Independent Predictors Of Intracranial Hemorrhage Research Articles

A New Nomogram for Predicting the Risk of Intracranial Hemorrhage in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients After Intravenous Thrombolysis.

BackgroundWe aimed to develop and validate a new nomogram for predicting the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) after intravenous thrombolysis (IVT).MethodsA retrospective study enrolled 553 patients with AIS treated with IVT. The patients were randomly divided into two cohorts: the training set (70%, n = 387) and the testing set (30%, n = 166). The factors in the predictive nomogram were filtered using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The performance of the nomogram was assessed based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultsAfter multivariable logistic regression analysis, certain factors, such as smoking, National Institutes of Health of Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, blood urea nitrogen-to-creatinine ratio (BUN/Cr), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), were found to be independent predictors of ICH and were used to construct a nomogram. The AUC-ROC values of the nomogram were 0.887 (95% CI: 0.842–0.933) and 0.776 (95% CI: 0.681–0.872) in the training and testing sets, respectively. The AUC-ROC of the nomogram was higher than that of the Multicenter Stroke Survey (MSS), Glucose, Race, Age, Sex, Systolic blood Pressure, and Severity of stroke (GRASPS), and stroke prognostication using age and NIH Stroke Scale-100 positive index (SPAN-100) scores for predicting ICH in both the training and testing sets (p < 0.05). The calibration plot demonstrated good agreement in both the training and testing sets. DCA indicated that the nomogram was clinically useful.ConclusionsThe new nomogram, which included smoking, NIHSS, BUN/Cr, and NLR as variables, had the potential for predicting the risk of ICH in patients with AIS after IVT.

Sustainability of Intravenous Alteplase Administration via Telephone-Based Consult: Data from a US Health System

ObjectivesTelephone-based consults using remote imaging review and standardization of evaluation but without visualizing the patient are an alternative to video-telestroke consults but are less well-studied. We aim to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of telephone-based acute consults in which IV tPA was administered over nearly a decade within one health system. Materials and MethodsClinical characteristics and outcomes were compared between a community hospital (spoke; uses telephone-based consults) and the academic comprehensive stroke center (hub; uses oversight of on-site neurology trainees) from 2008-2017. In both institutions acute therapy decisions are made by the same stroke neurologists. Results2518 acute ischemic stroke consults were evaluated at hub and 2049 at spoke. Of these, 191 patients received IV tPA at hub and 184 at spoke. Patients at hub were younger (median (IQR): 61 (51-74) vs 69 (56-81) years, p = 0.0021) but admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) was similar. There were no differences between door-to-needle times (69 (56-101) vs 69 (51-92) minutes, p = 0.13), last known well-to-tPA times (157 (113-202) vs 144 (110-175) minutes, p = 0.053), and rates of overall intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) after tPA (n = 23 (13.5%) vs 31 (17.0%), p = 0.35). In multivariable analyses, hospital was not an independent predictor of ICH after tPA. ConclusionsIn a large dataset over nearly a decade, assessment for IV tPA administration using telephone assessment along with imaging review and emergency department standardization resulted in similar safety and outcomes as in the presence of on-site stroke/neurology expertise. Future studies are needed to confirm these findings

Cerebral Microbleed Burden in Ischemic Stroke Patients on Aspirin: Prospective Cohort of Intracranial Hemorrhage.

