Independent Predictor Of Long-term Mortality Research Articles

Development and Validation of a New Model Including Inflammation Indexes for the Long-Term Prognosis of Hepatitis B-Related Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a severe condition characterized by a systemic inflammatory response and associated with high mortality. Currently, there is no reliable prediction model for long-term prognosis in ACLF. This study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model incorporating inflammation indexes to predict the long-term outcome of patients with hepatitis B virus-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF). A retrospective analysis of clinical data from HBV-ACLF patients (n = 986) treated at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between January 2014 and December 2018 was conducted. Patients were randomly divided into training (n = 690) and validation (n = 296) cohorts. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for long-term mortality. The following variables were identified as independent predictors of long-term mortality: age, cirrhosis, hepatic encephalopathy, total bilirubin (TBIL), international normalized ratio (INR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR). A novel nomogram was established by assigning weights to each variable. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.777 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.752-0.802). In the training set, the area under the curve (AUC) for predicting mortality at 1, 3, and 12 months was 0.841 (95% CI: 0.807-0.875), 0.827 (95% CI: 0.796-0.859), and 0.829 (95% CI: 0.798-0.859), respectively. The nomogram demonstrated superior predictive performance for 12-month survival compared to the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (0.767, 95% CI: 0.730-0.804, p < 0.001) and the clinical overt sepsis in acute liver failure clinical practice Guidelines-ACLF II score (0.807, 95% CI: 0.774-0.840, p = 0.028). Finally, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) confirmed the clinical utility of the nomogram. The novel inflammation-based scoring system, incorporating MLR and NPR, effectively predicts long-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients.

The prognostic value of metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease in acute myocardial infarction

Abstract Background Patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are at increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease. However, the clinical characteristics and prognostic importance of MASLD in patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have yet to be examined. Methods This study compared the characteristics, and outcomes of patients with and without MASLD presenting with AMI at a tertiary centre in Singapore. MASLD was defined as hepatic steatosis, with at least one of five metabolic criteria. Hepatic steatosis was determined using the Hepatic Steatosis Index. Propensity score matching was performed to adjust for age and sex. Kaplan-Meier curve was constructed for long-term all-cause mortality. Cox regression analysis was used to investigate independent predictors of long-term all-cause mortality. Results In this study of 4446 patients with AMI, 2223 patients with MASLD were matched with patients without MASLD using propensity scores. The mean follow-up duration was 3.4 ± 24 years. The MASLD group had higher rates of obesity, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease than their counterparts. Patients with MASLD had early excess all-cause mortality (6.8% vs 3.6%, p&amp;lt;0.001) at 30 days, with unfavorable mortality rates sustained in the long-term (18.3% vs 14.5%, p=0.001) compared to those without MASLD. After adjustment, MASLD remained independently associated with higher long-term all-cause mortality (HR 1.338, 95% CI 1.115-1.604). Conclusion MASLD embodies a higher burden of metabolic dysfunction and is an independent predictor of long-term mortality in the AMI population. Its early identification may be beneficial for risk stratification and provide therapeutic targets for secondary preventive strategies in AMI.Kaplan Meier curve of long-term all-caus

Clinical characteristics and long-term outcomes of patients with heart failure with supra-normal ejection fraction: data from LECRA-HF registry

Abstract Background Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains insufficiently characterized subgroup of HF with increasing prevalence and limited treatment options. Relationship between clinically assessed left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and survival showed that LVEF ≥65% is associated with higher mortality. Therefore, a novel category of heart failure with supra-normal left ventricular ejection fraction (HFsnEF) was introduced in 2019. However, clinical characteristics and long-term outcomes of HFsnEF patients remain insufficiently elucidated. Purpose We sought to characterize Polish HFsnEF patients and to provide their long-term mortality in comparison to HFpEF. Methods Of 1186 patients enrolled in the single-center Lesser Poland Cracovian Heart Failure (LECRA-HF) Registry between 2009 and 2019 and hospitalized due to HF decompensation 261 (22%) of them were those with LVEF ≥50%. 40 (15.3%) of them were classified as HFsnEF (LVEF ≥65%) and the remaining 221 (84.7%) as HFpEF. The data including patients’ demography, anthropometric measurements, cardiovascular risk factors, prior cardiological treatment and other comorbidities were collected. The long-term follow-up of all-cause mortality was obtained from the Polish National Death Registry. Results HFsnEF patients were less frequently hypertensive (75 vs 88.2%, P=0.026) and had higher baseline LVEF (65 [65-70] vs 55 [50-60] %, P&amp;lt;0.001) than HFpEF subjects. Furthermore, HFsnEF patients presented lower INR (1.1 [1-1.6] vs 1.3 [1.1-1.9], P=0.027) and total protein level (57 [25-63] vs (65.2 [60.2-69.9] g/L, P=0.008) on admission. HFsnEF patients were less frequently treated on discharge with mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (25 vs 46.2%, P=0.013) as well as loop diuretics (60 vs 76%, P=0.017). The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that all-cause mortality is higher in HFsnEF than in HFpEF (65.0 vs 55.2%, P=0.044, Figure 1). The independent predictors of long-term mortality were age and diagnosis of HFsnEF (HR 1.037, 95% CI 1.018-1.056 and HR 1.665, 95% CI 1.063-2.608, respectively). Conclusions Our findings indicate that every seventh Polish patient admitted with HFpEF could be classified as HFsnEF. Baseline characteristics of HFsnEF patients are different than HFpEF. Simultaneously, the HFsnEF diagnosis is associated with lower long-term survival.

