Loss Of Quality-adjusted Life Years Research Articles

Cost-effectiveness of temperature monitoring to help prevent foot ulcer recurrence in people with diabetes: A multicenter randomized controlled trial.

Diabetes-related foot ulcers are common, costly, and frequently recur. Multiple interventions help prevent these ulcers. However, none of these have been prospectively investigated for cost-effectiveness. Our aim was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of at-home skin temperature monitoring to help prevent diabetes-related foot ulcer recurrence. Multicenter randomized controlled trial. We randomized 304 persons at high diabetes-related foot ulcer risk to either usual foot care plus daily at-home foot skin temperature monitoring (intervention) or usual care alone (control). Primary outcome was cost-effectiveness based on foot care costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) during 18 months follow-up. Foot care costs included costs for ulcer prevention (e.g., footwear, podiatry) and for ulcer treatment when required (e.g., consultation, hospitalisation, amputation). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for intervention versus usual care using probabilistic sensitivity analysis for willingness-to-pay/accept levels up to €100,000. The intervention had a 45% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-accept of €50,000 per QALY lost. This resulted from (non-significantly) lower foot care costs in the intervention group (€6067 vs. €7376; p=0.45) because of (significantly) fewer participants with ulcer recurrence(s) in 18months (36% vs. 47%; p=0.045); however, QALYs were (non-significantly) lower in the intervention group (1.09 vs. 1.12; p=0.35), especially in those without foot ulcer recurrence (1.09 vs. 1.17; p=0.10). At-home skin temperature monitoring for diabetes-related foot ulcer prevention compared with usual care is at best equally cost-effective. The intervention resulted in cost-savings due to preventing foot ulcer recurrence and related costs, but this came at the expense of QALY loss, potentially from self-monitoring burdens.

Cost-Effectiveness of Lovotibeglogene Autotemcel (Lovo-Cel) Gene Therapy for Patients with Sickle Cell Disease and Recurrent Vaso-Occlusive Events in the United States.

Gene therapies for sickle cell disease (SCD) may offer meaningful benefits for patients and society. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of lovotibeglogene autotemcel (lovo-cel), a one-time gene therapy administered via autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, compared with common care for patients in the United States (US) with SCD aged ≥12years with ≥4 vaso-occlusive events (VOEs) in the past 24months. We developed a patient-level simulation model accounting for lovo-cel and SCD-related events, complications, and mortality over a lifetime time horizon. The pivotal phase1/2 HGB-206 clinical trial (NCT02140554) served as the basis for lovo-cel efficacy and safety. Cost, quality-of-life, and other clinical data were sourced from HGB-206 data and the literature. Analyses were conducted from US societal and third-party payer perspectives. Uncertainty was assessed through probabilistic sensitivity analysis and extensive scenario analyses. Patients treated with lovo-cel were predicted to survive 23.84years longer on average (standard deviation [SD], 12.80) versus common care (life expectancy, 62.24 versus 38.40years), with associated discounted patient quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gains of 10.20 (SD, 4.10) and direct costs avoided of $1,329,201 (SD, $1,346,446) per patient. Predicted societal benefits included discounted caregiver QALY losses avoided of 1.19 (SD, 1.38) and indirect costs avoided of $540,416 (SD, $262,353) per patient. Including lovo-cel costs ($3,282,009 [SD, $29,690] per patient) resulted in incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $191,519 and $124,051 per QALY gained from third-party payer and societal perspectives, respectively. In scenario analyses, the predicted cost-effectiveness of lovo-cel also was sensitive to baseline age and VOE frequency and to the proportion of patients achieving and maintaining complete resolution of VOEs. Our analysis of lovo-cel gene therapy compared with common care for patients in the US with SCD with recurrent VOEs estimated meaningful improvements in survival, quality of life, and other clinical outcomes accompanied by increased overall costs for the health care system and for broader society. The predicted economic value of lovo-cel gene therapy was influenced by uncertainty in long-term clinical effects and by positive spillover effects on patient productivity and caregiver burden.

Differential Utility Losses in Herpes Zoster Cases Between Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Subjects: A Meta-analysis of Three Clinical Trials.

Recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) is approved in adults for the prevention of herpes zoster. The effect of RZV in moderating the severity of breakthrough cases of herpes zoster has been noted but not explicitly quantified before. In this study, a meta-analysis was undertaken to estimate differential utility losses between unvaccinated (Placebo) and vaccinated (RZV) subjects in breakthrough cases of herpes zoster from three RZV clinical trials. Differential utility losses between the two groups were estimated in units of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), leveraging aggregate patient data from the ZOE-50 (NCT01165177), ZOE-70 (NCT01165229), and ZOE-HSCT (NCT01610414) clinical trials. Differential utility losses and the ratio of mean utility losses were analyzed using random-effects and fixed-effects meta-regression models. The mean QALY loss differences between the unvaccinated (Placebo) and vaccinated (RZV) groups were 0.008, 0.004, and 0.011 in the ZOE-50, ZOE-70, and ZOE-HSCT studies, respectively, yielding an overall estimated difference of 0.007 (95% confidence interval 0.002-0.012) QALYs. Quality-adjusted life-year loss in the vaccinated group was estimated to be 35.5% of the value in the placebo group. A sensitivity analysis estimated an overall difference of 0.005 (95% confidence interval 0.001-0.009) QALYs, corresponding to 48.6% of the QALY loss value in the placebo group. Recombinant zoster vaccine is effective in alleviating disease severity in breakthrough cases of herpes zoster. The results may be useful in distinguishing QALY losses between vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts in health economics studies, particularly cost-effectiveness analyses.

Comparison of the Measurement Properties of EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 in COVID-19 Patients in China.

There are limited studies comparing the health utility values of EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 within the same patient cohorts. The widespread transmission and recurring infections associated with Omicron variants amid the COVID-19 pandemic have resulted in substantial health detriments and increased utilisation of health care resources. This highlights the crucial need to assess the loss in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Therefore, this study aims to compare the ceiling and floor effects, agreement, correlation and responsiveness between EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 based on COVID-19 patients during the Omicron outbreak in China. We recruited 694 COVID-19 patients across mainland China to participant in an online questionnaire survey from January to February 2023. The questionnaire encompassed queries concerning the sociodemographic and health details of the participants, who were requested to recollect their health status during and after experiencing COVID-19 using the EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 questionnaires. Epanechnikov kernel density plots were used to visualise the ceiling and floor effects for both instruments. Agreement was assessed by Bland-Altman graph and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Correlation was evaluated using linear regression, Pearson's correlation and Spearman's correlation. The standardised response mean (SRM) and relative efficiency (RE) were used to examine the responsiveness of EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 at detecting the health improvement after COVID-19 infection and the difference in dichotomous health indicators. In total, 648 valid responses from patients aged 35.6 ± 15.0 years were involved in analysis. The EQ-5D-5L utility indices were 0.58 ± 0.33 and 0.92 ± 0.14 during and after COVID-19 infection, respectively, which were significantly higher than indices of the SF-6Dv2 utility (0.43 ± 0.31 and 0.81 ± 0.19, p < 0.001). A ceiling effect of EQ-5D-5L larger than that of SF-6Dv2 was observed during COVID-19 infection (49.5% vs 21.6%). Intraclass correlation coefficients between EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 during and after COVID-19 infection were 0.69 and 0.55, respectively. The utility indices of EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 were highly correlated, with Pearson's correlation coefficients of 0.76 and 0.70 (p < 0.001) during and after COVID-19 infection, respectively. The spearman's correlations were moderate to high between dimensions of EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 (p < 0.01). Both EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 were responsive to detect health improvement after COVID-19 and the differences in dichotomous health indicators. The utility indices generated by EQ-5D-5L and SF-6Dv2 in COVID-19 patients demonstrate strong correlation and responsiveness. However, the agreement between these two instruments does not reach a satisfactory level. Consequently, these two measures cannot be used interchangeably. In situations where apprehensions about ceiling effects affecting outcome measurement arise, it is advisable to consider SF-6Dv2 as a preferable outcome measure for studies on patients with COVID-19.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of insecticide ban aimed at preventing Parkinson's disease in Central California

