Land Surface Temperature Time Series Research Articles

ASSESSMENT OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND VEGETATION USING MODIS NDVI AND LST TIMESERIES DATA IN KADUNA METROPOLIS, NIGERIA

This study assessed the relationship between land surface temperature (LST) and vegetation using MODIS NDVI and LST timeseries data in Kaduna Metropolis. MOD13Q1 and MOD11A2 datasets were accessed using Google Earth Engine. Mann-Kendall trend test was used to analyse the trends in LST and NDVI. Pearson Moment Correlation Coefficient and Linear Regression were used to examine the relationship between LST and NDVI. Mann-Kendall trend test revealed monotonic downward trend in NDVI with a Z-statistics of -1.2758, but upward trend in daytime and nighttime LST, with a Z-statistics of 0.567 and 2.107 respectively. For the relationship, vegetation showed strong negative relationship with daytime LST with -0.704. Vegetation also showed weak positive relationship with nighttime LST. The linear regression analysis revealed that vegetation was able to predict 49.5% of LST in Kaduna Metropolis, with R2 value of 0.495 and a standard error of estimate is 2.459. The study concluded that loss of vegetation is responsible for the increase in land surface temperature. The study therefore recommended regulatory agencies should ensure that trees are planted whenever they are removed due to infrastructural development in order to prevent UHI phenomenon and planting of trees should be encouraged in order to regulate the urban climate.

Filling gaps in cloudy Landsat LST product by spatial-temporal fusion of multi-scale data

Land surface temperature (LST) is an important factor in studies of surface energy fluxes between the Earth's surface and atmosphere. The Landsat LST product has been applied widely due to its fine spatial resolution and high data quality. Frequent cloud coverage, however, results in different degrees of gaps in the Landsat LST images, restricting greatly their application in practical cases requiring continuous LST time-series. Gap filling is an important technique used to reconstruct the missing data in the Landsat LST images. Using only temporally neighboring data from the same sensor, however, current gap filling methods struggle to deal with large spatial gaps and large temporal changes in LST. To solve these challenging issues, in this paper, multi-scale data (i.e., the 2 km, all-sky, hourly GOES LST product) were proposed for gap filling of Landsat LST images, and a spatial-temporal random forest (STRF) method was developed. The GOES LST product can provide effective information on LST in the gaps of the target Landsat LST data, with great potential to decreasing the uncertainty in gap filling when large LST change exists or the gap size is large. Through experiments in six regions of the USA, the proposed STRF method was shown to be more accurate than three typical gap filling and spatio-temporal fusion methods, and particularly advantageous for cases involving large temporal changes or large spatial gaps in LST. Specifically, STRF produces an average root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.6444 K and average correlation coefficient (CC) of 0.8653 for the six regions, which are 0.1133 K smaller and 0.0176 larger than the most competitive benchmark method (i.e., the spatial random forest (SRF) method). Conceptually, by spatial-temporal fusion of multi-scale data in gap filling, STRF provides a new paradigm for both spatial-temporal fusion and gap filling. Furthermore, the proposed STRF has the potential to be applied to various gap filling tasks in other situations.

Geothermal target detection integrating multi-source and multi-temporal thermal infrared data

Thermal infrared remote sensing (TIRS) technology is intriguing for geothermal anomaly detection due to its time efficiency and cost-effectiveness. Land surface temperature (LST) derived from TIRS indicates potential geothermal anomalies. However, LST on different natural features, exhibiting relatively cold/hot anomalies in daytime and nighttime, affected the identification of abnormal areas. The aim of this study was to highlight geothermal anomalous areas by integrating multi-view daytime and nighttime LST data. Specifically, the winter LST time series of drillings on 2013–2023 was processed based on Landsat-8 TIRS in diurnal scenarios. An information aggregation classification method about Dempster-Shafer evidence theory was presented to target recognition at nighttime by the ASTER LST product. This day-night information fusion analysis effectively highlighted potential areas with geothermal anomalies. The results demonstrated that the geothermal anomalies were mainly distributed along the Ruili-Longling Fault and Wanding Fault in a Northeast (NE) – Southwest (SW) direction, and the NE side was more significant than the SW side. These findings suggested that the east side was closer to the magma heat source, and the presumed magma heat source location aligned closely with the detected geothermal anomalies. Geological data were employed for geological interpretation of the LST anomaly area, eliminating non-geothermal influences. Along with drilling data verification, this method was successfully used to identify geothermal anomaly areas in Ruili City, Yunnan Province. Overall, this study provided valuable insights into the detection of geothermal anomalies through TIRS, contributing to the successful development of geothermal resources.

