Development Of Land Resources Research Articles

The practice of protecting agricultural land in Jiangsu Province of China

The safeguarding of agricultural land is rooted in national land surveys and remote sensing data, which are enhanced by contemporary information technology. This framework facilitates the monitoring and regulation of unauthorized alterations in cultivated land usage. This paper aims to analyze land policies at the national, provincial, and local levels, investigate the cultivated land protection strategies implemented within the research region, where the policies have gained societal acceptance, and propose recommendations and countermeasures to enhance the development and utilization of land resources. The central issue of this study is to identify the challenges in achieving a balance between human activities and natural ecosystems. To address this issue, the research employs a combination of literature review, semi-structured interviews, text analysis, and content analysis, emphasizing the integration of empirical fieldwork and theoretical frameworks. Key areas of focus include: (a) the current state of the farmland protection system, (b) the legal foundations for local enforcement, (c) the systematic mechanisms for implementing arable land protection, and (d) the coordinated oversight system involving both the Party and government. Notably, the practice of cultivated land protection faces several challenges, primarily stemming from two factors. Firstly, there exists a disconnect between the economic interests of certain illegal land users and the objectives of land management, which hinders effective enforcement. Secondly, environmental repercussions arise from misinterpretations of land policy or non-compliant land development practices aimed at profit, which contradict the goals of ecological sustainability. The study examines two approaches to address the issue: the distribution and effective use of land resources, and the capacity for monitoring and early warning systems. Findings indicate that Dongtai City in Jiangsu Province has rigorously implemented all national land management policies, while also preserving the adaptability of local townships in practical applications, thereby ensuring the consistency of both the quality and quantity of arable land.

Land use dynamics and ecosystem service valuation in the Sanmenxia Reservoir wetland of the Yellow River

The Sanmenxia Reservoir wetland (SRW) serves as a critical ecological buffer in the middle reaches of the Yellow River. Ongoing population growth and changes in land use have placed significant pressure on the wetland’s ecosystems. However, existing research has yet to establish a spatiotemporal analysis method to assess the impact of land use change on the ecosystem service value (ESV). This gap hinders the precise regulation and sustainable development of land resources. To gain a comprehensive understanding of the land use dynamics and ecological functions of the SRW, this study introduced a refined ESV evaluation method. This method revised the equivalent factors from spatial, temporal, and hydrological perspectives, with an emphasis on the impact of sediment discharge. Furthermore, the Patch-level Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model was employed to project the land use structure in 2030, and the corresponding ESV was analyzed. The study revealed the following: (1) Cropland constituted the primary land type in the SRW. Over the last two decades, the build-up area exhibited the most significant single land use dynamics, with the transformation of bare land to cropland spanning the widest range and largest area. (2) From 2000 to 2020, the ESV increased by 0.64 billion CNY, with the water body contributing almost all the increase. (3) The projected ESV for 2030 is 2.94 billion CNY, indicating an increase in ecological functions in the near future. Policy makers should recognizethe impact of land use change on ESV and implement measures to rebalance land use structure. While ensuring the preservation of cropland and the protection of lives and property, it is advisable to consider expanding the water body area to facilitate comprehensive sustainable development within SRW.

Prediction and Analysis of Surface Residual Deformation Considering the Impact of Groundwater in Mines

With economic development and coal resource exploitation, the area of mined-out zones is expanding continuously. The traditional waste disposal methods no longer meet the current demands, making it urgent to evaluate and reuse the surface stability of these mined-out zones. Surface residual deformation is a process where voids and fissures within the mined-out zones are gradually filled and compacted, affecting the overlying rock structure. Additionally, groundwater significantly impacts the strength of the overlying rock, leading to increased subsidence. Therefore, predicting surface residual deformation while considering the effects of groundwater is crucial for forecasting surface deformation and assessing stability in mined-out zones. This study, taking into account the characteristics of subsidence zones and the impact of groundwater on the compaction of fractured rock masses, uses equivalent mining height and probability integral methods to develop a predictive model for surface residual deformation incorporating groundwater effects. Predictions for the study area show that groundwater exacerbates surface residual deformation, with various deformation values ranging from 33.8% to 51.9%. The surface stability categories are divided into stable and essentially stable regions based on the residual deformation’s impact on the working face. This model fully considers the influence of groundwater on residual deformation in mined-out zones, refining existing mining subsidence theories, addressing deformation issues caused by adverse groundwater factors, and providing a theoretical basis for predicting residual deformation and evaluating stability in mined-out zones, promoting the sustainable development of land and environmental resources in mining areas.

