Independent Risk Factor For Fibrosis Research Articles

Progression of radiographic fibrosis in rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease.

Preclinical interstitial lung disease (pILD) may represent the early stages of rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease (RA-ILD). However, the characteristics, clinical outcomes, and risk factors associated with fibrosis progression in RA-ILD, including pILD and ILD, remain poorly understood. Baseline data were compared between patients with RA-ILD and those with RA alone. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors associated with the prevalence and imaging progression of RA-ILD, respectively. Among the 371 enrolled RA patients, 32.3% had RA-ILD. Multiple logistic regression analyses identified age over 60.0 years (OR 2.22), smoking (OR 2.09), diabetes mellitus (DM) (OR 3.09), mixed connective tissue disease (MCTD) (OR 2.98), serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels exceeding 250.0 U/L (OR 6.73), and positive anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibody (OR 2.06) as independent risk factors for RA-ILD (p< 0.05 or 0.01). Among the 98 RA-ILD patients who underwent follow-up for a median duration of 19.1 months, 51.0% demonstrated fibrotic progression on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT). Multiple Cox regression analysis identified DM (HR 2.03), Disease Activity Score in 28 joints-Erythrocyte Sedimentation Rate (DAS28-ESR) greater than 5.1 (HR 2.21), and baseline HRCT scores exceeding 5.0 (HR 2.30) as independent risk factors for fibrosis progression in RA-ILD (p< 0.05 or 0.01). Nearly one-third of RA patients in this cohort had prevalent pILD or ILD, and half of them demonstrated imaging progression during follow-up. DM, higher DAS28-ESR, and advanced HRCT scores were identified as independent risk factors for progressive fibrosis in RA-ILD.

Tumor fibrosis correlates with the survival of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma and is predictable using clinicoradiological features.

To evaluate the prognostic value of fibrosis for patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and preoperatively predict fibrosis using clinicoradiological features. Tumor fibrosis plays an important role in the chemoresistance of PDAC. However, the prognostic value of tumor fibrosis remains contradiction and accurate prediction of tumor fibrosis is required. The study included 131 patients with PDAC who underwent first-line surgery. The prognostic value of fibrosis and rounded cutoff fibrosis points for median overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were determined using Cox regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. Then the whole cohort was randomly divided into training (n = 88) and validation (n = 43) sets. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to select independent risk factors for fibrosis in the training set, and a nomogram was constructed. Nomogram performance was assessed using a calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Hazard ratios of fibrosis for OS and DFS were 1.121 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.082-1.161) and 1.110 (95% CI: 1.067-1.155). ROC analysis identified 40% as the rounded cutoff fibrosis point for median OS and DFS. Tumor diameter, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level, and peripancreatic tumor infiltration were independent risk factors; areas under the nomogram curve were 0.810 and 0.804 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The calibration curve indicated good agreement of the nomogram, and DCA demonstrated good clinical usefulness. Tumor fibrosis was associated with poor OS and DFS in patients with PDAC. The nomogram incorporating clinicoradiological features was useful for preoperatively predicting tumor fibrosis. • Tumor fibrosis is correlated with poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma. • Tumor fibrosis can be categorized according to its association with overall survival and disease-free survival. • A nomogram incorporating carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level, tumor diameter, and peripancreatic tumor infiltration is useful for preoperatively predicting tumor fibrosis.

ADAM10 mediates ectopic proximal tubule development and renal fibrosis through Notch signalling.

