Independent Predictors Research Articles

Computed tomography-based radiomics predicts the fibroblast-related gene EZH2 expression level and survival of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common subtype of liver cancer. The primary treatment strategies for HCC currently include liver transplantation and surgical resection. However, these methods often yield unsatisfactory outcomes, leading to a poor prognosis for many patients. This underscores the urgent need to identify and evaluate novel therapeutic targets that can improve the prognosis and survival rate of HCC patients. AIM To construct a radiomics model that can accurately predict the EZH2 expression in HCC. METHODS Gene expression, clinical parameters, HCC-related radiomics, and fibroblast-related genes were acquired from public databases. A gene model was developed, and its clinical efficacy was assessed statistically. Drug sensitivity analysis was conducted with identified hub genes. Radiomics features were extracted and machine learning algorithms were employed to generate a radiomics model related to the hub genes. A nomogram was used to illustrate the prognostic significance of the computed Radscore and the hub genes in the context of HCC patient outcomes. RESULTS EZH2 and NRAS were independent predictors for prognosis of HCC and were utilized to construct a predictive gene model. This model demonstrated robust performance in diagnosing HCC and predicted an unfavorable prognosis. A negative correlation was observed between EZH2 expression and drug sensitivity. Elevated EZH2 expression was linked to poorer prognosis, and its diagnostic value in HCC surpassed that of the risk model. A radiomics model, developed using a logistic algorithm, also showed superior efficiency in predicting EZH2 expression. The Radscore was higher in the group with high EZH2 expression. A nomogram was constructed to visually demonstrate the significant roles of the radiomics model and EZH2 expression in predicting the overall survival of HCC patients. CONCLUSION EZH2 plays significant roles in diagnosing HCC and therapeutic efficacy. A radiomics model, developed using a logistic algorithm, efficiently predicted EZH2 expression and exhibited strong correlation with HCC prognosis.

Clinical efficacy and safety of immune checkpoint inhibitors plus anlotinib as secondline or subsequent therapy in extensive stage small cell lung cancer: a retrospective study.

Treatments are limited for extensive stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) patients in secondline or subsequent setting. This study aimed to explore the clinical efficacy and safety of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) plus anlotinib as secondline or subsequent therapy in ES-SCLC. We retrospectively analyzed 116 patients with ES-SCLC at Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital between January 2019 and March 2024. According to the different therapy regimes, they were divided into three groups, ICI plus anlotinib as secondline or subsequent therapy group (ICI + anlotinib group), single ICI as secondline or subsequent therapy group (single ICI therapy group), single chemotherapy as secondline therapy group (single chemotherapy group). Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare the progression-free survival (PFS) and the overall survival time (OS) among these three groups. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze different factors which correlated to PFS and OS. The adverse events were assessed according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients in ICI + anlotinib group had a longer PFS and OS compared to patients in single ICI therapy group (median PFS [mPFS]: 6.7months vs. 4.6months, P = 0.007; median OS [mOS]:12.4months vs. 8.4months, P = 0.041) and single chemotherapy group (mPFS: 6.7months vs. 3.0months, P < 0.001; mOS: 12.4months vs. 7.2months, P = 0.002). The Cox regression analysis showed that the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS), liver metastasis, brain metastasis and treatment regimes were independent predictors that affecting the PFS and OS of all the enrolled patients. The common adverse events (AEs) were wleukopenia and fatigue. There was no significant statistical difference in other AEs among the three groups except for leukopenia. ICI + anlotinib as secondline or subsequent therapy has better efficacy than single ICI group and single chemotherapy group and with tolerable toxicities for patients with ES-SCLC.

Characteristics of Sleep Disturbance and Comparison Across Three Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic Among Healthcare Workers.

