Local Low Back Pain Research Articles

Data-driven identification of distinct pain drawing patterns and their association with clinical and psychological factors: a study of 21,123 patients with spinal pain.

The variability in pain drawing styles and analysis methods has raised concerns about the reliability of pain drawings as a screening tool for nonpain symptoms. In this study, a data-driven approach to pain drawing analysis has been used to enhance the reliability. The aim was to identify distinct clusters of pain patterns by using latent class analysis (LCA) on 46 predefined anatomical areas of a freehand digital pain drawing. Clusters were described in the clinical domains of activity limitation, pain intensity, and psychological factors. A total of 21,123 individuals were included from 2 subgroups by primary pain complaint (low back pain (LBP) [n = 15,465]) or midback/neck pain (MBPNP) [n = 5658]). Five clusters were identified for the LBP subgroup: LBP and radiating pain (19.9%), radiating pain (25.8%), local LBP (24.8%), LBP and whole leg pain (18.7%), and widespread pain (10.8%). Four clusters were identified for the MBPNP subgroup: MBPNP bilateral posterior (19.9%), MBPNP unilateral posterior + anterior (23.6%), MBPNP unilateral posterior (45.4%), and widespread pain (11.1%). The clusters derived by LCA corresponded to common, specific, and recognizable clinical presentations. Statistically significant differences were found between these clusters in every self-reported health domain. Similarly, for both LBP and MBPNP, pain drawings involving more extensive pain areas were associated with higher activity limitation, more intense pain, and more psychological distress. This study presents a versatile data-driven approach for analyzing pain drawings to assist in managing spinal pain.

Локальний біль у спині: сучасний погляд на діагностику і фармакотерапію

Стаття присвячена проблемам диференціальної діагностики окремих причин болю в попереку, які часто викликають труднощі в розрізі інтерпретації клінічних даних, оцінки лабораторних показників та даних МРТ. Надане визначення поняття патологічних змін у замикальних пластинах за типом Modic І та спондиліту. У статті наведені основні моменти диференціальної діагностики МР-змін за типом Modic I і раннього неспецифічного спондиліту в контексті причини больового синдрому в попереку. Надана характеристика МРТ-картини при цих станах із зазначенням основних клінічних проявів і тактики ведення пацієнтів відповідно до міжнародних досліджень.

Diagnostics and therapy of back pain: what is advisable? What should be avoided and why is it still done?

Diagnostic and therapeutic procedures are popular and frequently performed for low back pain. This narrative review presents and discusses the myths and evidence related to these procedures.In most cases it is nonspecific pain, for which no underlying disease can be named. Image diagnostics using X‑rays and MRI are rarely helpful in the case of new nonspecific back pain.Evidence for chirotherapy is doubtful. Also, evidence is lacking for invasive and surgical procedures in local and regional low back pain. These procedures show superiority in radicular pain only: extraction of disc herniation in acute and subacute leg pain and segmental lumbar fusion in chronic leg pain. Nevertheless, these and other invasive methods are being used to an increasing extent. Spontaneous healing and the possibilities of the patient to become pain-relieving for themselves are neglected and increased risks are accepted.Therapeutic approaches fostering self-efficacy by reconditioning physical and mental capability and improving positive self-perception ("interdisciplinary multimodal pain therapy") effect superior and sustainable results in subacute and chronic nonspecific back pain. Patients and physicians, however, tend to prefer passive and invasive therapy strategies. The underlying mechanisms should be understood. New thinking is necessary.

The Effect of Ice-Bag Applied to Femoral Region of Individuals with Percutaneous Coronary Intervention on Local Vascular Complications and Low Back-Pain

The Effect of Ice-Bag Applied to Femoral Region of Individuals with Percutaneous Coronary Intervention on Local Vascular Complications and Low Back-Pain

Early work-related physical exposures and low back pain in midlife: the Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study

ObjectiveTo examine whether heavy physical workload in young adulthood increases the risk of local and radiating low back pain (LBP) in midlife.MethodsLongitudinal nationally representative Young Finns Study data among women...

