Lift Operation Research Articles

Maximising the potential of deep geothermal energy: Thermal output increase by large-scale heat pumps

Due to the high share of the heating market in Europés final energy consumption, it is mandatory to intensify the decarbonisation in this sector. Large-scale heat pumps could significantly contribute to different areas of application, like the supply of existing heating networks or the utilisation of industrial waste heat, by using various energy sources like geothermal, air or running water. However, there are still open research questions regarding the technical aspects like fluid selection or part load behaviour as well as economic aspects.This study investigates the potential of maximising the thermal capacity of existing geothermal heating plants by integrating large-scale heat pumps. To consider a realistic performance of the heat pump, experimental results are implemented into a techno-economic model. Annual simulations are carried out based on real data for a district heating network and the geothermal source. The experimental investigations of a high-temperature heat pump show the high impact of temperature lift, temperature glides and part load operation on the COP. Additionally, this investigated part load behaviour is implemented in the techno-economic model.For the techno-economic analyses, the levelized costs of heat (LCOH) are calculated. For a base scenario, 68 €/MWh are estimated. Additionally, sensitivity analyses were conducted to quantify the influence of selected geological, design and economic parameters on the LCOH. The electricity price shows the most significant impact, with a potential reduction of the LCOH of 39 %. In general, the study points out the great potential of integrating large-scale heat pumps into geothermal energy systems and district heating networks to extend the renewable system’s thermal capacity efficiently and cost-effectively.

Internal septa of the maxillary sinus and their significance in the planning of endodontic interventions, sinus lifting and dental implantation using a collagen matrix scaffold

INTRODUCTION. The study of the structure of the septa in the area of the maxillary sinus floor is important when planning implantation and sinus lifting operations. The height, number and location of the septa can affect the course of the sinus lifting operation. The aim is to study the structure of the maxillary sinus septa, their height, size, localization in order to prevent complications during surgical interventions.MATERIAL AND METHODS. The article analyzes CBCT data from 444 patients for the presence of septa in the area of the lower wall of the maxillary sinus. The subjects were divided into two groups: with the presence of premolars and molars (288 CBCT) and with the absence of at least one chewing tooth (156 CBCT). A study of 48 passportized skulls was conducted, the anterior wall of the maxillary sinus was sawed out, the structure of the sinus floor and septa was studied in detail. The ratio of the volume of compact and spongy bone substance in the premolar and molar areas was also measured.RESULTS. The obtained research data allowed us to obtain new information about the number of septa in the case of a complete dentition and partial tooth loss. Due to changes in the processes of sinus pneumatization, the number of septa increases with partial tooth loss. Their presence increases the risk of perforation of the Schneiderian membrane during sinus lift surgery, including the use of scaffolds based on a collagen matrix. However, when installing an implant in the base of the septum, its stability can be ensured, since the septa are some kind of buttresses of the maxillary bone. The ratio of the volume of spongy and compact bone substance in the premolar and molar area changes with age.CONCLUSION. The study found that the presence of coronal septa can cause complications of sinus lift surgery in the form of perforation of the Schneiderian membrane. At the same time, septa, being buttresses of the maxillary bone, can serve as a basis for installing an implant. With partial loss of teeth, the number of coronal septa increases. With age, the ratio of spongy and compact bone substance changes, towards a decrease in the volume of trabecular and an increase in the volume of compact bone.

Application of a numerical method in analyzing the operation of single-stage scissor lifts

Scissor lifts are special devices for transporting or lifting with a wide range of applications. By extending or retracting the hydraulic cylinder arranged in the scissor frame, the system can raise or lower the platform to the designated height. This study was conducted to analyze the relationship between the configuration of the cylinder and the movement of the platform in single-stage scissor lifts. By applying a numerical method and assigning parameters for the cylinder arrangement, the displacement of the platform and the forces in the cylinder can be easily calculated. The results obtained from the calculation process show the practicality of the proposed method in determining the optimal configuration for designing single-stage scissor lift systems.

Enhancing Worker Safety Behaviors Through Proactive Interventions in the Lifting and Transport Equipment Industry

Unsafe worker behavior remains a prevalent issue leading to workplace accidents, particularly within companies specializing in services for head truck operations, maintenance, and lifting equipment. This study aims to enhance worker safety behaviors through proactive interventions utilizing behavioral observation and intervention (BO&I). Additionally, trend analysis is employed to predict the impact of interventions on worker safety behaviors. Mechanical workers involved in lifting and transport equipment operations are surveyed as respondents. The findings reveal a notable increase in the percentage of safe behaviors post-intervention compared to pre-intervention levels. Moreover, disparities in worker safety behaviors between pre- and post-intervention stages are identified, particularly in work stages associated with a high frequency of accidents. Trend analysis forecasts that the maximum percentage of safe worker behavior will be observed at the 91st intervention. Furthermore, binary logistic regression analysis indicates that variables such as age, tenure, utilization of personal protective equipment (PPE), and education significantly influence worker behaviors.