Baseline characteristics, management patterns and outcome in patients with pulmonary embolism and malignancy: Insights from a single-centre study

Abstract Background and aim The presence of malignancy is an important factor that increases the risk of venous thromboembolism. On the other hand, acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is one of the main causes of death in this setting. In this study, we evaluated the impact of active malignancy on the treatment choices, and short and long term clinical outcomes in patients with acute PE. Methods In this study conducted in a tertiary center, 872 acute PE patients (age 61.6±16.8 years, female 57.5 %) from different risk categories were treated with thrombolytic, anticoagulant and catheter-based therapies in accordance with currently available acute PE guidelines. The population was retrospectively analyzed and divided into two groups according to the presence of active malignancy. Results Active malignancy was documented in 129 (14.8 %) patients. In the groups with and without malignancy, the proportions of low-, intermediate-low-, intermediate-high-, and high-risk PE patients were 3.1 % vs. 15.6 %, 17.8 % vs. 16.7 %, 60.5 % vs. 60 %, and 18.6 % vs. 7.7 %, respectively (p&amp;lt;0.001). While the two groups did not differ in terms of echocardiographic and computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) characteristics, the presence of contraindications for thrombolytic were more frequent in the malignancy group (22.5% vs. 10.9%, p&amp;lt;0.001). Ultrasound-assisted thrombolysis (USAT), rheolytic thrombectomy (RT), systemic thrombolysis (ST) and anticoagulation-alone (AC) therapies were noted in 27.3 %, 6.4 %, 6.4 % and 49.7 % of overall PE patients. The RT and AC therapies were more frequent in PE patients with malignancy whereas ST and USAT were more frequently used in the absence of malignancy. Notably, lytic dosages and treatment durations in USAT and ST protocols were comparable between malignant and non-malignant PE cohorts. Regardless of the presence of malignancy and the treatment modality chosen, significant improvements were achieved in the clinical, echocardiographic and CTPA measures of the PE severity (p&amp;lt;0.001 for all). Major and minor bleeding rates were also similar in both groups, while in-hospital and, as expected, long-term mortality were higher in the malignancy cohort. Active malignancy and PESI score were found to be independent predictors for composite end-point of 60-day mortality and PE-related rehospitalization (adjusted odds ratio (OR): 2.43; 95 % CI: 1.32 - 4.47, p=0.04) and (OR: 1.02; 95 % CI: 1.01-1.01, p&amp;lt;0.001), respectively. Malignancy (OR: 3.5, 95 % CI: 2.15-5.75, p&amp;lt; 0.001) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR: 2.51, 95 % CI: 1.35-4.68, p&amp;lt; 0.003) were independent predictors of long-term mortality. Conclusion Concomitant malignancy adversely affects both short- and long-term outcomes in patients with acute PE. Although these patients are more vulnerable, it is possible to achieve satisfactory treatment success with acceptable bleeding rates with the inclusion of catheter-based methods as treatment option.Survival plot

Evaluation of naples prognostic score to predict long-term mortality in patients with pulmonary embolism