Objective: This investigation aimed at studying the prevalence of cerebral microbleeds (CMBs), including risk factors and the correlation of CMBs to ischemic stroke (IS) patient end results.Methods: Four hundred and fifty-nine acute IS cases were recruited between April 2014 and December 2016. Cerebral microbleeds were analyzed using susceptibility-weighted imaging (SWI) brain MRI scan. The enrolled patients with acute IS were followed up for 12–24 months, with a median follow-up time of 19 months. The follow-up endpoint events including recurrent ischemic stroke (RIS), intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), transient ischemic attack (TIA), mortality, and cardiovascular events. The associations between vascular risk factors and CMBs in IS patients were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Cox regression model was employed for evaluating CMB impact on clinical outcome.Results: Among 459 enrolled patients, 187 (40.7%) had CMBs and 272 (59.2%) had no CMB. In comparison with patients with no CMBs, age was higher and hypertension was more frequent in patients with CMBs. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed age and hypertension were independently associated with the presence of CMBs. Among the patient cohort, 450 cases completed the follow-up. During the follow-up period, 22 (4.9%) of patients developed ICH, 12 (2.7%) developed TIA, 68 (15.1%) developed RIS, cardiovascular events occurred in 20 (4.44%), and 13 (2.89%) cases were mortalities. Compared with patients without CMBs, IS patients with CMBs have an increased prevalence of ICH (p < 0.05). However, no statistically valid variations regarding other outcome incidences between both groups was identified (p > 0.05). The incidence of ICH was elevated in tandem with elevations in number of CMBs. Following adjusting for age, multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis revealed that CMBs ≥10 were independent predictors of ICH in acute IS patients.Conclusion: Age and hypertension are independently associated with the presence of CMBs. Intracranial hemorrhage incidence rate was increased with the number of CMBs, and the number of CMBs ≥10 were independent predictors of ICH in acute stroke patients.

Predictors of intracranial hemorrhage in patients treated with catheter-directed thrombolysis for deep vein thrombosis

BackgroundAlthough acute intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) is a rare complication of catheter-directed thrombolysis (CDT), it remains a major concern associated with the use of CDT. The incidence and clinical predictors of developing ICH in the setting of CDT are not known. MethodsThe National Inpatient Sample database was used to identify all patients with proximal lower extremity or caval deep vein thrombosis (DVT) from January 2005 to December 2013 in the United States. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify the clinical predictors of ICH between patients with DVT who had received anticoagulation therapy alone and those who had been treated with CDT plus anticoagulation therapy. ResultsOf 138,049 patients with proximal lower extremity or caval DVT, 7119 (5.2%) had received anticoagulation therapy and CDT. Of the patients treated with anticoagulation alone, ICH had occurred in 0.2% compared with 0.7% for those treated with CDT (P < .01). The independent predictors of ICH in the CDT cohort were a history of stroke (odds ratio [OR], 19.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8.8-42.8; P < .01), chronic kidney disease (OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.1-4.7; P = .03), age >74 years (OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2-4.3; P = .02), male sex (OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.01-3.3; P = .048). Of those patients treated with anticoagulation alone, the risk factors for the development of ICH were a history of stroke, hospital teaching status, and age >74 years. ConclusionsThe results from the present nationwide observational study showed that of patients with DVT treated with CDT, the independent predictors for developing ICH were a history of stroke, chronic kidney disease, male sex, and age >74 years.

Safety of Mechanical Thrombectomy with Combined Intravenous Thrombolysis in Stroke Treatment 4.5 to 9 Hours from Symptom Onset

BackgroundAn extended time window for intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) for acute stroke patients up to 9 hours from symptom onset has been established in recent trials, excluding patients who received mechanical thrombectomy (MT). We therefore investigated whether combined therapy with IVT and MT (IVT+MT) is safe in patients with ischemic stroke and large vessel occlusion (LVO) in an extended time window. MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed patients with anterior circulation ischemic stroke and LVO who were treated within 4.5 to 9 hours after symptom onset using MT with or without IVT. Primary endpoint was the occurrence of any intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). Multivariable logistic regression was used to adjust for potential confounders. ResultsIn total, 168 patients were included in the study, 44 (26%) were treated with IVT+ MT. 133 (79%) patients had a M1-/distal carotid artery occlusion. Median ASPECT-Score was 8 (IQR 7-10) and complete reperfusion (mTICI 2b-3) was achieved in 132 (79%) patients. 18 (41%) of the patients in the IVT+MT group developed any ICH vs. 45 (36%) patients in the direct MT group (p=0.587). Symptomatic ICH occurred in 5 (11%) patients with IVT+MT vs. 8 (6%) patients receiving direct MT (p=0.295). In multivariable analysis, IVT+MT was not an independent predictor of ICH (adjusted for NIHSS, degree of reperfusion, symptom-onset-to-treatment time and therapy with tirofiban; OR 0.95 [95% CI 0.43-2.08], p=0.896). ConclusionMechanical thrombectomy in stroke patients seems to be safe with combined intravenous thrombolysis within 4.5 to 9 hours after onset as it did not significantly increase the risk for intracranial hemorrhage.