BackgroundOur study assessed whether banning specific insecticides to reduce the PD burden in three Central California (CA) counties is cost-effective. MethodWe applied a cost-effectiveness analysis using a cohort-based Markov model to estimate the impact and costs of banning seven insecticides that were previously associated with PD in these counties as well as mixture exposures to some of these pesticides. We relied for our estimations on the cohort of 65- and 66-year-olds living in these counties who were unaffected by PD at baseline in 2020 and projected their incidence, costs, and reduction in quality-adjusted-life-years (QALY) loss due to developing PD over a 20-year period. We included a shiny app for modeling different scenarios (https://sherlockli.shinyapps.io/pesticide_pd_economics_part_2/). ResultsAccording to our scenarios, banning insecticides to reduce the occurrence of PD in three Central CA counties was cost-effective relative to not banning insecticides. In the worst-case scenario of exposure to a single pesticide, methomyl, versus none would result in an estimated 205 (95 % CI: 75, 348) additional PD cases or 12 % (95 % CI: 4 %, 20 %) increase in PD cases over a 20-year period based on residential proximity to pesticide applications. The increase in PD cases due to methomyl would increase health-related costs by $72.0 million (95 % CI: $5.5 million, $187.4 million). Each additional PD patient due to methomyl exposure would incur $109,327 (95 % CI, $5554, $347,757) in costs per QALY loss due to PD. Exposure to methomyl based on workplace proximity to pesticide applications generated similar estimates. The highest PD burden and associated costs would be incurred from exposure to multiple pesticides simultaneously. ConclusionOur study provides an assessment of the cost-effectiveness of banning specific insecticides to reduce PD burden in terms of health-related QALYs and related costs. This information may help policymakers and stakeholders to make decisions concerning the regulation of pesticides.

Impact of herpes zoster and post-herpetic neuralgia on health-related quality of life in Miyun District of Beijing, China: An EQ-5D survey

BackgroundHerpes zoster (HZ) and post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) cause considerable morbidity, especially in elderly adults, but the burden is under-recognized in mainland China. MethodsWe conducted a case registry and follow-up study of HZ in Miyun District, Beijing from January 1, 2017 through December 31, 2018. Registered HZ cases were followed-up for pain to 365 days. The first 50 patients with HZ in each age group (≤14, 15–29, 30–39, 40–49, 50–59, 60– 69, 70–79, ≥80 years) and all those with PHN completed the EuroQoL five dimensions questionnaire (EQ-5D) to evaluate health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with HZ and PHN. Ratings using the EQ-5D dimensions, visual analogue scale (VAS), health utility score (HUS) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) lost were compared among age groups. ResultsIn total, 2008 patients with HZ were followed for a median 22 days (interquartile range[IQR] = 20–90), with an estimated incidence of 4.39 per 1000 person-years. We identified 122 (6.08 %) PHN cases. The median age of patients with PHN (65 years, IQR = 55–71) was older than that of patients with HZ (54 years, IQR = 43–64) (P < 0.001). The median duration of pain was 170 days (IQR = 144–355.5) for PHN and 15 days (IQR = 9–25) for HZ. All 95 patients with PHN and 319 sampled patients with HZ completed the EQ-5D survey. The median QALY loss of HZ increased from 0.004 (IQR = 0.001–0.02) in patients 50–59 years old to 0.02 (IQR = 0.01–0.06) in those ≥ 80 years old (P < 0.01). After weighting for age, the mean QALY loss per HZ case was estimated at 0.02 (standard deviation [SD] 0.04). The mean QALY loss per PHN case was 0.13 years (SD 0.12). ConclusionsHZ and PHN caused a substantial burden, especially among adults aged ≥ 50 years in Miyun District, Beijing, China. Vaccination should be considered to alleviate the burden of this painful disease.

Exploring the impact of population ageing on the spread of emerging respiratory infections and the associated burden of mortality