Abstract Background/Introduction APE mortality rates are still not satisfactory despite new diagnosis and treatment methods (1). Thus, risk classification is crucial due to the wide range of clinical presentations. Several risk stratifications have been developed such as simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) (2). Nonetheless, there remains a need for an optimal indicator that can be conveniently measured with a high degree of precision to predict clinical outcomes. Naples prognostic score (NPS) is a newly defined index that is developed to determine the prognosis of cancer patients and reflects the inflammatory and nutritional status of the patients (3). Purpose The aim of our study was to determine the long-term prognostic value of NPS in APE patients. Methods Two hundred ninety-three patients diagnosed with APE between November 2016 and February 2022 were included in the study. NPS consists of 4 parameters: serum albumin, total cholesterol (TC) concentration, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR). Naples scores of all patients were calculated and the patients were divided into 2 groups according to their NPS and their long-term mortality was compared. The primary endpoint of the study was long-term mortality. Results The long-term mortality was observed in 38 patients out of 293 patients in the mean follow-up of 24 (16-42) months. In the low-Naples risk group (group 1), there were 215 patients, while the high-Naples risk group (group 2) had 78 patients. Multivariate analysis showed that NPS as a categorical parameter (HR: 3.458, 95%CI:1.734-6.896, p&amp;lt;0.001), NPS as a numerical parameter, (HR:1.651, 95%CI:1.217-2.241, p=0.001) and simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) (HR:1.887, 95%CI:1.223-2.911), p=0.004) score were independent predictors of long-term mortality. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the model 2 with NPS as continuous had higher discriminative ability than the baseline model for detecting patients with mortality (Area under curve (AUC) values = 0.791 vs. 0.723, respectively, p=0.04) (Figure 1A). The long-term predictive capability of NPS was non-inferior than the sPESI score (Figure 1B). Conclusions The current study highlights that NPS, which reflects systemic inflammation and nutritional status may have potential to predict long-term mortality in APE patients. To our knowledge, this is the first study to show the relationship between long-term mortality and NPS in APE patients.

Delta QRS and outcomes post CRT in the Resynchronization-Defibrillation for Ambulatory Heart Failure Trial

BackgroundFor patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and prolonged QRS duration, cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) can improve cardiac electromechanical synchrony and prevent adverse clinical outcomes. ObjectiveThis study sought to investigate the role of delta QRS duration (ΔQRSd) in predicting clinical response to CRT. MethodsThe RAFT (Resynchronization-Defibrillation for Ambulatory Heart Failure Trial) study randomized 1798 patients to CRT with defibrillator or implantable cardioverter-defibrillator alone. Those who received CRT and had electrocardiograms available at baseline and after CRT implantation were included in this analysis. ΔQRSd was calculated as the absolute difference between QRS duration at baseline and with CRT pacing. The primary outcome was the composite of death and heart failure hospitalization. ResultsThere were 813 patients included in this analysis. The median age was 67 years, and 125 patients (15.2%) were female. The median ΔQRSd was −2 ms (−20 to 18 ms), and 447 (55%) patients had a ΔQRSd ≤0 after implantation. ΔQRSd was an independent predictor of the composite outcome for patients with CRT (hazard ratio, 1.012; 95% confidence interval, 1.008–1.017). CRT recipients with ΔQRSd >0 had higher rates of the composite outcome than patients randomized to implantable cardioverter-defibrillator alone. ConclusionFor patients receiving CRT for heart failure with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and QRS prolongation, ΔQRSd was an independent predictor of long-term mortality and heart failure hospitalization.

Prognostic Impact of Insulin-Treated and Non–Insulin-Treated Diabetes in Patients with a Reduced Ejection Fraction After ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

BackgroundInsulin- and non–insulin treated diabetes (ITDM and NITDM) have different prognostic impact in patients with myocardial infarction and/or heart failure. The aim of this study was to analyze the prognostic impact of ITDM and NTIDM on the incidence of all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE— cardiovascular death, nonfatal infarction, nonfatal stroke, and target vessel revascularization) in the 8-year follow-up of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) with a reduced ejection fraction (EF). MethodsWe analyzed 2230 consecutive STEMI patients treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention and with EF < 50%. Echocardiographic examination was performed after primary percutaneous coronary intervention . Patients were divided into 3three groups: those with ITDM, those with NITDM, and those with no DM. Patients presenting with cardiogenic shock were excluded. ResultsThe incidence of DM was 20.7%; among the patients with DM, 103 (22.3%) had ITDM. Patients with ITDM and NITDM had a higher incidence of mortality and MACE, compared with patients without DM. Also, at 8-year follow-up, the incidences of all-cause mortality and MACE were significantly higher in patients with ITDM vs patients with NITDM (37.8% vs 13.1%, P < 0.001 and 40.8% vs 18.9%, P < 0.001, respectively). Multivariable analysis showed ITDM to be an independent predictor for long-term mortality (hazard ratio 1.76, 95% confidence interval 1.15-2.69), and MACE (hazard ratio 1.72, 95% confidence interval 1.15-2.62). ConclusionsITDM was an independent predictor of the occurrence of long-term mortality and MACE in patients with STEMI and reduced EF. NITDM was not an independent predictor for the occurrence of adverse events in analyzed patients.