A Study of the Modified Quebec Task Force Classification of Chronic Low Back Pain with Regards to Activity Limitation, Global Percieved Effect, Sick Leave, and its Prognostic Implications

Introduction The Quebec Task Force(QTF) on activity related spinal disorders was a group of experts in various fields brought together by the Quebec Worker's Health and Safety Commission. It formally recognized that clinicians couldnot reliably differentiate between different patho anatomic causes of low back pain(LBP). Classifying patients as described by the QTF has shown associated differences on several characteristics which showed increasing severity from category 1(local LBP) across the categories of LBP+radiation above knee (category 2), LBP+radiation below knee (category 3) to LBP+neurological signs (category 4). The objective of the study is to determine the prognostic significance of the QTF classification in patients with chronic LBP and to compare the efficacy of the chronic LBP rehabilitation protocol among various categories of QTF. Material and Methods Routine data was collected at the time of presentation to an outpatient department of a tertiary care center in India. After taking a detailed history and clinical examination, the pain severity is assessed by Low Back Pain Rating scale (LBPRS) and the activity limitation is assessed by Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ). The patients were advised treatment according to the common standard rehabilitation protocol. The patients were followed up every 6 weeks to check for the progression of symptoms clinically and for the compliance with the rehabilitation protocol. The patients were evaluated at 3 months and again at 6 months for Global Perceived Effect (GPE), activity limitation (RMDQ questionnaire) and sick leave status along with LBPRS. Results A total of 188 patients were included with 75% 3 month and 70% 6 month follow up.category 1 had the least and category 4 had the most severe activity limitation at all time points.Patients in category 4 improved the most at the end of 6 months with the common rahabilitation protocol.Patients in category 4 landed up more frequently in surgery compared with others. There were no significant differences in comparisions between category 2 and category 3 Conclusion Categorizing patients based on QTF classification has shown significant association with activity limitation. Prognosis of the patient's condition based on the symptoms at presentation can be roughly estimated using the QTF classification. However, differentiating patients based on radiating pain above or below the knee has no significant prognostic implications. It was found difficult to establish a diagnosis based on symptoms alone. Hence, targeted treatment based on the QTF classification may have a potential role in better management of patients with chronic LBP.

Rapidly Progressive Spontaneous Spinal Epidural Abscess.

Spinal epidural abscess (SEA) is a rare disease which is often rapidly progressive. Delayed diagnosis of SEA may lead to serious complications and the clinical findings of SEA are generally nonspecific. Paraspinal abscess should be considered in the presence of local low back tenderness, redness, and pain with fever, particularly in children. In case of delayed diagnosis and treatment, SEA may spread to the epidural space and may cause neurological deficits. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) remains the method of choice in the diagnosis of SEA. Treatment of SEA often consists of both medical and surgical therapy including drainage with percutaneous entry, corpectomy, and instrumentation.

Sleep disturbances predict long-term changes in low back pain among Finnish firefighters: 13-year follow-up study.

PurposeTo investigate the prevalence of low back pain among Finnish firefighters and to examine whether sleep disturbances predict membership of low back pain trajectories.MethodsIn this prospective study, 360 actively working firefighters responded to a questionnaire in 1996, 1999 and 2009. The outcome variables were radiating and local low back pain during the preceding year. Using logistic regression modeling, the likelihood of membership of pain trajectories was predicted by sleep disturbances at baseline.ResultsDuring the 13-year follow-up, the prevalence of radiating low back pain increased from 16 to 29 % (p < 0.0001) and that of local low back pain from 28 to 40 % (p < 0.001). The following trajectories were identified: “pain free,” “recovering,” “new pain,” “fluctuating” and “chronic.” More than one-fifth of the participants belonged to the new pain trajectory as regards both pain types, 6 % of the participants belonged to the chronic radiating and 12 % to the chronic local low back pain trajectory. Those with sleep disturbances at baseline had a 2.4-fold risk (adjusted OR 2.4; 95 % CI 1.2–4.7) of belonging to the new pain or chronic radiating pain cluster compared to pain-free participants.ConclusionsThis is the first prospective study to show that low back symptoms are common and persistent among firefighters and that sleep disturbances strongly predict membership of a radiating pain trajectory. Occupational health and safety personnel, as well as the firefighters themselves, should recognize sleep problems early enough in order to prevent back pain and its development into chronic pain.

CT-Guided Transfacet Pedicle Screw Fixation in Facet Joint Syndrome: A Novel Approach.

