Largest Risk Reduction Research Articles

Statins in the Cause and Prevention of Cancer: Confounding by Indication and Mediation by Rhabdomyolysis and Phosphate Toxicity.

Statins are drugs used in cardiovascular pharmacotherapy to decrease hypercholesterolemia and lower the risk of atherosclerosis. Statins also increase the risk of rhabdomyolysis, which is often minimized in comparison with large relative risk reductions of cardiovascular disease reported in clinical trials. By contrast, absolute risk reductions of cardiovascular disease are often clinically insignificant and unreported in statin clinical trials. Additionally, cytotoxic effects of statins inhibit cancer cell proliferation and reduce cancer risk, but other studies found that statins are carcinogenic. Due to an inverse association between incidence of cancer and atherosclerosis, the indication to prescribe statins likely biases the association of statins with cancer prevention. Dietary patterns associated with atherosclerosis and cancer contain inverse amounts of cholesterol and phosphate, an essential mineral that stimulates tumorigenesis. Accordingly, lower cancer risk is associated with high dietary cholesterol intake and increased risk of atherosclerosis. Furthermore, serum is exposed to excessive inorganic phosphate that could increase cancer risk as rhabdomyolysis induced by statins releases phosphate from skeletal muscle breakdown. Increased risk of comorbid conditions associated with statins may share the mediating factor of phosphate toxicity. More research is warranted on statins in the cause and prevention of cancer.

Impact of the medical fitness model on long term health outcomes in older adults

BackgroundPhysical inactivity is common among older adults and is associated with poor health outcomes. Medical fitness facilities provide a medically focused approach to physical fitness and can improve physical activity in their communities. This study aimed to assess the relationship between membership in the medical fitness model and all-cause mortality, health care utilization, and major adverse cardiac events in older adults.MethodsA propensity weighted retrospective cohort study linked individuals that attended medical fitness facilities to provincial health administrative databases. Older adults who had at least 1 year of health coverage from their index date between January 1st, 2005 to December 31st 2015 were included. Controls were assigned a pseudo-index date at random based on the frequency distribution of index dates in members. Members were stratified into low frequency attenders (< 1 Weekly Visits) and regular frequency attenders (> 1 Weekly Visits). Time to event models estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) for risk of all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiac event. Negative binomial models estimated the risk ratios (RRs) for risk of hospitalizations, outpatient primary care visits and emergency department visits.ResultsAmong 3,029 older adult members and 91,734 controls, members had a 45% lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.50 – 0.61), 20% lower risk of hospitalizations (RR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.75 – 0.84), and a 27% (HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.66 – 0.77), lower risk of a major adverse cardiovascular event. A dose–response effect with larger risk reductions was associated with more frequent attendance as regular frequency attenders were 4% more likely to visit a general practitioner for a routine healthcare visit (RR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01 – 1.07), but 23% less likely to visit the emergency department (RR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.82 – 0.92).ConclusionsMembership at a medical fitness facility was associated with a decreased risk of mortality, health care utilization and cardiovascular events. The medical fitness model may be an alternative approach for public health strategies to promote positive health behaviors in older adult populations.

Screening embryos for polygenic disease risk: a review of epidemiological, clinical, and ethical considerations.

The genetic composition of embryos generated by in vitro fertilization (IVF) can be examined with preimplantation genetic testing (PGT). Until recently, PGT was limited to detecting single-gene, high-risk pathogenic variants, large structural variants, and aneuploidy. Recent advances have made genome-wide genotyping of IVF embryos feasible and affordable, raising the possibility of screening embryos for their risk of polygenic diseases such as breast cancer, hypertension, diabetes, or schizophrenia. Despite a heated debate around this new technology, called polygenic embryo screening (PES; also PGT-P), it is already available to IVF patients in some countries. Several articles have studied epidemiological, clinical, and ethical perspectives on PES; however, a comprehensive, principled review of this emerging field is missing. This review has four main goals. First, given the interdisciplinary nature of PES studies, we aim to provide a self-contained educational background about PES to reproductive specialists interested in the subject. Second, we provide a comprehensive and critical review of arguments for and against the introduction of PES, crystallizing and prioritizing the key issues. We also cover the attitudes of IVF patients, clinicians, and the public towards PES. Third, we distinguish between possible future groups of PES patients, highlighting the benefits and harms pertaining to each group. Finally, our review, which is supported by ESHRE, is intended to aid healthcare professionals and policymakers in decision-making regarding whether to introduce PES in the clinic, and if so, how, and to whom. We searched for PubMed-indexed articles published between 1/1/2003 and 1/3/2024 using the terms 'polygenic embryo screening', 'polygenic preimplantation', and 'PGT-P'. We limited the review to primary research papers in English whose main focus was PES for medical conditions. We also included papers that did not appear in the search but were deemed relevant. The main theoretical benefit of PES is a reduction in lifetime polygenic disease risk for children born after screening. The magnitude of the risk reduction has been predicted based on statistical modelling, simulations, and sibling pair analyses. Results based on all methods suggest that under the best-case scenario, large relative risk reductions are possible for one or more diseases. However, as these models abstract several practical limitations, the realized benefits may be smaller, particularly due to a limited number of embryos and unclear future accuracy of the risk estimates. PES may negatively impact patients and their future children, as well as society. The main personal harms are an unindicated IVF treatment, a possible reduction in IVF success rates, and patient confusion, incomplete counselling, and choice overload. The main possible societal harms include discarded embryos, an increasing demand for 'designer babies', overemphasis of the genetic determinants of disease, unequal access, and lower utility in people of non-European ancestries. Benefits and harms will vary across the main potential patient groups, comprising patients already requiring IVF, fertile people with a history of a severe polygenic disease, and fertile healthy people. In the United States, the attitudes of IVF patients and the public towards PES seem positive, while healthcare professionals are cautious, sceptical about clinical utility, and concerned about patient counselling. The theoretical potential of PES to reduce risk across multiple polygenic diseases requires further research into its benefits and harms. Given the large number of practical limitations and possible harms, particularly unnecessary IVF treatments and discarded viable embryos, PES should be offered only within a research context before further clarity is achieved regarding its balance of benefits and harms. The gap in attitudes between healthcare professionals and the public needs to be narrowed by expanding public and patient education and providing resources for informative and unbiased genetic counselling.