Next-level vegetation health index forecasting: A ConvLSTM study using MODIS Time Series

The Vegetation Health Index (VHI) is a metric used to assess the health and condition of vegetation, based on satellite-derived data. It offers a comprehensive indicator of stress or vigor, commonly used in agriculture, ecology, and environmental monitoring for forecasting changes in vegetation health. Despite its advantages, there are few studies on forecasting VHI as a future projection, particularly using up-to-date and effective machine learning methods. Hence, the primary objective of this study is to forecast VHI values by utilizing remotely sensed images. To achieve this objective, the study proposes employing a combined Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and a specific type of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) called Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), known as ConvLSTM. The VHI time series images are calculated based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Land Surface Temperature (LST) data obtained from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aboard the Terra and Aqua satellites. In addition to the traditional image-based calculation, the study suggests using global minimum and global maximum values (global scale) of NDVI and LST time series for calculating the VHI. The results of the study showed that the ConvLSTM with a 1-layer structure generally provided better forecasts than 2-layer and 3-layer structures. The average Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values for the 1-step, 2-step, and 3-step ahead VHI forecasts were 0.025, 0.026, and 0.026, respectively, with each step representing an 8-day forecast horizon. Moreover, the proposed global scale model using the applied ConvLSTM structures outperformed the traditional VHI calculation method.

Assessing Long-Term Thermal Environment Change with Landsat Time-Series Data in a Rapidly Urbanizing City in China

The studies of urban heat islands or urban thermal environments have attracted extensive attention, although there is still a lack of research focused on the analysis of long-term urban thermal environment change with fine spatial resolution and actual exposure of urban residents. Taking the rapidly urbanizing city of Nanjing, China as an example, this study utilizes the Landsat-derived daytime time-series land surface temperature data to comprehensively assess the city’s long-term (30-year) urban thermal environment change. The results showed that: (1) The overall surface urban heat island intensity showed a noticeable trend of first increasing and then decreasing from 1990 to 2020. (2) It exhibited the detailed spatial distribution of urban heat/cold islands within the urban center boundary. The percentage of surface urban heat islands was 77.01% in 1990, and it increased to 85.79% in 2010 and then decreased to 80.53% in 2020. (3) More than 65% of the urban residents have lived in areas with a surface urban heat island intensity greater than 3.0 °C, which also showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing from 1990 to 2020. The methods and findings of this study can provide a reference for other studies on urban thermal environment changes and urban sustainable development.

Semi-Supervised Detection of Detailed Ground Feature Changes and Its Impact on Land Surface Temperature

This paper presents a semi-supervised change detection optimization strategy as a means to mitigate the reliance of unsupervised/semi-supervised algorithms on pseudo-labels. The benefits of the Class-balanced Self-training Framework (CBST) and Deeplab V3+ were exploited to enhance classification accuracy for further analysis of microsurface land surface temperature (LST), as indicated by the change detection difference map obtained using iteratively reweighted multivariate alteration detection (IR-MAD). The evaluation statistics revealed that the DE_CBST optimization scheme achieves superior change detection outcomes. In comparison to the results of Deeplab V3+, the precision indicator demonstrated a 2.5% improvement, while the commission indicator exhibited a reduction of 2.5%. Furthermore, when compared to those of the CBST framework, the F1 score showed a notable enhancement of 6.3%, and the omission indicator exhibited a decrease of 8.9%. Moreover, DE_CBST optimization improves the identification accuracy of water in unchanged areas on the basis of Deeplab V3+ classification results and significantly improves the classification effect on bare land in changed areas on the basis of CBST classification results. In addition, the following conclusions are drawn from the discussion on the correlation between ground object categories and LST on a fine-scale: (1) the correlation between land use categories and LST all have good results in GTWR model fitting, which shows that local LST has a high correlation with the corresponding range of the land use category; (2) the changes of the local LST were generally consistent with the changes of the overall LST, but the evolution of the LST in different regions still has a certain heterogeneity, which might be related to the size of the local LST region; and (3) the local LST and the land use category of the corresponding grid cells did not show a completely consistent correspondence relationship. When discussing the local LST, it is necessary to consider the change in the overall LST, the land use types around the region, and the degree of interaction between surface objects. Finally, future experiments will be further explored through more time series LST and land use data.