BackgroundIncreasing life expectancy and persistently low fertility levels have led to old population age structures in most high-income countries, and population ageing is expected to continue or even accelerate in the coming decades. While older adults on average have few interactions that potentially could lead to disease transmission, their morbidity and mortality due to infectious diseases, respiratory infections in particular, remain substantial. We aim to explore how population ageing affects the future transmission dynamics and mortality burden of emerging respiratory infections.MethodsUsing longitudinal individual-level data from population registers, we model the Belgian population with evolving age and household structures, and explicitly consider long-term care facilities (LTCFs). Three scenarios are presented for the future proportion of older adults living in LTCFs. For each demographic scenario, we simulate outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 and a novel influenza A virus in 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 and distinguish between household and community transmission. We estimate attack rates by age and household size/type, as well as disease-related deaths and the associated quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) lost.ResultsAs the population is ageing, small households and LTCFs become more prevalent. Additionally, families with children become smaller (i.e. low fertility, single-parent families). The overall attack rate slightly decreases as the population is ageing, but to a larger degree for influenza than for SARS-CoV-2 due to differential age-specific attack rates. Nevertheless, the number of deaths and QALY losses per 1,000 people is increasing for both infections and at a speed influenced by the share living in LTCFs.ConclusionPopulation ageing is associated with smaller outbreaks of COVID-19 and influenza, but at the same time it is causing a substantially larger burden of mortality, even if the proportion of LTCF residents were to decrease. These relationships are influenced by age patterns in epidemiological parameters. Not only the shift in the age distribution, but also the induced changes in the household structures are important to consider when assessing the potential impact of population ageing on the transmission and burden of emerging respiratory infections.

Burden of seasonal influenza in the Swiss adult population during the 2016/2017-2018/2019 influenza seasons.

Evidence on the burden of seasonal influenza in Switzerland is scarce, yet it is critical for the design of effective prevention and control measures. The objective of this study was to assess influenza-related resource utilization, health care expenditures and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) lost in Switzerland across the 2016/2017-2018/2019 influenza seasons. We retrospectively analyzed multiple real-world data sources to calculate epidemiological and health outcomes, QALYs lost, and direct medical costs due to influenza in the Swiss adult population. Subgroups included residents 18-49, 50-64, and 65+ years of age. The observation period was Week 26, 2016, to Week 25, 2019. Across the three seasons, we estimated seasonal averages of 203,090 (se ± 26,717) general practitioner (GP) visits for influenza-like illness (ILI) 4944 (se ± 785) influenza-attributable hospitalizations and 1355 (se ± 169) excess deaths attributable to influenza. We estimated a total loss of 8429 (2016/2017), 11,179 (2017/2018), and 7701 (2018/2019) QALYs due to influenza. On average, 88% of the loss in QALYs was attributed to premature deaths due to influenza. The total direct medical costs amounted to 44.4 (2016/2017), 77.3 (2017/2018), and 64.5 (2018/2019) million euros. On average, 79.6% of the total costs arose due to hospitalizations. In Switzerland, the burden of influenza on patients and payers is significant and particularly high in the elderly population. Policy interventions to increase vaccination rates and the uptake of more effective vaccines among the elderly are needed to reduce the burden of influenza.

The Estimate of Parental Quality of Life Loss Due to Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Hospitalization.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is one of the leading causes of pediatric hospitalizations, mainly in children under 2 years of age. Hospitalization affects the caregivers' quality of life (QoL). We assessed the caregivers' QoL during RSV-confirmed hospitalizations of children under 2 years old, identified the most affected QoL dimensions and calculated utilities focusing on the assessment methods and potential confounders. The caregivers filled out the EQ-5D questionnaire, consisting of a descriptive system (assessing 5 QoL dimensions) and a visual analog scale (EQ VAS). Utility, utility loss and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) loss were calculated, and a concordance between the two systems was assessed. A disturbance in any of the five assessed dimensions was reported by 42% (55 out of 132) of the caregivers, mostly anxiety/depression (37%) and pain/discomfort (17%). The utilities varied between 0.17 and 1 in the descriptive system and 0.33-1 (median 0.86) in the EQ VAS, with a utility loss of 0.14 (IQR: 0.1-0.2). The calculated QALY loss reached a median of 2.45 × 10-3 (IQR: 1.37 × 10-3-4.56 × 10-3) and was not influenced by the patient's age or the final clinical diagnosis (QALY loss for bronchiolitis: 2.74 × 10-3, pneumonia: 1.84 × 10-3, bronchitis: 1.78 × 10-3, differences statistically insignificant). Only a moderate concordance between the descriptive system and the EQ VAS was seen (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient = 0.437, p < 0.05), with the latter revealing a higher degree of QoL disturbances. RSV hospitalization influences parental QoL significantly, and anxiety/depression is the most commonly reported issue. Utility impairment scores depend on the assessment method but not on the patient's age or final diagnosis. Thus, the impact of RSV on caregivers' QoL cannot be underestimated.