Disturbed intrauterine development increases the risk of renal disease. Various studies have reported that Notch signalling plays a significant role in kidney development and kidney diseases. A disintegrin and metalloproteinase domain 10 (ADAM10), an upstream protease of the Notch pathway, is also reportedly involved in renal fibrosis. However, how ADAM10 interacts with the Notch pathway and causes renal fibrosis is not fully understood. In this study, using a prenatal chlorpyrifos (CPF) exposure mouse model, we investigated the role of the ADAM10/Notch axis in kidney development and fibrosis. We found that prenatal CPF‐exposure mice presented overexpression of Adam10, Notch1 and Notch2, and led to premature depletion of Six2+ nephron progenitors and ectopic formation of proximal tubules (PTs) in the embryonic kidney. These abnormal phenotypic changes persisted in mature kidneys due to the continuous activation of ADAM10/Notch and showed aggravated renal fibrosis in adults. Finally, both ADAM10 and NOTCH2 expression were positively correlated with the degree of renal interstitial fibrosis in IgA nephropathy patients, and increased ADAM10 expression was negatively correlated with decreased kidney function evaluated by serum creatinine, cystatin C, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Regression analysis also indicated that ADAM10 expression was an independent risk factor for fibrosis in IgAN. © 2020 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Ultrasound evaluation of schistosomiasis-related morbidity among the Xakriabá people in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil.

ObjectiveTo use ultrasound to investigate the morbidity related to schistosomiasis in the Xakriabá indigenous population.Materials and MethodsThis was a field-based census study conducted in the territory of the Xakriabá people. A total of 166 individuals were invited, and 148 (≤ 77 years of age) agreed to participate. Most participants underwent abdominal ultrasound, physical examination, and stool examination. Mann-Whitney U and chi-square tests were used for comparisons. We determined risk by calculating odds ratio (OR) and performed logistic regression analysis.ResultsSchistosoma mansoni eggs were found in 31 (26.7%) of the 116 stool samples examined, 22 (70.9%) of the 31 being from individuals 4-16 years of age. The median count was 144 eggs/g of feces (interquartile range, 264). Of the 105 participants examined with ultrasound, 68 (64.8%) had hepatomegaly (left lobe), 6 (5.7%) had splenomegaly, and 4 (3.8%) had portal hypertension. Egg-positive stool samples were more common in those with an enlarged left lobe (OR = 3.4; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1-11.2; p = 0.043). Periportal fibrosis was found in 30 participants (28.6%), of whom 9 (30%) had pattern C, 10 (33.3%) had pattern D, and 11 (36.7%) had pattern Dc. Age was the only independent risk factor for fibrosis (p = 0.007). Fibrosis was up to nine-fold more common in alcohol drinkers than in nondrinkers (OR = 9.28; 95% CI: 2.60-33.06; p < 0.001). Among the 138 participants in whom the clinical form was classified, the chronic hepatic form was identified in 54 (39.1%), of whom 32 (59.2%) were under 30 years of age and one (1.8%) was hepatosplenic.ConclusionSchistosomiasis in the Xakriabá population is characterized by a high frequency of egg-positive stool samples, predominantly in children/adolescents, and by chronic hepatic form in the young, especially among alcohol drinkers.

Risk factors for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease-associated hepatic fibrosis in type 2 diabetes patients.

In patients with type 2 diabetes, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and liver fibrosis is frequent and presumably associated with increased cardiovascular disease risk and mortality. The objective was to investigate risk factors associated with hepatic fibrosis in patients with type 2 diabetes and NAFLD to provide a basis for the prevention and treatment. Liver stiffness measurements (LSM) expressed in kilopascals (kPa) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) expressed in dB/m were diagnosed by transient elastography. Hepatic steatosis and significant fibrosis were defined as having a CAP score ≥ 260dB/m and an LSM score ≥ 8kPa, respectively. Associations between fibrosis categories with anthropometric and metabolic variables were determined; then, variables with statistical significance in the univariate analysis were included in multivariate model. A total of 108 participant with type 2 diabetes and NAFLD (mean age: 44.69 ± 5.57years; mean duration of diabetes 4.68 ± 4.24years) were recruited. In these patients, body mass index, obesity, fat mass, waist circumferences, resting energy expenditure, CAP score, fasting insulin, C-peptide, HbA1C, hs-CRP as well as liver enzymes and systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure were positively associated with fibrosis (all p < 0.05). Using multivariate logistic regression, serum aspartate aminotransferase (OR 1.12; 95% CI 1.06-1.19), waist circumferences (odds ratio [OR] 1.15; 95% CI 1.05-1.25) and C-peptide (OR 3.81; 95% CI 1.5-9.7) remained as independently associated with liver fibrosis. For participants with type 2 diabetes with coexisting NAFLD, stratification by independent risk factors for fibrosis could have important prognostic value.

