Liver-related Survival Research Articles

A longitudinal 5-year study for the prediction of HCC, death and liver decompensation by ARFI elastography.

Numerous studies have evaluated elastography for the staging of liver fibrosis. Fewer studies were performed investigating the prognostic relevance using transient elastography (TE), although with promising results. This study was designed to evaluate the prognostic relevance of ARFI elastography. Patients receiving ARFI elastography in our ultrasound department between 2010 and 2012 were initially screened for an ARFI examination with a clinical follow-up of at least 5 years. The following events were recorded: liver related death, liver unrelated death, HCC, liver decompensation/ variceal bleeding. A total of 335 patients were included in the final analysis with an ARFI examination of the liver and a follow-up of 60 months. Within the observation interval the number of events with corresponding AUROCs (shown with 95% confidence interval) were: overall death (n=49, 0.76 [0.69 - 0.83]), liver related death (n=25, 0.85 [0.77 - 0.93]), liver unrelated death (n=24, 0.66 [0.55 - 0.77]), HCC (n=15, 0.80 [0.72 - 0.87]), liver related complications/variceal bleeding (n=34, 0.87 [0.82 - 0.93]). In the group of patients with ARFI values suggestive of cirrhosis (equal to or above 1.80 m/s; n=110) higher values (<2.5 m/s vs. >= 2.5 m/s) where associated with a significant decline in liver related survival (p=0.007). ARFI elastography seems to have a good diagnostic accuracy for the prediction of liver related death and decompensation. Further it seems to allow a risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis suspicious elastography values.

Initial Trans-Arterial Chemo-Embolisation (TACE) Is Associated with Similar Survival Outcomes as Compared to Upfront Percutaneous Ablation Allowing for Follow-Up Treatment in Those with Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) ≤ 3 cm: Results of a Real-World Propensity-Matched Multi-Centre Australian Cohort Study.

Percutaneous ablation is recommended in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0/A patients with HCC ≤3 cm as a curative treatment modality alongside surgical resection and liver transplantation. However, trans-arterial chemo-embolisation (TACE) is commonly used in the real-world as an initial treatment in patients with single small HCC in contrast to widely accepted clinical practice guidelines which typically describe TACE as a treatment for intermediate-stage HCC. We performed this real-world propensity-matched multi-centre cohort study in patients with single HCC ≤ 3 cm to assess for differences in survival outcomes between those undergoing initial TACE and those receiving upfront ablation. Patients with a new diagnosis of BCLC 0/A HCC with a single tumour ≤3 cm first diagnosed between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2020 who received initial TACE or ablation were included in the study. A total of 348 patients were included in the study, with 147 patients receiving initial TACE and 201 patients undergoing upfront ablation. After propensity score matching using key covariates, 230 patients were available for analysis with 115 in each group. There were no significant differences in overall survival (log-rank test p = 0.652) or liver-related survival (log-rank test p = 0.495) over a median follow-up of 43 months. While rates of CR were superior after ablation compared to TACE as a first treatment (74% vs. 56%, p < 0.004), there was no significant difference in CR rates when allowing for further subsequent treatments (86% vs. 80% p = 0.219). In those who achieved CR, recurrence-free survival and local recurrence-free survival were similar (log rank test p = 0.355 and p = 0.390, respectively). Our study provides valuable real-world evidence that TACE when offered with appropriate follow-up treatment is a reasonable initial management strategy in very early/early-stage HCC, with similar survival outcomes as compared to those managed with upfront ablation. Further work is needed to better define the role for TACE in BCLC 0/A HCC.

Reassessing the Impact of Coffee Consumption on Liver Disease: Insights from a Large-Scale Cohort Study with IPTW Adjustment.