Performance of Combined Woven Roving and Mat Glass-Fiber Reinforced Polymer Composites Under Absorption Tower Lifting Loads.

This study investigates the structural integrity of a glass-fiber reinforced polymer absorption tower during lifting operations, evaluating factors of safety and stress distribution for both horizontal and vertical scenarios. A key focus is the comparative analysis of surface and volumetric meshing techniques in finite element modeling. Results demonstrate that surface models achieve comparable stress predictions to computationally intensive volumetric models, significantly reducing computational demands without compromising accuracy. For instance, stress at the flange edge with holes was accurately captured using a surface model with 5675 elements (12.79 MPa), yielding similar results to a volumetric model requiring over 94,000 elements (13.37 MPa). Similar computational efficiency and agreement between modeling approaches were observed at the packing support ring-shell joint. Finite element analysis employing Hashin's failure criterion, informed by industry-standard experimental data, revealed safety factors ranging from 1.9 to 2.5 for horizontal lifting and four for vertical lifting. These safety factors indicate sufficient margins for safe operation. While these findings support the feasibility of both lifting methods, further investigation is recommended to address the lower safety factors observed in specific horizontal lifting scenarios. A comprehensive assessment incorporating industry standards, dynamic load effects, and potential mitigation strategies is crucial to ensure the long-term structural integrity of the GFRP absorption tower.

The snow must go on: can snowmaking keep ski resorts profitable in a changing climate?

ABSTRACT Climate change threatens the economic performance of ski resorts, and therefore the economies of mountain regions. Increased snowmaking is the leading adaptation strategy, but its economic contribution remains unclear. To fill this gap, we used dynamic panel data modelling to analyse the economic performance of 56 French Alpine ski lift operators over a 15-year period (2004/05 to 2018/19). Economic performance remains strongly linked to ski lift capacity and shows a high degree of persistence over time, all other things being equal. No evidence has been found that increased investment in snowmaking improves resort sales or profits, even in the worst natural snow seasons. These results strongly challenge the idea that increased snowmaking is an effective economic adaptation to climate change.

Study Evaluates Long-Term Corrosion Risk of Load-Bearing, High-Power ESP Cable

_ This article, written by JPT Technology Editor Chris Carpenter, contains highlights of paper OTC 34898, “Long-Term Corrosion-Risk Evaluation of Load-Bearing, High-Power Electrical Submersible Pump Cable,” by Serko A. Sarian, SPE, Alkhorayef Petroleum, and Hattan Banjar, SPE, and Chidirim Ejim, SPE, Saudi Aramco, et al. The paper has not been peer reviewed. Copyright 2024 Offshore Technology Conference. _ In this study, a fit-for-purpose electrical submersible pump (ESP) load-bearing power cable was deployed inside the production tubing of a sour oil well for an extended period of service. Project economics required the power-cable metallurgy to survive long-term exposure reliably for up to 15% hydrogen sulfide (H2S) and high-salinity production fluids. Laboratory tests simulating varying sour well and extended galvanic corrosion conditions have been performed to determine the adequacy of the selected armor metallurgy in downhole corrosive environments. Introduction In recent years, various types of load-bearing power cable-deployed ESP (CDESP) systems have been introduced, eliminating the need to install or remove a conventional ESP along with the completion and reducing ESP changeover time by more than 80%. More recently, live-well CDESP systems have been developed and tested to eliminate the need for a well-kill operation. The most-critical and costly component of such a system is the load-bearing power cable. The cable has the dual purpose of conveyance and long-term powering-up of the ESP. In a conventional artificial lift operation, the ESP is conveyed using the production tubing with a non-load-bearing power cable strapped to the outside of the tubing. This operation requires a workover rig to remove and reinstall the entire completion and a killed-well operation that might permanently damage the reservoir. The main advantages of a CDESP system include operational efficiency gain and cost reduction, no reservoir skin damage, and production-loss minimization. However, a few challenges exist with the use of CDESP. These cables must have significantly different structures from commercial oil and gas power cables. These differences are detailed in the complete paper. Cable-Design Requirements CDESP system criteria include multiple-year continued service in adverse oilwell and reservoir conditions such as sour fluids, high gas/oil ratios (GOR) and temperatures, and abrasion caused by solids production. The following product acceptance requirements were set in advance: - Three redeployments or retrievals after the initial deployment - Single deployment continued runtime to meet or exceed the regional conventional ESP system runtime Based on regional statistics, a conventional ESP system single-deployment average run time is 2.5 years. The effective CDESP power-cable service life target then becomes 2.5 years × four total deployments = 10 years, which served as the basis for all cable-associated testing and reliability metrics.

