Independent Risk Factor For Disease-free Survival Research Articles

Abstract PO1-17-01: Surgical Margins and prognosis of borderline and malignant phyllodes tumors of breast

Abstract Background. To determine the appropriate surgical margin and identify predictive factors for recurrence and prognosis of borderline and malignant phyllodes tumor (PT) of the breast. Methods. A retrospective review of patients with borderline and malignant PT treated from March 2011 to December 2022 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University were conducted. The main endpoints of this research were local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the impacts of different variables on LRFS and DFS, and to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results. Of 155 patients with phyllodes tumors, 87 (56.1%) were classified as borderline while 68 (43.9%) were malignant. All patients included underwent operation, with a median age of 47 years (range,12-66 years) and a median tumor size of 60 mm (range,15-300 mm). Initial surgical margins < 1cm in 72 (46.5%) patients, of which 28 (38.9%) underwent reoperation, resulting in 45 (28.4%) patients with a margin < 1cm and 111 (71.6%) patients with a margin ≥1cm. At a median follow-up period of 66 months (range 3-146 months), local recurrence was observed in 36 patients (23.2%), and distant metastasis occurred in 10 patients (6.5%). In this cohort, the rates of 5-year LRFS was significantly higher in the surgical margin ≥1 cm group than in the surgical margin < 1 cm group (83.8% vs 50.4%, log-rank P< 0.001), both for the borderline (log-rank P=0.010) and the malignant PT (log-rank P< 0.001).Similarly, for both borderline (log-rank P=0.019) and malignant PT (log-rank P< 0.001), the rates of 5-year DFS was significantly higher in the surgical margin ≥1 cm group than in the surgical margin < 1 cm group (80.3% vs 47.5%, log-rank P=0.002). For 72 patients with the initial margin < 1 cm, 5-year DFS for undergoing reoperation to achieve a margin ≥1 cm and remaining with a margin < 1 cm were84.1% and 47.5%, respectively (P=0.008). In univariate analysis of the entire cohort, age, fibroadenoma surgery history, surgical methods, and surgical margins emerged as predictive factors for LRFS (P=0,003, 0.019, 0.026, and0.001, respectively), whereas age, reproductive history, fibroadenoma surgery history, tumor size and surgical margins were predictors of DFS (P= 0,011, 0.025, 0.039, 0.022, and0.002, respectively).In multivariate analysis, age< 45 years (HR=2.186, 95%CI:1.105-4.328, P=0.025)and surgical margins< 1cm (HR=2.181, 95%CI:1.021-4.659, P=0.044) were independent risk factors of LRFS. Independent risk factors for DFS included tumor size>5cm (HR=2.265, 95%CI:1.113-4.606, P=0.024) and surgical margins < 1cm (HR=2.689, 95%CI:1.438-5.027, P=0.002). Conclusion. For borderline and malignant PT, surgical margins of at least 1 cm should be achieved for a better prognosis. Patients aged < 45 years with a high risk of local recurrence and larger tumor patients with poor prognosis, multiple therapy modalities may be required for these high-risk patients. Survival curves for impact of variables on LRFS and DFS Table 1 Univariate and multivariate analysis of LRFS of PTs of the breast (n=155) Table 2 Univariate and multivariate analysis of DFS of PTs of the breast (n=155) Citation Format: lu Gan, Jialin Su. Surgical Margins and prognosis of borderline and malignant phyllodes tumors of breast [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO1-17-01.

Prognostic evaluation of lymph-vascular space invasion in patients with endometrioid and non-endometrioid endometrial cancer: A multicenter study

IntroductionThe prognostic value of lymph-vascular space invasion (LVSI) on endometrial cancer (EC) remains controversial. This study aimed to explore the impact of LVSI on patients with endometrioid and non-endometrioid EC in China. Materials and methodsWe analyzed EC patients who underwent surgery from 2010 to 2019 in seven Chinese hospitals retrospectively and stratified patients based on histopathologic types and LVSI status. Endpoints were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Propensity score matching (PSM) algorithm was used to balance the confounding factors. The survival was examined using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to find prognostic independent risk factors. ResultsAmong 3715 EC patients, LVSI positive rate was 9.31% (346/3715). After matching, LVSI present group had shorter DFS (P = 0.005), and similar OS (P = 0.656) than LVSI absent group for endometrioid EC patients. For non-endometrioid EC patients, there was no statistical difference in either DFS (P = 0.536) or OS (P = 0.512) after matching. The multivariate Cox analysis showed that LVSI was an independent risk factor of DFS [hazard ratio (HR) 2.62, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.35–5.10, P = 0.005] and not OS (HR 1.24, 95%CI 0.49–3.13, P = 0.656) for endometrioid EC patients. It was not a prognostic factor of either DFS (HR 1.28, 95%CI 0.58–2.81, P = 0.539) or OS (HR 1.33, 95%CI 0.55–3.13, P = 0.515) for non-endometrioid EC patients. ConclusionLVSI is an adverse prognostic factor for endometrioid EC patients and has no impact on non-endometrioid EC patients. Necessity of postoperative adjuvant therapy based on LVSI needs to be carefully considered for non-endometrioid EC patients.