Thermal pattern of Tatun volcanic system by satellite-observed temperatures and its correlation with earthquake magnitudes

The land surface temperature (LST) of volcanoes detected from satellite sensors reflects the thermal status of heat sources in the subsurface. Volcanic earthquakes occur as magma and volcanic fluids transport to the surface from depth. Thus, both LST and earthquake magnitude are key parameters to the study of active volcanoes. Here we investigate the volcanic status of Tatun Volcanic Group (TVG) based on LST and seismic observations. The Earth-observing satellites onboard thermal sensor derived land surface temperature, and the seismic records retrieved volcanic earthquake magnitude are used to delineate the past and current pattern of volcanic activity plus the future trend of the TVG. The spatiotemporal distribution of LST and volcanic earthquake magnitude in TVG are analyzed. The high-similarity trends of the 4-decade LST time series and 3-decade earthquake magnitude time series are inspected. The retrieved surface thermal pattern shows the non-steady-state nature of the subsurface thermal sources at this volcanic complex. The LST trend exhibits a rather positive correlation with the energy released from volcanic earthquakes and consequently, the presumption on the connection between LSTs and earthquakes is validated.

Thermal pattern at kueishantao (KST) volcano of Taiwan from satellite-observed temperatures and its implication

Abstract Kueishantao (KST) is an active volcanic island off the northeastern coast of Taiwan. Tectonically, it lies in the south of the Okinawa Trough and opposite to the Ilan plain, in which is the southwestern end of the trough. KST provides a convenient observation site for the subsurface geological and geothermal activity and mechanism at its proximity. Land surface temperature (LST) of volcanoes detected from satellite sensors reflects the thermal status of heat sources in the subsurface. LST thus is a key parameter to the understanding of the volcanic process and geothermal resources. This research utilizes the satellite-observed multi-temporal land surface temperature imagery in 1999–2022 on the Kueishantao volcano of Taiwan to explore its geothermal state. The U.S. NASA Earth-observing satellites onboard three thermal sensors (i.e., Landsat ETM+, Terra ASTER, and Aqua/Terra MODIS) derived time series of land surface temperature from 1999 are employed to define the past and current pattern of geothermal activity plus the future trend of the KST. The spatiotemporal LST distribution of KST volcano is explored and analyzed. The spatial LST distribution of the KST volcano indicates that LST anomaly areas are mainly located on the southeast island, which is well correlated with the possible magma reservoir location from previous geophysical and geological surveys. An increasing trend of two-decade LST time series is revealed from all three thermal sensors. The retrieved surface thermal pattern shows non-linear temperature variations that imply the non-steady-state nature of the subsurface thermal sources at this volcano. In summary, satellite LST observations facilitate the understanding on the subsurface magmatic processes of active volcanoes for further management of geothermal resources.

Satellite-Derived Land Surface Temperature Dynamics in the Context of Global Change—A Review

Satellite-derived Land Surface Temperature (LST) dynamics have been increasingly used to study various geophysical processes. This review provides an extensive overview of the applications of LST in the context of global change. By filtering a selection of relevant keywords, a total of 164 articles from 14 international journals published during the last two decades were analyzed based on study location, research topic, applied sensor, spatio-temporal resolution and scale and employed analysis methods. It was revealed that China and the USA were the most studied countries and those that had the most first author affiliations. The most prominent research topic was the Surface Urban Heat Island (SUHI), while the research topics related to climate change were underrepresented. MODIS was by far the most used sensor system, followed by Landsat. A relatively small number of studies analyzed LST dynamics on a global or continental scale. The extensive use of MODIS highly determined the study periods: A majority of the studies started around the year 2000 and thus had a study period shorter than 25 years. The following suggestions were made to increase the utilization of LST time series in climate research: The prolongation of the time series by, e.g., using AVHRR LST, the better representation of LST under clouds, the comparison of LST to traditional climate change measures, such as air temperature and reanalysis variables, and the extension of the validation to heterogenous sites.