Effect of the Creatinine Excretion Rate Index, a Marker of Sarcopenia, on Prediction of Intracranial Hemorrhage in Patients With Advanced Heart Failure and a Continuous-Flow Left Ventricular Assist Device.

Sarcopenia is characterized by progressive loss of skeletal muscle and has frequently been associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with advanced heart failure (HF). The urinary creatinine excretion rate (CER) index is an easily measured marker of muscle mass, but its predictive capacity for mortality and cerebrovascular events has not been investigated in patients with a continuous-flow implantable left ventricular assist device (CF-iLVAD).Methods and Results:We retrospectively reviewed 147 patients (mean [±SD] age 43.7±12.5 years, 106 male) who underwent CF-iLVAD implantation between April 2011 and June 2019. CER indices in 24-h urine samples before CF-iLVAD implantation were determined. Over a median follow-up of 2.3 years, there were 10 (6.8%) deaths and 43 (29.3%) cerebrovascular events. Patients were divided into 2 groups (low and high CER index) according to the median CER index in men and women (i.e., 13.71 and 12.06 mg·kg-1·day-1, respectively). Mortality and intracranial hemorrhage rates after CF-iLVAD implantation were significantly higher in the low than high CER index group (mortality 12.3% vs. 1.4% [P<0.01]; intracranial hemorrhage 23.3% vs. 8.1% [P=0.01]). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models revealed that a low CER index was an independent predictor of intracranial hemorrhage in patients receiving a CF-iLVAD (hazard ratio 3.63; 95% confidence interval 1.43-9.24; P<0.01). A low preoperative CER index is an independent, non-invasive predictor of intracranial hemorrhage after CF-iLVAD implantation.

Abstract WP401: Burden of Intracranial Hemorrhage in Patients With Reversible Cerebral Vasoconstriction Syndrome

Introduction: Reversible Cerebral Vasoconstriction Syndrome (RCVS) is described as reversible constriction of cerebral arteries, presenting with severe headaches and associated with hemorrhagic or ischemic strokes. There is a dearth of the literature on demographics and risk factors associated with intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients with RCVS in the US. Methods: All patients with a primary or secondary diagnosis of RCVS in 2016 Nationwide Readmission Database (NRD) using ICD-10 code I67.841 after excluding cerebral angiitis (N=57). Unique patients were included using a unique patient identifier. Weighted discharges were used to generate national estimates. ICH was defined as both intraparenchymal and subarachnoid hemorrhage. A multivariable logistic model was used to identify ICH predictors. Results: Among total 1,152 RCVS patients, 25.7% (296) patients developed ICH. Patients with ICH mean age was (years) (Mean±SE) 47.8 ±1.2 vs. 47.0±1.1 (P=0.62), female 85.4% vs. 78.0% (P=0.06), longer inpatient LOS 12.1±0.9 vs. 6.4±0.5 days (P&lt;0.0001) and higher inpatient cost 42,638±4,451 vs. 18,199±1,117 (P=0.018). After multivariable analysis, two independent predictors of ICH were identified: increasing age (OR 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01-1.04, P=0.042) and female gender (OR 2.37, 95%CI: 1.25-4.50, P=0.009). Patients with ICH were at a greater risk of cerebral edema (OR 13.25, 95% CI: 5.10-34.43, P&lt;0.0001) (Figure). Among disposition, 63.2% of patients with ICH were discharged home requiring no assistance and no mortality was observed. Conclusion: This nationally representative sample suggests that increasing age and female gender were independent predictors of ICH. There is no difference in comorbidities including migraine contrary to prior literature, modifiable lifestyle risk factors and pregnancy in this cohort. Excellent outcome was observed as the majority of patients were discharged home. Higher LOS and cost were reported in ICH cohort.

Hemorrhage After Endovascular Recanalization in Acute Stroke: Lesion Extent, Collaterals and Degree of Ischemic Water Uptake Mediate Tissue Vulnerability.