Galectin-3 Predicts Long-Term Risk of Cerebral Disability and Mortality in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors.

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with high mortality and cerebral disability in survivors. Current models of risk prediction and survival are mainly based on resuscitation duration. We examined the prognostic value of circulating biomarkers in predicting mortality and severe cerebral disability for OHCA survivors, alongside traditional clinical risk indicators. Biomarkers including BNP, troponin I, and galectin-3 were measured at hospital admission in resuscitated OHCA patients. Prognostic significance for mortality and cerebral disability involving circulating biomarkers, resuscitation duration, demographics, and laboratory and clinical characteristics was examined via univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models. The incremental prognostic value of the index covariates was examined through model diagnostics, focusing on the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Harrell's concordance statistic (c-statistic). In a combinatorial analysis of 144 OHCA survivors (median follow-up 5.7 years (IQR 2.9-6.6)), BNP, galectin-3, arterial pH, and resuscitation time were significant predictors of all-cause death and severe cerebral disability, whereas troponin I levels were not. Multivariate regression, adjusting for BNP, arterial pH, and resuscitation time, identified galectin-3 as an independent predictor of long-term mortality. Multiple linear regression models also confirmed galectin-3 as the strongest predictor of cerebral disability. The incorporation of galectin-3 into models for predicting mortality and cerebral disability enhanced fit and discrimination, demonstrating the incremental value of galectin-3 beyond traditional risk predictors. Galectin-3 is a significant, independent long-term risk predictor of cerebral disability and mortality in OHCA survivors. Incorporating galectin-3 into current risk stratification models may enhance early prognostication and guide targeted clinical interventions.

Clinical profile, microbiology and outcomes in infective endocarditis treated with aortic valve replacement: a multicenter case-control study

BackgroundAortic valve infective endocarditis (IE) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We aimed to describe the clinical profile, risk factors and predictors of short- and long-term mortality in patients with aortic valve IE treated with aortic valve replacement (AVR) compared with a control group undergoing AVR for non-infectious valvular heart disease.MethodsBetween January 2008 and December 2013, a total of 170 cases with IE treated with AVR (exposed cohort) and 677 randomly selected non-infectious AVR-treated patients with degenerative aortic valve disease (controls) were recruited from three tertiary hospitals with cardiothoracic facilities across Scandinavia. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were estimated using Cox regression models.ResultsThe mean age of the IE cohort was 58.5 ± 15.1 years (80.0% men). During a mean follow-up of 7.8 years (IQR 5.1-10.8 years), 373 (44.0%) deaths occurred: 81 (47.6%) in the IE group and 292 (43.1%) among controls. Independent risk factors associated with IE were male gender, previous heart surgery, underweight, positive hepatitis C serology, renal failure, previous wound infection and dental treatment (all p < 0.05). IE was associated with an increased risk of both short-term (≤ 30 days) (HR 2.86, [1.36–5.98], p = 0.005) and long-term mortality (HR 2.03, [1.43–2.88], p < 0.001). In patients with IE, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR 2.13), underweight (HR 4.47), renal failure (HR 2.05), concomitant mitral valve involvement (HR 2.37) and mediastinitis (HR 3.98) were independent predictors of long-term mortality. Staphylococcus aureus was the most prevalent microbe (21.8%) and associated with a 5.2-fold increased risk of early mortality, while enterococci were associated with the risk of long-term mortality (HR 1.78).ConclusionsIn this multicenter case-control study, IE was associated with an increased risk of both short- and long-term mortality compared to controls. Efforts should be made to identify, and timely treat modifiable risk factors associated with contracting IE, and mitigate the predictors of poor survival in IE.

