Indonesia Interest Rate Research Articles

Upaya Mengurangi Rendahnya Minat Literasi pada Siswa Kelas 6 SDN Plerean 2 Kabupaten Jember

The "Melek Literasi" work program began on August 3, 2024, in SDN Plerean 2 in Sumberjambe District. The goal of this study was to improve grade 6 students' interest in reading literacy at SDN Plerean 2, Sumberjambe District. This work program is intended to promote the formation of a literacy culture at a young age, with a particular focus on grade 6 children who will shortly continue their education to a higher level, namely Junior High School. The primary material utilised in this program is micro fiction novels, which are meant to develop interest in reading literacy among grade 6 pupils. This work program began with a site study and collaboration with teachers and the administrator of SDN Plerean 2 in Sumberjambe District. Of the 28 pupils in Class 6 of SDN 2 Plerean, 26 said they were motivated to read more. The work program of the Jember Collaborative KKN students at Posko 205 in Plerean Village is projected to help reduce oscillations in reading interest rates in Indonesia and enhance the accomplishment of national literacy objectives.

The Mismatch Between Macroeconomic Stability and Declining Stock Performance of Digital Banks in Indonesia: An Empirical Study of 2022-2023

This study examines the mismatch between macroeconomic stability and the stock performance of digital banks in Indonesia over the period 2022-2023. The results of the analysis show that the USD/IDR exchange rate and Bank Indonesia interest rate have a significant negative effect on stock prices, while inflation shows no significant effect. These findings suggest that despite stable macroeconomic conditions, the share prices of digital banks experienced a significant decline, indicating market inefficiencies. This study makes a theoretical contribution by revealing the role of exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations in influencing the stock performance of digital banks in emerging markets. In conclusion, factors such as investor sentiment, market behavior, and the influence of digital financial technology need to be taken into account in developing strategies to support the stability and growth of the digital banking sector in Indonesia. The results of this study are important for policymakers, regulators, and market participants in dealing with the challenges faced by the digital banking sector in Indonesia. Keywords Digital banking, macroeconomic stability, stock performance, market inefficiency.

Minimum Wage, Inflation, Interest Rate and Household Consumption In Indonesia

This study aims to determine the effect of minimum wages, inflation, and lending rates on household consumption in Indonesia. The variables in this study are minimum wage, inflation, and lending rates as independent variables, while the household consumption variable is the dependent variable. The research period is from 1993-2023. The data analysis technique used is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) panel. The results of this study indicate that the province that is able to become a leading indicator for the stability of household consumption is North Sumatra. When viewed from the short run and long run, the Minimum Wage variable has an insignificant effect on Household Consumption in the short term but has a significant effect on Household Consumption in the long term. Inflation variable has a significant effect on Household Consumption in the short run, while in the long run Inflation variable has an insignificant effect on Household Consumption. The loan interest rate variable has no significant effect on household consumption in the short term or in the long term.

Determinants of Bank Profitability and Implications for Company Value with Moderating Dividend Policy

The research is quantitative and the objective is to determine the internal (Loan Quality, Third Party Fund, Managerial Efficiency) and external (BI Rate, Inflation) variables that determine Bank profitability, and the impact of this profitability on company value by moderating the Bank's stock dividend policy. The method used is panel data regression and moderated regression analysis using Eviews 10. The data used is secondary data with a sample of 10 Book 4 banks listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange for the 2011-2020 period. The results obtained are first Loan Quality, Third Party Funds, Managerial Efficiency, Bank Indonesia Interest Rates and Inflation Rates simultaneously have a significant and positive effect on Banking Profitability, second Banking Profitability partially has a significant and positive effect on Company Value and third Banking Profitability which is moderated by Dividend Policy partially has a significant and positive effect on Company Value

Analisis Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah Terhadap Pembandingan Penggunaan Kina Di Kampung Mosso Muara Tami Papua

