Levels Of Risk Factors Research Articles

Age-stratified comparison of heart age and predicted cardiovascular risk in 370 000 primary care patients

BackgroundCardiovascular disease (CVD) preventive medications are recommended for patients at high short-term CVD risk. As most younger people with multiple raised CVD risk factors levels have low short-term risk, they...

The association between plasma levels of Sestrin2 and risk factors of cardiovascular diseases in healthy and diabetic adults: A study of Qatar Biobank data.

This study examines the association between serum Sestrin2 (SESN2) levels and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in healthy and diabetic adults, using data from the Qatar Biobank (QBB). A total of 844 participants were included, with 518 in the diabetic cohort and 326 in the healthy cohort. Clinical characteristics, cardiometabolic markers, and SESN2 levels were measured, and binomial logistic regression analyses were conducted to assess the associations between SESN2 and various health indices. Diabetic patients had significantly lower SESN2 levels compared to healthy controls (5.49 ± 5.94 vs 8.25 ± 7.57 ng/mL, P < 0.001). A significant negative correlation was observed between SESN2 and HbA1c (-0.19, P = 0.0006), insulin (-0.19, P = 0.0006), HOMA-IR (-0.17, P = 0.0024), C-peptide (-0.18, P = 0.0012), triglycerides (TG)/HDL ratio (-0.12, P = 0.0283), and the pulsatility index (PI) (-0.15, P = 0.006). In healthy individuals, higher SESN2 levels were associated with lower odds of elevated HbA1c (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.33, P = 0.00), insulin (AOR = 0.23, P = 0.00), HOMA-IR (AOR = 0.58, P = 0.06), C-peptide (AOR = 0.56, P = 0.04), and TG (AOR = 0.37, P = 0.03). In contrast, diabetic patients showed a positive correlation between SESN2 and insulin (0.15, P = 0.0005), HOMA-IR (0.11, P = 0.0106), and C-peptide (0.12, P = 0.0048). Participants in the highest SESN2 tertile had increased risks for high BMI (AOR = 1.96, P = 0.05), high TG (AOR = 1.57, P = 0.04), high NT-proBNP (AOR = 7.27, P = 0.01), and high fibrinogen (AOR = 1.92, P = 0.03). These findings suggest that while high SESN2 levels are cardioprotective in healthy individuals, they may indicate higher cellular stress in diabetics. Determining optimal SESN2 levels could help assess CVD risk, particularly in diabetic patients.

Abstract 4132341: Systematic Examination of the AHA PREVENT Equations

Background: The novel AHA Predicting Risk of CVD Events (PREVENT) equations newly incorporate predictors (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR]) and outcomes (heart failure [HF]) relevant to the novel construct of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome. Aims: We sought to characterize the intrinsic properties of the PREVENT equations by simulating different risk profiles across the age and CKM risk spectrum. Methods: We applied the PREVENT base equations to estimate 10-year predicted risk for total CVD, which includes atherosclerotic CVD and HF. First, we calculated risk estimates for a hypothetical individual varying age from 30-79 years with an average risk factor profile (mean population risk factor levels based on National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011-2020 data without diabetes, not on anti-hypertensive or statin medication, and who does not smoke). Second, we examined at which age a hypothetical individual would exceed the previously defined intermediate risk threshold ≥7.5% established by national guidelines. Lastly, we examined the differences in predicted risk with or without diabetes and/or Stage 3 CKD (defined as eGFR 44.5 mL/min/1.73m 2 ). Results: For hypothetical individuals aged 30-79 years with average risk factor levels, predicted 10-year CVD risk is shown in the figure for females (Panel A) and males (Panel B). The predicted risk would exceed the intermediate risk threshold at age 68 years if female and 63 years if male. If the individual had Stage 3 CKD, the predicted risk would exceed the intermediate risk threshold at 60 if female and 55 years if male. If the individual had diabetes, the predicted risk would exceed the intermediate risk threshold at 59 if female and 52 years if male. If both diabetes and Stage 3 CKD were present, the predicted risk would exceed the intermediate risk threshold at age 42 years if female and 35 years if male. Conclusions: The PREVENT equations enable more granular differentiation of risk among individuals with varying CKM profiles. Understanding risk estimates across the spectrum of age and CKM can support interpretability among clinicians and patients.