Development and validation of a computed tomography-based radiomics signature to predict "highest-risk" from patients with high-risk gastrointestinal stromal tumor.

Some patients with high-risk gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) experience disease progression after complete resection and adjuvant therapy. It is of great significance to distinguish these patients among those with high-risk GIST. Radiomics has been demonstrated as a promising tool to predict various tumors prognosis. From January 2006 to December 2018, a total of 100 high-risk GIST patients (training cohort: 60; validation cohort: 40) from Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital with preoperative enhanced computed tomography (CT) images were enrolled. The radiomics features were extracted and a risk score was built using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-Cox model. The clinicopathological factors were analyzed and a nomogram was established with and without radiomics risk score. The concordance index (C-index), calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the performance of the radiomics nomograms. We selected 11 radiomics features associated with recurrence or metastasis. The risk score was calculated and significantly associated with disease-free survival (DFS) in both the training and validation group. Cox regression analysis showed that Ki67 was an independent risk factor for DFS [P=0.004, hazard ratio 4.615, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.624-13.114]. The combined radiomics nomogram, which integrated the radiomics risk score and significant clinicopathological factors, showed good performance in predicting DFS, with a C-index of 0.832 (95% CI: 0.761-0.903), which was better than the clinical nomogram (C-index 0.769, 95% CI: 0.679-0.859) in training cohort. The calibration curves and the DCA plot suggested satisfying accuracy and clinical utility of the model. The CT-based radiomics nomogram, combined with the clinicopathological factors and risk score, has good potential to assess the recurrence or metastasis of patients with high-risk GIST.

Prognostic value of preoperative white blood cell to hemoglobin ratio and fibrinogen to albumin ratio in patients with colorectal cancer.

The prognostic value of preoperative white blood cell to hemoglobin ratio (WHR) and fibrinogen to albumin ratio (FAR) in colorectal cancer (CRC) is unknown. The purpose of this study was to analyze the correlation between preoperative WHR and FAR and the prognosis of CRC patients. The retrospective study analyzed the medical records of 207 patients with colorectal cancer who were admitted to Linyi People's Hospital between June 1, 2017 and June 1, 2021. The receiver operator curve was used to determine the cutoff value of 4.604 for WHR and 0.086 for FAR, and the patients were divided into high and low groups for comparative analysis of clinical data. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess independent risk factors for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in univariate and multifactorial analyses. Kaplan-Meier methods were used for survival analysis and logrank tests were used to assess survival differences. Multifactorial Cox analysis showed that tumor pathological stage (HR = 6.224, 95% CI:3.063-12.647, P < .001), and WHR (HR = 3.681, 95% CI:1.768-7.401, P < .001) were the independent risk factors for DFS in CRC patients. Tumor pathological stage (HR = 4.080, 95% CI:1.992-8.360, P < .001), and WHR (HR = 3.397, 95% CI:1.662-6.940, P = .001) were independent risk factors for OS. High levels of WHR and high levels of FAR were associated with lower DFS (P < .001) and OS (P < .001).CRC patients with both higher WHR and FAR had significantly lower DFS (P < .001) and OS (P < .001). DFS and OS may be shorter in CRC patients with high WHR and high FAR, perhaps associated with poor prognosis in CRC patients, and WHR and FAR may be potential CRC prognostic markers.

Surgical margins and prognosis of borderline and malignant phyllodes tumors.

To investigate the optimal surgical margin and prognostic risk factors for borderline and malignant phyllodes tumors (PTs). A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with borderline and malignant PTs at our hospital from 2011 to 2022. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were employed to analyze the effects of various variables on local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) and disease-free survival (DFS). This study comprised 150 patients, 85 classified as borderline and 65 as malignant. During a median follow-up of 66months (range: 3-146months), 34 cases (22.7%) experienced local recurrence, 9 cases (6.0%) exhibited distant metastasis, and 7 cases (4.7%) resulted in death. Irrespective of the histological subtypes, patients with surgical margins ≥ 1cm exhibit significantly higher 5-year LRFS and 5-year DFS rates compared to those with margins < 1cm. Among patients with initial margins < 1cm, LRFS (P = 0.004) and DFS (P = 0.003) were improved in patients reoperated to achieve margins ≥ 1cm. Surgical margin < 1cm (HR = 2.567, 95%CI 1.137-5.793, P = 0.023) and age < 45years (HR = 2.079, 95%CI 1.033-4.184, P = 0.040) were identified as independent risk factors for LRFS. Additionally, surgical margin < 1cm (HR = 3.074, 95%CI 1.622-5.826, P = 0.001) and tumor size > 5cm (HR = 2.719, 95%CI 1.307-5.656, P = 0.007) were determined to be independent risk factors for DFS. A negative surgical margin of at least 1cm (with secondary resection if necessary) should be achieved for borderline and malignant PTs. Tumor size > 5cm and age < 45years were predictive of recurrence, suggesting multiple therapy modalities may be considered for these high-risk patients.

Laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy versus open pancreaticoduodenectomy for carcinoma of the ampulla of Vater in a medium-volume center: a propensity score matching analysis.

To compare the efficacy of laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy (LPD) and open pancreaticoduodenectomy (OPD) in a medium-volume medical center. Data for patients who underwent OPD or LPD for carcinoma of the ampulla of Vater (VPC) between January 2017 and June 2022 were acquired retrospectively. Propensity score-matching (PSM) analysis was performed to balance the baseline characteristics between the groups. The primary outcome was disease-free survival (DFS). Cox regression analysis was used to explore the independent risk factors for DFS. A total of 124 patients with pathologically diagnosed VPC were included. After 1:1 matching, there were 23 cases each in the OPD and LPD groups. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses showed that the median DFS in the OPD and LPD groups was identical (16.0 months vs 16.0 months, respectively). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that low levels of alkaline phosphatase and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase, positive surgical margin, and lymph node enlargement were independent risk factors for DFS. LPD in medium-volume centers with acceptable technical conditions may approach or even achieve the efficacy of LPD in large-volume centers.

The use of non-steroid anti-inflammatory drugs during radical resection correlated with the outcome in non-small cell lung cancer

AimsThe use of non-steroid anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) is conventional in management of postoperative pain in cancer patients, and further investigations have reported that some of these drugs correlated with the outcome in cancers. However, the prognostic value of the use of NSAIDs during surgery in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients has been less addressed.MethodsNSCLC patients staged I–III are retrospectively enrolled, and the data of the use of NSAIDs during surgery are collected. Patients are divided into two subgroups according to the use intensity (UI) (low or high) of the NSAIDs, which was calculated by the accumulate dosage of all the NSAIDs divided by the length of hospitalization. The differences of the clinical features among these groups were checked. And the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) differences in these groups were compared by Kaplan–Meier analysis; risk factors for survival were validated by using a Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsThe UI was significant in predicting the DFS (AUC = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.57–0.73, P = 0.001) and OS (AUC = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.59–0.81, P = 0.001). Clinical features including type of resection (P = 0.001), N stages (P < 0.001), and TNM stages (P = 0.004) were significantly different in UI low (< 74.55 mg/day) or high (≥ 74.55 mg/day) subgroups. Patients in UI-high subgroups displayed significant superior DFS (log rank = 11.46, P = 0.001) and OS (log rank = 7.63, P = 0.006) than the UI-low ones. At last, the UI was found to be an independent risk factor for DFS (HR: 0.52, 95% CI: 0.28–0.95, P = 0.034).ConclusionsThe use of NSAIDs during radical resection in NSCLC patients correlated with the outcome and patients with a relative high UI has better outcome.

The cancer inflammation prognostic index is a valuable biomarker for predicting the survival of patients with stage I–III colorectal cancer

This study aimed to assess the relationship between the Cancer-Inflammation Prognostic Index (CIPI) and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage I–III colorectal cancer (CRC). The relationship between the CIPI and survival was evaluated using restricted cubic splines. Survival curves were established using the Kaplan–Meier method and the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards models were used to explore independent prognostic factors for CRC. Meaningful variables from the multivariate analysis were used to construct prognostic nomograms. The relationship between the CIPI values on a continuous scale and the risk of DFS/OS mortality was an inverted L-shape. Patients with a high CIPI had significantly lower DFS (53.0% vs. 68.5%, p < 0.001) and OS (55.5% vs. 71.7%, p < 0.001) than those with a low CIPI. The CIPI can also serve as an effective auxiliary tool to further distinguish the prognosis of patients with CRC at the same pathological stage, especially for stages II and III. After multivariate adjustment, a high CIPI was found to be an independent risk factor for DFS (HR 1.443, 95% CI 1.203–1.730, p < 0.001) and OS (HR 1.442, 95% CI 1.189–1.749, p < 0.001) in CRC patients. These nomograms have the advantage of integrating individual profiles, tumour characteristics, and serum inflammatory markers, providing favourable discrimination and calibration values. Compared with traditional TNM staging, nomograms have a better predictive performance. The CIPI is an effective and easy-to-use clinical tool for predicting the recurrence and overall mortality of patients with stage I–III CRC.

