Despite efforts to use environmental DNA (eDNA), accurately quantifying fish populations remains a challenge. A recent eDNA approach provided reliable estimates of coastal fish population abundance, but it was not as effective for assessing spatial distribution due to a lack of eDNA samples relative to the study area. Therefore, we conducted a numerical case study to evaluate the ability of the eDNA approach to estimate fish (Jack mackerel) abundance and distribution based on the number of eDNA samples in a semi-enclosed bay (Jinhae Bay). Our study revealed that the eDNA approach can provide reliable estimates of fish abundance, even with knowledge of the eDNA concentration in just 1% of the study area. However, for estimating spatial distribution and fish school, significant estimates were obtained only when the eDNA concentration was identified in more than 70% of the study area. Our results confirm that the eDNA approach can reflect fish abundance but has limitations in estimating fish distribution.
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