Abstract PS09-04: The benefit of adjuvant pertuzumab and trastuzumab according to estrogen receptor and HER2 expression: sub-analysis of the APHINITY trial

Abstract Background: Some studies suggest that response to HER2-targeting agents may differ according to estrogen receptor (ER) and HER2 expression levels. This study aimed to investigate the magnitude of benefit from the addition of pertuzumab to trastuzumab and chemotherapy according to ER and HER2 expression levels in the APHINITY trial. Methods: APHINITY (NCT01358877; BIG 4-11) was a randomized, double-blind, phase III study comparing the addition of pertuzumab or placebo to adjuvant trastuzumab and chemotherapy in an ITT population of 4804 patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer. The primary objective of this exploratory, unplanned analysis was to compare whether the addition of pertuzumab to trastuzumab had an impact in invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) within different subgroups defined by HER2 FISH amplification ratio and/or ER percentage of positivity on immunohistochemistry (IHC) (centrally assessed). Patients with a FISH ratio less than 2 were excluded from this analysis, leaving 4782 patients. IDFS was defined as the time from randomization until the date of the first occurrence of an IDFS event. HER2 FISH amplification ratio was categorized as low (2≤ FISH ratio &amp;lt; 5) vs. high (FISH ratio ≥5). ER expression on IHC was categorized as negative ( &amp;lt; 1%) vs. positive (≥1%). A subgroup analysis using Cox proportional hazards regression models was used to model IDFS, assessing four categories formed by cross classifying the FISH ratio and ER groups. The model was adjusted for randomized arm, adjuvant chemotherapy regimen received, and a combined variable of nodal status and protocol version. Results: The 4782 patients had a median age of 51 years old (IQR 44-59), with a median follow up time of 73.6 months (IQR 63.0-75.2). Most patients received an anthracycline-based chemotherapy (n=3712, 77.6%). ER expression was positive in 3047 patients (63.7%). HER2 FISH amplification ratio was high in 2479 patients (51.8%). All FISH ratio/ER subgroups seem to derive IDFS benefit from the addition of pertuzumab (HR &amp;lt; 1) (Table 1). The HER2 FISH ratio-low/ER positive subgroup had the largest reduction in risk of an IDFS event, 30% for the pertuzumab arm (HR=0.70, 95% CI 0.51-0.95) versus placebo. Smaller differences in IDFS events were observed between the treatment arms in the other subgroups. The subgroup of tumors with HER2 FISH ratio-high/ER-negative expression showed the numerically smallest benefit in IDFS events with the addition of pertuzumab (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.59-1.25), see Table 1. Conclusions: In this APHINITY sub-analysis, patients treated with pertuzumab/trastuzumab derive similar benefit regardless of ER and HER2 expression levels. More research is needed to find predictive biomarkers to escalate or de-escalate treatments. Table 1. Abbreviations: FISH: fluorescence in situ hybridization, ER: estrogen receptor; IDFS: invasive disease-free survival; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio Citation Format: Evandro de Azambuja, Elisa Agostinetto, Faye Samy, Serena Di Cosimo, Philippe Aftimos, Noam Pondé, Daniel Eiger, Matteo Lambertini, David Cameron, Astrid Kiermaier, Andrew Bailey, Giuseppe Viale, Sherene Loi, Martine Piccart. The benefit of adjuvant pertuzumab and trastuzumab according to estrogen receptor and HER2 expression: sub-analysis of the APHINITY trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PS09-04.

Weight training and risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease and cancer mortality among older adults.