Abstract 4136289: Aortic Valve Calcium as a Predictor of Chronic Kidney Disease in a Multi-Ethnic Cohort: The MESA Study

Background: Aortic valve calcium (AVC) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, non-cardiovascular disease such as dementia, and all-cause mortality. Traditional atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk factors are associated with both AVC and chronic kidney disease (CKD), but whether there is an association between AVC and CKD is unknown. Objectives: To ascertain whether AVC quantified by cardiac CT scanning is independently associated with the long-term risk of incident CKD among individuals without a previous history of cardiovascular disease. Methods: We examined 6,346 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants who underwent cardiac CT scanning at Visit 1 (2000-02) and had an eGFR of ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 . AVC was quantified using the Agatston method and categorized as 0, 1-99, and ≥100. Incident CKD was defined as an eGFR &lt; 60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 accompanied with an at least 40% decline in eGFR from baseline, and/or a diagnosis of CKD and indicators of end stage renal disease extracted from hospital records using the International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival curve analyses along with multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models, adjusted for age, gender, race/ethnicity, highest level of education and traditional cardiovascular risk factors along with coronary artery calcium (CAC), lipoprotein (a) (Lp[a]), and the APOE-ε4 genotype to examine the association between AVC (categorical and log-transformed) and incident CKD. Results: Participants had a mean age 62.2±10.1 years, 53% were women, and AVC &gt;0 was present in 795 (12%) participants. During a median follow-up time of 16.9 years, 982 (15%) participants developed incident CKD. AVC examined as a continuous variable was associated with a significantly increased risk of developing CKD (per log-unit [AVC+1] HR 1.06 [95% CI: 1.02-1.10]; p = 0.005). There was a stepwise increased risk for CKD with higher AVC levels ( Figure ). Similarly, in the multivariable adjusted Cox models, participants with AVC ≥100 had a higher risk of incident CKD, compared with the AVC=0 group (HR 1.48 [95% CI: 1.15-1.89]; p = 0.002). The observed associations remained after further adjusting for CAC score ( p = 0.024), Lp (a) ( p = 0.004), and the APOE-ε4 genotype ( p = 0.004). Conclusions: In a multi-ethnic cohort of participants free of CKD at baseline, AVC was independently associated with a higher risk of incident CKD.

School Climate and School Identification as Determinants of Internet Gaming Disorder Among Chinese Adolescent Internet Gamers: Cross-Sectional Mediation Study

Abstract Background School climate and school identification are important features of the school environment and potential determinants of adolescent internet gaming disorder (IGD). Objective This novel study investigated their joint effects on IGD and related mediation mechanisms via the interpersonal factor of teacher-student relationship and the individual factors of academic stress and anxiety. Methods A large-scale cross-sectional study was conducted among adolescent internet gamers of junior, senior, and vocational middle schools in Taizhou City, China, from February to March 2022 (N=5778). Participants self-administered an anonymous, structured questionnaire in classrooms. Adjusted logistic regression and structural equation modeling (SEM) were used for data analysis. Results Among all participants, the prevalence of IGD was 8% (461/5778). The 4 school climate subscales (student-student relationship subscale: adjusted odds ratio [ORa] 0.88, 95% CI 0.85-0.91; student-staff relations subscale: ORa 0.87, 95% CI 0.84-0.90; academic emphasis subscale: ORa 0.88, 95% CI 0.85-0.91; shared values approach: ORa 0.88, 95% CI 0.85-0.90), the school identification subscale (ORa 0.85, 95% CI 0.83-0.88), and teacher-student relationship (ORa 0.80, 95% CI 0.76-0.84) were significant protective factors against IGD, while academic stress (ORa 1.18, 95% CI 1.14-1.23) and anxiety (ORa 1.16, 95% CI 1.14-1.18) were risk factors of IGD. The SEM showed that the negative associations between school climate and IGD and between school identification and IGD were mediated via (1) three 2-step paths, each involving a single mediator—teacher-student relationship, academic stress, and anxiety, respectively—and (2) two 3-step paths involving 2 mediators—teacher-student relationship and academic stress first, respectively, and then anxiety. The direct effect of school climate on IGD was statistically nonsignificant (ie, full mediation with effect size ranging from 4.2% to 20.4%), while that of school identification was statistically significant (ie, partial mediation with effect size ranging from 4.5% to 38.2%). Conclusions The relatively high prevalence of IGD among Chinese adolescents may be reduced through school-based interventions to improve school climate and school identification. Such improvements may reduce the levels of risk factors of IGD (poor teacher-student relationship, academic stress, and anxiety) and hence the risk of IGD. Future longitudinal and intervention studies are needed to confirm the findings.