RAF-Unet: A Remote Sensing Identification Method for Forest Land Information with Modified Unet

Abstract Carrying out remote sensing refinement identification of forest land in complex environment is of great significance for timely mapping of forest distribution. Aiming at the problem that remote sensing images have bias in the extraction of forest land information data, based on the semantic segmentation algorithm Unet, combining the ResNet50 deep learning network, the attention mechanism module and the feature pyramid structure, we construct RAF-Unet (ResNet+Attention+FPN+Unet) to improve the extraction of forest land information data. The ResNet50 classification network is used as the encoder of the Unet network to extract the feature maps at five different scales; then, the attention mechanism module is introduced in the decoder stage of the Unet network to extract the key task goal information by learning the weight values of the features; finally, the feature pyramid structure is used in the output stage of the encoder to fuse the information from the shallow network and the deep network to extract the remote sensing forest land information in the image. The results show that the RAF-Unet algorithm outperforms the Unet algorithm in all the indexes, with a precision of 95.24%, a recall of 91.80%, an F1-score value of 93.49%, an intersection over union of 87.63%, and an accuracy of 93.68%; the validity of the modules is verified by the ablation experiments, and the ResNet network, the attention mechanism, and the feature pyramid structure are all effective in improve the classification effect. It helps the forestry department to better manage and dynamically monitor forestry information, which is of great significance to the scientific development, utilization and protection of forest land resources.

Distribution characteristics of selenium and influencing factors in the plant–soil system of an arid oasis

A total of 323 topsoil samples, 63 profile soil samples, and 55 plant root samples were collected from an oasis area on the eastern margin of the Tarim Basin in China and the selenium content and other physical and chemical indicators were analyzed. The results showed that the average selenium content in the surface soil was 0.15 mg/kg, which was lower than the national background value, and only about 4% of the surveyed land area was classified as rich in selenium. The vertical distribution of selenium was characterized by surface accumulation. The organic carbon and clay content were positively correlated and the pH levels negatively correlated with the selenium content. Soil type had little effect on selenium content, though the selenium levels in Anthrosols and Gleysols were relatively high. The selenium content for cultivated land and garden soil was higher than for other land use types. The enrichment of selenium in plant roots was highest for Apocynum venetum L., followed by Pulicaria dysenterica (L.). Bernh., Populus euphratica Olive, Tamarix chinensis Lour., Phragmites australis (Cav.) Trin. ex Steud, and Pyrus bretschneideri Rehder. Correlation analysis revealed that the enrichment of selenium in the soil was mainly controlled by supergenesis in conjunction with long-distance migration and deposition. Overall, this study provides useful information for the rational development and utilization of regional land resources.

Changes in gross ecosystem product and its response to land use changes in forest resource dominant regions: A case study of Zixi County, Jiangxi Province, China.