Healthcare workers (HCWs) suffered from a heavy mental health burden during the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. We aimed to explore the differences in sleep disturbance in three waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in Taiwan among HCWs. Moreover, factors associated with sleep disturbances in the third wave were investigated. This study, with three waves of cross-sectional surveys, recruited first-line and second-line HCWs. The level of sleep disturbance and related demographic variables were collected through self-report questionnaires. Differences in sleep disturbance across the three waves were compared with analysis of variance. Factors associated with the level of sleep disturbance were identified using univariate linear regression and further used for multivariate stepwise and bootstrap linear regression to identify the independent predictors. In total, 711, 560, and 747 HCWs were included in the first, second, and third waves, respectively. For first-line HCWs, sleep disturbance was significantly higher in the third wave than in the first wave. The level of sleep disturbance gradually increased across the three waves for all HCWs. In addition, sleep disturbance was associated with depression, posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms, anxiety about COVID-19, vaccine mistrust, and poorer physical and mental health among first-line HCWs. Among second-line HCWs, sleep disturbance was associated with younger age, depression, PTSD symptoms, lower preference for natural immunity, and poorer physical health. The current study identified an increase in sleep disturbance and several predictors among HCWs. Further investigation is warranted to extend the application and generalizability of the current study.

Non-invasive myocardial work as an independent predictor of postprocedural NT-proBNP in elderly patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

Aortic stenosis has become the most prevalent valvular disease with increasing life expectancy and the ageing of the population, representing a significant clinical burden for health care providers. Its treatment has been revolutionized by transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) as a safe and minimally invasive option for elderly patients. Left ventricular (LV) functional measurement is of particular importance before TAVR, however, increased afterload significantly influences the conventional echocardiographic parameters. Non-invasive myocardial work examines myocardial deformation in the context of instantaneous LV pressure, thus, it might be a more reliable measure of LV function. Accordingly, we aimed to study non-invasive myocardial work and its relationship with functional outcome following TAVR.We enrolled 90 TAVR candidates (80 [75-84] years; 44% female). Using echocardiography, we quantified ejection fraction (EF), global longitudinal strain (GLS), global myocardial work index (GWI) and global constructive work (GCW) before and 12 months after the procedure. Serum NT-proBNP levels were also measured. EF did not change (52.6 ± 13.1 vs. 54.2 ± 10.5%; p = 0.199), while GLS increased (-13.5 ± 4.6 vs. -15.2 ± 3.8%; p < 0.001). GWI decreased (1913 ± 799 vs. 1654 ± 613 mmHg%; p < 0.001) and so did GCW (2365 ± 851 vs. 2177 ± 652 mmHg%; p = 0.018). History of atrial fibrillation (AF) (β = 0.349) and preprocedural GCW (β = -0.238) were independent predictors of postprocedural NT-proBNP (p< 0.001).GLS, GWI and GCW changed after TAVR while there was no alteration in EF. The preprocedural GCW and history of AF were independent predictors of postprocedural NT-proBNP. Accordingly, myocardial work indices may help patient selection and the prediction of the functional outcome in this population.

Clot lysis time and thrombin generation in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation.

Aortic valve stenosis (AS) is the most prevalent valvular heart disease and is associated with a significant increase in mortality. AS has been shown to be linked with numerous coagulation system abnormalities, including increased fibrin deposition on the stenotic aortic valves. Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is the primary treatment method for patients at high surgical risk. The aim of the study was to assess the impact of treating severe AS with TAVI on thrombin generation and clot lysis time (CLT). We studied 135 symptomatic AS patients recommended for TAVI by the local Heart Team. All measurements were performed before and 5-7 days after TAVI. Alongside clinical assessment and echocardiographic analysis, we assessed clot lysis time (CLT) and thrombin generation parameters, including lag time, peak thrombin generation, time to peak thrombin generation (ttPeak), and endogenous thrombin potential (ETP). 70 patients were included in the final analysis. After TAVI, there was a significant 9% reduction in CLT despite a 12% increase in fibrinogen concentration. We observed significant increase in lag time and ttPeak (20% and 12%, respectively), and 13% decrease in peak thrombin concentration compared to pre-procedural levels. Multivariable linear regression analysis demonstrated that baseline CLT and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were independent predictors of significant reduction in mean aortic gradient, defined as TAVI procedure success. CLT and peak thrombin concentration decreased, while Lag time and ttPeak increased significantly after TAVI. Multivariable linear regression analysis demonstrated CLT and CRP levels as independent predictors of achieving a reduction in mean aortic gradient, defining TAVI procedure success.

Clinical characteristics, predisposing factors and outcomes for Enterococcus faecalis versus Enterococcus faecium bloodstream infections: a prospective multicentre cohort study.