Analyzing the occupational exposure risks of dental healthcare workers from the perspective of repeated occupational exposure

BackgroundHealthcare workers in dental hospitals frequently experience repeated occupational exposures (ROEs). In our study, we aim to analyze these repeated exposures among dental healthcare workers (DHWs), assess the risk levels of different risk factors, and explore the significance of ROE data for infection control in dental hospitals.MethodsBased on hospital statistical data, we categorized the occupational exposure incidents at West China Hospital of Stomatology over the past seven years into initial and repeated exposures. We analyzed the association of various risk factors, including personnel types, gender, treatment locations, timing of occupational exposure, and pathways of occupational exposure, with the occurrence of repeated exposures. The Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) 21 was used to conduct chi-square analysis and binary logistic regression analysis, with the significance level set at p < 0.05.ResultsCompared to students, hospital dentists with teaching qualifications exhibited a higher risk of ROEs. The risk of repeated exposure for dental students was 60% lower than that of hospital dentists (P = 0.003). However, gender, treatment locations, timing of occupational exposure, and pathways of occupational exposure did not significantly impact the repeated exposures among DHWs.ConclusionsOur study demonstrates that the analysis of repeated occupational exposures (ROEs) is meaningful. In our study, hospital dentists with teaching qualifications had the highest risk of ROEs, compared to dental students, hospital dental nurses, and dental nurse students. This means that among individuals who have already experienced occupational exposure, hospital dentists are more likely to experience repeated exposure. Meanwhile, gender, treatment locations, timing of occupational exposure, and pathways of occupational exposure did not have a significant impact on the occurrence of ROEs.

Profiles of Peripheral Neuropathy and Risk Factors in People With Treatment-Naive Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Prediabetes.

Diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is the most common complication of both type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) occurring in a majority of the affected people. DPN is the key initiating factor for the development of diabetic foot ulcerationand the most common cause of non-traumatic lower-limb amputations. Whether chronic hyperglycaemia per se or altered levels of intermediate conventional risk factors in these people are responsible for the increased risk of DPN, is a matter of debate. There is little data about the profile of DPN in people with treatment-naive diabetes and prediabetes in the Asian population. This study aimed to determine the frequency of early DPN among people with newly detected treatment-naive diabetes and prediabetes attending a tertiary care public hospital. The study further aimed to determine the risk factors associated with DPN and to investigate whethersuch risk factors in these people might help to explain their increased risk of peripheral neuropathy. A total of 65 consecutive people with treatment-naive T2DM with an equal number of people with prediabetes attending a tertiary care centre, diagnosed as per standard criteria, were enrolled in a non-randomised prospective study. The presence of peripheral neuropathy was assessed by the Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (MNSI). Risk factor analysis for peripheral neuropathy in both groups was carried out. Statistical significance was considered with p-values of < 0.05. A total of 13 (20%) people with newly diagnosed treatment-naive T2DM and eight (12.3%) with prediabetes had DPN (MNSI score ≥ 2.5). Age (p < 0.001), high plasma glucose/glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) (p < 0.001), BMI (p < 0.001), total cholesterol (p <0.001), albuminuria and hypertension (p < 0.001) were found to be strongly associated with early peripheral neuropathy. DPN is a frequent complication among newly diagnosed treatment-naive people with T2DM and to a lesser extent among people with prediabetes. Various anthropometric, clinical, biochemical and metabolic factors in people with hyperglycaemia could account for the increased frequency of DPN in these people.

The relationship between lung MIBG uptake and clinical response to renal denervation

Abstract Background Renal denervation (RDN) reduces the sympathetic overdrive and can optimize blood pressure control in patients with difficult-to-treat hypertension (DTH). However, a substantial proportion of patients undergoing RDN do not show a clinical response to the procedure, making it critical to identify novel and more accurate predictors. The metaiodobenzylguanidine (MIBG) scintigraphy allows non-invasive assessment of sympathetic nerve activity. Yet, studies evaluating the heart and kidney MIBG uptake as predictors of clinical response to RDN provided conflicting results, and a comprehensive evaluation of the MIBG uptake in different organs of DTH patients undergoing RDN is lacking. Purpose To explore if a more comprehensive evaluation of MBG uptake in the kidneys, heart and lungs can predict the clinical response to RDN. Methods Eighteen patients with DTH underwent evaluation of their clinical and pharmacological history, office and ambulatory BP values and levels of cardiovascular risk factors. A rest echocardiography, carotid vascular ultrasound and MIBG scintigraphy were also performed before RDN. The patient’s pharmacological history and office and ambulatory BP values were re-evaluated after 3 months from RDN. We considered responders (R) those subjects with a significant reduction of the office BP values on stable BP-lowering treatment or a reduced burden of BP-lowering medications while maintaining optimal control of the office BP. Results Ten patients could be classified as R (1 woman, mean age 49±10 years), while 7 were non-responders (NR, 2 women, mean age 53±8 years). The reduction in office systolic and diastolic BP (baseline vs 3 months) was significantly larger in R vs NR (p=0.01 for both). The burden of BP-lowering medications after the procedure was reduced by 39% in R, compared to 2% in NR (p&amp;lt;0.01). Responders had a higher baseline HR and prevalence of carotid atherosclerosis than NR (p&amp;lt;0.05 for both). In early MIBG acquisitions, the lung/mediastinum ratio on both sides showed higher MIBG uptake in R vs NR (p&amp;lt;0.05). There was a higher MIBG uptake in the right vs. left lung in the whole population and in R vs NR. In late acquisitions, only the left side showed a significant difference between R and NR (p&amp;lt;0.05). The associations between the lung/mediastinum ratio MIBG uptake and response to RDN remained significant after adjusting for the baseline clinical predictors of the RDN response. All other MIBG scintigraphy parameters were similar between groups. Conclusions Our results suggest that RDN might be less effective in patients with an advanced burden of hypertension-mediated target organ damage and confirm a higher HR as a reliable predictor of the clinical response to the procedure. We also document a novel association between the lung/mediastinum ratio MIBG uptake and response to RDN that, if confirmed in future studies, might provide a novel marker to improve the selection of patients undergoing RDN.

GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED MACHINE LEARNING MODEL FOR ADDRESSING SPATIAL HETEROGENEITY OF PUBLIC HEALTH DEVELOPMENT INDEX IN JAVA ISLAND

Random Forest (RF) machine learning models have emerged as a prominent algorithm, addressing problems arising from the sole use of decision trees, such as overfitting and instability. However, conventional RF has global coverage that may need to capture spatial variations better. Based on the analysis of the level of public health development, the relationship between the level of health development and risk factors can vary spatially. We use a modified RF algorithm called Geographically Weighted Random Forest (GW-RF) to address this challenge. GW-RF, as a tree-based non-parametric machine learning model, can help explore and visualize relationships between the Public Health Development Index (PHDI) as response variables and factors that are indicators at the district level. GW-RF output is compared with global output, which is RF in 2018 using the percentage of the population with access to clean/decent water (X1), consumption of eggs and milk per capita per week (X2), number of healthcare facilities per 1000 people (X3), number of doctors per 1000 people (X4), pure participation rate ratio female/male (X5), percentage of households that have hand washing facilities with soap and water (X6) as independent variables. Our results show that the non-parametric GW-RF model shows high potential for explaining spatial heterogeneity and predicting PHDI versus a global model when including six major risk factors. However, some of these predictions mean little. Findings of spatial heterogeneity using GW-RF show the need to consider local factors in approaches to increasing PHDI values. Spatial analysis of PHDI provides valuable information for determining geographic targets for areas whose PHDI values need to be improved.

Long-term trends of cardiometabolic risk factors in adolescents aged 14–18 years in Novosibirsk (1989–2024)

High prevalence of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the Russian population dictates the need to identify and prevent risk factors for these diseases from adolescence. Objective: to study the prevalence and long-term trends in cardiometabolic risk factors in an adolescent population sample of Novosibirsk (1989–2024).Methods. In 1989–2024, cross-sectional population studies of random representative samples of schoolchildren aged 14–18 of both sexes were conducted in Novosibirsk with an interval of 5 years. 8 screenings were conducted. A total of 5106 adolescents (43–46 % boys) were examined. Approval was received from the Local Ethics Committee of the Research Institute of Preventive and Internal Medicine – Branch of the Institute of Cytology and Genetics, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences; all children and their parents signed informed consent for the examination. The program was uniform for all screenings and included a survey using a standard questionnaire, 2-fold measurement of blood pressure, anthropometry (height, body weight, chest, waist and hip circumferences), and a biochemical blood test for lipid profile. The levels of cardiometabolic risk factors were assessed in accordance with the latest Russian and international recommendations. Statistical data processing was performed using the SPSS for Windows 13 package.Results. The prevalence of hypercholesterolemia in adolescents in Novosibirsk over 35 years decreased from 22.3 to 3.0 % in boys and from 31.8 to 10.6 % in girls (p &lt; 0.001). The highest prevalence of hypertension in adolescents was observed in 1989, then by 1994 its levels decreased and remained relatively stable until a decrease in 2014 with a subsequent increase, especially among boys, the prevalence of hypertension among whom in 2024 reached the 1989 level (17.3 % and 16.9 %, respectively). The greatest decrease in the frequency of excessive weight in adolescents relative to 1989 was observed in 1999: in boys – 2.7 times, in girls – 3.2 times. Since 2003, there has been a consistent increase in the prevalence of overweight among adolescents, primarily among boys, and by 2014 it exceeded the baseline values of the 1989 screening by 8 % in boys (21.6 versus 13.9 % (p &lt; 0.01)) and by 3 % in girls (14.3 versus 11.5 % (p = 0.05)). At subsequent screenings, the frequency of overweight remained unchanged. The frequency of smoking among adolescents of both sexes decreased almost 10-fold from 1989 to 2024: from 45 % in 1989 to 5.5 % in 2024 among boys, and from 19 % to 2% among girls (p &lt; 0.01), however, an increase in electronic smoking was noted. Over the past 5 years (2019–2024), the use of electronic cigarettes and gadgets among boys has doubled (from 6 up to 12 %) and three times among girls (from 3 to 9 %). The prevalence of reduced physical activity among adolescents remained high throughout the period, but in the last 15 years it has clearly decreased among boys (62 % in 2009 versus 37 % in 2024 (p &lt; 0.01). Since 2009, screen time has increased: from 18 hours/week in 2009 for boys and 15 for girls to 30 hours/week in 2014 and remained at the same level in 2019. In 2024, screen time of the computer decreased, but phone time increased, which in total did not exceed the figures for 2014 and 2019 (33–35 hours/ week).Conclusions. Based on population screening of adolescents conducted in Novosibirsk over 35 years, the prevalence and long-term trends of cardiometabolic risk factors (arterial hypertension, dyslipoproteinemia, overweight and obesity, smoking and low physical activity) were identified.