This research aims to determine the influence of the rupiah exchange rate on the use of Kina in Mosso Village, Muara Tami, Papua. Quantitative methods were used in this research to analyze secondary data collected from the websites of Bank Indonesia and the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics. The number of quarters, which collects all information during the study period, was used for sampling. This research uses two independent variables: inflation, Bank Indonesia interest rates (SBI) and money supply (JUB). The dependent variable is the exchange rate. Multiple linear regression analysis, T test, and F test were used to analyze the data. The results of the T hypothesis test show that inflation has a significant influence on the exchange rate partially during the period studied, with a significance value of 0.001. The interest rate does not have a significant influence on the exchange rate partially during the period studied, with a significance value of 0.462. The money supply also does not have a significant influence on the exchange rate partially, with a significance value of 0.17. The results of the F hypothesis test with a significance value of 0.000 show that inflation, interest rates and money supply simultaneously have a significant influence on the exchange rate in the 2018–2022 period.

Dampak Penanaman Modal dalam Negeri, Bi Rate, dan Nilai Tukar (Kurs) terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan di Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the impact of the Domestic Investment program (PMDN), Bank Indonesia interest rate (BI Rate), and exchange rate on the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) in Indonesia. To test the relationship between the independent variable (PMDN, BI Rate, and exchange rate) and the dependent variable (JCI) over a certain period of time, multiple regression analysis method is used. This research uses data obtained from various reliable and relevant sources. The findings of this study are expected to provide a deeper understanding of the factors that influence JCI in Indonesia and provide insight for policymakers to improve the investment climate. The conclusions and policy recommendations generated from this study are expected to be able to make a positive contribution to Indonesia's economic development in the long term.

THE IMPACT OF NON-PERFORMING LOANS AND THE BI RATE ON RETURN ON ASSETS

The increase in interest rates also brings changes in the management of funding sources and distribution of funds (credit). Changes in interest rates of course not only affect the profits generated by banks, but also how banks manage the interest income earned and interest paid. This research aims to determine the effect of non-performing loans (NPL) and the Bank Indonesia Interest Rate (BI Rate) on Return on Assets (ROA). The sample used in this research is state-owned banks listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (BEI) for the period 2020-2022. The research method used is an associative method with a quantitive approach. The data analysis technique used is multiple linear regression. The research results show that Non Performing Loans (NPL) have a negative and significant influence on Return on Assets (ROA) and the BI Rate has a negative and insignificant influence on Return on Assets (ROA).

Determining the Future Direction and Amount of Tax Revenue in Indonesia Using an <i>Error Correction Model </i>(ECM)

The characteristics of how tax revenues, as well as the macroeconomic factors that are expected to influence and determine tax revenues, develop have become the basic macroeconomic assumptions by the government in compiling various components of the posture of the state revenue and expenditure budget to maintain and increase the expected economic growth. To understand the evolution of tax revenues and the impacts of these variables, it is important to investigate the relationship between tax revenues and specific macroeconomic variables. This study aims to identify the effect of macroeconomic variables on Indonesian tax revenues in the long and short term using multiple regression analysis in an error correction model (ECM). The macroeconomic conditions and variables used in this study are gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, interest rates, and exchange rates. This study employed the time-series data from 2000–2019. The ECM method was conducted in the following stages: stationarity test, cointegration test, and ECM regression test. The ECM model is declared valid, if the cointegrated variables are supported by a significant and negative ECT coefficient value. The statistical analysis, i.e. t-statistic, the F-statistic, and the coefficient of determination, were used to evaluate the significance of the ECM model. The results showed that among the four of macroeconomic variables used in this study, GDP has the highest significant effect on the tax revenue. GDP has a highly positive and considerable impact on tax revenue. The increasing of GDP growth is in line with the realization of tax revenue. A strong positive long-term (t-statistic = 13.94075*, P-value = 0.0000) and short-term (t-statistic = 5.515026*, P-value = 0.0001) association is also observed between inflation and tax revenue. Inflation has a favorable and considerable impact on tax income either in long (t-statistic = 2.298586**, P-value= 0.0363) or short term (t-statistic = 2.515695**, P-value = 0.0258). On the other hand, Bank Indonesia interest rate has a negative insignificant effect (t-statistic = −1.542970ᵈ, P-value = 0.1437) in the long run on tax revenue. However, it has a negative significant effect (t-statistic = −2.699231**, P-value = 0.0182) in short-term tax revenue. A rise in interest rates results in the lowered tax revenues due to the reduction of public consumption patterns, and a decrease in public consumption. The exchange rate has a negative negligible connection in long term (t-statistic = −1.045768ᵈ, P-value = 0.3122), as well as in short term (t-statistic = 1.250076ᵈ, P-value = 0.2333) with tax revenue, meaning that tax revenue is not significantly affected by changes in exchange rate. In conclusion, total tax revenues and the four macroeconomic variables have a significant long- and short-term association according to the ECM analysis with an adjusted R² value of 0.985866 and 0.792880, respectively. Changes in future tax revenues are largely determined by the stability of macroeconomic variables. Therefore, it is highly recommended that the government maintain the stability of macroeconomic variables, especially GDP, because GDP has a dominant influence on tax revenues in the long and short term so that the target of tax revenues can be achieved. The ECM analysis applied in this study can explain the effect of changes in macroeconomic variables on the tax revenue in the short and long term; so that the future direction and amount of tax revenue can be determined in preparing the State Budget and projecting the expected level of economic activity growth in a nation.