Establishing a Risk Stratification Model to Identify Clinically High-Risk N0 Breast Cancer Who Could Benefit from Regional Nodal Irradiation: A Single Institute Analysis

The adverse clinical features for pN0 BC patients significantly varies and there is no established clinical risk stratification system to identify those "high-risk" pN0 BC patients who might benefit from RNI. The purpose of this real-world study was to investigate the risk factors for developing recurrence among patients with pathological T1-3N0 breast cancer (BC) treated with breast-conserving surgery (BCS) followed by whole breast irradiation alone (WBI) and identify those clinically high-risk BCs who could benefit from regional nodal irradiation (RNI). Female BC patients treated from 2009 to 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. The disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival differences were compared with the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed using Cox logistic regression analysis. An external validation was conducted by using SEER database. A total of 622 BC patients treated with BCS+WBI alone were included. With a median follow-up of 82 months, the 7-year OS and DFS for the entire cohort was 97% and 91%, respectively. Multivariable Cox analysis indicated that tumor size (p = 0.006), tumor location (p = 0.033), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) status (p = 0.0028) and Ki-67 index (p = 0.051) were independent risk factors for DFS, while only tumor size was the only independent risk factors for OS (p = 0.029). A scoring system was developed using these four factors and the 7-year DFS and OS were 97% and 96% for patients with 0-1 risk factors, 95% and 82% for patients with ≥2 risk factors (p<0.0001 for DFS, and p = 0.0063 for OS). Based on tumor size and tumor location, an external validation by demonstrated that the 7-year OS was 90% and 88% for patients with 0-1 risk factor, which was significantly better than those defined as high-risk BC patients (82%, p<0.0001). By using our institute database, we establish a risk stratification system for identifying sub-group of pN0 BC patients, who are at high risk for developing recurrence. The results of our study support tailored RT decision-making according to individual risks, which needed to be confirmed in further studies.

Effect of Lipid Levels on Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes and Prognosis in Patients with Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

Objective: Dyslipidemia can promote cell proliferation, malignant transformation, metastasis, and cancer recurrence. Moreover, it could also affect immune infiltration in the tumor microenvironment. Therefore, we aimed to explore the effects of lipid levels on tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) and prognosis in patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Methods: Samples from 222 patients with TNBC from July 2007 to December 2019 were obtained from the tissue specimen banks in 3 hospitals. The blood samples were used to detect the levels of lipid levels such as apolipoprotein B (Apo B), triglyceride (TG), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). The TILs in the 222 TNBC tissues were detected using hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) staining, and the relationship between the lipid levels, clinical characteristics, and prognosis was analyzed. Results: Among TNBC patients, the overall survival (OS) time and disease-free survival (DFS) time were lower in patients with high LDL-C levels than those with low LDL-C levels (p < 0.01, respectively). The DFS was shorter in patients with low stromal TIL (STIL) levels than those with moderate or high STIL levels (p = 0.023). Multifactor Cox regression analysis showed that LDL-C level, Apo B level, and lymphocyte-predominant breast cancer were independent risk factors for OS in TNBC patients. The number of positive lymph nodes, postoperative staging, and total amount of TILs were independent risk factors for DFS in TNBC patients. Conclusion: The LDL-C and STIL levels were correlated with survival and prognosis in patients with TNBC.

Resection Margin Width Does Not Influence the Prognosis of Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Anatomic Resection: A Real-World Study from China.

The influence of resection margin (RM) width on the prognosis of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following anatomical resection (AR) has yet to be determined. Therefore, we conducted a real-world study to identify the optimal RM width and assess its impact on the outcomes of solitary HCC patients undergoing AR. The data pertaining to patients diagnosed with solitary HCC who underwent AR between December 2012 and December 2015 were retrospectively collected. The optimal cutoff value for the width of the RM was determined using X-tile software. The Kaplan-Meier method was utilized to compare the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) between the narrow and wide RM groups. Additionally, propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to minimize potential bias in the data. Of the 1033 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 293 (28.4%) were categorized into the narrow RM group (≤4 mm) and 740 (71.6%) into the wide RM group (> 4mm). Before and after PSM, there were no significant differences in OS and DFS between the two groups (before PSM: OS, HR=0.78, P=0.071; DFS, HR=0.95, P=0.620; after PSM: OS, HR=0.77, P=0.150; DFS, HR=0.90, P=0.470). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that RM width was not an independent risk factor for DFS and OS both before and after PSM (all P>0.05). However, subgroup analyses revealed that patients with ALBI grade 1, absence of cirrhosis, and AJCC stage II significantly benefited from wide RM in OS (all P< 0.05). Similarly, patients without HBV infection and absence of cirrhosis also exhibited significant benefits from wide RM in DFS (both P< 0.05). In patients with solitary HCC undergoing AR, the width of the RM does not appear to have a significant impact on their prognosis. However, in certain selected patients, a wider RM may confer benefits.