Background and Purpose: Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) remains a major complication of endovascular treatment (ET) in acute stroke. The aim of this study was to identify clinical and imaging predictors for ICH in patients with acute ischemic stroke undergoing successful ET.Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with large vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation who underwent successful ET at our university medical center between 2015 and 2018. ICH was diagnosed on non-enhanced CT and a binary outcome was defined: ICH occurrence in the immediate post-interventional phase within 12–36 h (yes/no). The impacts of clinical, radiological, and interventional parameters on outcome were assessed in logistic regression models.Results: One hundred and seven patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria. 37 (34.6%) showed an ICH of which 7 (6.5%) patients were diagnosed as symptomatic and 30 (28.04%) as asymptomatic. Multivariable regression analyses identified a lower ASPECTS (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.95, 95%CI: 1.4–3.63, P = 0.037), low collateral score (adjusted OR 0.12, 95%CI: 0.03–0.49, P = 0.003) and high Net Water Uptake (NWU) (adjusted OR 1.56, 95%CI: 2.34–1.03, P = 0.007) as independent predictors of ICH after successful ET.Conclusions: CT-based quantitative NWU, ASPECTS, and collateral score mediate tissue vulnerability and are reliable independent predictors of a bleeding event after successful ET. This imaging-based prediction model might be useful for early stratification of patients at high risk of a bleeding event after ET, especially with low ASPECTS.

Leukoaraiosis is an independent predictor of intracranial hemorrhage in patients with atrial fibrillation.

We evaluated the predictive value of several clinical, radiological and laboratory parameters on the risk of predict intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We conducted a case-control study on a consecutive hospital based series of patients with AF and ICH. A random sample of subjects with AF without ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke was selected from the same hospital in the same period to perform as the control group, with a ratio of two controls per case. All patients underwent the same evaluation protocol. Patients without neuroimaging exams were excluded. During the study period we identified 37 subjects with AF and ICH. 74 subjects without stroke events were randomly chosen among subjects with AF. Among cases 56.8% were female; mean age was 83.1years. Patients with ICH were more often on anticoagulant therapy (75.7%), compared with controls (45.9%; p = 0.0002). On CT scans, cases had a greater severity of leukoaraiosis at the Blennow scale (p < 0.0001) and a higher frequency of lacunar infarcts (p = 0.006). No significant association was found between MRI parameters or the HAS-BLED score and the occurrence of ICH. CT scan is more useful than MRI and HAS-BLED score to predict ICH in patients with AF on antithrombotic therapy.

Duration of ECMO Is an Independent Predictor of Intracranial Hemorrhage Occurring During ECMO Support.

We assessed the incidence and predictors of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) occurring during extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) support. Of 154 patients who received ECMO, 12 (7.8%) developed ICH. Patients with ICH had a longer ECMO duration (9.41 vs. 5.37 days, p = 0.007), and higher activated clotting time (activated clotting time, p= 0.016). They also experienced higher frequency of bleeding at other sites (p = 0.017) and required more platelet transfusion (p = 0.016). Multivariate analysis showed that a longer ECMO duration (odds ratio [OR] = 1.074, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.005-1.148, p = 0.035) is independently associated with the risk of ICH. We recommend routine neurological checks, monitoring of coagulation parameters, and attempt earlier rather than late weaning from ECMO whenever feasible.

Abstract 13573: Trends, Predictors and Outcomes of Intracranial Hemorrhage in Patients With Left Ventricular Assist Device