Body Fat Distribution and Risk Factors for Fibrosis in Patients with Alcoholic Liver Disease

Only a small proportion of alcoholic patients develop advanced liver disease, suggesting that factors other than alcohol intake may influence alcoholic liver disease (ALD) progression. We have shown that body mass index (BMI) is an independent risk factor for fibrosis in alcohol-induced liver disease and that adipose tissue inflammation is correlated with liver lesions in alcoholic patients. The aim of this study was to determine whether visceral adipose tissue, as assessed by abdominal height measurement, affected individual susceptibility to fibrosis in alcoholic patients. We included 127 consecutive alcoholic patients with abnormal liver test findings for whom liver histology data were available. Abdominal height was measured with a Holtain-Kahn abdominal caliper. We carried out univariate comparisons followed by multivariate regression analysis, to investigate the relationship between abdominal height and fibrosis score. Abdominal height (p<0.005), waist circumference (p<0.05), fasting blood glucose concentration (p<0.05), serum triglyceride concentration (p<0.05), serum bilirubin (p<0.005), and BMI (p=0.05) were higher, whereas high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol level (p<0.01) was lower in the 72 patients with significant (F2-F4) fibrosis than in the 55 patients with F0-F1 fibrosis. In multivariate regression analysis, only abdominal height (β=7.2, p<0.002) was independently and positively correlated with fibrosis score, which was also negatively correlated with HDL cholesterol level (β=-1.04, p<0.05). We provide the first demonstration that abdominal height may be a predictor of significant fibrosis in patients with ALD. Our findings support a role for visceral fat accumulation, independent of BMI and of metabolic syndrome criteria, in the onset of alcoholic liver damage.

Simultaneous Integrated Boost Irradiation After Breast-Conserving Surgery: Physician-Rated Toxicity and Cosmetic Outcome at 30 Months’ Follow-Up

To evaluate toxicity and cosmetic outcome (CO) in breast cancer survivors treated with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy with a hypofractionated, simultaneous integrated boost (3D-CRT-SIB) and to identify risk factors for toxicity, with special focus on the impact of age. Included were 940 consecutive disease-free patients treated for breast cancer (Stage 0-III) with 3D-CRT-SIB, after breast-conserving surgery, from 2005 to 2010. Physician-rated toxicity (Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 3.0) and CO were prospectively assessed during yearly follow-up, up to 5 years after radiotherapy. Multivariate logistic regression analyses using a bootstrapping method were performed. At 3 years, toxicity scores of 436 patients were available. Grade ≥ 2 fibrosis in the boost area was observed in 8.5%, non-boost fibrosis in 49.4%, pain to the chest wall in 6.7%, and fair/poor CO in 39.7% of cases. Radiotherapy before chemotherapy was significantly associated with grade ≥ 2 boost fibrosis at 3 years (odds ratio [OR] 2.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-6.0). Non-boost fibrosis was associated with re-resection (OR 2.2, 95% CI 1.2-4.0) and larger tumors (OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.1). At 1 year, chest wall pain was significantly associated with high boost dosage (OR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.7) and younger age (OR 0.4, 95% CI 0.2-0.7). A fair/poor CO was observed more often after re-resection (OR 4.5, 95% CI 2.4-8.5), after regional radiotherapy (OR 2.9, 95% CI 1.2-7.1), and in larger tumors (OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.1). Toxicity and CO are not impaired after 3D-CRT-SIB. Fibrosis was not significantly associated with radiotherapy parameters. Independent risk factors for fibrosis were chemotherapy after radiotherapy, re-resection, and larger tumor size. Re-resection was most predictive for worse CO. Age had an impact on chest wall pain occurrence.

