Large Prospective Cohort Study Research Articles

Healthy eating patterns associated with reduced risk of inflammatory bowel disease by lowering low-grade inflammation: evidence from a large prospective cohort study

BackgroundLimited epidemiological evidence exists regarding the role of healthy eating patterns in reducing the risk of Crohn’s disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). This study aimed to investigate the association between adherence to four established healthy eating patterns and subsequent CD or UC risk, and further examined whether these associations are linked to anti-inflammatory mechanisms.MethodsWe conducted a prospective cohort study of 197,391 participants from the UK Biobank who completed at least one dietary questionnaire and were free from inflammatory bowel disease or cancer at baseline. Four dietary patterns were assessed, including Alternate Mediterranean Diet (AMED), Healthy Eating Index 2015 (HEI-2015), Healthful Plant-based Diet Index (HPDI), and EAT-Lancet. Cox proportional models with restricted cubic splines were applied to explore the associations. The potential role of low-grade inflammation in these associations was examined through mediation analysis.ResultsDuring 2,193,436 person-years follow-up, 260 CD and 601 UC cases were identified. Higher AMED and HEI-2015 scores were associated with a reduced risk of CD but no UC, with no evidence against nonlinearity. These associations remained consistent across multiple sensitive and subgroup analyses. For dietary components, the fruits and monounsaturated fatty acids: saturated fatty acids ratio in AMED, and total fruits, total protein foods and fatty acid in HEI-2015 were linked to a decreased CD risk. Both diets were also associated with lower plasma inflammation biomarkers. Mediation analysis indicated that 7.66% and 13.40% of the reductions in CD risk attributed to AMED and HEI-2015 diets, respectively, were mediated by low-grade inflammation scores.ConclusionsHigher adherence to AMED and HEI-2015 might significantly reduce CD risk, partly due to their anti-inflammatory properties.

The additive interaction of healthy lifestyles and genetic susceptibility on colorectal cancer risk in prediabetes: a large population-based prospective cohort study

ObjectiveWe aimed to investigate the interrelationships among polygenic risk scores (PRS), healthy lifestyle factors (HLFs), and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in individuals with prediabetes. To investigate whether adherence to HLFs influence CRC risk in those with elevated PRS within this specific population.MethodsData from 22,408 prediabetes participants without CRC at baseline were analyzed from the UK Biobank. HLFs were graded using healthy lifestyle scores (HLSs) and classified as favorable, intermediate, or unfavorable, while the PRS for CRC was categorized as high, medium, or low. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for CRC risk.ResultsHigh PRS (HR: 2.36; 95% CI: 1.86–3.00) and medium PRS (HR: 1.42; 95% CI: 1.09–1.83) prediabetes were associated with increased CRC risk compared to those with low PRS. HLFs were linked to lower CRC risk in a dose–response manner, with never smoking (HR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.57–0.84) and maintaining a healthy BMI (HR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.49–0.82) associated with reduced CRC risk. Adherence to favorable HLFs may reduce the CRC risk in those with medium (HR: 0.51; 95% CI: 0.27–0.95) and high PRS (HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.39–0.99) over 15 years of follow-up. In participants with high PRS and unfavorable HLFs, the excess risk due to the additive interaction between PRS and HLFs was 1.41% (p < 0.01), especially for women (1.07%).ConclusionsThere is an additive interaction of PRS and HLFs on CRC risk in individuals with prediabetes. Adopting favorable HLFs should be integrated into the management of prediabetes individuals to reduce the risk of CRC.

Coffee consumption and adverse cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation

BackgroundThere is some evidence of reduced major cardiovascular event (MACE) rates associated with moderate coffee consumption in the general population. However, there is concern about the potential risks of coffee consumption in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association between coffee consumption and MACE in AF patients.MethodsData of patients with documented AF enrolled in two large prospective observational multicenter cohort studies (Swiss-AF and Beat-AF) were analyzed. Follow-up information was obtained on a yearly basis. Coffee consumption was categorized into two main groups: “daily” and “not-daily” coffee consumers as well as additional subcategories. The primary endpoint was MACE, defined as a composite of stroke or systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, hospitalization for acute heart failure, and cardiovascular mortality. Secondary endpoints were the individual components of MACE and all-cause mortality. We performed time-updated multivariable adjusted Cox regression analyses to investigate the association between coffee consumption and MACE.ResultsThe incidence rate for MACE was 5.09 per 100 person-years (py) in daily and 7.49 per 100 py in not-daily consumers (median follow-up duration: 4.7 years). After adjustment for pre-selected confounding variables, daily coffee consumption was associated with a 23% lower hazard for MACE compared to not-daily consumption (hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) 0.77 (0.66; 0.89)). Patients with moderate coffee consumption (2–3 cups/day) had the lowest hazard for MACE compared to patients with not-daily coffee consumption (HR (95% CI) 0.74 (0.63; 0.87)).ConclusionsIn a population of AF patients, daily coffee consumption was associated with a reduced risk for MACE, hospitalization for acute heart failure, and all-cause mortality. The results were inconclusive for stroke or systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death. In this analysis, we found no evidence of an unfavourable association of daily coffee consumption in AF Patients with adverse outcome events.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02105844.