While previous studies indicate muscle-strengthening exercises may reduce mortality risk, further research is needed to increase certainty of the evidence. We investigated overall and dose-response associations between weight training and the risks of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer mortality in a large cohort of older adults with long follow-up time and a large number of deaths. We also investigated the joint associations of weight training and aerobic exercise with mortality risk. Weight training was assessed via self-report in 2004-05 in the National Institutes of Health-American Association of Retired Persons (NIH-AARP) Diet and Health Study (USA; n = 216 339), with follow-up to 2019. Cox regression estimated the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the associations between weight training and mortality, after adjusting for confounders including aerobic exercise. Around 25% of participants [mean age = 69.9 years (standard deviation = 5.4), 58% men] reported engaging in weight training over the past year, and there were 79 107 (37%) deaths. Engaging in any weight training (vs none) was associated with lower risks of all-cause (HR = 0.94; 95% CI = 0.93-0.96), CVD (HR = 0.92; 95% CI = 0.90-0.95) and cancer mortality (HR = 0.95; 95% CI = 0.92-0.98). More time spent in weight training was associated with only marginally greater risk reductions. Larger risk reductions were observed among women than men. Performing both aerobic exercise and weight training conferred the greatest mortality risk reduction; weight training was not associated with mortality risk among participants who did no aerobic exercise. Performing any amount of weight training lowered mortality risk.

Association of cardiovascular disease management drugs with Lewy body dementia: a case-control study.

Lewy body dementia is the second most common neurodegenerative dementia after Alzheimer's disease. Disease-modifying therapies for this disabling neuropsychiatric condition are critically needed. To identify drugs associated with the risk of developing Lewy body dementia, we performed a population-based case-control study of 148 170 US Medicare participants diagnosed with Lewy body dementia between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2014 and of 1 253 043 frequency-matched controls. We estimated odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association of Lewy body dementia risk with 1017 prescription drugs overall and separately for the three major racial groups (Black, Hispanic and White Americans). We identified significantly reduced Lewy body dementia risk associated with drugs used to treat cardiovascular diseases (anti-hypertensives: odds ratio = 0.72, 95% confidence interval = 0.70-0.74, P-value = 0; cholesterol-lowering agents: odds ratio = 0.85, 95% confidence interval = 0.83-0.87, P-value = 0; anti-diabetics: odds ratio = 0.83, 95% confidence interval = 0.62-0.72, P-value = 0). Notably, anti-diabetic medications were associated with a larger risk reduction among Black Lewy body dementia patients compared with other racial groups (Black: odds ratio = 0.67, 95% confidence interval = 0.62-0.72, P-value = 0; Hispanic: odds ratio = 0.86, 95% = 0.80-0.92, P-value = 5.16 × 10-5; White: odds ratio = 0.85, 95% confidence interval = 0.82-0.88, P-value = 0). To independently confirm the epidemiological findings, we looked for evidence of genetic overlap between Lewy body dementia and cardiovascular traits using whole-genome sequence data generated for 2591 Lewy body dementia patients and 4027 controls. Bivariate mixed modelling identified shared genetic risk between Lewy body dementia and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, Type 2 diabetes and hypertension. By combining epidemiological and genomic data, we demonstrated that drugs treating cardiovascular diseases are associated with reduced Lewy body dementia risk, and these associations varied across racial groups. Future randomized clinical trials need to confirm our findings, but our data suggest that assiduous management of cardiovascular diseases may be beneficial in this understudied form of dementia.

Abstract 12542: Effectiveness of Icosapent Ethyl on First and Total Cardiovascular Events in the Metabolic Syndrome: REDUCE-IT MetSyn

Introduction: The Metabolic Syndrome (MetSyn) is associated with persistently high risk of cardiovascular (CV) events despite statin treatment. Methods: REDUCE-IT was a multinational, double-blind trial that randomized 8179 high CV risk statin-treated patients with controlled low density lipoprotein cholesterol, and elevated triglycerides, to icosapent ethyl (IPE) 4 grams/day or placebo. In the overall trial, IPE reduced the risk of the primary composite endpoint (CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, coronary revascularization or hospitalization for unstable angina) and the key secondary composite endpoint (CV death, nonfatal myocardial infarction or nonfatal stroke). Here we examine the prespecified patient subgroup with a history of MetSyn, but without diabetes at baseline. Results: Compared with placebo, IPE use in patients with MetSyn at baseline (n=2866) was associated with a 29% relative risk reduction for the primary composite endpoint (hazard ratio [HR], 0.71 [95% CI, 0.59-0.84]; P &lt;0.0001, absolute risk reduction [ARR]=5.9%; number needed to treat [NNT]=17) and 41% reduction in total (first plus subsequent) events (rate ratio [RR], 0.59 [95% CI, 0.48-0.72]; P &lt;0.0001) (Figure 1). The risk for the key secondary composite endpoint was reduced by 20% (P=0.05) with a 27% reduction in fatal/nonfatal MI (P=0.03), 47% reduction in urgent/emergent revascularization (P &lt;0.0001) and 58% reduction in hospitalization for unstable angina (P &lt;0.0001). Non-statistically significant reductions were observed in fatal/nonfatal stroke (27%), cardiac arrest (44%) and sudden cardiac death (34%). Conclusions: In statin-treated patients, the addition of IPE significantly reduced the risk of first and total CV events in REDUCE-IT patients with a history of MetSyn. The large relative and absolute risk reductions observed support IPE as a therapeutic consideration for high CV risk patients with MetSyn.