Axial microinstability secondary to disc degeneration and consequent chronic facet joint syndrome (CFJS) is a well-known pathological entity, usually responsible for low back pain (LBP). Although posterior lumbar fixation (PIF) has been widely used for lumbar spine instability and LBP, complications related to wrong screw introduction, perineural scars and extensive muscle dissection leading to muscle dysfunction have been described. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) of facet joints zygapophyseal nerves conventionally used for pain treatment fails in approximately 21% of patients. We investigated a "covert-surgery" minimal invasive technique to treat local spinal instability and LBP, using a novel fully CT-guided approach in patients with axial instability complicated by CFJS resistant to radioablation, by introducing direct fully or partially threaded transfacet screws (transfacet fixation - TFF), to acquire solid arthrodesis, reducing instability and LBP. The CT-guided procedure was well tolerated by all patients in simple analogue sedation, and mean operative time was approximately 45 minutes. All eight patients treated underwent clinical and CT study follow-up at two months, revealing LBP disappearance in six patients, and a significant reduction of lumbar pain in two. In conclusion, CT-guided TFF is a fast and safe technique when facet posterior fixation is needed.

Differences between patients with chronic widespread pain and local chronic low back pain in primary care - a comparative cross-sectional analysis

BackgroundChronic pain is a common reason for consultation in general practice. Current research distinguishes between chronic localized pain (CLP) and chronic widespread pain (CWP). The aim of this study was to identify differences between CWP and chronic low back pain (CLBP), a common type of CLP, in primary care settings.MethodsFifty-eight German general practitioners (GPs) consecutively recruited all eligible patients who consulted for chronic low back pain during a 5-month period. All patients received a questionnaire on sociodemographic data, pain characteristics, comorbidities, psychosomatic symptoms, and previous therapies.ResultsGPs recruited 647 eligible patients where of a quarter (n = 163, 25.2%) met the CWP criteria according to the American College of Rheumatology. CWP patients had significantly more comorbidities and psychosomatic symptoms, showed longer pain duration, and suffered predominantly from permanent pain instead of distinguishable pain attacks. CWP patients were more often females, are less working and reported a current pension application or a state-approved grade of disability more frequently. We found no other differences in demographic parameters such as age, nationality, marital status, number of persons in household, education, health insurance status, or in health care utilization data.ConclusionsThis project is the largest study performed to date which analyzes differences between CLBP and CWP in primary care settings. Our results showed that CWP is a frequent and particularly severe pain syndrome.Trial registrationGerman Clinical Trial Register, DRKS00003123.

Prognostic implications of the Quebec Task Force classification of back-related leg pain: an analysis of longitudinal routine clinical data

BackgroundLow back pain (LBP) patients with related leg pain have a more severe profile than those with local LBP and a worse prognosis. Pain location above or below the knee and the presence of neurological signs differentiate patients with different profiles, but knowledge about the prognostic value of these subgroups is sparse. The objectives of this study were (1) to investigate whether subgroups consisting of patients with Local LBP only, LBP + leg pain above the knee, LBP + leg pain below the knee, and LBP + leg pain and neurological signs had different prognoses, and (2) to determine if this was explained by measured baseline factors.MethodsRoutine clinical data were collected during the first visit to an outpatient department and follow-ups were performed after 3 and 12 months. Patients were divided into the four subgroups and associations between subgroups and the outcomes of activity limitation, global perceived effect (GPE) after 3 months, and sick leave after 3 months were tested by means of generalised estimating equations. Models were univariate (I), adjusted for duration (II), and adjusted for all baseline differences (III).ResultsA total of 1,752 patients were included, with a 76% 3-month and 70% 12-month follow-up. Subgroups were associated with activity limitation in all models (p < 0.001). Local LBP had the least and LBP + neurological signs the most severe limitations at all time-points, although patients with neurological signs improved the most. Associations with GPE after 3 months were only significant in Model I. Subgroups were associated with sick leave after 3 months in model I and II, with sick leave being most frequent in the subgroup with neurological signs. No significant differences were found in any pairwise comparisons of patients with leg pain above or below the knee.ConclusionsSubgrouping LBP patients, based on pain location and neurological signs, was associated with activity limitation and sick leave, but not with GPE. The presence of neurological signs and pain in the leg both have prognostic implications but whether that leg pain without neurological signs is above or below the knee does not.