Double-J Ureteral Stenting in Obstetrics and Gynecology: Pivotal or Problematic?

Background and Objectives: Double-J stents are urinary catheters that are frequently used in urology. They are now also used in other specialist areas such as obstetrics and gynecology. However, the use of double-J stents is not without side effects. The aim of this review was to highlight the indications and possible adverse effects of the use of these stents in obstetrics and gynecology. Materials and Methods: We analyzed works published after 1995 in the PUBMED, SCOPUS, and Web of Science databases related to the use of double-J stents in obstetrics and gynecology, as well as reported adverse events. We carried out a narrative review of the available literature on this topic. Results: We identified 69 relevant publications that we included in the review. In obstetrics, indications include the treatment of gestational hydronephrosis, some urological conditions during pregnancy, such as obstructive urinary calculi, with or without superinfection, or intraoperative use for cesarean section or hysterectomy after cesarean section, to protect from, or to solve, ureteral lesions. In gynecology, they are used preoperatively or intraoperatively to protect the ureter during gynecological operations in the pelvic area or postoperatively to repair some ureteral injuries. They are also indicated for ureteral obstructions that occur after pelvic radiotherapy for gynecological neoplasms. Complications associated with the use of double-J stents include more frequent urinary tract infections, lower urinary tract symptoms, calcifications and misplacements. Conclusions: Double-J stents are widely used in obstetrics and gynecology and are characterized by good efficiency and safety, although some side effects may occur (lower urinary tract symptoms, hematuria, complications in birth outcomes), which do not limit their use. Summary of evidence: In this review, we analyzed the indications and complications of double-J ureteral stenting in obstetric and gynecologic patients. We found that the procedure is safe, both in the treatment of ureteral obstruction and in the resolution of postoperative complications. No serious complications of ureteral stenting have been noted that would constitute a contraindication to its use. Future prospective studies in large patient cohorts are necessary to validate our data.

Importance of Circulating Leptin and Adiponectin in the Causal Pathways Between Obesity and the Development of Colorectal Cancer in Japanese Men.

The mechanistic associations between obesity and risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) remain unclear. Here, using body mass index (BMI) as an obesity indicator, we decomposed the total effects of obesity on the risk of CRC into: (1) direct effects, which are possibly mediated by unmeasured or currently unknown factors; (2) indirect effects mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin; and (3) indirect effects that are not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin but by hyperinsulinemia and chronic inflammation (assessed via circulating connecting peptide and C-reactive protein, respectively). We adopted a causal mediation framework, using data from a large prospective cohort study of 44,271 Japanese men. BMI was not associated with the risk of CRC due to direct and indirect effects that were not mediated by circulating leptin and adiponectin. By contrast, individuals with BMIs of 25.0-27.4 kg/m2 (risk ratio 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.69) and ≥27.5 kg/m2 (risk ratio 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-1.68) had a higher risk of CRC due to indirect effects of circulating leptin and adiponectin. Our mediation analyses suggest that the association between BMI and CRC risk may be largely mediated by a pathway involving circulating leptin and adiponectin.

Association of Tailpipe-Related and Nontailpipe-Related Air Pollution Exposure with Cognitive Decline in the Chicago Health and Aging Project.