The comparison of islamic and conventional banking in ownership structure and interest rates in Indonesia

Ownership structure and interest rates are important factors affecting a bank's performance. Previous studies have found the effect of ownership structure and interest rates on company performance, but no one has specifically examined differences in Banking performance in ownership structure and interest rates. This study aims to compare the performance of Islamic and conventional banking in ownership structure and interest rates. In study, the author used quantitative methods that emphasize the analysis of numerical data processed using Stata 16. Based on the unstructured data panel, there are 13 Islamic banking and 107 conventional banking, the total banks used as objects are 120 banks with 1110 observations. The results are local ownership did not affect the performance of Islamic banks, compared to conventional banking on the contrary. Foreign ownership in Islamic banking affects Banking performance, while conventional banking has no effect. Furthermore, government ownership affects the performance of Islamic banks, but does not affect the performance of conventional banking. Based on the results of the study, it can be proven that government and foreign interference in the ownership of Islamic banking plays a role in improving the bank's performance. Whereas conventional banking has performed well under local ownership.

Kinerja return teknologi dan suku bunga

Changes in interest rates in Indonesia tend to produce certain phenomena in capital market conditions. Especially in the technology sector, share prices tend to have a decreasing pattern as interest rates increase. This study takes the period from 24 November 2022 to 16 February 2023 or the period where there was an increase in interest rates. The findings show that technology sector returns have a weak and unidirectional relationship with interest rates, although it is not significant. This implies that returns from the technology sector tend to increase as interest rates increase.

THE IMPACT OF CHANGES IN BANK INDONESIA'S INTEREST RATE POLICY ON THE LIQUIDITY OF CONVENTIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS

This study aims to examine the impact of Bank Indonesia's interest rate policy on customer savings decisions regarding choosing savings products in conventional banks, as well as its effect on the liquidity of these banks. The research utilizes a literature review method with a qualitative descriptive approach. The results and discussion indicate that the offered interest rates by conventional banks significantly influence customer behavior in selecting savings products. Changes in interest rates can affect customers' inclination to save in banks and consequently impact the liquidity of conventional banks. Other factors that influence customer decisions include product promotions, service quality, and customer preferences. While changes in Bank Indonesia's interest rate policy can affect customer loyalty to banks, customer preferences in choosing savings products are also influenced by other non-interest rate-related factors. This study provides an in-depth understanding of the impact of interest rate changes on the liquidity of conventional banks, offering valuable insights for Bank Indonesia and conventional banks in formulating effective policies to maintain financial sector stability and foster sustainable economic growth.