Enterococcal BSI is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, with fatality rates of approximately 20-30%. There are microbiological and clinical differences between E. faecalis and E. faecium infections. The aim of this study was to investigate differences in predisposing factors for E. faecalis and E. faecium BSI and to explore prognostic factors. This study was a post-hoc analysis of PROBAC, a Spanish prospective, multicenter, cohort in 2016-2017. Patients with E. faecalis or E. faecium BSI were eligible. Independent predictors for BSI development in polymicrobial and monomicrobial BSI and in-hospital mortality in the monomicrobial group were identified by logistic regression. A total of 431 patients were included. Independent factors associated with E. faecium BSI were previous use of penicillins (aOR 1.99 (95% CI 1.20-3.32)) or carbapenems (2.35 (1.12-4.93)), hospital-acquired BSI (2.58 (1.61-4.12)), and biliary tract source (3.36 (1.84-6.13)), while congestive heart failure (0.51 (0.27-0.97)), cerebrovascular disease (0.45 (0.21-0.98)), and urinary tract source (0.49 (0.26-0.92)) were associated with E. faecalis BSI. Independent prognostic factors for in-hospital mortality in E. faecalis BSI were Charlson Comorbidity Index (1.27 (1.08-1.51)), SOFA score (1.47 (1.24-1.73)), age (1.06 (1.02-1.10)), and urinary/biliary source (0.29 (0.09-0.90)). For E. faecium BSI, only SOFA score (1.34 (1.14-1.58) was associated with in-hospital mortality. The factors associated with E. faecium and E. faecalis BSI are different. These variables may be helpful in the suspicion of one or other species for empiric therapeutic decisions and provide valuable information on prognosis.

Effect of bile duct resection on the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma combined with extrahepatic bile duct tumor thrombus

BackgroundSurgical therapy is the most optimal treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) combined with bile duct tumor thrombus (BDTT) patients. However, whether to perform bile duct resection (BDR) is still controversial. The purpose of this multicenter research is to compare the effect of BDR on the prognosis of extrahepatic BDTT patients.MethodsWe collected the data of 111 HCC patients combined with extrahepatic BDTT who underwent radical hepatectomy from June 1, 2004 to December 31, 2021. Those patients had either received hepatectomy with extrahepatic bile duct resection (BDR group) or hepatectomy without bile duct resection (NBDR group). Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to reduce the potential bias between two groups and balance the influence of confounding factors in baseline data. Then compare the prognosis between the two groups of patients. Cox regression model was used for univariate and multivariate analysis to further determine the independent risk factors that influence the prognosis of HCC-BDTT patients.ResultsThere were 38 patients in the BDR group and 73 patients in the NBDR group. Before and after IPTW, there were no statistical significance in OS, RFS and intraoperative median blood loss between the two groups (all P > 0.05). Before IPTW, the median postoperative hospital stay in the NBDR group was shorter (P = 0.046) and the grade of postoperative complications was lower than BDR group (P = 0.014). After IPTW, there was no difference in postoperative hospital stay between the two groups (P > 0.05). The complication grade in the NBDR group was still lower than that in the BDR group (P = 0.046). The univariate analysis showed that TNM stage and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) were significantly correlated with OS (both P < 0.05). Preoperative AFP level, TNM stage and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) were significantly correlated with postoperative RFS (all P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that tumor TNM stage was an independent risk factor for the OS rate (P = 0.014). TNM stage, PNI and AFP were independent predictors of RFS after radical hepatectomy (all P < 0.05).ConclusionsFor HCC-BDTT patients, hepatocellular carcinoma resection combined with choledochotomy to remove the tumor thrombus may benefit more.

An imaging-based model to predict the malignant potential of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas.