Different nodal upstaging rates and prognoses for patients with clinical T1N0M0 lung adenocarcinoma classified according to the presence of solid components in the lung and mediastinal windows.

Little is known about the correlation between nodal upstaging and pulmonary nodules classified according to the presence of solid components in the lung and mediastinal windows. This study thus aimed to analyze the risk factors of nodal upstaging and prognosis based on different imaging features, clinical characteristics, and pathological results from patients with clinical stage T1N0M0 lung adenocarcinoma. A total of 340 patients between January 2016 and June 2017 were selected from the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University database. Imaging features, clinical characteristics, and pathological results were collected for survival and analysis of nodal upstaging risk factors. We used logistic regression models to identify important metastatic risk factors for nodal upstaging. Survival rates were calculated using Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves and compared with the log-rank test. Significant prognostic risk factors were identified using the Cox proportional hazards model. A total of 340 patients, with an average age of 64.89 (±8.775) years, were enrolled. Among them, nonnodal upstaging occurred both in 77 (22.6%) patients with pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs) and in 30 (8.8%) patients with heterogenous ground-glass nodules (hGGNs). Compared to the 92 (27.1%) patients with real part-solid nodules (rPSNs), the 141 (41.5%) patients with solid nodules were significantly different in terms of in nodal upstaging (P<0.001). Moreover, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level >3.4 µg/L [odds ratio (OR): 2.931; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.511-5.688; P=0.001], imaging tumor size >18.3 mm (OR, 3.482; 95% CI: 1.609-7.535; P=0.002), and consolidation tumor ratio (CTR) >0.788 (OR 8.791; 95% CI: 3.570-21.651; P<0.001) were independent risk factors for nodal upstaging. The KM survival curve results showed that patients with pGGNs and those with hGGNs had a much better 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and 5-year overall survival (OS) than did those with rPSNs and those with solid nodules (DFS: 98.7% vs. 100% vs. 81.4% vs. 73.7%, P<0.001; OS: 97.4% vs. 100% vs. 90.2% vs. 83.7%, P=0.003). In the multivariate Cox regression analysis of patients with rPSNs and solid nodules, tumor location and pathological lymph node grade were found to be independent risk factors for DFS and OS. Patients with pGGNs and those with hGGNs were more likely to be free of nodal upstaging and had better prognosis than did those with clinical stage IA rPSNs and solid nodules. The patients with pGGNs or hGGNs with preoperative CEA level <3.4 µg/L, imaging tumor size <18.3 mm, and CTR <0.788 can choose systematic lymph node sampling (SLNS) or decline lymph node dissection to avoid postoperative complications.

Longitudinal Monitoring of Circulating Tumor DNA From Plasma in Patients With Curative Resected Stages I to IIIA EGFR-Mutant Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer

IntroductionFor patients with early stage EGFR-mutant–positive (EGFR-M+) NSCLC, curative surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy is considered the standard of care. This study evaluated the feasibility and efficacy of longitudinal monitoring of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a valuable biomarker for early detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) and provides identification of the group at high risk for recurrence in resected stages I to IIIA EGFR-M+ NSCLC. MethodsBetween August 2015 and October 2017, a total of 278 patients with curative resected, stages I to IIIA (American Joint Committee on Cancer seventh version) common EGFR-M+ NSCLC were analyzed. Radiological follow-up was accompanied with longitudinal monitoring of ctDNA using a droplet-digital polymerase chain reaction from baseline (preoperative), 4 weeks after curative surgery, and follow-up per protocol until 5 years. The primary outcomes were disease-free survival (DFS) according to the status of ctDNA positivity at landmark points and the sensitivity of longitudinal monitoring of ctDNA. ResultsAmong 278 patients, preoperative baseline ctDNA was detected in 67 (24%) patients: 23% (stage IA), 18% (IB), 18% (IIA), 50% (IIB), and 42% (IIIA) (p = 0.06). Of patients with baseline ctDNA, 76% (51 of 67) had clearance at 4 weeks after surgery (postoperative). Patients were classified into the following three groups; group A, baseline ctDNA negative (n = 211) versus group B, baseline ctDNA positive but postoperative MRD negative (n = 51) versus group C, baseline ctDNA positive and postoperative MRD positive (n = 16). The 3-year DFS rate was significantly different among the three groups (84% for group A, 78% for group B, and 50% for group C, p = 0.02). After adjusting for clinicopathologic variables, ctDNA still remains an independent risk factor for DFS along with stage (p < 0.001) and micropapillary subtype (p = 0.02). With longitudinal monitoring of ctDNA, MRD was detected before radiological recurrence in 69% of patients with exon 19 deletion and in 20% with L858R mutation. ConclusionsThese results suggest that patients with baseline ctDNA-positive or MRD-positive status were associated with poor DFS in curative resected stages I to IIIA EGFR-M+ NSCLC and that longitudinal monitoring of ctDNA, a noninvasive method, might be useful to detect early recurrence before radiological recurrence.