Interest Rate Transmission on Indonesia’s Monetary Policy Analysis: Case of Banking Interest Rate

Indonesia's economic stability should be achieved by implementing monetary and fiscal policies, for instance, setting the interest rate by Bank Indonesia (BI) as policy rate of central bank, which should be followed by other banking institutions. Unfortunately, this interest rate regulation by BI had not been able to achieve the goal of restoring economic stability since it always had long time lag. This happened because the policy of increasing interest rates had not been followed up spontaneously by other banking institutions. In fact, time lag might cause disadvantages such as long-lasting high inflation, increased poverty, and severe economy vulnerability. This research was conducted to analyze the time lag of the transmission of Bank Indonesia's interest rate monetary policy and the response of banking institutions in Indonesia. The method used in this study was survival analysis. The results indicated that the time lag of monetary policy transmission using the interest rate in Indonesia needed to be improved to double adjustment speed to reach the optimal point. The response of banking institutions could be improved because there was still asymmetry response in all aspects including types of interest rates, allocations, and change direction. Meanwhile, from the aspect of ownership, both state-owned and private-owned banks had shown in line response of time lag performance.

Effect of Money Supply and Bank Indonesia Rate on Consumer Price Index in Indonesia 2018-2022

The aim of this research is to determine the influence of the money supply and Bank Indonesia interest rates on the consumer price index in Indonesia for the period 2018 - 2022. The discussion of this research is related to the money supply, Bank Indonesia interest rates, and the consumer price index (CPI). In this regard, the approach taken is theories related to that field. This research was conducted in Indonesia. This type of research is quantitative research. The data used in this research is time series secondary data in the form of publications on the money supply, Bank Indonesia interest rates, and consumer price index from January 2018 to December 2022 obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and Bank Indonesia. The research method used in this research is the explanatory method. The data analysis techniques in this research are descriptive analysis and multiple linear regression analysis. The research results show that both partially and simultaneously, there is an influence of the money supply and Bank Indonesia interest rates on the consumer price index.

The analysis of causality analysis of money supply (M2) and interest rate (BI Rate) in Indonesia: an empirical study in 1990-2021

This research investigates the causal relationship between the Bank Indonesia (BI) Rate and the Money Supply (M2) in Indonesia, using annual time series data from 1990 to 2022. The study reveals that an increase in the Money Supply (M2) directly impacts the BI Rate, a policy instrument employed by Bank Indonesia to manage and curb inflation. Moreover, through the rigorous application of Granger Causality Tests, the research demonstrates that the relationship between the BI Rate and Money Supply (M2) is bidirectional. This bidirectional relationship implies that changes in the interest rate influence the money supply and vice versa. These findings provide valuable insights into monetary policy dynamics and its implications for the Indonesian economy.

Analysis of The Effect of Credit Default Swap and Macroeconomic Variables on Indonesian Government Bonds Yield

The objective of this study is to examine the long- and short-term relationships between macroeconomic variables such as inflation, the Bank Indonesia interest rate (BI Rate), the USD/IDR exchange rate, gross domestic product (GDP), and Credit Default SWAP on Indonesian sovereign bond yields from January 2016 to December 2022. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) analysis is employed. Microsoft Excel and Eviews were used to perform the research. According to the findings, the dependent variable, inflation, does not have a long-term relationship with bond yields of five, ten, fifteen, or twenty years, but does have a short-term relationship with bond yields. BI Rate has a positive long-term relationship with bond yields of five, ten, and fifteen years. USD/IDR Exchange Rate has a negative long-term relationship with government bond yields of all tenors. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has a negative long-term relationship with bond yields

The Effect of Macroeconomics on Stock Prices Through Financial Performance as an Intervening Variable

This research aims to empirically test the direct and indirect influence of macroeconomics represented by inflation indicators, gross domestic product, and Bank Indonesia (BI) interest rates as independent variables on stock prices as the dependent variable and financial performance (ROA) as the intervening variable. The population of this research is pharmaceutical companies included in the IDX-IC F211 classification; the sample of this research is companies listed from 2020 to 2021. This research uses path analysis and panel regression on reviews as a test tool to detect the direct and indirect influence of relationships between the independent and dependent variables. This research shows that inflation and ROA directly affect stock prices. In contrast, BI interest rates and GDP do not directly affect stock prices. Inflation and GDP affect ROA, while BI interest rates do not affect ROA. ROA can mediate the effect of inflation and BI interest rates on stock prices but cannot mediate the effect of GDP on stock prices. This research implies that companies can use the findings of this research to identify how specific macroeconomic factors can affect financial performance. This can assist in planning risk management strategies to mitigate the negative impact of macroeconomic fluctuations.

