Sequence Research Articles

One‐dimensional deep learning inversion of marine controlled‐source electromagnetic data

AbstractThis paper explores the application of machine learning techniques, specifically deep learning, to the inverse problem of marine controlled‐source electromagnetic data. A novel approach is proposed that combines the convolutional neural network and recurrent neural network architectures to reconstruct layered electrical resistivity variation beneath the seafloor from marine controlled‐source electromagnetic data. The approach leverages the strengths of both convolutional neural network and recurrent neural network, where convolutional neural network is used for recognizing and classifying features in the data, and recurrent neural network is used to capture the contextual information in the sequential data. We have built a large synthetic dataset based on one‐dimensional forward modelling of a large number of resistivity models with different levels of electromagnetic structural complexity. The combined learning of convolutional neural network and recurrent neural network is used to construct the mapping relationship between the marine controlled‐source electromagnetic data and the resistivity model. The trained network is then used to predict the distribution of resistivity in the model by feeding it with marine controlled‐source electromagnetic responses. The accuracy of the proposed approach is examined using several synthetic scenarios and applied to a field dataset. We explore the sensitivity of deep learning inversion to different electromagnetic responses produced by resistive targets distributed at different depths and with varying levels of noise. Results from both numerical simulations and field data processing consistently demonstrate that deep learning inversions reliably reconstruct the subsurface resistivity structures. Moreover, the proposed method significantly improves the efficiency of electromagnetic inversion and offers significant performance advantages over traditional electromagnetic inversion methods.

A Predictive Model for Sintering Ignition Temperature Based on a CNN-LSTM Neural Network with an Attention Mechanism

The sintering ignition process parameters fluctuate frequently and significantly, resulting in large variations in ignition temperature, which in severe cases can exceed 200 °C. This not only increases gas consumption but also affects the quality of the sinter. Because the intelligent control model based on feedback mechanisms struggles to deal with high-frequency fluctuation conditions over time, the prediction of sintering ignition temperature using feedforward regulation is attracting increasing attention. Given the multi-variable, time-sequential and strongly coupled characteristics of the sintering ignition process, a convolutional neural network (CNN) and a long short-term memory (LSTM) network are deeply integrated, with an attention mechanism incorporated to develop the sintering ignition temperature prediction model, enabling the accurate prediction of the ignition temperature. The research demonstrates that the combination of a CNN and the attention mechanism effectively addresses the challenges posed by the multi-variable and strongly coupled nature of sintering ignition data to predictive modeling. The LSTM network resolves the sequential data issues through its gating mechanism. As a result, the coefficient of determination () of the CNN_LSTM-Attention model in predicting the sintering ignition temperature can reach 0.97, with a mean absolute error () as low as 10.23 °C. The predicted values closely match the actual values, achieving a hit rate of 93% within the acceptable error range. These performance metrics are significantly superior to those of the CNN-Attention and LSTM-Attention models, greatly enhancing the control accuracy of the ignition temperature.

Prediction of puncturing events through LSTM for multilayer tissue.

Recognizing penetration events in multilayer tissue is critical for many biomedical engineering applications, including surgical procedures and medical diagnostics. This paper presents a unique method for detecting penetration events in multilayer tissue using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. LSTM networks, a form of recurrent neural network (RNN), excel at analyzing sequential data because of their ability to hold long-term dependencies. The suggested method collects time-series insertion force data from sensors integrated from a 1-DOF prismatic robot as it penetrates tissue. This data is then processed by the LSTM network, which has been trained to recognize patterns indicating penetration events through various tissue layers. The effectiveness of this approach is validated through experimental setups, demonstrating high accuracy and reliability in detecting penetration events. This technique offers significant improvements over traditional methods, providing a non-invasive, real-time solution that enhances the precision and safety of medical procedures involving multilayer tissue interaction.

Prediction intervals for future Pareto record claims

AbstractStochastic models and methods for quantifying extreme events are of interest in numerous disciplines. Within this paper, statistical prediction of extreme claims or losses in insurance industry is considered based on upper record values, which describe successively largest observations in a sequence of data over time. The problem of predicting a future record value (here in particular, a future record claim) based on a sequence of previously observed record values (here, past record claims) is addressed by means of prediction intervals. For an underlying Pareto distribution, respective exact and approximate intervals from the literature are summarized and modified and new ones are developed. In a simulation study, these prediction intervals are evaluated and compared regarding coverage frequency and length. The impact of the number of observed record values as well as the choice of the Pareto distribution is discussed. In the case of a small number of record values, the use of k-th record values is considered as an option for statistical analyses to predict, e.g., second largest record claims. Selected prediction methods are applied to several real data sets, which turn out to perform well and to be able to capture the magnitude of future record claims, even for fairly small numbers of record observations. For comparison, generalized Pareto distributions are fitted to real data sets and a corresponding point predictor as well as a respective upper prediction interval for the next record to appear are derived and evaluated.