Coffee consumption is globally widespread and has become a lifestyle habit. This study investigated coffee consumption and liver-related survival in a large cohort of 455,870 individuals with UK biobank, categorized into without steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), and MASLD and increased alcohol intake (MetALD). Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) adjusted for confounding variables was used, followed by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Moderate coffee consumption (1-2 cups per day) was associated with lower all-cause mortality across the entire cohort, without the steatosis, MASLD (p < 0.0001), and MetALD cohorts (p = 0.0047 for pre-IPTW, p = 0.027 for post-IPTW). Before IPTW adjustment, consuming one or more cups of coffee per day appeared to significantly reduce liver-related mortality in the overall (p = 0.015) and MASLD cohorts (p = 0.011). However, post-IPTW application, no significant differences in liver-related mortality were observed between the coffee intake groups (p = 0.778, 0.319, 0.564, 0.238 for each group). While increased coffee consumption initially seemed to reduce liver-related mortality, after IPTW adjustment, only all-cause mortality significantly decreased (p < 0.0001 and p = 0.027). These findings suggest that previous studies might have overestimated the favorable effect of coffee intake on chronic liver disease due to confounding factors.

External validation of the IAIHG autoimmune hepatitis response criteria in a multicentric real-world cohort

The goal of treatment in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is induction of remission to prevent the development of liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and its related complications. Various definitions of treatment response and remission have been used. The International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group (IAIHG) recently defined consensus criteria for treatment response. We aimed to validate the IAIHG response criteria in our cohort and establish correlations with survival endpoints. We performed a retrospective, multicentric cohort study in one tertiary and seven secondary care centres in Belgium. Eligible patients were at least 18 years of age at data collection and were diagnosed with AIH by a simplified IAIHG score of ≥6. Complete biochemical response (CBR) was defined according to the IAIHG consensus criteria as normalisation of transaminases and serum IgG within the first 6 months of treatment. The primary endpoint was liver-related survival - defined as freedom from liver-related death or liver transplantation. Secondary endpoints were overall mortality and transplant-free survival. Outcomes were compared between patients attaining CBR and those with insufficient response. Biochemical response status could be determined in 200 patients with AIH: CBR was achieved in 128 (64.0%) individuals. Patients not achieving CBR more frequently presented with cirrhosis on initial histology (22.2% vs. 10.9%, p= 0.036). Liver-related mortality or liver transplantation as a primary outcome occurred in 26 patients (13.0%). Patients achieving CBR exhibited superior liver-related (hazard ratio 0.118; 95% CI 0.052-0.267; p <0.0001) and overall (hazard ratio 0.253; 95% CI 0.111-0.572; p= 0.0003) survival. We externally validated the IAIHG consensus criteria for CBR and confirmed their correlation with survival endpoints in a multicentric, real-world cohort. Patients with AIH achieving CBR as an intermediate endpoint have significantly superior liver-related and overall survival. Corticosteroids remain the cornerstone of treatment to induce remission of disease activity in autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), and the majority of patients require long-term corticosteroid treatment to achieve sustained remission. Definitions of response to treatment have varied over the years, and consistently used intermediate endpoints are needed to facilitate advancements in non-corticosteroid treatment for autoimmune hepatitis. The International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group (IAIHG) defined consensus criteria on endpoints in the treatment of AIH, for which further external validation is needed. Here, we demonstrate the usefulness of the IAIHG consensus criteria and corroborate their correlation to primary endpoints, such as liver-related survival and native liver survival in a multicentric, real-world setting. The design of future studies can rely on the IAIHG consensus criteria as intermediate endpoints.

A prospective study on the differential association of sarcopenia and frailty with health outcomes in cirrhotic patients

BackgroundTo investigate the joint impact of sarcopenia and frailty on mortality and the development of decompensation in cirrhosis. MethodsSarcopenia was assessed using the skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) by computed tomography, whereas frailty was measured using the Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP). Cox proportional hazard regression and competing risks analysis were used to evaluate their association with adverse outcomes. ResultsThe prevalence of sarcopenia and frailty was 29.6% and 37.2%, respectively. Sarcopenia and frailty separately increased more than two times higher risk of all-cause mortality after adjustment for age, gender, Child-Turcotte-Pugh, and comorbidities. Co-occurrence of sarcopenia and frailty was associated with a higher incremental risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis (HR = 4.16, 95% CI: 1.64–10.58, P = 0.003), but these two conditions didn't have significant interaction. Frailty, but not sarcopenia, was significantly associated with an increased cumulative incidence of liver-related mortality and decompensation after adjusting covariates. Subgroup analysis revealed that frailty shortened the liver-related survival of cirrhosis patients with male or higher liver severity based on MELD. ConclusionsCo-occurrence of sarcopenia and frailty increased the risk of death in cirrhosis, but these two conditions didn't have a significant interaction association. Frailty, but not sarcopenia, was associated with more adverse outcomes in cirrhotic patients.