ESG shareholder engagement and downside risk

Abstract We show that engagement on environmental, social, and governance issues can benefit shareholders by reducing firms’ downside risks. We find that the risk reductions (measured using value at risk [VaR] and lower partial moments) vary across engagement types and success rates. Engagement is most effective in lowering downside risk when addressing environmental topics (primarily climate change). Further, targets with large downside risk reductions exhibit a decrease in environmental incidents after the engagement. We estimate that the VaR of engagement targets decreases by 9 percent of the standard deviation after successful engagements, relative to control firms.

Heart rate during sleep in PTSD patients: Moderation by contact with a service dog

There is growing interest in the potential health benefits of dog ownership in both the lay and scientific communities. Large reductions in risk for cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in dog owners relative to non-owners have been observed in epidemiological samples. Persons diagnosed with posttraumatic stress disorder exhibit elevated risk for cardiovascular disease. The current study tested a sample of 45 U.S. military veterans with deployment-related posttraumatic stress disorder employing an intensive, longitudinal, within-subjects design contrasting sleep heart rate on nights with and without a service dog. As participants were engaged in residential psychiatric treatment, sleep opportunities, waking activities, meals, and medications, were consistently scheduled. The primary recording methodology, mattress actigraphy, enabled passive quantification of heart rate over a total sample of 1097 nights. Service dog contact was associated with reduced sleep heart rate especially in participants with more severe PTSD. Longer-term longitudinal studies will be needed to assess the durability and asymptotic magnitude of this effect. An unexpected effect of nights in study was associated with increased heart rate consistent with hospitalization-associated deconditioning.

Interventions to Reduce Severe Brain Injury Risk in Preterm Neonates

Interventions to reduce severe brain injury risk are the prime focus in neonatal clinical trials. To evaluate multiple perinatal interventions across clinical settings for reducing the risk of severe intraventricular hemorrhage (sIVH) and cystic periventricular leukomalacia (cPVL) in preterm neonates. MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials), and CINAHL (Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature) databases were searched from inception until September 8, 2022, using prespecified search terms and no language restrictions. Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) that evaluated perinatal interventions, chosen a priori, and reported 1 or more outcomes (sIVH, cPVL, and severe brain injury) were included. Two co-authors independently extracted the data, assessed the quality of the trials, and evaluated the certainty of the evidence using the Cochrane GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) approach. Fixed-effects pairwise meta-analysis was used for data synthesis. The 3 prespecified outcomes were sIVH, cPVL, and severe brain injury. A total of 221 RCTs that assessed 44 perinatal interventions (6 antenatal, 6 delivery room, and 32 neonatal) were included. Meta-analysis showed with moderate certainty that antenatal corticosteroids were associated with small reduction in sIVH risk (risk ratio [RR], 0.54 [95% CI, 0.35-0.82]; absolute risk difference [ARD], -1% [95% CI, -2% to 0%]; number needed to treat [NNT], 80 [95% CI, 48-232]), whereas indomethacin prophylaxis was associated with moderate reduction in sIVH risk (RR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.52-0.79]; ARD, -5% [95% CI, -8% to -3%]; NNT, 20 [95% CI, 13-39]). Similarly, the meta-analysis showed with low certainty that volume-targeted ventilation was associated with large reduction in risk of sIVH (RR, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.36-0.72]; ARD, -9% [95% CI, -13% to -5%]; NNT, 11 [95% CI, 7-23]). Additionally, early erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (RR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.57-0.83]; ARD, -3% [95% CI, -4% to -1%]; NNT, 34 [95% CI, 22-67]) and prophylactic ethamsylate (RR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.48-0.97]; ARD, -4% [95% CI, -7% to 0%]; NNT, 26 [95% CI, 13-372]) were associated with moderate reduction in sIVH risk (low certainty). The meta-analysis also showed with low certainty that compared with delayed cord clamping, umbilical cord milking was associated with a moderate increase in sIVH risk (RR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.03-3.21]; ARD, 3% [95% CI, 0%-6%]; NNT, -30 [95% CI, -368 to -16]). Results of this study suggest that a few interventions, including antenatal corticosteroids and indomethacin prophylaxis, were associated with reduction in sIVH risk (moderate certainty), and volume-targeted ventilation, early erythropoiesis-stimulating agents, and prophylactic ethamsylate were associated with reduction in sIVH risk (low certainty) in preterm neonates. However, clinicians should carefully consider all of the critical factors that may affect applicability in these interventions, including certainty of the evidence, before applying them to clinical practice.