Level of Cardiovascular Disease Risk and Associated Factors among Clients on Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy in Vihiga County, Kenya

Context: HIV/AIDS is still a public health concern globally, especially in sub-Saharan Africa and Kenya. HIV-positive clients are initiated on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) to reduce the multiplication of HIV and improve their immunity. These clients are at an increased cardiovascular disease risk due to a complex interplay of factors, including traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as smoking cigarettes, obesity due to inactivity, and diabetes. Aim: This study sought to determine the level of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors among people living with HIV (PLHIV) on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in Vihiga County, Kenya. Methods: The study employed a cross-sectional survey design to report baseline survey data for an interventional study on the level of CVD risk factors. The study involved a systematic sample of 211 patients on HAART in six health facilities purposively selected from Vihiga County. Data was collected using the WHO STEPWISE questionnaire from six comprehensive care clinics in Vihiga County from March to July 2022. The World Health Organization-International Society of Hypertension (WHO-ISH) tool AFRI E CHART was used to estimate the cardiovascular risk. Results: The majority (96.68%) of PLWHIV on HAART in Vihiga county had low overall cardiovascular risk as predicted WHO/ISH score. Age (OR = 1.199, 95% CI [1.031, 1.394], p = 0.018) and smoking status (OR = 0.115, 95% CI [0.024, 0.558], p = 0.007) exhibited a significant association with the level of cardiovascular risk. Conclusion: The majority of PLHIV have a low estimated CVD risk. There is a need to prioritize weight management in HIV care, integrating healthy lifestyle behaviors and nutritional support while conducting regular cardiovascular risk assessments, focusing on modifiable factors like smoking. Age-specific interventions can also help mitigate the risk across the different age groups.

Changes in 10-Year Predicted Cardiovascular Disease Risk for a Multiethnic Semirural Population in South East Asia: Prospective Study.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors tend to cluster and interact multiplicatively and have been incorporated into risk equations such as the Framingham risk score, which can reasonably predict CVD over short- and long-term periods. Beyond risk factor levels at a single time point, recent evidence demonstrated that risk trajectories are differentially related to CVD risk. However, factors associated with suboptimal control or unstable CVD risk trajectories are not yet established. This study aims to examine factors associated with CVD risk trajectories in a semirural, multiethnic community-dwelling population. Data on demographic, socioeconomic, lifestyle, mental health, and cardiovascular factors were measured at baseline (2013) and during follow-up (2018) of the South East Asia Community Observatory cohort. The 10-year CVD risk change transition was computed. The trajectory patterns identified were improved; remained unchanged in low, moderate, or high CVD risk clusters; and worsened CVD risk trajectories. Multivariable regression analyses were used to examine the association between risk factors and changes in Framingham risk score and predicted CVD risk trajectory patterns with adjustments for concurrent risk factors. Of the 6599 multiethnic community-dwelling individuals (n=3954, 59.92% female participants and n=2645, 40.08% male participants; mean age 55.3, SD 10.6 years), CVD risk increased over time in 33.37% (n=2202) of the sample population, while 24.38% (n=1609 remained in the high-risk trajectory pattern, which was reflected by the increased prevalence of all major CVD risk factors over the 5-year follow-up. Meanwhile, sex-specific prevalence data indicate that 21.44% (n=567) of male and 41.35% (n=1635) of female participants experienced an increase in CVD risk. However, a stark sex difference was observed in those remaining in the high CVD risk cluster, with 45.1% (n=1193) male participants and 10.52% (n=416) female participants. Regarding specific CVD risk factors, male participants exhibited a higher percentage increase in the prevalence of hypertension, antihypertensive medication use, smoking, and obesity, while female participants showed a higher prevalence of diabetes. Further regression analyses identified that Malay compared to Chinese (P<.001) and Indian (P=.04) ethnicity, nonmarried status (P<.001), full-time employment (P<.001), and depressive symptoms (P=.04) were all significantly associated with increased CVD risk scores. In addition, lower educational levels and frequently having meals from outside were significantly associated to higher odds of both worsening and remaining in high CVD risk trajectories. Sociodemographics and mental health were found to be differently associated with CVD risk trajectories, warranting future research to disentangle the role of psychosocial disparities in CVD. Our findings carry public health implications, suggesting that the rise in major risk factors along with psychosocial disparities could potentially elevate CVD risk among individuals in underserved settings. More prevention efforts that continuously monitor CVD risk and consider changes in risk factors among vulnerable populations should be emphasized.