Utilizing Multi-layer Perceptron for Esophageal Cancer Classification Through Machine Learning Methods

Aims This research paper aims to check the effectiveness of a variety of machine learning models in classifying esophageal cancer through MRI scans. The current study encompasses Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Visual Geometry Group 16 (VGG16), among others which are elaborated in this paper. This paper aims to identify the most accurate model to facilitate increased, improved diagnostic accuracy to revolutionize early detection methods for this dreadful disease. The ultimate goal is, therefore, to improve the clinical practice performance and its results with advanced machine learning techniques in medical diagnosis. Background Esophageal cancer poses a critical problem for medical oncologists since its pathology is quite complex, and the death rate is exceptionally high. Proper early detection is essential for effective treatment and improved survival. The results are positive, but the conventional diagnostic methods are not sensitive and have low specificity. Recent progress in machine learning methods brings a new possibility to high sensitivity and specificity in the diagnosis. This paper explores the potentiality of different machine-learning models in classifying esophageal cancer through MRI scans to complement the constraints of the traditional diagnostics approach. Objective This study is aimed at verifying whether CNN, KNN, RNN, and VGG16, amongst other advanced machine learning models, are effective in correctly classifying esophageal cancer from MRI scans. This review aims at establishing the diagnostic accuracy of all these models, with the best among all. It plays a role in developing early detection mechanisms that increase patient outcome confidence in the clinical setting. Methods This study applies the approach of comparative analysis by using four unique machine learning models to classify esophageal cancer from MRI scans. This was made possible through the intensive training and validation of the model using a standardized set of MRI data. The model’s effectiveness was assessed using performance evaluation metrics, which included accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. Results In classifying esophageal cancers from MRI scans, the current study found VGG16 to be an adequate model, with a high accuracy of 96.66%. CNN took the second position, with an accuracy of 94.5%, showing efficient results for spatial pattern recognition. The model of KNN and RNN also showed commendable performance, with accuracies of 91.44% and 88.97%, respectively, portraying their strengths in proximity-based learning and handling sequential data. These findings underline the potential to add significant value to the processes of esophageal cancer diagnosis using machine learning models. Conclusion The study concluded that machine learning techniques, mainly VGG16 and CNN, had a high potential for escalated diagnostic precision in classifying esophageal cancer from MRI imaging. VGG16 showed great accuracy, while CNN displayed advanced spatial detection, followed by KNN and RNN. Thus, the results set new opportunities for introducing advanced computational models to the clinics, which might transform strategies for early detection to improve patient-centered outcomes in oncology.

Application of LSTM Networks for Continuous Patient Monitoring and Anomaly Detection in Wearable Health Devices

Objectives: This paper looks into the application of LSTM networks in improving continuous patient monitoring and anomaly detection on wearable health devices by using accurate analysis of sequential physiological data. Methods: This paper presents a new use of LSTM networks, which are very powerful in the analysis of time series data, making them quite accurate in their predictions and thus adding functionality to wearable health devices. Our approach is to train an LSTM model on a huge dataset such as PhysioNet, which includes over 60,000 recordings of ECG signals from more than 50 different databases, encompassing a wide variety of physiological conditions and signal types, so the model learns across a wide range of health conditions and demographics. Findings: The proposed LSTM-based model reduces false positives by 30% and false negatives by 40%, hence improving anomaly detection accuracy by up to 30% over prior methods such as SVM, Random Forest, KNN, DBSCAN, TDL, and DQN. Novelty: This work uniquely enhances the existing literature by applying LSTM networks specifically to wearable health devices, optimizing the detection of health anomalies in real time with higher accuracy compared to traditional methods. It also introduces a novel approach to handling complex sequential physiological data, contributing to more reliable and timely medical interventions. Keywords: LSTM networks, Wearable Health Devices, Patient Monitoring, Anomaly Detection, Time-series data

The Estimating Parameter and Number of Knots for Nonparametric Regression Methods in Modelling Time Series Data