Evidence suggests that long-term exposure to air pollution may increase the risk of dementia and related cognitive outcomes. A major source of air pollution is automotive traffic, which is modifiable by technological and regulatory interventions. We examined associations of four traffic-related air pollutants with rates of cognitive decline in a cohort of older adults. We analyzed data from the Chicago Health and Aging Project (CHAP), a longitudinal (1993-2012) community-based cohort study of older adults that included repeated assessments of participants' cognitive performance. Leveraging previously developed air pollution models, we predicted participant-level exposures to the tailpipe pollutants oxides of nitrogen () and nitrogen dioxide (), plus the nontailpipe pollutants copper and zinc found in coarse particulate matter [PM with aerodynamic diameter to () and , respectively], over the 3 y prior to each participant's baseline assessment. Using generalized estimating equations, we estimated covariate-adjusted associations of each pollutant with rates of cognitive decline. We probed the robustness of our results via several sensitivity analyses, including alterations to the length of the exposure assessment window and exploring the influence of pre- and post-baseline selection bias. Using data from 6,061 participants, estimated associations of these pollutant exposures with cognitive decline were largely inconsistent with large adverse effects. For example, a standard deviation () increment in corresponded to a slightly slower rate of cognitive decline [e.g., mean difference in change in global score, 0.010 standard unit/5 y, 95% confidence interval (CI): , 0.036]. The results of most of our sensitivity analyses were in generally similar to those of our main analyses, but our prebaseline selection bias results suggest that our analytic results may have been influenced by differential survivorship into our study sample. In this large prospective cohort study, we did not observe compelling evidence that long-term TRAP exposure is associated with cognitive decline. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14585.

The association between handgrip strength and metabolic syndrome: A large prospective Chinese cohort study

ObjectivesMany studies have explored the association between handgrip strength and metabolic syndrome; however, the findings are inconsistent due to the different types of indicators used to assess handgrip strength (absolute vs. relative handgrip strength). This prospective cohort study aimed to simultaneously investigate the associations of both absolute and relative handgrip strength with metabolic syndrome, and to compare the predictive abilities of these two measures among Chinese adults. MethodsCox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze 15,820 participants (49.7 % men) living in Tianjin, China. Handgrip strength was measured using a handheld dynamometer. Relative handgrip strength was normalized to body weight (kg). ResultsDuring the 6-year follow-up, there were 3385 incident cases of metabolic syndrome. The fully adjusted hazards ratios (95 % confidence interval) of the incidence of metabolic syndrome for increasing quartiles of relative handgrip strength were: 1.000 (reference), 0.871(0.780, 0.973), 0.675(0.602, 0.757), 0.454(0.401, 0.513) in men and 1.000 (reference), 0.830(0.714, 0.966), 0.561(0.471, 0.668), and 0.369(0.301, 0.452) in women (both P for trend <0.0001). The optimal cut-off of relative handgrip strength to predict incident metabolic syndrome was 0.563 kg/kg in men (sensitivity = 64.3 %, specificity = 55.6 %) and 0.436 kg/kg in women (sensitivity = 57.0 %, specificity = 69.3 %). ConclusionsThis large cohort study showed that higher relative handgrip strength, but not absolute handgrip strength, was associated with a lower risk of metabolic syndrome. Although handgrip strength may not be highly sensitive in screening for metabolic syndrome, it remains a valuable predictive tool due to its convenience, ease of measurement, and cost-effectiveness.

Environmental Factors in Type 1 Diabetes.

The contribution of environmental factors to the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes is considered substantial, but their identification has turned out to be challenging. Large prospective studies are crucial for reliable identification of environmental risk and protective factors. However, only few large prospective birth cohort studies have been carried out. Enterovirus infections have shown quite consistent risk association with the initiation of islet autoimmunity (IA) across these studies. Also, certain dietary factors have been consistently associated with IA risk, omega-3 fatty acids inversely, and childhood cow's milk intake directly. However, the mechanisms of these associations are not fully understood, and possible causality has not been confirmed. Clinical trial programs with enterovirus vaccines and antiviral drugs are in progress to evaluate the causality of enterovirus association. The only nutritional primary prevention randomized trial, TRIGR, did not find a difference between weaning to extensively hydrolyzed versus conventional cow's milk-based infant formula.

In Utero/Childhood/ Adolescence Exposure to Tobacco Smoke and Elderly-Onset Cataract: A Large Prospective Cohort Study.