This Month in Gastroenterology

This Month in Gastroenterology

Clinical predictors of fibrosis in patients with chronic liver disease

Patients with chronic liver disease and components of metabolic syndrome may be at higher risk for fibrosis. To assess the impact of clinicodemographic factors on hepatic fibrosis in CLD. Of 1028 chronic liver disease patients, 964 were included in the analysis. Extensive clinico-demographic and histological data were available. Significant baseline fibrosis (METAVIR stage > or =2) and fibrosis progression (increase of > or =1 stage in subsequent biopsy) were compared between groups using univariate and multivariate analyses. Compared with HCV and HBV, NAFLD patients were more obese (higher BMI and waist circumference), diabetic, hypertensive and hyperlipidaemic. Significant fibrosis occurred in 55%, 43% and 20% of HCV, HBV and NAFLD, respectively. Factors independently associated with fibrosis in NAFLD included DM, elevated AST and ALT. For viral hepatitis, independent predictors of fibrosis were low platelet count (HBV and HCV), age (HBV) and elevated AST and ALT (HCV). A second biopsy was available for 96 patients with follow-up of about 4 years. Factors independently associated with progression of fibrosis were HCV infection, higher ALT and lower platelet count. Diabetes mellitus is an independent risk factor for fibrosis only in NAFLD. Elevated aminotransferases and/or low platelet counts are independently associated with significant baseline fibrosis or progression of fibrosis, in patients with chronic liver disease.

Hepatitis C Is Less Aggressive in Hemodialysis Patients than in Nonuremic Patients

The severity of liver disease among hepatitis C patients on hemodialysis is controversial. The aim of this study was to compare the clinical, biochemical, and liver histologic characteristics of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in hemodialysis patients and in those with normal renal function. A case-control study was carried out with 36 HCV patients on hemodialysis and 37 HCV patients with normal renal function matched for gender, age at infection, and estimated time of infection. HCV patients on hemodialysis had lower levels of alanine aminotransferase and lower viral load. Hepatic fibrosis was significantly higher in the patients with normal renal function (73%) than in hemodialysis patients (47.2%, P < 0.025); the same was observed for inflammatory activity (control group 59.5% versus hemodialysis patients 27.7%, P = 0.003). In addition, the risk of tissue inflammation was four times lower in hemodialysis patients (odds ratio = 0.23, P < 0.004), and severe inflammatory activity on biopsy was the only independent risk factor for fibrosis (P < 0.001). The lower biochemical and inflammatory activities observed in hemodialysis patients suggest that hemodialysis and uremia may have a protective role against progression of the disease caused by HCV.

Combination of Oxidative Stress and Steatosis Is a Risk Factor for Fibrosis in Alcohol-Drinking Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C

Alcohol and HCV have been shown to interact in stimulating hepatic oxidative damage. Thus, we investigated the contribution of oxidative mechanisms in the progression of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) in alcohol consumers. An increased IgG reactivity against lipid peroxidation-derived antigens was used as the marker for alcohol-induced oxidative damage in 125 CHC patients. Alcohol intake significantly increased the frequency of the subjects with elevated lipid peroxidation-related IgG. However, no association was evident between oxidative stress markers and the severity of steatosis, necroinflammation, or fibrosis. Multivariate analysis revealed that age (P= 0.014) and hepatic iron content (P= 0.034) were the only independent predictors of fibrosis in these patients. However, the risk of fibrosis in the subjects with both steatosis and oxidative stress-induced immune responses was 6- (OR 6.2, 95% CI 1.2-31.0) and 14-fold (OR 14.6, 95% CI 3.1-68.1) higher than in the subjects with steatosis alone or without steatosis, respectively. Multivariate analysis confirmed that the combination of steatosis and oxidative stress (P= 0.045) was, together with age (P= 0.021) and hepatic iron content (P= 0.027), an independent risk factor for fibrosis in CHC patients with alcohol intake. These results demonstrate that oxidative stress interacts with steatosis to promote the progression of CHC in alcohol-consuming patients.