Forests are one of the most important terrestrial ecosystems and play a crucial role in the construction of ecological civilization. Understanding the changes in gross ecosystem product (GEP) and its response to land use change in areas with unique advantages in forest resources is of great significance for promoting sustainable development. We examined the GEP of Zixi County of Jiangxi Province. Based on the theory and method of ecosystem value accounting, and on the basis of the general indicator system for regulating services (water source conservation, soil conservation, oxygen supply, carbon fixation, climate control, flood regulation, water purification, air cleaning, species conservation) and the general indicator system for cultural services (landscape recreation, education), we added negative oxygen ions and health care indicators and introduced forest ecosystem service correction coefficients to construct a GEP indicator system and method with unique advantages in forest resources. We evaluated the spatio-temporal variations of GEP in 2010, 2017 and 2020, and quantified the impact of land use/land cover change on GEP by means of elasticity index and value profit and loss analysis. The results showed that the GEP of Zixi County in 2010, 2017 and 2020 was 16.788 billion, 26.817 billion, and 38.407 billion yuan, respectively. Forests contri-buted the largest amount of GEP, followed by wetland, farmland, grassland, and town. During the study period, the added value of GEP mainly came from forest ecosystems. Land use change had an important impact on GEP. From 2010 to 2020, the total land use change area in the study area was 8501.88 hm2. The amplitude of land use change was grassland (-2811.17 hm2)>town (1428.06 hm2)>forest (1357.67 hm2)>wetland (1031.05 hm2)> farmland (-1005.01 hm2). The absolute changes of various land use types were mainly occurred from 2017 to 2020. The elasticity index of each indicator on forest ecosystems was significantly higher than that of other ecosystems, indicating that GEP had the highest sensitivity to changes in forest area. The results of value profit and loss analysis showed that urban development had reduced GEP to some extent, while the protection of forest and wetland had increased GEP. From 2010 to 2020, the conversion of land use types in Zixi County led to an increase of 1.865 billion yuan in GEP, indicating that land use change in Zixi County had a positive ecological impact on the whole. Our results reflect the green development effect of Zixi County after becoming a national ecological civilization construction demonstration county, which could provide decision-making support for high-quality development, high-level protection and sustainable development and utilization of land resources in the future, and provide reference for other similar areas of GEP accounting.

Thirty years of 3-D urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta, China

Accurately capturing the urbanization process is essential for planning sustainable cities and realizing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 11. However, until recently, most of the studies on urban expansion in the world have focused on area growth but have little knowledge of height dynamics. This study mapped the spatial distribution of urban built-up areas (UBA) in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), one of the most urbanized regions in China, to investigate the spatio-temporal evolution in both the horizontal and vertical directions from 1990 to 2020. We coupled and analyzed the horizontal and vertical urban expansion from the 3-D perspective and identified the dominant types. The results showed that 30 cities (73.17 % of the total number of cities) were increasing in the 3-D combined expansion intensity. The decreasing cities were mainly located in Anhui Province. Despite the increasing number of skyscrapers, horizontal growth has dominated urban expansion over the past three decades. The UBA area of the YRD has grown from 4,855.30 km2 to 44,447.15 km2, while the average building height has slowly decreased by 1.26 m. Significant unevenness and differences existed in horizontal and vertical expansions of varying provinces and cities. Our study can accurately grasp the 3-D urban expansion process in the YRD and could promote the efficient development and sustainable utilization of urban land resources in China and beyond.

The distribution of rainfall in areas suitable for sugarcane farming in Blitar Regency, East Java

Abstract Expansion of sugarcane in East Java continue to be implemented in addition to intensification to increase sugarcane production in East Java, including expansion to Blitar Regency. This study aims to determine the rainfall distribution in areas suitable for sugarcane cultivation in Blitar Regency, East Java. This study was done in 2022 by combining a sugarcane land suitability map in Blitar Regency from the Indonesian Center for Agricultural Land Resources Research and Development and an annual isohyet map. Maps showing the rainfall distribution that the further north in Blitar the more elevation and rainfall and decreasing to the south. Annual rainfall distribution of 1500-2000 mm and 2000-2500 mm in the areas of moderately and marginally suitable for sugarcane covered total area of 25,918.59 ha and 22,689.90 ha or 15.83% and 13.86% of the total existing land area, respectively. When expanding sugarcane development, it is essential to consider the rainfall distribution along with the spatial distribution of land. Therefore, field trials are needed in each zoning to determine the productivity level of sugarcane and sugar. Complementing the spatial distribution of land for sugarcane with the rainfall distribution in each zone is important to identify yield potential for each suitability class.

