Indonesian National Health Insurance Research Articles

The Role of Indonesia’s National Health Insurance Cadre: A Case Study in Bali

The management of informal sector participants poses the most significant difficulty to universal coverage attempts throughout Indonesia's National Health Insurance era. As a result, in April 2017, BPJS Kesehatan established the JKN Cadre Program. This program intends to expand the number of participants while also improving the collectability of contributions from the informal sector. This study aims to investigate the role of the cadre and explore the supporting, and inhibiting factors of such a program. This study is a qualitative descriptive case study, with data gathered through in-depth interviews. Informants were chosen purposefully. Thematic Analysis was utilized to examine the data, which Source Triangulation subsequently confirmed. The study found that the JKN KIS cadre has five functions, the most important of which is to remind people and collect contributions. Cadre activities included education and outreach, as well as collecting payment arrears receipts. The study also identified three inhibiting and supportive elements for the role of cadre namely individual, environmental, and organisational factors. To reduce unfavourable perceptions of JKN-KIS, it is vital to increase cadre self-actualization, self-esteem, information dissemination, synergy, and quality.

Implementation of Respect for Autonomy in Hospital Services Within the Indonesia National Health Insurance System

The principle of patient autonomy forms the foundation of medical ethics. However, its exploration within the context of national health insurance systems in developing countries remains under-researched. This study aimed to evaluate respect for patient autonomy within Indonesia's National Health Insurance (NHI/JKN) system. The study using a qualitative research interview analyzed thematically. Conducted in Depok, West Java, the study involved in-depth semi-structured interviews with 18 participants, encompassing patients from first-level health facilities (FLHF), general practitioners at FLHF, specialist doctors, and management of referral hospital (RH) officers, and staff members of the JKN. The data were transcribed and analyzed using a thematic approach. The study revealed substantial underutilization of respecting patient autonomy within medical contexts under the JKN. Five themes emerged: challenges in the referral system, knowledge and information dissemination, decision-making and autonomy, quality of healthcare services, and systemic constraints and impact. These themes highlight the lack of patient awareness, restricted medical choices, the dominant role of paternalism (a system in which the government or a person in a position of authority makes decisions for other people) in healthcare decisions, and improper informed consent process. The findings suggest that the principles of beneficence and paternalism often overshadow respect for patient autonomy in the JKN system. This raises concerns about the ethical aspect of patient treatment, particularly the need for greater focus on patient autonomy and shared decision-making to align more closely with global medical ethics practices. This study contributes to understanding autonomy in national health insurance systems in developing countries. It highlights the need for systemic reforms to enhance healthcare efficiency and effectiveness while respecting patient autonomy.

Biofinancing Citizenship: Gotong Royong and the Political Construction of National Health Insurance Ideology in Indonesia

This paper examines the fund-collecting model of Indonesia's national health insurance system, Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional (JKN), performed by its organizing body, Badan Penyelenggara Jaminan Sosial (BPJS). The system is based on the home-grown idea of gotong royong, often vaguely defined as ‘mutual assistance.’ As gotong royong has been prominent in Indonesia's nation building projects since before independence, scholars have argued that the term has carried numerous interpretations shared by political elites and the larger public they sought to mobilize. Analyzing recent public debates regarding the JKN, we argue that these debates are rooted in the unstable nature of the gotong royong principle. We begin with a brief history of Indonesia's national health insurance system and the evolution of the gotong royong notion, before presenting the various interpretations of gotong royong in the national health insurance system. We also examine the concept of biofinancing citizenship that has emerged as a consequence of the current implementation of the gotong royong principle as the central ideology of Indonesia's national health insurance system. This paper aims to enrich the literature in welfare politics by providing insights from one of the world’s largest and most ambitious national health insurance programs.