Cataract remains the primary cause of blindness in middle-income and low-income countries, with a known association with environmental factors including smoking. However, the relationship between early-life tobacco smoke exposures, including in utero tobacco smoke exposure and early initiation of smoking, and the risk of cataract incidence remains unclear. We aimed to examine the associations of early-life exposure to tobacco smoke with the risk of elderly-onset cataract. In this prospective study, we included 330,528 participants aged 40years or older who were recruited between 2006 and 2010. Early-life tobacco smoke exposures, including in utero, childhood, and adolescence exposure to tobacco smoke, as well as the type of tobacco smoke, were ascertained based on questionnaires at baseline. Elderly-onset cataract was ascertained using hospital inpatient records and cataract surgery records. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between early-life tobacco smoke exposures and incident cataract. Additionally, the association between different types of tobacco smoke and cataract risk was also explored. During a median follow-up of 12.04years, 14,754 cases of incident cataract were documented. After adjusting confounders, the incidence of cataract significantly increased among participants with tobacco smoke exposures (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.09-1.18). Furthermore, individuals who were exposed to tobacco smoke in childhood (HR = 1.10, 95% CI = 1.03-1.21), adolescence (HR = 1.15, 95% CI = 1.10-1.21), and adulthood (HR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.05-1.19) had an increased risk of cataract. Additionally, individuals who smoked cigars or pipes (HR = 1.26, 95% CI = 1.11-1.44), hand-rolled cigarettes (HR = 1.20, 95% CI = 1.05-1.36), and manufactured cigarettes (HR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.08-1.17) were associated with an increased risk of cataract. Individuals with early-life tobacco smoke exposures in childhood and adolescence significantly elevate the risks of cataract incidence in older age. This study identified cataract-associated risks and suggested interventions like banning youth smoking to reduce future cataract incidence.

Association Between Daily Internet Use and Intrinsic Capacity Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China: Large Prospective Cohort Study.

Intrinsic capacity (IC), as a comprehensive measure of an individual's functional ability, has gained prominence in the framework for healthy aging introduced by the World Health Organization (WHO). As internet usage continues to integrate into daily life, it is imperative to scrutinize the association between internet use and IC to effectively promote healthy aging among the middle-aged and older population. This study aimed to investigate whether daily internet use in middle-aged and older adults delays or accelerates the decline in IC. Participants included in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) comprised individuals aged ≥45 years residing in China. We analyzed 4 years of CHARLS data from the first wave (May 2011-March 2012) to the third wave (July 2015-January 2016). Data from the first and third waves were used for longitudinal studies. Self-reported data encompassed internet use, frequency of use, and demographic baseline characteristics. In addition, the IC evaluation involved physical examination and blood test data. Initially, linear regression was used to assess the relationship between daily internet use and IC, followed by regression splines to explore potential nonlinear associations. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were used to investigate the heterogeneity of IC in specific conditions and the robustness of our results. Mediation effect analysis was conducted to identify the factors that mediate the relationship between daily internet use and IC, focusing on social participation, physical activity, and health status. Among the 12,826 participants included in the longitudinal analyses, 12,305 (95.9%) did not use the internet, while 521 (4.1%) reported daily internet use with a mean age of 52.62 (SD 7.67) years. After adjusting for demographic variables, socioeconomic factors, lifestyle behaviors, and health conditions and examining the impact of daily internet use and frequency on changes in IC, our findings indicated important associations. Specifically, daily internet use is significantly linked to a slower decline in IC over time (marginal effect 1.58, 95% CI 1.03-2.12; P<.001). Individuals with moderate and regular internet use frequency exhibit higher levels of maintenance in IC (marginal effect 0.74, 95% CI 0.45-1.03, P<.001). In addition, the relationship between IC changes and internet use frequency demonstrated a nonlinear inverted U-shaped curve (nonlinear P=.003). Subgroup analysis further revealed that improvements in IC vary based on age and gender. Furthermore, mediation analysis denoted that more than 28.78% (95% CI 21.24-40.33) of the observed association is mediated by social participation (P<.001). The findings of our research underscore the potential benefits of consistent and moderate internet use in promoting and preserving IC, particularly in cognitive capacity, sensory, vitality, and locomotion. The observed effects may be related to social participation. These insights offer valuable guidance for crafting strategies aimed at fostering healthy aging within the middle-aged and older adult demographics.

Gastroesophageal reflux disease and risk of incident lung cancer: A large prospective cohort study in UK Biobank.