Patients with low back pain differ from those who also have leg pain or signs of nerve root involvement – a cross-sectional study

BackgroundLeg pain associated with low back pain (LBP) is recognized as a risk factor for a poor prognosis, and is included as a component in most LBP classification systems. The location of leg pain relative to the knee and the presence of a positive straight leg raise test have been suggested to have clinical implications. To understand differences between such leg pain subgroups, and whether differences include potentially modifiable characteristics, the purpose of this paper was to describe characteristics of patients classified into the Quebec Task Force (QTF) subgroups of: 1) LBP only, 2) LBP and pain above the knee, 3) LBP and pain below the knee, and 4) LBP and signs of nerve root involvement.MethodsAnalysis of routine clinical data from an outpatient department. Based on patient reported data and clinical findings, patients were allocated to the QTF subgroups and described according to the domains of pain, activity limitation, work participation, psychology, general health and clinical examination findings.ResultsA total of 2,673 patients aged 18–95 years (median 47) who were referred for assessment of LBP were included. Increasing severity was consistently observed across the subgroups from LBP only to LBP with signs of nerve root involvement although subgroup differences were small. LBP patients with leg pain differed from those with LBP only on a wide variety of parameters, and patients with signs of nerve root involvement had a more severe profile on almost all measures compared with other patients with back-related leg pain.ConclusionLBP patients with pain referral to the legs were more severely affected than those with local LBP, and patients with signs of nerve root involvement were the ones most severily affected. These findings underpin the concurrent validity of the Quebec Task Force Classification. However, the small size of many between-subgroup differences amid the large variability in this sample of cross-sectional data also underlines that the heterogeneity of patients with LBP is more complex than that which can be explained by leg pain patterns alone. The implications of the observed differences also require investigation in longitudinal studies.

Low back pain and neck pain as predictors of sickness absence among municipal employees

To study whether having ever had local low back pain (LBP), sciatica, neck pain (NP), or some combination of LBP and NP, predicts sickness absence among municipal employees. The study sample (n=6911, 80% women, response rate 67%) included employees of the City of Helsinki who reached the age of 40, 45, 50, 55, or 60 years between 2000-02. Survey data on pain, working conditions, and health behaviours were linked to register data on sickness absence for three subsequent years. Sickness absence was categorised as self-certified (lasting for 1-3 days) and medically certified (lasting for 4 days or more) and the number of spells during the follow up was analysed using Poisson regression analysis. In women, medically certified sickness absence was predicted by sciatica (rate ratio, RR, 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.6), NP (RR 1.3, 95% CI 1.2-1.5) and the combination of sciatica and NP (RR 1.8, 95% CI 1.6-2.1), allowing for working conditions, body mass index, and smoking. In men, the corresponding RRs were 1.5 (95% CI 1.0-2.1), 1.7 (95% CI 1.2-2.4), and 2.2 (95% CI 1.6-2.9). Local LBP did not predict medically certified sickness absence. Self-certified sickness absence was modestly predicted by all pain categories in women (RRs between 1.2 and 1.5) and by NP alone and with local LBP or sciatica in men (RRs between 1.4 and 1.6). Medically certified sickness absence was predicted by sciatica and NP, but not by local LBP. The association was accentuated in those with both sciatica and NP. Pain combinations may have a stronger effect on work ability than pain in one location.

Risk factors of sciatic pain: A prospective study among middle–aged employees

Objective To study the effects of occupational class, physical and psychosocial working conditions, health behaviours, and pain in the low back and the neck on sciatic pain among middle-aged employees. Methods The participants were municipal employees without previous sciatica, aged 40, 45, 50, 55, and 60 years at baseline ( n = 5261, 80% women). Sciatica was defined as low back pain radiating to the calf or the foot. Data on occupational class, physical and psychosocial working conditions, body mass index, smoking, leisure-time physical activity, neck pain, local low back pain, and sciatica were obtained from baseline questionnaire surveys in 2000–2002. The question on sciatica was repeated in a follow-up survey in 2007. Logistic regression analysis was used. Results In women, manual occupational class (OR 1.3; 95% CI 1.0–1.6 compared with managers/professionals), overweight (1.3; 1.1–1.5), obesity (1.4; 1.1–1.7), smoking (1.5; 1.2–1.7), low leisure-time physical activity (1.3; 1.0–1.7), previous acute (1.5; 1.3–1.7) and chronic (1.5; 1.1–2.0) local low back pain, and acute (1.20; 1.0–1.4) and chronic (1.5;1.2–1.9) neck pain predicted the onset of sciatica in a multivariable model. In men, semi-professionals (1.5; 1.1–2.1) and manual workers (2.0; 1.4–2.8) had an increased risk compared with managers/professionals; also acute (1.5; 1.2–2.0) and chronic (2.1; 1.2–3.9) local low back pain predicted sciatica. Conclusions Manual occupational class in both genders and semi-professional occupations in men, unhealthy behaviours and previous pain both in the neck and the lower back predicted sciatica, while physical and psychosocial working conditions had no independent effect.