Non-communicable comorbidities in pulmonary tuberculosis and healthcare utilization: a cross-sectional study of 2021 Indonesian national health insurance data

BackgroundLimited research exists on the comorbidity of pulmonary tuberculosis with non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and its implications for healthcare utilization in Indonesia. The lack of investigation into NCD comorbidity among pulmonary tuberculosis patients could adversely affect both the healthcare system and the national health insurance scheme. Understanding the NCD comorbidity among pulmonary tuberculosis patients, associated factors, and healthcare utilization is crucial for ensuring the effective and efficient delivery of health services.MethodThis study utilized an observational cross-sectional design based on anonymized sample data from tuberculosis cases covered by Indonesia's National Health Insurance in 2021. Chi-square tests were employed to analyze dependent and independent variables, while unadjusted and adjusted logistic regressions were used to explore further associations.ResultsThe prevalence of NCD comorbidity in tuberculosis patients was 11.81%. Aged over 60 (aOR 5.16; [CI] 4.23—6.3), married (aOR 1.19; [CI] 1.05—1.34), and unemployed (aOR 1.27; [CI] 1.08—1.49) were associated with the NCD comorbidity in pulmonary tuberculosis patients. Factors associated with increased inpatient service utilization among pulmonary tuberculosis patients included aged over 60 (aOR 5.69; [CI] 4.81—6.74), male (aOR 1.32; [CI] 1.23—1.40), self-employment (aOR 1.42; [CI] 1.29—1.56), having insurance subsidized by central government (aOR 1.89; [CI] 1.73—2.08) or local government funds (aOR 1.75; [CI] 1.58—1.93), and having comorbidity non-communicable diseases (aOR 1.80; [CI] 1.66—1.96).ConclusionPulmonary tuberculosis patients exhibit a significant prevalence of NCD comorbidity, which substantially impacts healthcare utilization. Early detection and management of these conditions are critical to mitigate burdens on both the healthcare system and the financial sustainability of the national health insurance scheme. Integrating health services for tuberculosis and NCDs through bidirectional screening is essential for comprehensive patient care.

Panel Data Regression Modelling Factors Affecting Participation in Indonesia's National Health Insurance Contribution Assistance Program

Panel Data Regression Modelling Factors Affecting Participation in Indonesia's National Health Insurance Contribution Assistance Program

Comparison of Yearly Cost Related to Complications Between Deferasirox and Deferiprone Monotherapy in Thalassemia.

Hemoglobin disorders such as thalassemia major have created an economic burden on the health care system. Iron chelation therapy (ICT) is the most expensive cost component in patients with thalassemia. ICT was administered to reduce the toxic effects of iron overload. This study aims to compare the costs of iron chelators as monotherapy in patients with thalassemia major in Indonesia, specifically in Cipto Faculty of Medicine, Universit. This is a retrospective analytical observational study. Data were collected from the thalassemia registry from 2016 to 2019. Patients' age, gender, type of thalassemia, and type of iron chelation were recorded. Complications and total annual costs were evaluated. All thalassemia patients aged ≥2 years who were only receiving monotherapy ICT and had no history of therapy switching were eligible. We excluded subjects who moved out to other facilities or lost to follow-up. From a total of 256 subjects, 249 subjects were included. The median age is 28 years old. Both sexes were represented equally. As many as 96.8% of subjects have thalassemia beta. Deferiprone was the most common iron chelator used (86.7%). Complications were observed in the subjects based on 4-year data collection; most of them were cardiomyopathy, diabetes mellitus, delayed puberty, and malnutrition ( P =0.422; P =0.867; P =0.004; and P =0.125, respectively). Deferiprone had a lower mean annual cost of USD 3581 than deferasirox, which had a cost of USD 6004. Cardiomyopathy, diabetes mellitus, delayed puberty, and malnutrition were the most common complications found in the study. This study showed that deferiprone should be taken as consideration as a drug of choice to treat iron overload in thalassemia provided by Indonesian national health insurance which is less costly despite the probability of complications found after the treatment was given. Further investigations are required to evaluate contributing factors of complications in thalassemia.

Endovascular Aneurysm Repair (EVAR) in Rupture of the Infrarenal Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) with Severe Neck Angulation in Conscience of National Health Coverage in Tertiary Referral Hospital in Indonesian: Case Report

AbstractAn aortic aneurysm is a condition with focal dilation of 50% or more over the normal aortic diameter. The most frequent form of aortic aneurysms is infrarenal. Endovascular aortic aneurysm repair is a valid treatment for treating patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm. Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) are electively repaired to prevent rupture. We present a case of an elderly man with an impending rupture of intraluminal infrarenal AAA with bilateral common iliac arteries aneurysms. Overall, the patient had completed the procedure and made a good postoperative recovery with fully coverage of Indonesian national health insurance.