Accurate long-term prediction of death for patients with cirrhosis.

Cirrhosis is a major cause of death and is associated with extensive health care use. Patients with cirrhosis have complex treatment choices due to risks of morbidity and mortality. To optimally counsel and treat patients with cirrhosis requires tools to predict their longer-term liver-related survival. We sought to develop and validate a risk score to predict longer-term survival of patients with cirrhosis. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults with cirrhosis with no major life-limiting comorbidities. Adults with cirrhosis within the Veterans Health Administration were used for model training and internal validation, and external validation used the OneFlorida Clinical Research Consortium. We used four model-building approaches including variables predictive of cirrhosis-related mortality, focused on discrimination at key time points (1, 3, 5, and 10 years). Among 30,263 patients with cirrhosis ≤75 years old without major life-limiting comorbidities and complete laboratory data during the baseline period, the boosted survival tree models had the highest discrimination, with 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year survival rates of 0.77, 0.81, 0.84, and 0.88, respectively. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year discrimination was nearly identical in external validation. Secondary analyses with imputation of missing data and subgroups by etiology of liver disease had similar results to the primary model. We developed and validated (internally and externally) a risk score to predict longer-term survival of patients with cirrhosis. This score would transform management of patients with cirrhosis in terms of referral to specialty care and treatment decision-making for non-liver-related care.

TERT Promoter Mutation in Serum Cell-Free DNA Is a Diagnostic Marker of Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Introduction: It remains unclear whether TERT promoter mutation (TERT C228T) in serum cell-free DNA (cfDNA) is useful for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Methods: In this retrospective study, we analyzed the relationships between TERT C228T in serum cfDNA and levels of AFP and PIVKAII in 57 Japanese patients with histopathologically confirmed NAFLD background, consisting of 36 patients with HCC and 21 without HCC. We also examined the liver-related survival rate and HCC recurrence rate after the initial treatment for HCC. TERT C228T was detected using a highly sensitive method based on wild-type blocking PCR (detection limit in excess of 0.7% mutant-type DNA). Results: In all of the 57 patients, multivariate analysis identified TERT C228T positive as significant determinant of primary HCC. In the 36 patients with HCC, the percentage of patients positive for TERT C228T was 63.9%. The percentage of patients positive for TERT C228T with normal AFP and PIVKAII was 35.3%. The positive predictive value and specificity for prediction of BCLC stage 0 or A were both high. In 6 patients, TERT C228T was repeatedly negative during follow-up but became positive at the time of HCC diagnosis. Four patients who underwent HCC surgical resection had well-differentiated solitary HCC measuring <30 mm, and all were TERT C228T positive with normal AFP and PIVKAII. TERT C228T status had no influence on the cumulative liver-related survival rate and HCC recurrence rate. Conclusions: Our results highlight the superiority of TERT C228T in serum cfDNA compared with AFP and PIVKAII in the early diagnosis of primary HCC in NAFLD patients.