The Impact of RSV Hospitalization on Children's Quality of Life.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is one of the most frequent etiological factors of lower respiratory tract infections in children, potentially affecting patients' quality of life (QoL). We aimed to asses QoL in children under 2 years of age hospitalized due to laboratory-confirmed RSV infection. A QoL was assessed by parents/tutors with the use of the 100-point visual analog scale and compared against a disease-free period. We evaluated the median utility, QoL loss (reported in days), and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) loss in relation to RSV hospitalization. We included 132 patients aged from 17 days to 24 months (median 3.8 months). The mean utility during the hospitalization varied between 0.418 and 0.952, with a median of 0.679 (95%CI: 0.6-0.757) and median loss of 0.321 [0.243-0.4], which further translated into a loss of 2.2 days (95%CI: 1.6-3.1). The QALY loss varied between 0.526 × 10-3 and 24.658 × 10-3, with a median of 6.03 × 10-3 (95%CI: 4.38-8.48 × 10-3). Based upon the final diagnoses, the highest QALY loss was 6.99 × 10-3 (95%CI: 5.29-13.7 × 10-3) for pneumonia, followed by bronchiolitis-5.96 × 10-3 (4.25-8.41 × 10-3) and bronchitis-4.92 × 10-3 (2.93-6.03 × 10-3); significant differences were observed only between bronchitis and pneumonia (p = 0.0171); the QALY loss was not age-dependent. Although an increasing tendency in the utility score was observed, a strong cumulative effect related to the length of stay was noted until day 13. RSV contributes significantly to the utility deterioration and QALY loss in the case of RSV hospitalization, and the patient-reported data should be used in pharmacoeconomic assessments of the impact of RSV.

Cost and health-related quality of life for children hospitalized with respiratory syncytial virus in Central China.

The economic burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection and its impact on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) are not well-understood in China. This study assessed total cost and HRQoL for children hospitalized with RSV in Central China. Based on a prospective case series study in Henan Province in 2020-2021, inpatients aged 0-59 months with RSV-related acute respiratory infections (ARIs) were included into analysis. Total cost included direct medical cost (sum of medical cost before and during hospitalization), direct non-medical cost, and indirect cost. Direct medical cost during hospitalization data were extracted from the hospital information system. Other costs and HRQoL status were obtained from a telephone survey conducted in the caregivers of the enrolled patients. Among 261 RSV-infected inpatients, caregivers of 170 non-severe cases (65.1%, 170/261) were successfully interviewed. Direct medical cost per episode was 1055.3 US dollars (US$) (95% CI: 998.2-1112.5 US$). Direct non-medical cost and indirect cost per episode were 83.6 US$ (95% CI: 77.5-89.7 US$) and 162.4 US$ (95% CI: 127.9-197.0 US$), respectively. Quality adjusted life years (QALY) loss for non-severe RSV hospitalization was 8.9 × 10-3 (95% CI: 7.9 × 10-3 -9.9 × 10-3 ). The majority of inpatients were <1 year of age comprising significantly higher cost and more QALY loss than older children. RSV-associated hospitalization poses high economic and health burden in Central China particularly for children <1 year old. Our findings are crucial for determining the priority of interventions and allocation of health resources.

Genetic Diversity of Toxoplasma gondii by Serological and Molecular Analyzes in Different Sheep and Goat Tissues in Northeastern Iran.