The Influence of Gas Lift on Oil Drainage Area in Reservoirs

Abstract Gas lift is a widely employed artificial lift method in the oil and gas industry, with the potential to significantly impact oil recovery from reservoirs. This study investigates the effect of gas lift on the oil drainage area within reservoirs, aiming to enhance our understanding of its role in reservoir management. Using advanced reservoir engineering and simulation techniques, the research explores the dynamics of gas lift and its influence on the accessibility of hydrocarbon resources. The study provides a comprehensive analysis of gas lift parameters, including gas injection rates, depths, and configurations, and their collective impact on the drainage area. It also considers the interplay between gas lift operations and reservoir characteristics such as permeability, porosity, and fluid properties. Findings from this study reveal that gas lift can effectively expand the drainage area by reducing bottomhole pressures and facilitating the movement of oil within the reservoir. This expansion enables the recovery of hydrocarbons from previously untapped regions, resulting in improved oil production. The research underscores the importance of optimizing gas lift design to maximize reservoir performance. Additionally, the study addresses operational challenges associated with gas lift, including gas allocation, injection optimization, and equipment reliability. It provides insights into the economic and operational considerations of gas lifts, offering valuable recommendations for reservoir management. The outcomes of this research contribute to a deeper understanding of how gas lift influences the oil drainage area in reservoirs, providing valuable insights for reservoir engineers, operators, and industry professionals involved in oil production. This knowledge supports informed decision-making to optimize oil recovery, reservoir performance, and the efficient use of gas lift technologies.

Fixation of Superolateral Platysma Flap to the Mastoid Fascia: A Novel Isolated Neck Lift Technique.

This study aimed to evaluate the utility of a novel neck lift technique based on fixation of superolateral platysma flap to the mastoid fascia in terms of postoperative aesthetic outcome and patient satisfaction within an 18-month follow-up period. A total of 145 female patients who underwent isolated neck lift operation with the superolateral platysma flap technique were included. Global Aesthetic Improvement Scale (GAIS) scores (by the investigator) and the patient reported outcomes were recorded in terms of improvement in the cervicofacial angle, jowls, platysmal bands and malpositioned cervical fats, at 6 and 18 months, postoperatively. The complications were recorded at early postoperative period and at 1, 6 and 18 months, postoperatively. The median duration of follow-up was 18 months (range, 6-48months). GAIS scores at 18th months, revealed exceptional improvement in the cervicofacial angle (82.8%), the jowls (93.1%), platysmal bands (93.1%) and malpositioned cervical fat (97.2%). Majority of patients were very satisfied with the treatment in terms of the aesthetic improvement. Complications involved the minor ecchymosis (17.2%) and minor skin circulatory problem (11.7%) in the early postoperative period, suture exposure (12.4%) in the postoperative 1st month, and cervical band reformation in the 6th (0.7%) and 18th (1.4%) months. In conclusion, lateral displacement and fixation of superolateral platysma flap to the mastoid fascia seems to be a useful neck lift technique for correction of platysma- and skin-derived aging sings with minor and manageable complications, immediate return to everyday activities and a high patient satisfaction. This journal requires that authors assign a level of evidence to each article. For a full description of these Evidence-Based Medicine ratings, please refer to the Table of Contents or the online Instructions to Authors www.springer.com/00266 .