Potential and Influencing Factors of Urban Spatial Development under Natural Constraints: A Case Study of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

As urbanization in China progresses, urban spatial development is transitioning from rapid expansion to more intensive and compact growth. This study examined the role of physical geography and environmental factors in shaping the urban spatial development in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA). Based on the current natural conditions, we selected evaluation indices from topography, hydrogeology, climatic conditions, and natural disasters. These indices were used to create a carrying capacity and suitability evaluation system for development land under natural constraints. Finally, the spatial development potential of the city was finalized by taking into account the current state of the built-up area of the city. Meanwhile, we employed the Optimal Parameters-based Geographical Detector and assessed the impact of 14 natural factors on the spatial development of urban built-up areas. In 2020, the GBA had 52,168.77 km2 of land suitable for construction, of which 34,241.13 km2 was highly suitable (61.29%) and 17,927.64 km2 was moderately suitable (32.09%). At the Bay Area level, 90.15% of the development potential remains untapped; at the city level, Zhaoqing City has the highest potential at 99.56%, while Macao has the lowest at 26.83%. Key factors influencing urban development include silty sand content, annual average relative humidity, and cumulative temperature above 0 °C, with varying impacts across different urban scales. At the Bay Area level, the silty sand content, annual average relative humidity, and cumulative temperature above 0 °C are the main influencing factors on the spatial development of urban built-up areas; at the city level, the main factors are annual average relative humidity and cumulative active temperature above 0 °C. This study reveals the important influence of natural environmental factors on urban spatial development, which is conducive to promoting sustainable development of land resources in GBA.

Restore polder and aquaculture enclosure to the lake: Balancing environmental protection and economic growth for sustainable development

The restoration of lakes and their buffer zones is crucial for understanding the intricate interplay between human activities and natural ecosystems resulting from the implementation of environmental policies. In this study, we investigated the ecological restoration of shallow lakes and buffer zones in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin, specifically focusing on the removal of polder and aquaculture enclosure areas within the lakes. By examining data from eight shallow lakes and their corresponding buffer zones, encompassing lake morphology, water quality parameters, and land use/land cover (LULC) data spanning from 2008 to 2022, which shed light on the complex relationships involved. During the process of restoring polder and aquaculture enclosure areas, we observed a general decrease in the extent of polders and aquaculture enclosures within the lakes. Notably, the removal of aquaculture enclosures had a more pronounced effect (reduction rate of 83.37 %) compared to the withdrawal of polders (reduction rate of 48.76 %). Linear regression analysis revealed a significant decrease in the concentrations of seven water quality parameters, including COD, CODMn, TN, TP, NH3-N, Chl-a, and F, while pH and DO factors exhibit a distinct increasing trend. The results of redundancy analysis and Pearson correlation analysis demonstrated significant correlations between the area of polders and aquaculture enclosures and the changes in lake water quality. Encouragingly, the withdrawal of polders and the removal of aquaculture enclosures had a positive impact on the lake water quality improvement. In contrast, the LULC in the buffer zones of the lakes experienced a gradual decline owing to land degradation, resulting in a reduction in ecosystem service value (ESV). These results offer valuable support for policymakers in their endeavors to restore lake water quality, mitigate the degradation of buffer zones land, and promote the sustainable development of land and water resources.

Evaluation of resource and environmental carrying capacity in Xiong’an New Area

From four dimensions of resource, environment, ecology (green ecology) and social economy, correlation analysis method and principal component analysis method of SPSS are used to screen evaluation indexes to design a scientific and reasonable evaluation indexes system of resource and environmental carrying capacity in Xiong’an New Area in line with regional characteristics. Based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, resource and environmental carrying capacity of the New Area are evaluated. The results show that: the resource and environmental carrying capacity of the New Area from 2014 to 2018 are 0.3229, 0.3556, 0.3521, 0.3859 and 0.4445 respectively, with an average annual growth rate of 8.32% and a steady growth trend. Then, some countermeasures to improve resource and environmental carrying capacity of the New Area are presented from three aspects of development and utilization of land resource, development and utilization of water resource and protection and utilization of water environment.