When the smoke gets in your lungs: short-term effects of Indonesia’s 2015 forest fires on health care use

BackgroundThe forest fires that ravaged parts of Indonesia in 2015 were the most severely polluting of this century but little is known about their effects on health care utilization of the affected population. We estimate their short-term impact on visit rates to primary and hospital care with particular focus on visits for specific smoke-related conditions (respiratory disease, acute respiratory tract infection (ARTI) and common cold).MethodWe estimate the short-term impact of the 2015 forest fire on visit rates to primary and hospital care by combining satellite data on Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) with administrative records from Indonesian National Health Insurance Agency (BPJS Kesehatan) from January 2015–April 2016. The 16 months of panel data cover 203 districts in the islands of Sumatra and Kalimantan before, during and after the forest fires. We use the (more efficient) ANCOVA version adaptation of a fixed effects model to compare the trends in healthcare use of affected districts (with AOD value above 0.75) with control districts (AOD value below 0.75). Considering the higher vulnerability of children’s lungs, we do this separately for children under 5 and the rest of the population adults (> 5), and for both urban and rural areas, and for both the period during and after the forest fires.ResultsWe find little effects for adults. For young children we estimate positive effects for care related to respiratory problems in primary health care facilities in urban areas. Hospital care visits in general, on the other hand, are negatively affected in rural areas. We argue that these patterns arise because accessibility of care during fires is more restricted for rural than for urban areas.ConclusionThe severity of the fires and the absence of positive impact on health care utilization for adults and children in rural areas indicate large missed opportunities for receiving necessary care. This is particularly worrisome for children, whose lungs are most vulnerable to the effects. Our findings underscore the need to ensure ongoing access to medical services during forest fires and emphasize the necessity of catching up with essential care for children after the fires, particularly in rural areas.

Role of local government officers in the implementation of national health insurance for poor peoples

This study explains the performance of the local government in implementing the Indonesian national health insurance policy model for the poor. This study used qualitative research methods. In addition, in-depth interviews, observations, and document studies were used for data collection. The data analysis consisted of data reduction, display, conclusion drawing, and verification. The study results revealed the performance patterns of local government officials, such as local government officials' capabilities, bureaucratic culture, political interests, principles of universality, and financing of health coverage. Implementing a national health insurance policy for the poor people in Bandung City, West Java, Indonesia, has implications for a broader dimension, such as political, legal, economic, social, and cultural research, which has implications for the development of health resources, improvement of the population administration system, financing and quality, and cost control.

Theory-practice gap of capitation payment in the Indonesian national health insurance: toward universal health coverage

PurposeThis study aims to present a comprehensive integrative review of capitation payment for primary healthcare (PHC) in the Indonesian national health insurance (Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional,JKN).Design/methodology/approachWhittemore and Knafl’s integrative review method is used within this review and analysis framework. Multiple types of academic literature were included in this review, including all studies related to capitation payment in the JKN from 2014 until 2022.FindingsThis review found that several practices of capitation payments in the JKN in Indonesia deviate from basic economic concept of capitation. It does not yet incentivize PHC to create a competitive environment in attracting members and it does not incentivize health promotion and prevention. Moreover, the capitation model uses the same scope of primary care services for all PHC throughout the country – which in fact has disparities in providing 155 medical conditions as required competencies for PHC. The authors recommend that the JKN apply bottom-up costing and pricing methods to set market prices of capitation rates.Originality/valueThis is the first study that reviews theory-practice gap of the capitation payment model using an integrative review that covers academic literature, journal articles and regulations in Indonesia.

Healthcare Quality Received by Insured Patients in Two Indonesian Regional Public Hospitals.

Background: Hospitals are required to improve the quality of health services provided to patients. Purpose: Evaluating and comparing the healthcare quality received by insured patients hospitalized in two Indonesian regional public hospitals. Methods: Secondary data analysis used the 2019 and 2020 Indonesian National Health Insurance e-claim databases of Hospital A and Hospital B. Descriptive and crosstabs analyses were used to determine INA-CBGs diagnoses that were categorized as high volume, high risk, and high cost. Results: The admissions that caused financial loss at the Hospital A were 21.1% in 2019 and 19.8% in 2020, while 30.3% in 2019 and 27.5% at the Hospital B. More than 60% of these admissions were placed in the 3rd class of inpatient wards of the two hospitals. Of these admissions, < 5% at the Hospital A and >5% at the Hospital B were readmitted within 30 days, although more than 90% were previously discharged based on physicians' approval. Conclusions: Inadequate healthcare quality received by insured patients. Hence, an integrated clinical pathways based professional nursing practice model is highly recommended to increase patient outcomes and decrease 30 days hospital readmission rates.

