Abstract Background: The incidence of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) has greatly increased since the introduction of mammographic screening. However, so far, it is still not possible to predict which patient with DCIS will further develop invasive breast cancer. Adipocyte hypertrophy and adipocyte inflammation has been associated with increased risk of developing breast cancer in postmenopausal women and with worse prognosis in breast cancer patients. In this study, we aimed 1) at evaluating the association between mammary adiposity, as assessed by digital pathology, with DCIS progression using a unique case-control series with long-term follow up and 2) study the interaction between DCIS cells and the surrounding adipocytes. Patients and methods: Mammary adipocyte size was measured in surgical specimens of 279 women with primary DCIS. These mammary adipocyte measurements were compared in 109 women with primary DCIS who subsequently developed ipsilateral invasive breast cancer (iIBC) (cases) and 170 women who did not (controls). Patients were matched for age and follow-up duration. Median follow-up time was 12.8 years. Post-menopausal patients were defined as >50 years at diagnosis and represented 220/279 (78,9%) of patients. All patients were treated with breast cancer-conserving surgery only. Intact adipocytes distant from the DCIS lesions were measured (largest diameter and area) using HALO™ image analysis software (Indica Labs, Corrales, NM) on H&E-stained whole slide images of primary DCIS. Given the specific interest in the larger adipocytes, we systematically considered the 75th percentile as unique value for each patient. An average of 4259 adipocytes (min:70, max:21107) was measured per patient. Tissue segmentation was used to measure the adipose area. Adipose triglyceride lipase (ATGL clone 2138, Cell Signaling) immunohistochemistry (IHC) was applied to study ATGL expression in DCIS cells. Her2, ER and COX-2 IHC and RNAseq of microdissected pure DCIS was already available for this series (LL. Visser et al. Clin Can Res 24 (15) 2018). Conditional logistic regression was applied to investigate differences in adipocyte hypertrophy between groups of patients (e.g., cases and controls). Results: Adipocytes were larger and the proportion of adipose tissue was higher in post-menopausal patients (both p<0.001). Mean adipocyte maximum diameter and mean adipocyte area of the 75th percentile ranged from 46.9-115.9 µm and 2016-11336 µm2 respectively. For every 1000 µm2 increase in mean adipocyte area a DCIS patient had a 1.18 increased risk for iIBC (95% CI 1.02-1.36, p= 0.028). DCIS patients with large adipocytes (above the 75th percentile) had a 2.1 increased risk for developing iIBC (95% CI: 1.18-3.72, p=0.011). This observation remained when restricting the analysis to post-menopausal patients (OR 1.19 per 1000 µm2 95% CI 1.01-1.40, p=0.038 and adipocytes above 75th percentile OR 2.2, 95% CI 1.22-3.99, p= 0.009). To further explore the potential interactions between the epithelial cells from DCIS with the adjacent adipocytes, we compared the size of the DCIS-adjacent adipocytes to those away from DCIS lesions. DCIS-adjacent adipocytes showed a reduction in size, suggesting delipidation. Adipose triglyceride lipase (ATGL) is a rate limiting lipase that can release stored free fatty acids (FFA) in DCIS cells for fatty acid ß-oxidation. In a pilot series strong ATGL expression was observed in a subset of DCIS lesions (4 of 25). Conclusion and perspective: This study is the first to demonstrate that mammary adipocyte hypertrophy is associated with an increased risk of progression for patients with DCIS. Our findings might help to distinguish potentially hazardous from harmless DCIS, enabling overtreatment of indolent DCIS. Adipocyte size will be correlated to immunohistochemical expression of ATGL, Her2, ER and COX2 in DCIS, and RNAseq data of pure microdissected DCIS. Citation Format: Mathilde Matthea Machteld Almekinders, Michael Schaapveld, Bram Thijssen, Ingrid Hofland, Marjolijn Mertz, Dennis Peters, Annegien Broeks, Lodewijk Wessels, Wilbert Zwart, Jos Jonkers, Esther Lips, Christine Desmedt, Jelle Wesseling, on behalf of the PRECISION Team. Impact of increased mammary adiposity on DCIS progression [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2019 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2019 Dec 10-14; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2020;80(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-15-07.