Some pathogenic mechanisms suggest a potential relationship between gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and respiratory diseases. However, evidence regarding the association between GERD and lung cancer is mixed. We aim to explore this relationship based on data from the large-scale UK Biobank study. We performed a cross-sectional and prospective cohort study in 501,569 (45.58% male) individuals included in the UK Biobank at baseline (2006-2010). The Cox proportional hazards model and logistic regression models were used to assess the relationship between GERD and lung cancer, small cell lung cancer (SCLC), lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC), and lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). During a mean follow-up of 11.54 years, 3,863 (0.84%) incident lung cancer cases were identified. In the cross-sectional analysis using logistic models, significant associations were found between GERD and prevalent lung cancer cases (odds ratio [OR] = 1.87, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.45-2.38) and subtypes of lung cancer, with an OR (95% CI) of 3.19 (1.47-6.79) for SCLC, 2.08 (1.33-3.21) for LUSC, 1.85 (1.15-2.91) for LUAD. In the follow-up analysis using Cox models, GERD was associated with an increased risk of lung cancer (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.24, 95%CI: 1.14-1.34). Similar associations were also observed between GERD and SCLC (HR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.09-1.78), LUSC (HR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.18-1.65), and LUAD (HR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.02-1.33). The risk of lung cancer resulting from GERD was mainly elevated in former smokers (HR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.23-1.54) and current smokers (HR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.04-1.34), but not in never-smokers (HR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.70-1.14). No significant association was observed in former smokers who had quit smoking for at least 25 years. We found that GERD was positively associated with an increased risk of lung cancer, especially among smokers. Awareness of this association may be beneficial for prevention and treatment strategies of both diseases.

In utero, childhood, and adolescence tobacco smoke exposure, physical activity, and chronic kidney disease incidence in adulthood: evidence from a large prospective cohort study

BackgroundThe adverse effects of early-life tobacco smoke exposure on chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk remain unclear. This study aimed to investigate the associations of early-life tobacco smoke exposure with CKD incidence in adulthood, and further explore the modification effects of physical activity (PA).MethodsA total of 352,883 participants were included from the UK Biobank. The information on early-life tobacco smoke exposure was assessed by employing in utero tobacco smoke exposure and age of smoking initiation. Weekly moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) was calculated for each individual. Cox proportional hazard regression was fitted to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of CKD risk, and to investigate the modification effects of MVPA.ResultsCKD incidence significantly increased in participants with in utero tobacco smoke exposure (HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.12). Compared with never-smokers, we found a monotonic increase in the risk of CKD with smoking initiation across adulthood (HR: 1.21, 95% CI: 1.16, 1.27), adolescence (HR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.24, 1.35), and childhood (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.25, 1.43) (P trend < 0.001). Additionally, we identified joint cumulative effects of MVPA and early-life tobacco smoke exposure on incident CKD. Compared with never-smokers with recommended MVPA, prenatal or childhood tobacco smokers without recommended MVPA had the highest CKD risk, and the HRs (95% CIs) were 1.17 (1.10, 1.24) and 1.51 (1.36, 1.68), respectively.ConclusionsEarly-life tobacco smoke exposure may contribute to CKD incidence in adulthood, and the observed associations could be modified by MVPA. These findings provide important information on CKD prevention in the participant’s early life while urging a more rapid and powerful need for tobacco control among pregnant couples, children, and adolescents.

Association of circulating Robo4 with obesity, hypertension and atherosclerotic plaque burden.

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remains the leading cause of death worldwide. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a major risk factor for ASCVD development, being associated with endothelial dysfunction and accelerated atherosclerosis. In the current study we aimed to explore the potential value of circulating Robo4 (soluble Robo4, sRobo4), an endothelial-specific receptor that regulates endothelial cell (EC) junctional integrity, vascular permeability, EC-mediated inflammatory responses and angiogenesis, as a marker of vascular disease in individuals with or without T2DM. Thirty-four individuals with T2DM and 15 non-diabetic individuals (control) of similar age and sex were included in the study. sROBO4 was comparable between individuals with T2DM and control (T2DM: 1.54±1.19 vs control: 1.59±0.77 ng/mL, P=0.46). Of interest, sRobo4 positively correlated with body mass index (BMI) (rs=0.384, P=0.006), and negatively correlated with renal function as determined by estimated glomerular filtration rate (rs= -0.429, P=0.003). Moreover, individuals with arterial hypertension had higher sRobo4 compared to normotensive individuals (P=0.03). More importantly, we observed that individuals with 2 or more atherosclerotic plaques (n=28) in their femoral and/or carotid arteries had significantly higher sRobo4 levels compared to individuals with a total of none or 1 atherosclerotic plaque (n=20) (P=0.008). The association of sRobo4 with higher atherosclerotic burden remained significant when separately controlling for the effect of age, sex, presence of T2DM, total cholesterol, or BMI levels. In vivo studies utilizing models of atherosclerosis as well as larger prospective cohort studies are warranted to delineate causality and prognostic value of sRobo4 in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

The prognostic significance of stress hyperglycemia ratio for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in metabolic syndrome patients: prospective cohort study.