Ability of the post-operative ALBI grade to predict the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma after curative surgery

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has been validated as a significant predictor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there is little information about the impact of postoperative ALBI grade in patients with HCC who are undergoing liver resection. We enrolled 525 HCC patients who received primary resection from April 2001 to March 2017. The impact of the pre- and post-operative ALBI grades on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analyzed by multivariate analysis. During the follow-up period (mean, 65 months), 253 (48.1%) patients experienced recurrence, and 85 (16.2%) patients died. Multivariate analysis revealed that diabetes mellitus (DM) (p = 0.011), alpha-fetoprotein levels (AFP) (p < 0.001), low platelet count (p = 0.008), liver cirrhosis (p < 0.001), and the first year of ALBI grade after resection (p < 0.001) were independent predictors for RFS. Additionally, old age (p = 0.006), DM (p = 0.002), AFP (p = 0.027), and ALBI grade at the first year after resection (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for poor liver-related survival. Patients with post-operative ALBI grades II/III had older age (p = 0.019), hypoalbuminemia (p = 0.038), DM (p = 0.043), and high stages of pTNM (p = 0.021). The post-operative ALBI grade is better for predicting the outcomes in HCC patients after curative hepatectomy than the pre-operative ALBI grade.

Hepatoprotective Effect of SGLT2 Inhibitor on Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

A fourth of the adult population is now suffering from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) worldwide. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), a severe form of NAFLD, can lead to liver-related mortality. NAFLD/NASH is closely associated with type 2 diabetes. Although pioglitazone is now recommended as the 1st line therapy for NASH with type 2 diabetes, pioglitazone has several safety concerns such as body weight gain, heart failure, fluid retention, and bone fracture in women. Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have a variety of functions such as glycemic control, bodyweight reduction, and decreased body pressure. Accumulating evidence has shown that this agent has also cardioprotective and renoprotective effects in patients with or without type 2 diabetes. Recent studies that SGLT2 inhibitor can also reduce in transaminase activities or hepatic fat content in NAFLD. NAFLD patients with type 2 diabetes can be indicated for SGLT2 inhibitor, because they are obese, have insulin resistance, and at high risk of cardiovascular events. The phase 3 study of dapagliflozin for NAFLD (DEAN study) is now ongoing. It remains unknown whether this agent can ameliorate hepatic fibrosis in NASH, leading to improved over-all or liver-related survival. Since the leading cause of NAFLD mortality is cardiovascular events, SGLT2 inhibitors will become the 1st line treatment for NAFLD/NASH.

Guideline-conform statin use reduces overall mortality in patients with compensated liver disease

Statins reduce cardiovascular risk. However, “real-life” data on statin use in patients with chronic liver disease and its impact on overall and liver-related survival are limited. Therefore, we assessed 1265 CLD patients stratified as advanced (ACLD) or non-advanced (non-ACLD) stage. Statin indication was evaluated according to the 2013 ACC/AHA guidelines and survival-status was verified by national death registry data. Overall, 122 (9.6%) patients had an indication for statin therapy but did not receive statins, 178 (14.1%) patients were on statins and 965 (76.3%) patients had no indication for statins. Statin underutilization was 34.2% in non-ACLD and 48.2% in ACLD patients. In non-ACLD patients, survival was worse without a statin despite indication as compared to patients on statin or without indication (log-rank p = 0.018). In ACLD patients, statin use did not significantly impact on survival (log-rank p = 0.264). Multivariate cox regression analysis confirmed improved overall survival in patients with statin as compared to patients with indication but no statin (HR 0.225; 95%CI 0.053–0.959; p = 0.044) and a trend towards reduced liver-related mortality (HR 0.088; 95%CI 0.006–1.200; p = 0.068). This was not observed in ACLD patients. In conclusion, guideline-confirm statin use is often withhold from patients with liver disease and this underutilization is associated with impaired survival in non-ACLD patients.

Clinical features and outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma in Caucasian cirrhotic patients on long-term analogue therapy for hepatitis B.