Toxoplasmosis is a parasitic disease caused by compilation protozoan agent Toxoplasma gondii, leading to significant financial and quality-adjusted life-year losses. Overcooked or raw meat consumption has been a considerable transmission route. The present study was conducted to determine the seropositivity rate of T. gondii in sheep and goats by serological and molecular tests and genotyping of obtained isolates in northeast Iran. Blood and tissue samples (diaphragm, heart) of 296 animals (including 168 sheep and 128 goats) were collected from the slaughterhouse in Quchan Country from august 2016 to April 2017. Modified agglutination test (MAT) and the PCR method performed to detect parasite DNA on tissues.PCR-RFLP method of GRA6 gene was used to determine the genotype of T. gondii. In addition, sequencing analysis was performed to evaluate the Toxoplasma type strains. Serum positive for MAT results were found in 27.4% of sheep and 23.4% of goats. Positive PCR of B1 gene results in diaphragm and heart tissues of sheep and goats was 47.8% and 26.1%, 40% and 23.3%, respectively. PCR of GRA6 gene results were positive in 10 samples that RFLP technique results using MseI enzyme revealed genotype I. Sequencing and phylogenetic analysis revealed DNA of all samples was closely related to Toxoplasma type I. Concerning the high seropositivity rate of toxoplasmosis, undertaking an appropriate preventive program for reducing the prevalence of T. gondii infection by raw or undercooked meat consumption of livestock is recommended. Our study supports the notion that these animals' consumption of raw and undercooked meat can be a probable source of human toxoplasmosis.

Integrating real-world data in cost-effectiveness analysis of universal HLA-B*15:02 screening in Malaysia.

Despite the availability of newer antiseizure medications, carbamazepine (CBZ) remains the gold standard. However, patients of Asian ancestry are susceptible to CBZ-related severe cutaneous adverse reactions. Universal HLA-B*15:02 screening is a promising intervention to address this. With the increasing recognition of integrating real-world evidence in economic evaluations, the cost-effectiveness of universal HLA-B*15:02 screening was assessed using available real-world data in Malaysia. A hybrid model of a decision tree and Markov model was developed to evaluate 3 strategies for treating newly diagnosed epilepsy among adults: (i) CBZ initiation without HLA-B*15:02 screening (current practice); (ii) universal HLA-B*15:02 screening prior to CBZ initiation; and (iii) alternative prescribing without HLA-B*15:02 screening. The model was populated with real-world inputs derived from the Malaysian population. From a societal perspective, base-case analysis and sensitivity analyses estimated the costs and outcomes over a lifetime. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated. In the base-cases analysis, universal HLA-B*15:02 screening yielded the lowest total costs and the highest total quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained. Compared with current practice, universal screening was less costly by USD100 and more effective by QALYs increase of 0.1306, while alternative prescribing resulted in 0.1383 QALYs loss at additional costs of USD332. The highest seizure remission rate (56%) was estimated for universal HLA-B*15:02 screening vs. current practice (54%) and alternative prescribing (48%). Our study suggests that universal HLA-B*15:02 screening is a cost-effective intervention in Malaysia. With the demonstrated value of real-world evidence in economic evaluations, more relevant standardization efforts should be emphasized to better inform decision-making.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of maternal vaccination against Group B streptococcus in Japan

BackgroundGroup B Streptococcus (GBS) is a leading pathogen causing life-threatening bacterial infections in neonates (early- or late-onset) and infants, and is associated with preterm and stillbirth. Japan introduced national guidelines to reduce early-onset neonatal GBS disease, with universal prenatal screening and intrapartum antimicrobial prophylaxis (IAP). However, screening/IAP does not prevent GBS associated late-onset disease, preterm or stillbirth. Maternal GBS vaccines in development are targeted at infant GBS disease but may provide benefit across perinatal outcomes. We aimed to assess cost-effectiveness of a future maternal GBS vaccine, for a base case prevention of infant GBS disease in combination with screening/IAP compared to screening/IAP alone. MethodsWe used a decision tree model to estimate cases of infant GBS disease, deaths, and neuro-developmental impairment (NDI), GBS-related stillbirths, and the associated costs and loss in Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). We calculate the threshold price at which a vaccine would be cost-effective assuming a cost-effectiveness threshold of ¥5 million/QALY. We explored the potential benefit of a maternal GBS vaccine that also prevents preterm birth in a scenario analysis. ResultsMaternal GBS vaccination in Japan could prevent an additional 142 infant GBS cases annually, including 5 deaths and 21 cases of NDI, and 13 stillbirths compared to screening/IAP alone. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was ¥3.78 million/QALY with a vaccine cost of ¥5,000/dose. If the QALY lost for stillbirth is included, the ICER is reduced to ¥1.78 million/QALY. Median threshold vaccine price was ¥6,900 per dose (95 % uncertainty interval ¥5,100 to ¥9,200 per dose). If maternal GBS vaccination also prevented half of GBS-associated preterm, the ICER would be reduced to ¥1.88 million/QALY. ConclusionsAn effective maternal GBS vaccine is likely to be considered cost-effective in Japan at a price of ¥5,000/dose. Effectiveness against other adverse perinatal outcomes would increase health benefits and cost-effectiveness.