A novel prognostic model for high-grade endometrial cancer using combined neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR).

e17622 Background: Endometrial carcinoma (EC) as a common malignant tumor of the female reproductive system, posing a serious threat to the health of women. Compared to low-grade EC, high-grade EC has more rapid progression and a worse prognosis. Among the high-grade EC, grade3 endometrioid carcinoma, serous carcinoma, and clear cell carcinoma were the most common. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are potential biomarkers of the systemic inflammatory response, and the correlation with prognosis of high-grade EC remains unclear. We want to evaluate the predictive significance of NLR and PLR in the prognosis of high-grade endometrial carcinoma and to establish a predictive model combining clinical factors. Methods: This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 910 high-grade epithelial endometrial carcinoma patients from the Chinese Endometrial Carcinoma Consortium database who underwent initial surgical treatment between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2019. Univariable Cox survival analysis(the 2-sided Log-rank test) was used to assess each factor. Then the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to select the independent risk factors for DFS (disease-free survival) and OS (overall survival) from the outcomes of the univariate analysis to proceed with model fitting. Cox proportional hazard regression models were developed to predict the risk of recurrence and death at 3, 5, and 10 years, and the models were validated and calibrated. The area under the curve was used to measure the predictive performance of the model. The decision curve analysis was used to explore the clinical net benefit of the nomograms. Results: NLR and PLR were risk factors for recurrence, and NLR was a risk factor for death. We established models for predicting death and recurrence. In the training cohort, the AUC of recurrence model at 3, 5 and 10-year was 0.85, 0.85 and 0.86. And for the death model, the AUC at 3, 5 and 10-year was 0.83, 0.84 and 0.86. In the validation cohort, the AUC of recurrence model at 3,5 and 10-year was 0.72, 0.77 and 0.77. And for death model was 0.72, 0.81 and 0.84. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed a significant difference between low-risk and high-risk groups. The calibration curve also revealed excellent predictive accuracy both in the training and validation cohort. Conclusions: NLR and PLR are risk factors affecting the prognosis of high-grade endometrial carcinoma patients. Combining NLR/PLR and clinicopathological factors, we established a novel and more comprehensive prognostic model for patients to achieve risk stratification. This prognosis predictive model has the potential to offer risk scores and precise risk stratification for patients with high-grade endometrial cancer.

Increased Platelet Distribution Width Predicts 3-Year Recurrence in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Surgical Resection.

Platelet distribution width (PDW) is a marker of platelet anisocytosis that increases with platelet activation. The clinical implications of PDW in HCC are not well-defined. This study aimed to determine whether PDW could predict recurrence in patients with HCC after resection. Between January and December 2008, 471 patients with HCC were recruited retrospectively. The clinicopathological characteristics of patients with HCC were analyzed based on the relationship between the two PDW groups. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the relationship between PDW and disease-free survival (DFS). A novel nomogram was developed based on the identified independent risk factors. Its accuracy was evaluated using a calibration curve and concordance index. The predictive value was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. PDW was significantly associated with direct bilirubin, total bilirubin, urea, and prothrombin time. Patients with PDW ≥ 17.1 were a significantly shorter DFS than those with PDW < 17.1 (17.98% vs 49.83%, p< 0.001). Multivariate analysis determined that alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), carcinoembryonic antigen, microvascular invasion (MVI), tumor size, and tumor number were the independent variables associated with DFS. Patients with PDW ≥ 17.1 had a hazard ratio of 1.381 (95% confidence interval: 1.069-1.783, p = 0.014) for DFS. AFP, PDW, MVI, tumor size, and tumor number were identified as preoperative independent risk factors for DFS and used to establish the nomogram. Calibration curve analysis revealed that the standard curve fitted well with the predicted curve. ROC curve analysis demonstrated the high efficiency of the nomogram. Increased PDW may predict recurrence-free survival in patients with HCC. Our nomogram model also performed well in predicting patient prognoses.