The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is a new biomarker indicating acute hyperglycemia and predicting adverse outcomes in different conditions. Yet, its impact on metabolic syndrome (MetS) has not been studied. We explored the link between SHR and long-term all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in MetS patients. We conducted a large prospective cohort study involving 9438 participants diagnosed with MetS, drawn from the 1999-2018 NHANES. MetS diagnosis was based on NCEP-ATPIII criteria. Participants were categorized into three groups based on SHR tertiles: T1 (SHR ≤ 0.890), T2 (SHR 0.890-0.992), and T3 (SHR ≥ 0.992). Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier curve analyses assessed the correlation between SHR and mortalities. Non-linear correlations were explored using restricted cubic splines, and stratification analysis was performed. Out of 9438 MetS patients, 1929 deaths occurred during an average follow-up of 107 ± 64 months, including 541 CVD deaths. All-cause and CVD mortality rates were significantly higher with elevated SHR values (T3) than lower tertiles (23.4% vs. 19.5% and 18.3%, P < 0.001; 6.8% vs. 5.3% and 5.1%, P = 0.007, respectively). A U-shaped relationship was observed between SHR and all-cause and CVD mortality (all P for non-linear < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated higher SHR values associated with increased risk of all-cause and CVD mortality (all log-rank P < 0.001). After adjusting for confounders, multivariate Cox regression showed SHR remained associated with a 1.256-fold and 1.023-fold risk of all-cause and CVD mortality. SHR independently correlates with all-cause and CVD mortality in MetS patients, displaying a U-shaped relationship with clinical endpoints.

Serum levels of total bile acids are associated with an increased risk of HCC in patients with cirrhosis.

Previous studies have reported higher circulating bile acid levels in patients with HCC compared to healthy controls. However, the association between prediagnostic bile acid levels and HCC risk among patients with cirrhosis is unclear. We measured total BA (TBA) concentration in serum samples collected from a prospective cohort of patients with cirrhosis who were followed until the development of HCC, death, or last study date. Competing risk proportional hazard-adjusted models were used to estimate the association between tertiles of serum TBA levels and the risk of developing HCC. We quantified the incremental predictive value of serum bile acid when added to a previously validated clinical model. We analyzed data from 940 patients with cirrhosis, of whom 68 patients progressed to HCC during 3406 person-years of follow-up. Higher baseline serum TBA level was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing HCC with an adjusted HR of 3.69 (95% CI = 1.85-7.37) for the highest versus lowest tertile. TBA levels significantly increased predictive ability for progression to HCC at 2 years of follow-up; the c statistic increased from 0.74 to 0.80 (p < 0.001). There was evidence for a significant interaction between TBA level and hepatitis C (p = 0.04). In a large prospective cohort study, the prediagnostic serum level of TBAs was associated with a significant increase in the risk of developing HCC among patients with multi-etiology cirrhosis. The TBA-associated risk was additive to that of established demographic and clinical predictors.

Association of dietary choline intake with incidence of dementia, Alzheimer disease, and mild cognitive impairment: a large population-based prospective cohort study

Background- ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to explore the associations between dietary choline intake and the incidence of dementia, Alzheimer disease (AD), mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and current cognitive performance in the United Kingdom Biobank cohort. MethodsDietary choline intake was categorized into quartiles of consumption based on 24-h dietary recalls, with units expressed as milligrams per day. Diagnoses of dementia, AD, and MCI were identified using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9/10) codes. Current cognitive performance was assessed via the computerized touchscreen interface. After adjusting for sociodemographic factors, dietary and lifestyle behaviors, and comorbid conditions, Cox proportional hazards regression, logistic regression, and restricted cubic splines were used to analyze the association between choline intake and dementia or cognitive performance. ResultsAmong 125,594 participants (55.8% female), with a mean age of 56.1 y (range: 40–70 years) at baseline and a median follow-up of 11.8 y, 1103 cases of dementia (including 385 AD and 87 cases of MCI) were recorded. U-shaped associations were observed between choline intake and dementia and AD. Participants in the 2nd quartile of total choline intake had lower risks than those in the lowest quartile, with HR of 0.80 (95% CI: 0.67, 0.96) for dementia and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.58, 1.00) for AD. Moderate intake of choline derivative, including free choline (HR, 0.77; 95%CI, 0.65, 0.92), phosphatidylcholine (HR 0.82; 95% CI: 0.68, 0.98), sphingomyelin (HR 0.82; 95% CI: 0.69, 0.98) and glycerophosphocholine (HR 0.83; 95% CI: 0.70, 1.00), were associated with a 17%–23% lower odds of dementia. Additionally, moderate total choline intake was associated with an 8%–13% lower odds of poor cognitive performance in visual attention (OR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.86, 0.99), fluid intelligence (OR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.82, 0.92), and complex processing speed (OR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.84, 0.95). ConclusionsIn conclusion, our findings suggest that moderate dietary choline intake, ranging from 332.89 mg/d to 353.93 mg/d, is associated with lower odds of dementia and better cognitive performance.