To develop and validate imaging-based models for predicting the malignancy risk of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). We retrospectively analyzed data from 241 IPMN patients who underwent preoperative CT and MRI for model development. Cyst size, presence and size of the enhancing mural nodule (EMN), main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter, thickened/enhancing cyst wall, abrupt MPD caliber change with distal atrophy, and lymphadenopathy were assessed. Multiple logistic regression models predicting malignancy risk were created using either continuous (Model C) or dichotomized variables (Model D) using these imaging features. Validation included internal (n = 55) and external (n = 43) datasets. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared with that of the international guideline-based model (Model F). Model C identified age, EMN size, MPD diameter, and lymphadenopathy as independent predictors on CT, and age and presence and size of EMN on MRI. Model D identified age ≥ 68, cyst size ≥ 31 mm, EMN ≥ 6 mm, MPD ≥ 7 mm, and lymphadenopathy as independent predictors on CT, and age ≥ 68, EMN ≥ 4.5 mm, and lymphadenopathy on MRI. Model C (AUC, 0.763-0.899) performed slightly better than Model D (AUC, 0.753-0.912) without statistical significance. No significant difference was observed between Models C and F (AUC, 0.729-0.952). Combining Model C with obstructive jaundice improved performance (AUC, 0.802-0.941) without statistical significance. Our imaging-based models effectively predicted the malignancy risk of IPMNs, comparable to international consensus guidelines. Imaging features are important for predicting the malignant potential of IPMNs. Our imaging-based model may help determine surgical candidacy for patients with IPMNs. Non-invasively determining the malignant potential of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) allows for appropriate treatment decision-making We identified multiple imaging features that are associated with malignant transformation and developed models for this prediction. Our model performs comparably with international consensus guidelines in predicting the malignant potential of IPMNs.

Impact of Preoperative Osteosarcopenia and Postoperative Administration of Pancrelipase on the Prognosis of Borderline Resectable and Unresectable Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer.

This study aimed to identify postoperative recurrence and prognostic factors, including osteosarcopenia for borderline resectable (BR) and unresectable locally advanced (UR-LA) pancreatic cancer and to examine the impact of postoperative pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy (PERT). We retrospectively examined 32 resected patients with BR and UR-LA pancreatic cancer. We investigated independent factors in the disease-free survival and overall survival. The relation of osteosarcopenia with the clinicopathological factors was investigated. Additionally, the association of the administration of a standard dose of pancrelipase, the amount of lipase required for patients with pancreatic exocrine insufficiency, for ≥6months postoperatively with improvement of sarcopenia, osteopenia, and osteosarcopenia and completion rate of adjuvant chemotherapy was investigated. Multivariate analyses identified osteosarcopenia (P = 0.049) and lymph node metastasis (P = 0.01) as independent recurrence predictors, and osteosarcopenia (P = 0.002), maximum tumor diameter ≥40mm (P = 0.006), and no adjuvant therapy (P = 0.01) as independent prognostic predictors. In the osteosarcopenia group, serum CA19-9 levels were higher (P = 0.03). The administration of a standard dose of pancrelipase for ≥6months postoperatively was none in the osteosarcopenia group (0% vs 42.9%, P = 0.01), while significantly improved postoperative sarcopenia (33% vs 0%, P = 0.004), increased number of cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy (n = 6 vs n = 3, P = 0.03), and the completion rate of adjuvant chemotherapy in excluding cases interrupted because of recurrence (86% vs 25%, P = 0.007). Osteosarcopenia was an independent recurrent and prognostic factor in patients after pancreatectomy for locally advanced pancreatic cancer. Appropriate postoperative PERT may contribute to a better prognosis by improving sarcopenia and increasing the completion rate of adjuvant chemotherapy.

Gender-Related Aspects of Laryngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) is a predominantly male illness. Although the rate of female patients increased, a knowledge gap exists in the medical literature regarding gender-based differences. Retrospective cohort study. Adult patients treated for laryngeal SCC in a tertiary medical centre between 2006 and 2020. Data were collected on demographics, clinical presentation, treatment modalities, disease recurrence and survival status. Two hundred ninety-one patients with laryngeal SCC, 50 (17.2%) females and 241 (82.8%) males. Disease-specific survival (DSS), overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), as well as differences in disease characteristics and treatment modalities. Tumour subsites differed significantly between females and males (36% vs. 19.5% supraglottic, 62% vs. 80.5% glottic and 2% vs. 0% subglottic, respectively; p = 0.006). Females were diagnosed at younger ages (61.7 ± 10.58 vs. 65.87 ± 11.11 years, p = 0.016) and advanced-stage disease (58% vs. 39.4%, p = 0.018). Females were treated with combined modalities at higher rates (36% vs. 54.8% for single modality, p = 0.031). DSS rates did not differ between genders (log-rank p = 0.12). Despite being diagnosed at more advanced disease stages, females demonstrated prolonged median OS compared to males (130.17 vs. 106.17 months, log-rank p = 0.017). No significant differences in DFS were observed (log-rank p = 0.32). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, male gender remained an independent negative OS predictor (HR = 2.08; CI, 1.10-3.96; p = 0.025), along with increasing age (HR = 1.06; CI, 1.04-1.09; p < 0.001) and advanced disease stage (HR = 1.7; CI, 1.08-2.67; p = 0.023). Our findings suggest the importance of considering gender-specific factors in the management of laryngeal SCC.

