Welch EB, Bouchard D, Frodge J, Jacoby JM. Stability of Lake Sammamish phosphorus despite land use changes. Lake Reserv Manage. 35:167–180.Total phosphorus (TP) concentration in Lake Sammamish has not changed significantly following recovery in the 1970s from wastewater diversion, despite increases in developed land and impervious area of 100% and 60%, respectively, from 1980 to 2011. Annual mean, whole-lake TP has remained constant at about 18 µg/L. Summer mean TP and chlorophyll a (Chl-a) have not changed either, and transparency increased from 3.8 m in the 1970s to consistently around 5 m since the 1980s. Reasons for the stability of annual mean TP through the 1980s were (1) hypolimnetic TP had declined by nearly 50% since the 1970s, due to 62% less internal loading; (2) water residence time increased slightly since the 1970s, allowing more settling of particulate matter; and (3) hypolimnetic TP content at turnover did not persist. In 1992, annual TP was predicted to increase from 18 to 28 µg/L if the watershed was developed to 64% from 36% as projected, without substantial forest retention and runoff controls. Developed land increased to half the watershed, but lake TP remained unchanged. Reasons for the continued stable TP over the subsequent 2 decades are that (1) use of land for agriculture ceased; (2) runoff controls were installed; and (3) more forest was retained (64% of the watershed that supplies 70% of the lake’s inflow remained 68% forested). With the implementation of runoff controls, concomitant with increased forest retention and decreased agriculture in the watershed, lake TP and water quality were more stable than originally predicted without these measures.
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