This research aims to explore and compare several nonparametric regression techniques, including smoothing splines, natural cubic splines, B-splines, and penalized spline methods. The focus is on estimating parameters and determining the optimal number of knots to forecast cyclic and nonlinear patterns, applying these methods to simulated and real-world datasets, such as Thailand’s coal import data. Cross-validation techniques are used to control and specify the number of knots, ensuring the curve fits the data points accurately. The study applies nonparametric regression to forecast time series data with cyclic patterns and nonlinear forms in the dependent variable, treating the independent variable as sequential data. Simulated data featuring cyclical patterns resembling economic cycles and nonlinear data with complex equations to capture variable interactions are used for experimentation. These simulations include variations in standard deviations and sample sizes. The evaluation criterion for the simulated data is the minimum average mean square error (MSE), which indicates the most efficient parameter estimation. For the real data, monthly coal import data from Thailand is used to estimate the parameters of the nonparametric regression model, with the MSE as the evaluation metric. The performance of these techniques is also assessed in forecasting future values, where the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is calculated. Among the methods, the natural cubic spline consistently yields the lowest average mean square error across all standard deviations and sample sizes in the simulated data. While the natural cubic spline excels in parameter estimation, B-splines show strong performance in forecasting future values.

Prediction of Jacking Force for Construction of Long-Distance Rectangular Utility Tunnel Using Differential Evolution–Bidirectional Gated Re-Current Unit–Attention Model

Most of the current machine learning algorithms are applied to predict the jacking force required in micro-tunneling; in contrast, few studies about long-distance, large-section jacking projects have been reported in the literature. In this study, an intelligent framework, consisting of a differential evolution (DE), a bidirectional gated re-current unit (BiGRU), and attention mechanisms was developed to automatically identify the optimal hyperparameters and assign weights to the information features, as well as capture the bidirectional temporal features of sequential data. Based on field data from a pipe jacking project crossing underneath a canal, the model’s performance was compared with those of four conventional models (RNN, GRU, BiGRU, and DE–BiGRU). The results indicated that the DE–BiGRU–attention model performed best among these models. Then, the generalization performance of the proposed model in predicting jacking forces was evaluated with the aid of a similar case at the site. It was found that fine-tuning parameters for specific projects is essential for improving the model’s generalization performance. More generally, the proposed prediction model was found to be practically useful to professionals and engineers in making real-time adjustments to jacking parameters, predicting jacking force, and carrying out performance evaluations.

Advanced Wind Power Forecasting

The popularity of LSTM networks in wind prediction is due to their inherent capabilities in handling the long-term dependencies of sequential data. This normally outperforms traditional methods like ARIMA. However, current work has illustrated that EMD-based approaches outperform LSTM models in many critical performance metrics. Although it is very powerful in gathering historical patterns due to the enhanced gating mechanisms, LSTM has a lot of challenges regarding computational efficiency and flexibility. EMD models overwhelmingly outperformed the LSTM model in computational time by probably about 20-25%, thereby solving a weakness that may be one of the intrinsic weaknesses of the LSTM model. In addition, the EMD models improved by about 2-4% in accuracy as compared to LSTM, thus evidencing better ability in the prediction of the wind data. On feature extraction, EMD did better, improving by 7% over LSTM. Moreover, EMD has better robustness and adaptability, with improvements of 6% and 4%, respectively. This introduction of EMD does bring a bit of an increase in model complexity, this disadvantage is rather insignificant when compared with the huge advantages it brings in efficiency and accuracy. While an LSTM network is very good at modeling a long-term relationship, it suffers from some problems in handling nonlinear interactions and continuous series data, thus its effectiveness may be limited in some cases of forecasting. In contrast, EMD has a clear advantage in real-time applications owing to enhanced efficiency and precision. From the results obtained in this study, it becomes easy to envision that the EMD methodology is un-equivocally better than LSTM in all the critical aspects, such as computational efficiency, accuracy in prediction, feature extraction, resilience, and adaptability when used individually. Results indicate that EMD has a more constructive methodology toward wind pattern predictions, beating LSTM on many measures of performance. The advantages presented should be maximized in future studies aimed at further improving and optimizing a wind-forecasting system, with special attention toward EMD's benefits in gaining more accurate and efficient forecasts.