Surgery versus surveillance for ascending aortic aneurysms in elderly patients

BackgroundWhether elderly patients with aortic root or ascending aortic aneurysm (ATAA) would benefit from the new surgical size threshold of 5.0 cm is unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the natural history of ATAA in elderly patients and to compare long-term outcomes of those who underwent initial surveillance versus surgery. MethodsPatients age ≥75 years with an ATAA ≥40 mm were categorized into 2 groups: initial surgery and initial surveillance. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality; Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted for survival. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to identify independent predictors of long-term mortality. ResultsThe study series comprised 300 patients, including 58 who underwent initial surgery and 242 who received surveillance between July 2010 and September 2022. In the surveillance cohort, the mean aneurysm growth rate was 0.10 cm/year. Comparing surveillance to surgery, at 8 years there was no difference in survival (mean, 77.8 ± 3.4% vs 71.8 ± 9.6%; P = .65). For 116 patients with an initial aneurysm diameter ≥5.0 cm, there was no difference in survival between the 2 groups at 8 years (76.5 ± 7.0% vs 68.4 ± 11.3%; P = .20). Larger body surface area (hazard ratio [HR], 1.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-1.90; P = .01) and history of smoking (HR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.27-3.98; P = .01) were identified as predictors of long-term mortality. ConclusionsIn our series of elderly patients with ATAA, there was no difference in 8-year survival between initial surveillance and surgical management, with a high competing risk of nonaortic mortality. Surveillance may be a reasonable alternative to surgery for selected older adults with ATAA <5.5 cm.

Mitral valve replacement versus repair for severe mitral regurgitation in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction

ObjectiveThis study compares early and long-term outcomes following mitral valve (MV) repair and replacement in patients with mitral regurgitation (MR) and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). MethodsPatients with primary or secondary MR and LVEF <50% who underwent MV replacement or repair (with/without atrial septal defect closure and/or atrial fibrillation ablation) between 2005 and 2017 at our center were retrospectively analyzed using unadjusted and propensity score matching techniques (42 pairs). ResultsA total of 356 patients with either primary (n = 162 [45.5%]) or secondary MR (n = 194 [54.5%]) and LVEF <50% underwent MV repair (n = 293 [82.3%]) or replacement (n = 63 [17.7%]) during the study period. In-hospital mortality was 0.3% (repair) and 1.6% (replacement) in the unmatched cohort (P = .32); there were no in-hospital deaths after matching. Estimated survival was 72.8% (repair) versus 50.1% (replacement) at 8 years in the unmatched (P < .001), and 64.3% (repair) versus 50.7% (replacement) in the matched groups (P = .028). Eight-year cumulative incidence of reoperation was 7.0% and 11.6% in unmatched (P = .28), and 9.9% and 12.7% in matched (P = .69) repair and replacement groups, respectively. Markedly reduced LVEF (<40%) was among the independent predictors of long-term mortality (hazard ratio, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.4; P = .002). In secondary MR, MV repair showed an 8-year survival benefit over replacement (65.1% vs 44.6%; P = .002), with no difference in reoperation rate (11.6% [repair] vs 17.0% [replacement]; P = .11). ConclusionsMV repair performed in primary or secondary MR and reduced LVEF provides superior long-term results compared with replacement. Severe LV dysfunction is a significant predictor of reduced survival following MV surgery.

Epicardial adipose tissue and muscle distribution affect outcomes in very old patients after transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

To analyse the relevance of body composition and blood markers for long-term outcomes in very old patients after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). A total of 403 very old patients were characterized with regard to subcutaneous, visceral, and epicardial fat, psoas muscle area, plasma growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), and leptin. Cohorts grouped by body mass index (BMI) were analysed for long-term outcomes. Patients underwent transapical and transfemoral TAVR (similar 30-day/1-year survival). Body mass index >35 kg/m2 showed increased 2- and 3-year mortality compared with BMI 25-34.9 kg/m2 but not compared with BMI <25 kg/m2. Fat areas correlated positively to BMI (epicardial: R 2 = 0.05, P < 0.01; visceral: R 2 = 0.20, P < 0.001; subcutaneous: R 2 = 0.13, P < 0.001). Increased epicardial or visceral but not subcutaneous fat area resulted in higher long-term mortality. Patients with high BMI (1781.3 mm2 ± 75.8, P < 0.05) and lean patients (1729.4 ± 52.8, P < 0.01) showed lower psoas muscle area compared with those with mildly elevated BMI (2055.2 ± 91.7). Reduced psoas muscle area and increased visceral fat and epicardial fat areas were independent predictors of long-term mortality. The levels of serum GDF-15 were the highest in BMI >40 kg/m2 (2793.5 pg/mL ± 123.2) vs. BMI <25 kg/m2 (2017.6 pg/mL ±130.8), BMI 25-30 kg/m2 (1881.8 pg/mL ±127.4), or BMI 30-35 kg/m2 (2054.2 pg/mL ±124.1, all P < 0.05). Increased GDF-15 level predicted mortality (2587 pg/mL, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.94). Serum leptin level increased with BMI without predictive value for long-term mortality. Morbidly visceral and epicardial fat accumulation, reduction in muscle area, and GDF-15 increase are strong predictors of adverse outcomes in very old patients post-TAVR.