Absence of Paneth Cell Metaplasia to Predict Clinical Relapse in Ulcerative Colitis with Endoscopically Quiescent Mucosa.

Paneth cells play multiple roles in maintaining intestinal homeostasis. However, the clinical role of Paneth cell metaplasia (PCM) in ulcerative colitis (UC) remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the relationship between PCM and relapse in patients with UC and compare the usefulness of PCM with other histological indexes, including mucin depletion (MD) and basal plasmacytosis (BP). Patients with UC in clinical remission (CR) who underwent colonoscopy to confirm a Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES) ≦1 with biopsies from the distal colon were enrolled into this retrospective cohort study. Biopsy samples were evaluated for histological findings of PCM, MD, and BP. Clinical relapse was defined as partial Mayo score ≧3 or medication escalation. Multivariate analysis was performed to determine independent predictors of relapse among the three histological findings, MES, and patient background, and relapse prediction models were generated. Eighty-three patients were enrolled in this study (MES 0, n = 47; MES 1, n = 36). The number of PCM cases was significantly higher in patients with prolonged CR than that in those with relapse (p = 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that the absence of PCM and MD were related to relapse in all the patients. In patients with MES 1, the absence of PCM was the only risk factor significantly and independently associated with relapse (hazard ratio, 4.51 [1.15-17.7]; p = 0.03). The absence of PCM was a histological risk factor for relapse in patients with MES 1, implying a protective role for PCM in remission and a new index for mucosal healing.

Psychological Factors Related to Treatment Outcomes in Head and Neck Cancer.

Patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) often demonstrate stress, distress, anxiety, depression, and are at risk forsuicide. These affect their quality of life (QoL) but less attention has been given to psychological variables that may impact response to treatment. This study aims to systematically review publications during 2013-2023 to collate evidence on the effects of psychological variables on HNC treatment outcomes. We searched Ovid Medline, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science for articles that examined psychological factors related to treatment outcomes in patients with HNC. There were 29 studies (5 before treatment, 2 during, 17 after, and 5 covering the whole management trajectory) including 362,766 patients. The psychological factors were either behavioral (adjustment and coping strategy, unrealistic ideas, self-blame), cognitive (elevated risk of psychiatric co-comorbidity), or emotional (distress, depression, anxiety, nervousness, and fear of disfigurement and complications). It was found that there was a relationship between depression and decreased survival in patients with HNC. Pretreatment pain was an independent predictor of decreased survival in a large sample of patients. The distress level was approximately 54%, emotional problems ranged between 10 and 44%, while financial difficulties wereidentified in 54% of the patients. Sixty-nine percent of patientswere reported to have used at least one cost-coping strategy within 6months after treatment initiation. During post-treatment period, depression increased from 15% at the baseline to 29%, while the fear of recurrence was found among at least 35% of patients. Several psychological factors predict QoL and survival among HNC survivors. Distress encompasses depression and anxiety, and physical burden from HNC diagnosis and treatment. Routine screening and early interventions that target distress could improve HNC survivors' QoL. A systematic and standardized measurement approach for QoL is warranted to homogenize these findings and to understand the underlying relationships.

Clinical and Radiological Predictors of Positive Microbiological Yield in Vertebral Osteomyelitis: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective: To evaluate demographic, laboratory, biopsy, and imaging variables as potential predictors of microbial identification in patients with suspected vertebral osteomyelitis, aiming to enhance diagnostic accuracy and optimize patient care. Methods: This retrospective cohort study analyzed 83 patients who underwent image-guided percutaneous disc-space sampling between June 2020 and December 2023. Inclusion criteria were adults aged ≥18 years with imaging-based evidence of vertebral osteomyelitis and clinical suspicion of infection. Exclusion criteria were presence of known malignancy and non-infective causes. Demographics, clinical history, imaging, biopsy, and microbiology data were collected. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of positive microbiological yield. Results: Microorganisms were identified in 32 of 83 cases (38.6%), with Mycobacterium tuberculosis being the most common pathogen identified (21.9%). Elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and paravertebral signal changes on MRI were associated with a positive culture yield. Multivariate analysis identified CRP as an independent predictor of positive microbiological results. CT-guided percutaneous biopsy was found to be safe, with no major complications reported. Conclusion: CT-guided percutaneous biopsy is a reliable and safe diagnostic tool for identifying the causative pathogens in vertebral osteomyelitis. Elevated CRP levels were independently associated with positive microbiological yield, highlighting its role as a crucial predictor in clinical practice. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating CRP levels into the diagnostic process, potentially guiding the selection of patients for biopsy to improve the detection of infection.