Heterogeneous effects of Medicaid coverage on cardiovascular risk factors: secondary analysis of randomized controlled trial

ObjectivesTo investigate whether health insurance generated improvements in cardiovascular risk factors (blood pressure and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels) for identifiable subpopulations, and using machine learning to identify characteristics of people...

Typologies of Psychiatric Diagnoses Among Inpatients with Recent Suicide Attempts

Objective Psychiatric multimorbidity is a well-documented risk factor for suicide. However, diagnostic heterogeneity and patterns of comorbidity likely exists within the population of those who attempt suicide. Person-centered statistical approaches, such as latent class analysis (LCA), extract distinguishable groups differentiated by prevalence and comorbidity of psychiatric disorders. Method The present study used LCA to identify typologies of psychiatric heterogeneity in a sample of 213 inpatients (M age = 33.04 [SD = 12.67]; 57.3% female; 62.4% White; 23.9% Hispanic/Latino) with a history of suicide attempt who were recruited for a suicide prevention clinical trial. Class differences in suicide history characteristics; demographic characteristics; and cognitive-affective and behavioral risk factors, obtained from an initial evaluation involving the administration of a semi-structured diagnostic interview, suicide risk assessment, and battery of self-report measures, were explored. Results LCA identified three classes in the best-fitting solution: Depressive-High Comorbidity (n = 68), Depressive-Low Comorbidity (n = 86), and Bipolar (n = 59). The Depressive-Low Comorbidity class reported less severe suicidal ideation (p < .001), anxiety (p < .001), stress (p < .001), unlovability beliefs (p = .006), and impulsivity (p < .001). The Depressive-Low Comorbidity class also reported fewer actual attempts than the Bipolar class (p = .001) and fewer interrupted attempts than the Depressive-High Comorbidity class (p = .004). Conclusions The Depressive-High Comorbidity and Bipolar classes consistently endorsed higher levels of suicide risk factors. These findings may help to illuminate typologies of suicide attempters with unique clinical needs, which is an essential step toward personalized medicine.

A navigational risk evaluation of ferry transport: Continuous risk management matrix based on fuzzy Best-Worst Method.

Ferry transport has witnessed numerous fatal accidents due to unsafe navigation; thus, it is of paramount importance to mitigate risks and enhance safety measures in ferry navigation. This paper aims to evaluate the navigational risk of ferry transport by a continuous risk management matrix (CRMM) based on the fuzzy Best-Worst Method (BMW). Its originalities include developing CRMM to figure out the risk level of risk factors (RFs) for ferry transport and adopting fuzzy BWM to estimate the probability and severity weights vector of RFs. Empirical results show that twenty RFs for ferry navigation are divided into four zones corresponding to their risk values, including extreme-risk, high-risk, medium-risk, and low-risk areas. Particularly, results identify three extreme-risk RFs: inadequate evacuation and emergency response features, marine traffic congestion, and insufficient training on navigational regulations. The proposed research model can provide a methodological reference to the pertinent studies regarding risk management and multiple-criteria decision analysis (MCDA).

