Abstract Background The cytotoxic methotrexate (MTX) is used in high doses in lymphoma and acute lymphocytic leukemia (ALL) treatment. A therapeutic plasma dose range is crucial to minimize MTX accumulation and prolonged exposure, which can lead to myelosuppression and other adverse effects. Determining MTX elimination prior to drug administration is difficult, given its non-linear clearance. Here we present a model to predict MTX elimination rates based on metabolite measurement in patients receiving high-dose methotrexate, using nuclear-magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. Methods A series of 26 residual sera from patients receiving MTX infusions as per treatment protocols for CNS lymphoma (MATRIX protocol, 3.5 g/m2 over four hours) and ALL (GMALL protocol, 1.5 g/m2 over 24 hours) were collected from patients at the University Hospital Regensburg at four timepoints (t0, t24, t42, and t48). Serum was NMR-measured in five replicates. NMR spectra for each sample were characterized and relevant parameters extracted. First order elimination constants were modeled for two MTX dosage regimes (<4 g, ≥4 g) using characterized NMR features from samples measured at t0. Results Metabolomic and lipidomic biomarkers measured at baseline (t0) were able to accurately predict MTX elimination rate constant k, determined by fitting MTX levels at a t24, t42, and t48, using first order c(t)∼c0*e(-kt) kinetic function (>4 g: R2 = 0.475, p-value < 0.05; ≤4 g: R2 = 0.918, p-value < 0.01) (Fig. A). Results were cross-validated with five-time repeated three-fold cross-validation. Performance values are given as means of the folds. Conclusions NMR-measured biomarkers can predict dose-dependent MTX elimination rates in patients receiving high-dose MTX, presenting a novel method to predict MTX clearance, allowing for personalized dose-monitoring and minimization of adverse events. Validation with a larger cohort is required.
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