Long-term oral nucleos(t)ide analogue (NUC) therapy in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related compensated cirrhotics prevents clinical decompensation but not hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. To define the clinical features and outcomes of HCC in long-term NUC-treated HBV patients. All HCCs developing between 2005 and 2016 in NUC-treated HBV patients under surveillance were studied, excluding those that occurred within the first 6 months of therapy. Clinical features of HCC, alpha faetoprotein (AFP) patterns and patients' outcome were studied. Seventy-six HCC patients were included. Median age was 67 (40-83) years, 84% males, 96% Caucasian, 95% HBeAg-negative, 96% with undetectable HBV DNA, 83% with normal ALT levels, and 92% with compensated cirrhosis. Median serum AFP levels were 4 (1-3615) ng/mL (>7 ng/mL in 36%). HCC was monofocal in 78%, had a median diameter of 20 (6-57) mm and was in its early stage in 92% which allowed potentially curative treatments in 78% (39% ablation, 28% surgical resection, 11% liver transplantation). Overall, a complete response was obtained in 61 (80%) patients: in 40 after a first-line treatment, in 3 after the second-line treatment, in 2 after the third-line treatment, while 16 underwent liver transplantation (8 as second line). During 45 (7-144) months after HCC diagnosis, 19 patients died, 84% from HCC progression. The median time to recurrence was 20.2 (3-53) months, and the cumulative 5-year liver-related survival was 74%. HCCs developing in patients under long-term NUC treatment were single, small tumours, amenable to curative therapies able to confer excellent 5-year survival rates.

Eight-year survival in chronic hepatitis B patients under long-term entecavir or tenofovir therapy is similar to the general population

The effects of long-term antiviral therapy on survival have not been adequately assessed in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). In this 10-centre, ongoing cohort study, we evaluated the probability of survival and factors affecting survival in Caucasian CHB patients who received long-term entecavir/tenofovir therapy. We included 1,951 adult Caucasians with CHB, with or without compensated cirrhosis and without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at baseline, who received entecavir/tenofovir for ≥12 months (median, six years). Kaplan-Meier estimates of cumulative survival over time were obtained. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated by comparing death rates with those in the Human Mortality Database. The one-, five-, and eight-year cumulative probabilities were 99.7, 95.9, and 94.1% for overall survival, 99.9, 98.3, and 97.4% for liver-related survival, and 99.9, 97.8, and 95.8% for transplantation-free liver-related survival, respectively. Overall mortality was independently associated with older age and HCC development, liver-related mortality was associated with HCC development only, and transplantation-free liver-related mortality was independently associated with HCC development and lower platelet levels at baseline. Baseline cirrhosis was not independently associated with any type of mortality. Compared with the general population, in all CHB patients mortality was not significantly different (SMR 0.82), whereas it was lower in patients without HCC regardless of baseline cirrhosis (SMR 0.58) and was higher in patients who developed HCC (SMR 3.09). Caucasian patients with CHB and compensated liver disease who receive long-term entecavir/tenofovir therapy have excellent overall and liver-related eight-year survival, which is similar to that of the general population. HCC is the main factor affecting their overall mortality, and is the only factor affecting their liver-related mortality. Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B with or without compensated cirrhosis who receive long-term entecavir or tenofovir therapy have excellent overall eight-year survival, which is similar to that of the general population. Hepatocellular carcinoma is the main factor affecting their overall mortality, and is the only factor affecting liver-related mortality in this setting.

Potential use of metabolic breath tests to assess liver disease and prognosis: has the time arrived for routine use in the clinic?

The progression of liver disease may be unique among organ system diseases in that progressive fibrosis compromises not only the sufficiency of hepatocyte mass but also impairs blood flow to the liver, resulting in porto-systemic shunting. Although liver biopsy as an assessment of fibrosis has become the key biomarker of and target for new therapies, it is invasive and subject to sampling error, and cannot quantify metabolic function or porto-systemic shunting. Measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient accommodates some of the deficiencies of biopsy but requires expertise not widely available and misses minor changes in hepatocellular mass and thereby information about metabolic function. Thus, an unmet need in clinical hepatology remains unfulfilled: a noninvasive biomarker which quantitates both the hepatocellular insufficiency and porto-systemic shunting inherent in progressive hepatic fibrosis. Ideally, such a biomarker should correlate with clinical endpoints including liver-related survival and cirrhotic complications, be performed at the point-of-care, and be affordable and easy to use. This review, an expert opinion, summarizes background and recent data suggesting that metabolic breath tests may now meet these requirements and have a valid place in clinical hepatology to supplant the time-honoured assessment of hepatic fibrosis.