Evolution of seasonal land surface temperature trend in pond-breeding newt (Neurergus derjugini) in western Iran and eastern Iraq

BackgroundTemperature, as one of the effective environmental stimuli in many aspects of species life and ecosystems, can affect amphibians in many ways. Knowing and predicting temperature change and its possible effects on the habitat suitability and movements of amphibians have led many researchers to use climate change scenarios and species distribution models (SDMs). One of the important remote-sensing products that received less attention of conservation biologists is the land surface temperature (LST). Due to the small difference between LST and air temperature, this component can be used to investigate and monitor the daily and seasonal changes of habitats. This study aims to investigate the seasonal trend of LST in the habitat suitability and connectivity of the critically endangered newt (Neurergus derjugini) in its small distribution range, using the MODIS LST time series (2003 to 2021) and with the help of SDMs, Mann–Kendall (MK) and Pettitt non-parametric tests.ResultsIn the last decade, the increasing trend of LST versus its decreasing trends is obvious. Based on MK and Pettitt tests, in the winter and spring, with the decrease in latitude of 35.45° and increase in longitude of 46.14°, the core populations which are located in the southeast have experienced an increase in temperature. Considering the period time of breeding and overwintering, the continuity of winter and spring can be effective on the survival of adult newts as well as larvae in the microclimate. Linkages with the highest current flow between core populations in the winter and summer are the most likely to be vulnerable. At the level of habitat, the increase in LST is proportional to the trend of thermal landscape changes, and all seasons have had an increase in LST, but in winter and summer, the largest area of the habitat has been involved. By continuing the current trend, many high-altitude southern habitats in Iran will be endangered, and the species will be at risk of local extinction.ConclusionThe increasing trend of temperature in all seasons such as winter will affect many adaptations of the species and these effects are mostly evident in the southern parts of its distribution range therefore, captive breeding and reintroduction are recommended for the populations of these areas.

A time series decomposition approach to detect coal fires in parts of the Gondwana coalfields of India from VIIRS data

ABSTRACT This paper proposes an algorithm to detect coal fires using time-series Land Surface Temperature (LST) maps generated from data acquired by a wide-swath Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) satellite sensor. VIIRS provides remotely sensed thermal images daily during daytime and nighttime. The proposed algorithm primarily uses the trend component extracted at pixel level from time-series LST maps by using the Seasonal Trend decomposition based on Loess (STL) model. The proposed algorithm is suitable for detecting coal fires at the regional scale. The obtained results were validated with coal fire observations collected during a field survey.

First Results on the Systematic Search of Land Surface Temperature Anomalies as Earthquakes Precursors

Every year, earthquakes cause thousands of casualties and high economic losses. For example, in the time frame from 1998 to 2018, the total number of casualties due to earthquakes was larger than 846 thousand people, and the recorded economic losses were about USD 661 billion. At present, there are no earthquake precursors that can be used to trigger a warning. However, some studies have analyzed land surface temperature (LST) anomalies as a potential earthquake precursor. In this study, a large database of global LST data from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) and AQUA satellites during the whole year 2020 has been used to study the LST anomalies in the areas affected by earthquakes. A total of 1350 earthquakes with a magnitude larger than M4 were analyzed. Two methods widely used in the literature have been used to detect LST anomalies in the detrended LST time series: the interquartile (IQT) method and the standard deviation (STD). To the authors’ knowledge, it is the first time that the confusion matrix (CM), the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and some other figures of merit (FoM) are used to assess and optimize the performance of the methods, and to select the optimum combination that could be used as a proxy for their occurrence. A positive anomaly was found a few days before the studied earthquakes, followed by the LST decrease after the event. Further studies over larger regions and more extended periods will be needed to consolidate these encouraging results.

A Robust Framework for Resolution Enhancement of Land Surface Temperature by Combining Spatial Downscaling and Spatiotemporal Fusion Methods

Land surface temperature (LST) products with high spatial resolution and short revisiting cycles are crucial for environmental studies. However, due to the tradeoff between spatial and temporal resolutions of satellite observations, such data are not directly available. Spatial downscaling and spatiotemporal fusion methods are existing solutions for this problem, but their robustness is limited under different surface conditions. Here, we propose a Robust Framework for Combining Downscaling and spatiotemporal Fusion methods (RFCDF) to generate the synthesized daily high-resolution LST with high accuracy in different landscapes. RFCDF introduces a novel weighting strategy that determines pixel-level weights using an empirical function under the constraint of the image-level weights of two predictions. We implement the framework using the thermal sharpening algorithm (TsHARP) and Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Reflectance Fusion Model (STARFM) with Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data in Beijing and Baotou, as well as Landsat 8 and simulated coarse resolution imagery in nine sub-regions with different surface landscapes in Beijing. Our results demonstrate that RFCDF can generate more accurate estimations and preserve more spatial details than either individual or combination methods, improving accuracy by 0.1–0.6 K and 0.4–1.3 K in the two study areas, respectively. Moreover, the proposed framework is robust, reducing the root mean square error of estimations by 8-24% under different surface conditions. RFCDF can also generate dense high-resolution LST time series, which is crucial for studying the surface thermal environment at a finer scale.

