Planet formation occurs over a few Myr within protoplanetary disks of dust and gas, which are often assumed to evolve in isolation. However, extended gaseous structures have been uncovered around many protoplanetary disks, suggestive of late-stage infall from the interstellar medium (ISM). To quantify the prevalence of late-stage infall, we apply an excursion set formalism to track the local density and relative velocity of the ISM over the disk lifetime. We then combine the theoretical Bondi–Hoyle–Lyttleton (BHL) accretion rate with a simple disk evolution model, anchoring stellar accretion timescales to observational constraints. Disk lifetimes, masses, stellar accretion rates, and gaseous outer radii as a function of stellar mass and age are remarkably well reproduced by our simple model that includes only ISM accretion. We estimate that 20%−70% of disks may be mostly composed of material accreted in the most recent half of their lifetime, suggesting that disk properties are not a direct test of isolated evolution models. Our calculations indicate that BHL accretion can also supply sufficient energy to drive turbulence in the outer regions of protoplanetary disks with viscous α SS ∼ 10−5 to 10−1, although we emphasize that angular momentum transport and particularly accretion onto the star may still be driven by internal processes. Our simple approach can be easily applied to semianalytic models. Our results represent a compelling case for regulation of planet formation by large-scale turbulence, with broad consequences for planet formation theory. This possibility urgently motivates deep observational surveys to confirm or refute our findings.
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