Low Back Pain in Changi General Hospital: An Observational Study

Aims: The aim is to study the profile of local low back pain (LBP) patients and their physiotherapy management in an outpatient physiotherapy clinic. Methods: A retrospective study was done with records of LBP patients attending the Musculoskeletal Physiotherapy Clinic at Changi General Hospital from January to June 2009. Age, LBP onset, occupation, time off work, investigation results, and functional outcomes were obtained. Results: Ninety-four records were screened. Majority of patients (59.6%) were aged between 30–50 years old. Sixty-six percent were engaged in occupations that involved sustained postures. Majority of patients (91.5%) had minor/no trauma in association to the onset of their symptoms. Although majority of patients (64.9%) did not take any time off work to manage their LBP, a total of 640 days were lost off work due to LBP. Majority of patients (93.6%) underwent radiological investigations. There was no significant correlation between radiating symptoms and presence of nerve root compression on MRI (p = 0.144). In addition, pathology did not significantly impact on rehabilitative outcome in our sample (p = 0.397, p = 0.602). A review of clinical practice with regards to ordering radiological investigations may be required to minimise radiation exposure and increase cost effectiveness. Patients improved from a mean of 4.00 to 9.10 on the Patient Specific Functional Scale (PSFS) within an average of 3.65 sessions. There was a significant relationship between earlier onset of therapy and better functional improvement on the PSFS (r= −0.299, p = 0.026). Starting a physiotherapy service in our accident and emergency department may be a good consideration to implement in our hospital. Conclusions: Sustained postures may contribute to LBP in local patients. Disability and time lost off work as result of LBP appears to be a significant problem locally. Radiology has no correlation with symptoms, nor rehabilitative outcomes. Pathology may have only limited value in determining treatment or prognosis in nontraumatic LBP. A tailored physiotherapy approach towards education, manual therapy and exercises may be effective in improving functional capabilities in local LBP patients. Earlier onset of physiotherapy is associated with better functional recovery in LBP patients.

Pain and clinical findings in the low back: A study of industrial employees with 5-, 10-, and 28-year follow-ups

Little is known about the relationships of clinical findings in the low back with low back pain (LBP) in the normal working population. We studied whether physiotherapist’s findings in the low back were associated with local and radiating LBP among a cohort ( n = 902) of employees in the engineering industry. A systematic non-proportional sample was drawn in strata by age, gender, and occupational class. The non-proportionality aimed at increasing sample size in smaller strata. Physiotherapists performed the straight-leg raising test (SRL), and made assessments of the fingertip-to-floor distance and pain in palpation of the lumbar interspinous spaces. The variables on pain at the interspinous spaces and the SRL tests were entered in cluster analysis. Three clusters emerged: no, minor, and severe clinical findings. In logistic regression analysis at baseline, limited forward flexion and the clinical findings cluster variable were associated with local and, particularly, radiating LBP. Follow-ups of the occurrence of local and radiating LBP at 5, 10, and 28 years from baseline were made. At the 5-year follow-up among subjects with no radiating LBP at baseline, the OR of radiating LBP for the clusters of minor and severe clinical findings compared to no findings were 2.7 (95% CI 1.4–5.1) and 3.8 (2.0–6.9), respectively, adjusted for age, gender, and occupational class. At the 10-year follow-up, the latter cluster predicted new reports of radiating LBP (1.9; 1.0–3.1) and of local LBP (4.1; 1.9–9.0, among subjects with no local LBP at baseline), similarly adjusted. No associations between limited forward flexion and new cases of LBP were observed. Thus, membership in clusters with different levels of findings in simple clinical measurements predicted new reports of radiating LBP, in particular, among employees. The generalizability of the results may be limited due to the characteristics of the sampling.