National health insurance contribution to family planning program funding in Indonesia: A fund flow analysis.

Launched in 2014, Indonesia's national health insurance system (JKN) aimed to provide universal health coverage, including contraceptive services, to its population. We aim to evaluate the contribution of JKN to the overall spending for the family planning program in Indonesia. Data from the Indonesian Demographic Health Survey, Survey on Financial Flows for Family Planning, Indonesia Motion Tracker Matrix, World Population Prospect, and Indonesian ministries' budget accountability reports were entered into the CastCost Contraceptive Projection Tool to define budgetary allocation and spending for the family planning program at the national level in 2019. Indonesia's family planning program in 2019 was financed mostly by the national budget (64.0%) and out-of-pocket payments (34.6%). There were three main ministries responsible for family planning financing: the National Population and Family Planning Board (BKKBN) (35.8%), the Ministry of Finance (26.2%), and the Ministry of Health (2.0%). Overall, JKN contributed less than 0.4% of the funding for family planning services in Indonesia in 2019. The majority of family planning spending was by public facilities (57.3%) as opposed to private facilities (28.6%). JKN's contribution to funding Indonesia's family planning programs in 2019 was low and highlights a huge opportunity to expand these contributions. A coordinated effort should be conducted to identify possible opportunities to realign BKKBN and JKN roles in the family planning programs and lift barriers to accessing family planning services in public and private facilities. This includes a concerted effort to improve integration of private family planning providers into the JKN program.

Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare utilization among older adults with cardiovascular diseases and multimorbidity in Indonesia: an interrupted time-series analysis

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted healthcare utilization globally, but little is known about the effects among patients with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and other multimorbidities. This study analyzed the impacts of COVID-19 on healthcare utilization for patients aged 30 years and older with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) with or without other chronic disease comorbidities in Indonesia.MethodsWe designed a retrospective cohort study based on the Indonesian National Health Insurance (NHI) sample data from 2016–2020. We defined healthcare utilization as monthly outpatient and inpatient visits related to chronic diseases at the hospital and primary healthcare levels per 10,000 NHI members. We used interrupted time series analysis to evaluate how the healthcare utilization patterns had changed due to the COVID-19 pandemic.ResultsOverall, hospital outpatient visits decreased by 39% when the pandemic occurred (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.48,0.76), inpatient visits by 28% (95% CI: 0.62,0.83), and primary healthcare visits by 34% (95% CI:0.55, 0.81). For patients with CVDs and multimorbidity, hospital outpatient and inpatient visit rates were reduced by 36% and 38%, respectively and primary healthcare visits by 32%. Some insignificant differences in the reduction of out-and inpatient visits were observed across diagnosis groups and regions.ConclusionHealthcare utilization among patients with chronic diseases decreased significantly during COVID-19 and consistently across different chronic diseases and regions. To cope with the unmet needs of healthcare utilization in the context of the pandemic, the healthcare system needs to be strengthened to cater to the needs of the population-at-risk, especially for patients with CVDs and multimorbidity.

Income Disparity and Healthcare Utilization: Lessons from Indonesia's National Health Insurance Claim Data.

Indonesia's National Health Insurance Program, known as Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional (JKN), has a variety of membership pathways for those wishing to gain access. Claim data from JKN offers a cost-effective way of observing who is accessing healthcare services and what types of services are being used. This study is a novel attempt to measure disparities amongst JKN users in their engagement with services, providing an opportunity to reflect on patterns of use. Using claims data collected from JKN users between 2015-2016, we used the Ordinary Least Square estimation model to compare health services utilization among subsidized and non-subsidized users. We focused primarily on the individual use of the hospital for outpatient and inpatient treatment. Analysis reveals that subsidized users access primary healthcare services more frequently than non-subsidized users. Conversely, non-subsidized users access secondary and tertiary health care services more frequently than other users. Subsidized users who utilize secondary and tertiary health care tend to suffer more severe health illnesses than non-subsidized members. This study concludes that income disparity affects healthcare utilization. Non-subsidized members are more likely than subsidized members to access secondary and tertiary health care services. Our study offers evidence of the potential underutilization of secondary and tertiary healthcare (STHC) by subsidized members, which could lead to inefficiency since subsidized members seeking STHC treatment had severe health conditions, thus needing to be treated longer and requiring higher healthcare expenditures.