Evaluation of the Atherogenic Index of Plasma to Predict All-Cause Mortality in Elderly With Acute Coronary Syndrome: A Long-Term Follow-Up.

The Atherogenic Index of Plasma (AIP) is associated with coronary artery disease (CAD) and acute coronary syndrome (ACS), but the relationship between AIP and ACS in elderly patients remains unclear. We investigated the prognostic capability of AIP for in-hospital and long-term mortality in elderly patients with ACS undergoing coronary angiography (CA). We analyzed 627 patients with ACS over 75years of age who were admitted to our clinic between April 2015 and December 2022 and underwent CA. The primary clinical endpoints were in-hospital, 30-day, 1-year, and long-term mortality. The median follow-up time was 27months. AIP was defined as log (triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol). In-hospital mortality rates for patients with AIP ≤.1 and AIP >.1 were 4.7% and 17.6% (P < .001), 30-day mortality rates were 8.7% and 32.2% (P = .01), 1-year mortality rates were 12.1% and 45.1% (P < .001), and long-term mortality rates were 47.3% and 67.5% (P < .001), respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed AIP, age, left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF), admission creatinine, and Killip ≥2 as independent predictors for long-term mortality. AIP can predict in-hospital and long-time all-cause mortality in elderly patients with ACS undergoing CA. Age, LVEF, admission creatinine, and Killip ≥2 are additional factors that predict long-term all-cause mortality.

Development and Validation of a Predictive Score for Three-Year Mortality in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients.

Background and Objectives: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a leading cause of death and disability with poor long-term outcomes. Creating a predictive score for long-term mortality in AIS might be important for optimizing treatment strategies. The aim of this study is to develop and validate a predictive score for three-year mortality in patients with AIS using several demographic, clinical, laboratory and imaging parameters. Materials and Methods: This study included 244 AIS patients admitted to a tertiary center and followed up for three years. The patients' data included demographics, clinical features, laboratory tests (including resistin and leptin levels) and imaging parameters. The patients were randomly divided into a predictive group (n = 164) and a validation group (n = 80). Results: Advanced age, a high NIHSS score, low levels of hemoglobin, elevated resistin levels and the presence of carotid plaques were independently associated with three-year mortality. The predictive model incorporated these variables, and it was validated in a separate cohort. Leptin levels did not significantly predict mortality. Conclusions: This study developed and validated a promising predictive score for three-year mortality in patients with AIS. Advanced age, high NIHSS scores, low hemoglobin levels, elevated resistin levels and the presence of carotid plaques were the independent predictors of long-term mortality.

Prognostic value of electrical bioimpedance measured with a portable and wireless device in acute heart failure

Introduction and objectivesThe current evaluation of acute heart failure (HF) does not allow an adequate prediction of its evolution. The electrical bioimpedance (BI) allows knowing the state of blood volume, until now only with fixed equipment. We have developed and validated a portable and wireless device to measure BI at the ankle (IVOL). The objective of the study is to know the long-term prognostic value of the point measurement of BI with IVOL in patients with acute HF. MethodsA prospective cohort study of unselected patients admitted for acute HF in a tertiary hospital. The association between BI and different clinical, analytical and echocardiographic variables on admission and clinical evolution were analyzed. Results76 patients were included (mean age 66.1 years, 71.1% men, 68.4% hypertensive, 34.2% diabetic, mean NT-ProBNP: 7,103 pg/ml). Of these, 52.6% with non-preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (<50%) and 56.6% with right ventricular (RV) dysfunction. 26.3% died during a mean follow-up of 35.8 months. Survival in patients with BI ≤ 21,8 Ω was lower, globally and in the subgroups of patients without preserved LVEF and with RV dysfunction, p < 0.008). In the multivariate analysis, a BI ≥ 21.8 Ω was an independent survival factor (HR 0.242, 95% CI:0.86−0.681, p = 0.007). ConclusionsBI values ​​measured with IVOL may be an independent predictor of long-term mortality in patients hospitalized for acute HF. This prognostic value is maintained in patients without preserved LVEF function and with RV dysfunction.