Race and Ethnicity, Stage-Specific Mortality, and Cancer Treatment in Esophageal and Gastric Cancers: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (2000–2018)

Race and Ethnicity, Stage-Specific Mortality, and Cancer Treatment in Esophageal and Gastric Cancers: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (2000–2018)

Rare missense variant (R251G) on APOE counterbalances the Alzheimer’s disease risk associated with APOE‐ε4

AbstractBackgroundDespite decades of research, the mechanisms linking APOE to Alzheimer’s disease (AD) remain poorly understood. Finding additional risk variants at the APOE locus, beyond the common APOE‐ε2 and APOE‐ε4 alleles, may help elucidate how APOE is involved in the disease.MethodAssociation with case‐control status was tested in a sequenced discovery sample (Stage 1) and followed‐up in several microarray imputed cohorts as well as the UK Biobank whole‐exome sequencing resource using a proxy‐AD phenotype (Stages 2+3) (Table 1). Stage 1 included 37,409 non‐unique participants of European or Admixed‐European ancestry, with 11,868 cases and 11,934 controls passing analysis inclusion criteria. In Stages 2+3, 475,473 participants were considered across 8 cohorts, of which 56,029 cases, 28,484 proxy‐AD cases, and 328,372 healthy‐controls passed inclusion criteria, and were of European ancestry.ResultTwo missense variants were associated with a two to three‐fold decreased AD risk: R251G (odds ratio, 0.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33‐0.59; P = 4.7×10‐8) and V236E (odds ratio, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.25‐0.56; P = 1.9×10‐6) (Table 2, Figures 1, 2). Additionally, the cumulative incidence of AD in carriers of these variants was found to grow more slowly with age compared to non‐carriers (Table 3).ConclusionWe identified a novel variant associated with AD, R251G, which mitigates the ε4 associated AD risk, and confirmed the protective effect of the V236E variant. The location of the variants confirms that the carboxyl‐terminal portion of apoE plays an important role in AD pathogenesis. The large risk reductions reported here, suggest that protein chemistry and functional assays of these variants have the potential to identify novel pathways for drug development.

Evaluation of a non-pharmacological interdisciplinary pain rehabilitation and functional restoration program for chronic pain in veterans.

To conduct a quality improvement evaluation of the Empower Veterans Program (EVP), an interdisciplinary pain rehabilitation/functional restoration program option for functional restoration for high-impact chronic pain, offered in a large metro-area Veterans Health Administration (VHA) system. VHA Corporate Data Warehouse electronic medical record data for patients treated by EVP between 2015 and 2019. This retrospective design first compared EVP patients considered engaged or not engaged in completing treatment in terms of demographic characteristics and post-treatment changes in clinical measures related to opioid use and mental health. We then compared mortality risk between matched groups of treated and untreated patients with chronic pain and concurrent opioid prescriptions using propensity score matching and Cox proportional hazards methods. "Treated" in the matched groups was defined as any level of EVP participation (i.e., both engaged and not engaged). We first identified 1053 EVP patients with 1year of pre-and post-treatment follow-time and determined their engagement level. From those with chronic pain and prescription opioids, we matched 237 EVP patients to 375 untreated patients. Engaged patients (57.4% of treated patients), were somewhat older than the non-engaged (mean age 57.1 vs. 53.7, Cohen's D=0.30), and achieved lower mean PHQ9 depression scores in the post-treatment year (9.2 vs. 10.6, Cohen's D=0.20). Participation in EVP was associated with a 65% lower mortality risk among Veterans with chronic pain and opioid use when compared to the untreated patients: (HR: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.17, 0.75). EVP was associated with a large reduction in mortality risk for Veterans with both chronic pain and opioid use. This result could inform the decision process in a VA station or region when considering providing or expanding access to an interdisciplinary rehabilitation/functional restoration program for chronic pain.

Effects of dapagliflozin on cardiovascular and kidney events by baseline eGFR and UACR in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a patient-level pooled analysis of DECLARE-TIMI 58 and DAPA-CKD trials