Outcomes of severe isolated blunt chest trauma in young and geriatric patients.

Our understanding of the growing geriatric population's risk factors for outcomes after traumatic injury remains incomplete. This study aims to compare outcomes of severe isolated blunt chest trauma between young and geriatric patients and assess predictors of mortality. The ACS-TQIP 2017-2020 database was used to identify patients with severe isolated blunt chest trauma. Patients having extra-thoracic injuries, no signs of life upon presentation to the emergency department (ED), prehospital cardiac arrest, or who were transferred to or from other hospitals were excluded. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Univariate and multivariable regression analyses were performed to assess independent predictors of mortality. A total of 189,660 patients were included in the study, with a median age of 58 years; 37.5% were aged 65 or older, and 1.9% died by discharge. Patients aged 65 and older had significantly higher mortality (3.4% vs. 1.0%, p < 0.001) and overall complications (7.0% vs. 4.7%, p < 0.001) compared to younger patients. Age ≥ 65 was independently associated with mortality (OR: 5.45, 95%CI: 4.96-5.98, p < 0.001), prolonged hospitalization, and complications. In the geriatric group, age > 75 was an independent predictor of mortality compared to ages 65-75 (OR: 2.62, 95%CI: 2.37-2.89, p < 0.001). Geriatric patients with an MVC, presenting with a GCS ≤ 8, and having an SBP < 90 had the highest mortality of 56.9%. The geriatric trauma patient with isolated severe blunt chest injury has significantly higher mortality and morbidity compared to younger patients and warrants special consideration of multiple factors that affect outcomes. Individual predictors of mortality carry a greater impact on mortality in geriatric patients.

Association between triglyceride-glucose related indices and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population: a cohort study

BackgroundAlthough triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a reliable indicator of insulin resistance and cardiometabolic disease, its effectiveness in predicting mortality risk has not been adequately validated. We aimed to investigate the association between the TyG-related indices and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population.MethodsA total of 27,642 individuals were included from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) between 1999 and 2018. Three indicators were constructed, including the TyG index, TyG combined with waist-to-height ratio (TyG-WHtR), and TyG combined with waist circumference (TyG-WC). Mortality data was acquired through the linkage of NHANES data with National Death Index records. Weighted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the independent association between the TyG-related indices and mortality. Nonlinear associations were explored using restricted cubic splines.ResultsMultivariable adjusted models showed a progressive increase in all-cause and cause-specific mortality across quartiles of the TyG-related indices. Compared with the lowest quartile of the TyG index, the highest quartile had adjusted hazard ratios of 1.26 (95% CI 1.04–1.52) for all-cause mortality, 1.38 (1.04–1.74) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1.23 (1.01–1.50) for non-cardiovascular mortality, respectively. For the TyG-WHtR index, the corresponding hazard ratios were 1.60 (1.25–2.05), 1.86 (1.26–2.50), and 1.48 (1.10–1.99), respectively. For the TyG-WC index, the corresponding hazard ratios were 1.42 (1.11–1.75), 1.48 (1.04–1.96), and 1.38 (1.05–1.72), respectively. The associations between the three TyG-related indices and all-cause, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality were J-shaped. Interaction tests revealed significant effect modification by age, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level, and statin use (all P values < 0.05).ConclusionsThe TyG-related indices were independent predictors of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population. Young individuals should be particularly vigilant, whereas low LDL-C levels and statin use are potentially protective.

Current status of etiology and outcomes of acute liver failure in India-A multicentre study from tertiary centres.

