There is no consensus regarding optimal target refraction after intraocular lens implantation in infants. This study aimed to clarify relationships of initial postoperative refraction with long-term refractive and visual outcomes. This retrospective review included 14 infants (22 eyes) who underwent unilateral or bilateral cataract extraction and primary intraocular lens implantation before the age of 1 year. All infants had ≥10 years of follow-up. All eyes exhibited myopic shift over a mean follow-up period of 15.9 ± 2.8 years. The greatest myopic shift occurred in the first postoperative year (mean=-5.39 ± +3.50 dioptres [D]), but smaller amounts continued beyond the tenth year (mean=-2.64 ± +2.02 D between 10 years postoperatively and last follow-up). Total myopic shift at 10 years ranged from -21.88 to -3.75 D (mean=-11.62 ± +5.14 D). Younger age at operation was correlated with larger myopic shifts at 1 year (P=0.025) and 10 years (P=0.006) postoperatively. Immediate postoperative refraction was a predictor of spherical equivalent refraction at 1 year (P=0.015) but not at 10 years (P=0.116). Immediate postoperative refraction was negatively correlated with final best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) (P=0.018). Immediate postoperative refraction of ≥+7.00 D was correlated with worse final BCVA (P=0.029). Considerable variation in myopic shift hinders the prediction of long-term refractive outcomes in individual patients. When selecting target refraction in infants, low to moderate hyperopia (<+7.00 D) should be considered to balance the avoidance of high myopia in adulthood with the risk of worse long-term visual acuity related to high postoperative hyperopia.
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