Introduction: Left ventricular assist device (LVAD) is being increasingly utilized in patients with advanced heart failure both as bridge to heart transplantation and as destination therapy. Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) is one of major complications associated with LVAD. However, current trends on utilization of LVAD and associated ICH in real world practice are not known. Methods: We analyzed patients in the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) between 2007 and 2011. Heart failure patients with LVAD were identified from the database and patients with discharge diagnosis of ICH were compared to those without ICH. Trends and outcomes of ICH in patients with LVAD were analyzed. In addition, predictors of ICH were identified using a multivariate regression model. Results: We identified 20,443 discharges with a primary diagnosis of heart failure with LVAD of which 447 patients had a co-diagnosis of ICH. We saw a significant increase in discharge diagnosis of heart failure with LVAD from 1232 discharges in 2007 to 6308 in 2011 (p&amp;lt0.001)(Figure). However, the incidence of ICH in this patient population decreased from 3.9% in 2007 to 2.4% in 2011. On multivariate analysis, in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in the ICH group (OR: 9.5, P=0.0001). After adjustment for potential confounders age &amp;lt35 years (OR: 2.4, P=0.01) and a rising Charlson co-morbidity index score were independent predictors of ICH whereas presence of diabetes (OR: 0.05, P=0.001), chronic lung disease (OR:0.07, P=0.001), renal disease (OR: 0.09, P=0.001) and peripheral vascular disease (OR: 0.12, P=0.002) were found to be protective of ICH. Conclusions: Our analysis indicates an increasing trend in utilization of LVAD but a decrease in incidence of ICH over the same period. ICH was found to increase risk of mortality by nearly 10 fold. Increasing comorbidity burden increases the risk of ICH whereas age and certain individual co-morbidities appear to have a paradoxical effect on risk of ICH.

Warfarin is Associated with Increased Intracranial Hemorrhage and Mortality in Patients with Ground Level Falls: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Fall is the number one mechanism of injury for admissions to trauma centers across the US. The use of anticoagulation therapy has also increased significantly, particularly among the older population. We hypothesized that anticoagulation with warfarin increases the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) and death after a ground level fall. Methods: A retrospective cohort of all patients admitted to a level 1 trauma center, between 2008 and 2011, after a ground level fall was identified. Warfarin use, ICH and in-hospital mortality were assessed from review of medical records. Exposure was defined as current warfarin use or an International Normalization Ratio (INR) ≥1.3. Age, gender, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Injury Severity Score (ISS) and acute traumatic injuries identified on chest and extremity radiographs were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. Results/Discussion: Of the 1,535 patients admitted for ground level falls, 135 (8.8%) were taking warfarin and 16.5% had INR ≥1.3. 725 (47.2%) patients met criteria for CT head and 7.6% had an ICH. In-hospital mortality was 2.75%. Warfarin was associated with higher incidence of ICH (Crude OR 2.28; 95% CI, 1.36-3.84) and mortality (Crude OR 2.80; 95% CI, 1.31-6.00). Similarly, INR ≥ 1.3 had significant association with ICH (OR 2.14; 95% CI, 1.403.28) and mortality (OR 3.88; 95% CI, 2.04-7.40). After controlling for age and gender in logistic regression model, warfarin use and INR ≥ 1.3 continued to be independent predictors of ICH with adjusted ORs of 2.02 (95% CI, 1.19-3.44) and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.303.09) respectively. Adjusted odds ratios of mortality with warfarin use and INR ≥ 1.3, after controlling for age, gender and ISS, were 2.65 (95% CI, 1.19-5.91) and 3.75 (95% CI, 1.89-7.42) respectively. Conclusions: Warfarin use or elevated INR are associated with ICH and mortality after ground level falls. prevalence of atrial fibrillation in this patient population. Currently, atrial fibrillation affects approximately 2.2 million Americans [1]. The prevalence of atrial fibrillation increases with age, with more than 38% of patients older than 65 years of age being affected [ 2].

Intracranial hemorrhage in acute coronary syndrome: incidence, predictors, and outcomes from APPRAISE-2, PLATO, and TRACER

Purpose/Methods: We pooled patient-level data from cohorts with non–ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE ACS) from 3 antithrombotic therapy trials to evaluate intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). Multivariable modeling identified independent predictors of ICH. Results: Of 31,416 patients included, 108 (0.3%) had an ICH. The median follow-up was 332 (184, 434) days but differed across trials. Those with ICH were older (median 69 vs 65 years), more often had history of prior transient ischemic attack (TIA)/stroke (15% vs 8%), and had higher median baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) (137 vs 130 mmHg). Locations of ICH were intracerebral (59%), subdural (9%), subarachnoid (9%), and intraventricular (10%). Of all ICH events, 47 (43%) were associated with death, which occurred within 30 days in 40 (85%) cases. Predictors of ICH are listed, and a Kaplan-Meier curve is displayed. View this table: Independent predictors of ICH ![Figure][1] Conclusion: In these trials, ICH was uncommon. Patients with older age, higher SBP, and prior TIA/stroke were at increased risk. ICH was associated with high mortality, and the risk increased over time. Integrating biomarker and genetic data is required to perhaps better identify ACS patients at risk of ICH. [1]: pending:yes