Outcomes of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation in Patients with and without Diabetes Mellitus.

Diabetes mellitus (DM) in patients undergoing cardiac transcatheter or surgical interventions usually is correlated with poor outcomes. Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has been developed as a therapy choice for inoperable, high-, or intermediate-risk surgical patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS). To evaluate the impact of DM and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) on outcomes and survival after TAVI. Five hundred and fifty-two symptomatic severe AS patients who underwent TAVI, of whom 164 (29.7%) had DM, were included in this retrospective study. Follow-up was performed after 30 days, six months, and annually. The device success and risks of procedural-related complications were similar between patients with and without DM, except for acute kidney injury, which was more frequent in the DM group (2.4% vs. 0%, P=0.021). In-hospital and first-year mortality were similar between the groups (4.9% vs. 3.6%, P=0.490 and 15.0% vs. 11.2%, P=0.282, respectively). There was a statistical difference between HbA1c ≥ 6.5 and HbA1c ≤ 6.49 groups in total mortality (34.4% vs. 15.8%, P<0.001, respectively). The only independent predictors were Society of Thoracic Surgeons score (hazard ratio [HR] 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-1.51; P=0.003) and HbA1c level ≥ 6.5 (HR 10.78, 95% CI 2.58-21.50; P=0.003) in multivariable logistic regression analysis. In this study, we conclude that DM was not correlated with an increased mortality risk or complication rates after TAVI. Also, it was shown that mortality was higher in patients with HbA1c ≥ 6.5, and it was an independent predictor for long-term mortality.

Predictive value of the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score to assess long-term mortality (10 Years) in patients with hypertension

Background and aimsMalnutrition is associated with poor outcomes in patients with chronic diseases. The aim of this study is to investigate the prevalence of malnutrition in patients with hypertension and relationship between malnutrition severity and long-term mortality in these patients. Methods and resultsThe study included 11,278 patients with hypertension from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database. The degree of malnutrition was assessed using the Controlled Nutritional Status score, with patients divided into normal, mild, and moderate-to-severe groups. After 10 years of follow-up, the results showed that patients who died had higher CONUT scores, poorer nutritional status, and lower albumin, total cholesterol, and lymphocytes than those who survived (P < 0.05). The Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed that patients with poor nutritional status had a significantly higher risk of all-cause death. In the Non-Lipid Lowering Drugs group, the CONUT score (hazard ratio (HR): 1.225; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.162–1.292; P < 0.0001), as well as mild (HR: 1.532; 95% CI 1.340–1.751; P < 0.0001) and moderate-to-severe malnutrition (HR: 2.797; 95% CI: 1.441–5.428; P = 0.0024), were independent predictors of long-term mortality. The competing risk regression models showed that cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality increased with increasing CONUT scores. The results were robust in both subgroup and sensitivity analyses. ConclusionsMalnutrition significantly impacts long-term mortality in hypertensive patients. The CONUT score may be a useful tool for assessing the nutritional status of patients with hypertension in the non-lipid-lowering population and for predicting their long-term mortality.

Significance of dynamic changes in the fragmented QRS complex in acute pulmonary embolism

BackgroundDynamic changes in the fQRS complex between the initial and follow-up ECG in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE) have rarely been studied. ObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to investigate the significance of dynamic changes in the fragmented QRS complex in APE patients. MethodsAPE patients (n = 222) were divided into three groups based on their ECG data to determine whether there were dynamic changes in the fQRS complex from admission to follow-up at one month: the fQRS shallower group (n = 49), fQRS deeper group (n = 25) and fQRS unchanged group (n = 148). Each patient was observed and followed for 12 months. ResultsCox multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that the dynamic deeper fQRS complex was an independent predictor of long-term mortality (HR: 5.563, 95 % CI: 1.079–28.678, P = 0.040) in patients with APE. Kaplan–Meier curve analysis revealed that the event-free survival of the fQRS shallower group significantly increased relative to that of the fQRS deeper group and that of the fQRS deeper group significantly decreased relative to that of the fQRS unchanged group and shallower group (P = 0.022, P = 0.041). ConclusionCompared with the deeper fQRS complex, the dynamic shallower fQRS complex was an indicator of a good prognosis in APE patients, while the dynamic deeper fQRS complex indicated a poor prognosis. Dynamical changes in fQRS may assist clinicians in risk stratification and individualized treatment for APE, as well as in predicting APE regression or progression.

The prognostic value of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in acute myocardial infarction: A propensity score-matched analysis.

Patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are at increased risk of incident cardiovascular disease. However, the clinical characteristics and prognostic importance of MASLD in patients presenting with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have yet to be examined. This study compared the characteristics and outcomes of patients with and without MASLD presenting with AMI at a tertiary centre in Singapore. MASLD was defined as hepatic steatosis, with at least one of five metabolic criteria. Hepatic steatosis was determined using the Hepatic Steatosis Index. Propensity score matching was performed to adjust for age and sex. The Kaplan-Meier curve was constructed for long-term all-cause mortality. Cox regression analysis was used to investigate independent predictors of long-term all-cause mortality. In this study of 4446 patients with AMI, 2223 patients with MASLD were matched with patients without MASLD using propensity scores. The mean follow-up duration was 3.4 ± 2.4 years. The MASLD group had higher rates of obesity, diabetes and chronic kidney disease than their counterparts. Patients with MASLD had early excess all-cause mortality (6.8% vs. 3.6%, p < .001) at 30 days, with unfavourable mortality rates sustained in the long-term (18.3% vs. 14.5%, p = .001) compared with those without MASLD. After adjustment, MASLD remained independently associated with higher long-term all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.330, 95% confidence interval 1.106-1.598, p = .002). MASLD embodies a higher burden of metabolic dysfunction and is an independent predictor of long-term mortality in the AMI population. Its early identification may be beneficial for risk stratification and provide therapeutic targets for secondary preventive strategies in AMI.

#2125 Endotypes of kidney injury in patients with acute decompensation of heart failure and their impact on long-term mortality

Abstract Background and Aims Renal dysfunction with and without albuminuria is common in patients with heart failure and associated with poorer outcomes. However, the prevalence and long-term influence of increased urine albumin creatinine ratio (uACR) and/or isolated decreased glomerular filtration rate (GFR &amp;lt; 60 ml/min/1,73 m2) have not been well studied in patients with acute decompensation of heart failure (ADHF). The aim was to investigate the prevalence of different variants of kidney injury and their impact on the mortality in patients with ADHF within 1 year of follow-up. Method This prospective, observational study included 140 patients who were discharged after ADHF. We excluded patients with terminal stage of chronic kidney disease, end-stage heart failure, malignancy. Patients were divided according to the kidney function (the maximum level of GFR) and albuminuria level taken at hospitalization into four groups: normal renal function (GFR&amp;gt;60 ml/min/1,73 m2, uACR&amp;lt;30 mg/gCr), isolated decreased GFR (GFR&amp;lt;60 ml/min/1,73 m2, uACR&amp;lt;30 mg/gCr), isolated albuminuria (GFR&amp;gt;60 ml/min/1,73 m2, uACR&amp;gt;30 mg/gCr), combined changes (GFR&amp;lt;60 ml/min/1,73 m2, uACR&amp;gt;30 mg/gCr). The observation period was 365 days. Results During hospitalization 25% (n = 35) patients had GFR&amp;gt;60 ml/min/1,73 m2, uACR&amp;lt;30 mg/gCr, 19.3% (n = 27) patients had isolated decreased GFR, 22.8% (n = 32) patients had isolated uACR&amp;gt;30 mg/gCr, and 32.9% (n = 46) patients had both. The baseline and admission characteristics are presented in the table (Fig. 1). 34 (24,3%) patients died during follow-up. Mortality was remarkably higher in groups with registered albuminuria during hospitalization regardless of GFR level (25% (n = 8) patients with isolated increased uACR, 39.1% (n = 18) patients with combined changes; with non-albuminuria: (11.4% (n = 4) patients with GFR&amp;gt;60 ml/min/1,73 m2, uACR&amp;lt;30 mg/gCr, 14.8% (n = 4) patients with isolated decreased GFR, p = 0.019 for trend). Kaplan-Meier plots revealed worse outcomes for these groups after adjusting for ejection fraction (EF) (Log-Rank p = 0.0057) (Fig. 2). In the multivariate Cox regression, in which age, gender, reduced EF and three categories of kidney damage were included, only combination of decreased GFR and albuminuria was an independent predictor of long-term mortality (hazard ratio: 3.71 95% confidential interval 1.59 to 8.67, p = 0.002). Conclusion Albuminuria is frequently observed in patients with ADHF and, especially with combination with decreased GFR, associated with higher mortality rate during 1 year of follow-up. Albuminuria with decreased GFR during hospitalization with ADHF was an independent risk factor for mortality during one year.