count parameters are readily available and do not incur additional costs to the healthcare system. The authors believe that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, delta neutrophil index, ischemia-modified albumin, ischemia-modified albumin to albumin ratio, and presepsin values can be used as new markers in the diagnosis of acute cholecystitis due to their high sensitivity, specificity, and low negative likelihood ratio.

Fibroblast Growth Factor 21: A More Effective Biomarker Than Free Fatty Acids and Other Insulin Sensitivity Measures for Predicting Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Saudi Arabian Type 2 Diabetes Patients.

Background Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is more prevalent among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2DM), elevating their risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and premature mortality. There is a need to modify treatment strategies to prevent or delay these adverse outcomes. Currently, there are no sensitive or specific biomarkers for predicting NAFLD in Saudi T2DM patients. Therefore, we aimed to explore the possibility of using fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF-21), free fatty acids (FFAs), homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), and quantitative insulin sensitivity check index (QUICKI) as possible markers. Methodology In this study, a total of 67 T2DM patients were recruited. NAFLD was detected by ultrasonography in 28 patients. Plasma glucose, FFAs, FGF-21, and serum insulin were measured in fasting blood samples. HOMA-IR and QUICKI were calculated. The means of the two groups with and without NAFLD were statistically compared. The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to assess the ability to identify NAFLD. Results The mean levels of FGF-21 and HOMA-IR were significantly higher and that of QUICKI was significantly lower in patients with NAFLD than in those without (p < 0.001, p = 0.023, and p = 0.018, respectively). FGF-21 had the highest AUC to identify NAFLD (AUC = 0.981, 95% confidence interval = 0.954-1, P < 0.001). The AUCs for HOMA-IR, QUICKI, and FFA were <0.7. The highest sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and the lowest negative likelihood ratio were found when FGF-21 was used to predict NAFLD. Conclusions FGF-21 may be used as a biomarker to predict NAFLD in people with T2DM due to its high sensitivity and specificity compared to the other markers.

Rapid Point-of-Care Identification of Aspergillus Species in Microbial Keratitis

Microbial keratitis (MK) is a common cause of unilateral visual impairment, blindness, and eye loss in low-income and middle-income countries. There is an urgent need to develop and implement rapid and simple point-of-care diagnostics for MK to increase the likelihood of good outcomes. To evaluate the diagnostic performance of the Aspergillus-specific lateral-flow device (AspLFD) to identify Aspergillus species causing MK in corneal scrape and corneal swab samples of patients presenting with microbial keratitis. This diagnostic study was conducted between May 2022 and January 2023 at the corneal clinic of Aravind Eye Hospital in Madurai, Tamil Nadu, India. All study participants were recruited during their first presentation to the clinic. Patients aged 15 years or older met the eligibility criteria if they were attending their first appointment, had a corneal ulcer that was suggestive of a bacterial or fungal infection, and were about to undergo diagnostic scrape and culture. Sensitivity and specificity of the AspLFD with corneal samples collected from patients with MK. During routine diagnostic scraping, a minimally invasive corneal swab and an additional corneal scrape were collected and transferred to aliquots of sample buffer and analyzed by lateral-flow device (LFD) if the patient met the inclusion criteria. Photographs of devices were taken with a smartphone and analyzed using a ratiometric approach, which was developed for this study. The AspLFD results were compared with culture reports. The 198 participants who met the inclusion criteria had a mean (range) age of 51 (15-85) years and included 126 males (63.6%). Overall, 35 of 198 participants with corneal scrape (17.7%) and 17 of 40 participants with swab samples (42.5%) had positive culture results for Aspergillus species. Ratiometric analysis results for the scrape samples found that the AspLFD achieved high sensitivity (0.89; 95% CI, 0.74-0.95), high negative predictive value (0.97; 95% CI, 0.94-0.99), low negative likelihood ratio (0.12; 95% CI, 0.05-0.30), and an accuracy of 0.94 (95% CI, 0.90-0.97). Ratiometric analysis results for the swab samples showed that the AspLFD had high sensitivity (0.94; 95% CI, 0.73-1.00), high negative predictive value (0.95; 95% CI, 0.76-1.00), low negative likelihood ratio (0.07; 95% CI, 0.01-0.48), and an accuracy of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.73-0.96). Results of this diagnostic study suggest that AspLFD along with the ratiometric analysis of LFDs developed for this study has high diagnostic accuracy in identifying Aspergillus species from corneal scrapes and swabs. This technology is an important step toward the provision of point-of-care diagnostics for MK and could inform the clinical management strategy.