Status of off-bottom mariculture in wave-exposed environments. Part 2. Comparative loading and motion of longline designs currently used in exposed commercial farms

A global inventory of extractive species mariculture in wave-exposed temperate waters shows that the longline is the technology used in more than 99% of the sites (Part 1 of this review). In this second part, I compare the static (longline at rest), quasi-static (tidal sea surface elevation, steady currents and mainline lifting operation) and dynamic (wind seas and swells) loading and motion of surface, semi-submerged and fully submerged longlines used to grow bivalves and kelp. This review is based on a hundred papers published on the subject mostly after 2010 and on simple analytical models used to illustrate the many compromises that must be made to ensure the survivability of the structure and the survival (retention), growth and quality of the cultured biomass. Surface longlines are unsuitable for fully exposed environments. To mitigate storm energy it is necessary to minimize the volume of surface buoys and submerge the mainline to the maximum depth possible. There is however a limit to minimizing the volume of surface buoys due to the uplifting of the mainline by currents. In the case of kelp, its optimal growing depth is within a few meters from the sea surface. This limitation can be partly circumvented by having the kelp float above the mainline. In the case of bivalves, mainline depth can be tens of meters below the sea surface. This comes with some disadvantages including difficulties in maintaining the delicate buoyancy balance, particularly for fully submerged longlines without legs, and reduced access to the mainline, particularly for fully submerged longlines with legs. Devices that allow autonomous or remote-controlled changes of mainline depth on a daily, occasional (husbandry and harvest operations) or seasonal basis have been tested but are not yet used commercially on longlines.

Active Control for Construction Stability of Suspension Arch Rib Segments Based on ARID System

In response to the issues of vibrations affecting the construction safety, speed, and accuracy of suspended structures due to dynamic disturbances during lifting, environmental disturbances, and improper operator actions, this paper investigates the application of the Active Rotary Inertia Driver (ARID) system for double-rope suspended structures, namely analyzes, and applies control to the vibration response of double-rope suspended structures under external excitations. Taking the double-rope suspended structure as an example, a dynamic analytical model of the double-rope suspended structure is established based on D’Alembert’s principle. Through shake table tests, the dynamic response characteristics and vibration control effects of the double-rope suspended structure under various external excitations are studied, and the influence of the twisting radius of the suspended structure on the control effect is analyzed. The experimental results show that the ARID control system achieves significant control effects on the swing and torsional vibrations of the suspended structure, which validates the accuracy of the theoretical model for the ARID control system and demonstrates its feasibility for practical applications.

Identification from data with periodically missing output samples

The identification problem in case of data with missing values is challenging and currently not fully understood. For example, there are no general nonconservative identifiability results, nor provably correct data efficient methods. In this paper, we consider a special case of periodically missing output samples, where all but one output sample per period may be missing. The novel idea is to use a lifting operation that converts the original problem with missing data into an equivalent standard identification problem. The key step is the inverse transformation from the lifted to the original system, which requires computation of a matrix root. The well-posedness of the inverse transformation depends on the eigenvalues of the system. Under an assumption on the eigenvalues, which is not verifiable from the data, and a persistency of excitation-type assumption on the data, the method based on lifting recovers the data-generating system.

Model experimental studies on active heave compensation control strategy for electric-driven offshore cranes

Ship-mounted heave compensation offshore cranes are indispensable for isolating connected payloads from the support vessel during lifting operations under harsh sea conditions. In this paper, an innovative adaptive robust control strategy is presented for the electric-driven active heave compensation (EDAHC) system, combining an equivalent model predictive control (EMPC) method with a bias proportional integral derivative (BPID) framework to effectively mitigate the adverse effects of wave-induced heave motions from the support vessel on the suspended payload. Building upon the inherent field-oriented control in the permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM), the BPID-based control structure is introduced, motivated by its prompt responsiveness and robust resistance against model discrepancies and irregular disturbances. Facilitated by a torque compensation mechanism, the EMPC-based control scheme, synthesized with an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA)-based heave motion prediction algorithm, is subsequently developed to achieve nonlinear friction deadzone correction and adaptive regulation of BPID parameters, thereby ensuring optimal performance of the EDAHC system within specified state and input constraints. Comparative experimental tests conducted on a scaled EDAHC testbed validate the superior capabilities of the proposal in station-keeping, position tracking, constraint satisfaction, and robustness against parametric uncertainties.

The integration of dynamic value stream mapping and cost time profile method for optimizing offshore drilling logistic base operations

The research aims to analyze the integration of Dynamic Value Stream Mapping (DVMM) and Cost Time Profile (CT-profile) method for optimizing offshore drilling logistic base operations. The novelty of the research is the implementation of DVMM and CT-profile that implemented in monitoring system INTACTS (Integrated Dynamic value stream mapping and Cost time profile for shore base operation) which is directly connected to shore base material movement recording system. Each successful lift performed in JIT mode will be recorded and its characteristics studied so that it can be applied to other material lifting operations. This research uses data on the lifting operation on July - December 2020. The new method is applied in a logistic system for drilling activity. The research shows that DVSM is suitable to be applied for logistics in off shore base problems since the job and situation are very dynamics.