Non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease in Malaysia: A demographic, anthropometric, metabolic and histological study

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing rapidly in the Asia-Pacific region. There has been a paucity of studies from the region. The aims of this study were to define the demographic, anthropometric, metabolic and histological characteristics of patients with NAFLD in our local population and to determine independent predictors of severe liver fibrosis. Patients with persistently raised liver enzymes and/or fatty liver detected on ultrasonography with exclusion of other liver disorders were prospectively recruited. Their insulin resistance was assessed using the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance score. A liver biopsy was performed in all cases for grading (for steatohepatitis) and staging (for fibrosis) of NAFLD. Independent risk factors for fibrosis were determined using multiple logistic regression analysis. Seventy-five patients were recruited: 39 men (52%) and 36 women (48%). The mean age of the patients was 47.0+/-12.2 years. Of these, 58 patients (77.3%) were centrally obese, 29 patients (38.7%) were diabetic and 15 patients (20.0%) had impaired glucose tolerance. Insulin resistance was diagnosed in 62 out of 64 (96.9%) patients. Benign steatosis, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and cirrhosis were diagnosed in three (4.3%), 59 (84.3%) and eight (11.4%) of 70 patients, respectively. Significant independent predictors of liver fibrosis were; male sex (P=0.019, OR=5.55, CI=1.33-23.18) and Indian race (P=0.013, OR=8.21, CI=1.56-43.16). The full histological spectrum of NAFLD was seen in our patients. The majority of patients were insulin resistant, centrally obese and either diabetic or had impaired glucose tolerance. The predictors of severe liver fibrosis were male sex and Indian race.

Risk factors for hepatitis C fibrosis: a prospective study of United States veterans* compared with nonveterans

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection causes cirrhosis in many infected patients; however, a better understanding of the risk factors for fibrosis progression in high HCV prevalence groups such as US veterans is needed. We wished to compare the demographic, clinical characteristics, and independent variables that influence fibrosis in US veterans vs nonveterans with chronic HCV. HCV-seropositive US veterans (n = 459) and nonveterans (n = 395) prospectively completed a detailed medical, social and occupational questionnaire. Clinical factors for progressive liver disease were compared between veterans and nonveterans and fibrosis stage assessed on liver biopsies (168 veterans and 208 nonveterans). Using polychotomous logistic regression, fibrosis was analysed as both a progressive and categorical outcome to determine independent risk factors for both patient groups. Although veterans were significantly older and had higher lifetime alcohol consumption than nonveterans, their median fibrosis scores did not differ from nonveterans. By univariate analysis, alanine aminotransferase, necroinflammatory activity (NIA), and cryoglobulin positivity were associated with fibrosis in veterans and nonveterans (P < 0.05, all comparisons), whereas steatosis was associated with fibrosis only in nonveterans (P < 0.0001). By multivariate analysis, NIA was an independent risk factor for fibrosis in both groups (P < 0.01). However, fibrosis in nonveterans was also independently associated with steatosis, significant alcohol consumption and age (P < 0.04, all comparisons). Independent risk factors for fibrosis vary among high HCV prevalence groups such as veterans when compared with nonveterans. Understanding specific patient cohort effects is important for determining independent risk factors for disease progression in chronic HCV infection.