Tractable optimal experimental design using transport maps

Abstract We present a flexible method for computing Bayesian optimal experimental designs (BOEDs) for inverse problems with intractable posteriors. The approach is applicable to a wide range of BOED problems and can accommodate various optimality criteria, prior distributions and noise models. The key to our approach is the construction of a transport-map-based surrogate to the joint probability law of the design, observational and inference random variables. This order-preserving transport map is constructed using tensor trains and can be used to efficiently sample from (and evaluate approximate densities of) conditional distributions that are required in the evaluation of many commonly-used optimality criteria. The algorithm is also extended to sequential data acquisition problems, where experiments can be performed in sequence to update the state of knowledge about the unknown parameters. The sequential BOED problem is made computationally feasible by preconditioning the approximation of the joint density at the current stage using transport maps constructed at previous stages. The flexibility of our approach in finding optimal designs is illustrated with some numerical examples inspired by disease modeling and the reconstruction of subsurface structures in aquifers.

Efficient prediction uncertainty quantification in dam behavior monitoring with attention-based sequence-to-sequence learning

Displacement is an intuitive monitoring indicator of dam structural behavior. Conventional deterministic modeling methods frequently disregard the inherent uncertainty associated with monitoring data. This study aims to quantify such uncertainties within dam displacement predictions by augmenting a sequence-to-sequence structure with the novel recurrent unit, termed as tiny gated unit (TGU), attention mechanism, as well as quantile regression, resulting in the Att-S2STQ model. Specifically, TGU adopts only one gate to identify nonlinearity in data sequences, while Bahdanau attention mechanism dynamically assigns weights to different parts of the input sequence. The inclusion of quantile regression allows Att-S2STQ to produce prediction intervals (PIs), from which the probability density functions (PDFs) and cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) are further derived via kernel density estimation. PIs, PDFs, and CDFs jointly serve to reveal the prediction uncertainty. The effectiveness of the model is illustrated through comparative experiments using real-world dam monitoring datasets. Results indicate that the proposed model outperforms traditional methods in point, interval, and probability predictions, while also having a simpler structure and faster training. The superiority of both accuracy and efficiency makes it a valuable tool for dam management, aiding in data-driven decision-making and enhancing operational safety.

Cluster-guided denoising graph auto-encoder for enhanced traffic data imputation and fault detection

In an era of increasing digitalization, the integration of diverse sensors has become commonplace. Within the transportation sector, state Departments of Transportation have extensively deployed traffic sensors to support various engineering endeavors. However, these sensors are prone to faults such as data loss, random noise, bias, and drift due to sensor aging, defects, or environmental influences. Therefore, detecting these faults is imperative to maintain data integrity. This paper presents a novel approach for detecting faults in traffic data based on a cluster-guided data reconstruction process. First, a traffic sensor clustering module is designed using a dual-encoding attention graph auto-encoder (DA-GAE) to identify clusters of traffic sensors. This module leverages a joint embedding of node and edge features in a low-dimensional vector space. Subsequently, utilizing the identified clusters, a cluster-guided denoising graph auto-encoder (CG-DGAE) is devised and trained for data reconstruction. The CG-DGAE employs a diffusion graph convolutional network (DGCN) and is trained with a cluster-wise sampling strategy. Extensive experiments were conducted using traffic data obtained from a real-world large sensor network, demonstrating superior performance of the CG-DGAE model in data reconstruction compared to various baseline methods. For fault detection, a score function is devised to discern potential faults by contrasting the sensor data sequence and the reconstructed data sequence. The fault detection results show that our proposed CG-DGAE model achieved an impressive overall accuracy of 99.09%, a precision of 99.13%, a recall of 99.53%, and a F1 score of 99.53%. The superior capability of CG-DGAE in data reconstruction and fault detection is attributable to the cluster-wise spatial–temporal context leveraged by the model.

From the discovery of a novel arepavirus in diseased arecanut palms (Areca catechu L.) in India to the identification of known and novel arepaviruses in bee and plant transcriptomes through data-mining

Arecanut palm is a commercially important plantation crop valued for its nut. In this investigation, we report the discovery of a putative novel arepavirus, named areca palm necrotic ringspot virus 2 (ANRSV2), in necrotic ringspot diseased areca palms in Bantwal, Dakshina Kannada, Karnataka, India through RNA-sequencing and transmission electron microscopy. Further, the presence of ANRSV2 in the diseased samples was confirmed through reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction assays. In addition, by mining public domain transcriptome data for arepaviral sequences, we identified a putative novel arepavirus in Psychotria rubra, a non-palm host. We recovered the genome sequences of the areca palm necrotic ringspot virus in honey bees, tomato, Onobrychis viciifolia, and Rhamnus heterophylla. These findings broaden our comprehension of arepaviral diversity and host range, and suggest an intriguing possibility of pollen-mediated arepaviral transmission that necessitates empirical validation. Further studies are needed to understand the biology of identified putative novel arepaviruses.