Health impact of policies to reduce agriculture-related air pollutants in the UK: The relative contribution of change in PM2.5 exposure and diets to morbidity and mortality

Food systems can negatively impact health outcomes through unhealthy diets and indirectly through ammonia emissions originating from agricultural production, which contribute to air pollution and consequently cardiovascular and respiratory health outcomes. In the UK, ammonia emissions from agriculture have not declined in the same way as other air pollutants in recent years. We applied a novel integrated modelling framework to assess the health impacts from six ammonia reduction scenarios to 2030: two agriculture scenarios – a “Current trends” scenario projecting current mitigation measures to reflect a low ambition future, and “High ambition mitigation” based on measures included in the Climate Change Committee's Balanced Pathway to Net Zero; three dietary scenarios – a “Business as usual” based on past trajectories, “Fiscal” applying 20% tax on meat and dairy and 20% subsidy on fruit and vegetables, and “Innovation” applying a 30% switch to plant-based alternatives; one combination of “High ambition mitigation” and “Innovation”. Compared to “Current trends”, the “High ambition mitigation” scenario would result in a reduction in premature mortality of 13,000, increase life years by 90,000 and reduce incidence of respiratory diseases by 270,000 cases over a 30 year period. Compared to Business as Usual, the dietary scenarios would reduce the number of premature deaths by 65,000 and 550,000–600,000 life years gained over 30 years, with most of the benefits gained by reducing ischemic heart disease (incidence reduction: 190,000). The “High ambition combination” would lead to 67,000 deaths averted, 536,000 incidence reductions and 650,000 life-years gained. For all scenarios, older age groups and those living in lower income households would experience the greatest benefits, because of higher underlying mortality rates or higher levels of risk factors. Our study shows that combining mitigation policies targeting agricultural production systems with diet-related policies would lead to significant reductions in emissions and improvement in health outcomes.

Evaluation of secondary prevention of noncommunicable diseases at the outpatient healthcare level in the Commonwealth of Independent States countries

Aim. To conduct a survey among doctors in 4 countries of the Com­mon­wealth of Independent States (CIS) to assess the effectiveness of se­condary prevention of noncommunicable diseases in outpatient health­care.Material and methods. Outpatient healthcare physicians from 6 cities in 4 neighboring countries participated in the cross-sectional study. A total of 210 physicians of the internal medicine profile took part in the survey: Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan) — 42 physicians, Minsk (Belarus) — 37 physicians, Astana, Shymkent, Aktobe (Kazakhstan) — 55, 30, 10 physicians, respectively, Baku (Azerbaijan) — 36 physicians. The survey was carried out using an original questionnaire of the National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, which consisted of 11 blocks of questions. Answers in several gradations were offered for each question.Results. In 3 countries, among men who sought primary care in health care institutions, patients in the age range of 50-59 years prevailed, while in Azerbaijan, men aged 60-65 years dominated. In the CIS countries, patients most often seek medical attention at a outpatient clinic due to chronic coronary artery disease. In Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Belarus, the number of patients with type 2 diabetes with or without complications is &gt;20%. Doctors in large cities of the CIS countries do not recommend non-drug treatment methods in up to 10% of cases. Subsidized pharmaceutical provision varies slightly between the analyzed cities. In Kazakhstan and Belarus, 70% of doctors note reaching 75% of the target indicators. In Kyrgyzstan and Azerbaijan, a similar level is achieved 2-3 times less often. In Kazakhstan, Belarus and Kyrgyzstan, a relatively high frequency is noted (satisfaction in 75% of cases), while Azerbaijani doctors claim that 52% are dissatisfied and 44% are partially satisfied with the interaction with specialized hospital-based doctors. In Azerbaijan and Belarus, 75% staffing of outpatient doctors in medical and preventive institutions prevails. In Kyrgyzstan, 100% staffing is detected in 84% of cases. At the same time, in Kazakhstan, 50% and 75% staffing has a comparable frequency. In these countries, a similar picture is observed in terms of provision of mid-level outpatient health workers.Conclusion. Among patients with noncommunicable diseases ob­served in outpatient clinics, patients with coronary heart disease and type 2 diabetes predominate. Adherence to therapy in every second case is at an insufficient level. Coverage of subsidized drugs and achievement of target levels of the main risk factors among patients is on average 60% of cases. In 3 of the 4 analyzed CIS countries, there are problems with staffing with doctors and medical staff.

Potential and limitations of secondary prevention of noncommunicable diseases: data from a survey of Russian outpatient physicians