Abstract Background The sodium glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor dapagliflozin reduced the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) or cardiovascular death (CVD) and the risk of kidney events in patients type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and high cardiovascular risk or chronic kidney disease in the DECLARE-TIMI 58 and DAPA-CKD trials. These events are more common at lower levels of kidney function. Combining data from the two trials creates an opportunity to examine the effect of dapagliflozin across the spectrum of baseline kidney function. Purpose To determine the effects of dapagliflozin on HHF/CVD and kidney endpoints across a broad range of kidney function in the combined dataset. Methods We conducted a post hoc analysis of pooled patient-level data from DECLARE and DAPA-CKD. The effects of dapagliflozin compared with placebo on HHF/CVD and kidney endpoints (defined as sustained eGFR decrease ≥40%, end-stage kidney disease, or renal death) were assessed in the combined cohorts and in subgroups of baseline eGFR (&amp;lt;45, 45-&amp;lt;60, 60-&amp;lt;90, ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2) and urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (UACR) (&amp;lt;30, 30-&amp;lt;300, 300-&amp;lt;1000, ≥1000 mg/g). Results A total of 19,748 patients with T2DM were included. Median (IQR) follow up time was 4.1 (3.7–4.4) years. Median eGFR was 85 (65–95) mL/min/1.73 m2 and UACR 18.2 (7–135) mg/g. Overall, dapagliflozin reduced the risk of HHF/CVD by 18% (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.73–0.92, p&amp;lt;0.001) and kidney endpoints by 40% (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.52–0.69, p&amp;lt;0.001). Overall rates of HHF/CVD and kidney endpoints were higher with lower eGFR (p&amp;lt;0.001) and with higher UACR (p&amp;lt;0.001). There were consistent relative risk reductions in HHF/CVD and kidney events with dapagliflozin across eGFR (p-interaction 0.25 and 0.32, respectively, Figure 1) and UACR (p-interaction 0.29 and 0.83, respectively, Figure 2) subgroups. The absolute rate difference (ARD) with dapagliflozin for CVD/HHF ranged from 0.1 events per 1000 patient years in patients in normal categories of eGFR and UACR to 1.0–1.7 events in patients in the most abnormal categories. Likewise, the ARD for kidney events ranged from 0.2 events per 1000 patient years in the normal eGFR and UACR groups to 2.5–4.3 events in patients in the most abnormal categories. Conclusion In this pooled analysis of pts with T2DM, there was higher risk of HHF/CVD and kidney events with lower eGFR and higher UACR. Dapagliflozin consistently reduced these events regardless of baseline eGFR and UACR, with large absolute risk reductions in patients with lower eGFR and higher UACR. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

Association of Leisure Time Physical Activity Types and Risks of All-Cause, Cardiovascular, and Cancer Mortality Among Older Adults

Higher amounts of physical activity are associated with increased longevity. However, whether different leisure time physical activity types are differentially associated with mortality risk is not established. To examine whether participation in equivalent amounts of physical activity (7.5 to <15 metabolic equivalent of task [MET] hours per week) through different activity types is associated with mortality risk and to investigate the shape of the dose-response association. Participants in this cohort were respondents from the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study who completed the follow-up questionnaire between 2004 and 2005. This questionnaire collected data on weekly durations of different types of physical activities. Mortality was ascertained through December 31, 2019. MET hours per week spent participating in the following activities: running, cycling, swimming, other aerobic exercise, racquet sports, golf, and walking for exercise. All-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality. Separate multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models were fitted to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of mortality for each of the 7 types of leisure time physical activities, as well as the sum of these activities. A total of 272 550 participants (157 415 men [58%]; mean [SD] age at baseline, 70.5 [5.4] years [range, 59-82 years]) provided information on types of leisure time activity, and 118 153 (43%) died during a mean (SD) follow-up of 12.4 (3.9) years. In comparison with those who did not participate in each activity, 7.5 to less than 15 MET hours per week of racquet sports (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75-0.93) and running (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.78-0.92) were associated with the greatest relative risk reductions for all-cause mortality, followed by walking for exercise (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.89-0.93), other aerobic activity (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90-0.95), golf (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90-0.97), swimming (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.98), and cycling (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.95-0.99). Each activity showed a curvilinear dose-response association with mortality risk; low MET hours per week of physical activity for any given activity type were associated with a large reduction in mortality risk, with diminishing returns for each increment in activity thereafter. Associations were similar for cardiovascular and cancer mortality. This cohort study of older individuals found differences between different types of leisure time activities and mortality risk, but there were significant associations between participating in 7.5 to less than 15 MET hours per week of any activity and mortality risk.

Continuing, reducing, switching, or stopping antipsychotics in individuals with schizophrenia-spectrum disorders who are clinically stable: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