Prognostic Effect of Liver Resection in Extended Cholecystectomy for T2 Gallbladder Cancer Revisited: A Retrospective Cohort Study With Propensity Score-matched Analysis.

This study aimed to evaluate the effect of liver resection on the prognosis of T2 gallbladder cancer (GBC). Although extended cholecystectomy [lymph node dissection (LND) + liver resection] is recommended for T2 GBC, recent studies have shown that liver resection does not improve survival outcomes relative to LND alone. Patients with pT2 GBC who underwent extended cholecystectomy as an initial procedure and did not reoperation after cholecystectomy at 3 tertiary referral hospitals between January 2010 and December 2020 were analyzed. Extended cholecystectomy was defined as either LND with liver resection (LND+L group) or LND only (LND group). We conducted 2:1 propensity score matching to compare the survival outcomes of the groups. Of the 197 patients enrolled, 100 patients from the LND+L group and 50 from the LND group were successfully matched. The LND+L group experienced greater estimated blood loss ( P <0.001) and a longer postoperative hospital stay ( P =0.047). There was no significant difference in the 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) of the 2 groups (82.7% vs 77.9%, respectively, P =0.376). A subgroup analysis showed that the 5-year DFS was similar in the 2 groups in both T substages (T2a: 77.8% vs 81.8%, respectively, P =0.988; T2b: 88.1% vs 71.5%, respectively, P =0.196). In a multivariable analysis, lymph node metastasis [hazard ratio (HR) 4.80, P =0.006] and perineural invasion (HR 2.61, P =0.047) were independent risk factors for DFS; liver resection was not a prognostic factor (HR 0.68, P =0.381). Extended cholecystectomy including LND without liver resection may be a reasonable treatment option for selected T2 GBC patients.

The Deepest Extent of Acellular Mucin Pools in Resected Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer With Pathological Complete Response After Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy: A Hidden Killer?

For patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) with pathological complete response (pCR), the clinical significance of the distribution extent of acellular mucin pools (AMP) distribution remains unclear, so this study was conducted to address key unanswered questions. We performed a retrospective analysis of 317 patients with LARC with pCR after preoperative chemoradiotherapy and total mesorectal resection from January 2011 to June 2020. Based on AMP existence and the deepest tissue layer of distribution, patients were assigned new stages. The patient information was recorded, and the main outcome measures included 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and 5-year overall survival (OS). A total of 83/317 (26.2%) patients exhibited AMP, and disease recurrence occurred in 46/317 (14.5%) patients. Over the 5-year median follow-up period, the patients with AMP showed 5-year DFS rates (75.9% vs. 88.9%, P =0.004) and 5-year OS rates (85.5% vs. 95.7%, P =0.002) statistically lower than those of patients without AMP. Disease recurrence was seen in 15/54 (27.8%) patients with AMP within the subserosa and/or the serosa, or adipose tissue. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that the existence of AMP within the subserosa and/or the serosa, or adipose tissue was an independent risk factor for DFS [hazard ratio (HR): 2.344; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.256-4.376; P =0.007] and OS [HR: 3.374; 95% CI: 1.438-7.917; P =0.005]. The new stages based on the deepest extent of AMP were related to worse DFS ( P =0.004) and OS ( P =0.003) rates among patients with pCR. In conclusion, the presence of AMP might reduce the prognosis of LARC patients with pCR after chemoradiotherapy, especially in patients with AMP in deeper tissue layers. Therefore, the influence of the deepest AMP extent might be worth considering in staging. Moreover, the revised staging of patients with pCR according to the deepest extent of AMP, which is unrelated to the clinical T stage, might facilitate postoperative management.

Postoperative serum interleukin-6 levels correlate with survival in stage I-III colorectal cancer

AimsThe preoperative serum levels of inflammatory mediators, including C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT) and interleukin-6 (IL-6), have been demonstrated to be correlated with patient outcomes in colorectal cancer (CRC); however, the prognostic role of these levels has been less well-studied in postoperative settings.Materials and methodsA total of 122 stage I-III CRC patients were retrospectively enrolled. Serum levels of CRP, PCT and IL-6 were measured after surgery, and their prognostic value was evaluated. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to determine the differences in disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) between patients with different levels of these mediators, and the Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the risk factors.ResultsIn contrast to CRP and PCT, only the level of IL-6 was significant in predicting DFS (P = 0.01) but not OS (P = 0.07). A total of 66.39% (81/122) of patients were assigned to the low IL-6 group and no significant differences were found in the collected clinicopathological parameters among the low or high IL-6 subgroups. The level of IL-6 was negatively correlated with postoperative (1 w) (R=-0.24, P = 0.02) absolute lymphocyte counts. Patients with low levels of IL-6 had better DFS (log rank = 6.10, P = 0.01) but not OS (log rank = 2.28, P = 0.13). Finally, the level of IL-6 was an independent risk factor for DFS (HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.03–3.15, P = 0.04).ConclusionsCompared to CRP and PCT, the level of IL-6 was observed to be the only significant factor in predicting the prognosis of stage I-III CRC patients after surgery, and a low level of IL-6 was associated with good DFS.