Assessment of groundwater potential zone mapping for semi-arid environment areas using AHP and MIF techniques

AbstractGroundwater resources are essential for drinking water, irrigation, and the economy mainly in semiarid environments where rainfall is limited. Currently, unpredictable rainfall due to climate change and pollution on the Earth’s surface directly affects groundwater resources. In this area, most people depend on groundwater resources for irrigation and drinking purposes, and every summer, most of the area depends on groundwater in a semiarid environment. Hence, we selected two popular methods, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and multiple influence factor (MIF) methods, which can be applied to map groundwater potential zones. Nine thematic layers, such as land use and land cover (LULC), geomorphology, soil, drainage density, slope, lineament density, elevation, groundwater level, and geology maps, were selected for this study using remote sensing and geographic information system (GIS) techniques. These layers are integrated in ArcGIS 10.5 software with the help of the AHP and MIF methods. The map of the groundwater potential zones in the study area revealed four classes, i.e., poor, moderate, good, and very good, based on the AHP and MF methods. The groundwater potential zone area is 241.50 (ha) Poor, 285.64 (ha) moderate, 408.31 (ha) good, and 92.75 (ha) very good using the AHP method. Similarly, the MIF method revealed that the groundwater potential classes were divided into four classes: 351.29 (ha) poor, 511.18 (ha), moderate, 123.95 (ha) good, and 41.78 (ha) very good. The results were compared to determine which methods are best for planning water and land resource development in specific areas that have basaltic rock and drought conditions. Both groundwater potential zone maps were validated with water yield data. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC) model results are found to be 0.80 (good) and 0.93 (excellent) using the MIF and AHP methods, respectively; hence, the AHP method is best for delineation of groundwater potential zone maps and groundwater resource planning. The present study’s framework and the results will be valuable for improving the efficiency of irrigation, conserving rainwater and maintaining the ecosystem in India.

Exploring Issues and Strategies of Rural Land Use and Environmental Protection

Land resources play a crucial role in the overall development of society, but the irrational exploitation and use of these resources have significant adverse effects on the natural ecological environment, which is detrimental to the effective construction of a harmonious society. There is an inseparable relationship between rural land use and ecological security, and in current rural land use practices, environmental protection issues are increasingly emphasized. In some rural areas, in pursuit of short-term economic benefits, the importance of environmental protection is often overlooked, leading to excessive development and use of land resources, posing a great threat to the sustainable development of rural society. The reduction of vegetation signifies a deterioration of the ecological environment, and soil erosion leads to a decrease in land resources and a decline in land productivity, while soil degradation directly affects the growth of crops and the income of farmers. Therefore, it is essential to integrate environmental protection concepts throughout the entire process of rural land use. In the development and utilization of land resources, environmental protection requirements must be fully considered, adopting scientific and reasonable planning and measures to ensure the full utilization of land resources and achieve sustainable development of rural society.

Multi-Scenario Simulation and Eco-Environmental Effects Analysis of Land Use/Cover Change in China by an Integrated Cellular Automata and Markov Model

Land use transitions play a critical role in ecological environmental restoration, but they are also plagued by ecological environmental problems caused by excessive land resource development. In this study, we propose a methodological framework for unveiling the nexus profile of land use/cover change (LUCC) and eco-environmental effects. This study explored the spatiotemporal evolution patterns of LUCC over a long time series based on high-precision land use data from 1990 to 2020. Then, the ecological values (EVs) of various cities were calculated to obtain the ecological contribution rate of different land use types in the process of change. Finally, the future development trends of land use and ecological environmental quality were predicted under multiple scenarios using the cellular automata–Markov model, and scientific policy recommendations were proposed. The results showed that the expansion trajectory of the construction land in the urban agglomeration mainly expanded inwards along the mouth of the Pearl River, and the conversion of cultivated land to construction land was the most significant type of land use change. The overall ecological environmental quality of the study area showed a downwards trend, with Shenzhen exhibiting the largest decrease in EVs. Cultivated land contributed significantly to improving regional ecological environmental quality, while the land use transition types with relatively large contributions to environmental quality deterioration were conversions to construction land. Under the scenario of coordinated protection, the degree of cultivated land area reduction was significantly reduced, and the area of forestland showed a positive growth trend, with the expansion trend of construction land being reversed. These research findings can enrich the theoretical research on the sustainable development of urban agglomerations and provide reliable data support for policy-making.