The trade-off between COVID-19 and mental diseases burden during a lockdown: Mathematical modeling of control measures.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries used lockdowns as a containment measure. While lockdowns successfully contributed to slowing down the contagion, the related mobility restrictions were reportedly associated with an increased risk of major depressive and anxiety disorders. We aimed to quantify the trade-off between the quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gain due to lower COVID-19 incidence as a result of a lockdown and QALY loss due to lockdown-induced mental disorders. We developed an agent-based model of COVID-19 epidemic and coupled mental disorder development in the population of a large city. We used data sources on the places of living, studying and working, public health and census surveys. Modeling of mental disorders was based on diathesis-stress concept. We quantified mental and physical health burden in terms of QALY taking into account major depressive and anxiety disorder episodes, lethal and non-lethal cases of COVID-19, and immunization. We evaluated the dynamics of new major depressive disorder (MDD) and anxiety disorder (AD) cases during the period between September 2020 and December 2021 in Moscow, Russia. We found that lockdown imposition increases the daily chances of getting MDD or ADD by a vulnerable person by 16.79% (95% CI [12.36%, 21.23%]). The QALY loss associated with COVID-19-induced and lockdown-induced mental disorders was estimated to be 18.93% (95% CI [16.94%, 19.73%]) of the total QALY loss caused by COVID-19, immunization, and all kinds of mental disorders. For a synthetic "strong" lockdown, it had been shown that QALY loss is minimized when about 70% of the population are isolated. The burden associated with mental disorders amounts to a considerable part of COVID-19-related losses. Our findings demonstrate that cost-benefit analysis of mobility restriction should include a forecast of mental disorder development in the population.

Estimating the costs of blindness and moderate to severe visual impairment among people with diabetes in India

ObjectivesThis study provides an estimate of the annual cost of blindness and moderate to severe visual impairment (MSVI) among people with diabetes aged 40 years and above in India in...

Loss of Health State Utilities Attributable to Obesity

ObjectivesThis study aimed to quantify the association between the loss of health state utilities (LHSU) and obesity, considering different obesity categories. This is relevant to interventions economic evaluations and for public policy decision planning. MethodsUsing data from the Chilean National Health Survey, this study uses linear regression models and counterfactual scenarios to calculate the prevalent burden, population averages, and total sum of LHSU attributable to obesity for the Chilean national level on people older than 15 years, year 2017. Adjustments for socioeconomic status and associated noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are considered. Calculating the LHSU using these methods enables the approximation of loss of prevalent quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). ResultsThe raw obesity LHSU burden was 9.1% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 5.1-13). When adjustment is considered, the LHSU attributable to obesity reaches 4.6% (95% UI 0.6-8.5) being responsible for 121 045 prevalent QALYs. Socioeconomic status adjusted analysis of higher body mass index (BMI, in kg/m2) categories of obesity shows a dose-response effect for LHSU, being the BMI ≥ 40 category with the highest population average of attributable LHSU (10.1; 95% UI 5.5-14.5, scale 0 [full health] to 100 [dead]). Burden for BMI ≥ 35 categories showed the biggest change after NCD adjustment. ConclusionsObesity carries a significant burden of QALY loss. Policy decision-making addressing obesity should focus specially on the BMI ≥ 40 group. NCD comorbidity should be considered for policies addressing the BMI ≥ 35 group.