Temperature and pressure prediction of offshore high CO2-content associated gas lift and analysis of influencing factors

With the continuous injection of CO2 into the reservoir, a portion of the sequestered CO2 is co-produced with crude oil, resulting in a significant concentration of CO2 in the associated gas. Utilizing high CO2-content associated gas for offshore gas lift operations improves the reutilization of such gas and reduces costs related to sourcing and transporting it. To ensure smooth activation of the gas lift valve, conducting a thorough study on temperature and pressure within the wellbore during the gas lift process is essential. This study developed a dynamic model for calculating the transient temperature and pressure within offshore gas lift wellbores and fitted equations to calculate the physical properties of high CO2-content associated gas for specific compositions. This refinement minimized computational discrepancies arising from fluctuations in physical property parameters. When applying this model to oilfield scenarios, the maximum error observed was 3.83%, which aligned well with the accuracy standards required for oilfield computations. By integrating oilfield production data, this research explored the influence of injection parameters on temperature and pressure dynamics within the gas lift wellbore. The results revealed that variations in injection temperature and pressure had minimal impact on the temperature at the gas lift valve. Yet, they induced significant changes in the pressure at that point. An increase in CO2 concentration within the gas source composition was associated with considerable shifts in temperature and pressure gradients throughout the wellbore. At high mass flow rates, the temperature gradient of the wellbore was notably reduced, while the pressure gradient was significantly enhanced. These research findings provided a theoretical basis for optimizing gas lift operations using high CO2-content associated gas in offshore settings.

Dynamic analysis of a hydraulic motor lifting auxiliary beam of monorail crane

Abstract Monorail crane that is an important class of auxiliary transportation equipment in coal mine. It works on a single hanging track fixed above the coal mine roadway to transport materials, machines, people, etc. Lifting auxiliary beam is the main part of the lifting beam which is used to complete the lifting and transport operations. In the application process, the lifting auxiliary beam is bore many types of loads such as discontinuous loading, frequent starting and braking etc. It complicates the dynamic performance that directly affects the safety and the lifting operation stability. By using finite element method, a dynamic model of the lifting auxiliary beam is established to study the variation laws of dynamic load, frequency, amplitude, etc. Furthermore, three loading conditions are defined in the model. They are static loading, slow loading and fast loading, considering the lifting operation time. The numerical simulation results show that the maximum displacement of the fast loading condition is 20% to 23% higher than that under the static loading condition. Moreover, under the fast loading condition, the largest displacement amplitude occurs in the middle part of the lifting auxiliary beam and it decreases gradually towards the ends.

Modeling the Dynamic Loads Affecting a Bridge Crane during Start-Up

Introduction. The dynamic loads during the start-up of a bridge crane can cause excessive stress in the structure and components, leading to potential safety hazards and increased wear and tear. To reduce the influence of the dynamic loads, various strategies can be implemented including optimization of the acceleration and deceleration profiles, using the soft start controls, implementing the vibration damping systems. It is vital to ensure that the proper crane maintenance and inspection protocols are in place. By reducing the impact of dynamic loads during the start-up, the overall performance and longevity of a bridge crane can be improved, ultimately enhancing safety and efficiency of the industrial operations. The present research offers a new approach to improving the efficiency and safety of industrial operations by providing a more precise account of the dynamic loads during the start-up of a bridge crane. The objective of this study is to develop a mathematical model for investigating the mechanical properties of the bridge cranes by analyzing the dynamic loads that occur during lifting operations.Materials and Methods. The development of the mathematical model was based on the kinetic model of the system, which included three connecting blocks and two flexible connections for a more accurate description of the bridge crane structure. Lagrange’s equations incorporating the information about the geometry and structure of a bridge crane were used. They made it possible to describe the motion of a system with the multiple elements and degrees of freedom. Processing and analysis of the results of the mathematical model were carried out in the MATLAB program using the Runge-Kutta method.Results. As a result of the research, a mathematical model was developed to study the dynamic loads affecting a bridge crane during lifting operations. Graphs describing the dependences of speed, acceleration, load, and rope angle over time, and their influence on the crane beam were plotted. The changes in these parameters over time, including their maximum values, were analyzed. The reasons for load changes and factors influencing the extension of lifting machines’ service life as well as reducing metal consumption during production thereof were identified.Discussion and Conclusion. The developed mathematical model and its numerical solution using the specialized software (MATLAB) allow for conducting the dynamic analysis of the bridge crane structures and determining the optimal design solutions. The analysis of the factors influencing the load changes leads to the conclusion that the use of this model can significantly reduce the load magnitudes and metal consumption, as well as increase the service life of lifting machines. The results obtained with the developed mathematical model and its numerical solution are useful for optimizing the crane structures, providing compliance with the operational requirements, and extending the service life of lifting machines.