Prevalence and Risk Factors of Self-Reported Sarcopenia and Its Association With Multimorbidity in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Cross-Sectional Study.

This cross-sectional study aimed to identify the impact of multimorbidity on self-reported sarcopenia and compare the differences in the prevalence and associated factors of sarcopenia in community-dwelling older adults with and without multimorbidity. We enrolled 876 community-dwelling older adults in South Korea. Multimorbidity was defined as the coexistence of two or more chronic diseases, and sarcopenia was evaluated using the Strength, Assistance in walking, Rising from a chair, Climbing stairs, and Falling Questionnaire. Binomial logistic regression analyses were performed. Our study revealed that the prevalence of sarcopenia was significantly higher (43.5%) in older adults with multimorbidity than in those without multimorbidity (20.8%). This finding underscores the significant impact of multimorbidity on sarcopenia. We also found that poor perceived health status was the strongest predictor of sarcopenia in older adults with multimorbidity, while oldest-old age (≥ 85 years) was the strongest predictor of sarcopenia in those without multimorbidity. Large prospective cohort studies using objective sarcopenia screening tools are needed to demonstrate the synergistic effects of multimorbidity and sarcopenia on health outcomes among community-dwelling older adults.

Resting Heart Rate and Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Black Adults in the Jackson Heart Study

Resting heart rate (RHR) is a widely available measure of cardiovascular fitness that has been associated with several cardiovascular outcomes. RHR has previously been associated with the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) among individuals of European ancestry, but little is known about this association in Black adults. To evaluate the association between RHR and incident AF in a large community-based sample of Black adults, independently of established risk factors. This cohort study uses data from the Jackson Heart Study, a prospective community-based cohort in Jackson, Mississippi. Participants without prevalent AF were included and were monitored for new-onset AF during follow-up, from 2000 through 2016. Data analysis was performed from August 1 to December 11, 2023. RHR was assessed from resting 12-lead electrocardiograms performed at examination 1 (2000-2004) and examination 3 (2009-2013). AF was identified from study electrocardiograms, hospitalization discharge diagnosis codes, and Medicare claims diagnosis codes. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between baseline (examination 1) RHR and incident AF, adjusting for established AF risk factors. Among 4965 Black adults eligible for analysis, the mean (SD) age was 55 (13) years, 1830 (37%) were male, and the mean (SD) RHR at baseline was 65 (11) beats per minute (bpm). During a median (IQR) 14 (12-15) years of follow-up, there were 458 incident AF events, resulting in an incident rate of 7.5 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 6.8-8.2 incidents per 1000 person-years). Each 10-bpm higher RHR was associated with a 9% higher risk of incident AF after adjustment for AF risk factors (hazard ratio, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00-1.19). In a sensitivity analysis that excluded individuals with prior heart failure, prior myocardial infarction, and antiarrhythmic medication use at baseline, the hazard ratio was 1.14 (95% CI, 1.02-1.28). There was little evidence of effect modification of these associations by age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, or physical activity level. In this large prospective cohort study of Black adults, elevated baseline RHR was associated with increased risk of incident AF, consistent with findings from previous studies of European ancestry populations. Future research should focus on determining whether RHR can be used to screen patients at high risk of AF.

Long-term weight change in midlife, cardiac magnetic resonance parameters, risk of atrial fibrillation: a large prospective cohort study