Methods for Corrosion Detection in Pipes Using Thermography: A Case Study on Synthetic Datasets

This study reviews advanced methods for corrosion detection and characterization in pipes using thermography, with a focus on addressing the limitations posed by small datasets. Thermography captures temperature distributions on the surface of pipes to identify subsurface defects. The challenges of sequential data processing, neural network performance, feature extraction, and dataset size are discussed, with proposed solutions such as advanced algorithms, feature selection techniques, and data augmentation. Given the significant gap in the current literature, there is a need for larger, more diverse datasets to train more robust and accurate machine learning models. A case study combining experimental data with Finite Element Method (FEM) simulations demonstrates that augmenting datasets with synthetic data significantly improves defect detection accuracy. These findings highlight the potential of integrating thermography with machine learning to enhance defect detection, providing insights for future research and practical applications.

A Shared Economy Data Prediction Model Based on Deep Learning

In the dynamic and intricate shared economy, efficient resource management and forecasting are still crucial. In this research, a new prediction model is presented that aims to improve the operational efficiency of several shared economy services. Our method creatively combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks with Genetic Algorithms (GA) to assess user demand and optimize resource deployment. We apply this methodology especially to e-scooter sharing services, but the underlying ideas and methods can be applied to other shared economy platforms as well, like peer-to-peer lending services, car sharing, and vacation rentals. The model starts with a GA to adjust the hyperparameters of the LSTM network, making the network better suited to handle specific characteristics of common economic data. Capturing the complex temporal and spatial patterns of user behavior and demand on these platforms requires this optimization. The LSTM element then predicts changes in service demand due to its capacity to analyze sequential records. Further to being useful for analyzing sequential data and predicting destiny wishes, this predictive functionality is important for a shared economy platform to correctly manage stock, allocate assets, and predict personal wishes. We use a large dataset to check our technique, demonstrating the predictive accuracy of the model and demand and its potential to aid strategic choice-making. Compared to traditional fashions, the consequences show a large development in forecast accuracy and resource allocation efficiency. Our methodology creates a robust basis for statistics-driven insights that decorate customer happiness and decorate the long-term increase of the shared financial system. This work highlights the blended ability of GA and LSTM inside the shared economy and paves the manner for future enhancements in using modern-day gadget mastering techniques to optimize and alter various shared services. In quick, effective useful resource control and forecasting in the shared economic system is tough, however our specific forecasting model combining GA-LSTM gives a manner ahead. Our technique, as it should be, predicts fluctuations in provider demand; it was first refined the usage of GA to regulate the LSTM hyperparameters. The consequences show how correct and powerful our version is and spotlight how it can enhance customer pleasure and operational performance. This research paves the manner for future trends within the software of gadgets, gaining knowledge of methods and supports the continuing enlargement and development of shared economic system offerings.

Identifying Truck Activity from Global Positioning System Data Based on Satellite Imagery

Road freight transportation plays a crucial role in fostering economic growth and enhancing logistics efficiency. Existing research primarily focuses on analyzing freight truck activity characteristics based on global positioning system (GPS) data of freight truck trajectories. Those studies proposed a variety of identification methods from different perspectives, but they mainly rely on rule-based methods and subjectively defined key threshold parameters, ignoring the complexity of truck freight activities and relying on long sequences of trajectory data. To bridge this gap, we propose the satellite image augmented truck activity recognition method, a structured framework that utilizes satellite imagery to identify truck activities from GPS data. Firstly, we categorize truck activities into three types: loading/unloading, resting, and driving. We extract geographic entities from the area of interest data to create the satellite image dataset of truck activity. Secondly, we evaluate the recognition accuracy of benchmark image classification models on our dataset, and ResNet50 achieves 98.04% accuracy on the test set. Thirdly, we apply the image classification model to identify truck activity from GPS trajectory data and use the recognition results of neighboring points to improve the identification results. The framework delineated in this paper entails the extraction of truck activities from GPS data at the satellite image level. Our approach holds promise in facilitating logistics operation fleets and traffic management authorities to maintain near real-time surveillance of the truck status, thereby fostering enhancements in both the efficiency and safety of freight transport.

Is there a mental health wake following the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescents in a male juvenile prison?

Lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic loom large in the United States but are particularly of concern in prison settings. In the current study, we examine the ongoing mental health consequences of the pandemic among young people incarcerated in a male juvenile prison. Sequential mixed methods data were obtained-78 young people assigned male at birth completed surveys and 19 completed individual interviews. Seven staff were also interviewed about youth experiences during and following the pandemic. Youth survey results indicated racial and ethnic identity exploration, feeling less safe at night, and experiencing staff harassment were significantly associated with some negative mental health concerns, yet lingering COVID-19 policies were not. Triangulation with interviews underscored these findings by highlighting more specific concerns related to COVID-19, such as social isolation, loneliness, and concerns about the indirect effects the pandemic might have on court outcomes and educational goals. Overall, results of the current analysis provide evidence that incarceration continues to be traumatizing and harmful to youth mental health even following the pandemic. To a lesser extent, these results also imply that lingering effects of the pandemic and concurrent cultural and racial tensions have delayed impacts on the mental health of incarcerated youth during this tumultuous time. Taken together, study findings suggests juvenile prisons must implement readiness plans to mitigate these and other harmful effects of juvenile incarceration in the future.

Evaluasi Model Deep Learning pada Pola Dataset Biomedis

This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness and efficiency of various deep learning models in recognizing patterns within diverse biomedical datasets. The methods involved the collection of biomedical data from various public and synthetic sources, including chest radiographs, MRI, CT scans, as well as electrocardiogram (ECG) and electromyography (EMG) signals. The data underwent preprocessing steps such as normalization, noise removal, and data augmentation to improve quality and variability. The deep learning models evaluated included Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), which were trained to identify patterns within the data. The performance evaluation was conducted using metrics like accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC to ensure the models' generalization capabilities on test datasets. The results revealed that CNNs excelled in medical image analysis, particularly in terms of accuracy and interpretability, while RNNs were more effective in handling sequential data such as medical signals. The primary conclusion of this study is that the selection of deep learning models should be tailored to the type of data and specific application requirements, emphasizing the importance of improving model interpretability and generalization for broader applications in clinical settings.

Analysis of geographical origin of solar terms based on the STTMD method

The 24 solar terms are a significant component of traditional Chinese culture. Amid global warming climate change, research on the Solar Terms has gained increasing prominence. Identifying the geographical origins of the Solar Terms not only provides evidence for studies on the origins of Chinese agricultural civilization but also serves as a critical foundation for the innovative utilization of traditional culture in the modern era. Previous research has primarily relied on historical records, literature review, and field investigation, often challenged by the vast and complex data, the difficulty distinguishing authenticity, the time-consuming nature of the work, and the need for direct scientific evidence. The STTMD (Solar Terms Typical Meteorological Day) method was used for typifying solar term meteorological data sequences, supplemented by isothermal estimation and clustering analysis. This approach was further validated using key crop germplasm sites, phenological indicators, and phenological observation contour maps. The results derived from statistical methods are cross-referenced with historical documents to infer the geographical origins of the 24 Solar Terms. The findings indicate that: (1)On a larger spatial scale, the Solar Terms originated in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River; (2)On a smaller spatial scale, the "Luoyang-Zhengzhou-Anyang" triangle is the most probable origin area; (3)The core area of origin is hypothesized to be in present-day Xingyang, Henan Province, or slightly further north. These results are consistent with historical literature and phenological records of crops, offering a novel analysis and transformative insights into the knowledge of Solar Terms. The study provides valuable evidence or methodological inspiration for historical agricultural research in China and offers references for agricultural production and the environmental impacts of global warming.

Time Series Forecasting of Emission Trends Using Recurrent Neural Networks

This paper explores the application of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for forecasting emission trends, a critical aspect of addressing climate change and formulating effective environmental policies. Traditional forecasting methods, such as Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Exponential Smoothing, often fail to capture the complex nonlinear relationships and temporal dependencies inherent in emission data. In contrast, RNNs, particularly Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, are designed to recognize patterns in sequential data, making them well-suited for time series forecasting tasks. This study employs a comprehensive methodology that includes data collection from reputable sources, feature selection, RNN model design, and rigorous evaluation using various performance metrics. The results indicate that RNNs significantly outperform traditional forecasting techniques in terms of accuracy, providing valuable insights into future emission trajectories. The findings underscore the potential of RNNs as powerful tools for policymakers and researchers, facilitating more informed decision-making in the fight against climate change.