Effects of preoperative bicarbonate and lactate levels on short-term outcomes and prognosis in elderly patients with colorectal cancer

PurposeThe aim of this study was to analyze the effect of preoperative bicarbonate and lactate levels (LL) on the short-term outcomes and prognosis in elderly (≥ 65 years) patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).MethodsWe collected the information of CRC patients from Jan 2011 to Jan 2020 in a single clinical center. According to the results of preoperative blood gas analysis, we divided patients into the higher/lower bicarbonate group and the higher/lower lactate group, and compared their baseline information, surgery-related information, overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).ResultsA total of 1473 patients were included in this study. Comparing the clinical data of the higher/lower bicarbonate group and the higher/lower lactate group, the lower group were older (p < 0.01), had higher rates of coronary heart disease (CHD) (p = 0.025), a higher proportion of colon tumors (p < 0.01), larger tumor size (p < 0.01), higher rates of open surgery (p < 0.01), more intraoperative blood loss (p < 0.01), higher overall complications (p < 0.01) and 30-day deaths (p < 0.01). The higher LL patients had more male patients (p < 0.01), higher body mass index (BMI) (p < 0.01) and drinking rates (p = 0.049), higher rates of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (p < 0.01) and lower rates of open surgery (p < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, age (p < 0.01), BMI (p = 0.036), T2DM (p = 0.023), and surgical methods (p < 0.01) were independent risk factors of overall complications. The independent risk factors for OS included age (p < 0.01), tumor site (p = 0.014), tumor stage (p < 0.01), tumor size (p = 0.036), LL (p < 0.01), and overall complications (p < 0.01). The independent risk factors of DFS included age (p = 0.012), tumor site (p = 0.019), tumor stage (p < 0.01), LL (p < 0.01), and overall complications (p < 0.01).ConclusionPreoperative LL significantly affected postoperative OS and DFS of CRC patients, but bicarbonate might not affect the prognosis of CRC patients. Therefore, surgeons should actively focus on and adjust the LL of patients before surgery.

Establishment and validation of lncRNA-related prognostic signatures in cholangiocarcinoma

BackgroundThe prognosis of CCA is extremely poor, making it one of the most lethal cancers. Therefore, there is a need to elucidate the pathogenic mechanisms of CCA. In this study, we aimed at identifying lncRNA-related prognostic signatures for CCA through bioinformatics analysis and further validated their functions in CCA tumorigenesis and progression. MethodsThe RNA-seq data of CCA were downloaded from public databases. Differentially expressed lncRNAs (DElncRNAs) were screened. Then, candidate OS- and DFS-related DElncRNAs were selected through Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. Furthermore, LASSO regression was performed to establish the OS and DFS signatures, respectively. Multivariate COX models and nomograms for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were established based on OS/DFS signature and clinical data. Hub lncRNAs were identified and enrichment analyses were performed to explore their potential functions. Finally, in vitro and in vivo models were used to validate the effects of the hub lncRNAs in CCA tumorigenesis and progression. ResultsA total of 925 DElncRNAs were selected, of which six candidate OS-related lncRNAs and 15 candidate DFS-related lncRNAs were identified. The OS and DFS signatures were then established using four lncRNAs, respectively. We found that the OS signature and vascular invasion were independent risk factors for the OS of CCA, while the DFS signature, vascular invasion, and CA19–9 were independent risk factors for the DFS of CCA. Then, nomograms were established to achieve personalized CCA recurrence and death prediction. Furthermore, our study uncovered that MIR4435-2HG and GAPLINC might play crucial roles in CCA progression and be selected as hub lncRNAs. GO and KEGG enrichment analyses revealed that the two hub lncRNAs were closely related to CCA tumorigenesis. Finally, we demonstrated that MIR4435-2HG and GAPLINC can stimulate CCA proliferation and migration in vitro and in vivo. ConclusionsThe established OS and DFS signatures are independent risk factors for OS and DFS of CCA patients, respectively. MIR4435-2HG and GAPLINC were identified as hub lncRNAs. In vitro and in vivo models revealed that MIR4435-2HG and GAPLINC can prompt CCA progression, which might be novel prognostic biomarkers and therapeutic targets for CCA.