Review article: the treatment of non‐alcoholic steatohepatitis with thiazolidinediones

It is generally accepted that non-alcoholic fatty liver disease will be the most frequent liver disease in the near future and that the management of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease will be a challenge for hepatologists in the next decades. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is considered the hepatic manifestation of the metabolic syndrome, in which insulin resistance plays a crucial role. Although steatosis will often not progress to severe liver disease, in some patients, it results in cirrhosis and even hepatocellular carcinoma. Therefore, it is important to identify those patients at risk for developing fibrosis. Age, diabetes, obesity and hypertriglyceridaemia are independent risk factors for fibrosis in patients with elevated serum alanine aminotransferase levels and steatosis on ultrasound. The presence of multiple metabolic disorders increases the risk. Apart from diet, exercise and correction of underlying metabolic abnormalities, no specific treatment is available at the moment. Theoretically, thiazolidinediones are an attractive way to treat non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, because they improve insulin resistance. Some preliminary studies with thiazolidinediones were encouraging, as steatosis, inflammation and fibrosis improved in a substantial number of patients. Although no serious side effects occurred in the pilot studies, we should look vigilantly for hepatotoxicity, as the first generation thiazolidinediones proved to be toxic for the liver.

Silent non-alcoholic fatty liver disease—a clinical–histological study

We studied the prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic-steatohepatitis in patients with metabolic-syndrome but normal liver enzymes. The histological findings of patients with normal liver enzymes and non-alcoholic-steatohepatitis were compared with those of a control-group with persistently abnormal liver enzymes. Patients presenting with normal liver enzymes were enrolled in the study and underwent liver biopsy. Prevalence of non-alcoholic-steatohepatitis and risk factors for fibrosis and cirrhosis were evaluated. Data from a control-group with non-alcoholic-steatohepatitis and abnormal liver enzymes were used to compare the histological findings. Fifty-eight of the 80 patients enrolled had varying degrees of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, of these 26 had fibrosis and 8 silent cirrhosis. The association of metabolic-syndrome, female-sex, a long-history of obesity and body mass index>45 were considered to be independent risk-factors for fibrosis. Comparing the histological findings of cases and controls we found a similar severity of steatosis and fibrosis, with a greater prevalence of ballooning degeneration and glycogenated-nuclei rather than lobular-inflammation. In the subjects selected according to our criteria, liver enzyme levels could not be used as surrogate markers of non-alcoholic-steatohepatitis. Histological hallmarks of patients with metabolic-syndrome, normal liver enzymes and non-alcoholic-steatohepatitis consist to a lesser degree of lobular-inflammation and a more severe ballooning and glycogenated-nuclei.

Risk factors of fibrosis in alcohol-induced liver disease

In patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), age, obesity, and diabetes mellitus are independent predictors of the degree of fibrosis. The relative risk for fibrosis adjusted for sex was also associated with increasing grade of Perls stain. The aim of this study was to determine whether the risk factors for fibrosis described in NASH are also risk factors in alcohol-induced liver disease. A total of 268 alcoholic patients with negative hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus serology underwent liver biopsy. Fibrosis was assessed semiquantitatively by a score fluctuating between 0 to 8. Liver iron overload was assessed by Perls staining and graded in 4 classes. We have used multivariate regression with partial correlation analysis to assess the variability of fibrosis score according to the value of 7 variables: sex, age, body mass index (BMI) in the past year before the hospitalization when the patient was asymptomatic, daily alcohol intake over the past 5 years, total duration of alcohol abuse, Perls grade, and blood glucose level. In the multivariate regression, fibrosis score was positively correlated with age (P = .001), BMI (P = .002), female sex (P < .05), Perls grade (P < .05), and blood glucose level (P < .05). Twenty percent of the variability of fibrosis score was explained by the 7 variables. In conclusion, after adjustment for daily alcohol intake and total duration of alcohol abuse, BMI, Perls grade, and blood glucose are also independent risk factors for fibrosis in alcohol-induced liver disease, raising therapeutic implications for the management of these patients. (HEPATOLOGY 2002;35:635-638.)