Intracranial Hemorrhage in Atrial Fibrillation Patients During Anticoagulation With Warfarin or Dabigatran

Intracranial hemorrhage is the most devastating complication of anticoagulation. Outcomes associated with different sites of intracranial bleeding occurring with warfarin versus dabigatran have not been defined. Analysis of 18 113 participants with atrial fibrillation in the Randomized Evaluation of Long-term anticoagulant therapY (RE-LY) trial assigned to adjusted-dose warfarin (target international normalized ratio, 2-3) or dabigatran (150 mg or 110 mg, both twice daily). During a mean of 2.0 years of follow-up, 154 intracranial hemorrhages occurred in 153 participants: 46% intracerebral (49% mortality), 45% subdural (24% mortality), and 8% subarachnoid (31% mortality). The rates of intracranial hemorrhage were 0.76%, 0.31%, and 0.23% per year among those assigned to warfarin, dabigatran 150 mg, and dabigatran 110 mg, respectively (P<0.001 for either dabigatran dose versus warfarin). Fewer fatal intracranial hemorrhages occurred among those assigned dabigatran 150 mg and 110 mg (n=13 and n=11, respectively) versus warfarin (n=32; P<0.01 for both). Fewer traumatic intracranial hemorrhages occurred among those assigned to dabigatran (11 patients with each dose) compared with warfarin (24 patients; P<0.05 for both dabigatran doses versus warfarin). Independent predictors of intracranial hemorrhage were assignment to warfarin (relative risk, 2.9; P<0.001), aspirin use (relative risk, 1.6; P=0.01), age (relative risk, 1.1 per year; P<0.001), and previous stroke/transient ischemic attack (relative risk, 1.8; P=0.001). The clinical spectrum of intracranial hemorrhage was similar for patients given warfarin and dabigatran. Absolute rates at all sites and both fatal and traumatic intracranial hemorrhages were lower with dabigatran than with warfarin. Concomitant aspirin use was the most important modifiable independent risk factor for intracranial hemorrhage.

Racial/Ethnic Differences in Longitudinal Risk of Intracranial Hemorrhage in Brain Arteriovenous Malformation Patients

Race/ethnicity is associated with overall incidence of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), but its impact in patients with brain arteriovenous malformation is unknown. We evaluated whether race/ethnicity was a risk factor for ICH in the natural course in a large, multiethnic cohort of patients with brain arteriovenous malformation followed longitudinally. Data were collected prospectively for patients with brain arteriovenous malformation evaluated at the University of California, San Francisco (n=436) and retrospectively through databases and chart review in the 20 hospitals of the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program (n=1028). Multivariate Cox regression was performed to assess the influence of race/ethnicity on subsequent ICH, adjusting for risk factors. Cases were censored at first treatment, loss to follow-up, or death. Average follow up was 4.7+/-8.0 years for Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program patients and 2.8+/-7.3 years for University of California, San Francisco patients with no difference in time to ICH between cohorts (log rank P=0.57). The annualized 5-year ICH rate was 2.1% (3.7% for ruptured at presentation; 1.4% for unruptured). Initial ICH presentation (hazard ratio: 3.0, 95% CI: 1.9 to 4.9, P<0.001) and Hispanic race/ethnicity (hazard ratio: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.1 to 3.3, P=0.02) were independent predictors of ICH, adjusting for age, gender, cohort, and a cohort-age interaction. The ICH risk for Hispanics versus whites increased to 3.1 (95% CI: 1.3 to 7.4, P=0.013) after further adjusting for arteriovenous malformation size and deep venous drainage in a subset of cases with complete data. Similar trends were observed for blacks (hazard ratio: 2.1, 95% CI: 0.9 to 4.8, P=0.09) and Asians (hazard ratio: 2.4, 95% CI: 0.8 to 7.1, P=0.11), although nonsignificant. This study reports the first description of race/ethnic differences in brain arteriovenous malformation, with Hispanics at an increased risk of subsequent ICH compared with whites.