Predictors of Indonesian National Health Insurance Knowledge: A Cross-Sectional Study Among Public Health Students in Palembang

Students, as agents of change, are expected to assist in reaching the success of the Indonesian National Health Insurance/Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional (JKN) program. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze the JKN knowledge among public health students and the associated factors in Palembang City, Indonesia. A cross-sectional online survey was conducted to collect data from 279 students at Universitas Sriwijaya in Palembang City, Indonesia. The analyzed variables included gender, age, marital status, residence, family size, income, study level and period, as well as source of JKN information. Additionally, statistical analysis using binary logistic regression, presenting odds ratio and 95% CI, was conducted to identify the determinants of JKN knowledge with significance set at a p-value &lt;0.05. The results showed that 92.47% of respondents had low JKN knowledge with the following characteristics; female (93.83%), aged &gt;20 years (92.93%), not married (93.75%), living in urban areas (90.24%), having family members &gt;4 people (91.39%), income ≤UMR (93.38%), undergraduate level (93.70%), study period ≤2 years (93.89%), and receiving information from the Social Security Administration Agency for Health (BPJSK) (94.32%). The most associated variable with JKN knowledge was residence after being controlled by gender, study period, and information source variables. Specifically, respondents residing in urban areas (aOR = 10.73; 95% CI: 1.32–86.89) showed a higher likelihood of having good JKN knowledge than those in rural areas.

Exploring Inequalities in the Use, Quality, and Outcome of the Diabetes Management Program of Indonesian National Health Insurance.

Access to diabetes management programs is crucial to control the increasing contribution of diabetes to the global burden of disease. However, evidence regarding whether such services are equally accessible for all population groups is still lacking, particularly in the context of low-middle-income countries and under the National Health Insurance (NHI). This study aimed to assess the extent of socioeconomic and geographical inequalities in the use, quality, and outcome of a diabetes management program for beneficiaries of Indonesian NHI. A total of 628 participants in the NHI diabetes management program in Banyumas District, Indonesia, were included in 2021 in this cross-sectional study. The main variables measured were regular visits to primary care facilities, standard medication, and glycemic control. The rate difference and rate ratio of age-sex standardized prevalence rates, as well as multiple logistic regressions, were used to measure the extent of inequalities. Around 70% of participants regularly visited primary care facilities and received standard medication, but only 35% had good glycemic control. Highly educated participants were more likely to have regular visits compared to low-educated participants (odds ratio [OR] 1.92; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.04-3.56). Based on employment and type of NHI beneficiaries, a small extent and even reverse inequalities were found although these findings were insignificant statistically. Urban residents were also more likely to have regular visits (OR 6.61; 95% CI: 2.90-15.08), receive standard medication (OR 9.73; 95% CI: 3.66-25.90), and have good glycemic control (OR 3.85; 95% CI: 1.68-8.83) compared to rural residents. Evidence on the extent of socioeconomic inequalities is inconclusive but substantial geographical inequalities in the use, quality, and outcome of diabetes management programs exist among Indonesian NHI beneficiaries. Future implementation policies of the program should consider particularly the geographical characteristics of participants to avoid and reduce inequalities and, hence, the disease burden of diabetes.