Dynamic analysis and optimization of a novel Dual-valve heave compensator for heavy lifting operations

Traditional Passive Heave Compensator (PHC) requires set parameters before operation according to the specific sea conditions, making it difficult to adapt to complex and variable working environments. This study aims to enhance the environmental adaptability of classical PHC by proposing a novel concept of Dual-valve Heave Compensator (DHC) based on the traditional PHC framework. By modulating the hydraulic and pneumatic throttle valve openings dynamically, the DHC system facilitates adjustments extensively in damping and stiffness, significantly enhancing compensation performances. As an enhancement over traditional models, this study incorporates a coupled dynamic model that accounts for critical influencing factors, including gas temperature and nonlinear friction. A linearized equation for the dynamic stiffness of DHC has been developed based on the small deviation linearization method, extensively analysing the effects of pneumatic parameters on the stiffness characteristics. Furthermore, a design framework employing Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) design, Radial Basis Function (RBF) surrogate model, and Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II) has been specifically developed to address the multi-objective optimization challenges presented by DHC systems. The case study indicates that the optimized DHC can achieve up to 86% compensation accuracy under a 250-ton load with harmonic excitation and offers adjustments flexibly for various operational conditions. Contrary to conventional wisdom, minimal valve openings significantly enhance compensation accuracy during some intervals of irregular wave excitation. These findings confirm the superior performance and potential of DHC relative to traditional PHCs under complex marine environments.

Causes of Fish Lift Shutdowns on U.S. East Coast Hydroelectric Dams

Hydroelectric dams in the northeastern United States pose a challenge to the upstream spawning migrations of anadromous fishes, such as American Shad Alosa sapidissima, Alewife A. pseudoharengus, Blueback Herring A. aestivalis, Atlantic Salmon Salmo salar, and Sea Lamprey Petromyzon marinus. One response has been the construction and operation of fish lifts. A drawback of this solution is that fish lifts can be shut down. This study sought to determine how often fish lifts on major northeastern rivers (including lifts at the Cataract, Lockwood, and Milford dams in Maine; Holyoke Dam in Massachusetts; Scotland Dam in Connecticut; and Conowingo Dam in Maryland) shut down during their respective passage seasons and the causes for these shutdowns. We found that these lifts did not operate for 8–26% of their passage seasons, on average, with the mean season length lasting between 49 and 205 d. The causes for shutdowns were categorized as physical, mechanical, scheduling, other, or none given, with the primary cause varying among dams. Our results demonstrate an important weakness of fish lifts as a passage solution and, in turn, highlight the need for measures that limit disruptions to lifting where dam removal is not possible and strengthen the case for dam removal.

Integrating physics-based simulations with gaussian processes for enhanced safety assessment of offshore installations

Installing large floating objects during offshore operations is a challenging and failure-prone task, especially when passing through the splash zone due to extreme lifting loads on the wire and the payload. For a safe operation, it is essential to predict the peak loads on the installation system and create an early decision-making scenario for the installation vessel before starting the real operation on site. To this end, the extreme loads that can lead to unsatisfactory performance of the system must be evaluated accurately; however, the operation involves a great deal of uncertainty and physics complexity that can lead to unreliable decision-making. It is also challenging to perform numerical calculations to support ongoing marine operations, as it usually takes hours to evaluate different environmental load cases. Thus, it is essential to create an efficient prediction method associated with the environment and the corresponding response levels. In this study, a model is proposed that integrates physics-based simulations with Gaussian Processes, for estimating peak loads in lifting wires. The model offers the advantage of addressing shorter simulation times while still maintaining accuracy in predicting extreme response levels and quantifying the loads uncertainty during the operation. Bayesian Inference is used to incorporate the uncertainty, estimating hyper-parameters and predict the peak loads for various marine environmental conditions. A real case study is considered to demonstrate the application of the proposed model. The results show good agreement with the simulations obtained from time-domain dynamic analysis. The current study provide insights for both onboard and pre-planned decision-making on installation conditions, thereby enhancing predictive accuracy and improving safety in complex marine lifting operations.