Lack of clinical significance of early ischemic changes on computed tomography in acute stroke.

The prevalence and clinical significance of early ischemic changes (EICs) on baseline computed tomography (CT) scan of the head obtained within 3 hours of ischemic stroke are not established. To determine the frequency and significance of EIC on baseline head CT scans in the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) rt-PA (recombinant tissue plasminogen activator) Stroke Trial. The original study, a randomized controlled trial, took place from January 1991 through October 1994 at 43 sites, during which CT images were obtained within 3 hours of symptom onset and prior to the initiation of rt-PA or placebo. For the current analysis, detailed reevaluation was undertaken after October 1994 of all baseline head CT scans with clinical data available pretreatment (blinded to treatment arm). Of 624 patients enrolled in the trial, baseline CT scans were retrieved and reviewed for 616 (99%). Frequency of EICs on baseline CT scans; association of EIC with other baseline variables; effect of EICs on deterioration at 24 hours (>/=4 points increase from the baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale [NIHSS] score); clinical outcome (measured by 4 clinical scales) at 3 months, CT lesion volume at 3 months, death at 90 days; and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) within 36 hours of treatment. The prevalence of EIC on baseline CT in the combined rt-PA and placebo groups was 31% (n = 194). The EIC was significantly associated with baseline NIHSS score (rho = 0.23; P<.001) and time from stroke onset to baseline CT scan (rho = 0.11; P =.007). After adjusting for baseline variables, there was no EIC x treatment interaction detected for any clinical outcome, including deterioration at 24 hours, 4 clinical scales, lesion volume, and death at 90 days (P>/=.25), implying that EIC is unlikely to affect response to rt-PA treatment. After adjusting for NIHSS score (an independent predictor of ICH), no EIC association with symptomatic ICH at 36 hours was detected in the group treated with rt-PA (P>/=.22). Our analysis suggests that EICs are prevalent within 3 hours of stroke onset and correlate with stroke severity. However, EICs are not independently associated with increased risk of adverse outcome after rt-PA treatment. Patients treated with rt-PA did better whether or not they had EICs, suggesting that EICs on CT scan are not critical to the decision to treat otherwise eligible patients with rt-PA within 3 hours of stroke onset.

Predictors of intracranial hemorrhage during neonatal extracorporeal membrane oxygenation

Objective: To identify independent predictors of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) during neonatal extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Study design: This retrospective cohort consisted of all neonates who did not have an ICH before treatment with ECMO identified in the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization Registry from 1992 to 1995 (n = 4550). Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors independently correlated with ICH and to develop a model that could be used to predict the risk of ICH in neonates treated with ECMO. Results: ICH was identified in 9.9% of patients. The factors associated with ICH remaining after adjusting for other significant variables ( P < .01) were gestational age (GA) <34 weeks (odds ratio [OR] 12.1, 95% confidence intervals [CI] [6.6, 22]), GA 34 to <36 weeks (OR 4.1, CI [2.9, 5.8]), GA 36 to <38 weeks (OR 2.1, CI [1.6, 2.8]) primary diagnosis of sepsis (OR 1.8, CI [1.4, 2.3]), epinephrine use (OR 1.9, CI [1.5, 2.5]), coagulopathy (OR 1.6, CI [1.1, 2.2]), arterial pH <7.0 (OR 2.5, CI [1.6, 3.9]), and arterial pH 7.0 to <7.2 (OR 1.8 CI [1.3, 2.5]). ICH rates for neonates receiving venovenous versus venoarterial ECMO and for those treated with or without cephalic jugular venous drainage were not significantly different. Conclusions: Gestational age, acidosis, sepsis, coagulopathy, and treatment with epinephrine are major independent factors associated with ICH in neonates treated with ECMO. In particular, GA <34 weeks remains a major barrier for use of current ECMO technologies. (J Pediatr 1999;134:156-9)