Filling Then Spatio-Temporal Fusion for All-Sky MODIS Land Surface Temperature Generation

The thermal infrared band of the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) onboard the Terra/Aqua satellite can provide daily, 1 km land surface temperature (LST) observations. However, due to the influence of cloud contamination, spatial gaps are common in the LST product, restricting its application greatly at the regional scale. In this article, to deal with the challenge of large gaps (especially complete data loss) in MODIS LST for local monitoring, a filling then spatio-temporal fusion (FSTF) method is proposed, which utilizes another type of product with all-sky coverage, but coarser spatial resolution (i.e., the 7 km China Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS) LST product). Due to the great temporal heterogeneity of LST, temporally closer auxiliary MODIS LST images are considered to be preferable choices for spatio-temporal fusion of CLDAS and MODIS LST time-series. However, such data are always abandoned inappropriately in conventional spatio-temporal fusion if they contain gaps. Accordingly, pregap filling is performed in FSTF to make fuller use of the valid information in temporally close MODIS LST images with small gaps. Through evaluation in both the spatial and temporal domains for three regions in China, FSTF was found to be more accurate in reconstructing MODIS LST images than the original spatio-temporal fusion methods. FSTF, thus, has great potential for updating the current MODIS LST product at the global scale.

Developing the Role of Earth Observation in Spatio-Temporal Mosquito Modelling to Identify Malaria Hot-Spots

Anopheles mosquitoes are the vectors of human malaria, a disease responsible for a significant burden of global disease and over half a million deaths in 2020. Here, methods using a time series of cost-free Earth Observation (EO) data, 45,844 in situ mosquito monitoring captures, and the cloud processing platform Google Earth Engine are developed to identify the biogeographical variables driving the abundance and distribution of three malaria vectors—Anopheles gambiae s.l., An. funestus, and An. paludis—in two highly endemic areas in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. EO-derived topographical and time series land surface temperature and rainfall data sets are analysed using Random Forests (RFs) to identify their relative importance in relation to the abundance of the three mosquito species, and they show how spatial and temporal distributions vary by site, by mosquito species, and by month. The observed relationships differed between species and study areas, with the overall number of biogeographical variables identified as important in relation to species abundance, being 30 for An. gambiae s.l. and An. funestus and 26 for An. paludis. Results indicate rainfall and land surface temperature to consistently be the variables of highest importance, with higher rainfall resulting in greater mosquito abundance through the creation of pools acting as mosquito larval habitats; however, proportional coverage of forest and grassland, as well as proximity to forests, are also consistently identified as important. Predictive application of the RF models generated monthly abundance maps for each species, identifying both spatial and temporal hot-spots of high abundance and, by proxy, increased malaria infection risk. Results indicate greater temporal variability in An. gambiae s.l. and An. paludis abundances in response to seasonal rainfall, whereas An. funestus is generally more temporally stable, with maximum predicted abundances of 122 for An. gambiae s.l., 283 for An. funestus, and 120 for An. paludis. Model validation produced R2 values of 0.717 for An. gambiae s.l., 0.861 for An. funestus, and 0.448 for An. paludis. Monthly abundance values were extracted for 248,089 individual buildings, demonstrating how species abundance, and therefore biting pressure, varies spatially and seasonally on a building-to-building basis. These methods advance previous broader regional mosquito mapping and can provide a crucial tool for designing bespoke control programs and for improving the targeting of resource-constrained disease control activities to reduce malaria transmission and subsequent mortality in endemic regions, in line with the WHO’s ‘High Burden to High Impact’ initiative. The developed method was designed to be widely applicable to other areas, where suitable in situ mosquito monitoring data are available. Training materials were also made freely available in multiple languages, enabling wider uptake and implementation of the methods by users without requiring prior expertise in EO.