Cost-Effectiveness and Health Impacts of Different Influenza Vaccination Strategies for Children in China

Authors aimed to evaluate the economic and health impacts of three influenza vaccines available in China, including trivalent inactivated vaccine, quadrivalent inactivated vaccine, and live attenuated influenza vaccine, for children aged six months to 18 years. Two decision-analytic models were developed to simulate four vaccination strategies. Outcomes included total costs from a societal perspective in 2021, quality-adjusted life-year loss, numbers of outpatient and inpatient cases, and deaths avoided using each strategy. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the uncertainty of model inputs. For children aged six months to three years, trivalent inactivated vaccine saved $48 million and avoided a loss of 17,637 quality-adjusted life-years compared with no vaccination. For children aged 3-18 years, quadrivalent inactivated vaccine was cost-effective compared with trivalent inactivated vaccine, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $32,948.5/quality-adjusted life-year (willingness-to-pay threshold=$37,653/quality-adjusted life-year), which was sensitive to the RR of vaccine effectiveness of quadrivalent inactivated vaccine versus of trivalent inactivated vaccine. When compared with quadrivalent inactivated vaccine, live attenuated influenza vaccine was $1.28 billion more costly but gained an additional 13,560 quality-adjusted life-years; its incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $123,983.8/quality-adjusted life-year. Live attenuated influenza vaccine would be cost-effective if its vaccine effectiveness was >0.79. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis revealed that quadrivalent inactivated vaccine, trivalent inactivated vaccine, live attenuated influenza vaccine, and no vaccination were cost-effective in 55.94%, 33.09%, 10.97%, and 0% of 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Trivalent inactivated vaccine was cost-effective compared with no vaccination in children aged six months to 18 years. Of the three vaccination strategies for children aged 3-18 months, quadrivalent inactivated vaccine appears to be the most cost-effective.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of vaccination against COVID-19 in China.

Since September 2020, Chinese populations aged > 3 years have been encouraged to receive a two-dose inoculation with vaccines against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the current vaccination strategy amongst the general population in mainland China from a societal perspective. In this study, we construct a decision tree with Markov models to compare the economic and health consequences of the current vaccination strategy versus a no-vaccination scenario, over a time horizon of one year and an annual discount rate of 5%. Transition probabilities, health utilities, healthcare costs, and productivity losses are estimated from literature. Outcome measures include infection rates, death rates, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and costs. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) is then calculated to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the current vaccination strategy, and both one-way deterministic sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) are applied to assess the impact of uncertainties on results. Our simulation indicates that compared with a no-vaccination scenario, vaccination amongst the general population in mainland China would reduce the infection rate from 100% to 45.3% and decrease the death rate from 6.8% to 3.1%. Consequently, the strategy will lead to a saving of 37,664.77 CNY (US$5,256.70) and a gain of 0.50 QALYs per person per year on average (lifetime QALY and productivity loss due to immature death are included). The cost-saving for each QALY gain is 74,895.69 CNY (US$10,452.85). Result of the PSA indicates that vaccination is the dominating strategy with a probability of 97.9%, and the strategy is cost-effective with a probability of 98.5% when the willingness-to-pay (WTP) is 72,000 CNY (US$10,048.71) per QALY. Compared with a no-vaccination scenario, vaccination among the general population in mainland China is the dominating strategy from a societal perspective. The conclusion is considered robust in the sensitivity analyses.

COVID-19 and the forgone health benefits of elective operations

Background and aimThe first SARS-CoV-2 pandemic wave in Germany involved a tradeoff between saving the lives of COVID-19 patients by providing sufficient intensive care unit (ICU) capacity and foregoing the health benefits of elective procedures. This study aims to quantify this tradeoff.MethodsThe analysis is conducted at both the individual and population levels. The analysis calculates quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) to facilitate a comparison between the health gains from saving the lives of COVID-19 patients in the ICU and the health losses associated with postponing operative procedures. The QALYs gained from saving the lives of COVID-19 patients are calculated based on both the real-world ICU admissions and deaths averted from flattening the first wave. Scenario analysis was used to account for variation in input factors.ResultsAt the individual level, the resource-adjusted QALY gain of saving one COVID-19 life is predicted to be 3 to 15 times larger than the QALY loss of deferring one operation (the average multiplier is 9). The real-world QALY gain at the population level is estimated to fall within the range of the QALY loss due to delayed procedures. The modeled QALY gain by flattening the first wave is 3 to 31 times larger than the QALY loss due to delayed procedures (the average multiplier is 17).ConclusionDuring the first wave of the pandemic, the resource-adjusted health gain from treating one COVID-19 patient in the ICU was found to be much larger than the health loss from deferring one operation. At the population level, flattening the first wave led to a much larger health gain than the health loss from delaying operative procedures.