Extended survival of patients with persistently suppressed hepatitis B transplanted for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has become a major cause of liver-related death and indication to liver transplantation (LT) in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection following the widespread adoption of antiviral therapy with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NUCs). Yet, the long-term outcome of patients undergoing liver transplantation for an HCC developed during effective NUC treatment is unknown. We evaluated 101 patients with persistently compensated cirrhosis who were consecutively transplanted for HCC in two centers in Milan. At LT, 91 (90%) patients had undetectable serum HBV DNA (<12 IU/ml) and 90 (89%) were within Milan criteria (MC). All patients received post-transplant HBV prophylaxis with specific immunoglobulins (HBIgs) and NUCs. End-points were long-term patient survival and recurrence of HCC and HBV. During 106 (range 3-165) months following LT, HCC recurred in 11 (11%) patients (nine beyond MC at explant, two with HBV recurrence). Age (HR 1.1, 95%CI 1.0-1.2, P = 0.04) and exceeding MC (HR 9.6, 95%CI 2.9-32, P < 0.0001) were the only independent pretransplant predictors of tumour recurrence. The 10-year cumulative rate of HCC recurrence was 7% among patients transplanted within MC compared with 45% among those beyond MC at LT (P = 0.004). Overall, 18 patients (18%, nine HCC, nine non liver-related events) died with a 10-year cumulative probability of overall and liver-related survival of 79% and 89% respectively. Extended survival of HBV cirrhotics transplanted for HCC can be achieved by coupling MC at listing with persistent pharmacological suppression of HBV.

Survival of hepatitis C-infected haemophilia patients is predicted by presence of cirrhosis but not by anti-viral treatment

Background/Purpose. Hepatitis C (HCV) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in haemophilia patients who received clotting factor concentrates before the availability of virus-inactivated factors in the mid-1980s. Recently, it has been suggested that anti-HCV treated patients, particularly those achieving a sustained virological response (SVR) have an improved outcome. We sought to examine the survival of treated and untreated HCV-infected haemophilia patients.Material and methods. We studied overall and liver-related survival of patients with haemophilia and other congenital bleeding disorders between 2000 and 2010. The outcome was compared in 3 sub-groups: HCV mono-infected (N = 127), HCV/HIV co-infected (N = 28), and patients with either HCV-antibodies negative or persistent HCV RNA-negative (referred to as non-infected) (N = 45). Sixty-two (40%) (HCV and HCV/HIV) patients underwent anti-HCV treatment with an SVR rate of 40.3%.Results. Overall and liver-related 10-year survival were: 82.1 and 89.3%, 95.3 and 99.2 and 100% for HCV/HIV co-infected, HCV mono-infected and non-infected haemophilia patients, respectively (p = 0.015 and 0.023 for comparisons of HCV/HIV vs. HCV; p = 0.003 for comparison of HCV/HIV and non-infected). One HCV mono-infected and 3 co-infected patients died of end-stage liver disease (2 underwent liver transplantation). There was no survival benefit from anti-HCV treatment or from attaining of an SVR. Only clinically suspected cirrhosis remained as an independent predictor of survival.Conclusion. The prognosis of haemophilia patients who acquired HCV/HIV co-infection is worse than that of HCV mono-infected or non-infected or haemophiliacs. This is mainly due to liver-related mortality. Anti-HCV treatment or SVR had no observable impact on survival rate.

756 SERUM HBsAg DECLINE IS FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED IN LONG-TERM NUC RESPONDERS WITH LOW TREATMENT-INDUCED HBsAg LEVELS

12 and throughout the study. No safety issues were reported. HCC developed in 5 non cirrhotics (2.4%) between month 19 and 46 of treatment, with an yearly rate of 0.5%. The 155 compensated cirrhotics remained clinically stable, yet 17 developed a HCC to give a 5-year cumulative rate of 14% and an yearly rate of 2.8%, despite full suppression of viral replication in most cases. Five cirrhotics died for non-liver related causes, 2 for HCC and 4 were transplanted for HCC: the overall 5-year cumulative survival and liver-related survival were 91% and 95%, respectively. Conclusion: Entecavir monotherapy efficiently suppressed HBV in naive patients with CHB, fully preventing clinical decompensation but not HCC.