Abstract Background Although obesity is a well-established risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF), the relationship between weight change and the risk of AF remains controversial. Furthermore, the extent to which obesity-associated AF risk is mediated by cardiac remodeling is unclear. Purpose We aimed to evaluate the impacts of obesity and weight change on the risk of atrial fibrillation, and the role of cardiac remodeling in obesity-AF association. Methods This is a population-based prospective cohort of UK Biobank participants recruited from 2006 to 2010. A total of 490,969 participants and 19,634 participants were included for BMI and BMI change analysis, respectively. Body mass index (BMI) was assessed at baseline and follow-up assessment (2012-2013). Cardiovascular measurements were derived from cardiovascular magnetic resonance. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the associations of obesity and change in BMI with AF. The nonlinear associations of BMI and BMI change with AF were tested using a restricted cubic spine (RCS). Mediation analysis was conducted to quantify the role of cardiac remodeling in the association between obesity and AF. Results Among the 490,969 participants included (mean age: 56.4 ± 8.1 years, 54.9% women), 33,297 incident AF cases were observed during a median follow-up of 14.0 years. Overweight (hazard ratio [HR], 1.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-1.15, P &amp;lt; 0.001) and obesity (1.73, 1.68-1.78, P &amp;lt; 0.001) significantly increased the risk of AF, particularly in men, those with age &amp;lt; 60 years and low genetic risk. During a median follow-up of 4.43 years, 1,217 (6.2%) participants experienced &amp;gt; 2% BMI loss per year and 1,318 (6.7%) participants experienced &amp;gt; 2% BMI gain per year. Compared to stable BMI, BMI loss was associated with a lower risk of AF (0.75, 0.57-0.99, P = 0.039). In addition, we found that BMI loss from obesity to overweight was associated with a reduced risk of AF (0.74, 0.54-1.02, P = 0.069) compared with maintaining baseline BMI category. Participants with stable obesity had a higher risk of AF (1.81, 1.52-2.16, P &amp;lt; 0.001) than those with stable normal weight. In addition, RCS indicated BMI had a J-shaped association with AF while BMI change had a linear association with AF. Mediation analyses revealed that left ventricular myocardial mass, left atrial maximum volume, and left atrial minimum volume were the three strongest mediating factors between obesity and AF, with a mediated proportion of 85.28%, 64.43%, and 55.89% of the total effect, respectively. Conclusion BMI decrease over 2% per year was associated with a lower risk of AF, especially in those changing from obesity to overweight. Left ventricular myocardial mass plays a central role in mediating obesity-related AF. Our findings support weight management at the population level to mitigate the growing epidemic of AF and ways targeting left ventricular myocardial mass are waiting to be further explored.Associations of BMI, BMI change with AFThe mediating role of cardiac remodeling

The impact of pulmonary fibrosis on cardiac function in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Abstract Background Emerging evidence indicates the coexistence pulmonary fibrosis and emphysema in patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD). The effect of pulmonary fibrosis on cardiac structure and function in COPD patients remains unclear. Purpose This study aimed to examine the association between the degree of pulmonary fibrosis identified on Computed Tomographic (CT) imaging and echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function in individuals with COPD. Methods The study included 456 individuals with COPD, participating in a large prospective cohort study. Patients with available CT scans and echocardiograms were included. Local histogram-based assessments of lung density were utilized to determine the percentage of fibrosis. Fibrosis was defined based on the CT attenuation within the range of -600 and -250 Hounsfield units. The association between percent fibrosis and measures of cardiac structure and function were investigated by univariable and multivariable linear regression models. Multivariable adjustments included age, sex, body mass index (BMI), and smoking. In addition, restricted cubic splines were generated to visually present the relationship between the percentage of fibrosis and specific echocardiographic parameters. Results The mean age was 71 (± 8 years), 48% were female, and the median BMI was 27 kg/m2 (IQR: 22; 30kg/m2). The mean forced expiratory volume in 1 second as a percentage of the predicted value (FEV1pp) was 47% (±18%). The mean forced vital capacity of predicted value was 71% (± 19%). The median percentage of fibrosis in the cohort was 4.9% (IQR: 3.9; 6.0%). Patients were stratified into tertiles based upon fibrosis percentage. BMI, frequency of diabetes, and FEV1pp were increasingly positively associated with fibrosis. Furthermore, significant trends for echocardiographic measures found that the patients with the most extensive fibrosis were seen to have impaired left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (LVEF), lower absolute global longitudinal strain (GLS), increased left atrial (LA) volume index (LAVi), and higher LV mass as compared to those with less significant fibrosis. There were no significant differences between tertiles of fibrosis and age or sex. In univariable linear regression, significant inverse associations between the percentage of fibrosis, LVEF, GLS, and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) were seen (Table). For LV mass index and LAVi, significant direct associations were found (Table). After adjusting for potential confounding factors, only GLS and LAVi remained associated with pulmonary fibrosis (Figure). Conclusion This study found that GLS and LA volume were significantly associated with the degree of pulmonary fibrosis, even after adjusting for confounding variables. This may suggest that fibrosis is primarily linked with impaired left-sided measures of cardiac structure and function.Linear Regression ModelsCubic Spline Curves