Market transformations in the development of land relations (experience of Canada and Scotland)

The development of land relations today remains one of the most important tasks of Ukraine. The priority directions for the development of such relations are the creation of conditions for the inclusion of land to the economic circulation and the regulation of land relations in combination with the increase of budget revenues of all levels from the use of land.
 In modern conditions, the land policy of developed countries creates mechanisms for regulating the land market with a multifaceted socio-economic content. This complex process is accompanied by the reform of land relations. Effective management of land resources ensures the development of the land market. Discussions regarding the creation of a full-fledged land market in Ukraine are still ongoing. Analysis of foreign experience will allow to transform land relations in Ukraine.
 Natural resources are diverse, but land is becoming an increasingly valuable resource for most countries. They are trying to achieve high rates of economic growth, which, in turn, are related to the development of land resources. It often turns out that such «development» is connected with the seizure of a million hectares of agricultural land by rich corporations or even foreign states. Deprivation of rights to land claims the status of the most famous and, at the same time, little-researched form of deprivation of rights not only in modern literature devoted to «land grabbing», but also in classical theory in general. The article discusses the factors contributing to «land grabbing». Global factors causing similar processes in Canada and Scotland, current consequences, future risks are identified. It was established that the factors of «grabbing of land» for agricultural purposes are of different nature. This is a significant price differentiation on the land market, and the increase in the investment attractiveness of agricultural land, the consequences of privatization and land consolidation. The leading role of the state in the investment process and the existence of a strategy for spreading the influence of the countries in question, which is implemented in parallel with the purchase of land, are shown.

INTERNATIONAL PRACTICE AND STANDARDS OF LAND VALUATION AND THEIR IMPACT ON THE LAND PLOTS MARKET PRICE

The article analyses international practices and land valuation standards, highlighting their significance in forming market prices for land plots. The authors consider the importance of harmonising national valuation standards with international ones, which will be an essential step toward ensuring transparency, fairness, and efficiency in the land market. The focus is on the impact of internationally recognised standards such as IVS, RICS, and TEGoVA on the land pricing process in different countries. The article discusses in detail the mechanisms through which standardised evaluation methods contribute to increasing the investment attractiveness of land resources, strengthening the confidence of investors and land owners, and improving the legal and economic basis of the land market. The authors emphasise that an adequate assessment of the land that meets international standards is critical for ensuring effective management of land resources, conducting sustainable land use, and preserving the ecological balance. The study reveals the potential advantages and challenges of adopting international assessment standards in Ukraine. In particular, we consider the issues of the need for retraining appraisers, the adaptation of national legislation and regulatory framework, and the potential for increasing transparency and stabilisation of the land market. The article points out the importance of international cooperation and exchange of experience for the successful integration of Ukraine into global market relations, boosting its investment attractiveness and fostering the sustainable development of land resources. The article provides a valuable contribution to understanding the main aspects of international experience in land valuation and its impact on market price formation mechanisms. It calls for further research and discussion of ways to adapt and implement international standards in Ukraine as a necessary prerequisite for developing an open, fair, and efficient land market. The study significantly contributes to the scientific understanding of the harmonisation processes of national approaches to land valuation with international standards and practices, which is relevant in the context of globalisation and market integration. Keywords: international valuation standard, land value, land plot, land cadastre.

Multi-parameters monitoring of geological disasters around the Taihang Mountains-Yanshan area, Hebei Province

The Hebei Taihang Mountains-Yanshan region marks North China’s natural boundary between plains and plateaus. The unique geological and geographical conditions have led to a hazardous environment with frequent geological events. Hence, conducting a comparative analysis of regional geological hazard drivers is necessary. A geological hazard driver analysis model using multiparameter preferential Geodetectors was developed, focusing on the Taihang Mountains-Yanshan region in Hebei. It was divided into zones: Taihang Mountains, Yanshan Mountains and Dam Plateau. The results showed significant differences in the explanatory power of geohazard drivers in various zones, varying with the softening of the natural geological environment and increased human activities. In the Taihang Mountains, the primary geohazard factor is average annual rainfall, whereas in the Yanshan Mountains, it is average annual rainfall and geomorphology. Interactions among factors reveal that annual average rainfall holds the highest explanatory power for geological hazard spatial differences, notably interacting with geomorphological, geological and human activity regions, yielding an escalating effect. The study findings can be crucial references for disaster prevention, mitigation, national land resource development, economic planning and the ‘six belts’ construction in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.