Aim. To identify potential and limitations of secondary prevention of noncommunicable diseases in outpatient clinics of various Russian cities.Material and methods. Outpatient physicians from 16 Russian cities took part in the cross-sectional study. A total of 545 general practitioners took part in the survey. The survey was carried out using a previously prepared questionnaire at the National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine. It consisted of 11 blocks of questions, including sex and age characteristics, the prevalence of various diseases, adherence to therapy, preferential provision of medications, consultation assistance by hospital-based physicians and coverage of doctors and nursing staff. Answers were offered in several gradations to each question. Depending on the population, cities were divided into 4 following subgroups: population &gt;2 million people (Moscow and St. Petersburg), population of 1-2 million people (Samara, Rostov-onDon, Krasnodar, Krasnoyarsk, Omsk), population of 0,4-1 million people (Vladivostok, Ulyanovsk, Penza, Kursk, Kirov, Tomsk) and population &lt;400 thousand people (Nalchik, Saransk, Ivanovo).Results. In all Russian cities, among men visited a clinic, 37% were people in the age range of 50-60 years. Second place was taken by men aged 60-65 years (30%). Most often, patients present with chronic coronary artery disease (39%), followed by type 2 diabetes (22,6%). Patients present with symptoms of heart failure in 17,7% of cases. Cancer account for 11,5% in the structure of visits. A similar frequency was found for chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (9,2%). Every third patient is partially adherent to drug correction; partial non-adherence is detected 2 times less, while complete nonadherence is &lt;3%. On average, 67% of doctors from different cities declare 75% achievement of target levels of risk factors, while one in five declare 50% achievement of recommended indicators. In most cases, physicians report minor problems during hospitalization. Every fifth doctor reported no problems, while every tenth respondent noted difficulties in hospitalizing patients. In every second case, partial staffing is noted. Moreover, a comparable trend is observed among doctors and nursing staff. In megacities and small towns the situation is somewhat better compared to cities with a population of 0,4 to 2 million.Conclusion. To optimize the secondary prevention of noncommunicable diseases, a number of measures at the outpatient healthcare level should be taken. This includes educational work on adherence to drug and non-drug treatment correction, expanding coverage of preferential medication provision, improving interaction with hospitalbased doctors and coverage of doctors and nursing staff.

American Association for Thoracic Surgery Quality Gateway: A surgeon case study of its application in adult cardiac surgery for quality assurance

ObjectiveTo demonstrate the application of American Association for Thoracic Surgery Quality Gateway (AQG) outcomes models to a Surgeon Case Study of quality assurance in adult cardiac surgery. MethodsThe case study includes 6989 cardiac and thoracic aorta operations performed in adults at Cleveland Clinic by a single surgeon between 2001 and 2023. AQG models were used to predict expected probabilities for operative mortality and major morbidity and to compare hospital outcomes, surgery type, risk profile, and individual risk factor levels using virtual (digital) twin causal inference. These models were based on postoperative procedural outcomes after 52,792 cardiac operations performed in 19 hospitals of 3 high-performing hospital systems with overall hospital mortality of 2.0%, analyzed by advanced machine learning for rare events. ResultsFor individual surgeons, their patients, hospitals, and hospital systems, the Surgeon Case Study demonstrated that AQG provides expected outcomes across the entire spectrum of cardiac surgery, from single-component primary operations to complex multicomponent reoperations. Actionable opportunities for quality improvement based on virtual twins are illustrated for patients, surgeons, hospitals, risk profile groups, operations, and risk factors vis-à-vis other hospitals. ConclusionsUsing minimal data collection and models developed using advanced machine learning, this case study shows that probabilities can be generated for operative mortality and major morbidity after virtually all adult cardiac operations. It demonstrates the utility of 21st century causal inference (virtual [digital] twin) tools for assessing quality for surgeons asking “how am I doing?,” their patients asking “what are my chances?,” and the profession asking “how can we get better?”

Binge drinking and progression of white matter hyperintensities of presumed vascular origin in older men

BackgroundInformation on trajectories of diffuse subcortical brain damage of vascular origin associated with binge drinking in older adults is limited. We sought to evaluate the impact of this drinking pattern on the progression of white matter hyperintensities (WMH) of presumed vascular origin in individuals aged ≥60 years taken from the community. MethodsFollowing a longitudinal prospective design, participants of the Atahualpa Project Cohort received interviews to assess patterns of alcohol intake as well as baseline and follow-up brain MRIs. Only men were included because alcohol consumption in women is negligible and tend not to engage in binge drinking in our studied population. Poisson regression models were fitted to assess the incidence rate ratio of WMH progression by patterns of alcohol use (binge drinking or not), after adjusting for demographics, level of education and cardiovascular risk factors. ResultsThe study included 114 men aged ≥60 years (mean age: 65.1±5.4 years). Thirty-seven participants (32%) reported binge drinking for more than 30 years. Follow-up MRIs revealed WMH progression in 45 participants (39%) after a median of 7.2 years. In unadjusted analysis, the risk of WMH progression among individuals with binge drinking was 2.08 (95% C.I.: 1.16–3.73). After adjustment for age, education level and vascular risk factors, participants with this drinking pattern were 2.75 times (95% C.I.: 1.42–5.30) more likely to have WMH progression than those who did not. ConclusionsStudy results show an independent association between binge drinking and WMH progression in community-dwelling older men.