A data-driven high spatial resolution model of biomass accumulation and crop yield: Application to a fragmented desert-oasis agroecosystem

Information on crop yield is important for food security, in particular under the conditions of climate change and growing population worldwide. We developed a new fully distributed, high spatial resolution, model of biomass accumulation and crop yield applicable to a highly heterogeneous desert-oasis agroecosystem. The bulk of required input data is obtained by retrieving pixel-wise biogeophysical variables from a suite of very diverse satellite data. Both temperature and water stress conditions at field-scale are given full consideration, while the model was designed to strike a balance between model applicability and satisfactory characterization of the heterogeneous desert-oasis system to estimate field-scale yield. The development of this model relies on three main innovations. First, the start and end of the growing season were estimated for each pixel by calibrating the high spatial and temporal resolution observations of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) by Sentinal-2 (S2) MSI (Multi-Spectral Instrument) against limited local phenological information. Second, to monitor crop water stress, account taken of irrigation, a process-based water and energy balance model was applied to estimate the actual evapotranspiration (ET). This requires knowledge of soil water availability, which is characterized by downscaling the ASCAT (Advanced SCATterrometer) soil moisture data product. To capture the dominant features of the eco-hydrological conditions in the desert and oasis agroecosystem, ET was further downscaled from the 1 km resolution. Third, likewise the water stress indicator, the air temperature stress indicator was mapped after characterizing the thermal contrast and heterogeneity of the desert-oasis system, by generating time series of air temperature at 1 km spatial resolution using the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) Land Surface Temperature (LST) data product. In the temporal dimension, gaps were mitigated by applying time series analysis techniques to reconstruct cloud-free time series of LST, NDVI, fAPAR and albedo. These innovations add up to a high resolution characterization of crop response to the geospatial variability of weather and climate forcing in the desert-oasis agroecosystem. The model was applied to the dominant crops, i.e., spring wheat, maize, sunflower, and melon, in the oases of the Shiyang River Basin (northwestern China) characterized by a rather fragmented land use. The high resolution of pixel-wise ecohydrological parameters, i.e., crop phenology, temperature stress and water stress factors successfully reflect differences of crops with different phenology and location in the oases. The relative errors for wheat and maize yields compared to the census data are less than 5% at district level. At the county level, the relative errors of wheat yields of Liangzhou, Minqin, Gulang, Jinchuan, and Yongchang equal to 0.87%, 24.2%, 9.7%, 12.5%, and 7.2%. For maize, the dominant crop, the error on estimated yields was less than 5%, except in Gulang. The relative error on estimated yield for sunflower was less than 10% compared to agricultural census data. The relative error on estimated melon yield was 16%. This performance highlights the applicability of the model to estimate field-scale yields in agroecosystems characterized by fragmented land use.

An Analysis of the Stability and Trends in the LST_cci Land Surface Temperature Datasets Over Europe

AbstractLong‐term satellite land surface temperature (LST) data are desirable to augment 2m air temperatures (T2m) measured in situ and as an independent measure of surface temperature change. However, previous studies show variable agreement between LST and T2m time series. The objective of this study is to assess the stability and trends in six new LST data sets from the European Space Agency's Climate Change Initiative for LST (LST_cci). LST anomalies are compared with homogenized station T2m anomalies over Europe, which verifies all six data sets are well coupled (LST vs T2m anomaly correlations and slopes: 0.6–0.9). The temporal stability of the LST_cci data is assessed through a comparison with the T2m anomaly time series. Only the LST_cci data sets for the MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) onboard Aqua and the Advanced Along‐Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) appear stable; the MODIS/Terra, ATSR‐2, and multisensor InfraRed and MicroWave data sets show non‐climatic discontinuities associated with changes in sensor and/or drift over time. For MODIS/Aqua (2002–2018), significant trends in LST of 0.64–0.66 K/decade compare well with the equivalent T2m trends of 0.52–0.59 K/decade. The LST and T2m trends for AATSR (2002–2012) are found to be statistically insignificant, likely due to the comparatively short study period and specific years available for analysis. No evidence is found to suggest that trends calculated using cloud‐free InfraRed observations are affected by clear‐sky bias. This study suggests that satellite LST data can be used to assess warming trends over land and for other climate applications if the required homogeneity is assured.