Associations of low back pain with neck pain: A study of industrial employees with 5-, 10-, and 28-year follow-ups

Low back pain (LBP) and neck pain (NP) are common among the adult population but relatively few reports exist on the associations between these. We examined cross-sectional and prospective relationships of LBP with NP in an employee cohort studied repeatedly over 28 years. Locally perceived pain was studied separately from pain with a radiating component. At baseline, adjusted for age, gender, and occupational class, the prevalence ratio (PR) of local NP for those with local LBP was 1.93 (95% CI 1.47–2.54), and for those with radiating LBP 2.16 (1.59–2.94), while the PR of radiating NP for those with local LBP was 1.51 (0.97–2.35) and for those with radiating LBP 3.24 (2.25–4.65). These associations remained stable at the 5-, 10-, and 28-year follow-ups. Both local and radiating LBP at baseline predicted new cases of radiating NP at the 5- and 10-year follow-ups, but not at the 28-year follow-up. In analyses stratified by gender, both the cross-sectional and prospective associations were more pronounced in men. In conclusion, the study showed a clear association of LBP with NP that persisted on a similar level irrespective of the aging of the cohort. Particularly, radiating LBP was associated with radiating NP. The prospective associations of LBP at baseline with new reports of radiating NP decreased as the length of follow-up increased.

Cardiovascular risk factors and low back pain in a long-term follow-up of industrial employees

Atherosclerosis of the lumbar vessels has been suggested as a mechanism leading to low-back pain (LBP). We studied whether seven cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors predict LBP. A sample (N=902) stratified by gender, age, and occupational class was drawn from employees in an engineering company in 1973 and examined for body mass index (BMI), smoking, exercise, serum total cholesterol and triglyceride concentrations, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and LBP. By November 2000, 232 persons had died, 108 from cardiovascular causes. In 2000, 546 (81% of the survivors) responded to a follow-up questionnaire on, for example, LBP. Among the men, frequent local LBP at follow-up was predicted by high triglyceride and DBP levels and being a past smoker at baseline, adjusted for age, occupational class and frequent local LBP at baseline. In analogous models, high triglyceride and SBP levels and smoking (past and current) predicted frequent radiating LBP. An increased LBP score was predicted by a high BMI, serum total cholesterol, triglyceride, SBP and DBP levels, and smoking status at baseline. When BMI was allowed for, the associations between triglyceride level and all LBP outcomes persisted, as well as the association between SBP and frequent radiating LBP and an increased LBP score. An overall score of CVD risk factors showed a graded association with increased LBP. Among the women, a high BMI predicted frequent local and radiating LBP, and smoking at baseline predicted frequent radiating LBP and an increased LBP score. The study adds to the evidence supporting the atherosclerosis-LBP hypothesis particularly for men.

Commentary

Commentary

Persistence of low back pain reporting among a cohort of employees in a metal corporation: A study with 5-, 10-, and 28-year follow-ups

Low back pain (LBP) is a common symptom among adults but little is known about its persistence over time in defined populations. The aim of this study was to examine the persistence of LBP among a cohort of industrial employees studied in four successive surveys during a total of 28 years. Cross-tabulations and logistic regression was used to estimate the interdependence of LBP occurrence at the surveys. At baseline, 54% of the subjects reported local LBP and 25% LBP radiating to the lower limb(s). Persistent or recurrent LBP was common. Of those with LBP at baseline, 75, 73, and 88% reported it also at the 5-, 10- or 28-year follow-up, respectively. Of those with radiating pain, 66, 65, and 69% were symptomatic 5, 10, or 28 years later. The onset of reporting LBP increased during follow-up. Of those without local LBP at baseline, 33, 37 and 64% had pain at the 5-, 10-, or 28-year follow-up, respectively. Of those without radiating LBP, 17, 22, and 46% had pain at the 5-, 10-, or 28-year follow-up. The odds ratio of local LBP at the 5-, 10-, or 28-year follow-up for those with such pain at baseline vs. not were 6.0 (95% CI 4.3–8.3), 4.7 (3.3–6.6) and 4.0 (2.6–6.3), adjusted for age, gender and occupational class. The respective figures for radiating LBP were 8.5 (5.7–12.5), 6.7 (4.4–10.1) and 2.3 (1.5–3.6). We conclude that LBP is commonly recurrent.