Although antipsychotic maintenance treatment is widely recommended to prevent relapse in chronic psychoses, evidence-based guidelines do not provide clear indications on different maintenance treatment strategies, including continuing the antipsychotic at standard doses, reducing the dose, switching to another antipsychotic, or even stopping the antipsychotic. We aimed to compare the effectiveness of these maintenance treatment strategies, hypothesising the superiority of all strategies over stopping, and of continuing at standard doses over both switching and reducing the dose. We did a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that investigated antipsychotics for relapse prevention in adults with schizophrenia-spectrum disorders who were clinically stable, and which compared four treatment strategies: continuing the current antipsychotic at standard doses recommended for acute treatment; reducing the current antipsychotic dose; switching to a different antipsychotic; and stopping the antipsychotic and replacing it with placebo. We excluded RCTs with fewer than 25 individuals, a prerandomisation washout period greater than 4 weeks, a follow-up shorter than 6 weeks, and those recruiting treatment-resistant individuals. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO, CINAHL, CENTRAL, and online trial registers for published and unpublished RCTs from inception to Sept 1, 2021, combining terms describing all available antipsychotics, and terms describing continuation, maintenance, or long-term treatment for schizophrenia-spectrum disorders. Relative risks (RRs) and standardised mean differences were pooled using random-effects pairwise and network meta-analyses. We assessed risk of bias of each RCT with the Cochrane Risk-of-Bias 2 tool, and confidence of pooled estimates with CINeMA. The primary outcome was relapse prevention. The study protocol was registered in advance in the Open Science Forum registry. Of 3936 records identified, 119 records, reporting on 101 RCTs, were eligible, 98 of which (including 13 988 individuals) provided data that could be meta-analysed for at least one outcome. The mean proportion of female participants per study was 38% (range 0-100; median 39%, IQR 29-50), whereas for male participants it was 62% (range 0-100; median 61%, IQR 50-71), and the overall mean age was 38·8 years (range 23·2-63·9; median 39·3, IQR 35·0-43·9). Of the 98 RCTs meta-analysed, 89·8% were done in high-income and upper-middle-income countries. The ethnic group White or so-called Caucasian was the most represented (mean 56% participants per study), although this information was relatively scarce. All continuation strategies were significantly more effective in preventing relapse than stopping antipsychotic treatment, with a large risk reduction for continuing at standard doses (RR 0·37, 95% CI 0·32-0·43; number-needed-to-treat [NNT] 3·17, 95% CI 2·94-3·51) and antipsychotic switching (RR 0·44, 0·37-0·53; NNT 3·57, 3·17-4·25), and moderate risk reduction for dose reduction (RR 0·68, 0·51-0·90; NNT 6·25, 4·08-20·00). Continuing and switching antipsychotics did not differ significantly (RR 0·84, 0·69-1·02; with lower values favouring continuing), whereas reducing antipsychotic dose was outperformed by both continuing (RR 0·55, 0·42-0·71; NNT 4·44, 3·45-6·90) and switching (RR 0·65, 0·47-0·89; NNT 5·17, 3·77-18·18). Results were supported by moderate confidence of evidence and confirmed by secondary analyses and by several sensitivity and subgroup analyses, including removing studies with abrupt antipsychotic discontinuation or fast tapering (≤4 weeks). No tolerability differences emerged between treatment strategies. According to the Cochrane Risk-of-Bias tool, version 2, 16·8% of included RCTs had an overall high risk of bias for the primary outcome. We found moderate heterogeneity (τ2=0·13; I2=61%) and no overall incoherence for the primary analysis. Results were supported by moderate confidence of evidence and confirmed by secondary analyses. Contrary to our original hypothesis, we found that continuing antipsychotic treatment at standard doses or switching to a different antipsychotic are similarly effective treatment strategies, whereas reducing antipsychotic doses below standard doses is associated with higher risk of relapse than the other two maintenance treatment strategies and should therefore be limited to selected cases. Despite limitations, including moderate heterogeneity and moderate certainty of evidence, these results are of pragmatic relevance for clinicians, and should support the update of evidence-based guidelines. None.

Initiating SGLT2 inhibitor therapy to improve renal outcomes for persons with diabetes eligible for an intensified glucose-lowering regimen: hypothetical intervention using parametric g-formula modeling

IntroductionSodium–glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are now recommended in guidelines for persons with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and at risk of advanced kidney disease as part of the glucose-lowering...

Association of Rare APOE Missense Variants V236E and R251G With Risk of Alzheimer Disease

The APOE ε2 and APOE ε4 alleles are the strongest protective and risk-increasing, respectively, genetic variants for late-onset Alzheimer disease (AD). However, the mechanisms linking APOE to AD-particularly the apoE protein's role in AD pathogenesis and how this is affected by APOE variants-remain poorly understood. Identifying missense variants in addition to APOE ε2 and APOE ε4 could provide critical new insights, but given the low frequency of additional missense variants, AD genetic cohorts have previously been too small to interrogate this question robustly. To determine whether rare missense variants on APOE are associated with AD risk. Association with case-control status was tested in a sequenced discovery sample (stage 1) and followed up in several microarray imputed cohorts as well as the UK Biobank whole-exome sequencing resource using a proxy-AD phenotype (stages 2 and 3). This study combined case-control, family-based, population-based, and longitudinal AD-related cohorts that recruited referred and volunteer participants. Stage 1 included 37 409 nonunique participants of European or admixed European ancestry, with 11 868 individuals with AD and 11 934 controls passing analysis inclusion criteria. In stages 2 and 3, 475 473 participants were considered across 8 cohorts, of which 84 513 individuals with AD and proxy-AD and 328 372 controls passed inclusion criteria. Selection criteria were cohort specific, and this study was performed a posteriori on individuals who were genotyped. Among the available genotypes, 76 195 were excluded. All data were retrieved between September 2015 and November 2021 and analyzed between April and November 2021. In primary analyses, the AD risk associated with each missense variant was estimated, as appropriate, with either linear mixed-model regression or logistic regression. In secondary analyses, associations were estimated with age at onset using linear mixed-model regression and risk of conversion to AD using competing-risk regression. A total of 544 384 participants were analyzed in the primary case-control analysis; 312 476 (57.4%) were female, and the mean (SD; range) age was 64.9 (15.2; 40-110) years. Two missense variants were associated with a 2-fold to 3-fold decreased AD risk: APOE ε4 (R251G) (odds ratio, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.33-0.59; P = 4.7 × 10-8) and APOE ε3 (V236E) (odds ratio, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.25-0.56; P = 1.9 × 10-6). Additionally, the cumulative incidence of AD in carriers of these variants was found to grow more slowly with age compared with noncarriers. In this genetic association study, a novel variant associated with AD was identified: R251G always coinherited with ε4 on the APOE gene, which mitigates the ε4-associated AD risk. The protective effect of the V236E variant, which is always coinherited with ε3 on the APOE gene, was also confirmed. The location of these variants confirms that the carboxyl-terminal portion of apoE plays an important role in AD pathogenesis. The large risk reductions reported here suggest that protein chemistry and functional assays of these variants should be pursued, as they have the potential to guide drug development targeting APOE.