Acute liver failure (ALF) is a medical emergency and liver transplantation (LT) may be required as definitive therapy. The etiology varies across geographical locations and is mostly viral dominant in India. We aimed at evaluating the spectrum, impact of interventions (plasma exchange [PLEx], continuous renal replacement therapy [CRRT]) and outcomes of ALF in India in recent times. A multicentre retrospective study across four major tertiary care centres. As many as 183ALF patients (median age, 23years; females, 43.1%; model for end-stage liver disease [MELD], 32.7) from January 2021 to December 2023 were included. Nineteen percent had infection and 40.4% of patients satisfied King's College criteria (KCC) at admission. Most common cause for ALF was hepatitis A virus (HAV) (44.2%) followed by rodenticide poisoning (10.3%). Approximately 35% of patients each received either PLEx or CRRT. The 7, 14 and 21-day transplant-free survival probability was 65.5%, 60.1%, and 57.3%, respectively. Only 3.8% of patients underwent liver transplantation. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, hemoglobin (HR, 0.74 [0.63-0.87]), lactate (HR, 1.14 [1.03-1.26]), advanced hepatic encephalopathy (HE) (HR, 4.87 [1.89-12.5]) and fulfilling KCC [HR, 10.04 [4.57-22.06]) at admission were the independent predictors of mortality. A model including KCC + lactate + HE ≥ 3 with or without hemoglobin had an AUROC of 0.81-0.84 to predict mortality. In those who underwent PLEx, advanced HE (HR, 4.13 [1.75-9.7]), procalcitonin (HR, 1.18 [1.07-1.30]) and KCC (HR, 4.6 [1.6-13.1), while for those who received CRRT, lactate (HR, 1.37 [1.22-1.54]) and KCC (HR, 6.4 [2.5-15.8]) independently predicted mortality. Hepatitis A virus is currently the most common cause for ALF in India, emphasizing the need for universal vaccination programmes. Spontaneous survival in tertiary care centres is 57%. LT rates were low.

The effect of non-insulin-based insulin resistance indices on the prediction of recurrence in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation

BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is acknowledged as a disease continuum. Despite catheter ablation being recommended as a primary therapy for AF, the high recurrence rates have tempered the initial enthusiasm. Insulin resistance (IR) has been established as an independent predictor for the onset of AF. However, the correlation between non-insulin-based IR indices and late AF recurrence in patients undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation remains unknown.MethodsA retrospective cohort of 910 AF patients who underwent radiofrequency catheter ablation was included in the analysis. The primary endpoint was late AF recurrence during the follow-up period after a defined blank period. The relationship between non-insulin-based IR indices and the primary endpoint was assessed using multivariate Cox hazards regression models and restricted cubic splines (RCS). Additionally, the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement index were calculated to further evaluate the additional predictive value of the four IR indices beyond established risk factors for the primary outcome.ResultsDuring a median follow-up period of 12.00 months, 189 patients (20.77%) experienced late AF recurrence, which was more prevalent among patients with higher levels of IR. The multivariate Cox hazards regression analysis revealed a significant association between these IR indices and late AF recurrence. Among the four indices, METS-IR provided the most significant incremental effect on the basic model for predicting late AF recurrence. Multivariable-adjusted RCS curves illustrated a nonlinear correlation between METS-IR and late AF recurrence. In subgroup analysis, METS-IR exhibited a significant correlation with late AF recurrence in patients with diabetes mellitus (HR: 1.697, 95% CI 1.397 − 2.063, P < 0.001).ConclusionAll the four non-insulin-based IR indices were significantly associated with late AF recurrence in patients undergoing radiofrequency catheter ablation. Addressing IR could potentially serve as a viable strategy for reducing the late AF recurrence rate.

Prognostic Value of High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol in Patients with Overt Hepatic Encephalopathy

Overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE), a serious complication of liver cirrhosis, is associated with alterations in lipid and lipoprotein metabolism. We evaluated the correlation between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels and transplant-free (TF) mortality in patients with OHE. Patients with OHE admitted to Beijing Ditan Hospital between January 2010 and August 2016 (n = 821) and between September 2016 and December 2020 (n = 480) were included in the training and validation sets, respectively. Independent predictors were explored by a multivariate Cox regression analysis, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess the prognostic value of these factors. The prognostic value of HDL-C was good (AUC at 1 year: 0.745) and was equivalent to that of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (AUC at 1 year: 0.788). The optimal threshold values for HDL-C and MELD were 0.5 mmol/L and 17, respectively. The 1-year TF mortality rates in the low-risk (HDL-C ≥ 0.5 mmol/L and MELD &lt; 17) and high-risk (HDL-C &lt; 0.5 mmol/L and MELD ≥ 17) groups were 7.5% and 51.5% in the training set and 10.1% and 48.2% in the validation set, respectively. HDL-C level &lt; 0.5 mmol/L and MELD score &gt; 17 can facilitate the identification of high-risk patients and provide a basis for timely treatment.