Analysis of Exchange Rate, Inflation, and Benchmark Interest Rate Impacts on the IDX Composite Index Before and After the COVID-19 Pandemic in the Years of 2019-2021

This research examines the impact of inflation, exchange rate, and Bank Indonesia (BI) interest rate on the IDX Composite Index before and during COVID-19. This research's subjects include companies listed on the IDX Composite Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2019 to 2021, spanning a 36-month sample period. This research employs quantitative methods such as multiple linear regression, correlation, multicollinearity, and heteroscedasticity as the classical assumption testing. The coefficient determination test, t-test, and F-test are all part of hypothesis testing. The findings of this research show that inflation and the BI rate have a simultaneous effect due to the influence of the currency rate. All three variables: inflation, currency rate, and BI rate could all have an impact on the IDX Composite Index before and during COVID-19 between 2019 and 2021.

INTEREST RATES IN INDONESIAN BANKS' ASYMMETRIC BEHAVIOR AND DEGREE OF PASSTHROUGH

Interest rate changes result in a trade-off between reducing inflation and capital inflows. Capital inflow will reduce money market interest rates as low as possible, followed by lower lending and deposit rates. On the other hand, it is difficult to lower the benchmark interest rate due to inflation pressure. The asymmetric movement of lending and deposit interest rates to the benchmark interest rate has caused disturbances to the monetary transmission mechanism. The results of the estimated error-correction model for variable lending rates found that the long-term passthrough of Indonesian banks was significant but could have been better on interest rates on working capital loans and investment loans. This study shows an asymmetrical behavior in banking interest rates in Indonesia. The passthrough degree is typically slow when there is a decrease in the benchmark interest rate.

ANALYSIS OF SHARE PERFORMANCE USING THREE FACTORS MODEL FAMA AND FRENCH (TFMFF) IN ILQ-45 STOCK PERIOD 2017-2020

Research conducted by Fama and French in 1996 showed that there were factors other than the beta that were significantly able to predict stock returns. However, several subsequent studies showed inconsistent results. The discrepancy between the results of previous studies prompted this research to be carried out. In this study, the researchers selected the stocks used based on the criteria for company profits and return on equity (ROE) offered by Warren Buffett. This study uses Buffett's criteria in selecting stocks that are used to analize TFMFF in estimating the return of stocks grouped into the Fama French portfolio. The method used is quantitative. The secondary data used are quarterly close price data, mining company equity value, Bank Indonesia interest rate (risk-free rate), and number of outstanding shares (number of shares outstanding). The results show that the TFMFF is accurate in predicting stock returns.

The effect of mergers, BOPO, NPF, growth, and the BI rate on murabahah margin income in Islamic mortgage products at Bank Syariah Indonesia

This study aims to analyze the effect of mergers, economic growth, the volume of murabaha financing, Bank Indonesia interest rates, and other variables on murabaha income on sharia pawn products at Bank Syariah Indonesia. The results of this study indicate that murabaha margin income is used as the dependent variable in this study. Dummy variables, five independent variables that have a large influence on the results, two independent variables that do not have a significant impact on the results, and one dummy variable are one of the seven independent variables used in this study. The model used is multiple linear regression with the OLS method. The findings of this study indicate that neither inflation nor fluctuations in the volume of murabaha financing have a significant effect on income from murabahah margins. Income from murabaha margins, however, is very negatively affected by non-performing financing (NPF) variables. Operating expenses as a percentage of operating income (BOPO), BI rate, growth, and aggregation dummy all have a large beneficial impact on earnings on murabahah margins.