Prevention of Cardiovascular Events and Mortality With Icosapent Ethyl in Patients With Prior Myocardial Infarction

BackgroundREDUCE-IT was a double-blind trial that randomized 8,179 statin-treated patients with controlled low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and moderately elevated triglycerides to icosapent ethyl (IPE) or placebo. There was a significant reduction in the primary endpoint, including death from cardiovascular (CV) causes. The specific impact of IPE among patients with prior myocardial infarction (MI) was unknown. ObjectivesOur goal was to examine the benefit of IPE on ischemic events among patients with prior MI in REDUCE-IT. MethodsWe performed post hoc analyses of patients with prior MI. The primary endpoint was CV death, MI, stroke, coronary revascularization, or hospitalization for unstable angina. The key secondary endpoint was CV death, MI, or stroke. ResultsA total of 3,693 patients had a history of prior MI. The primary endpoint was reduced from 26.1% to 20.2% with IPE vs placebo; HR: 0.74 (95% CI: 0.65-0.85; P = 0.00001). The key secondary endpoint was reduced from 18.0% to 13.3%; HR: 0.71 (95% CI: 0.61-0.84; P = 0.00006). There was also a significant 35% relative risk reduction in total ischemic events (P = 0.0000001), a 34% reduction in MI (P = 0.00009), a 30% reduction in CV death (P = 0.01), and a 20% lower rate of all-cause mortality (P = 0.054), although there was a slight increase in atrial fibrillation. Sudden cardiac death and cardiac arrest were also significantly reduced by 40% and 56%, respectively. ConclusionsPatients with a history of prior MI in REDUCE-IT treated with IPE demonstrated large and significant relative and absolute risk reductions in ischemic events, including CV death. (A Study of AMR101 to Evaluate Its Ability to Reduce Cardiovascular Events in High Risk Patients With Hypertriglyceridemia and on Statin. The Primary Objective is to Evaluate the Effect of 4 g/Day AMR101 for Preventing the Occurrence of a First Major Cardiovascular Event. [REDUCE-IT]; NCT01492361)

Secondary Prevention Using Cholesterol-Lowering Medications in Patients with Prior Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Events: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

Background: Secondary prevention with lipid-lowering medications in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is known to reduce the risk of clinical events and death. Current guidelines codify recommendations for implementing secondary prevention in appropriate patients. However, in real-world practice, secondary prevention is frequently initiated only after the patient experiences a cardiovascular-related hospitalization. The impact of these delays is not well known.Objectives: To estimate the effects of delaying treatment on the risk of cardiovascular-related hospitalization and on costs for patients who meet the criteria for secondary prevention as specified in the 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) Guidelines for Treatment of Blood Cholesterol to Reduce Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Risk in Adults.Methods: This is a retrospective cohort analysis using Humana data. Eligible patients were categorized by treatment group: (1) patients who initiated treatment before an ASCVD-related hospitalization and (2) patients who either did not initiate treatment until after an ASCVD hospitalization or never initiated treatment. The associations between the timely initiation of cholesterol-lowering medications for secondary prevention and (1) the risk for an ASCVD hospitalization and (2) health-care costs over one year, were estimated using multivariate regressions.Results: A total of 272 899 secondary prevention patients were identified who met study selection criteria. Early treatment was associated with significant reductions in the risk of an ASCVD hospitalization at any time following the identification of the patient’s eligibility for secondary prevention (by 33% compared to those treated late or never, P<.0001), but was significantly associated with higher total cost over the first post-index year (by US $509, P<.001). Patients whose low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels were >130 mg/dL experienced higher ASCVD hospitalization risks, and also larger risk reductions if treated before an ASCVD hospitalization compared to patients with lower LDL-C levels who were treated late or never treated.Conclusions: More widespread implementation of the treatment policies specified in the 2013 ACC/AHA Guidelines for secondary prevention should significantly reduce cardiovascular disease hospitalizations and reduce costs.