Exploring the Variations and Influencing Factors of Land Surface Temperature in the Urban Agglomeration on the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains

Changes in land surface temperature (LST) can have serious impacts on the water cycle and ecological environment evolution, which in turn threaten the sustainability of ecosystems. The urban agglomeration on the northern slopes of the Tianshan Mountains (UANSTM) is located in the arid and semi-arid regions of northwest China, with an extremely fragile ecological environment and sensitive to climate change. However, studies on the LST of the UANSTM have not received much attention. Therefore, this study explored the spatial distribution pattern, fluctuation characteristics, and influencing factors of the LST of the UANSTM from 2005 to 2021 based on MODIS time series LST data and the geo-detector model with optimal parameters. The results show that the UANSTM is dominated by medium- and high-temperature classes, with high- and extremely high-temperature classes clustered in Turpan City. The daytime and nighttime LST patterns are significantly different, with a typical “daytime cold island and nighttime heat island” feature in the oasis region. During 2005–2021, LST fluctuated greatly in the northwestern part of the UANSTM, with LST showing an increasing trend during both daytime and nighttime, and the warming rate was more intense during daytime than nighttime. The increasing trend of LST in Urumqi, Changji Hui Autonomous Prefecture, Shihezi, and Wujiaqu is very significant and will remain consistent in the future. Precipitation, DEM, and AOD are the most important influencing factors of LST in the UANSTM, where precipitation and DEM are negatively correlated with LST, and AOD is positively correlated with LST. Land cover factors (LULC, NDVI,, and NDBSI) are the next most influential, and socioeconomic factors (NTL, GDP, and POP) are the least influential. The results of this study can provide a scientific reference for the conservation and sustainable development of the ecological environment of the UANSTM.

Evaluating contributions of urbanization and global climate change to urban land surface temperature change: a case study in Lagos, Nigeria

This study develops a general method to evaluate the contributions of localized urbanization and global climate change to long-term urban land surface temperature (ULST) change. The method is based on the understanding that long-term annual ULST is controlled by three factors: (1) localized urbanization, (2) global climate change, and (3) interannual climate variation. Then the method removes the interannual climate fluctuations on long-term observed LST time series via linear regression and separates the contributions of urbanization and climate change to the impacts on long-term ULST via urban–rural comparison. The method is applied to Lagos, a fast-growing metropolis in the tropical West Africa, as an example for reference. Combined time-series daily daytime and nighttime MODIS Land Surface Temperature (LST) data over the years of 2003–2021 are used as the representation of land surface temperature. To avoid the potentioal interannual data biase due to uneven availability of data in the rainy seasons over years, only MODIS LST data from dry seasons are used in the study. The results are summarized as follows for Lagos: (1) long-term annual ULST is confirmed to be controlled by the three factors; (2) the proposed method can separate the contribution of the three factors to the ULST; (2) both localized urbanization and global warming are verified to contribute to the ULST increase with positive trends; (3) daytime ULST increased the most in the afternoon time at a mean rate of 1.429 °C per decade, with 0.985 °C (10 year)−1 contributed by urbanization and 0.444 °C (10 year)−1 contributed by climate warming; (4) nighttime ULST in Lagos increased the most after midnight at a rate of 0.563 °C (10 year)−1, with 0.56 °C (10 year)−1 contributed by urbanization and 0.003 °C (10 year)−1 contributed by climate warming; and (5) urbanization is generally responsible for around 60.97% of the urban warming in Lagos. Therefore, the increasing urbaniztion-induced urban heat island effect is the major cause for more heat-related health risks and climate extremes that many urban residents are suffering. The results of this study are of useful reference for both urbanization and climate change related issues in the geo-science field.

A Kalman Filter-Based Method for Reconstructing GMS-5 Land Surface Temperature Time Series

Satellite-derived environmental parameters play important roles in environmental research on global changes and regional resources. Atmosphere effects and sensor limitations often lead to data products that vary in quality. The main goal of time series data reconstruction is to use various statistical and numerical analysis methods and to stimulate changing seasonal or annual parameters, providing more complete data sets for correlational research. This paper aims to develop a time series reconstruction algorithm for LST based on data assimilation according to the current problems of unstable precision and unsatisfactory results, and the simplistic effects of evaluation methods while using remote sensing-derived LST data as the basic parameters and the daily LST data derived from the static meteorological satellite GMS-5 as the input data. The data assimilation system used the Kalman filter as the assimilation algorithm. A complete set of global refined LST time series data sets were obtained by constantly correcting the LST values according to the regional ground-based observations. This method was implemented using MATLAB software (version R2017a), and was applied and validated through partitioning using the principal elevation in the Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei regions. The results show that the accuracy of the reconstructed LST data series improved significantly in terms of the mean and standard deviation. Better consistency was achieved between the variables obtained over a year from the reconstructed LST data and the ground observations from the LST data set.