Characteristics Analysis and Prediction of Land Use Evolution in the Source Region of the Yangtze River and Yellow River Based on Improved FLUS Model

Climate change profoundly alters land use in alpine regions, and delving into the evolutionary characteristics of these changes is crucial for the sustainable development of regional land resources and the gradual enhancement of the ecological environment. Taking the source region of the Yangtze and Yellow River (SRYAYE) as a case study, we integrate permafrost and snowfall data into the Future Land Use Simulation model (FLUS). Analyzing historical land use, we predict and simulate the land use scenarios for 2030, 2035, and 2060 under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 climates, and conduct a detailed analysis of the scale, composition, and pattern of land use in this area. Scale. The results showed that ① the Kappa coefficient of the improved FLUS model was higher than 0.927, and that the overall accuracy of the simulation was increased by 2.64%; ② the area of forest land and the high-coverage grassland will increase in the future and the center of gravity will migrate to the west, and that the area of moderate and low-coverage grassland will slightly decrease but tend to become green to the west; and ③ the fragmentation degree of the SRYAYE is decreasing, and the influence of human activities on the landscape pattern is weaker than in the past.

Landscape Analysis and Ecological Risk Assessment during 1995–2020 Based on Land Utilization/Land Coverage (LULC) and Random Forest: A Case Study of the Fushun Open-Pit Coal Area in Liaoning, China

China’s Fushun open-pit mine is the largest century-old coal mine in Asia. Large-scale mining and the use of coal has caused dramatic changes in the regional urban landscape pattern, seriously affecting the ecological function and ecosystem stability of its surrounding landscape. Evaluating the ecological risks of the landscape in the urban areas of open-pit mines contributes to the risk management of regional ecosystems and the sustainable development of society. This study selected six-phase Landsat ETM/OLI remote sensing images from 1995 to 2020 and combined them with the random forest model to carry out an LULC classification of the open-pit mine and its surrounding areas and, on this basis, discusses the evolution of its landscape pattern and evaluates the ecological risks. It fills the gap in the research on the evolution of regional landscape patterns and ecological risks in the study area and improves the automatic classification efficiency of LULC for use in open-pit mines. The results show that the classification accuracy of LULC regarding open-pit mines based on image pixels and the random forest model can reach 30 m, and the rate of accuracy can reach 92–97%. From 1995 to 2020, the coverage area of forest land and building land in the study area has increased and is mainly composed of grassland and undeveloped land. The use of land was transferred to the mining area, the water body area maintained a relative dynamic balance, and the overall vegetation coverage of the mining area was greatly improved; the forest land began to expand from the surrounding area to the mining area in 2010, and the construction land began to move from the areas surrounding the mining area to the surrounding valleys in 2015. The landforms have extended radially, and the landscape sprawl index has increased, indicating the optimization of the ecological environment; the high- and medium-risk areas decreased by 75.51 km2, the low-risk areas expanded by 461.48 km2, and the overall ecological risk index decreased. From this, it is possible to conclude that the landscape restoration project adopted in the study area has achieved great results, and the improvement of the ecological environment also directly affects the increase of construction land. These research results can provide scientific guidance for the rational utilization and sustainable development of land resources in urban areas of open-pit mines.

ЭКОЛОГИЧЕСКИЕ РИСКИ В СИСТЕМЕ УСТОЙЧИВОГО РАЗВИТИЯ

The work is devoted to an urgent topic: accounting and prevention of possible environmental risks, as one of the conditions for the sustainable use and development of the Planet's land resources. The article examines possible environmental risks beyond the climate agenda related to the physical impact on the environment: emissions into the atmosphere, soil and water pollution, waste generation and negative effects on natural biodiversity. The paper attempts to analyze methods of environmental risk management in the development and implementation of projects in various areas of the economy, including in the land use system.