Establishing a Classification System for Predicting Flow-Limiting Dissection After Balloon Angioplasty Using Explainable Machine-Learning Models: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study.

Percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) is the primary method for treatment in peripheral arterial disease. However, some patients experience flow-limiting dissection (FLD) after PTA. We utilized machine learning and SHapley Additive exPlanations to identify and optimize a classification system to predict FLD after PTA. This was a multi-center, retrospective, cohort study. The cohort comprised 407 patients who underwent treatment of the femoropopliteal (FP) arteries in 3 institutions between January 2021 and June 2023. Preoperative computed tomography angiography images were evaluated to identify FP artery grading, chronic total occlusion (CTO), and vessel calcification (peripheral artery calcium scoring system [PACSS]). After PTA, FLD was identified by angiography. We trained and validated 6 machine-learning models to estimate FLD occurrence after PTA, and the best model was selected. Then, the sum of the Shapley values for each of CTO, FP, and PACSS was calculated for each patient to produce the CTO-FP-PACSS value. The CTO-FP-PACSS classification system was used to classify the patients into classes 1 to 4. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to validate the effectiveness of the CTO-FP-PACSS classification system for predicting FLD. Overall, 407 patients were analyzed, comprising 189 patients with FLD and 218 patients without FLD. Differences in sex (71% males vs 54% males, p<0.001), CTO (72% vs 43%, p<0.001), FP (3.26±0.94 vs 2.66±1.06, p<0.001), and PACSS (2.39±1.40 vs 1.74±1.35, p<0.001) were observed between patients with and without FLD, respectively. The random forest model demonstrated the best performance (validation set area under the curve: 0.82). SHapley Additive exPlanations revealed CTO, PACSS, and FP as the 3 most influential FLD predictors, and the univariate and multivariate analyses confirmed CTO-FP-PACSS classification as an independent FLD predictor (multivariate hazard ratio 4.13; p<0.001). The CTO-FP-PACSS classification system accurately predicted FLD after PTA. This user-friendly system may guide surgical decision-making, helping choose between PTA and additional devices to reduce FLD in FP artery treatment. We utilised machine-learning techniques in conjunction with SHapley Additive exPlanations to develop a clinical classification system that predicts the probability of flow-limiting dissection (FLD) after plain old balloon angioplasty. This classification system categorises lesions into Classes 1-4 based on three factors: chronic total occlusion, femoropopliteal grading, and peripheral artery calcium scoring. Each class demonstrated a different probability of developing FLD. This classification system may be valuable for surgeons in their clinical practice, as well as serving as a source of inspiration for other researchers.

Sudden cardiac death after early-onset myocardial infarction. A multicentre longitudinal cohort study with 20 years' follow-up.

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a serious consequence of a myocardial infarction (MI), but identifying patients at risk of developing SCD remains a major clinical challenge especially in the case of juvenile MI. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of SCD after early-onset MI using long-term follow-up data relating to a large nationwide patient cohort. The Italian Genetic Study on Early-onset MI enrolled 2,000 patients experiencing a first MI before the age of 45 years, who were followed up for a median of 19.9 years. Fine-Gray proportional hazard models were used to assess the associations between their clinical, demographic and index event data and the occurrence of SCD. SCD occurred in 195 patients, who were more frequently males, hypertensive and/or diabetic; had a history of previous thromboembolic events with a greater atherosclerotic burden; and had a lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) after the index event. Multivariable analysis showed that the independent predictors of SCD were diabetes, hypertension, previous thromboembolic events, higher Syntax score, and a lower LVEF. There was no clear evidence of the clustering of SCD events during follow-up. SCD was the first post-MI clinical event in 101 patients; the remaining 94 experienced SCD after a non-fatal MI or hospitalisation for coronary revascularisation. SCD frequently occurs during the 20 years after early-onset MI. The nature of the identified predictors and the absence of clustering suggests that the pathophysiological basis of SCD may be related to progressive coronary atherosclerosis.