Prediction of patient length of stay using random forest method based on the Indonesian national health insurance

Prediction of patient length of stay using random forest method based on the Indonesian national health insurance

Cetuximab as first-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): a model-based economic evaluation in Indonesia setting

ObjectivesTo assess the cost-effectiveness of cetuximab in combination with chemotherapy fluorouracil, oxaliplatin, and leucovorin (FOLFOX) or fluorouracil, irinotecan and leucovorin (FOLFIRI) compared to standard chemotherapy alone as a first-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) with positive KRAS wild type patients in Indonesia.MethodsA cost-utility analysis applying Markov model was constructed, with a societal perspective. Clinical evidence was derived from published clinical trials. Direct medical costs were gathered from hospital billings. Meanwhile, direct non-medical costs, indirect costs, and utility data were collected by directly interviewing patients. We applied 3% discount rate for both costs and outcomes. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to explore the model’s uncertainty. Additionally, using payer perspective, budget impact analysis was estimated to project the financial impact of treatment coverage.ResultsThere was no significant difference in life years gained (LYG) between cetuximab plus FOLFOX/FOLFIRI and chemotherapy alone. The incremental QALY was only one month, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was approximately IDR 3 billion/QALY for cetuximab plus chemotherapy. Using 1–3 GDP per capita (IDR 215 million or USD 14,350) as the current threshold, the cetuximab plus chemotherapy was not cost-effective. The budget impact analysis resulted that if cetuximab plus chemotherapy remain included in the benefits package under the Indonesian national health insurance (NHI) system, the payer would need more than IDR 1 trillion for five years.ConclusionsThe combination of cetuximab and chemotherapy for mCRC is unlikely cost-effective and has a substantial financial impact on the system.

Early Detection of Breast Cancer in Indonesia: Barriers Identified in a Qualitative Study.

The lack of early detection in breast cancer management has been identified as the primary factor contributing to the high mortality rate. The introduction of BPJS Kesehatan, Indonesia's national health insurance, was intended to ensure the provision of adequate health services for breast cancer patients. This study aimed to investigate the current state of health services in Indonesia concerning the early detection of breast cancer, following the implementation of BPJS Kesehatan introduction. The study was conducted in 2017 in Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Subjects were recruited using a purposive sampling technique with maximum variation. The sample comprised breast cancer patients, health care professionals (HCPs), and healthy women from the general population with no history of breast cancer. The subjects' experiences and knowledge of health services regarding the early detection of breast cancer were investigated through in-depth interviews. Thematic analysis was used to synthesize the results from interviews with 25 participants. This study identified several issues that hinder the timely detection of breast cancer. The lack of both screening and diagnostic procedures emerged as a prominent obstacle in breast cancer management. The study identified the following barriers: (1) limited community knowledge about early detection; (2). lack of urgency among patients to seek medical treatment; (3) limited access to health facilities; and (4) inconsistent adherence among health care professionals to guidelines for both screening and diagnostic procedures. This study revealed multiple factors contributing to the delay in breast cancer detection in Indonesia, leading to suboptimal management of the disease. It is crucial for the government to prioritize the improvement of enabling factors across all levels of care for early detection. These factors include initiatives to increase public awareness, improve access to health services, strengthen the referral system, and enhance health facilities.

Effects of performance-based capitation payment on the use of public primary health care services in Indonesia

The Indonesian national health insurance agency BPJS Kesehatan, the largest single-payer system in the world, is among the first to combine capitation-based payments with performance-based financing. The Kapitasi Berbasis Komitmen (KBK) scheme for puskesmas (community health centres) was implemented in province capitals between August 2015 and May 2016. Its main goal was to incentivize the substitution of secondary by primary care use. We evaluate its effect on its three incentivized outcomes: the fraction of insured visiting the puskesmas, the fraction of chronically ill with a puskesmas visit and the hospital referral rate for insured with a non-specialistic condition. We use BPJS Kesehatan claims data from 2015 to 2016 from a stratified one percent sample of its members. Comparable control districts were identified using coarsened exact matching. We adopt a Difference-in-Differences (DID) study design and estimate a two-way fixed effects regression model to compare 27 intervention districts to 300 comparable non-capital control districts. We find that KBK payment increased the monthly percentage of enrolees contacting a puskesmas with 0.578 percentage points. This is a sizeable increase of 48 percent compared to the baseline rate of just 1.2% but it still leaves most puskesmas far below the “sufficient” KBK threshold of 15%. For chronically ill patients, a small increase of 1.15 percentage points was estimated, but it leaves the rate even further below the program's “sufficient” threshold of 50%. We find no statistically significant effect on referral rates to hospitals for conditions not requiring specialist care. While we find positive effects of KBK on two out of three outcomes, all estimated effect sizes leave the actual rates far below the program targets. Our findings suggest that the KBK performance-based capitation reform has not been very successful in substituting secondary care use by greater primary care use.