123 STRUCTURE OF THE HEPATITIS B VIRUS RNase H, A TARGET FOR NEW ANTIVIRAL DRUG DEVELOPMENT, UNRAVELED BY ULTRA-DEEP PYROSEQUENCING AND MOLECULAR MODELING

a single tertiary center. The date and cause of death were recorded and checked using the national death registry. Results: Baseline characteristics of 361 included patients were: age: 60.0±9.8 yrs, male: 71.7%, Child Pugh score: 6.1±1.8 (A: 69.7%, B: 23.3%, C: 7.0%), Meld score: 11.3±4.5, follow-up: 3.1±1.4 yrs, death rate: 28.8% (liver related death in 62.5%). The 144 patients with non-selective BB were compared to the 190 controls without BB; 27 patients with selective BB were excluded. At baseline, there were higher frequencies of esophageal (p < 0.001) or gastric varices (p = 0.019) and alcohol withdrawal (p = 0.001) in the BB group. Child–Pugh (p =0.56) and Meld (p =0.25) scores did not differ. The independent predictors of overall survival were Meld (p < 0.001) and age (p =0.028) by Cox model. The independent predictors of liver related survival included Meld (p < 0.001) and gastric varices (p = 0.026), and a significant interaction between Meld and BB (p =0.035). Therefore, we assessed the BB effect according to baseline Meld score: in the lowest tertile, BB group had an improved overall survival as compared to controls (logrank: p =0.071); a beneficial BB effect was also observed in the second tertile until 4 years of follow-up; in contrast, in the highest tertile, patients treated with BB had decreased survival beyond 2 years (p = 0.095). Liver survival showed the same trends in the first (p = 0.140) and second (p =0.306) tertiles; in the highest tertile, the poorer survival in BB group was more pronounced than for overall survival (p = 0.019). Conclusion: The BB effect on survival differed according to liver disease severity in alcoholic cirrhosis: in good condition patients, BB tended to improve survival during the first years whereas there was a significantly decreased liver survival in the most severe patients.

Biomarkers of liver fibrosis

Fibrosis prediction is an essential part of the assessment and management of patients with chronic liver disease. Blood-based biomarkers offer a number of advantages over the traditional standard of fibrosis assessment of liver biopsy, including safety, cost-savings and wide spread accessibility. Current biomarker algorithms include indirect surrogate measures of fibrosis, including aminotransaminases and platelet count, or direct measures of fibrinogenesis or fibrinolysis such as hyaluronic acid and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1. A number of algorithms have now been validated across a range of chronic liver disease including chronic viral hepatitis, alcoholic and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Furthermore, several models have been demonstrated to be dynamic to changes in fibrosis over time and are predictive of liver-related survival and overall survival to a greater degree than liver biopsy. Current limitations of biomarker models include a significant indeterminate range, and a predictive ability that is limited to only a few stages of fibrosis. Utilization of these biomarker models requires knowledge of patient co-morbidities which may produce false positive or negative results in a small proportion of individuals. Furthermore, knowledge of the underlying prevalence of fibrosis in the patient population is required for interpretation of the positive or negative predictive values of a test result. Novel proteins identified by proteomic technology and genetic polymorphisms from genome association studies offer the possibility for further refinement and individualization of biomarker fibrosis models in the future.

OC1 Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) with baseline normal bilirubin and albumin concentrations: treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) improves liver-related and non liver-related survival

OC1 Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) with baseline normal bilirubin and albumin concentrations: treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) improves liver-related and non liver-related survival

HAART and the HCV-infected liver: friend or foe?

HAART and the HCV-infected liver: friend or foe?